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Populism and public attitudes toward international organizations: Voting, communication, and education 民粹主义与公众对国际组织的态度:投票、交流和教育
Pub Date : 2024-01-13 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09526-z
Osman Sabri Kiratli, Bernd Schlipphak

What effect does populism have on public attitudes toward International Organizations (IOs)? In this article, we differentiate for the first time between populist communication – understood as IO criticism in line with populist core ideas – and populist voting as political behavior among citizens. We argue, first, that populist voters – that is, citizens voting for a populist party – are more critical of IOs. Second, IO-critical communication based on the democratic deficit of global governance and the loss of national sovereignty that populist parties often adopt have a substantially damaging impact on public IO attitudes. Third, we propose that the negative effect of IO-critical communication should be stronger among populist voters, and, fourth, considerably vary among groups of different educational levels. To test our theoretical expectations, we first turn to World Values Survey data (7th wave) and demonstrate that populist voters are significantly more skeptical of IOs than non-populist voters, while the effect of populist voting is strongest for more educated citizens. Second, we use a preregistered survey experiment to explore the effect of IO-critical communication on IO favorability and determine if populist voting and educational levels moderate these communication effects. Our findings reveal that IO-critical communication substantially decreases confidence in IOs. Populist and non-populist voters do not differ in their susceptibility, yet IO-critical communication exerts its greatest effects among the higher educated.

民粹主义对公众对国际组织(IOs)的态度有何影响?在本文中,我们首次区分了民粹主义传播(可理解为符合民粹主义核心理念的国际组织批评)和作为公民政治行为的民粹主义投票。我们认为,首先,民粹主义选民(即投票支持民粹主义政党的公民)对国际组织更具批判性。其次,民粹主义政党经常采用的基于全球治理的民主赤字和国家主权丧失的国际组织批判性传播方式对公众的国际组织态度产生了实质性的破坏性影响。第三,我们提出,国际组织批判性传播的负面影响在民粹主义选民中应该更强;第四,在不同教育水平的群体中存在很大差异。为了验证我们的理论预期,我们首先利用世界价值观调查(第七波)的数据,证明民粹主义选民对国际组织的怀疑程度明显高于非民粹主义选民,而民粹主义投票对受教育程度较高的公民的影响最大。其次,我们利用预先登记的调查实验来探讨国际组织批判性传播对国际组织好感度的影响,并确定民粹主义投票和教育水平是否会缓和这些传播效果。我们的研究结果表明,对国际组织进行批评式传播会大大降低人们对国际组织的信心。民粹主义投票者和非民粹主义投票者在易受影响程度上没有差异,但IO批判性传播对受教育程度较高者的影响最大。
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引用次数: 0
Kseniya Oksamytna. 2023. Advocacy and Change in International Organizations: Communication, Protection, and Reconstruction in UN Peacekeeping. (Oxford: Oxford University Press) 克谢尼娅-奥克萨米特娜2023.Advocacy and Change in International Organizations:联合国维和行动中的沟通、保护与重建》。(牛津:牛津大学出版社)。
Pub Date : 2024-01-12 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09523-2
Ben Christian
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引用次数: 0
Ideological cleavages beyond the nation-state: The emergence of transnational political groups in international parliaments 超越民族国家的意识形态分裂:国际议会中跨国政治团体的出现
Pub Date : 2024-01-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09522-3
Siyana Gurova

Territorial divisions are commonly believed to dominate the international realm, supposedly leaving no room for ideological distinctions to take shape. However, the formation of over fifty transnational political groups (TPGs) across thirteen international parliaments challenges this assumption, calling into question the previously accepted insignificance of ideology beyond the boundaries of the nation-state. Previously unexplored in comparative perspective, this paper investigates TPGs’ puzzling existence and delineates the conditions for their emergence within international parliaments. The theoretical argument is that homogeneity across the member states of the international parliament along three dimensions – political systems, economic development levels and geographical proximity – fosters the creation of transnational political groups. Results from regression analysis on time series cross-sectional data lend support to the theory. With the rise of international parliamentary institutions and their increased involvement in supranational decision-making over time, it becomes highly important to understand how they organize as well as the implications of their institutional designs.

人们普遍认为,领土划分主导着国际领域,意识形态的区分理应无从谈起。然而,在十三个国际议会中形成的五十多个跨国政治团体(TPGs)挑战了这一假设,使人们对以往公认的意识形态在民族国家边界之外的无足轻重性提出了质疑。本文以前从未从比较的角度对 TPGs 进行过探讨,它研究了 TPGs 令人费解的存在,并勾勒出它们在国际议会中出现的条件。本文的理论论点是,国际议会成员国在政治制度、经济发展水平和地理邻近性三个维度上的同质性促进了跨国政治集团的产生。对时间序列横截面数据的回归分析结果为这一理论提供了支持。随着时间的推移,国际议会机构的崛起及其在超国家决策中的参与度不断提高,了解它们的组织方式及其制度设计的影响变得非常重要。
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引用次数: 0
Influence and support for foreign aid: Evidence from the United States and China 对外援助的影响和支持:来自美国和中国的证据
Pub Date : 2023-12-22 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09520-5
Austin Strange
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引用次数: 0
Do corporate regulations deter or stimulate investment? The effect of the OECD anti-bribery convention on FDI 公司法规是阻碍还是刺激投资?经合组织反贿赂公约对外国直接投资的影响
Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09519-y
Lorenzo Crippa

Countries prohibit firms’ transnational financial crime by coordinating their regulations under international organizations (IOs). Under these IOs, states threaten to prosecute firms’ foreign misconduct at home. Such threats can help conscript companies to diffuse sustainable business models abroad. This paper studies the effect of corporate criminal regulations on firms’ foreign direct investment (FDI). Critics of these policies claim they push firms’ investment away from host economies where financial crime is more likely to happen. Yet, regulations should also cut informal costs of crime and favor investment. I reconcile these opposed expectations and show they are special cases of the same argument. I claim that the effect of multilateral anti-bribery policies on FDI depends on the level of corruption of the host economy. It is null in non-corrupt countries. It is positive where corruption is moderate: here, laws provide legal leverage to refuse paying bribes and cut corruption costs. The effect is negative where corruption is endemic: here, anti-bribery laws expose firms to additional regulatory costs. I support the argument with multiple evidence. Company-level data on investment by 3871 firms between 2006 and 2011 show that regulated corporations have a (27%) higher probability of investing in moderately corrupt economies than unregulated firms, which plummets to (-52%) in extremely corrupt countries. A synthetic counterfactual design using country-dyadic FDI flows corroborates this finding. Results show that regulatory policies harmonized by IOs change international competition for FDI in ways that do not necessarily harm regulated firms.

各国通过在国际组织(IOs)下协调其法规来禁止公司的跨国金融犯罪。根据这些国际组织,各国威胁要在国内起诉企业在国外的不当行为。这种威胁有助于迫使企业在国外推广可持续的商业模式。本文研究企业刑事法规对企业对外直接投资(FDI)的影响。这些政策的批评者声称,它们将企业的投资从更有可能发生金融犯罪的东道国经济中推开。然而,监管也应降低犯罪的非正式成本,有利于投资。我调和了这些相反的预期,并证明它们是同一论点的特例。我声称,多边反贿赂政策对外国直接投资的影响取决于东道国经济的腐败程度。在不腐败的国家,这种影响是无效的。在腐败程度适中的国家,这种影响是积极的:在这种情况下,法律提供了拒绝行贿和降低腐败成本的法律杠杆。在腐败盛行的国家,反贿赂法的影响是负面的:反贿赂法使企业面临额外的监管成本。我用多种证据支持这一论点。2006年至2011年间3871家公司的公司层面投资数据显示,与不受监管的公司相比,受监管的公司在中度腐败经济体的投资概率更高,而在极端腐败的国家,这一概率则骤降至(-52%)。利用国家十年期外国直接投资流量进行的合成反事实设计证实了这一结论。结果表明,国际组织协调的监管政策以不一定损害受监管企业的方式改变了外国直接投资的国际竞争。
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引用次数: 0
Lisa Dellmuth and Jonas Tallberg. 2023. Legitimacy Politics: Elite Communication and Public Opinion in Global Governance. (New York: Cambridge University Press) Lisa Dellmuth 和 Jonas Tallberg。2023.Legitimacy Politics:Elite Communication and Public Opinion in Global Governance.(纽约:剑桥大学出版社)。
Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09521-4
Tana Johnson, Tatiana Cruz
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引用次数: 0
Governments as borrowers and regulators 政府既是借款人又是监管者
Pub Date : 2023-11-28 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09516-1
Timm Betz, Amy Pond

The ability to borrow is important for government survival. Governments routinely resort to policies that privilege their own debt on financial markets, exploiting their dual role as borrowers and regulators. We label such policies as borrowing privileges. These borrowing privileges nudge investors to hold the government’s own debt. They share similarities with prudential regulation, but skew the market in favor of the government’s debt; and they share similarities with financial repression, but are less severe and thus consistent with the growth of financial markets. Introducing the first systematic dataset documenting the use of such policies across countries and over time, we demonstrate that governments implement borrowing privileges when their interactions with the global economy heighten fiscal needs: when borrowing costs indicate tightened access to credit, when trade liberalization undercuts revenue, and where fixed exchange rates increase the value of fiscal space. Despite the mobility of financial assets and constraints from global markets, governments retain latitude in regulating domestic markets to their own fiscal benefit.

借贷能力对政府的生存至关重要。政府通常会采取政策,让自己的债务在金融市场上获得特权,利用自己作为借款人和监管者的双重角色。我们把这种政策称为借款特权。这些借款特权促使投资者持有政府债券。它们与审慎监管有相似之处,但使市场偏向政府债务;它们与金融抑制有相似之处,但不那么严重,因此与金融市场的增长一致。通过引入第一个记录各国和各时期此类政策使用情况的系统数据集,我们证明,当政府与全球经济的互动加剧财政需求时,当借贷成本表明信贷渠道收紧时,当贸易自由化削弱收入时,以及当固定汇率增加财政空间价值时,政府会实施借贷特权。尽管金融资产具有流动性,并受到全球市场的制约,但各国政府仍保留着为自身财政利益而监管国内市场的自由度。
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引用次数: 1
Building bridges or digging the trench? International organizations, social media, and polarized fragmentation 建桥还是挖沟?国际组织、社交媒体和两极分化
Pub Date : 2023-11-27 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09517-0
Matthias Ecker-Ehrhardt

Communication departments of international organizations (IOs) are important intermediaries of global governance who increasingly use social media to reach out to citizens directly. Social media pose new challenges for IO communication such as a highly competitive economy of attention and the fragmentation of the audiences driven by networked curation of content and selective exposure. In this context, communication departments have to make tough choices about what to communicate and how, aggravating inherent tensions between IO communication as comprehensive public information (aimed at institutional transparency)—and partisan political advocacy (aimed at normative change). If IO communication focuses on advocacy it might garner substantial resonance on social media. Such advocacy nevertheless fails to the extent that it fosters the polarized fragmentation of networked communication and undermines the credibility of IO communication as a source of trustworthy information across polarized “echo chambers.” The paper illustrates this argument through a content and social network analysis of Twitter communication on the Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration (GCM). Remarkably, instead of facilitating cross-cluster communication (“building bridges”) Twitter handles run by the United Nations Department of Global Communications (UNDGC) seem to have substantially fostered ideological fragmentation (“digging the trench”) by their way of partisan retweeting, mentioning, and (hash)tagging.

国际组织传播部门是全球治理的重要中介,越来越多地利用社交媒体直接接触公民。社交媒体给IO传播带来了新的挑战,例如高度竞争的注意力经济,以及由网络内容管理和选择性曝光驱动的受众碎片化。在这种情况下,传播部门必须就传播什么和如何传播做出艰难的选择,这加剧了作为全面公共信息(旨在提高制度透明度)和党派政治倡导(旨在改变规范)的IO传播之间的内在紧张关系。如果IO的传播侧重于宣传,它可能会在社交媒体上获得巨大的共鸣。然而,这种主张在一定程度上是失败的,因为它助长了网络通信的两极分化,破坏了IO通信作为跨两极分化的“回音室”可靠信息来源的可信度。本文通过对Twitter关于《安全、有序和正常移民全球契约》(GCM)传播的内容和社会网络分析来说明这一论点。值得注意的是,由联合国全球传播部(UNDGC)运营的Twitter账号并没有促进跨集群通信(“搭建桥梁”),反而通过党派转发、提及和(散列)标签的方式,在实质上助长了意识形态的分裂(“挖沟”)。
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引用次数: 0
How backsliding governments keep the European Union hospitable for autocracy: Evidence from intergovernmental negotiations 倒退的政府如何让欧盟对独裁保持友好:来自政府间谈判的证据
Pub Date : 2023-11-13 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09518-z
Thomas Winzen

The European Union (EU) is a democratic organization but faces severe cases of democratic backsliding. The literature deems the EU a hospitable environment for and reluctant to reign in backsliding. This study focuses on the tactics that backsliding governments employ to preserve this hospitable environment and the conditions under which they succeed. I argue that backsliding governments seek to repurpose the practice of accommodation that permeates EU decision-making for the protection of their backsliding projects. Doing so promises backsliders an escape from their precarious bargaining position in a democratic organization but comes with constraints. Backsliders must limit opposition carefully to a subset of EU competences, backsliding-inhibiting competences, that threaten their backsliding projects the most. Moreover, they can only rely on accommodation in the Council if the democratic member states perceive opposition as justified and remain insulated from political accountability by Europe’s parliaments. I present evidence based on quantitative and qualitative analyses of bargaining positions, processes, and outcomes in EU decision-making. The results have implications for understanding the EU’s autocratic predicament, the opportunities of backsliding governments, and the role of autocracies in regional and international organizations.

欧盟(EU)是一个民主组织,但面临着严重的民主倒退。文献认为欧盟是一个好客的环境,不愿意统治倒退。这项研究的重点是,倒退的政府采用的策略,以保持这种好客的环境和他们成功的条件。我认为,倒退的政府寻求重新利用渗透在欧盟决策中的迁就做法,以保护其倒退的项目。这样做可以让退步者摆脱他们在民主组织中不稳定的谈判地位,但也有限制。倒退者必须谨慎地将反对限制在欧盟能力的一部分,即抑制倒退的能力,这对他们的倒退项目构成了最大的威胁。此外,如果民主成员国认为反对是合理的,并且不受欧洲议会的政治问责,它们只能依赖于理事会的迁就。我提出了基于定量和定性分析讨价还价的立场,过程和结果在欧盟决策的证据。研究结果对理解欧盟的专制困境、政府倒退的机会以及专制在地区和国际组织中的作用具有启示意义。
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引用次数: 0
Ronny Patz and Klaus H. Goetz. 2019. Managing Money and Discord in the UN: Budgeting and Bureaucracy (Oxford: Oxford University Press) 罗尼·帕兹和克劳斯·h·格茨,2019。《联合国的资金管理与纷争:预算与官僚主义》(牛津:牛津大学出版社)
Pub Date : 2023-11-09 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09514-3
Sebastian Haug
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引用次数: 0
期刊
The review of international organizations
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