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Early Onset Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma (EOPAC): presentation, clinical course and treatment outcomes in comparison to Average Onset Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma (AOPAC): a retrospective cohort study. 早发性胰腺腺癌(EOPAC):与平发性胰腺腺癌(AOPAC)的表现、临床过程和治疗效果对比:一项回顾性队列研究。
IF 3.4 2区 医学 Q2 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-18 DOI: 10.1186/s12885-024-12955-7
Noha Rashad, Abdelrahman Gouda, Esraa Sabra, Mohamed A Youssef, Hossam Alshazly, Sandra Samir

Background: Pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PAC) is a disease of decimal prognosis, with around 50% of patients presenting with metastatic disease. Previous trials reported a high incidence of early onset pancreatic cancer (EOPAC) in Egypt, presenting about 25% of patients with PAC. The clinic-pathological features and prognosis of EOPAC needs more study.

Patients and methods: A retrospective analysis of patients' records at Shefa Al-Orman comprehensive cancer center database. Patients with histo-pathologically confirmed diagnosis of PAC. We categorized patients according to the age at diagnosis into EOPAC (≤ 50 years) and average onset PAC (AOPAC). Data on risk factors, family history, presenting symptoms, clinic-pathological features, treatment, and prognosis were extracted. Patients with histopathologically confirmed diagnosis of pancreatic cancer diagnosed between December 2016-December 2022 were included.

Results: The study cohort consisted of 412 patients. EOPAC represented 20.3% of patients, with no significant differences in risk factors and family history compared to AOPAC. Duration of symptoms before diagnosis is longer in EOPAC, with the majority of EOPAC presenting with localized disease (23.8%) and locally advanced tumors (28.5%) compared to AOPAC. AOPAC presented more with metastatic disease (64% vs. 45.2%, p = 0.003). EOPAC are usually submitted to more aggressive treatment including radical surgery, neoadjuvant therapy, and aggressive chemotherapy regimens in metastatic disease. Disease free survival (DFS) of EOPAC was shorter than AOPAC (11 months vs. 17 months, p = 0.889), but overall survival OS was significantly longer in EOPAC (10 months vs. 6 months, p = 0.013).

Conclusion: Patients with EOPAC in Egypt represent around 25% of cases. EOPAC tend to have a shorter disease free survival (DFS) in patients presenting with localized disease. The overall survival (OS) is longer in EOPAC compared to AOPAC. Further studies are mandatory to identify the epidemiological and risk factors of EOPAC in Egypt.

背景:胰腺腺癌(PAC)是一种预后不良的疾病,约 50% 的患者会出现转移性疾病。之前的试验报告显示,埃及早发胰腺癌(EOPAC)的发病率很高,约占 PAC 患者的 25%。EOPAC的临床病理特征和预后需要更多的研究:患者和方法:对谢法-奥尔曼综合癌症中心数据库中的患者记录进行回顾性分析。经组织病理学确诊为 PAC 的患者。我们根据患者确诊时的年龄将其分为 EOPAC(≤ 50 岁)和平均发病年龄 PAC(AOPAC)。我们还提取了有关风险因素、家族史、主要症状、临床病理特征、治疗和预后的数据。研究对象包括2016年12月至2022年12月期间经组织病理学确诊的胰腺癌患者:研究队列由 412 名患者组成。EOPAC患者占20.3%,与AOPAC相比,其风险因素和家族史无明显差异。EOPAC患者确诊前的症状持续时间较长,与AOPAC相比,大多数EOPAC患者表现为局部疾病(23.8%)和局部晚期肿瘤(28.5%)。AOPAC更多地表现为转移性疾病(64%对45.2%,P = 0.003)。EOPAC通常会接受更积极的治疗,包括根治性手术、新辅助治疗和转移性疾病的积极化疗方案。EOPAC的无病生存期(DFS)短于AOPAC(11个月对17个月,P = 0.889),但EOPAC的总生存期OS明显长于AOPAC(10个月对6个月,P = 0.013):结论:在埃及,EOPAC 患者约占 25%。结论:在埃及,EOPAC 患者约占 25%。在出现局部疾病的患者中,EOPAC 的无病生存期(DFS)往往较短。与AOPAC相比,EOPAC的总生存期(OS)更长。必须开展进一步研究,以确定埃及 EOPAC 的流行病学和风险因素。
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引用次数: 0
Cell-cycle phase progression analysis identifies three unique phenotypes in soft tissue sarcoma. 细胞周期阶段进展分析确定了软组织肉瘤的三种独特表型。
IF 3.4 2区 医学 Q2 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-17 DOI: 10.1186/s12885-024-13043-6
Mark M Cullen, Alexander L Lazarides, Patricia D Pittman, Etienne M Flamant, Kathryn L Stoeber, Kai Stoeber, Julia D Visguass, Brian E Brigman, Richard F Riedel, Diana M Cardona, Jason A Somarelli, William C Eward

Purpose: Loddo et al. (Br J Cancer 100:959-70, 2009) established the prognostic significance of cell cycle markers and "Cell-Cycle Phenotypes" in breast carcinoma. This study aims to 1) identify prognostic cell-cycle markers in sarcoma, and 2) assess the prognostic potential of specific cell-cycle phenotypes in sarcoma.

Methods: Tissue samples from 128 soft tissue sarcomas were stained for four cell cycle-specific markers: Mcm2, Geminin, Plk1, and H3S10ph. Only primary soft tissue tumors (liposarcoma, leiomyosarcoma, synovial sarcoma, and undifferentiated pleomorphic sarcoma) were included in the analysis. Any tumor coming from a recurrent or metastatic lesion were excluded from the analysis. Three cell-cycle phenotypes (I, II, III) were derived from marker expression patterns. Prognostic significance was evaluated in a subset of primary soft tissue sarcomas using Cox regression for survival analysis.

Results: Compared to phenotype I, the phenotype III tumors had a decreased 5-year overall survival (HR 6.81 [2.36-19.61]; p =  < 0.001), 5-year disease-free survival (HR 1.07 (1.02-1.18); p = 0.004), and 5-year metastasis-free survival (HR 4.34 [1.58-11.93]; p = 0.004). High expression of Plk1 was associated with decreased 5-year overall survival (HR: 4.04 CI [1.21-6.67; p = 0.02) and 5-year metastasis-free survival (HR: 2.91 CI [1.15-7.37]; p = 0.03). Geminin was also found to have a decreased 5-year overall survival (HR:2.84 CI [1.21-6.67]; p = 0.02). No statistical difference in prognostication were noted between phenotypes and the AJCC system.

Conclusions: We identified three unique sarcoma cell cycle phenotypes that have prognostic significance. This performs similarly to the AJCC staging system.

目的:Loddo等人(Br J Cancer 100:959-70,2009年)确定了乳腺癌细胞周期标志物和 "细胞周期表型 "的预后意义。本研究旨在:1)确定肉瘤中预后细胞周期标志物;2)评估肉瘤中特定细胞周期表型的预后潜力:对 128 例软组织肉瘤的组织样本进行了四种细胞周期特异性标记物的染色:Mcm2、Geminin、Plk1和H3S10ph。分析只包括原发性软组织肿瘤(脂肪肉瘤、亮肌肉瘤、滑膜肉瘤和未分化多形性肉瘤)。任何来自复发性或转移性病灶的肿瘤都不在分析范围内。根据标记物表达模式得出三种细胞周期表型(I、II、III)。使用 Cox 回归进行生存分析,评估了原发性软组织肉瘤子集的预后意义:结果:与表型 I 相比,表型 III 肿瘤的 5 年总生存率较低(HR 6.81 [2.36-19.61];P = 结论:我们发现了三种独特的肉瘤细胞:我们发现了三种具有预后意义的独特肉瘤细胞周期表型。这与 AJCC 分期系统的表现类似。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of physical activity on progression-free and overall survival in metastatic breast cancer based on molecular subtype. 基于分子亚型的体育锻炼对转移性乳腺癌患者无进展生存期和总生存期的影响
IF 3.4 2区 医学 Q2 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-16 DOI: 10.1186/s12885-024-13038-3
Philipp Ziegler, Andreas D Hartkopf, Markus Wallwiener, Lothar Häberle, Hans-Christian Kolberg, Peyman Hadji, Hans Tesch, Johannes Ettl, Diana Lüftner, Volkmar Müller, Laura L Michel, Erik Belleville, Pauline Wimberger, Carsten Hielscher, Hanna Huebner, Sabrina Uhrig, Lena A Wurmthaler, Carolin C Hack, Christoph Mundhenke, Christian Kurbacher, Peter A Fasching, Rachel Wuerstlein, Michael Untch, Wolfgang Janni, Florin-Andrei Taran, Michael P Lux, Diethelm Wallwiener, Sara Y Brucker, Tanja N Fehm, Andreas Schneeweiss, Chloë Goossens

Background: Although adequate physical activity has been shown to be beneficial in early breast cancer, evidence in metastatic breast cancer is sparse and contradictory, which could be related to distinct effects of physical activity on the different molecular cancer subtypes. Therefore, we here evaluated the effect of physical activity on progression-free and overall survival (PFS, OS) in metastatic breast cancer, specifically looking at molecular subtypes.

Methods: International Physical Activity Questionnaire (IPAQ) questionnaires, filled out by patients enrolled in the prospective PRAEGNANT registry (NCT02338167; n = 1,270) were used to calculate metabolic equivalent task (MET) minutes, which were subsequently categorized into low (n = 138), moderate (n = 995) or high IPAQ categories (n = 137). Cox regression analyses were used to evaluate the impact of IPAQ categories and its interaction with molecular subtypes on PFS and OS.

Results: Patient and tumor characteristics were equally distributed across IPAQ categories. HER2pos, HRpos and TNBC were present in 23.1%, 65.7% and 11.2% of patients, respectively. IPAQ scores did not have an impact on PFS and OS in addition to established prognostic factors, either overall or in particular molecular subtypes (PFS: p = 0.33 and OS: p = 0.08, likelihood ratio test). Exploratory analyses showed higher overall survival rates for high IPAQ categories compared to low/moderate IPAQ categories in luminal B-like breast cancer.

Conclusions: Self-reported physical activity using the IPAQ questionnaire did not significantly affect PFS or OS in patients suffering from metastatic breast cancer. Nevertheless, some hypothesis-generating differences between molecular subtypes could be observed, which may be interesting to evaluate further.

背景:尽管充足的体力活动已被证明对早期乳腺癌有益,但转移性乳腺癌方面的证据却很少且相互矛盾,这可能与体力活动对不同分子癌症亚型的不同影响有关。因此,我们在此评估了体育锻炼对转移性乳腺癌患者无进展生存期和总生存期(PFS、OS)的影响,特别是对分子亚型的影响:前瞻性 PRAEGNANT 登记(NCT02338167;n = 1,270)中登记的患者填写的国际体力活动问卷 (IPAQ) 问卷用于计算代谢当量任务 (MET) 分钟,随后将其分为低(n = 138)、中(n = 995)或高 IPAQ 类别(n = 137)。Cox回归分析用于评估IPAQ类别及其与分子亚型的交互作用对PFS和OS的影响:结果:患者和肿瘤特征在不同IPAQ类别中分布相同。23.1%、65.7%和11.2%的患者存在HER2pos、HRpos和TNBC。除了既有的预后因素外,IPAQ评分对PFS和OS没有影响,无论是总体还是特定分子亚型(PFS:p = 0.33,OS:p = 0.08,似然比检验)。探索性分析表明,在管腔B型乳腺癌中,IPAQ高的患者的总生存率高于IPAQ低/中等的患者:结论:使用IPAQ问卷自我报告的体力活动对转移性乳腺癌患者的PFS或OS没有明显影响。尽管如此,仍可观察到分子亚型之间存在一些假设性差异,这可能值得进一步评估。
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引用次数: 0
Comparison of clinical characteristics of testicular tumor between children and adult population: a retrospective analysis. 儿童与成人睾丸肿瘤临床特征的比较:回顾性分析。
IF 3.4 2区 医学 Q2 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-16 DOI: 10.1186/s12885-024-12984-2
Kaiping Zhang, Jian Song, Yin Zhang, Xianguo Chen, Min Chao

Objective: Testicular tumor (TT) is a uncommon disease posing serious health problem. There are differences in some aspects between adult and pediatric TT. The study was to compare their differences of clinical and histological characteristics through the analysis of the long-term experiences in TT patients from two institutions.

Materials and methods: The clinical data of hospitalized patients was collected and analyzed retrospectively from January 2014 to January 2024 at a pediatric and an adult institution, respectively. The data included composition, gender, age, initial presentation, tumor size, tumor markers, pathological diagnosis.

Results: A total of 195 hospitalized patients were included. There were 135 children and 60 adult with TT, respectively. Of these children, patients were aged from 1 month to 14 years, with a mean age of 2.32 years. More cases (37.04%) were diagnosed at age younger than 1 years. 69 cases were left-sided, 65 cases were right-side and only 1 case was bilateral. Pediatric TTs mainly included 82 prepubertal teratomas, 37 had prepubertal yolk sac tumors and 3 mixed malignant germ tumors. Testicular surgeries included testicular-sparing surgery (TSS) (n = 73), radical orchiectomy (n = 60), and testicular biopsy (n = 2). There were 24 patients receiving postoperative chemotherapy. Adult TTs mainly contained 17 seminomas, 10 prepubertal teratomas,7 postpubertal teratomas, 6 stromal tumors and 3 embryonal carcinomas. The average age was 34.08 years. There were 29 right-sided, 27 left-sided and 4 bilateral tumors. TSS (n = 26), radical orchiectomy (n = 33), and testicular biopsy (n = 1) were performed in these TT patients. Only 6 patients received postoperative chemotherapy. The most common symptom was a painless scrotal mass at initial diagnosis in both groups. In addition, we found that significant differences were explored between histological type and age, tumor size (P < 0.05). Yolk sac tumor and seminoma were the most common malignant TT in pediatric and adult population, respectively. After two year follow-up, two children with yolk sac tumor and 4 adults with seminoma died of their diseases.

Conclusions: The majority of pediatric cases were benign compared to adult. The most common type was prepubertal teratoma and yolk sac tumor. Pediatric TTs often occurred under the age of 1 year. Seminomas and prepubertal teratomas were commonly found in adult TTs, especially for young adult. We found that pediatric tumor type was associated with age and tumor size. TSS should be considered for benign TTs based on frozen biopsy findings in children.

目的:睾丸肿瘤(TT)是一种不常见的疾病,对健康构成严重威胁。成人睾丸肿瘤和儿童睾丸肿瘤在某些方面存在差异。本研究旨在通过分析两家医院对睾丸肿瘤患者的长期治疗经验,比较两者在临床和组织学特征方面的差异:收集并回顾性分析了2014年1月至2024年1月期间分别在一家儿科医院和一家成人医院住院患者的临床数据。数据包括组成、性别、年龄、初始表现、肿瘤大小、肿瘤标志物、病理诊断等:共纳入 195 名住院患者。结果:共纳入 195 名住院患者,其中儿童 TT 患者 135 名,成人 TT 患者 60 名。其中,儿童患者的年龄从1个月到14岁不等,平均年龄为2.32岁。1岁以下确诊的病例较多(37.04%)。69例为左侧,65例为右侧,只有1例为双侧。小儿畸胎瘤主要包括82例青春期前畸胎瘤、37例青春期前卵黄囊肿瘤和3例混合性恶性生殖肿瘤。睾丸手术包括保睾手术(TSS)(73例)、根治性睾丸切除术(60例)和睾丸活检术(2例)。有24名患者接受了术后化疗。成人TT主要包括17个精原细胞瘤、10个青春期前畸胎瘤、7个青春期后畸胎瘤、6个间质瘤和3个胚胎癌。平均年龄为 34.08 岁。右侧肿瘤 29 例,左侧肿瘤 27 例,双侧肿瘤 4 例。对这些TT患者进行了TSS(26例)、根治性睾丸切除术(33例)和睾丸活检(1例)。只有 6 名患者接受了术后化疗。两组患者最初确诊时最常见的症状都是无痛性阴囊肿块。此外,我们还发现组织学类型与年龄、肿瘤大小(P 结论)之间存在显著差异:与成人相比,大多数儿童病例为良性。最常见的类型是青春期前畸胎瘤和卵黄囊肿瘤。小儿畸胎瘤通常发生在 1 岁以下。精原细胞瘤和青春期前畸胎瘤常见于成人TT,尤其是年轻成人。我们发现,小儿肿瘤类型与年龄和肿瘤大小有关。根据儿童的冰冻活检结果,良性TT应考虑TSS。
{"title":"Comparison of clinical characteristics of testicular tumor between children and adult population: a retrospective analysis.","authors":"Kaiping Zhang, Jian Song, Yin Zhang, Xianguo Chen, Min Chao","doi":"10.1186/s12885-024-12984-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s12885-024-12984-2","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>Testicular tumor (TT) is a uncommon disease posing serious health problem. There are differences in some aspects between adult and pediatric TT. The study was to compare their differences of clinical and histological characteristics through the analysis of the long-term experiences in TT patients from two institutions.</p><p><strong>Materials and methods: </strong>The clinical data of hospitalized patients was collected and analyzed retrospectively from January 2014 to January 2024 at a pediatric and an adult institution, respectively. The data included composition, gender, age, initial presentation, tumor size, tumor markers, pathological diagnosis.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 195 hospitalized patients were included. There were 135 children and 60 adult with TT, respectively. Of these children, patients were aged from 1 month to 14 years, with a mean age of 2.32 years. More cases (37.04%) were diagnosed at age younger than 1 years. 69 cases were left-sided, 65 cases were right-side and only 1 case was bilateral. Pediatric TTs mainly included 82 prepubertal teratomas, 37 had prepubertal yolk sac tumors and 3 mixed malignant germ tumors. Testicular surgeries included testicular-sparing surgery (TSS) (n = 73), radical orchiectomy (n = 60), and testicular biopsy (n = 2). There were 24 patients receiving postoperative chemotherapy. Adult TTs mainly contained 17 seminomas, 10 prepubertal teratomas,7 postpubertal teratomas, 6 stromal tumors and 3 embryonal carcinomas. The average age was 34.08 years. There were 29 right-sided, 27 left-sided and 4 bilateral tumors. TSS (n = 26), radical orchiectomy (n = 33), and testicular biopsy (n = 1) were performed in these TT patients. Only 6 patients received postoperative chemotherapy. The most common symptom was a painless scrotal mass at initial diagnosis in both groups. In addition, we found that significant differences were explored between histological type and age, tumor size (P < 0.05). Yolk sac tumor and seminoma were the most common malignant TT in pediatric and adult population, respectively. After two year follow-up, two children with yolk sac tumor and 4 adults with seminoma died of their diseases.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The majority of pediatric cases were benign compared to adult. The most common type was prepubertal teratoma and yolk sac tumor. Pediatric TTs often occurred under the age of 1 year. Seminomas and prepubertal teratomas were commonly found in adult TTs, especially for young adult. We found that pediatric tumor type was associated with age and tumor size. TSS should be considered for benign TTs based on frozen biopsy findings in children.</p>","PeriodicalId":9131,"journal":{"name":"BMC Cancer","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2024-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11484207/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142457965","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Matrine alkaloids modulating DNA damage repair in chemoresistant non-small cell lung cancer cells. 调节化疗耐药非小细胞肺癌细胞DNA损伤修复的马钱子碱
IF 3.4 2区 医学 Q2 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-16 DOI: 10.1186/s12885-024-12991-3
Fengping Wang, Jun Liu, Wenliang Liao, Lixiang Zheng, Shuai Qian, Lisi Mao

Background: Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) presents a significant challenge in the medical field due to its high incidence and resistance to chemotherapy. Chemoresistance in NSCLC diminishes treatment efficacy and contributes to poor patient outcomes. Matrine alkaloids have shown promise in reversing chemotherapy resistance in NSCLC by targeting DNA repair mechanisms.

Methods: Utilizing molecular dynamics simulations, we explored the interactions between Matrine alkaloids and DNA repair-related proteins to elucidate their impact on NSCLC cells. In vitro experiments involved treating A549/DDP cells with Matrine alkaloids to evaluate their sensitizing effects on lung cancer cells. Additionally, animal model experiments were conducted to validate the therapeutic potential of Matrine alkaloids in NSCLC treatment.

Results: Our findings demonstrate that Matrine alkaloids disrupt DNA damage repair processes in NSCLC cells, leading to increased sensitivity to chemotherapy. Molecular docking studies revealed the intricate mechanisms by which Matrine alkaloids interact with DNA repair proteins, impacting cell survival and proliferation. Both cell experiments and animal models confirmed the chemosensitizing effects of Matrine alkaloids in NSCLC treatment.

Conclusion: Matrine alkaloids offer a promising avenue for overcoming chemotherapy resistance in NSCLC by interfering with DNA repair pathways. This study lays a solid foundation for future clinical investigations into the potential of Matrine alkaloids as effective therapeutic agents for enhancing NSCLC treatment outcomes.

背景:非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)因其高发病率和对化疗的耐药性而成为医学领域的一大挑战。非小细胞肺癌的化疗耐药性会降低治疗效果,导致患者预后不佳。马钱子碱通过靶向DNA修复机制,有望逆转NSCLC的化疗耐药性:利用分子动力学模拟,我们探索了马钱子碱与DNA修复相关蛋白之间的相互作用,以阐明它们对NSCLC细胞的影响。体外实验包括用Matrine生物碱处理A549/DDP细胞,以评估其对肺癌细胞的增敏作用。此外,还进行了动物模型实验,以验证松脂酸生物碱在治疗 NSCLC 方面的治疗潜力:结果:我们的研究结果表明,Matrine 生物碱能破坏 NSCLC 细胞的 DNA 损伤修复过程,从而提高细胞对化疗的敏感性。分子对接研究揭示了Matrine生物碱与DNA修复蛋白相互作用、影响细胞存活和增殖的复杂机制。细胞实验和动物模型都证实了马钱子碱在 NSCLC 治疗中的化疗增敏作用:结论:马钱子碱通过干扰DNA修复途径,为克服NSCLC的化疗耐药性提供了一条很有前景的途径。这项研究为今后的临床研究奠定了坚实的基础,以探究Matrine生物碱作为有效治疗剂提高NSCLC治疗效果的潜力。
{"title":"Matrine alkaloids modulating DNA damage repair in chemoresistant non-small cell lung cancer cells.","authors":"Fengping Wang, Jun Liu, Wenliang Liao, Lixiang Zheng, Shuai Qian, Lisi Mao","doi":"10.1186/s12885-024-12991-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s12885-024-12991-3","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) presents a significant challenge in the medical field due to its high incidence and resistance to chemotherapy. Chemoresistance in NSCLC diminishes treatment efficacy and contributes to poor patient outcomes. Matrine alkaloids have shown promise in reversing chemotherapy resistance in NSCLC by targeting DNA repair mechanisms.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Utilizing molecular dynamics simulations, we explored the interactions between Matrine alkaloids and DNA repair-related proteins to elucidate their impact on NSCLC cells. In vitro experiments involved treating A549/DDP cells with Matrine alkaloids to evaluate their sensitizing effects on lung cancer cells. Additionally, animal model experiments were conducted to validate the therapeutic potential of Matrine alkaloids in NSCLC treatment.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Our findings demonstrate that Matrine alkaloids disrupt DNA damage repair processes in NSCLC cells, leading to increased sensitivity to chemotherapy. Molecular docking studies revealed the intricate mechanisms by which Matrine alkaloids interact with DNA repair proteins, impacting cell survival and proliferation. Both cell experiments and animal models confirmed the chemosensitizing effects of Matrine alkaloids in NSCLC treatment.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Matrine alkaloids offer a promising avenue for overcoming chemotherapy resistance in NSCLC by interfering with DNA repair pathways. This study lays a solid foundation for future clinical investigations into the potential of Matrine alkaloids as effective therapeutic agents for enhancing NSCLC treatment outcomes.</p>","PeriodicalId":9131,"journal":{"name":"BMC Cancer","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2024-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11481340/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142457985","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Long-term prognosis and treatment modalities of hepatic epithelioid hemangioendothelioma: a retrospective study of 228 patients. 肝上皮样血管内皮细胞瘤的长期预后和治疗方法:对228名患者的回顾性研究。
IF 3.4 2区 医学 Q2 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-16 DOI: 10.1186/s12885-024-13053-4
Xiaolei Liu, Peijun Yang, Liguo Liu, Shuang Si, Ruiquan Zhou, Tiantong Liu, Haidong Tan

Background: Hepatic epithelioid hemangioendothelioma (EHE) is an extremely rare tumour. The aim of this study was to investigate the long-term prognosis and its relationship with treatment modalities.

Methods: From March 2014 to June 2024, a total of 234 patients with histologically confirmed hepatic EHE were treated or followed up regularly by our team. The patients' clinical data at the time of diagnosis and initial treatment modalities were retrospectively collected. Kaplan-Meier curves were constructed to determine overall survival (OS). To explore prognostic factors and treatment outcomes, univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were developed.

Results: A total of 228 patients were ultimately included. The median age of the cohort was 41 years. For all patients, the OS of 1-, 3- and 5-year were 96.2%, 87.9% and 84.9%, respectively. For patients who underwent liver transplantation (LT), the OS of 1- and 3-year were 62.5% and 25%, respectively. No difference was found in the OS between patients who received surgical therapy and those who did not (1-year: 100% vs. 96.9%; 3-year: 90.1% vs. 91.5%; 5-year: 87.2% vs. 88.2%; P = 0.891). In the multivariable analysis, age ≥ 60 years [HR (95% CI): 4.207 (1.266-13.973), P = 0.019], the size of the largest lesion > 10 cm [HR (95% CI): 12.140 (1.419-103.872), P = 0.023] and LT [HR (95% CI): 5.502 (1.343-22.536), P = 0.018] were poor prognostic factors.

Conclusions: Compared with nonsurgical therapy, surgical therapy has no advantage in terms of long-term survival. The role of LT in the management of hepatic EHE should be reevaluated. Age ≥ 60 years and the size of the largest lesion > 10 cm are poor prognostic factors.

背景:肝上皮样血管内皮瘤(EHE)是一种极为罕见的肿瘤。本研究旨在探讨其长期预后及其与治疗方法的关系:从 2014 年 3 月至 2024 年 6 月,共有 234 名经组织学确诊的肝 EHE 患者接受了我们团队的治疗或定期随访。我们回顾性地收集了患者确诊时的临床数据和最初的治疗方式。构建卡普兰-梅耶曲线以确定总生存期(OS)。为探讨预后因素和治疗结果,建立了单变量和多变量考克斯比例危险模型:最终共纳入 228 名患者。结果:最终共纳入 228 名患者,中位年龄为 41 岁。所有患者的1年、3年和5年生存率分别为96.2%、87.9%和84.9%。接受肝移植(LT)的患者的1年和3年生存率分别为62.5%和25%。接受手术治疗的患者与未接受手术治疗的患者的OS无差异(1年:100% vs. 96.9%;3年:100% vs. 96.9%;3年:100% vs. 96.9%):1年:100% vs. 96.9%;3年:90.1% vs. 91.5%):3年:90.1% 对 91.5%;5年:87.2% 对 88.5%):87.2%对88.2%;P=0.891)。在多变量分析中,年龄≥60岁[HR(95% CI):4.207(1.266-13.973),P=0.019]、最大病灶大小>10厘米[HR(95% CI):12.140(1.419-103.872),P=0.023]和LT[HR(95% CI):5.502(1.343-22.536),P=0.018]是不良预后因素:与非手术疗法相比,手术疗法在长期生存方面没有优势。结论:与非手术疗法相比,手术疗法在长期生存率方面没有优势,应重新评估LT在肝EHE治疗中的作用。年龄≥60岁和最大病灶大小>10厘米是不良预后因素。
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引用次数: 0
Network meta-analysis on the efficacy and safety of management for resectable stage IIIA-N2 non-small cell lung cancer. 关于可切除IIIA-N2期非小细胞肺癌治疗有效性和安全性的网络荟萃分析。
IF 3.4 2区 医学 Q2 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-16 DOI: 10.1186/s12885-024-13047-2
Qiduo Yu, Haoshuai Yang, Fei Xiao, Zihan Wang, Zhenrong Zhang, Qianli Ma, Hongxiang Feng, Zhoujunyi Tian, Jin Zhang, Chaoyang Liang

Background: There is controversy regarding the optimal treatment for stage IIIA-N2 non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). We aimed to address this crucial issue through a frequentist network meta-analysis.

Methods: We conducted a literature database search for randomized controlled trials comparing the following treatment modalities before March 1st, 2023: surgery, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, targeted therapy, immunotherapy, and various combinations of these treatments. Summary data on overall survival (OS) and treatment-related deaths (trDeath) were analyzed using frequentist methods.

Results: Twenty-two randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with 3269 participants were included, covering 17 treatment regimens. In terms of overall survival, surgery followed by adjuvant targeted therapy (S-T), neoadjuvant targeted therapy followed by surgery and adjuvant targeted therapy (T-S-T), and neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgery and adjuvant chemotherapy (C-S-C) were relatively more advantageous than other treatment regimens. Overall, S-T is the most likely treatment option to prolong OS, with a 59.8% likelihood, while immunotherapy plus chemotherapy followed by surgery and adjuvant chemotherapy (IC-S-C) demonstrates good safety.

Conclusion: S-T and T-S-T treatments have the greatest potential to be the optimal overall survival treatments for stage IIIA-N2 NSCLC patients with positive driver genes, demonstrating significant clinical application prospects. While for patients with negative driver genes, C-S-C treatments benefit the most. The protocol was registered in the Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews, PROSPERO (CRD42022372711).

背景:关于IIIA-N2期非小细胞肺癌(NSCLC)的最佳治疗方法存在争议。我们旨在通过频数网络荟萃分析解决这一关键问题:我们在文献数据库中搜索了2023年3月1日前比较以下治疗方式的随机对照试验:手术、放疗、化疗、靶向治疗、免疫治疗以及这些治疗方式的各种组合。采用频数主义方法分析了总生存期(OS)和治疗相关死亡(trDeath)的汇总数据:结果:共纳入22项随机对照试验(RCT),3269名参与者,涵盖17种治疗方案。从总生存率来看,手术后辅助靶向治疗(S-T)、新辅助靶向治疗后手术和辅助靶向治疗(T-S-T)、新辅助化疗后手术和辅助化疗(C-S-C)相对比其他治疗方案更有优势。总体而言,S-T是最有可能延长OS的治疗方案,可能性为59.8%,而免疫治疗加化疗后手术和辅助化疗(IC-S-C)则表现出良好的安全性:结论:S-T和T-S-T疗法最有可能成为驱动基因阳性的IIIA-N2期NSCLC患者的最佳总生存期疗法,具有重要的临床应用前景。而对于阴性驱动基因的患者,C-S-C疗法的获益最大。该方案已在前瞻性系统综述注册中心 PROSPERO 注册(CRD42022372711)。
{"title":"Network meta-analysis on the efficacy and safety of management for resectable stage IIIA-N2 non-small cell lung cancer.","authors":"Qiduo Yu, Haoshuai Yang, Fei Xiao, Zihan Wang, Zhenrong Zhang, Qianli Ma, Hongxiang Feng, Zhoujunyi Tian, Jin Zhang, Chaoyang Liang","doi":"10.1186/s12885-024-13047-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s12885-024-13047-2","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>There is controversy regarding the optimal treatment for stage IIIA-N2 non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). We aimed to address this crucial issue through a frequentist network meta-analysis.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We conducted a literature database search for randomized controlled trials comparing the following treatment modalities before March 1st, 2023: surgery, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, targeted therapy, immunotherapy, and various combinations of these treatments. Summary data on overall survival (OS) and treatment-related deaths (trDeath) were analyzed using frequentist methods.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Twenty-two randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with 3269 participants were included, covering 17 treatment regimens. In terms of overall survival, surgery followed by adjuvant targeted therapy (S-T), neoadjuvant targeted therapy followed by surgery and adjuvant targeted therapy (T-S-T), and neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgery and adjuvant chemotherapy (C-S-C) were relatively more advantageous than other treatment regimens. Overall, S-T is the most likely treatment option to prolong OS, with a 59.8% likelihood, while immunotherapy plus chemotherapy followed by surgery and adjuvant chemotherapy (IC-S-C) demonstrates good safety.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>S-T and T-S-T treatments have the greatest potential to be the optimal overall survival treatments for stage IIIA-N2 NSCLC patients with positive driver genes, demonstrating significant clinical application prospects. While for patients with negative driver genes, C-S-C treatments benefit the most. The protocol was registered in the Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews, PROSPERO (CRD42022372711).</p>","PeriodicalId":9131,"journal":{"name":"BMC Cancer","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2024-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11484310/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142457986","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Targeted axillary dissection using carbon marking for patients with node-positive breast cancer following neoadjuvant therapy (TADCOM): study protocol for a prospective, multicenter, randomized controlled trial. 使用碳标记对新辅助治疗后结节阳性乳腺癌患者进行有针对性的腋窝清扫(TADCOM):一项前瞻性、多中心、随机对照试验的研究方案。
IF 3.4 2区 医学 Q2 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-15 DOI: 10.1186/s12885-024-13001-2
Wuzhen Chen, Liwei Pang, Xiaoyan Jin, Hailang Chen, Jian Huang

Background: Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) for breast cancer enables pathological complete response (pCR) in patients initially diagnosed with axillary lymph node metastases, potentially obviating the need for axillary lymph node dissection (ALND). Current targeted axillary dissection (TAD) techniques, guided by traditional tissue markers placed prior to NAC, face challenges such as marker loss and high costs. Carbon nanoparticle suspension injection (CNSI) offers a stable and reliable alternative for marking, which could enhance the TAD procedure. This study aims to evaluate the feasibility and accuracy of different TAD strategies using CNSIs and to explore their clinical utility in locally advanced breast cancer.

Methods: This prospective, multicenter, randomized controlled trial will enroll 126 biopsy-proven breast cancer patients with suspicious axillary lymph node metastases (cN1-2a) who achieve ycN0 status following NAC. Participants will be randomized in a 1:1:1 ratio to undergo TAD guided by: [1] conventional tissue clips (CG-TAD); [2] CNSI lymph node marking (CN-LNM); or [3] peritumoral CNSI mapping (PCN-MAP). Primary endpoints include retrieval rate of marked lymph nodes, number of sentinel and marked lymph nodes, concordance rates, and complication rates. Secondary endpoints encompass regional and distant recurrence rates, survival outcomes, surgical duration, postoperative complications, quality of life scores, and margin status in breast-conserving surgery. Statistical analyses will adhere strictly to the CONSORT guidelines.

Discussion: This study aims to evaluate the feasibility and accuracy of CNSI for targeted axillary dissection in breast cancer patients following neoadjuvant chemotherapy and to explore its clinical significance in reducing surgical complications and costs, as well as improving surgical precision.

Trial registration: Clinicaltrials.gov, NCT04744506, Registered 27 December 2020, Updated 24 September 2024. Protocol Version Ver 1.2, 17/9/2024.

背景:乳腺癌新辅助化疗(NAC)可使初步诊断为腋窝淋巴结转移的患者获得病理完全反应(pCR),从而有可能避免进行腋窝淋巴结清扫(ALND)。目前的靶向腋窝清扫(TAD)技术是在 NAC 之前放置传统的组织标记物,面临着标记物丢失和成本高昂等挑战。碳纳米粒子悬浮注射(CNSI)为标记提供了一种稳定可靠的替代方法,可提高 TAD 手术的效果。本研究旨在评估使用 CNSI 的不同 TAD 策略的可行性和准确性,并探讨其在局部晚期乳腺癌中的临床实用性:这项前瞻性、多中心、随机对照试验将招募 126 名经活检证实患有可疑腋窝淋巴结转移(cN1-2a)并在 NAC 后达到 ycN0 状态的乳腺癌患者。参试者将按 1:1:1 的比例随机接受由以下方法引导的 TAD 治疗:[1] 传统组织夹(CG-TAD);[2] CNSI 淋巴结标记(CN-LNM);或 [3] 肿瘤周围 CNSI 地图(PCN-MAP)。主要终点包括标记淋巴结的检索率、前哨淋巴结和标记淋巴结的数量、吻合率和并发症发生率。次要终点包括区域和远处复发率、生存结果、手术时间、术后并发症、生活质量评分以及保乳手术的边缘状态。统计分析将严格遵守 CONSORT 指南:本研究旨在评估CNSI用于乳腺癌患者新辅助化疗后腋窝靶向切除的可行性和准确性,并探讨CNSI在减少手术并发症、降低手术成本、提高手术精准度等方面的临床意义:试验注册:Clinicaltrials.gov,NCT04744506,注册日期:2020年12月27日,更新日期:2024年9月24日。协议版本 Ver 1.2,17/9/2024。
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引用次数: 0
Event-free survival in neuroblastoma with MYCN amplification and deletion of 1p or 11q may be associated with altered immune status. MYCN扩增和1p或11q缺失的神经母细胞瘤的无事件生存期可能与免疫状态的改变有关。
IF 3.4 2区 医学 Q2 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-15 DOI: 10.1186/s12885-024-13044-5
Zixuan Wei, Baocheng Gong, Xin Li, Chong Chen, Qiang Zhao

Background: Neuroblastoma exhibits substantial heterogeneity, which is intricately linked to various genetic alterations. We aimed to explore immune status in the peripheral blood and prognosis of patients with neuroblastoma with different genetic characteristics.

Methods: We enrolled 31 patients with neuroblastoma and collected samples to detect three genetic characteristics. Peripheral blood samples were tested for immune cells and cytokines by fluorescent microspheres conjugated with antibodies and flow cytometry. Event-free survival (EFS) was analyzed using the Kaplan‒Meier method.

Results: Twenty-two patients had genetic aberrations, including MYCN amplification in 6 patients, chromosome 1p deletion in 9 patients, and chromosome 11q deletion in 14 patients. Two genetic alterations were present in seven patients. The EFS was worse in patients with MYCN amplification or 1p deletion than in the corresponding group, whereas 11q deletion was a prognostic factor only in patients with unamplified MYCN. Changes in immune status revealed a decrease in the proportion of T cells in blood, and an increase in regulatory T cells and immunosuppression-related cytokines such as interleukin (IL)-10. The EFS of the IL-10 high-level group was lower than that of the low-level group. Patients with concomitant genetic alterations and a high level of IL-10 had worse EFS than other patients.

Conclusions: Patients with neuroblastoma characterized by these genetic characteristics often have suppressed T cell response and an overabundance of immunosuppressive cells and cytokines in the peripheral blood. This imbalance is significantly associated with poor EFS. Moreover, if these patients show an elevated levels of immunosuppressive cytokines such as IL-10, the prognosis will be worse.

背景:神经母细胞瘤具有很大的异质性,这与各种基因改变密切相关。我们旨在探讨具有不同遗传特征的神经母细胞瘤患者外周血中的免疫状态和预后:方法:我们招募了 31 名神经母细胞瘤患者,并采集样本检测三种遗传特征。外周血样本通过与抗体结合的荧光微球和流式细胞术检测免疫细胞和细胞因子。无事件生存期(EFS)采用卡普兰-梅耶法进行分析:22例患者存在基因畸变,其中6例患者存在MYCN扩增,9例患者存在1p染色体缺失,14例患者存在11q染色体缺失。7名患者存在两种基因改变。MYCN扩增或1p缺失患者的预后较差,而11q缺失仅是未扩增MYCN患者的预后因素。免疫状态的变化显示血液中T细胞比例下降,调节性T细胞和免疫抑制相关细胞因子(如白细胞介素(IL)-10)增加。高IL-10水平组的EFS低于低IL-10水平组。同时伴有基因改变和高水平IL-10的患者的EFS比其他患者更差:结论:具有这些遗传特征的神经母细胞瘤患者通常T细胞反应受抑制,外周血中免疫抑制细胞和细胞因子过多。这种失衡与较差的 EFS 显著相关。此外,如果这些患者的免疫抑制细胞因子(如 IL-10)水平升高,预后也会更差。
{"title":"Event-free survival in neuroblastoma with MYCN amplification and deletion of 1p or 11q may be associated with altered immune status.","authors":"Zixuan Wei, Baocheng Gong, Xin Li, Chong Chen, Qiang Zhao","doi":"10.1186/s12885-024-13044-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s12885-024-13044-5","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Neuroblastoma exhibits substantial heterogeneity, which is intricately linked to various genetic alterations. We aimed to explore immune status in the peripheral blood and prognosis of patients with neuroblastoma with different genetic characteristics.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We enrolled 31 patients with neuroblastoma and collected samples to detect three genetic characteristics. Peripheral blood samples were tested for immune cells and cytokines by fluorescent microspheres conjugated with antibodies and flow cytometry. Event-free survival (EFS) was analyzed using the Kaplan‒Meier method.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Twenty-two patients had genetic aberrations, including MYCN amplification in 6 patients, chromosome 1p deletion in 9 patients, and chromosome 11q deletion in 14 patients. Two genetic alterations were present in seven patients. The EFS was worse in patients with MYCN amplification or 1p deletion than in the corresponding group, whereas 11q deletion was a prognostic factor only in patients with unamplified MYCN. Changes in immune status revealed a decrease in the proportion of T cells in blood, and an increase in regulatory T cells and immunosuppression-related cytokines such as interleukin (IL)-10. The EFS of the IL-10 high-level group was lower than that of the low-level group. Patients with concomitant genetic alterations and a high level of IL-10 had worse EFS than other patients.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Patients with neuroblastoma characterized by these genetic characteristics often have suppressed T cell response and an overabundance of immunosuppressive cells and cytokines in the peripheral blood. This imbalance is significantly associated with poor EFS. Moreover, if these patients show an elevated levels of immunosuppressive cytokines such as IL-10, the prognosis will be worse.</p>","PeriodicalId":9131,"journal":{"name":"BMC Cancer","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2024-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11481459/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142457981","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Estimation of burden of cancer incidence and mortality in India: based on global burden of disease study 1990-2021. 印度癌症发病率和死亡率负担估算:基于 1990-2021 年全球疾病负担研究。
IF 3.4 2区 医学 Q2 ONCOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-15 DOI: 10.1186/s12885-024-13035-6
Diptismita Jena, Bijaya K Padhi, Quazi Syed Zahiruddin, Suhas Ballal, Sanjay Kumar, Mahakshit Bhat, Shilpa Sharma, M Ravi Kumar, Sarvesh Rustagi, Abhay M Gaidhane, Ashish Gaur, Sanjit Sah, Prakasini Satapathy

Background: Cancer poses a significant public health challenge in India, making it crucial to predict its future impact for effective healthcare planning. This study forecast cancer incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in India from 2022 to 2031.

Methods: We extracted age-standardized data on incidence, prevalence, DALYs, and mortality from 1990 to 2021 from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. We used Decadal Average Percentage Change techniques to identify trends in cancer burden over decades and the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) method were used for forecasting. The ARIMA (2,2,2) model was identified as the best for predicting cancer incidence, ARIMA (0,3,3) for DALYs, and ARIMA (0,2,2) for mortality.

Results: The cancer incidence rate is expected to rise from 529.40 (95% CI: 525.41-533.38) in 2022 to 549.17 (95% CI: 487.43-610.92) per 100,000 population in 2031. The DALYs rate is projected to decrease from 2001.53 (95% CI: 1964.24-2038.82) in 2022 to 1842.08 (95% CI: 1273.57-2410.60) per 100,000 population in 2031, indicating improvements in cancer burden management. Mortality rates are forecasted to increase slightly, from 71.52 (95% CI: 69.91-73.12) in 2022 to 73.00 (95% CI: 60.88-85.11) per 100,000 population in 2031. Overall, while incidence and mortality rates show a slight upward trend, the DALYs rate is projected to decrease, reflecting potential advancements in cancer management and treatment over the forecast period.

Conclusions: Over the next decade, cancer incidence and mortality are expected to increase in India, highlighting the need for enhanced prevention, early detection, and proper treatment strategies. Despite these increases, the anticipated decrease in DALYs suggests potential advancements in cancer management, warranting further investigation into the drivers of this positive trend and measures to sustain it.

背景:在印度,癌症是一项重大的公共卫生挑战,因此预测癌症的未来影响以制定有效的医疗保健规划至关重要。本研究预测了 2022 年至 2031 年印度的癌症发病率、死亡率和残疾调整生命年(DALYs):方法:我们从全球疾病负担(GBD)研究中提取了 1990 年至 2021 年发病率、流行率、残疾调整生命年和死亡率的年龄标准化数据。我们使用十年平均百分比变化技术来确定几十年来癌症负担的趋势,并使用自回归综合移动平均法(ARIMA)进行预测。ARIMA(2,2,2)模型被认为是预测癌症发病率的最佳模型,ARIMA(0,3,3)被认为是预测残疾调整寿命年数的最佳模型,ARIMA(0,2,2)被认为是预测死亡率的最佳模型:癌症发病率预计将从 2022 年的每 10 万人 529.40 例(95% CI:525.41-533.38 例)上升到 2031 年的每 10 万人 549.17 例(95% CI:487.43-610.92 例)。预计残疾调整寿命年率将从 2022 年的每 10 万人 2001.53 年(95% CI:1964.24-2038.82 年)下降到 2031 年的每 10 万人 1842.08 年(95% CI:1273.57-2410.60 年),这表明癌症负担管理有所改善。死亡率预计将略有上升,从 2022 年的每 10 万人 71.52 例(95% CI:69.91-73.12)上升到 2031 年的 73.00 例(95% CI:60.88-85.11)。总体而言,虽然发病率和死亡率略呈上升趋势,但预计残疾调整生命年率将有所下降,这反映了预测期内癌症管理和治疗的潜在进步:未来十年,印度的癌症发病率和死亡率预计都将上升,这凸显了加强预防、早期检测和适当治疗策略的必要性。尽管出现了这些增长,但预计残疾调整寿命年数的减少表明癌症管理可能会取得进展,因此有必要进一步调查这一积极趋势的驱动因素以及维持这一趋势的措施。
{"title":"Estimation of burden of cancer incidence and mortality in India: based on global burden of disease study 1990-2021.","authors":"Diptismita Jena, Bijaya K Padhi, Quazi Syed Zahiruddin, Suhas Ballal, Sanjay Kumar, Mahakshit Bhat, Shilpa Sharma, M Ravi Kumar, Sarvesh Rustagi, Abhay M Gaidhane, Ashish Gaur, Sanjit Sah, Prakasini Satapathy","doi":"10.1186/s12885-024-13035-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s12885-024-13035-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Cancer poses a significant public health challenge in India, making it crucial to predict its future impact for effective healthcare planning. This study forecast cancer incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in India from 2022 to 2031.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We extracted age-standardized data on incidence, prevalence, DALYs, and mortality from 1990 to 2021 from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. We used Decadal Average Percentage Change techniques to identify trends in cancer burden over decades and the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) method were used for forecasting. The ARIMA (2,2,2) model was identified as the best for predicting cancer incidence, ARIMA (0,3,3) for DALYs, and ARIMA (0,2,2) for mortality.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The cancer incidence rate is expected to rise from 529.40 (95% CI: 525.41-533.38) in 2022 to 549.17 (95% CI: 487.43-610.92) per 100,000 population in 2031. The DALYs rate is projected to decrease from 2001.53 (95% CI: 1964.24-2038.82) in 2022 to 1842.08 (95% CI: 1273.57-2410.60) per 100,000 population in 2031, indicating improvements in cancer burden management. Mortality rates are forecasted to increase slightly, from 71.52 (95% CI: 69.91-73.12) in 2022 to 73.00 (95% CI: 60.88-85.11) per 100,000 population in 2031. Overall, while incidence and mortality rates show a slight upward trend, the DALYs rate is projected to decrease, reflecting potential advancements in cancer management and treatment over the forecast period.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Over the next decade, cancer incidence and mortality are expected to increase in India, highlighting the need for enhanced prevention, early detection, and proper treatment strategies. Despite these increases, the anticipated decrease in DALYs suggests potential advancements in cancer management, warranting further investigation into the drivers of this positive trend and measures to sustain it.</p>","PeriodicalId":9131,"journal":{"name":"BMC Cancer","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2024-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11476122/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142457979","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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