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Impact of Financial Liberalisation on the Financial Development of Eight Countries Member of SADC 金融自由化对南共体八个成员国金融发展的影响
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.4172/2375-4389.1000287
Sergio Clerc Marc
This study analyses how financial liberalisation affects the financial development in eight countries member of SADC for the year of 1980 to 2012. Financial liberalisation refers to the removal of the intervention a government imposes on key variables like interest rate. Therefore, it refers to the removal of various constraints in the financial sector. We will be examining the impact of some macroeconomic variables on the financial development of eight countries. We then will be using three measures for financial development which are bank credit to the private sector, bank deposits and stock market capitalization. Explanatory variables will be used to determine financial development and estimations are based on random-effect panel regressions. Random effect supposes that the difference across countries impact the level of financial development: for the banking development variable, inflation has a significant and negative impact on credit to private sectors and bank deposits. However, Portfolio investments and remittance have not impacted bank credit to private sector, bank deposit and stock market capitalization. Stock market capitalization appears not to be affected and do not improve by any other variable. Per-capita income has a positive impact on bank deposit, but a negatively impacted by stock market capitalization. The Trade variable is negatively correlated with credit to private sector. Net private investment has a positive impact on financial development through the banking deposits but negatively to the stock market capitalization.
本研究分析了1980年至2012年金融自由化如何影响南共体八个成员国的金融发展。金融自由化指的是政府取消对利率等关键变量的干预。因此,它指的是解除金融领域的各种约束。我们将研究一些宏观经济变量对八个国家金融发展的影响。然后,我们将使用三种金融发展措施,即对私营部门的银行信贷、银行存款和股票市场资本化。解释变量将用于确定金融发展和估计是基于随机效应面板回归。随机效应假设各国之间的差异影响金融发展水平:对于银行发展变量,通货膨胀对私营部门信贷和银行存款有显著的负向影响。但是,证券投资和汇款没有影响银行对私营部门的信贷、银行存款和股票市场资本化。股票市值似乎不受任何其他变量的影响,也不改善。人均收入对银行存款有正向影响,但对股票市值有负向影响。贸易变量与私营部门信贷负相关。净私人投资通过银行存款对金融发展产生正向影响,但对股票市场资本化产生负向影响。
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引用次数: 3
Italy and a Needed Public Investment Boost: The Demand and the Supply Side 意大利和必要的公共投资刺激:需求和供给侧
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.4172/2375-4389.1000310
P. Scandizzo, G. Tria
The controversial nature of public investment as a countercyclical demand stimulus has contributed to obscure the issue of its long term fall, with many governments feeling justified in making deeper cuts for public investment expenditure during both phases of the economic cycle, and many others favoring public-private partnerships and other forms of blended financing. In addition to the overall fall, an asset substitution process has progressively reduced the truly social part of public investment, which in developing and developed countries alike may be well below the mark of 1-2% of GDP. This negative trend is made more dramatic by the fact that virtually the only public investment with a reach beyond the single countries is of public- private nature and thus explicitly excludes multilateral assets of pure public good nature, such as intercountry infrastructure and multilateral social welfare programs. The situation is especially dramatic for Italy, where the fall of public investment has contributed to the decline of key components of the country human and social capital endowment. This article explores some of the most important dimensions of this phenomenon, concentrating on the supply rather than the demand side effects, and proposes a solution based on a conditioned expansion of European public investment, concentrated in highly productive assets such as education and infrastructure.
公共投资作为一种反周期需求刺激的有争议的性质,使其长期下降的问题变得模糊,许多政府认为在经济周期的两个阶段都有理由进一步削减公共投资支出,而其他许多政府则倾向于公私合作伙伴关系和其他形式的混合融资。除了整体下降之外,资产替代过程还逐渐减少了公共投资中真正的社会部分,这在发展中国家和发达国家都可能远远低于GDP的1-2%。这种负面趋势由于以下事实而变得更加戏剧化:实际上,唯一能超越单一国家的公共投资是公私合营性质的,因此明确排除了纯公共产品性质的多边资产,如跨国基础设施和多边社会福利计划。意大利的情况尤其严重,公共投资的下降导致该国人力和社会资本禀赋的关键组成部分下降。本文探讨了这一现象的一些最重要的方面,集中在供应而不是需求的副作用上,并提出了一个基于欧洲公共投资的有条件扩张的解决方案,集中在教育和基础设施等高生产率资产上。
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引用次数: 0
The Relation between Inflation and Unemployment in the Gambia: Analysis of the Philips Curve 冈比亚通货膨胀与失业的关系:飞利浦曲线的分析
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.4172/2375-4389.1000294
Pa Alieu Kasseh
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引用次数: 11
Analysis of Foreign Direct Investment Policy in India 印度外商直接投资政策分析
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.4172/2375-4389.1000314
M. Mansi
Start-ups play a crucial role for the world as they cultivate the innovation of new ideas by the younger generation. This paper focuses upon the scheme of startups that has been introduced for the first time amongst the consolidated Foreign Direct Investment policy that has been in effect from August 2017. The paper starts off by explaining the operation of FDI, Make in India and startups. The intent and objectives laid down by the policy makers are specified in order to compare as to till what extent they are achieved after enforcement of the policy. The relation of GDP and economic growth is explained along with the main and usual challenges that are faced in order to set a startup. In the later section of the paper, pros and cons of the policy are discussed, keeping focus upon how the policy lacks to impact one of the most influential sector of the nation, the agrarian field. In the last segment, the writer has tried to justify, explaining with a comparative model as to why India is not the most ideal place for implementation of such policies and how this ideality can be achieved.
创业公司对世界起着至关重要的作用,因为它们培养了年轻一代的新思想创新。本文重点介绍了自2017年8月起生效的综合外国直接投资政策中首次引入的初创企业计划。本文首先解释了外国直接投资、印度制造和创业公司的运作。政策制定者制定的意图和目标是明确的,以便比较在政策执行后它们在多大程度上实现了。GDP和经济增长的关系解释了主要的和通常的挑战,面临着为了设立一个创业公司。在本文的后面部分,讨论了该政策的利弊,重点是该政策如何缺乏对国家最具影响力的部门之一——农业领域的影响。在最后一部分,作者试图证明,用一个比较模型来解释为什么印度不是实施这些政策的最理想的地方,以及如何实现这种理想。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of the Performance of National Foreign Exchange Bank in Indonesia 印尼国家外汇银行绩效分析
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.4172/2375-4389.1000308
K. Fauzan, Adi Kuswanto
This research aims to compare the performance of the national foreign exchange bank in 2010-2014 based on the ratio of performance and compliance has been determined by Bank Indonesia. The data used in the research was obtained from annual reports published by the website of the national foreign exchange bank. Period of data using the annual reports National foreign exchange bank in the period December 2010-December 2014. After passing the purposive sample ̧ then a decent sample used as many as 22 National foreign exchange bank recorded in Bank Indonesia. The results of this research show that the national foreign exchange bank should get special attention from the research by Bank Indonesia is PT Bank Antardaerah, PT Bank Bumi Arta, PT Bank Ekonomi Raharja, PT Bank Ganesha, PT Bank Hana, PT Bank Himpunan Saudara 1906, PT Bank Bumiputra ICB, PT Bank ICBC Indonesia, PT Bank International Indonesia, PT Bank Maspion Indonesia, PT Bank Mega, PT Bank Mestika Dharma, PT Bank of India Indonesia, PT Bank Sinarmas, PT QNB Bank Kesawan. The ratio values are examined on the bank during the years 2010-2014 has a high rating from a rating assessment criteria and should get special attention by Bank Indonesia. Hypothesis testing in this research using MANOVA Test, the results show the value of 13 ratio in the past 5 years (20102014) shows a noticeable difference in the 22 National foreign exchange bank. Citation: Fauzan K, Kuswanto A (2018) Analysis of the Performance of National Foreign Exchange Bank in Indonesia. J Glob Econ 6: 308. doi: 10.4172/2375-4389.1000308
本研究旨在比较国家外汇银行2010-2014年的绩效,基于印尼银行确定的绩效与合规比率。研究中使用的数据来自国家外汇银行网站发布的年度报告。2010年12月至2014年12月期间数据采用年度报告。在通过目的样本后,一个体面的样本使用了多达22个国家外汇银行记录在印度尼西亚银行。本研究结果表明,印尼银行的研究应特别关注的国家外汇银行是PT bank Antardaerah、PT bank Bumi Arta、PT bank Ekonomi Raharja、PT bank Ganesha、PT bank Hana、PT bank Himpunan Saudara 1906、PT bank Bumiputra ICB、PT bank ICBC Indonesia、PT bank International Indonesia、PT bank Maspion Indonesia、PT bank Mega、PT bank Mestika Dharma、PT bank of India Indonesia、PT bank Sinarmas、PT QNB bank Kesawan。从评级评估标准来看,2010-2014年间对银行的比率值具有很高的评级,应该得到印度尼西亚银行的特别关注。本研究采用方差分析进行假设检验,结果显示13比值值在过去5年(2010 - 2014年)中在22家国家外汇银行中呈现显著差异。引用本文:Fauzan K, Kuswanto A(2018)印度尼西亚国家外汇银行绩效分析。[J]世界经济,6(6):393。doi: 10.4172 / 2375 - 4389.1000308
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of the Regression and Correlation of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Exports and Revenue (GDP) of Indonesia against Rupiah Exchange Rate (IDR - USD) 印尼国内生产总值(GDP)、出口和收入(GDP)对印尼盾汇率(IDR - USD)的回归及相关性分析
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.4172/2375-4389.1000320
D. Siregar, R. R. Alhempi
As explained in the Mundell-Fleming theory, which states that there is a negative influence between exchange rate and economic growth, where the higher the exchange rate, the lower net exports (the difference between exports and imports) will decrease the amount of output decreases and will cause GDP (Economic growth) to decline . This study uses multiple linear regression analysis to predict and predict the change of value of certain variables when other variables change. Correlation is one of the analytical techniques in statistics used to find the relationship between two or more variables that are quantitative. Then obtained multiple linear regression equation between Rupiah Currency Exchange Rate (Y), Export Value of Indonesia (X1) and Indonesia Gross Domestic Product at Current Market Price Based on Business as variable (X2), that is obtained by multiple linear regression equation is Y=-5050,90239+0,0095804 X1+0,0014006 X2 where Interpretation of correlation between the relationship of Currency Exchange IDR (Y), Export Value of Indonesia (X1) and Gross Domestic Product at Current Price Based on The field of business (X2) is 0.973 with a very strong interpretation that ranges from 0.75 to 0.99. Citation: Siregar DI, Alhempi RR (2018) Analysis of the Regression and Correlation of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Exports and Revenue (GDP) of Indonesia against Rupiah Exchange Rate (IDR USD). J Glob Econ 6: 320. doi: 10.4172/2375-4389.1000320
正如蒙代尔-弗莱明理论所解释的那样,汇率与经济增长之间存在负向影响,汇率越高,净出口(出口与进口之间的差额)越低,产出减少的数量就会减少,从而导致GDP(经济增长)下降。本研究采用多元线性回归分析来预测和预测某些变量的值在其他变量变化时的变化。相关性是统计学中的一种分析技术,用于发现两个或多个定量变量之间的关系。然后得到印尼盾货币汇率(Y)、印尼出口总值(X1)、以企业为变量的印尼现行市场价格国内生产总值(X2)之间的多元线性回归方程,即多元线性回归方程为Y=- 505090239 + 000095804 X1+ 000014006 X2,其中货币兑换印尼盾汇率(Y)、印度尼西亚出口值(X1)和基于业务领域的现行价格的国内生产总值(X2)为0.973,具有很强的解释范围为0.75至0.99。引用本文:Siregar DI, Alhempi RR(2018)印度尼西亚国内生产总值(GDP)出口和收入(GDP)对卢比汇率(IDR USD)的回归和相关性分析。[J]世界经济,6(6):391 - 391。doi: 10.4172 / 2375 - 4389.1000320
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引用次数: 3
A Study on Influence of Domestic Investment on the Economic Growth during 1980-2016 1980-2016年国内投资对经济增长的影响研究
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.4172/2375-4389.1000302
M. Saleem, Rummana Zaheer
Domestic investment performs a significant role to influence the economic growth in the society of Pakistan. The enhancement of economic development depends on domestic investment of the society. Labor force and investment show the productivity of an economy. Secondary data has been accumulated from the World Development Indicators (WDI) during of 1980 to 2016 to trace out the effect of the domestic investment on economic growth. The stationarity of data of domestic investment, exports, labor force, and economic growth are examined by applying Augment Dicky Fuller (ADF) test. Moreover, Johansen Co-integration test is used to determine the long-run association between domestic investment and economic growth. Error Correction Model (ECM) test was employed to scrutinize the short-run relationship between economic growth and domestic investment. The findings showed that exports positively influence on economic growth. Besides this, domestic investment and labor force negatively affect the economic growth. So, due to lack of skilled labor force and deficiency of proper investment, the share of the labor force and domestic investment have an insignificant impact on the economic growth in the society. Citation: Saleem M, Zaheer R (2018) A Study on Influence of Domestic Investment on the Economic Growth during 1980-2016. J Glob Econ 6: 302. doi: 10.4172/2375-4389.1000302
国内投资在影响巴基斯坦社会的经济增长方面发挥着重要作用。经济发展的加速依赖于社会的国内投资。劳动力和投资反映了一个经济体的生产力。从世界发展指标(WDI)中积累1980 - 2016年的二次数据,追踪国内投资对经济增长的影响。运用ADF检验检验了国内投资、出口、劳动力和经济增长数据的平稳性。此外,采用约翰森协整检验来确定国内投资与经济增长之间的长期相关性。采用误差修正模型(ECM)检验检验经济增长与国内投资的短期关系。结果表明,出口对经济增长有积极影响。此外,国内投资和劳动力对经济增长也有负面影响。因此,由于缺乏熟练劳动力和缺乏适当的投资,劳动力份额和国内投资对社会经济增长的影响不显著。引用本文:Saleem M, Zaheer R(2018) 1980-2016年国内投资对经济增长的影响研究。[J]世界经济,6(6):393。doi: 10.4172 / 2375 - 4389.1000302
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引用次数: 5
Economic Policies: Is it Effective to Achieve Sustainability? A SVAR Evidence from Algeria 经济政策:实现可持续发展是否有效?来自阿尔及利亚的SVAR证据
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.4172/2375-4389.1000307
H. Boulila, Seyf Eddine Benbekhti, Benbouziane Mohemed, Fethi Benladgham
Algeria has adopted many development plans to achieve economic, social and even environmental stability, from the Economic Recovery Program (2000-2004) to the new growth support program (2015-2019). In order to analyze and measure the impact of fiscal and monetary policy variables on three indicators of Sustainable Development under the conditions of globalization, an SVAR model has been used. The results of the structural impulse response and GRANGER causality have shown that economic policies in Algeria have an effective role in achieving economic and social development even with the absence of the impact of globalization and in turn have failed to achieve environmental development in the agricultural sector. However, Algerian authorities face a major challenge to achieve greater levels of development in a manner that includes all sectors and diversifies their economies to integrate into the international markets and benefit from the experiences of developed countries. Citation: Boulila H, Benbekhti SE, Mohemed B, Benladgham F (2018) Economic Policies: Is it Effective to Achieve Sustainability? A SVAR Evidence from Algeria. J Glob Econ 6: 307. doi: 10.4172/2375-4389.1000307
阿尔及利亚通过了许多发展计划,以实现经济、社会甚至环境稳定,从经济复苏计划(2000-2004年)到新的增长支持计划(2015-2019年)。为了分析和衡量全球化条件下财政和货币政策变量对可持续发展三个指标的影响,本文采用了SVAR模型。结构脉冲响应和GRANGER因果关系的结果表明,即使没有全球化的影响,阿尔及利亚的经济政策在实现经济和社会发展方面也发挥了有效作用,反过来又未能实现农业部门的环境发展。然而,阿尔及利亚当局面临着一项重大挑战,即以包括所有部门和使其经济多样化的方式实现更高水平的发展,以便融入国际市场并从发达国家的经验中受益。引用本文:Boulila H, Benbekhti SE, mohammed B, benladham F(2018)经济政策:实现可持续发展是否有效?来自阿尔及利亚的SVAR证据。[J]世界经济,6(6):393。doi: 10.4172 / 2375 - 4389.1000307
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引用次数: 1
Effects of the Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Nigeria: Error Correction Mechanism 尼日利亚外商直接投资决定因素的影响:误差修正机制
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.20448/JOURNAL.501.2018.52.155.164
Kolawole Ebire, O. L. Onmonya, V. Inim
To attract more Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows is the important institutional policies of the most of nations all over the world. Identifying the key determinants of FDI inflows is therefore seen as an important task for policy makers. This study, therefore, investigates the major determinants of FDI in Nigeria spanning from 1986 - 2017. The secondary source of data was used for the study which was first subjected to stationarity test using Augmented Dickey-Fuller and Phillips Perron test. Findings showed that all variables were found to be integrated order one. Cointegration analysis showed that there exists a long run relationship among the variables. Based on this findings, Error Correction Mechanism was used in testing the hypotheses. The result showed that exchange rate, GDP, first lag of GDP, military expenditure, first lag of military expenditure, political stability and financial development are the major determinants of FDI inflows to Nigeria. The empirical findings of this study show that government at all levels should tackle the menace of insecurity ravaging the economy and portraying the country as insecure thereby creating a secure environment for FDI inflows. Democratic regimes should be sustained and investment policies should be instituted or improved on, in order to create a friendly environment to attract more FDI inflows.
吸引更多的外国直接投资(FDI)流入是世界上大多数国家的重要制度政策。因此,确定外国直接投资流入的关键决定因素被视为决策者的一项重要任务。因此,本研究调查了1986年至2017年期间尼日利亚外国直接投资的主要决定因素。本研究采用二级数据来源,首先采用增强型Dickey-Fuller检验和Phillips Perron检验进行平稳性检验。结果表明,所有变量均为1阶积分。协整分析表明,各变量之间存在着长期的关系。基于这一发现,错误修正机制被用于检验假设。结果表明,汇率、GDP、GDP第一滞后、军费、军费第一滞后、政治稳定和金融发展是尼日利亚FDI流入的主要决定因素。本研究的实证结果表明,各级政府应解决破坏经济的不安全威胁,并将国家描绘成不安全的国家,从而为外国直接投资流入创造一个安全的环境。应该维持民主制度,制定或改进投资政策,以便创造一个友好的环境,吸引更多的外国直接投资流入。
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引用次数: 7
Contagion of Sovereign Debt Crises: The “Financial Crisis” Spill-Over from Greece to Cyprus in 2013. Empirical Evidence and Possible Conclusions 主权债务危机的蔓延:2013年从希腊蔓延到塞浦路斯的“金融危机”。经验证据和可能的结论
Pub Date : 2018-01-01 DOI: 10.4172/2375-4389.1000299
F. Fiedler
In 2013 the Greek financial crisis hit the small island of Cyprus hard when it spilled over from Greece, due to the strong economic, financial and intercultural interlink ages. Even though it is questionable, whether Cyprus has created its own distress or if mainly the International and European architecture of the financial markets is to be blamed, an unprecedented step has been introduced by the Troika, a bail-out bail-in requirement. Through conducting an extensive literature review this unprecedented tool in the European history is analyzed in theory and subsequently regarding the Cyprus relief. The findings suggest that both, generally and specifically regarding the Cypriot case, a bail-in has shown to be effective in reducing financing needs for the respective governments and creditors. Nevertheless, such a measure does not come without a price. Therefore, implications on deposit holders and citizens are regarded.
2013年,由于强大的经济、金融和跨文化联系,希腊金融危机从希腊蔓延到塞浦路斯,给这个小岛造成了沉重打击。是塞浦路斯造成了自己的困境,还是国际和欧洲金融市场的架构主要应受到指责,尽管这一点值得怀疑,但三驾马车已经采取了前所未有的措施,即纾困纾困要求。通过进行广泛的文献回顾,这一前所未有的工具在欧洲历史上进行了理论分析,随后关于塞浦路斯救济。研究结果表明,总体上和具体到塞浦路斯的情况,内部纾困已被证明在减少各自政府和债权人的融资需求方面是有效的。然而,这样的措施并非没有代价。因此,考虑到对存款持有人和公民的影响。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of global health economics and policy
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