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A quasi-dynamic location equilibrium model for urban policymaking as autonomous cars increase mobility 自动驾驶汽车提高流动性时城市决策的准动态位置均衡模型
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2024.100144
Tetsuji Sato , Kazuma Okada

The growing utilization of autonomous cars may affect people's residential location choice behavior and change the population distribution in a city, contrary to compact city policy. This paper proposes a model to estimate the time-series impacts of autonomous cars on population distribution in a city. The model basically consists of the primary factors cohort method and a housing land location equilibrium model. The location equilibrium model considers the residential location choice behavior of individuals, while prior models have been based on the behavior of households. We applied the model to Niigata City, Japan and analyzed the impact of permission to utilize autonomous cars (an increase in car availability to non-drivers) in the whole area of the city and only in the suburbs. Results indicated that permission to utilize autonomous cars only in the suburbs may lead to urban sprawl.

自动驾驶汽车的日益普及可能会影响人们的居住地选择行为,并改变城市的人口分布,这与紧凑型城市政策背道而驰。本文提出了一个模型来估计自动驾驶汽车对城市人口分布的时序影响。该模型基本由主要因素队列法和住房用地区位均衡模型组成。位置均衡模型考虑的是个人的住宅位置选择行为,而之前的模型都是基于家庭的行为。我们将该模型应用于日本新泻市,分析了允许使用自动驾驶汽车(增加非驾驶者的汽车可用性)对整个城市地区和仅对郊区的影响。结果表明,只允许在郊区使用自动驾驶汽车可能会导致城市无序扩张。
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引用次数: 0
Operational performance evaluation of a container terminal using data mining and simulation 利用数据挖掘和模拟对集装箱码头的运营绩效进行评估
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2024.100127
Tiago Novaes Mathias , Hideyo Inutsuka , Takeshi Shinoda , Yoshihisa Sugimura

The efficient operation of container terminals facilitates the seamless flow of goods across borders. New technologies such as big data, data mining, and simulation models, have emerged in the maritime industry, enabling optimization and performance evaluation. This study investigated how data science using operational data can improve container terminal operations, drive efficiency, enhance throughput, and bolster competitiveness in the shipping sector. Decision-making within container terminals, particularly in determining optimal container stacking locations, poses a significant challenge owing to the multitude of factors at play. By analyzing the datasets, new strategies and policies can be simulated to minimize container rehandling operations. This study focuses on the Hakata International Container Terminal in Japan, where daily operational data from rubber-tired gantry equipment are used to investigate container movements. A significant reduction in the total number of movements required to perform container-handling operations was demonstrated by implementing data-driven strategies and simulation modeling.

集装箱码头的高效运作有助于货物跨境无缝流动。海运业出现了大数据、数据挖掘和模拟模型等新技术,使优化和性能评估成为可能。本研究探讨了数据科学如何利用运营数据改善集装箱码头运营、提高效率、增加吞吐量并增强航运业的竞争力。集装箱码头内的决策制定,尤其是确定最佳集装箱堆放位置的决策制定,因涉及众多因素而面临巨大挑战。通过分析数据集,可以模拟出新的策略和政策,从而最大限度地减少集装箱重新装卸作业。本研究以日本博多国际集装箱码头为研究对象,利用橡胶龙门设备的每日运行数据来调查集装箱的移动情况。通过实施数据驱动策略和模拟建模,证明集装箱装卸作业所需的总移动次数大幅减少。
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引用次数: 0
Economic impact analysis of developing the JR Haneda Airport Access Line 开发 JR 羽田机场交通线的经济影响分析
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2024.100128
Tetsuji Sato , Yuta Ito , Yuta Tsuzuki

The East Japan Railway Company is planning a new access railway line to the Tokyo International (Haneda) Airport. This paper proposes an evaluation method for the development of the new airport access line considering the socioeconomic characteristics of the Greater Tokyo Area and indicates what is needed to increase its social value. As the evaluation method, we develop an econometric model that considers commuters’ trip behaviors across prefectures and the relationship between the increased number of Meeting, Incentive Travel, Convention, Exhibition and Event (MICE) visitors and the regional economy. We also conduct a simulation analysis using an empirical econometric model and a cost-effectiveness analysis based on multiple scenarios. The results indicate that a 50% increase in MICE visitors is needed to make the present discounted value of the total increase in the gross regional product larger than the construction cost of the line.

东日本旅客铁道公司正在规划一条通往东京国际(羽田)机场的新铁路线。本文结合大东京地区的社会经济特点,提出了新机场通道线路开发的评估方法,并指出了提高其社会价值所需的条件。作为评估方法,我们建立了一个计量经济学模型,该模型考虑了乘客在各都道府县的出行行为,以及会议、奖励旅游、大会、展览和活动(MICE)游客数量的增加与地区经济之间的关系。我们还使用实证计量经济学模型进行了模拟分析,并根据多种方案进行了成本效益分析。结果表明,会展游客需要增加 50%,才能使地区生产总值总增长的现贴现值大于该线路的建设成本。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative analysis of various pedestrian-crossing facilities on highways and the selection of a cost-effective facility by maximizing the benefit-cost ratio 对高速公路上的各种行人过街设施进行比较分析,并通过效益成本比最大化来选择具有成本效益的设施
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2024.100123
Md Atiqullah Bhuiyan , Mihoko Matsuyuki , Shinji Tanaka

In high-density pedestrian crossflow locations, pedestrians considerably affect the vehicle flow. On arterial roads where speed is the main concern, unanticipated pedestrian crossings generate conflicts between vehicles and pedestrians, thereby creating congestion and increasing the travel time cost. In this study, the viability of various pedestrian crossing facilities is evaluated in terms of the flow characteristics and benefit-cost ratio (BCR). Grade-separated pedestrian crossing facilities offer high mobility and save travel time costs for vehicles; however, these are sometimes discouraged because of high construction costs. The optimal crossing facility is determined by comparing the travel time costs for both the vehicles and pedestrians. This study argues that grade-separated crossings yield a superior BCR in areas with limited pedestrian traffic, whereas in densely pedestrianized areas, pedestrian signals boast the highest BCR among all pedestrian crossing facilities. These findings will improve the planning of cost-effective pedestrian crossing facilities.

在人流密集的交叉路口,行人会对车流产生很大影响。在以车速为主要考虑因素的主干道上,意料之外的人行横道会引发车辆与行人之间的冲突,从而造成拥堵并增加行车时间成本。在本研究中,我们根据人流特征和效益成本比(BCR)对各种行人过街设施的可行性进行了评估。分层行人过街设施具有较高的流动性,可为车辆节省出行时间成本;但由于建设成本较高,这些设施有时并不受欢迎。最佳的过街设施是通过比较车辆和行人的出行时间成本来确定的。本研究认为,在行人流量有限的地区,分层过街设施具有更高的通行时间成本,而在行人密集的地区,行人信号灯是所有行人过街设施中通行时间成本最高的。这些研究结果将改善具有成本效益的行人过街设施的规划。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of physical functional characteristics of older drivers on spatial cognition at unsignalized intersections 老年驾驶员的身体功能特征对无信号交叉路口空间认知的影响
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2024.100140
Yasuhiro Mimura , Keiichi Higuchi , Ryo Tomura , Shinji Yoshida

This study analyzed the relationship between gaze behavior and physical functions of elderly drivers at unsignalized intersections, which have spatial characteristics that make elderly drivers more likely to be on the at-fault side of a collision. Twenty-nine elderly and 14 non-elderly drivers were asked to view 360-degree videos from five different routes of two unsignalized intersections under conditions similar to actual driving. The results were as follows. (1) The eye movement distance (EMD) was shorter for elderly drivers in most of the driving sections, with the section "At slowdown" on non-priority roads being the section where a significant difference was likely to occur. (2) For both elderly and non-elderly drivers, the amount of EMD was significantly related to visual and general physical functions such as flexibility, equilibrium, and agility.

本研究分析了老年驾驶员在无信号灯交叉路口的注视行为与身体机能之间的关系,因为无信号灯交叉路口的空间特征使得老年驾驶员更有可能成为碰撞事故的过错方。研究人员要求 29 名老年驾驶员和 14 名非老年驾驶员在与实际驾驶类似的条件下观看两个无信号交叉路口五条不同路线的 360 度视频。结果如下(1) 在大多数驾驶路段中,老年驾驶者的眼动距离(EMD)都较短,而在非优先道路的 "减速 "路段中,老年驾驶者的眼动距离可能会出现显著差异。(2) 无论是老年驾驶者还是非老年驾驶者,眼动距离的长短都与视觉和一般身体机能(如灵活性、平衡性和敏捷性)有显著关系。
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引用次数: 0
How do fares affect the utilization of ride-hailing services: Evidence from Uber Japan's experiments 票价如何影响打车服务的使用率?优步日本公司的实验证据
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2023.100121
Krittanai Sriwongphanawes, Daisuke Fukuda

Ride-hailing has been introduced and has become popular in many major cities worldwide. The service often relies on the use of dynamic pricing, in which fares are adjusted in real time. Therefore, understanding the impact of fare on demand is necessary for the operation of ride-hailing. The aim of this study is to empirically investigate the impact of fares on demand through price elasticities using the session data of Uber taxis from Uber Japan's experiments in two cities: Nagoya and Kyoto. A mixed logit model with a flexible mixing distribution was estimated to capture the taste heterogeneity among riders, which increased the reliability of the result. The estimation results indicated that most riders were price inelastic, with an average price elasticity of approximately −0.2 to −0.1. These findings are useful for ride-hailing companies and policymakers because they provide valuable information to enable the maximization of profit or benefit to customers.

世界各地的许多大城市都推出并流行打车服务。这种服务通常依赖于动态定价,即实时调整票价。因此,了解票价对需求的影响对打车服务的运营十分必要。本研究的目的是利用 Uber 日本公司在两个城市的实验数据,通过价格弹性来实证研究车费对需求的影响:名古屋和京都。为了捕捉乘客之间的口味异质性,采用了具有灵活混合分布的混合对数模型进行估计,从而提高了结果的可靠性。估计结果表明,大多数乘客缺乏价格弹性,平均价格弹性约为-0.2 至-0.1。这些研究结果对打车公司和政策制定者很有帮助,因为它们提供了有价值的信息,有助于实现利润或客户利益的最大化。
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引用次数: 0
Potential of promoting electric vehicle-sharing services for tourists in Japan’s nonurban destinations 在日本非城市旅游景点推广电动汽车共享服务的潜力
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2024.100141
Yue Wang , Meilan Jiang , Toshiyuki Yamamoto , Jia Yang , Motohiro Yamazaki

Electric mobility is a potential solution to address the environmental challenges posed by climate change. In addition, car-sharing can serve as a solution to local problems, such as traffic congestion and parking pressure in nonurban areas. Although electric vehicles (EVs) are becoming more common in car-sharing fleets globally, the momentum is less prominent in Japan. In this study, the potential of EV sharing to serve domestic tourists in Japan’s nonurban areas was investigated by examining tourists’ choices in transportation mode to reach their destinations and the use of EV sharing after arrival. A hybrid choice model was specified to analyze the effects of observed and latent factors on tourists’ behavior. Although the analysis results generally indicate strong obstacles to EV sharing, reducing the cost of access to EV-sharing services in nonurban areas where public transportation and parking services are limited could increase potential demand.

电动交通是应对气候变化带来的环境挑战的潜在解决方案。此外,汽车共享还可以解决当地的问题,如非城市地区的交通拥堵和停车压力。虽然电动汽车(EV)在全球汽车共享车队中越来越常见,但在日本,这一势头并不突出。本研究通过考察游客在到达目的地前对交通方式的选择以及到达目的地后对共享电动汽车的使用情况,探讨了共享电动汽车服务于日本非城市地区国内游客的潜力。研究建立了一个混合选择模型,以分析观察因素和潜在因素对游客行为的影响。虽然分析结果普遍表明共享电动汽车存在很大障碍,但在公共交通和停车服务有限的非城市地区,降低使用共享电动汽车服务的成本可以增加潜在需求。
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引用次数: 0
Editorial: Logistics in Asia: The post-pandemic era 社论:亚洲物流:后大流行病时代
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2024.100134
Ryuichi Shibasaki, Yunhong Min, Tomoya Kawasaki, Chathumi Ayanthi Kavirathna
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引用次数: 0
Drivers' collision avoidance behavior: Timing of pedestrian detection when turning right at signalized intersections 驾驶员的避撞行为:在信号灯控制的交叉路口右转时检测行人的时机
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2024.100132
Chinami Fukui , Sho Takahashi , Toru Hagiwara

This study evaluated drivers' collision avoidance behavior by focusing on the timing of their visual detection of pedestrians when turning right at signalized intersections. A headset-based virtual reality driving simulator was used to monitor drivers' behavior. The experiment showed that early detection of pedestrians can reduce the potential for severe conflicts. Drivers found it difficult to detect pedestrians early when using a gap between oncoming vehicles to turn right. Based on gaze tracking, we propose and validate a safety level that could potentially evaluate the potential for conflict between pedestrians and a right-turning vehicle. To increase safety level reliability, the speed of the right-turning vehicle should be included in addition to the eye measurements.

本研究通过关注驾驶员在信号灯控制的交叉路口右转时视觉检测到行人的时机,评估了驾驶员的避免碰撞行为。研究使用了基于耳机的虚拟现实驾驶模拟器来监测驾驶员的行为。实验结果表明,及早发现行人可以减少潜在的严重冲突。驾驶员发现,在利用迎面车辆之间的空隙右转时,很难及早发现行人。基于注视跟踪,我们提出并验证了一种安全等级,它可以评估行人与右转车辆之间发生冲突的可能性。为了提高安全等级的可靠性,除了眼动测量之外,还应包括右转车辆的速度。
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引用次数: 0
How transit-oriented development concepts and strategies influenced green transport systems: A meta-analysis approach 以公交为导向的发展概念和战略如何影响绿色交通系统:荟萃分析法
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2024.100136
Barbara T.H. Yen , Corinne Mulley , Maggie Y.J. Chen , Yu-Chiun Chiou

Transit-oriented development (TOD) is a major planning tool to promote green transport mode share. There are many previous studies in this field but with very diverse research focuses and outcomes. This study has classified the research purposes of previous studies into four categories: exploratory; potential and challenges; performance evaluation; and in-depth investigation. To identify critical factors that might influence green transport systems, a systematic literature review is delivered via a meta-analysis. Specifically, green transport mode share was set as the dependent variable and a proxy for TOD outcomes. From the model results, several key factors are identified. For example, built environment planning (e.g., pedestrian sidewalks) plays a critical role in green transport systems. The main findings of this paper can provide clear direction to current TOD, such as how to improve TOD outcomes and providing planning guidance for potential TOD.

公交导向发展(TOD)是促进绿色交通方式共享的主要规划工具。以往在这一领域有许多研究,但研究重点和成果各不相同。本研究将以往研究的目的分为四类:探索;潜力与挑战;绩效评估;深入调查。为了确定可能影响绿色交通系统的关键因素,本研究通过元分析进行了系统的文献综述。具体而言,绿色交通模式份额被设定为因变量,也是交通发展成果的替代变量。根据模型结果,确定了几个关键因素。例如,建筑环境规划(如人行道)在绿色交通系统中起着至关重要的作用。本文的主要结论可为当前的 TOD 提供明确的方向,如如何改善 TOD 的成果,并为潜在的 TOD 提供规划指导。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Asian Transport Studies
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