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MAS-based Agent Societies by Means of Scout Movement 以童军运动为手段的基于mas的探员社团
Pub Date : 2012-07-01 DOI: 10.4018/jats.2012070103
M. Paletta
The concept of agent societies or organizations has become an important research area in the field of agent-related systems and vice versa. In order to do field-related simulations or to solve a variety of problems based in this research area, Multi-Agent System MAS frameworks are necessary. Several good proposals have been presented in this field. This paper presents a new MAS-based framework for agent societies based on the principles of a familiar, global connotation youth movement known as Scouting. The main goal of this paper is not to demonstrate whether the proposal presented here, which is presented by name of MAS-Scout, is better or not than the other current proposals. Instead, MAS-Scout is focusing in the following premise: knowing that Scouting has been a very successful social movement in the world; can its principles be used as a basis for designing a MAS-based framework used for implementing agent societies?
代理社会或组织的概念已成为代理相关系统领域的一个重要研究领域,反之亦然。为了进行与现场相关的仿真或解决基于该研究领域的各种问题,需要使用Multi-Agent System MAS框架。在这个领域已经提出了几项很好的建议。本文提出了一个新的基于mas的代理社会框架,该框架基于一个熟悉的全球内涵青年运动的原则,即童军运动。本文的主要目的不是要证明这里提出的以MAS-Scout的名义提出的建议是否比其他当前的建议更好。相反,MAS-Scout专注于以下前提:知道童军运动在世界上是一项非常成功的社会运动;它的原则是否可以作为设计一个基于mas的框架的基础,用于实施代理社会?
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引用次数: 6
An Information Foraging Model of Knowledge Creation and Spillover Dynamics in Open Source Science 开源科学中知识创造与溢出动态的信息觅食模型
Pub Date : 2012-07-01 DOI: 10.4018/jats.2012070104
Özgür Özmen, L. Yilmaz
Motivation and problem-domain preferences of scientists can affect aggregate level emergence and growth of problem domains in science. An agent-based model based on information foraging and expectancy theory is introduced to examine the impact of rationality and openness on the growth and evolution of scientific domains. To promote reproducibility of the simulation, a standard documentation protocol is used to specify the conceptual model. In the presented virtual socio-technical model, scientists with different preferences search for problem domains to contribute knowledge, while considering their motivational gains. Problem domains become mature and knowledge spills occur over time to facilitate creation of new problem domains. Experiments are conducted to demonstrate emergence and growth of clusters of domains based on local interactions and preferences of scientists. Based on findings, potential avenues of future research are delineated.
科学家的动机和问题域偏好会影响科学中问题域的总体水平的产生和发展。引入基于信息觅食和期望理论的智能体模型,考察理性和开放性对科学领域成长和演化的影响。为了提高模拟的再现性,使用标准文档协议来指定概念模型。在所提出的虚拟社会技术模型中,不同偏好的科学家在考虑动机收益的同时,寻找问题领域来贡献知识。随着时间的推移,问题域变得成熟,知识溢出,从而促进了新问题域的创建。实验证明了基于局部相互作用和科学家偏好的领域集群的出现和增长。在此基础上,展望了未来的研究方向。
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引用次数: 4
Autonomous Seller Agent for Multiple Simultaneous English Auctions 自主卖方代理多个同时英语拍卖
Pub Date : 2012-04-01 DOI: 10.4018/jats.2012040101
P. Anthony, E. Law
The growth of online auction is due to the flexibility and convenience that it offers to consumers. In the context of online auction, deriving the best reserve price can be associated to the seller's optimization problem. Determining this reserve price is not straightforward due to the dynamic and unpredictable nature of the auction environment. Setting the price too high will lead to the possibility of no sale outcome. Putting the price too low may produce a sale with less profit due to its lower selling price. The authors propose a strategy to derive the best reserve price based on several selling constraints such as the number of competitors sellers, the number of bidders, the auction duration, and the profit the seller desired when offering an item to be auctioned. However, to obtain the best performance, the strategy must be tuned to the prevailing auction environment where the agent is situated. This paper describes the seller agent's performance under varying auction environments. The purpose of the experimental evaluation is to assess the ability of the agent to identify its environments accurately to enable it to come up with the best reserve price.
网上拍卖的增长是由于它为消费者提供了灵活性和便利性。在网上拍卖的背景下,最佳保留价格的确定与卖方的优化问题有关。由于拍卖环境的动态性和不可预测性,确定这个保留价格并不简单。价格定得太高会导致没有销售结果的可能性。价格过低可能会导致销售利润减少,因为它的售价较低。作者提出了一种基于几个销售约束的策略,如竞争对手卖家的数量、投标人的数量、拍卖持续时间和卖方提供拍卖物品时期望的利润,以获得最佳保留价格。然而,为了获得最佳性能,该策略必须针对代理所处的现行拍卖环境进行调整。本文描述了不同拍卖环境下卖方代理人的行为。实验评估的目的是评估agent准确识别其环境的能力,以使其能够得出最佳保留价格。
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引用次数: 6
Using Phenomenological Research to Drive Dynamic Modeling 用现象学研究驱动动态建模
Pub Date : 2012-04-01 DOI: 10.4018/jats.2012040104
Nathan A. Minami
One of the most difficult aspects in mathematical modeling and simulation is developing data to drive models and learning. This is particularly difficult when the subject involves intangible variables and concepts such as stress and perceptions that are difficult to ascribe a quantitative value to. This paper provides a description of how qualitative data collected during in depth phenomenological interviews with subject matter experts can be used to drive models. It also provides a case study of insurgency warfare and coalition and Afghan National Government performance during the last ten years. The U.S. government has spent more than $300 billion on the war in Afghanistan. Despite the employment of these resources, the goal of creating stability in the country has not been achieved. Twenty U.S. Army officers with six or more months of experience in Afghanistan were selected by random choice from a specific group. The participants were then interviewed to determine the meaning of their experiences in fighting an insurgency. Data analysis included organizing responses by question to identify the frequency of trends, patterns, and themes; and development of textural and structural descriptions of resource allocation and stability within the context of this study. Data was then transformed to create look-up tables that can be used to model, calibrate, and ascribe quantitative values to various variables in a dynamic insurgency model. A proof of concept model was then created to demonstrate the potential utility and power behind a model that combines the qualities of quantitative mathematical science and qualitative research methodology.
数学建模和仿真中最困难的一个方面是开发数据来驱动模型和学习。当主题涉及诸如压力和感知等难以量化的无形变量和概念时,这一点尤其困难。本文描述了如何在与主题专家的深度现象学访谈中收集的定性数据可用于驱动模型。它还提供了叛乱战争和联盟以及阿富汗国民政府在过去十年中的表现的案例研究。美国政府已经在阿富汗战争上花费了3000多亿美元。尽管使用了这些资源,但在该国建立稳定的目标尚未实现。20名在阿富汗有6个月或6个月以上经验的美国陆军军官从一个特定群体中随机选出。然后对参与者进行采访,以确定他们在打击叛乱中的经历的意义。数据分析包括按问题组织回答,以确定趋势、模式和主题的频率;并在本研究的背景下发展资源配置与稳定性的结构和结构描述。然后将数据转换为查找表,这些表可用于建模、校准和将定量值归因于动态叛乱模型中的各种变量。然后创建了一个概念验证模型,以展示结合了定量数学科学和定性研究方法的质量的模型背后的潜在效用和力量。
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引用次数: 0
A Review for the Validation of Social Simulation on Artificial Social Organization 人工社会组织社会模拟验证研究进展
Pub Date : 2012-04-01 DOI: 10.4018/jats.2012040102
Jiang Wu, Hou Zhu, Menglin Yin, Xin Luo
Social simulation on artificial social organization, which uses computer simulation to construct artificial society to research social organization, has been becoming popular. Validation of simulation can improve the accuracy, credibility and applicability in the modeling and simulation, and is the key step to apply social organizational model. In this paper, the current research of simulation validation is reviewed, the category of social simulation is defined, and philosophical perspective of simulation validation is analyzed. Implementations of simulation validation in various models, including framework, level, type and technology, are introduced as well. Then, the validation in social simulation, including features, existing problems, framework and techniques, is analyzed in particular. Finally, the further work for the simulation validation is announced.
人工社会组织的社会模拟是一种利用计算机模拟构建人工社会来研究社会组织的方法。仿真验证可以提高建模和仿真的准确性、可信度和适用性,是社会组织模型应用的关键步骤。本文综述了仿真验证的研究现状,界定了社会仿真的范畴,分析了仿真验证的哲学视角。介绍了仿真验证在各种模型中的实现,包括框架、层次、类型和技术。然后,详细分析了社会仿真验证的特点、存在的问题、框架和技术。最后,对仿真验证的下一步工作进行了展望。
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引用次数: 2
Employing Dynamic Models to Enhance Corporate IT Security Policy 运用动态模型加强企业资讯科技保安政策
Pub Date : 2012-04-01 DOI: 10.4018/jats.2012040103
Nathan A. Minami
Since 9/11 and the creation of the U.S. Patriot Act, the intrusion of government surveillance into the lives of ordinary Americans has become a topic of great concern to many citizens. While many Americans view surveillance as a necessity in the name of national security, the government is not the only organization conducting surveillance. As technological capacity increases, an increasing number of employers are implementing technologies that allow them to maintain vigilance over the actions of their employees in the workplace. Despite many attempts to implement surveillance technologies, there is little evidence that companies are any safer now than they were ten years ago. This paper demonstrates how System Dynamics modeling can be utilized to help model the insider threat as a system. It provides analysis of the non-linear affect of decision making, assessing the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th order impacts of decisions, and demonstrates the important impact of delays in the system. A mathematical model is presented and simulations are conducted to determine the likely affect of company decisions and individual agent behavior.
自9/11事件和美国《爱国者法案》的制定以来,政府监控侵入普通美国人的生活已成为许多公民非常关注的话题。虽然许多美国人认为,出于国家安全的考虑,监控是必要的,但政府并不是唯一进行监控的机构。随着技术能力的提高,越来越多的雇主正在实施技术,使他们能够对员工在工作场所的行为保持警惕。尽管实施监控技术的尝试很多,但几乎没有证据表明现在的公司比十年前更安全。本文演示了如何利用系统动力学建模来帮助将内部威胁建模为一个系统。它提供了对决策的非线性影响的分析,评估了决策的二阶、三阶和四阶影响,并演示了系统中延迟的重要影响。提出了一个数学模型,并进行了仿真,以确定公司决策和个体代理行为的可能影响。
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引用次数: 4
Simulating Shop-Around Behavior 模拟购物行为
Pub Date : 2012-03-26 DOI: 10.4018/jats.2012070102
T. Kaneda, Takumi Yoshida
Shop-around spatial behaviors of downtown visitors are characterized as MultiPurpose-MultiStop MPMS. However, the authors' investigations have revealed visitors frequently switch planned actions and generate improvised actions. By using an agent-based approach, especially with a medium-size specimen, simulating such spatial behaviors opens a rich vein of research, not only into such practical aspects as downtown revitalization but also several theoretical aspects. Based on data analysis, the authors have newly devised Agent Simulation of Shop-Around ASSA. ASSA is a kind of activity-based model and each agent makes and remakes their schedule to visit shops based on time constraints and shop preferences, chooses alternative venues to visit when they fail in an errand, and makes impulse stops at shops and detour actions when time allows. A series of such activities carried out on one day will affect the next downtown visit schedule and so on. This paper refers to existing researches and briefly explains the features of ASSA, especially focusing on decomposition of the shop-around behaviors and the system components. The latest pilot ASSA ver.3 attempts a dynamic simulation of naturalistic and intelligent shopper behaviors. The authors then discuss the verifications by illustrating simulated performances in an actual shopping mall.
市中心游客的购物空间行为具有多目的、多站点的MPMS特征。然而,作者的调查显示,游客经常改变计划的行动,产生临时的行动。通过使用基于主体的方法,特别是使用中等大小的样本,模拟这种空间行为开辟了丰富的研究思路,不仅涉及市中心振兴等实际方面,而且涉及几个理论方面。在数据分析的基础上,提出了一种新的“逛店”智能体仿真方法。ASSA是一种基于活动的模型,每个agent根据时间限制和店铺偏好制定和重新制定自己的逛店计划,当跑腿失败时选择替代的逛店地点,在时间允许的情况下进行冲动停店和绕行行为。在一天内进行一系列这样的活动,会影响下一个市中心的访问日程等等。本文在参考已有研究的基础上,对ASSA的特点进行了简要说明,重点介绍了around - shop行为的分解和系统组件的分解。最新的ASSA飞行员。3尝试对自然和智能购物者行为进行动态模拟。然后,作者通过在实际购物中心的模拟表演来讨论验证。
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引用次数: 13
An Agent-Based Simulation of Smart Metering Technology Adoption 基于agent的智能电表技术采用仿真
Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.4018/jats.2012010102
Zhang Tao, W. Nuttall
Based on the classic behavioural theory the "Theory of Planned Behaviour," the authors have developed an agent-based model to simulate the diffusion of smart metering technology in the electricity market. The authors simulate the emergent adoption of smart metering technology under different management strategies and economic regulations. Their research results show that in terms of boosting the take-off of smart meters in the UK electricity market, choosing the initial users on a random and geographically dispersed basis and encouraging meter competition between energy suppliers can be two effective strategies. The authors also observe an "S-curve" diffusion of smart metering technology and a "lock-in" effect in the model. The research results provide users with insights as to effective policies and strategies for the roll-out of smart meters in the UK electricity market.
基于经典的行为理论“计划行为理论”,作者开发了一个基于主体的模型来模拟智能计量技术在电力市场中的扩散。作者模拟了智能计量技术在不同管理策略和经济法规下的紧急采用。他们的研究结果表明,在促进智能电表在英国电力市场的起飞方面,在随机和地理分散的基础上选择初始用户和鼓励能源供应商之间的电表竞争可以是两个有效的策略。作者还观察到智能计量技术的“s曲线”扩散和模型中的“锁定”效应。研究结果为用户提供了关于在英国电力市场推出智能电表的有效政策和策略的见解。
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引用次数: 41
A Framework for Modeling Social Groups in Agent-Based Pedestrian Crowd Simulations 基于智能体的行人人群仿真中社会群体建模框架
Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.4018/jats.2012010103
Fasheng Qiu, Xiaolin Hu
Grouping is a common phenomenon in pedestrian crowds and social groups can have significant impacts on crowd behavior. Despite its importance, how to model social groups in pedestrian crowd simulations is still an open and challenging issue. This paper presents a framework for modeling social groups in agent-based pedestrian crowd simulations. The developed framework integrates agent behavior modeling, group modeling, and social context modeling in a layered architecture, where each layer focuses on modeling a specific aspect of pedestrian crowds. A model of dynamic grouping behavior is developed to demonstrate the utility of the developed framework, and experimental results are presented.
群体是行人群体中普遍存在的现象,社会群体对人群行为具有重要影响。尽管它很重要,但如何在行人人群模拟中建立社会群体模型仍然是一个开放和具有挑战性的问题。本文提出了一个基于智能体的行人人群模拟中社会群体建模的框架。开发的框架在分层架构中集成了代理行为建模、群体建模和社会上下文建模,其中每一层都侧重于对行人人群的特定方面进行建模。建立了一个动态分组行为模型来验证所开发框架的有效性,并给出了实验结果。
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引用次数: 9
Adaptive Collaboration Based on the E-CARGO Model 基于E-CARGO模型的自适应协作
Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.4018/jats.2012010104
Haibin Zhu, Ming Hou, Mengchu Zhou
Adaptive Collaboration (AC) is essential for maintaining optimal team performance on collaborative tasks. However, little research has discussed AC in multi-agent systems. This paper introduces AC within the context of solving real-world team performance problems using computer-based algorithms. Based on the authors’ previous work on the Environment-Class, Agent, Role, Group, and Object (E-CARGO) model, a theoretical foundation for AC using a simplified model of role-based collaboration (RBC) is proposed. Several parameters that affect team performance are defined and integrated into a theorem, which showed that dynamic role assignment yields better performance than static role assignment. The benefits of implementing AC are further proven by simulating a “future battlefield” of remotely-controlled robotic vehicles; in this scenario, team performance clearly benefits from shifting vehicles (or roles) using a single controller. Related research is also discussed for future studies.
适应性协作(AC)对于在协作任务中保持最佳的团队绩效是必不可少的。然而,关于多智能体系统中交流的研究很少。本文在使用基于计算机的算法解决现实世界的团队绩效问题的背景下介绍了AC。在前人关于环境类、代理、角色、组和对象(E-CARGO)模型的基础上,提出了基于角色的协作(RBC)简化模型的交流理论基础。定义了影响团队绩效的几个参数,并将其集成到一个定理中,该定理表明动态角色分配比静态角色分配产生更好的绩效。通过模拟遥控机器人车辆的“未来战场”,进一步证明了实现交流的好处;在这种情况下,团队绩效明显受益于使用单个控制器转换车辆(或角色)。并对今后的研究进行了探讨。
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引用次数: 29
期刊
International journal of agent technologies and systems
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