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Property value capture for development of mass rapid transit: Case study from Hanoi 大规模快速交通发展的物业价值获取:河内案例研究
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100084
Akihiro Iida , Thi Mai Chi Nguyen , Le Binh Phan , Hironori Kato

Property value capture is expected to financially support investments in mass rapid transit (MRT) in many developing countries where conventional public funding is insufficient to meet the local demand. This study presents a case study to examine the financial feasibility of developing and operating a new metro line through property value capture and land-use control in Hanoi. First, property prices are estimated with local data for both residential and office properties, using hedonic price models. Next, a travel demand model, including trip generation and attraction, trip distribution, and travel mode choice sub-models, is estimated with person trip survey data, following a conventional four-step model framework. Subsequently, multiple scenarios are built for a hypothetical investment in an MRT line in Hanoi. The scenarios are assumed considering socio-demographics and transportation infrastructure in the context of new taxation levied on local properties near MRT stations and land-use controls with respect to population and employment to increase their densities near MRT stations. The estimated models are applied to each scenario to estimate the expected financial viability of MRT development and operation. The results reveal that the property value capture and land-use control could significantly improve the operator's profitability.

在传统的公共资金不足以满足当地需求的许多发展中国家,房地产价值捕获预计将为大规模快速交通(MRT)投资提供资金支持。本研究提出了一个案例研究,以检查在河内通过财产价值捕获和土地使用控制开发和运营一条新的地铁线路的财务可行性。首先,使用享乐价格模型,根据当地住宅和办公物业的数据估算房地产价格。其次,根据个人旅行调查数据,按照传统的四步模型框架,估计了一个旅行需求模型,包括旅行产生和吸引力、旅行分布和旅行模式选择子模型。随后,为河内地铁线路的假设投资建立了多个场景。这些情景的假设考虑了社会人口统计学和交通基础设施的背景,即对地铁站附近的当地财产征收新税,以及对人口和就业的土地使用控制,以增加地铁站附近的人口和就业密度。估计模型应用于每个情景,以估计捷运发展和运营的预期财务可行性。结果表明,物业价值捕获和土地利用控制可以显著提高经营者的盈利能力。
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引用次数: 0
Estimation of transportation energy demand of the Philippines using a bottom-up approach 用自下而上的方法估计菲律宾的交通能源需求
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100058
Karl B.N. Vergel , Kelvin Ryan S. Marcelo , Arse John P. Salison , Felix Nathaniel M. Elamparo , Valerie Anne L. Saavedra , Kathrina P. Villedo , Nonalu Sherida A. Abao , Abby O. Gonzales , Jose Regin F. Regidor , Ernesto B. Abaya

In the years 2000–2016, the sector with the largest share of total final energy consumption in the Philippines is transportation with an average share of 34.2%. The study aims to estimate the baseline transportation energy demand of road, maritime, air and rail transportation modes in 2016 using a bottom-up approach. Through a bottom-up approach and utilizing available transportation activity and fuel economy/energy efficiency data from secondary sources coupled with primary road transportation activity and fuel economy and railway operations survey data, the baseline transportation energy demand of the Philippines is estimated to be 12,956.1 ktoe in 2016. A comprehensive estimation of transportation energy demand of the country using bottom-up methodologies with more detailed transportation activity and vehicle fleet of the different transportation modes is implemented. Finally, the collection and keeping of certain data that are critical in the estimation of the transportation energy demand are recommended.

在2000年至2016年期间,菲律宾最终能源消费总量中占最大份额的行业是交通运输,平均占34.2%。该研究旨在采用自下而上的方法估计2016年公路、海运、航空和铁路运输方式的基线运输能源需求。通过自下而上的方法,利用二手来源的可用运输活动和燃料经济性/能源效率数据,再加上主要道路运输活动和燃料经济性和铁路运营调查数据,菲律宾2016年的基线运输能源需求估计为12,956.1千万吨油当量。采用自下而上的方法,采用更详细的运输活动和不同运输方式的车队,对该国的运输能源需求进行综合估计。最后,建议收集和保存某些对估计交通能源需求至关重要的数据。
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引用次数: 1
Build-Transfer-Operate with risk sharing approach for railway public-private-partnership project in Korea 韩国铁路公私合作项目风险分担模式下的建设-转让-运营
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100061
Juyeon Lee, Kyungtaek Kim, Jaehak Oh

To attract the private sector to railway public-private partnership (PPP) projects, the public sector is required to share risks resulted from a failure in demand forecasting. The Korean government introduced BTO-risk sharing (BTO-rs) as a new PPP arrangement to promote investments in railway projects. BTO-rs is to share operating costs and revenues by both the public and private sectors. This study explains the methodology of BTO-rs. Based on BTO-rs, this study conducted the sensitivity analysis for the real railway project. The result of the sensitivity analysis suggests that sharing ratio of the excess operating profit and loss of the government and demand are the most influential factors affecting the concessionaire’s rate of return.

为了吸引私营部门参与铁路公私合作(PPP)项目,公共部门需要分担需求预测失败带来的风险。韩国政府为了促进铁路事业投资,引进了新的PPP制度——bto风险分担制度(BTO-rs)。BTO-rs是由公共和私营部门共同分担运营成本和收入。本研究解释了BTO-rs的方法论。本研究基于BTO-rs对实际铁路工程进行了敏感性分析。敏感性分析结果表明,政府超额经营盈亏分担比例和需求是影响特许经营企业收益率的最主要因素。
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引用次数: 5
Productivity and cost structure of transportation passenger services using private cars (paratransit) in Japan 日本私家车(辅助交通)客运服务的生产力和成本结构
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100085
Ryusuke Takeuchi , Soichiro Minami , Hiroto Inoi , Itsuki Yoshida

In Japan, private car passenger services have recently been increasing to help secure mobility for older adults. The policy of using passenger transport with private cars is included in the 2020 revision of the Act on the Revitalization and Rehabilitation of Local Public Transportation Systems. In this study, we examined the profitability, productivity, and operational cost structure of these services through a survey of private passenger transport for passenger services with private car by hired driver (PPHDs) and transfer services with private car by volunteer driver (TPVDs). We found that the production function is correlated with the driver and vehicle in PPHDs and TPVDs as well as the production itself, such as vehicle-kilometers and number of passengers. Cost structures tend to differ in economies of scale, and the cost function also tends to differ in both cases. These findings have practical policy and business implications.

在日本,私家车客运服务最近一直在增加,以确保老年人的出行安全。在2020年修订的《地方公共交通系统振兴及修复法》中,包含了私家车客运政策。在本研究中,我们通过调查私家司机提供的私家车客运服务和志愿司机提供的私家车接送服务,考察了这些服务的盈利能力、生产力和运营成本结构。我们发现,生产函数与ppph和tpvd的驾驶员和车辆以及生产本身(如车辆公里数和乘客数量)相关。在规模经济中,成本结构往往不同,在这两种情况下,成本函数也往往不同。这些发现具有实际的政策和商业意义。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing transportation system efficiency in its relationship with urban housing: A data envelopment analysis 评估交通系统效率与城市住房的关系:一个数据包络分析
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100065
Ha Thi Khanh Van, Tran Vinh Ha, Takumi Asada, Mikiharu Arimura

Urban housing and transportation are strongly related systems. However, few studies have explored the balance between urban housing and transportation systems. Excess investment in transportation systems puts intense pressure on local governments' budgets, especially in shrinking urban areas. In this study, we measured the spatial efficiency of Sapporo city's transportation system using data envelopment analysis. Our results highlight that two-thirds of the urban area were running below capacity. Among them, car parking sites and car parking areas had the highest surplus capacity at 27.81% and 15.86%, respectively. Meanwhile, bus stops, road density, and train station service areas exceeded the demand by about 12%–16%. The results also show that the shortfall in the filling rate of housing was high at 3.82%. Finally, based on our analysis, we introduced recommendations for city policymakers to improve the city's overall efficiency.

城市住房和交通是紧密相关的系统。然而,很少有研究探讨城市住房和交通系统之间的平衡。对交通系统的过度投资给地方政府的预算带来了巨大压力,尤其是在不断萎缩的城市地区。在本研究中,我们使用数据包络分析来衡量札幌市交通系统的空间效率。我们的研究结果强调,三分之二的城市地区的运行低于容量。其中,停车场和停车场的剩余容量最高,分别为27.81%和15.86%。与此同时,公交车站、道路密度和火车站服务区超出需求约12%-16%。结果还表明,住房的缺口填充率高达3.82%。最后,基于我们的分析,我们为城市决策者提出了提高城市整体效率的建议。
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引用次数: 7
A simulation-based approach for improving stockyard allocation in coal export terminals 基于仿真的煤炭出口码头堆场配置优化方法
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100068
Jiaqi Guo, Ying Jiang, Zhen Cao, Wenyuan Wang, Zijian Guo

The stockyard is a core part of a coal export terminal (CET). Constrained by various influencing factors, studies to deal with the complicated scheduling process of a CET remain insufficiently comprehensive. Until now, for coal stockyards, most stacking scheduling strategies are still manual. The low efficiency of the stockyard has become the main bottleneck that restricts the throughput of a CET. Therefore, this paper proposes a simulation model to capture the whole process of CET operation. A large CET in northern China was selected as a case study to investigate the coal stockyard operation. Four stock position scheduling strategies were analyzed and compared through the simulation technique. Discussion of the simulation results under different strategies can provide a comprehensive basis for stock position scheduling strategy selection by CET managers.

堆场是煤炭出口码头的核心部分。由于受到各种影响因素的制约,对大学英语考试复杂的排课过程的研究还不够全面。到目前为止,对于煤炭堆场来说,大多数堆垛调度策略仍然是人工调度。堆场效率低已成为制约CET生产能力的主要瓶颈。因此,本文提出了一种模拟模型来捕捉CET运行的全过程。本文以中国北方某大型煤场为研究对象,对煤场经营进行了实证研究。通过仿真技术对四种库存调度策略进行了分析和比较。讨论不同策略下的仿真结果,可以为CET管理者选择库存调度策略提供全面的依据。
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引用次数: 0
Empirical recommendations based on case studies in Japan for sustainable innovative mobility in rural areas 基于日本案例研究的农村地区可持续创新流动的实证建议
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100079
Koichi Fujisaki , Tomoko Yasuda , Takahiro Ishigami , Kazuhiko Makimura , Haruo Ishida

Several innovative mobility pilots have been launched in Japan to address the vicious spiral of decreasing usage, revenue, and attractiveness of rural public transport which would support the residents' daily lives. This research examines these case studies to discern measures for implementing sustainable innovative mobility in local areas that are integrated into a wider public transport (PT) network. The context in Japan is in contrast to Europe, in that the main providers of PT services in Japan are private companies. Examining the result of interviews with the planners and stakeholders of these Japanese initiatives, this paper recommends mobility planners consider several perspectives such as envisioning future area management, connecting private-sector invention and local public transport operators’ resources as well as other sectors, deploying technology that matches small area scale and user needs, integration into wider public transport network, for sustainable rural mobility.

日本已经启动了几个创新的移动试点项目,以解决农村公共交通使用率、收入和吸引力下降的恶性循环,这将支持居民的日常生活。本研究考察了这些案例研究,以找出在当地实施可持续创新交通的措施,并将其纳入更广泛的公共交通(PT)网络。日本的情况与欧洲不同,日本PT服务的主要提供者是私营公司。通过对这些日本举措的规划者和利益相关者的访谈结果,本文建议交通规划者考虑几个方面,如设想未来的区域管理,将私营部门的发明与当地公共交通运营商的资源以及其他部门联系起来,部署与小区域规模和用户需求相匹配的技术,整合到更广泛的公共交通网络中,以实现可持续的农村交通。
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引用次数: 4
Examining potentials and practical constraints of mobile phone data for improving transport planning in developing countries 审查移动电话数据在改善发展中国家运输规划方面的潜力和实际限制
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2021.100043
Yuma Tsumura , Yoshihisa Asada , Hiroshi Kanasugi , Ayumi Arai , Ryosuke Shibasaki , Hirohisa Kawaguchi , Kaoru Yamada

The advantages and constraints of mobile phone data, call detail records (CDRs), for comprehending travel patterns were argued in previous studies. However, the spatio-temporal tendencies of the estimated travel patterns from CDR data have been underrepresented from the viewpoint of transport planning practice. This study scrutinizes the benefits and constraints of CDR data for grasping spatio-temporal travel patterns through multidimensional comparison between origin-destination matrices generated from aggregated CDR data and household travel survey (HTS) data from Colombo, Sri Lanka. The results show the potential of CDR data to complement the conventional drawbacks of HTSs. They also indicate practical constraints owing to the nature of CDR data and the possible impacts of data protection measures. This study summarizes how the results could be used for interpreting the time coverage and distribution, trip type, spatial distribution, and population projection and coverage to discuss future directions toward improving transport planning in developing countries.

在以往的研究中,人们讨论了手机通话记录(cdr)在理解旅行模式方面的优势和局限性。然而,从交通规划实践的角度来看,从CDR数据估计的出行模式的时空趋势尚未得到充分体现。本研究通过对汇总CDR数据和斯里兰卡科伦坡家庭旅行调查(HTS)数据生成的出发地-目的地矩阵的多维比较,审视了CDR数据在把握时空旅行模式方面的优势和制约因素。结果表明,CDR数据有潜力弥补hts的传统缺陷。它们还表明,由于CDR数据的性质以及数据保护措施可能产生的影响,存在实际限制。本研究总结了研究结果如何用于解释时间覆盖和分布、出行类型、空间分布以及人口预测和覆盖范围,以讨论改善发展中国家交通规划的未来方向。
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引用次数: 3
Erratum to “Using social and economic factors for ranking pavement maintenance and rehabilitation projects” [Asian Transport Studies, 6 (2020) 100026] “基于社会经济因素的道路养护和修复项目排名”的勘误[j] .亚洲交通研究,6(2020)100026。
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2021.100053
Sarala Gunathilaka, Niranga Amarasingha
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引用次数: 0
Erratum to “Factors affecting analysis of the severity of accidents in cold and snowy areas using the ordered probit model” [Asian Transp. Stud. 7 (2021) 100035] “用有序概率模型分析寒冷多雪地区事故严重程度的影响因素”[亚洲运输]。螺柱7 (2021)100035]
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2021.100047
Satoshi Hyodo, Kenta Hasegawa
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Asian Transport Studies
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