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Macroeconomic effects of achieving Carbon Neutrality in France 在法国实现碳中和的宏观经济效应
IF 5.8 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100174
Gaël Callonnec , Hervé Gouëdard , Meriem Hamdi-Cherif , Gissela Landa , Paul Malliet , Frédéric Reynès , Aurélien Saussay
In alignment with the Paris Agreement's objectives and the global commitment to limit global warming to +2 °C, France is committed to achieving Carbon Neutrality by 2050. To pave the way towards this ambitious goal, France has drawn up a roadmap known as the National Low-Carbon Strategy (NLCS). This paper aims to assess the macroeconomic impacts of the NLCS scenario. We use a Computable General Equilibrium model to assess the economic impacts of an energy transition scenario aiming for Carbon Neutrality in France by 2050. Our simulations show that climate change policies to reach carbon neutrality, including carbon taxation with full redistribution, could lead to an economic dividend. We find an increase in investments and jobs creations in green industries that are much higher than job destruction in fossil fuel intensive industries and energy sectors. Despite higher prices, demand increases, and GDP is higher than in the reference scenario. Ultimately, the energy transition induces a 3.4 % increase in GDP and a 2.8 % increase in employment compared to the baseline scenario in 2050.
根据《巴黎协定》的目标和将全球变暖限制在2°C以内的全球承诺,法国致力于到2050年实现碳中和。为了实现这一雄心勃勃的目标,法国制定了一份名为“国家低碳战略”(NLCS)的路线图。本文旨在评估低收入国家情景的宏观经济影响。我们使用可计算一般均衡模型来评估能源转型情景的经济影响,目标是到2050年在法国实现碳中和。我们的模拟表明,实现碳中和的气候变化政策,包括全面再分配的碳税,可能会带来经济红利。我们发现,绿色产业的投资和就业创造的增长,远远高于化石燃料密集型产业和能源部门的就业破坏。尽管价格上涨,但需求增加,GDP高于参考情景。最终,与2050年的基线情景相比,能源转型导致GDP增长3.4%,就业增长2.8%。
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引用次数: 0
Socio-technical feasibility of coal transitions in India: Results from stakeholder interviews 印度煤炭转型的社会技术可行性:利益相关者访谈的结果
IF 5.8 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100188
Udayan Singh , Saritha Sudharmma Vishwanathan , Amit Garg , Ajay K. Singh , Srinath Haran Iyer
Strategizing development-led energy transitions for India would need considerable stakeholder inputs for improved decision-making. While modeling exercises have largely been used for research and policymaking, an increasing need is felt to validate underlying assumptions and model findings based on views of important stakeholders. Particularly, for the coal sector, these stakeholders are present throughout the value chain: mining, end-use (power and industry), regulatory agencies, transport and advocacy. This paper summarizes the key findings of our interviews with n = 21 stakeholders across these sectors focusing on evolving coal use, underlying technologies and socio-technical features of this transition. Based on this exercise, interviewed experts largely believe that coal use would continue for the next two decades in the interest of energy security and energy affordability to the consumer. At the same time, they also acknowledged the reduced costs of solar, which makes it a key player in the analysis. We also notice an improved perception of carbon management technologies. Particularly, CO2 utilization to produce methanol and urea are seen as potential winners as these approaches could facilitate lower imports of petroleum and natural gas products. Geologic CO2 storage is still somewhat impeded by technical limitations and lack of global exemplars. Other approaches such as recovery of methane from gassy coal mines and biomass co-firing are seen as important but limited in potential. Most stakeholders also pointed to the need for averting job losses in the coal value-chain, which may not necessarily be made up by renewables.
为印度制定以发展为主导的能源转型战略需要大量利益相关者的投入,以改善决策。虽然建模练习主要用于研究和决策,但越来越需要根据重要利益相关者的观点来验证基本假设和模型结果。特别是对于煤炭行业,这些利益相关者存在于整个价值链中:采矿、最终用途(电力和工业)、监管机构、运输和宣传。本文总结了我们对这些行业的n = 21名利益相关者的访谈的主要发现,重点关注煤炭使用的演变、基础技术和转型的社会技术特征。基于这一调查,受访专家大多认为,为了能源安全和消费者的能源负担能力,煤炭的使用将在未来20年继续下去。与此同时,他们也承认太阳能的成本降低,这使其成为分析中的关键因素。我们还注意到对碳管理技术的认识有所提高。特别是,利用二氧化碳生产甲醇和尿素被视为潜在的赢家,因为这些方法可以促进减少石油和天然气产品的进口。由于技术限制和缺乏全球范例,地质二氧化碳储存仍然受到一定程度的阻碍。其他方法,如从瓦斯煤矿中回收甲烷和生物质共烧,被认为是重要的,但潜力有限。大多数利益相关者还指出,有必要避免煤炭价值链上的失业,而可再生能源不一定能弥补这一损失。
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引用次数: 0
Welfare and inequality impacts of carbon pricing and compensation schemes on fuel poor households in Styria, Austria 奥地利施蒂里亚州碳定价和补偿计划对燃料贫乏家庭的福利和不平等影响
IF 5.8 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100177
Veronika Kulmer , Dominik Kortschak , Judith Köberl , Sebastian Seebauer
Carbon pricing is a core pillar in the policy mix required for the transition to carbon neutrality. Carbon pricing raises energy prices and related service costs, but distributes the burden unequally among the population, which though can be mitigated by accompanying compensation schemes. For the example of the Austrian Province of Styria, we analyze the impacts of national carbon pricing for heating and motor fuels. Using the Exact Affine Stone Index (EASI) demand system and applying different definitions of fuel poverty, we compare how five compensation schemes mitigate impacts on fuel poor households. Uncompensated carbon pricing has nearly twice the negative welfare impacts on fuel poor households than on the average Styrian household, in particular if they live in rural regions and if the fuel poverty definition includes transport expenditures. All analyzed compensation schemes achieve similar carbon emission reductions as uncompensated carbon pricing, but additionally reduce inequality and increase overall welfare. In particular, they increase welfare among poor households and dampen the negative welfare impacts of uncompensated carbon pricing on the wealthiest. Accounting for low income in fuel poverty definitions and compensation schemes yields the highest welfare benefits. Price changes in motor fuels are the dominant impact channel, emphasizing the importance of considering transport in the debate on vulnerability to carbon pricing.
碳定价是向碳中和过渡所需政策组合的核心支柱。碳定价提高了能源价格和相关服务成本,但在人口中分配的负担不均衡,尽管可以通过附带的补偿计划来减轻这种负担。以奥地利施蒂里亚省为例,我们分析了供暖和汽车燃料的国家碳定价的影响。使用精确仿射石指数(EASI)需求系统并应用不同的燃料贫困定义,我们比较了五种补偿方案如何减轻对燃料贫困家庭的影响。无补偿碳定价对燃料贫乏家庭的负面福利影响几乎是对普通Styrian家庭的两倍,特别是如果他们生活在农村地区,并且燃料贫乏的定义包括运输支出。所分析的所有补偿方案所实现的碳排放减少与无补偿的碳定价相似,但额外减少了不平等并增加了整体福利。特别是,它们增加了贫困家庭的福利,并抑制了无补偿碳定价对最富裕家庭的负面福利影响。在燃料贫穷的定义和补偿方案中考虑低收入可产生最高的福利。汽车燃料的价格变化是主要的影响渠道,这强调了在关于碳定价脆弱性的辩论中考虑运输的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Distributional implications of carbon taxation policy in Indonesia 印尼碳税政策的分配影响
IF 5.8 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100186
Aldy Darwili, Servaas Storm , Enno Schröder
We combine the Environmentally-Extended Multi-Regional Input-Output (EE MRIO) analysis with a microsimulation analysis to estimate the distributional implications of carbon policy reform, a combination of carbon tax and revenue recycling initiatives, on households in Indonesia. We consider two relevant scenarios: an “economy-wide” carbon tax versus an “electricity-only” carbon tax. The impact of carbon policy reform is measured by the net impact of carbon tax and cash transfer relative to initial expenditure. Carbon policy reform in Indonesia tends to be progressive, meaning the relative net impact on households decreases as income increases. Carbon tax in Indonesia primarily affects households through the price increase in electricity and fuel products. The distributional impacts of a carbon policy reform are determined more by the percentage of tax revenue recycled and taxation scenario and less by the tax rate. In order to protect the poorest 40 % of Indonesian households from inflationary pressure, the Indonesian government needs to recycle 25 % of tax revenue.
我们将环境扩展型多区域投入产出(EE MRIO)分析与微观模拟分析相结合,估算了碳税和收入循环举措相结合的碳政策改革对印度尼西亚家庭的分配影响。我们考虑了两种相关方案:"全经济 "碳税和 "纯电力 "碳税。碳政策改革的影响以碳税和现金转移相对于初始支出的净影响来衡量。印尼的碳政策改革趋于累进,这意味着对家庭的相对净影响随着收入的增加而减少。印尼的碳税主要通过提高电力和燃料产品的价格来影响家庭。碳政策改革对分配的影响更多地取决于税收回收的比例和征税方案,而较少取决于税率。为了保护印尼 40% 的最贫困家庭免受通胀压力,印尼政府需要回收 25% 的税收。
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引用次数: 0
Stranded assets and compensation in oil and gas upstream projects: Conceptual and practical issues 油气上游项目中的搁浅资产和补偿:概念和实际问题
IF 5.8 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100178
Julia Paletta, Bruno SL Cunha, Rebecca Draeger, Roberto Schaeffer, Alexandre Szklo
Due to the strict remaining carbon budgets, the need to raise the ambition to phase out oil and gas (O&G) production can lead to the cessation of exploration and production (E&P) projects that might become stranded. This study discusses the definition of stranded assets and its misleading interpretations regarding asset compensation. The compensation here pertains to a situation in which O&G upstream activities (exploration, development, or extraction) are stopped without pre-existing provisions for that in contracts. Speculatively speaking, this halt could be justified by the imperative to decarbonize the economy. Compensation methodologies based on valuation approaches and applied to owners of E&P rights are discussed. Findings show that resources and reserves cannot be mandatorily considered assets, as per the accounting definition. Hence, naming them stranded assets could pose a “bias threat” in the selection of a valuation model in the event of compensation. There is a wide gap difference between discounted cash flow (DCF) and asset-based valuation models to compensate for O&G phase-out. The DCF approach leads to values of such magnitude that could challenge State's capacity to promote environmental regulatory changes while asset-based compensation amounts are straighter forward and make O&G phase-out more feasible especially if cancelled at early or later stages.
由于严格的剩余碳预算,需要提高逐步淘汰石油和天然气(O&;G)生产的雄心,这可能导致勘探和生产(E&;P)项目的停止,这些项目可能会陷入困境。本研究讨论了搁浅资产的定义及其对资产补偿的误导性解释。这里的补偿适用于油气上游活动(勘探、开发或开采)在合同中没有预先规定的情况下停止的情况。从投机的角度来看,经济脱碳的必要性可以证明这一停顿是合理的。基于评估方法的补偿方法,并适用于勘探开发权的所有者进行了讨论。调查结果表明,根据会计定义,资源和储备不能被强制视为资产。因此,将它们命名为搁浅资产可能会在选择补偿情况下的估值模型时构成“偏见威胁”。贴现现金流(DCF)和基于资产的估值模型之间存在很大的差距,以补偿O&;G的逐步淘汰。DCF方法产生的价值如此之大,可能会挑战国家促进环境监管变化的能力,而基于资产的补偿金额则更直接,使淘汰o&g更加可行,特别是在早期或后期阶段取消时。
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引用次数: 0
The effects of public deliberation on attitude change toward net-zero pathway: Generational differences in Taiwan 公众审议对零净路径态度转变的影响:台湾代际差异
IF 5.8 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100183
Mei-Fang Fan , Alice Siu
Deliberative democracy researchers argue that democratic deliberation is the key to addressing problems posed by polarisation and post-truth politics. Decarbonisation toward net zero has become a key topic of public deliberation worldwide in the face of our climate emergency. This article explores generational differences in the effects of deliberation on changes in attitudes toward policies. The empirical analysis conducted in the present study was based on a nationwide online deliberation polling experiment in which a random sample of 91 citizens was gathered in July 2022 to deliberate on Taiwan's pathway to net-zero emissions with consideration of social divisions and barriers to the implementation of long-term energy policies. The findings revealed that deliberation resulted in significant increases in the feasibility of the 2050 Net-Zero Pathway and the support of citizens for several policy proposals, such as the target of 60–70 % renewable energy in the energy mix. The effects of deliberation on changes in attitudes toward certain policy proposals between two generations (aged <40 years and >41 years) varied significantly. The results showed five ways of generational policy attitude change. These findings suggest that public deliberation promotes knowledge expansion, collective learning, and reflection on Taiwan's Net-Zero Pathway plan.
协商民主研究人员认为,民主协商是解决两极分化和后真相政治带来的问题的关键。面对我们的气候紧急情况,向净零排放脱碳已成为全球公众审议的一个关键话题。本文探讨了审议对政策态度变化影响的代际差异。本研究的实证分析基于2022年7月在全国范围内随机抽取91名公民的在线审议投票实验,在考虑社会分化和长期能源政策实施障碍的情况下,就台湾实现净零排放的途径进行讨论。调查结果显示,审议导致2050年净零路径的可行性显著增加,公民对若干政策建议的支持,例如可再生能源在能源结构中占60 - 70%的目标。审议对两代人(40岁和41岁)对某些政策建议的态度变化的影响差异很大。结果显示了代际政策态度变化的五种方式。研究结果显示,公众讨论促进了台湾零净路径计划的知识扩展、集体学习和反思。
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引用次数: 0
Pathways for decarbonization of the buildings sector in Ukraine 乌克兰建筑部门脱碳的途径
IF 5.8 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100195
Oleksandr Diachuk , Nazar Kholod , Roman Podolets , Neal Graham , Andrii Semeniuk , Meredydd Evans , Michael I. Westphal , Tanner Stelmach , Rachel Hoesly , Galyna Trypolska , Anastasiia Zagoruichyk
The paper focuses on Ukraine’s intention to achieve a two-thirds reduction in buildings’ energy consumption for heating and cooling by 2050, concurrently aiming for net zero greenhouse gas emissions and heightened energy security. The study examines the outcomes of retrofitting existing residential, commercial, and public buildings with highly efficient materials, improving construction standards, and transitioning to advanced heating systems. However, Russia’s invasion in 2022 inflicted substantial damage, prompting a shift from retrofit and decarbonization to reconstruction. The Ukrainian government’s Reconstruction Plan emphasizes clean, sustainable, and resilient energy systems. The study employs energy system and integrated assessment models (TIMES-Ukraine and GCAM-Ukraine) to explore scenarios taking into consideration the war, reconstruction, and a net zero CO2 pathway. Using two models allowed the inter-model comparison. The analysis addresses vital questions on energy resiliency measures and the compounding effects of decarbonization. Findings indicate that Ukraine’s energy goals can be met through strategic retrofitting and economy-wide decarbonization, emphasizing the importance of low-carbon alternatives like district heating with renewable sources. Electrification with renewables and fuel-switching emerges as crucial for achieving building decarbonization. The study offers valuable insights into navigating energy challenges amidst the war and outlines a pathway for Ukraine’s sustainable energy future.
该文件的重点是乌克兰打算到2050年将建筑供暖和制冷能耗减少三分之二,同时旨在实现温室气体净零排放和提高能源安全。该研究考察了用高效材料改造现有住宅、商业和公共建筑、提高建筑标准和向先进供暖系统过渡的结果。然而,俄罗斯在2022年的入侵造成了巨大的破坏,促使其从改造和脱碳转向重建。乌克兰政府的重建计划强调清洁、可持续和有弹性的能源系统。该研究采用能源系统和综合评估模型(TIMES-Ukraine和GCAM-Ukraine)来探索考虑战争、重建和净零二氧化碳途径的情景。使用两个模型可以进行模型间比较。该分析解决了能源弹性措施和脱碳复合效应的关键问题。研究结果表明,乌克兰的能源目标可以通过战略改造和经济范围内的脱碳来实现,强调低碳替代品的重要性,如使用可再生能源的区域供热。可再生能源和燃料转换的电气化成为实现建筑脱碳的关键。该研究为在战争中应对能源挑战提供了有价值的见解,并概述了乌克兰可持续能源未来的道路。
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引用次数: 0
Building trust in the energy transition: an approach based on behavioral science 在能源转型中建立信任:一种基于行为科学的方法
IF 5.6 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100217
John Pickering , Mahika Hari , Genevieve Kieseker , Marissa Jordan , Elke Weber , Chris Greig , Echo D. Cartwright , Elizabeth Smith , Sheila Webb-Halpern , Toneya McIntosh
Climate change necessitates an urgent transition away from fossil fuels and towards renewable energy, yet widespread public support for a shift in energy systems does not guarantee local acceptance of renewable energy developments and projects. This article explores the complexities inherent in community opposition to local renewable energy developments and shares strategies to enhance community understanding and involvement in decision-making. We adopt a behavioral science approach that integrates both individual and group-level insights to complement and build on frameworks in political economy, facilitation, and community organizing to empower communities to make informed, self-determined choices through more inclusive, participatory processes. The insights presented in this article derive from and distill the authors’ experiences and observations as applied behavioral scientists, practitioners, and researchers working at the intersection of energy transition and community acceptance. We first outline five key barriers that underlie community opposition and then propose a four-step solution to build capacity within communities to make effective decisions around renewable energy developments. We discuss actions that policymakers and practitioners can take to promote effective engagement with communities – and, in particular, economic and resource disadvantaged communities – to ensure that the benefits of renewable energy are equitably shared, and that no community is left behind in the transition to a sustainable energy future.
气候变化迫切需要从化石燃料转向可再生能源,但公众对能源系统转变的广泛支持并不能保证地方接受可再生能源开发和项目。本文探讨了社区反对当地可再生能源发展的内在复杂性,并分享了加强社区理解和参与决策的策略。我们采用行为科学方法,整合个人和群体层面的见解,以补充和建立政治经济、促进和社区组织的框架,使社区能够通过更具包容性和参与性的过程做出知情、自主的选择。本文中提出的见解来源于并提炼了作者作为应用行为科学家、实践者和研究人员在能量转换和社区接受的交叉点上的经验和观察。我们首先概述了社区反对的五个主要障碍,然后提出了一个四步解决方案,在社区内部建立能力,以围绕可再生能源发展做出有效的决策。我们讨论了政策制定者和实践者可以采取的行动,以促进社区的有效参与,特别是经济和资源劣势社区,以确保公平分享可再生能源的利益,并确保在向可持续能源未来的过渡中没有任何社区掉队。
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引用次数: 0
Life cycle assessment of wind farm: A review on current status and future knowledge 风电场生命周期评价:现状与展望
IF 5.8 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100206
Uttara Das, Champa Nandi
With rising concerns over climate change and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, wind power has gained attention as a clean energy source. However, Wind Power Plants (WPPs) generate emissions throughout their life cycle, from raw material extraction to decommissioning. Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) is a key tool for evaluating these environmental impacts. This paper reviews LCA studies of onshore and offshore WPPs, focusing on global warming potential (GWP) and energy payback time (EPBT) to assess their sustainability. Findings reveal that offshore WPPs generally exhibit higher GHG emissions due to complex installation and transportation but benefit from shorter EPBT due to higher wind speeds. Conversely, onshore WPPs have lower upfront emissions but experience longer EPBT due to variable wind conditions. The manufacturing and transportation phases contribute the highest emissions. Recycling and material optimization can reduce environmental impact by up to 30 %. Identified research gaps include data accuracy issues, limited offshore LCA studies, and lack of component-specific analyses. This study provides a pathway for optimizing wind power sustainability, emphasizing material efficiency, logistics improvements, and policy advancements.
随着人们对气候变化和温室气体(GHG)排放的担忧日益加剧,风能作为一种清洁能源受到了关注。然而,风力发电厂(WPPs)在其整个生命周期(从原材料开采到退役)都会产生排放。生命周期评价(LCA)是评价这些环境影响的关键工具。本文综述了陆上和海上WPPs的LCA研究,重点关注全球变暖潜势(GWP)和能源回收期(EPBT),以评估其可持续性。研究结果表明,由于安装和运输复杂,海上wpp通常表现出较高的温室气体排放,但由于风速较高,EPBT较短。相反,陆上风力发电厂的前期排放较低,但由于风力条件的变化,EPBT的使用时间较长。制造和运输阶段的排放量最高。回收和材料优化可以减少高达30%的环境影响。已确定的研究差距包括数据准确性问题、有限的海上LCA研究以及缺乏特定组件的分析。本研究为优化风力发电的可持续性提供了一条途径,强调材料效率、物流改进和政策进步。
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引用次数: 0
A defossilised EU petrochemical production system: Consequences for the meta-cluster in the Antwerp-Rotterdam-Rhine-Ruhr Area 非石化的欧盟石化生产系统:对安特卫普-鹿特丹-莱茵-鲁尔地区元集群的影响
IF 5.8 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.egycc.2024.100173
Clemens Schneider , Max Åhman , Stefan Lechtenböhmer , Mathieu Saurat
Today's petrochemical industry relies on fossil hydrocarbons, not only for energy purposes but also as feedstock. This use of fossil materials is being challenged by the European Union's target to achieve climate neutrality by 2050. The most affected region in Europe is the cross-border region between Antwerp, Rotterdam and the Rhine-Ruhr area in western Germany, an interconnected petrochemical meta-cluster. Although several defossilisation scenarios for petrochemicals have been developed both at the EU level and for single countries, the effect that an EU-wide transition from fossil to non-fossil feedstock would have on technology routes, feedstock alternatives and final product shares, as well as the resulting locational and geographical consequences are not yet understood. To fill this gap, the paper presents a scenario where the European petrochemical industry transitions away from fossil by 2050 and analyses how the energy supply and the defossilisation of carbon supply will change this industry. With this scenario as a backdrop, a zoom-in shows how the Antwerp-Rotterdam-Rhine-Ruhr Area might evolve technically and spatially. To this end, a techno-economic bottom-up model is employed that derives cost-optimal pathways towards defossilised petrochemical production networks. The analysis shows that a scenario for petrochemicals that achieves full non-fossil feedstock use in the EU by 2050 is very likely to be associated with a significant change not only in the feedstock base but also in the production technologies. The meta-cluster will face major challenges as its current strength in specialty polymers might suffer from cost increases for aromatics and the high energy intensity of the respective polymerisation steps. This requires specific strategies in regard to feedstock and energy supply as well as infrastructure.
今天的石化工业依赖于化石碳氢化合物,不仅用于能源目的,而且作为原料。这种对化石材料的使用正受到欧盟到2050年实现气候中和目标的挑战。欧洲受影响最严重的地区是安特卫普、鹿特丹和德国西部莱茵-鲁尔地区之间的跨境地区,这是一个相互关联的石化元集群。尽管在欧盟层面和单个国家已经开发了几种石化产品的去化石化方案,但欧盟范围内从化石原料到非化石原料的过渡对技术路线、原料替代品和最终产品份额的影响,以及由此产生的位置和地理后果尚不清楚。为了填补这一空白,本文提出了到2050年欧洲石化行业从化石燃料过渡的情景,并分析了能源供应和碳供应的非化石化将如何改变该行业。以这一场景为背景,放大图展示了安特卫普-鹿特丹-莱茵-鲁尔地区在技术和空间上的演变。为此,采用了一种技术经济自下而上的模型,推导出通往石化生产网络的成本最优路径。分析表明,到2050年,欧盟石化产品完全实现非化石原料的使用,很可能不仅与原料基础,而且与生产技术的重大变化有关。元簇将面临重大挑战,因为其目前在特种聚合物领域的实力可能会受到芳烃成本增加和各自聚合步骤高能量强度的影响。这需要在原料和能源供应以及基础设施方面采取具体战略。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Energy and climate change
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