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Development of a method for estimating road surface condition in winter using random forest 基于随机森林的冬季路面状况估算方法的研究
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-06-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100077
Yoshiaki Takasaki , Miguel Saldana , Jun Ito , Kazushi Sano

Because road surface snow conditions are mainly monitored by road patrols, if road surface conditions can be estimated based on meteorological conditions and traffic volume, winter road management can be performed more efficiently. Therefore, this study focuses on estimating road surface snow conditions. The relationship between weather conditions, traffic volume, and road surface conditions was analyzed, and a road surface condition estimation model was constructed using random forest. In addition, because there is a relationship between road surface conditions and tire noise, we estimated the road surface condition by adding tire noise to the weather and traffic volume. As a result, we constructed a model for estimating the road surface condition from the weather and traffic volume, with an accuracy of approximately 95%. The accuracy was slightly lower when the tire noise was added.

由于路面雪况主要由道路巡逻监测,如果能够根据气象条件和交通量估算路面情况,冬季道路管理可以更高效地进行。因此,本研究的重点是路面雪况的估算。分析了天气条件、交通量和路面状况之间的关系,并利用随机森林建立了路面状况估计模型。此外,由于路面状况与轮胎噪声之间存在关系,我们通过将轮胎噪声加入天气和交通量来估计路面状况。因此,我们构建了一个根据天气和交通量估算路面状况的模型,准确率约为95%。当加入轮胎噪声时,精度略低。
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引用次数: 1
A transportation choice model on the commuter railroads using inverse reinforcement learning 基于逆强化学习的通勤铁路交通选择模型
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-05-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100072
Tomohiro Okubo , Naohiro Kitano , Akinori Morimoto

Conventional transportation policies for railroads have primarily focused on minimizing the negative utility, such as shortening the travel time and reducing congestion. However, with the recent introduction of trains with extra fares for greater comfort and changes in work styles, there is an increasing need to focus on the positive utility of travel itself. Moreover, advances in machine learning and artificial intelligence research have facilitated highly accurate and objective analysis from vast amounts of data. The purpose of this research is to construct a new transportation choice model using inverse reinforcement learning, which is a machine learning method, and to quantify the positive utility of commuter railroads. The results of a comparison of the proposed model with conventional methods indicate the advantages and disadvantages of the model. Further, a transportation choice model for railroads was created to understand the tendency of each selected train type.

传统的铁路运输政策主要集中在最小化负效用,如缩短旅行时间和减少拥堵。然而,随着最近为了更舒适而额外收费的火车的引进和工作方式的变化,人们越来越需要关注旅行本身的积极效用。此外,机器学习和人工智能研究的进步促进了从大量数据中进行高度准确和客观的分析。本研究的目的是利用逆强化学习(一种机器学习方法)构建一个新的交通选择模型,并量化通勤铁路的正效用。将该模型与传统方法进行了比较,结果表明了该模型的优缺点。此外,还建立了铁路运输选择模型,以了解每种选择的列车类型的趋势。
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引用次数: 1
Genetic algorithm with an event-based simulator for solving the fleet allocation problem in an electric vehicle sharing system 基于事件模拟器的遗传算法求解电动汽车共享系统中的车队分配问题
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-02-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100060
Hui-Chieh Li , Chung-Cheng Lu , Timo Eccarius , Min-Yi Hsieh

The study deals with the fleet allocation problem in public electric vehicle (EV) systems with consideration of demand uncertainty. The problem aims to determine the optimal number of EVs deployed at each station and the objective is to minimize the total system cost. We propose a genetic algorithm (GA) with an event-based simulator to solve this problem. To consider demand uncertainty, an event-based simulator is developed and embedded in the GA. This study generates and solves a number of instances based on the historical data obtained from an EV-Sharing system operator in Sun Moon Lake national park in Taiwan. We compare the solutions of the GA with those of an enumeration method. The results show that the GA is able to obtain the optimal solution for more than 70% of the instances. Even when the GA fails to find the optimum, the gaps between optimal solutions and heuristic solutions are less than 0.1%. Moreover, all solutions are found within a reasonable amount of time. The proposed solution approach provides decision support for the fleet allocation in EV-sharing systems.

研究了考虑需求不确定性的公共电动汽车系统的车队分配问题。该问题的目的是确定在每个站点部署的电动汽车的最佳数量,目标是使系统总成本最小化。我们提出了一种基于事件模拟器的遗传算法来解决这个问题。为了考虑需求的不确定性,开发了一个基于事件的仿真器并将其嵌入到遗传算法中。本研究以台湾日月潭国家公园电动汽车共享系统营运商的历史资料为基础,生成并解决若干实例。我们比较了遗传算法的解与枚举法的解。结果表明,遗传算法能够在70%以上的实例中获得最优解。即使遗传算法没有找到最优解,最优解和启发式解之间的差距也小于0.1%。此外,所有的解决方案都是在合理的时间内找到的。该解决方案为电动汽车共享系统中的车队分配提供决策支持。
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引用次数: 3
Characterizing the economic competitiveness of battery electric vehicles in India 描述印度电池电动汽车的经济竞争力
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-03-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100069
Amrut P. Bhosale , Shreyansh Sharma , S.A. Mastud

Electric Vehicles being at a nascent stage in India, albeit at a slower growth rate, faces a significant barrier of economic compatibility. For countries like India, the economic aspect plays a vital role in the widespread of Electric Vehicles. Concentrating on the cost aspect, this paper contemplates the economic compatibility of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) with conventional IC Engine Vehicles (ICEVs), considering a paring vehicle approach and analysing the case study of India. As less research is carried out for India, we aim to develop an extensive total cost of ownership (TCO) model. Furthermore, the Sensitivity analysis presents the effect on TCO by considering parameters as incentives, reduction in battery prices, finance interest rates and Annual Kilometre Travelled (AKT) &EV + PV integration. For the base case, a much abysmal performance is observed for BEVs. While accounting for various Sensitivity analysis parameters, some BEVs reach cost parity while some become more economical than ICEVs.

电动汽车在印度处于初级阶段,尽管增长速度较慢,但面临着经济兼容性的重大障碍。对于像印度这样的国家来说,经济方面在电动汽车的普及中起着至关重要的作用。着眼于成本方面,本文考虑了电动汽车(bev)与传统内燃机汽车(icev)的经济兼容性,考虑了一种对等车辆方法,并分析了印度的案例研究。由于对印度进行的研究较少,我们的目标是开发一个广泛的总拥有成本(TCO)模型。此外,敏感性分析通过考虑激励、电池价格降低、金融利率和年行驶公里数(AKT) & EV + PV集成等参数,展示了对TCO的影响。对于基本情况,bev的性能非常糟糕。考虑到各种灵敏度分析参数,一些纯电动汽车达到了成本平价,而另一些则比纯电动汽车更经济。
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引用次数: 9
Exploring the impacts of online food delivery service on facility distribution: A case of Jakarta, Indonesia 探讨在线外卖服务对设施配送的影响:以印度尼西亚雅加达为例
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-06-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100078
Maya Safira , Makoto Chikaraishi

Multi-service transport platforms (MSTPs) such as GOJEK and GRAB, providing access to many services without traveling, may lead to changes in activity and travel decisions, in turn leading to changes in the distribution of facilities, evidenced by a different distribution pattern and spatial concentration of online food merchants that only provide online food delivery services. This study empirically explores the impacts of MSTPs on food merchant distribution in Jakarta by identifying differences in distributions of dine-in and online food merchants. Our empirical results focusing on the agglomeration of facilities with different spatial scales showed that, while dine-in food merchants are more agglomerated at the metropolitan scale, online food merchants are more agglomerated at the neighborhood scale, presumably due to the necessity to attract MSTP drivers to keep the delivery service level. We also found that online food merchants tend to be agglomerated in the center and fringe area of the city.

GOJEK和GRAB等多服务运输平台(mstp)在不出行的情况下提供多种服务,可能导致活动和出行决策的变化,进而导致设施分布的变化,仅提供在线食品配送服务的在线食品商家的分布格局和空间集中度不同。本研究通过识别在餐馆和网上食品商家分布的差异,实证探讨了mstp对雅加达食品商家分布的影响。我们对不同空间尺度设施集聚的实证结果表明,在城市尺度上,餐饮商户的集聚程度更高,而在社区尺度上,线上餐饮商户的集聚程度更高,这可能是由于需要吸引MSTP司机来保持配送服务水平。我们还发现,网上食品商家倾向于集中在城市的中心和边缘地区。
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引用次数: 4
A proposal of envelope theorem on the mixed traffic of pedestrians and various mobilities 行人与各种交通工具混合交通的包络定理的提出
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2021.100050
Lubing Zou, Tetsuo Yai

As machines gradually are introduced in human society and share public spaces with people, achieving human-machine coexistence becomes significant. Previous studies make contributions but are still insufficient to satisfy the needs of mixed traffic when mobilities increase. For dealing with the mixed traffic and ensuring safe and comfortable walking environments of pedestrians, this research proposes a new envelope theorem divided into physical and mental envelopes. The mental envelope (ME) as the focus of this research explains pedestrian perceptions from two perspectives, SME and OME, expanding the traditional interpersonal distance. To preliminarily explore the acceptance of two MEs and compare their differences, we conduct a questionnaire survey. The results show that MEs are accepted by participants, and express different pedestrian perceptions. The responses of subjective priority order showing the differences between SME and OME indicate their possible relationship. These findings would be beneficial to explore the future applications of MEs.

随着机器逐渐进入人类社会,与人类共享公共空间,实现人机共存变得非常重要。以往的研究有一定的贡献,但仍不足以满足流动性增加时混合交通的需求。为了应对混合交通,保证行人安全舒适的行走环境,本研究提出了一种新的包络定理,分为物理包络和心理包络。心理包络(ME)作为本研究的重点,从中小企业和OME两个角度解释了行人的感知,扩大了传统的人际距离。为了初步探讨两种微信的接受程度并比较其差异,我们进行了问卷调查。结果表明,微信号被参与者所接受,并表达了不同的行人感知。中小企业与中小企业在主观优先顺序上的差异反映了它们之间可能存在的关系。这些发现将有助于探索微机械的未来应用。
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引用次数: 1
Prediction of travel time on urban road links with and without point detectors 有和没有点探测器的城市道路交通时间预测
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-06-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100081
Ang Li , William H.K. Lam , Mei Lam Tam , Ren Xin Zhong , Wei Ma

This paper proposes a short-term rolling horizon framework for the within-day prediction of travel times on links with and without point detectors (referred to as observed and unobserved links respectively) along a selected path covered in the Hong Kong journey time indication system (JTIS). In Hong Kong JTIS, the number of point detectors on major roads is usually limited due to the financial budget and site constraints in the densely populated urban area. However, the prediction of the travel times on urban road corridors particularly on the links without point detectors is also valuable to road users and traffic authorities. This paper proposes a 2-stage framework based on functional principal component analysis and maximum likelihood estimation method to predict the mean and standard deviation of the travel times on the study path and observed links as well as unobserved links once every 2 min for the next 30 min. An urban road network in Hong Kong is selected as a case study. The prediction results are validated using an independent dataset from JTIS, demonstrating the practical applicability of the proposed framework.

本文提出了一个短期滚动地平线框架,用于在香港行程时间指示系统(JTIS)中选定的路径上,对有点探测器和没有点探测器的路段(分别称为观测路段和未观测路段)的行程时间进行日内预测。在香港JTIS,由于财政预算和人口密集的市区场地限制,主要道路上的点探测器数量通常有限。然而,预测城市道路走廊,特别是没有点探测器的路段的行驶时间对道路使用者和交通当局也很有价值。本文提出了一个基于功能主成分分析和最大似然估计方法的两阶段框架,以预测未来30分钟内每2分钟一次的研究路径和观察到的链路以及未观察到的链路的旅行时间的平均值和标准差。本文选择了香港的城市道路网络作为案例研究。利用JTIS的独立数据集对预测结果进行了验证,验证了所提框架的实际适用性。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying golden routes in tourist areas based on AMP collectors 基于AMP收集器的旅游区黄金路线识别
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2021.100052
Guanghui Zhou , Fumitaka Kurauchi , Shin Ito , Ran Du

This study uses anonymous media access control address packet (AMP) collector data obtained from Wi-Fi signals to identify golden routes, i.e., routes that are most frequently followed in tourist areas. The rise of radiofrequency scanner technology has led to its potential application in the observation of people movements. This study analysed the travelling behaviour of tourists in the Higashiyama area (Kyoto, Japan) using digital footprint data collected by 20 AMP sensors. K-means clustering analysis was performed to identify the trajectory of tourists. Then, sequential pattern mining was used to extract the frequent sequence of destinations visited by tourists. As a result, we characterised the smart device users into four groups: same-day visitors, overnight visitors, commuters, and residents. Moreover, it was found that the most frequent trip patterns of tourists matched our expectations, and we conclude that the proposed method can identify golden routes.

本研究使用从Wi-Fi信号中获得的匿名媒体访问控制地址包(AMP)采集器数据来识别黄金路线,即旅游区最常遵循的路线。射频扫描技术的兴起使其在观察人体运动方面具有潜在的应用前景。本研究利用20个AMP传感器收集的数字足迹数据,分析了日本京都东山地区游客的旅行行为。采用k -均值聚类分析来识别游客的轨迹。然后,采用顺序模式挖掘方法提取游客频繁访问目的地的序列。因此,我们将智能设备用户分为四组:当日访客、过夜访客、通勤者和居民。此外,游客最频繁的旅行模式与我们的预期相匹配,我们认为所提出的方法可以识别黄金路线。
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引用次数: 3
Analysis of left-turn lane capacity under autonomous vehicle mixed flow considering the influence of pedestrian volume and crosswalk length 考虑行人量和人行横道长度影响的自动车辆混合流左转弯车道容量分析
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-03-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100070
Xin Zhang, Yifei Wang, Hideki Nakamura, Kaixin Liu

Conflicts between pedestrians and left-turning vehicles cause pedestrian safety hazards and decrease vehicle turning capacity at signalized intersections. This commonly occurs in Japan where they share the same traffic light phase. Road capacity is influenced by the interaction between them. Autonomous vehicles (AVs) promise to improve the safety and efficiency of road networks. However, they will face the same problems as human-driven vehicles with pedestrian avoidance. Thus, this study estimated the capacity of the left-turn lane, in Japan, under AV mixed flows taking into account AV penetration rates, pedestrian flow rates, and crosswalk length. The impact of AVs on capacity was analyzed with different settings for the critical gap between vehicles and pedestrians. It was found that if AVs comply perfectly with traffic law, the capacity of the left-turn lane sharply decreases, especially in the case of long crosswalks.

在信号交叉口,行人与左转车辆发生冲突会造成行人安全隐患,降低车辆的转弯能力。这种情况在日本很常见,因为它们共用同一个红绿灯阶段。道路通行能力受二者相互作用的影响。自动驾驶汽车有望提高道路网络的安全性和效率。然而,它们将面临与人类驾驶的车辆一样的问题。因此,本研究在考虑自动驾驶汽车普及率、行人流量和人行横道长度的情况下,估计了日本自动驾驶汽车混合流量下的左转车道容量。在车辆与行人的临界距离设置不同的情况下,分析了自动驾驶汽车对通行能力的影响。研究发现,如果自动驾驶汽车完全遵守交通法规,左转弯车道的通行能力会急剧下降,特别是在长人行横道的情况下。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of wheelchair accessibility in train stations using a spatial network 基于空间网络的火车站轮椅可达性评价
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 Epub Date: 2022-03-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100067
Yuko Arai , Takahiko Kusakabe , Yukari Niwa , Kentaro Honma

The universal design of public transportation is a crucial task worldwide, especially in aging societies. For this reason, public agencies and train operators have advocated for universal architectural design for train stations, for instance, installing elevators and designing step-free routes. However, the location of elevators is often decided on an ad-hoc basis, and wheelchair users are often forced to take unnecessary detours and collision risks. This is because few methodologies are available for making an integrated evaluation of spatial structure and wheelchair accessibility.

This paper introduces an evaluation framework based on network analysis to evaluate wheelchair accessibility from the aspect of the spatial structure at train stations. Specifically, we first develop weighted network data that describe the spatial structure of train stations in detail to represent the mobility restrictions of wheelchair users and pedestrians. We next propose several indices to evaluate each station in terms of its wheelchair accessibility using these data: “reachable time indices,” which measure the time to the train doors from the ticket gate, and “level of path independence,” which describes the low risk of collisions on paths. This evaluation framework was applied to nine train stations in Tokyo, Japan, as case studies to examine the relationship between spatial structure and wheelchair accessibility. As a result, we found three important relationships. First, placing an elevator in the center of a platform narrows the range of the reachable times for wheelchair users. Second, the proximity of elevator doors to stairs or escalator entrances tends to increase the risk of collisions with pedestrians. Third, a wheelchair stairlift installed in place of elevators increases the minimum reachable time and increases the risk of collisions on designated paths. These insights will be useful for finding facilities that require improvement in the wheelchair accessibility of step-free routes.

公共交通的通用设计是世界范围内的一项重要任务,特别是在老龄化社会。出于这个原因,公共机构和火车运营商一直提倡火车站的通用建筑设计,例如安装电梯和设计无台阶路线。然而,电梯的位置通常是临时决定的,轮椅使用者经常被迫走不必要的弯路,冒着碰撞的风险。这是因为很少有方法可以对空间结构和轮椅可达性进行综合评价。本文介绍了基于网络分析的评价框架,从空间结构角度对火车站轮椅可达性进行评价。具体而言,我们首先开发加权网络数据,详细描述火车站的空间结构,以表示轮椅使用者和行人的行动限制。接下来,我们提出了几个指标,利用这些数据来评估每个车站的轮椅可达性:“可达时间指标”,衡量从检票口到火车门的时间,以及“路径独立性水平”,描述路径上碰撞的低风险。该评价框架应用于日本东京的9个火车站,作为研究空间结构与轮椅可达性之间关系的案例研究。结果,我们发现了三个重要的关系。首先,在平台的中心放置电梯缩小了轮椅使用者可到达的时间范围。其次,电梯门靠近楼梯或自动扶梯入口往往会增加与行人相撞的风险。第三,安装轮椅楼梯电梯代替电梯,增加了最短到达时间,并增加了指定路径上碰撞的风险。这些见解将有助于找到需要改善无障碍路线轮椅可达性的设施。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Asian Transport Studies
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