Pub Date : 2026-12-01Epub Date: 2026-01-06DOI: 10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100232
Elena Hubner, Peter Dirksmeier
The energy transition in Germany, although supported nationally by widespread recognition of climate change, faces significant local opposition. This gap raises questions about the factors influencing individual attitudes towards renewable energy infrastructures. Drawing on the literature about the acceptance of renewable energy, we examine the impact of attitudes towards climate policy, populism and place attachment on the acceptance of renewable energy infrastructure. Additionally, we examine differences in acceptance between East and West Germany. Using instrumental variables (IV) regression and Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition with a representative survey sample of 8,643 individuals, our study shows that positive attitudes towards climate policy significantly increase the acceptance of renewable energy infrastructures in Germany. Conversely, populist attitudes are associated with lower levels of acceptance. While place attachment has no significant effect, acceptance is notably lower in East than in West Germany. These results provide insights into the complex reasons behind the acceptance or rejection of renewable energy projects and highlight the need for climate policies that are sensitive to regional and political nuances. Tailored communication strategies that take these differences into account are essential to foster acceptance and bridge the gap between general acceptance and local rejection. In conclusion, the successful advancement of the energy transition in Germany requires acknowledging and addressing the diverse socio-cultural contexts across the country.
{"title":"Effects of climate policy attitudes and populism on the acceptance of renewable energy infrastructure in Germany","authors":"Elena Hubner, Peter Dirksmeier","doi":"10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100232","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100232","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The energy transition in Germany, although supported nationally by widespread recognition of climate change, faces significant local opposition. This gap raises questions about the factors influencing individual attitudes towards renewable energy infrastructures. Drawing on the literature about the acceptance of renewable energy, we examine the impact of attitudes towards climate policy, populism and place attachment on the acceptance of renewable energy infrastructure. Additionally, we examine differences in acceptance between East and West Germany. Using instrumental variables (IV) regression and Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition with a representative survey sample of 8,643 individuals, our study shows that positive attitudes towards climate policy significantly increase the acceptance of renewable energy infrastructures in Germany. Conversely, populist attitudes are associated with lower levels of acceptance. While place attachment has no significant effect, acceptance is notably lower in East than in West Germany. These results provide insights into the complex reasons behind the acceptance or rejection of renewable energy projects and highlight the need for climate policies that are sensitive to regional and political nuances. Tailored communication strategies that take these differences into account are essential to foster acceptance and bridge the gap between general acceptance and local rejection. In conclusion, the successful advancement of the energy transition in Germany requires acknowledging and addressing the diverse socio-cultural contexts across the country.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":72914,"journal":{"name":"Energy and climate change","volume":"7 ","pages":"Article 100232"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2026-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146038106","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-01Epub Date: 2025-10-31DOI: 10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100222
Phemelo Tamasiga , Valentine Munyaradzi Dzingai , Helen Onyeaka , Rose Daphnee Tchonkouang , Kehinde Favour Siyanbola , Ulakom Genesis , George T. Mudimu
Transitioning to net-zero societies affects how energy is produced and consumed, with consequences for food security. Through a systematic review of 43 peer-reviewed studies that follow the PRISMA protocol, results reveal that renewable energy can enhance agricultural productivity by reducing operational costs, increasing efficiency in irrigation and processing, and providing reliable access to energy. However, challenges exist, including competition for land and water resources between renewable energy projects and food production, high upfront costs of clean energy technologies, limited access to credit facilities, and institutional bottlenecks. To overcome these challenges, recommended policies include offering subsidies and financial incentives to make clean energy more affordable for farmers, as well as providing education and training to support the adoption of sustainable practices. Furthermore, promoting collaboration between the public and private sectors is crucial to stimulate investment in renewable energy infrastructure. Moreover, these policies must be designed for specific national circumstances. High-income or upper-middle-income countries can deploy capital-intensive agrivoltaic and biogas technologies via concessional finance. In contrast, low-income settings should prioritize low-cost, decentralized solar pumps and off-grid dryers to build farmer confidence and trust. Countries with stronger regulatory frameworks and secure land tenure systems are better equipped to support large-scale renewable energy projects. At the same time, regions with weaker governance tend to benefit most from community-owned mini-grids. The mapping of policy options onto economic, institutional, and agro-ecological dimensions provides a nuanced, context-sensitive framework to guide equitable and effective energy transitions in diverse agricultural landscapes.
{"title":"Energy transition effects on food security amidst climate change and progress toward sustainable development goals","authors":"Phemelo Tamasiga , Valentine Munyaradzi Dzingai , Helen Onyeaka , Rose Daphnee Tchonkouang , Kehinde Favour Siyanbola , Ulakom Genesis , George T. Mudimu","doi":"10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100222","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100222","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Transitioning to net-zero societies affects how energy is produced and consumed, with consequences for food security. Through a systematic review of 43 peer-reviewed studies that follow the PRISMA protocol, results reveal that renewable energy can enhance agricultural productivity by reducing operational costs, increasing efficiency in irrigation and processing, and providing reliable access to energy. However, challenges exist, including competition for land and water resources between renewable energy projects and food production, high upfront costs of clean energy technologies, limited access to credit facilities, and institutional bottlenecks. To overcome these challenges, recommended policies include offering subsidies and financial incentives to make clean energy more affordable for farmers, as well as providing education and training to support the adoption of sustainable practices. Furthermore, promoting collaboration between the public and private sectors is crucial to stimulate investment in renewable energy infrastructure. Moreover, these policies must be designed for specific national circumstances. High-income or upper-middle-income countries can deploy capital-intensive agrivoltaic and biogas technologies via concessional finance. In contrast, low-income settings should prioritize low-cost, decentralized solar pumps and off-grid dryers to build farmer confidence and trust. Countries with stronger regulatory frameworks and secure land tenure systems are better equipped to support large-scale renewable energy projects. At the same time, regions with weaker governance tend to benefit most from community-owned mini-grids. The mapping of policy options onto economic, institutional, and agro-ecological dimensions provides a nuanced, context-sensitive framework to guide equitable and effective energy transitions in diverse agricultural landscapes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":72914,"journal":{"name":"Energy and climate change","volume":"6 ","pages":"Article 100222"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145519421","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Reaching net-zero emissions in Japan depends on technological advancements in energy efficiency and cost-effectiveness across both energy supply and demand sectors. Previous model comparison studies in Japan did not adequately address uncertainties from technological development under the latest net-zero commitment, potentially hindering effective stakeholder decision-making. This study coordinates multiple integrated assessment and energy systems models to analyze consistent policy and technology scenarios, focusing on energy transition pathways in end-use sectors. The results show that, to meet the net-zero requirement, all models exhibit a similar trend of declining total final energy demand, with a reduction of approximately 30% by 2050 relative to 2020. Meanwhile, electricity may account for around 50% or more of the total final energy in 2050 while hydrogen could grow to approximately 13%, with growth accelerating after 2040. Hydrogen is effective in achieving deep reductions in industrial emissions, and its necessity increases as emission targets become more stringent. The government has set ambitious targets for the utilization of hydrogen, but its deployment in end-use sectors requires further policy guidance to facilitate investment. The study emphasizes that end-use energy technology transformations should align with trends in both imported clean energy costs and domestic renewable energy costs.
{"title":"JMIP2 Part 3: The pace of hydrogen and electricity adoption in Japan’s demand-side decarbonization","authors":"Tao Cao , Eamon Frazer , Masahiro Sugiyama , Hiroto Shiraki , Shinichiro Fujimori , Kenichi Wada , Hiroshi Hamasaki , Etsushi Kato , Yuhji Matsuo , Osamu Nishiura , Tatsuya Okubo , Ken Oshiro , Takashi Otsuki , Fuminori Sano","doi":"10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100223","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100223","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Reaching net-zero emissions in Japan depends on technological advancements in energy efficiency and cost-effectiveness across both energy supply and demand sectors. Previous model comparison studies in Japan did not adequately address uncertainties from technological development under the latest net-zero commitment, potentially hindering effective stakeholder decision-making. This study coordinates multiple integrated assessment and energy systems models to analyze consistent policy and technology scenarios, focusing on energy transition pathways in end-use sectors. The results show that, to meet the net-zero requirement, all models exhibit a similar trend of declining total final energy demand, with a reduction of approximately 30% by 2050 relative to 2020. Meanwhile, electricity may account for around 50% or more of the total final energy in 2050 while hydrogen could grow to approximately 13%, with growth accelerating after 2040. Hydrogen is effective in achieving deep reductions in industrial emissions, and its necessity increases as emission targets become more stringent. The government has set ambitious targets for the utilization of hydrogen, but its deployment in end-use sectors requires further policy guidance to facilitate investment. The study emphasizes that end-use energy technology transformations should align with trends in both imported clean energy costs and domestic renewable energy costs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":72914,"journal":{"name":"Energy and climate change","volume":"6 ","pages":"Article 100223"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145683886","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-01Epub Date: 2025-10-09DOI: 10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100216
Cristiam Gil , Andres Rey-Ladino , Gordon Wilmsmeier , Ana María Montes , Emrah Demir , Wessam Abouarghoub , Vasco Sanchez-Rodrigues
This study introduces a simulation-based analysis of the decarbonization options for the road freight transport sector. It focuses on exploring the impact of operational and management measures on fleet renewal strategies aimed at achieving net zero goals by 2050. The proposed approach integrates current and planned future policy changes, operational practices, and technology renewal into the modeling process to offer a macro-level perspective on the decarbonization challenge. Specifically, the proposed modeling approach takes into account the reduction of empty trips, the optimization of cargo consolidation, and the promotion of eco-driving practices based on national freight transport data (i.e. covering more than 7.99 million trips). The proposed approach examines the effect of introducing contemporary vehicle technologies, such as new diesel vehicles (EURO VI or higher), new natural gas vehicles (EURO VI or higher), electric vehicles and hydrogen vehicles, as feasible replacements for aging vehicles powered by conventional fossil fuels. The adoption of these cleaner and newer technologies demonstrates the potential for emission reductions of up to 13% (2,070,000 tons CO2e) by 2030 and 47% (13,232,000 tons CO2e) by 2050. In addition, the results obtained from this research can serve as an exemplary case study for other emerging economies.
{"title":"A simulation-based analysis for the road freight transport decarbonization: A case study of Colombia","authors":"Cristiam Gil , Andres Rey-Ladino , Gordon Wilmsmeier , Ana María Montes , Emrah Demir , Wessam Abouarghoub , Vasco Sanchez-Rodrigues","doi":"10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100216","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100216","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study introduces a simulation-based analysis of the decarbonization options for the road freight transport sector. It focuses on exploring the impact of operational and management measures on fleet renewal strategies aimed at achieving net zero goals by 2050. The proposed approach integrates current and planned future policy changes, operational practices, and technology renewal into the modeling process to offer a macro-level perspective on the decarbonization challenge. Specifically, the proposed modeling approach takes into account the reduction of empty trips, the optimization of cargo consolidation, and the promotion of eco-driving practices based on national freight transport data (i.e. covering more than 7.99 million trips). The proposed approach examines the effect of introducing contemporary vehicle technologies, such as new diesel vehicles (EURO VI or higher), new natural gas vehicles (EURO VI or higher), electric vehicles and hydrogen vehicles, as feasible replacements for aging vehicles powered by conventional fossil fuels. The adoption of these cleaner and newer technologies demonstrates the potential for emission reductions of up to 13% (2,070,000 tons CO<sub>2</sub>e) by 2030 and 47% (13,232,000 tons CO<sub>2</sub>e) by 2050. In addition, the results obtained from this research can serve as an exemplary case study for other emerging economies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":72914,"journal":{"name":"Energy and climate change","volume":"6 ","pages":"Article 100216"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145323810","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-01Epub Date: 2025-07-17DOI: 10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100209
Ronald D. Sands , Liz Wachs , Patrick Lamers , Olivier Bahn , Robert H. Beach , Matthew Binsted , Geoffrey Blanford , Yongxia Cai , Francisco De La Chesnaye , James A. Edmonds , Leonard Göke , Chioke Harris , Christopher Hoehne , Gyungwon J. Kim , Page Kyle , Haewon McJeon , Robbie Orvis , Sharon Showalter , Aditya Sinha , Emma Starke , Frances Wood
The Energy Modeling Forum 37 study is organized around carbon dioxide (CO2) mitigation scenarios reaching net-zero CO2 emissions by 2050 in the United States. This paper summarizes the potential contribution of bioenergy use in the electric power, transportation, industrial, and buildings sectors toward meeting that target based on model results. Thirteen modeling teams reported bioenergy consumption in the Reference and Net Zero scenarios. Consumption of bioenergy increased over time in the Reference scenario, from an average across models of 3.2 exajoules (EJ) in 2020 to 3.8 EJ in 2050. Average bioenergy consumption in 2050 increased further to 7.3 EJ in the Net Zero scenario. All scenarios that reach net-zero emissions required some form of carbon dioxide removal to offset emissions that are difficult to reduce. Carbon dioxide removal using bioenergy with CO2 capture and storage (BECCS) varies widely across models, up to 1000 Mt CO2 in 2050. Some models rely instead on direct air carbon capture and storage (DACCS), up to 2200 Mt CO2, and others use a combination of BECCS and DACCS. Model results show a strong inverse relationship between the amounts of BECCS and DACCS deployed. All modeling teams assumed a carbon sink from land use, land use change, and forestry, further offsetting a portion of emissions from fossil fuels and industry that are expensive to eliminate. Bioenergy consumption in 2050 decreased by an average of 1.5 EJ across eight models in a Net Zero+ scenario relative to the Net Zero scenario, due in part to a lower equilibrium carbon price resulting from optimistic cost assumptions for all energy technologies.
能源建模论坛37的研究是围绕美国到2050年实现二氧化碳净零排放的二氧化碳（CO2）缓解方案组织的。本文根据模型结果总结了生物能源在电力、交通、工业和建筑领域的潜在贡献，以实现这一目标。13个建模团队报告了参考情景和净零情景下的生物能源消耗。在参考情景中，生物能源的消费量随着时间的推移而增加，从2020年的3.2 EJ （EJ）到2050年的3.8 EJ。在净零情景下，2050年的平均生物能源消费量进一步增加到7.3 EJ。所有达到净零排放的方案都需要某种形式的二氧化碳去除来抵消难以减少的排放。利用生物能源与二氧化碳捕获和储存（BECCS）去除二氧化碳的方法在不同的模型中差异很大，到2050年将达到1000亿吨二氧化碳。一些模型依赖直接空气碳捕获和储存（DACCS），高达22亿吨二氧化碳，而其他模型则使用BECCS和DACCS的组合。模型结果显示，部署的BECCS数量与DACCS数量之间存在很强的反比关系。所有的建模团队都假设碳汇来自土地利用、土地利用变化和林业，进一步抵消了化石燃料和工业排放的一部分，这些排放要消除是昂贵的。与净零情景相比，净零+情景下的8种模式2050年生物能源消耗平均减少1.5 EJ，部分原因是对所有能源技术的乐观成本假设导致平衡碳价格降低。
{"title":"Bioenergy pathways within United States net-zero CO2 emissions scenarios in the Energy Modeling Forum 37 study","authors":"Ronald D. Sands , Liz Wachs , Patrick Lamers , Olivier Bahn , Robert H. Beach , Matthew Binsted , Geoffrey Blanford , Yongxia Cai , Francisco De La Chesnaye , James A. Edmonds , Leonard Göke , Chioke Harris , Christopher Hoehne , Gyungwon J. Kim , Page Kyle , Haewon McJeon , Robbie Orvis , Sharon Showalter , Aditya Sinha , Emma Starke , Frances Wood","doi":"10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100209","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100209","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The Energy Modeling Forum 37 study is organized around carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) mitigation scenarios reaching net-zero CO<sub>2</sub> emissions by 2050 in the United States. This paper summarizes the potential contribution of bioenergy use in the electric power, transportation, industrial, and buildings sectors toward meeting that target based on model results. Thirteen modeling teams reported bioenergy consumption in the Reference and Net Zero scenarios. Consumption of bioenergy increased over time in the Reference scenario, from an average across models of 3.2 exajoules (EJ) in 2020 to 3.8 EJ in 2050. Average bioenergy consumption in 2050 increased further to 7.3 EJ in the Net Zero scenario. All scenarios that reach net-zero emissions required some form of carbon dioxide removal to offset emissions that are difficult to reduce. Carbon dioxide removal using bioenergy with CO<sub>2</sub> capture and storage (BECCS) varies widely across models, up to 1000 Mt CO<sub>2</sub> in 2050. Some models rely instead on direct air carbon capture and storage (DACCS), up to 2200 Mt CO<sub>2</sub>, and others use a combination of BECCS and DACCS. Model results show a strong inverse relationship between the amounts of BECCS and DACCS deployed. All modeling teams assumed a carbon sink from land use, land use change, and forestry, further offsetting a portion of emissions from fossil fuels and industry that are expensive to eliminate. Bioenergy consumption in 2050 decreased by an average of 1.5 EJ across eight models in a Net Zero+ scenario relative to the Net Zero scenario, due in part to a lower equilibrium carbon price resulting from optimistic cost assumptions for all energy technologies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":72914,"journal":{"name":"Energy and climate change","volume":"6 ","pages":"Article 100209"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144723071","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-01Epub Date: 2025-05-29DOI: 10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100198
Hamza Umer , Muhammad Salar Khan
Climate change represents one of the greatest challenges of our time and requires exceptional efforts to combat it. Along with traditional economic methods, behavioral economics, which integrates psychological insights into financial decision-making, offers powerful tools to encourage climate-friendly behaviors. However, there has been relatively less research on the nexus of behavioral economics and climate change, and much of it is concentrated in developed countries. This perspective highlights the disparity in research output between developed and developing nations, based on a bibliometric analysis of 31 Scopus-indexed publications from 2008 to 2022. Our study reveals a strong bias toward research produced in the developed countries (or Global North), particularly in the United States and Europe, while developing countries (Global South) remain underrepresented. Consequently, we call for a more inclusive research agenda that focuses on the unique socio-economic realities of developing countries and the need for culturally or contextually tailored behavioral interventions. By promoting collaborative research efforts and increasing funding for the Global South, we aim to bridge this gap and develop scalable, effective solutions for climate change adaptation and mitigation.
{"title":"Bridging the gap: Advancing behavioral economics and climate change research in developing countries","authors":"Hamza Umer , Muhammad Salar Khan","doi":"10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100198","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100198","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Climate change represents one of the greatest challenges of our time and requires exceptional efforts to combat it. Along with traditional economic methods, behavioral economics, which integrates psychological insights into financial decision-making, offers powerful tools to encourage climate-friendly behaviors. However, there has been relatively less research on the nexus of behavioral economics and climate change, and much of it is concentrated in developed countries. This perspective highlights the disparity in research output between developed and developing nations, based on a bibliometric analysis of 31 Scopus-indexed publications from 2008 to 2022. Our study reveals a strong bias toward research produced in the developed countries (or Global North), particularly in the United States and Europe, while developing countries (Global South) remain underrepresented. Consequently, we call for a more inclusive research agenda that focuses on the unique socio-economic realities of developing countries and the need for culturally or contextually tailored behavioral interventions. By promoting collaborative research efforts and increasing funding for the Global South, we aim to bridge this gap and develop scalable, effective solutions for climate change adaptation and mitigation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":72914,"journal":{"name":"Energy and climate change","volume":"6 ","pages":"Article 100198"},"PeriodicalIF":5.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144240169","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
In this study, we considered the case of decarbonizing Ukraine's electricity sector that has significant import dependence, high energy and carbon intensity, and an unprecedented destruction of electricity facilities due to ongoing war. Using a newly built UKRAINE-EXPANSE model, which covers 24 Ukrainian oblasts (regions) and five neighboring countries at high temporal and spatial resolution, we offered four cost-optimal scenarios for the national electricity sector in 2035. Considering the targets of the current National Energy and Climate Plan and the Updated Nationally Determined Contribution of Ukraine to the Paris Agreement, we analyzed the structure of the installed capacities, annual electricity generation, storage, transmission, and trade with neighboring countries and calculated sustainability impacts (greenhouse gas and air pollution emissions, employment, land use, and total system costs). We showed that in 2035, the undamaged total installed capacity (as of May 2024) should be increased by 2.7–3.2 times while supplying up to 16.3 % higher electricity demand compared to the pre-war period. Nuclear and gas power would still remain the primary electricity sources in 2035, supported by intensive growth in wind power, pumped hydropower storage, bioenergy and expansion of transmission grids. Implementing environmentally friendly scenarios with 30 % of renewable generation and/or no hard coal power would require only 5 to 13 % higher total system costs compared to the least cost scenario, which could be socially and politically acceptable.
{"title":"Decarbonizing Ukraine's electricity sector in 2035: Scenario analysis","authors":"Iryna Sotnyk , Jan-Philipp Sasse , Evelina Trutnevyte","doi":"10.1016/j.egycc.2024.100170","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.egycc.2024.100170","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In this study, we considered the case of decarbonizing Ukraine's electricity sector that has significant import dependence, high energy and carbon intensity, and an unprecedented destruction of electricity facilities due to ongoing war. Using a newly built UKRAINE-EXPANSE model, which covers 24 Ukrainian oblasts (regions) and five neighboring countries at high temporal and spatial resolution, we offered four cost-optimal scenarios for the national electricity sector in 2035. Considering the targets of the current National Energy and Climate Plan and the Updated Nationally Determined Contribution of Ukraine to the Paris Agreement, we analyzed the structure of the installed capacities, annual electricity generation, storage, transmission, and trade with neighboring countries and calculated sustainability impacts (greenhouse gas and air pollution emissions, employment, land use, and total system costs). We showed that in 2035, the undamaged total installed capacity (as of May 2024) should be increased by 2.7–3.2 times while supplying up to 16.3 % higher electricity demand compared to the pre-war period. Nuclear and gas power would still remain the primary electricity sources in 2035, supported by intensive growth in wind power, pumped hydropower storage, bioenergy and expansion of transmission grids. Implementing environmentally friendly scenarios with 30 % of renewable generation and/or no hard coal power would require only 5 to 13 % higher total system costs compared to the least cost scenario, which could be socially and politically acceptable.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":72914,"journal":{"name":"Energy and climate change","volume":"6 ","pages":"Article 100170"},"PeriodicalIF":5.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143137662","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
We examine the impact of oil price uncertainty on firm-specific climate change exposure, with a focus on the moderating role of managerial ownership. Using a comprehensive dataset generated from sophisticated textual analysis of conference earnings calls, we find that oil price uncertainty significantly increases overall climate change exposure, with managerial ownership playing a crucial moderating role. Firms with higher managerial ownership demonstrate reduced regulatory risks and enhanced new business opportunities in response to oil price volatility. Moreover, we explore how the effect of oil price uncertainty on climate change exposure evolves over time and find that the strength of this effect remains stable. These results highlight the importance of aligning managerial incentives with long-term sustainability goals to mitigate climate risks and capitalize on emerging opportunities.
{"title":"Climate change exposure, oil price uncertainty, and managerial ownership: Insights from textual analysis","authors":"Viput Ongsakul , Pornsit Jiraporn , Pandej Chintrakarn , Pattanaporn Chatjuthamard","doi":"10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100187","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100187","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We examine the impact of oil price uncertainty on firm-specific climate change exposure, with a focus on the moderating role of managerial ownership. Using a comprehensive dataset generated from sophisticated textual analysis of conference earnings calls, we find that oil price uncertainty significantly increases overall climate change exposure, with managerial ownership playing a crucial moderating role. Firms with higher managerial ownership demonstrate reduced regulatory risks and enhanced new business opportunities in response to oil price volatility. Moreover, we explore how the effect of oil price uncertainty on climate change exposure evolves over time and find that the strength of this effect remains stable. These results highlight the importance of aligning managerial incentives with long-term sustainability goals to mitigate climate risks and capitalize on emerging opportunities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":72914,"journal":{"name":"Energy and climate change","volume":"6 ","pages":"Article 100187"},"PeriodicalIF":5.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143859364","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-12-01Epub Date: 2025-06-23DOI: 10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100202
Primaldi Anugrah Utama , Markus A. Gielbert , Reviana Revitasari , Nadhilah Reyseliani , Widodo Wahyu Purwanto
Decarbonization efforts in industrial sectors remain primarily focused in developed countries. However, developing countries, such as Indonesia, face critical challenges in decarbonizing energy-intensive industries, which are essential to economic growth. Key challenges include uncertainties regarding low-carbon technology options and high investment requirements, which imply additional production costs. This study aims to assess potential decarbonization pathways for the industrial sector and their impact on production costs. A bottom-up optimization approach, using the TIMES model, was employed to determine optimal technology pathways by minimizing production costs while achieving the targeted CO2e emission intensity for each industry. The results indicate that an ambitious Net Zero Emission (NZE) scenario will reduce emissions from 466 MtCO2e to 56 MtCO2e by 2060. Energy efficiency contributes 8 %, new and renewable energy accounts for 37 %, and carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) plays a significant role, contributing 33 %. However, decarbonization efforts increase production costs in the cement, iron & steel, paper, and petrochemical industries by 138 %, 58 %, 2 %, and 90 %, respectively. This study provides valuable insights for policymakers to balance environmental sustainability with economic growth, facilitating a smooth transition to a low-carbon economy.
{"title":"Assessing decarbonization pathways for energy-intensive industries in Indonesia using TIMES optimization model","authors":"Primaldi Anugrah Utama , Markus A. Gielbert , Reviana Revitasari , Nadhilah Reyseliani , Widodo Wahyu Purwanto","doi":"10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100202","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.egycc.2025.100202","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Decarbonization efforts in industrial sectors remain primarily focused in developed countries. However, developing countries, such as Indonesia, face critical challenges in decarbonizing energy-intensive industries, which are essential to economic growth. Key challenges include uncertainties regarding low-carbon technology options and high investment requirements, which imply additional production costs. This study aims to assess potential decarbonization pathways for the industrial sector and their impact on production costs. A bottom-up optimization approach, using the TIMES model, was employed to determine optimal technology pathways by minimizing production costs while achieving the targeted CO<sub>2</sub>e emission intensity for each industry. The results indicate that an ambitious Net Zero Emission (NZE) scenario will reduce emissions from 466 MtCO<sub>2</sub>e to 56 MtCO<sub>2</sub>e by 2060. Energy efficiency contributes 8 %, new and renewable energy accounts for 37 %, and carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) plays a significant role, contributing 33 %. However, decarbonization efforts increase production costs in the cement, iron & steel, paper, and petrochemical industries by 138 %, 58 %, 2 %, and 90 %, respectively. This study provides valuable insights for policymakers to balance environmental sustainability with economic growth, facilitating a smooth transition to a low-carbon economy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":72914,"journal":{"name":"Energy and climate change","volume":"6 ","pages":"Article 100202"},"PeriodicalIF":5.8,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144518903","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
扫码关注我们
求助内容：
应助结果提醒方式：
京公网安备 11010802042870号