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Christina L. Davis. 2023. Discriminatory Clubs: The Geopolitics of International Organizations. (Princeton: Princeton University Press) 克里斯蒂娜·l·戴维斯,2023。歧视性俱乐部:国际组织的地缘政治。(普林斯顿:普林斯顿大学出版社)
Pub Date : 2023-11-08 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09515-2
Randall W. Stone
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引用次数: 0
Trojan horses in liberal international organizations? How democratic backsliders undermine the UNHRC 自由派国际组织中的特洛伊木马?民主倒退者如何破坏联合国人权委员会
Pub Date : 2023-11-07 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09511-6
Anna M. Meyerrose, Irfan Nooruddin

Liberal democracy is facing renewed challenges from a growing group of states undergoing democratic backsliding. While entrenched autocrats have long resented and contested the established liberal order, we know far less about how newer backsliding states behave on the international stage. We argue these states, who joined prominent western liberal institutions prior to their backsliding, will use their established membership in these organizations both to protect themselves from future scrutiny regarding adherence to liberal democratic values and to oppose the prevailing western liberal norms that increasingly conflict with their evolving interests. Using voting data from the UN Human Rights Council (UNHRC) from 2006-2021, we show that backsliding states are more likely to vote against targeted resolutions that name and shame specific countries. We supplement this analysis with detailed data from the Universal Periodic Review (UPR) and combine regression analysis and a structural topic model (STM) to show that backsliding states are more critical in their UPR reports when evaluating advanced western democracies, and more likely to emphasize issues that align with their own interests while de-emphasizing ones that might threaten government power and control over citizens.

自由民主正面临着来自越来越多的民主倒退国家的新挑战。尽管根深蒂固的独裁者长期以来一直对既定的自由秩序感到不满和质疑,但我们对新的倒退国家在国际舞台上的行为知之甚少。我们认为,这些国家在倒退之前加入了著名的西方自由主义机构,他们将利用自己在这些组织中的既定成员身份,既保护自己免受未来对自由民主价值观遵守情况的审查,又反对与他们不断发展的利益日益冲突的主流西方自由主义规范。利用联合国人权理事会2006-2021年的投票数据,我们发现,倒退的国家更有可能投票反对点名羞辱特定国家的有针对性的决议。我们用普遍定期审议(UPR)的详细数据补充了这一分析,并将回归分析和结构主题模型(STM)相结合,表明在评估先进的西方民主国家时,倒退的国家在其普遍定期审议报告中更为关键,更有可能强调符合自身利益的问题,而不强调可能威胁政府权力和对公民控制的问题。
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引用次数: 0
Empowering your victims: Why repressive regimes allow individual petitions in international organizations 赋予受害者权力:为什么专制政权允许国际组织中的个人请愿
Pub Date : 2023-11-06 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09512-5
Rachel J. Schoner

The growing literature explaining why repressive regimes ratify human rights treaties fails to explain why some regimes take the additional step to delegate authority to their people to file international legal complaints while others do not. I examine individual petition mechanisms in the United Nations which allow individuals to file complaints to an overseeing treaty body. I argue that repressive regimes face international incentives to signal their commitment to the European Union, a global power with a strong and continued interest in the global human rights regime. Repressive regimes, however, only ratify agreements when they perceive low domestic costs with little institutional constraints on the executive. In support of my theory, I find that repressive regimes are more likely to ratify the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights’ Optional Protocol allowing individual petitions when they are trade dependent on the EU while facing lesser institutional constraints, both legislative and judicial. The results are similar to explaining treaty ratification, but the interaction is substantively larger for OP ratification among repressive countries, highlighting the increased costs repressive leaders face to allowing individual petitions. Individual standing in the overseeing body of the ICCPR is one example of non-state actor access in international institutions, which is an important component of understanding institutional design and compliance.

越来越多的文献解释了专制政权为什么批准人权条约,但却未能解释为什么一些政权采取了额外的步骤,将提交国际法律申诉的权力下放给人民,而另一些政权则没有。我审查了联合国允许个人向监督条约机构提出申诉的个人请愿机制。我认为,专制政权面临着国际激励,以表明他们对欧盟的承诺,欧盟是一个对全球人权制度有着强烈和持续兴趣的全球大国。然而,专制政权只有在认为国内成本低、对行政部门几乎没有制度约束的情况下才会批准协议。为了支持我的理论,我发现镇压政权更有可能批准《公民权利和政治权利国际公约任择议定书》,当他们在贸易上依赖欧盟,同时面临较少的立法和司法制度限制时,允许个人请愿。结果与解释批准条约类似,但镇压国家之间批准《行动纲领》的互动要大得多,这突出了镇压领导人在允许个人请愿方面面临的成本增加。个人在《公民权利和政治权利国际公约》监督机构中的地位是非国家行为者进入国际机构的一个例子,这是理解制度设计和遵守情况的重要组成部分。
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引用次数: 0
Sharing rivals, sending weapons: Rivalry and cooperation in the international arms trade, 1920–1939 分享对手,发送武器:国际武器贸易中的竞争与合作,1920-1939
Pub Date : 2023-10-17 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09501-8
Marius Mehrl, Daniel Seussler, Paul W. Thurner

States must navigate the structure of the international system in their relations with other states. One crucial component of this structure are rivalries as they indicate latent threat to states. Rivalries should thus influence how states behave within the given system, but also how they seek to shape and restructure it. Focusing on arms transfers, we clarify how the systemic structure implied by rivalries drives states’ efforts to engage in security cooperation with other states. Intuitively, a rivalry with another country should diminish an exporter’s propensity to transfer weapons there. But what is more, we argue that rivalries outside of this focal dyad matter as a potential importer’s enmity towards other countries will reveal information about its security interests to the exporter. Specifically, sharing rivalries with the same set of countries will signal to the exporter that there is a congruence in security interests and thus facilitate security cooperation. This security cooperation should take the form of arms transfers, at least if exporters value buck-passing and fear entrapment. We test our expectations using original data on Major Conventional Weapons transfers in the Interwar years, a period where this condition likely holds, and inferential network analysis models. Sharing rivals increases two countries’ probability to trade arms whereas a rivalry between countries exhibits no effect. This research contributes to our understanding of security cooperation, the arms trade, and networked international relations.

各国在与其他国家的关系中必须驾驭国际体系的结构。这种结构的一个关键组成部分是竞争,因为它们表明对国家的潜在威胁。因此,竞争不仅会影响各国在既定体系内的行为,还会影响它们寻求塑造和重组体系的方式。我们以武器转让为重点,阐明了竞争所隐含的系统结构如何推动国家与其他国家开展安全合作。直觉上,与另一个国家的竞争应该会减少出口国向该国转移武器的倾向。但更重要的是,我们认为,在这个焦点问题之外的竞争,作为一个潜在的进口国对其他国家的敌意,将向出口国泄露有关其安全利益的信息。具体而言,与同一组国家共同竞争将向出口国发出安全利益一致的信号,从而促进安全合作。这种安全合作应该采取武器转让的形式,至少如果出口商重视推卸责任和担心落入圈套的话。我们使用两次世界大战期间主要常规武器转让的原始数据和推理网络分析模型来测试我们的期望,这一时期可能存在这种情况。共享对手增加了两国进行武器贸易的可能性,而国与国之间的竞争则没有效果。这项研究有助于我们对安全合作、武器贸易和网络化国际关系的理解。
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引用次数: 0
A paradox of openness: Democracies, financial integration & crisis 开放的悖论:民主、金融一体化与危机
Pub Date : 2023-10-17 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09502-7
Devin Case-Ruchala

Why do democracies experience financial crises more often than non-democracies? Revisiting the 2008 Great Financial Crisis (GFC) as a significant and informative test case, I argue that considering the way domestic institutions inhere in system-level structures is important to explaining crisis susceptibility among democracies since the turn of the twenty-first century. I introduce the mechanism of co-regime financial connections in showing that regime type is an important systematic feature of global financial flows. Employing a latent space network regression model using IMF Coordinated Portfolio Investment Survey (CPIS), I find that the network of cross-border portfolio asset investments is systematically patterned by co-democracy pairs. I then show that this regime-patterned interdependence affects increased financial crisis susceptibility among democracies. My findings build on literature highlighting the interdependence between domestic- and system-level factors and inform an empirical puzzle regarding the prevalence of financial crises among democracies.

为什么民主国家比非民主国家更容易经历金融危机?回顾2008年金融大危机(GFC)作为一个重要且信息丰富的测试案例,我认为考虑系统级结构中固有的国内制度方式对于解释21世纪之交以来民主国家的危机敏感性非常重要。我介绍了共同制度金融联系的机制,表明制度类型是全球金融流动的一个重要系统特征。利用国际货币基金组织协调组合投资调查(CPIS)的潜在空间网络回归模型,我发现跨境组合资产投资网络是由共同民主对系统地模式化的。然后,我表明,这种以政权为模式的相互依存关系会增加民主国家对金融危机的敏感性。我的发现建立在强调国内和制度层面因素之间相互依赖的文献基础上,并揭示了一个关于民主国家金融危机普遍存在的实证难题。
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引用次数: 0
Why hide? Africa’s unreported debt to China 为什么隐藏?非洲欠中国的未报告债务
Pub Date : 2023-10-16 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09513-4
Kathleen J. Brown
Abstract Hidden debt is endemic throughout the sovereign credit market and poses a serious threat to global financial stability. Yet, little is known about why governments conceal their liabilities from creditors. I argue that governments intentionally hide debts from international financial institutions (IFIs) to maximize their ability to borrow while avoiding punishment for rising debt burdens. IFIs frequently penalize governments in low-income countries for borrowing beyond their means. By hiding some debt, governments are able to continue borrowing without being disciplined. I test this using recently released data that reveals half of the Chinese loans in Sub-Saharan Africa are missing from sovereign debt records. I find that borrower governments hide loans to avoid violating World Bank debt sustainability thresholds. However, governments hide less debt while under IMF scrutiny so as to reduce the risk that they will be discovered and punished. These findings offer evidence that borrower governments use hidden debt as a strategic tool to pursue fiscal goals. Further, this work reveals the unintended consequences of IFI intervention in less-developed countries, as efforts to ensure fiscal stability increase governments’ incentives to hide debt.
隐性债务是主权信用市场普遍存在的问题,对全球金融稳定构成严重威胁。然而,人们对政府为何向债权人隐瞒债务知之甚少。我认为,政府故意向国际金融机构(IFIs)隐藏债务,以最大限度地提高其借款能力,同时避免因债务负担增加而受到惩罚。国际金融机构经常惩罚低收入国家的政府,因为它们的借款超出了它们的能力。通过隐藏一些债务,政府可以在不受约束的情况下继续借款。我用最近公布的数据验证了这一点,数据显示,中国在撒哈拉以南非洲的贷款有一半没有出现在主权债务记录中。我发现借款国政府隐藏贷款,以避免违反世界银行的债务可持续性门槛。然而,各国政府在接受国际货币基金组织审查时隐瞒的债务较少,以降低被发现和惩罚的风险。这些发现为借款国政府将隐性债务作为实现财政目标的战略工具提供了证据。此外,这项工作揭示了国际金融机构干预欠发达国家的意想不到的后果,因为确保财政稳定的努力增加了政府隐藏债务的动机。
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引用次数: 1
Migration and development finance: A survey experiment on diaspora bonds 移民与发展金融:散居侨民债券的调查实验
Pub Date : 2023-10-06 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09505-4
Lindsay R. Dolan, Alexandra O. Zeitz
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引用次数: 0
Soft governance against superbugs: How effective is the international regime on antimicrobial resistance? 针对超级细菌的软治理:抗微生物药物耐药性的国际机制有多有效?
Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09510-7
Mirko Heinzel, Mathias Koenig-Archibugi

Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) and the declining effectiveness of antibiotic medicines due to misuse are among the biggest threats to global health and a major challenge for global governance in this century. Since drug-resistant bacteria spread easily across borders, government policies that exacerbate or mitigate AMR affect other countries. International organizations and governments addressed the global public good of maintaining antimicrobial protection by creating a soft governance regime largely devoid of legally binding rules and enforcement mechanisms. This article presents a cross-national empirical assessment of the effectiveness of the international AMR regime combining novel data on national action plans and data on antibiotic consumption in 191 countries between 2000 and 2018. We find that the regime sets ambitious goals and achieves broad participation, substantial implementation, and meaningful change in the use of antibiotics. The involvement of the largest consumers of antibiotics has been crucial for both effectiveness and equity.

抗菌素耐药性和抗生素药物因滥用而导致的有效性下降是全球健康面临的最大威胁之一,也是本世纪全球治理面临的重大挑战。由于耐药细菌很容易跨越国界传播,因此加剧或减轻抗生素耐药性的政府政策会影响到其他国家。国际组织和各国政府通过建立一种基本上缺乏具有法律约束力的规则和执行机制的软治理制度,解决了维持抗微生物药物保护的全球公益问题。本文结合2000年至2018年191个国家国家行动计划的新数据和抗生素消费数据,对国际抗微生物药物耐药性制度的有效性进行了跨国实证评估。我们发现,该制度设定了雄心勃勃的目标,并在抗生素使用方面实现了广泛参与、实质性实施和有意义的变化。抗生素最大消费者的参与对有效性和公平性都至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Building strong executives and weak institutions: How European integration contributes to democratic backsliding 建立强有力的管理者和薄弱的机构:欧洲一体化如何导致民主倒退
Pub Date : 2023-09-27 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09507-2
Anna M. Meyerrose

Although the European Union (EU) is considered unrivaled in its democracy promoting abilities, democracy is being challenged within its borders. Over the last decade, Hungary’s ruling party has debilitated or eliminated liberal democratic institutions; similar trends have emerged in Poland and other new democracies in the EU. What explains these surprising cases of democratic backsliding? Researchers have identified the limits of conditionality and the EU’s inability to counteract backsliding. However, given the EU’s extensive role in democracy building in its member states, it is critical to also consider the EU as an initial source of backsliding. This paper argues that the EU’s post-Maastricht policy structure, accession process, and membership requirements have made democratic backsliding more likely in new democracies by simultaneously increasing executive power and limiting states’ domestic policy space, which stunts institutional development. This combination of factors creates opportunities for executives to manipulate already weak institutions to increase their power, and democratic backsliding becomes more likely. A comparative analysis that combines typical and control cases provides support for this argument. These findings extend beyond the EU to contribute to emerging research on the limits of international democracy promotion and the related long-term effects that international organizations have on domestic democratic institutional development.

虽然欧洲联盟(EU)在促进民主的能力方面被认为是无与伦比的,但在其境内,民主正在受到挑战。过去10年,匈牙利执政党削弱或消除了自由民主制度;波兰和欧盟其他新兴民主国家也出现了类似的趋势。如何解释这些令人惊讶的民主倒退案例?研究人员已经发现了条件限制的局限性,以及欧盟在应对倒退方面的无能。然而,鉴于欧盟在其成员国民主建设中的广泛作用,将欧盟视为倒退的最初根源也是至关重要的。本文认为,欧盟后马斯特里赫特条约的政策结构、加入过程和成员资格要求,在增加行政权力和限制国家国内政策空间的同时,阻碍了制度发展,使民主倒退更有可能在新兴民主国家发生。这些因素的结合为高管们操纵本已薄弱的机构来增加他们的权力创造了机会,民主倒退变得更有可能。结合典型案例和对照案例的比较分析为这一论点提供了支持。这些发现延伸到欧盟之外,有助于对国际民主促进的局限性以及国际组织对国内民主制度发展的相关长期影响的新兴研究。
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引用次数: 5
Cooperation between international organizations: Demand, supply, and restraint 国际组织之间的合作:需求、供应和限制
Pub Date : 2023-09-22 DOI: 10.1007/s11558-023-09506-3
Diana Panke, Sören Stapel

Regime complexity characterizes the international system, as many international organizations (IOs) overlap in membership and competencies at the same time. Unmanaged overlaps endanger the effectiveness of IOs. Inter-organizational cooperation can mitigate such negative consequences. However, a novel dataset reveals that not all overlapping IOs cooperate with each other and the institutionalization of cooperation agreements varies. Why do some but not all overlapping IOs opt for cooperation agreements, and why do their designs vary? The analysis of a demand–supply–restraint model shows that increased exposure to overlaps creates a demand for IOs to reach cooperation agreements and for their strong institutionalization. States respond more favourable to the supply of cooperation agreements when they are used to international cooperation and internal authority-delegation. The restraint component underscores that IOs are less inclined to cooperate when ideological differences and power differentials between them are greater and that IOs choose highly institutionalized cooperation agreements when their ideological differences are limited.

制度复杂性是国际体系的特点,因为许多国际组织同时在成员和权限上重叠。未经管理的重叠会危及IOs的有效性。组织间合作可以减轻这种消极后果。然而,一个新的数据集显示,并非所有重叠的IOs都相互合作,合作协议的制度化程度各不相同。为什么有些(但并非所有)重叠的IOs会选择合作协议?为什么它们的设计各不相同?对需求-供应约束模型的分析表明,增加对重叠的暴露创造了对国际组织达成合作协议和强大制度化的需求。当各国习惯于国际合作和内部授权时,它们对合作协定的供应反应更有利。约束成分强调在意识形态差异和权力差异较大的情况下,IOs更不愿意合作;在意识形态差异有限的情况下,IOs选择高度制度化的合作协议。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
The review of international organizations
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