Providing a high-resolution spatiotemporal concentration of traffic pollutants can support more effective traffic pollution control. The concentration of on-road carbon monoxide (CO) originating from vehicle engine combustion usually has a high positive correlation with traffic volume. Hence, the innovative development of this On-road Vehicle Emission Estimation Model (OVEEM), built with a bottom-up framework, aimed to deliver the high-resolution spatiotemporal data on CO distribution. Based on the technology of web crawler and deep learning, OVEEM not only collect public vehicle detectors and public traffic Surveillance Videos (SVs) but also estimate both the traffic volume and the average velocities of vehicles. The hourly CO emissions can be estimated by multiplying the hourly traffic volume by the CO Emission Factor (EF) corresponding to the average vehicle speed. The emissions from total vehicles were input into the AERMOD dispersion model to estimate the spatiotemporal distributions of CO concentrations. Finally, GIS was employed to visualize the high-resolution spatiotemporal distributions of CO concentrations.
The result indicates that both the observed and the estimated concentrations of CO followed similar trends over the period of 24 h, with a reasonable mean absolute percent error between them. These findings validated the proposed OVEEM through a comparison between the observed and the estimated CO concentrations. Also, scooters and sedans were found to be the main types of vehicles contributing to elevated CO concentrations. In the future, to estimate the distribution of other pollutants, more appropriate SVs should be obtained.
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