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EU Open Strategic Autonomy and the Trappings of Geoeconomics 欧盟开放战略自治与地缘经济的陷阱
Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI: 10.54648/eerr2022012
T. Gehrke
The EU’s new trade strategy promises to advance open strategic autonomy that is to balance the benefits of economic interdependence with growing demands to manage Europe’s exposure to the risks it entails. What explains these shifting priorities? This article situates open strategic autonomy in the theoretical debates of International Political Economy (IPE) literature on economic interdependence and geoeconomics to aid our understanding of the debates ensnaring economic strategy in the EU, but also related debates in the United States, China and elsewhere. This framework, the article argues, helps us understand changing strategic priorities in economic policy by reference to wider structural shifts engulfing the global economy. It then identifies four priority targets of EU economic policy in which (new) autonomous policies are forthcoming: (i) tackle economic distortions; (ii) defend against economic coercion; (iii) link with values and sustainability; and (iv) protect critical assets and supply chains. These observations build towards addressing the main research question: Has open strategic autonomy turned a corner on EU principles of openness, liberalization and international cooperation?trade and investment, European Union, geoeconomics, International Political Economy
欧盟的新贸易战略承诺推进开放的战略自主,即在经济相互依存的好处与管理欧洲由此带来的风险的日益增长的需求之间取得平衡。如何解释这些优先级的变化?本文将开放战略自主性置于国际政治经济学(IPE)文献中关于经济相互依存和地缘经济学的理论辩论中,以帮助我们理解在欧盟陷入经济战略的辩论,以及在美国、中国和其他地方的相关辩论。文章认为,这一框架有助于我们借鉴席卷全球经济的更广泛的结构性转变,理解不断变化的经济政策战略重点。然后,它确定了欧盟经济政策的四个优先目标,其中(新的)自主政策即将出台:(i)解决经济扭曲;(ii)抵御经济胁迫;与价值和可持续性联系起来;(四)保护关键资产和供应链。这些观察是为了解决主要的研究问题:开放的战略自治是否已经改变了欧盟开放、自由化和国际合作的原则?贸易与投资、欧盟、地缘经济、国际政治经济
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引用次数: 6
Past as Prologue? The United States and European Strategic Autonomy in the Biden Era 过去是序言吗?拜登时代的美国与欧洲战略自主
Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI: 10.54648/eerr2022013
Ville Sinkkonen, G. Martin
Europe breathed a sigh of relief after Joe Biden’s victory in the 2020 presidential election, following a difficult period for transatlantic relations under Donald Trump. Yet, a friendlier tone in Washington has not so far translated into markedly better relations between the US and Europe. This article inquires why Biden – a pro-European President by disposition – is not proving more amenable to transatlantic relations in general, and European strategic autonomy in particular. It suggests that the considerable continuity between Biden and Trump can be explained by an interplay between the historical legacy of transatlantic relations, international and domestic structural factors, and on-going ideational contests over US grand strategy. Considering these factors, the US approach to Europe in the Biden era looks to oscillate between a ‘primacy’ model, marked by a US expectation that it will continue to lead and determine the direction of the transatlantic alliance, as well as ‘benign neglect’ of Europe in an age marked by ‘strategic competition’ with China. Neither approach is particularly conducive to the development of European Union (EU) strategic autonomy. In the meantime, the transition from Trump to the Biden era continues to hold little promise for a mutually negotiated ‘major reform’ of the transatlantic relationship.transatlantic relations – foreign policy – European Union – United States – strategic autonomy, grand strategy – primacy – restraint – Biden – Trump
乔·拜登在2020年总统大选中获胜后,欧洲松了一口气,此前唐纳德·特朗普领导下的跨大西洋关系经历了一段艰难时期。然而,到目前为止,华盛顿更友好的语气并没有转化为美欧关系的明显改善。这篇文章探讨了为什么拜登——一位性格亲欧的总统——没有被证明更适合跨大西洋关系,尤其是欧洲的战略自主。这表明,拜登和特朗普之间相当大的连续性可以用跨大西洋关系的历史遗产、国际和国内结构因素以及正在进行的关于美国大战略的思想竞赛之间的相互作用来解释。考虑到这些因素,拜登时代美国对欧洲的态度似乎在“首要地位”模式和“善意忽视”欧洲之间摇摆不定,前者的特点是美国期望它将继续领导和决定跨大西洋联盟的方向,后者的特点是在与中国“战略竞争”的时代。这两种方法都不利于欧洲联盟(欧盟)战略自主的发展。与此同时,从特朗普时代到拜登时代的过渡仍然没有希望通过谈判对跨大西洋关系进行“重大改革”。跨大西洋关系——外交政策——欧盟——美国——战略自主、大战略——首要地位——克制——拜登——特朗普
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引用次数: 2
Strategic Autonomy and the EU as a Global Actor: The Evolution, Debate and Theory of a Contested Term 战略自主与欧盟作为全球行动者:一个有争议术语的演变、争论和理论
Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI: 10.54648/eerr2022009
Niklas Helwig, Ville Sinkkonen
For all the attention on ‘strategic autonomy’ in the European Union (EU)’s foreign and security policy debate, the academic reflections on the term have so far been limited. Strategic autonomy is a prominent framework through which policy-makers discuss the EU’s response to global challenges, which raises the question to what extent its study can tell us more about the development of the EU as a global actor. This article discusses the evolution of the term ‘strategic autonomy’, the current policy debates that surround it, as well as how its emergence and implications can possibly be analysed through the use of International Relations theory. It argues that strategic autonomy should not be understood as a binary choice between dependence and independence or engagement and decoupling. By accepting the ambiguity of the term and its various meanings in today’s policy debate, it is possible to explore the grey areas of the EU’s struggle to manage its external interdependencies, as well as the implications in diverse policy fields, including foreign policy, security and defence, as well as trade.Strategic Autonomy, European Union, International Relations, Common Foreign and Security Policy, Common Security and Defence Policy, Trade and Investment Policy, Realism, Liberal theory of International Cooperation, Constructivism
在欧盟(EU)外交和安全政策辩论中,“战略自治”备受关注,但迄今为止,学术界对这一术语的反思还很有限。战略自治是政策制定者讨论欧盟应对全球挑战的一个重要框架,这就提出了一个问题,即其研究在多大程度上可以告诉我们更多关于欧盟作为全球行动者的发展的信息。本文讨论了“战略自治”一词的演变,围绕它的当前政策辩论,以及如何通过使用国际关系理论来分析它的出现和影响。本文认为,战略自治不应被理解为依赖与独立或接触与脱钩之间的二元选择。通过接受这个术语的模糊性及其在当今政策辩论中的各种含义,有可能探索欧盟在管理其外部相互依存关系方面的斗争的灰色地带,以及在外交政策、安全和国防以及贸易等不同政策领域的影响。战略自治,欧盟,国际关系,共同外交与安全政策,共同安全与防务政策,贸易与投资政策,现实主义,国际合作的自由主义理论,建构主义
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引用次数: 6
The Ambiguity of the EU’s Global Role: A Social Explanation of the Term ‘Strategic Autonomy’ 欧盟全球角色的模糊性:“战略自主”一词的社会解释
Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI: 10.54648/eerr2022010
Niklas Helwig
The term strategic autonomy has become a major reference point in the debates on the EU as a global actor despite concerns of some Member States that worry about global decoupling signals. What explains the attractiveness and widespread use of the concept in the EU’s policy debates? This article puts forward an explanation grounded in social factors and dynamics. It uses role theory to develop a hypothesis for the proliferation of the strategic autonomy concept in the debate on EU’s global role. Based on this perceptive, the conflict between the EU’s roles as a market-, normative-, and realist power is at the heart of the emergence of the strategic autonomy discourse. Rather than forcing the EU to adapt its role as an international actor, the reference to strategic autonomy allows for ‘role ambiguity’. The article discusses this in light of the current debates on the ‘geopolitical Commission’, qualified majority voting (QMV) in the Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP), as well as in the area of defence. Whether the ambiguity – the lack of clarity and certainty the EU as a collective actor faces with regards to the enactment of its role – will prove to be constructive or destructive for its foreign policy remains still open.Strategic Autonomy, European Union, EU’s Global Role, Role theory, Common Foreign and Security Policy, Common Security and Defence Policy, Normative Power, Market Power, Realist Power
尽管一些成员国担心全球脱钩信号,但战略自主一词已成为关于欧盟作为全球行动者的辩论中的一个主要参考点。是什么解释了这一概念在欧盟政策辩论中的吸引力和广泛使用?本文从社会因素和动力的角度提出了一种解释。它利用角色理论为战略自主概念在欧盟全球角色辩论中的扩散提出了一个假设。基于这一观点,欧盟作为市场、规范和现实主义大国的角色之间的冲突是战略自主话语出现的核心。提及战略自主并没有迫使欧盟调整其作为国际行为者的角色,而是允许“角色模糊”。本文结合当前关于“地缘政治委员会”、共同外交与安全政策中的合格多数投票(QMV)以及国防领域的辩论对此进行了讨论。这种模糊性——欧盟作为一个集体行动者在履行其职责方面缺乏明确性和确定性——是否会对其外交政策造成建设性或破坏性,仍然悬而未决。战略自主、欧盟、欧盟的全球作用、角色理论、共同外交与安全政策、共同安全与防务政策、规范力量、市场力量、现实主义力量
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引用次数: 2
Suspicious Neighbour: Russia’s Role in the Quest for the EU’s Strategic Autonomy 可疑邻国:俄罗斯在寻求欧盟战略自主中的作用
Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI: 10.54648/eerr2022014
S. Utkin
The article explains the roots, the essence and the consequences of the Russian approach to the European Union’s idea of strategic autonomy. While the EU’s ambition is treated with a degree of hope for a more balanced world by the Russian academic community, the official attitude is clearly sceptical. Russian understanding of sovereignty leaves little place for such a specific actor as the EU. At the same time, Russia itself is struggling to ensure autonomy and equilibrium on the global level. In spite of the high scepticism with regard to the future of the strategic autonomy, its success would matter for Russia, especially in the field of economy and digitalization. The process of acquiring strategic autonomy would be, on the other hand, influenced by the perception of the Russian challenge. Attention is also paid to the transatlantic bond, which is interpreted very differently – with constant suspicion in Russia and as a helping tool in the West. The new stage of world politics is set in Asia, where the EU and Russia will struggle to ensure their positions in competition with more adapted actors. Overall, the EU’s strategic autonomy discussion is most important for countries that can in some way contribute to achieving it, which Russia is not.Russia, EU, NATO, Sovereignty, Autonomy, Transatlantic Dependency, Asia, Digitalization
本文阐述了俄罗斯对欧盟战略自主理念的态度的根源、本质和后果。尽管俄罗斯学术界对欧盟的雄心抱有一定程度的希望,希望建立一个更加平衡的世界,但官方的态度显然是怀疑的。俄罗斯对主权的理解几乎没有给欧盟这样一个特定的行动者留下什么位置。与此同时,俄罗斯本身也在努力确保全球层面的自治和平衡。尽管人们对战略自主的未来高度怀疑,但它的成功对俄罗斯来说至关重要,尤其是在经济和数字化领域。另一方面,获得战略自主权的过程将受到对俄罗斯挑战的看法的影响。跨大西洋纽带也受到了关注,人们对它的理解非常不同——俄罗斯一直对此持怀疑态度,而西方则将其视为一种帮助工具。世界政治的新阶段将在亚洲展开,在那里,欧盟和俄罗斯将努力确保自己在与更适应的行为者竞争中的地位。总的来说,欧盟的战略自主讨论对那些能够在某种程度上为实现这一目标做出贡献的国家来说是最重要的,而俄罗斯则不然。俄罗斯、欧盟、北约、主权、自治、跨大西洋依赖、亚洲、数字化
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引用次数: 0
EU Strategic Autonomy and the Perceived Challenge of China: Can Critical Hubs Be De-weaponized? 欧盟战略自主与中国的感知挑战:关键枢纽能否去武器化?
Pub Date : 2022-04-01 DOI: 10.54648/eerr2022015
T. Poutala, Elina Sinkkonen, Mikael Mattlin
Geoeconomic competition, supply security vulnerabilities and complex technological dependencies challenge the European Union’s ‘strategic autonomy’. Evolving from more traditional security/ defence notions, a broader definition of strategic autonomy encompasses also economic dimensions. Economic resilience underpins security and defence arrangements. The EU has lacked instruments for protection against ‘predatory’ strategic investments by external actors, and technological dependence on potential strategic rivals. This article analyses two critical hubs, or potential ‘chokepoints’, in the EU’s attempts to achieve strategic autonomy – critical maritime transport infrastructure and 5G – as well as countermeasures developed by the EU. Chinese enterprises have made strategic investments in key EU infrastructure and high-tech industries over the past decade. In response, the EU has established an investment screening framework to screen (authorize, issue condition, prohibit or unwind) inward foreign direct investment (FDI) on security or public order grounds, and activated a mechanism for the enhancement of coordination and cooperation between the Commission and Member States. The EU has also sought to reduce reliance on Chinese suppliers by introducing the ‘5G toolbox’. We argue that the EU aims to ‘de-weaponize’ these two potential chokepoints. However, our article concludes that the political goal of strategic autonomy vis-à-vis external actors is hampered by the competence limitations of the Union to act in critical areas. Ultimately, much of the heavy lifting on implementing EU policy goals still falls upon Members States with varied economic and security interests.chokepoint effects, critical hubs, strategic autonomy, interdependence, investment screening, 5G toolbox
地缘经济竞争、供应安全漏洞和复杂的技术依赖性挑战着欧盟的“战略自主性”。从更传统的安全/国防概念演变而来,战略自主的更广泛定义也包括经济层面。经济弹性是安全和国防安排的基础。欧盟缺乏防范外部行为者“掠夺性”战略投资以及对潜在战略竞争对手的技术依赖的工具。本文分析了欧盟试图实现战略自主的两个关键枢纽或潜在的“瓶颈”——关键的海上运输基础设施和5G——以及欧盟制定的对策。过去十年,中国企业对欧盟关键基础设施和高科技产业进行了战略性投资。作为回应,欧盟建立了一个投资筛选框架,以安全或公共秩序为由筛选(批准、发布条件、禁止或解除)外国直接投资,并启动了一个加强委员会与成员国之间协调与合作的机制。欧盟还试图通过引入“5G工具箱”来减少对中国供应商的依赖。我们认为,欧盟的目标是“去武器化”这两个潜在的瓶颈。然而,我们的文章得出结论,欧盟在关键领域采取行动的能力有限,阻碍了相对于外部行为者的战略自主的政治目标。最终,实施欧盟政策目标的大部分重任仍然落在具有不同经济和安全利益的成员国身上。支点效应、关键枢纽、战略自主性、相互依存性、投资筛选、5G工具箱
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引用次数: 2
Attitudes Towards the European Union in the MENA Region: The Case of Saudi Arabia 中东和北非地区对欧盟的态度:以沙特阿拉伯为例
Pub Date : 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.54648/eerr2022007
Mujtaba Isani, Bernd Schlipphak
What shapes Saudi attitudes toward the European Union (EU)? Previous research has only shed some light on attitudes towards the EU in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. This article aims to extend this line of research by investigating Saudi perceptions of the EU in the context of Vision 2030s Strategic Partnership Programme that intends to push forward integration between Saudi Arabia and other regional blocs. Combining literature on Arab public opinion and perceptions of the EU, we argue that attitudes towards prominent countries such as Germany and the United States can serve as heuristics in the formation of Saudi EU attitudes. Moreover, traditional cosmopolitan factors may also have an impact. We empirically test our argument using data from the second wave of the Arab Barometer and an original survey carried out at the King Fahd University of Petroleum & Minerals (KFUPM), Saudi Arabia. Our findings confirm that Saudi EU perceptions seem to be informed by their view of the United States but especially of Germany. Having provided evidence on Saudi attitudes toward the EU, we discuss theoretical and methodological implications emanating from our research.attitudes, European Union, Saudi Arabia, Germany, heuristic, Vision 2030
沙特对欧盟的态度是什么?先前的研究只揭示了中东和北非地区对欧盟的态度。本文旨在通过在2030年代愿景战略伙伴关系计划的背景下调查沙特对欧盟的看法来扩展这一研究路线,该计划旨在推动沙特阿拉伯与其他区域集团之间的一体化。结合阿拉伯公众舆论和对欧盟的看法的文献,我们认为,对德国和美国等知名国家的态度可以作为沙特对欧盟态度形成的启发。此外,传统的世界主义因素也可能产生影响。我们使用第二波阿拉伯晴雨表的数据和沙特阿拉伯法赫德国王石油与矿产大学(KFUPM)进行的原始调查来实证检验我们的论点。我们的调查结果证实,沙特-欧盟的看法似乎是基于他们对美国的看法,尤其是对德国的看法。在提供了沙特对欧盟态度的证据后,我们讨论了我们研究产生的理论和方法影响。态度,欧盟,沙特阿拉伯,德国,启发式,2030愿景
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引用次数: 1
Special Section (Part 2): Perceptions, Narratives and Attitudes: New Perspectives and Geographies in the Study of External Perceptions of the EU 特别部分(第2部分):感知、叙述和态度:欧盟外部感知研究中的新视角和地理
Pub Date : 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.54648/eerr2022004
James Headley, N. Chaban
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引用次数: 0
Trade and Attitude Towards the EU: What Really Matters 贸易和对欧盟的态度:真正重要的是什么
Pub Date : 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.54648/eerr2022008
Florian Keller, Benedikt Zoller-Rydzek
The main goal of this article is to identify which aspect of trade drives positive attitudes towards the trading partner country. Whereas research has shown a positive influence of trade already, it is not clear whether total trade, trade balance, exports or imports is the best variable to predict attitudes. Furthermore, we investigate whether different sorts of the traded good do impact attitudes differently. As attitudes are formed on an individual level, we estimate that goods whose origins are visible to the individual customer do have greater impact than goods with no visible origins. In our analysis we use data from the Global Attitudes Survey from the Pew Research Center to measure attitudes towards the European Union (EU) and data from UN Comtrade to measure trade with the EU. Our results show that imports from and total trade with correlate significantly with attitude towards the EU, whereas exports to the EU and the bilateral trade balance do not. Given that imports are a part of total trade, we argue that imports are the best variable to predict attitudes. Additionally, we found that it is the import of differentiated goods that impacts attitudes whereas the import of homogeneous goods does not. We argue therefore that positive attitudes towards a trading partner are driven by individual experiences of consumers with products from the respective countries.Trade, Attitude, Soft Power, Exports, Peace
这篇文章的主要目的是确定贸易的哪个方面推动了对贸易伙伴国的积极态度。尽管研究已经表明贸易具有积极影响,但尚不清楚贸易总额、贸易平衡、出口还是进口是预测态度的最佳变量。此外,我们还调查了不同种类的交易商品是否会对人们的态度产生不同的影响。由于态度是在个人层面上形成的,我们估计,原产地对个人客户可见的商品确实比没有可见原产地的商品具有更大的影响。在我们的分析中,我们使用皮尤研究中心的全球态度调查数据来衡量对欧盟的态度,并使用联合国商品贸易委员会的数据来衡量与欧盟的贸易。我们的研究结果表明,从欧盟的进口和贸易总额与对欧盟的态度显著相关,而对欧盟的出口和双边贸易平衡则不相关。鉴于进口是贸易总额的一部分,我们认为进口是预测态度的最佳变量。此外,我们发现,差异化商品的进口会影响人们的态度,而同质商品的进口则不会。因此,我们认为,对贸易伙伴的积极态度是由消费者对各自国家产品的个人体验所驱动的。贸易、态度、软实力、出口、和平
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引用次数: 0
The New Pact on Migration and Asylum: A Strong External and A Weak Internal Dimension? 移民和庇护新公约:外部层面强而内部层面弱?
Pub Date : 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.54648/eerr2022001
Iris GOLDNER LANG
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引用次数: 0
期刊
European foreign affairs review
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