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Illegal parking attendants and parking (mis)management: A case study in Padang, West Sumatra, Indonesia 非法停车服务员与停车(不当)管理:以印尼西苏门答腊岛巴东为例
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2023.100118
Charoline Cheisviyanny , Amran Rasli , Sany Dwita , Deviani , Vita Fitria Sari

The presence of illegal parking attendants (IPAs) in Padang, Indonesia, indicates the practice of parking mismanagement. This study explored why the Padang government cannot control the widespread menace of IPAs using an interpretive approach based on mixed qualitative research. Data collection techniques were conducted through interviews with three different types of respondents. In addition, observations were made to further understand the phenomenon and triangulate the interview findings. The results revealed 3 indicators of parking mismanagement practice: (1) the inappropriate cash flow mechanism of parking charges, (2) the parking signs limitation, and (3) the weak law enforcement. Handling the IPA problem is a part of city development planning that all departments in the local government must pay attention of. The widespread existence of IPAs represents parking mismanagement and local government failure. We call for all the relevant departments and authorities to discuss and collaborate in finding a comprehensive solution to the IPA problem that has impacted Padang's tourism industry. We propose beneficial parking management design, technology utilization, and cashless procedures to overcome this problem.

在印尼巴东,非法停车服务员(IPAs)的存在表明了停车管理不善的做法。本研究以混合质性研究为基础,探讨巴东政府为何无法控制IPAs的广泛威胁。数据收集技术是通过与三种不同类型的受访者的访谈进行的。此外,还进行了观察,以进一步了解这一现象并对访谈结果进行三角测量。研究结果揭示了停车管理不善的3个指标:(1)停车收费现金流机制不合理;(2)停车标志限制;(3)执法不力。处理好IPA问题是城市发展规划中地方政府各部门必须重视的问题。IPAs的普遍存在代表着停车管理不善和地方政府的失败。我们呼吁所有相关部门和当局进行讨论和合作,以找到一个全面的解决方案,以解决影响巴东旅游业的IPA问题。我们提出了有益的停车管理设计、技术利用和无现金程序来克服这一问题。
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引用次数: 0
The accuracy of benefit-cost analysis for transport projects supported by the Asian Development Bank 亚洲开发银行支持的交通项目效益成本分析的准确性
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2023.100104
Yadi Wang, David Levinson

This paper analyses the accuracy of Benefit-Cost Analysis (BCA) of transport projects financed by the Asian Development Bank (ADB). Ex post evaluation of BCAs outside Europe and North America has been largely missing from the current literature. This study covers 59 roadway projects in developing countries funded by ADB and examines the accuracy of BCA results through four dimensions: frequency, magnitude, correlation, and tendency. We found that under an average project completion rate of 95.33%, the average construction cost overrun for 59 roadway projects is 10.71%, equivalent to USD 71.4 million. Grounded on 23 projects disclosing detailed economic analysis, we discovered a systematic tendency to understate both the present values of cost (18 out of 23 projects) and the present values of future economic benefits (13 out of 23 projects) in ex ante BCA. Furthermore, more than half of projects (25 out of 47) underestimated EIRR, and about 52.17% of them (12 out of 23) understated NPV. Since the underestimation of economic benefits is too small to counterbalance the underestimation of costs, the project EIRR is on average 5.4% lower than the initial expectation. Moreover, we discussed ADB’s choice of the social discount rate, shadow price, and counterfactual base scenarios, which significantly influence the accuracy of BCA results and the reliability of decision-making grounded on BCA results. Lastly, the causes of cost overruns and benefits underestimations were analyzed.

本文分析了亚洲开发银行交通项目效益成本分析的准确性。在当前的文献中,对欧洲和北美以外的BCA的事后评估在很大程度上是缺失的。本研究涵盖了亚洲开发银行资助的发展中国家的59个道路项目,并从频率、幅度、相关性和趋势四个维度检验了BCA结果的准确性。我们发现,在平均项目完成率为95.33%的情况下,59个道路项目的平均建设成本超支为10.71%,相当于7140万美元。基于披露详细经济分析的23个项目,我们发现在BCA之前,有一种系统性的倾向,即低估成本现值(23个项目中的18个)和未来经济效益现值(23个中的13个)。此外,超过一半的项目(47个项目中有25个)低估了EIRR,其中约52.17%的项目(23个项目中的12个项目)低估了NPV。由于对经济效益的低估太小,无法抵消对成本的低估,项目EIRR平均比最初预期低5.4%。此外,我们还讨论了亚洲开发银行对社会贴现率、影子价格和反事实基础情景的选择,这些情景对BCA结果的准确性和基于BCA结果决策的可靠性产生了显著影响。最后,分析了成本超支和效益低估的原因。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of telecommuting on Japanese Citizen's travel, activities, and residential locations: Experiences and future expectations under COVID-19 pandemic 远程办公对日本公民旅行、活动和居住地点的影响:COVID-19大流行下的经验和未来期望
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2023.100105
Jinjia Liang , Tomio Miwa , Jianbiao Wang , Takayuki Morikawa

In the past few years, telecommuting has diffused on a large scale across many developed countries; however, its popularity in Japan is low due to various factors and cultural differences. The outbreak of COVID-19 has made the adoption of telecommuting indispensable, reaching an unprecedented level in Japan, bringing dramatic changes in the lifestyles and behaviors of citizens. This study investigates how and to what extent this pandemic-induced telecommuting affected employees’ travel, activities, and residence locations and explores their expectations of post-pandemic life. The data were collected through the online questionnaire survey across three major metropolitan areas in Japan that incorporates a comprehensive set of questions regarding telecommuting implementation and feasibility, lifestyles before and during the pandemic, and expected way of life after the pandemic, and the total of 2045 respondents were collected. The analysis has been done based on revealed preference data considering two time periods i.e., before COVID-19, during COVID-19, and for the post-COVID 19 scenario where stated preferences are considered. In the first step, telecommuting behavior, telecommuting preferences and plans, and activity patterns are estimated based on aggregate sample data. Next, by using the stated preference survey conducted, ordered probit model and mixed logit model are applied to identify factors influencing post-pandemic telecommuting frequency and residential location preference, respectively. The analysis revealed two major findings: telecommuting brought significant changes in multiple aspects of people’s lifestyles and activities that might persist after the pandemic; although determinants that govern telecommuting frequency and residential location choice after COVID-19 may differ across metropolitan areas, commuting/telecommuting frequency is the prime factor influencing residential location decisions. The findings of this research can guide transportation and urban planners in establishing effective travel demand management tools and sustainable urban networks for the new-normal era.

在过去几年中,远程办公在许多发达国家大规模普及;然而,由于各种因素和文化差异,它在日本的受欢迎程度较低。新冠肺炎的爆发使远程办公的采用变得不可或缺,在日本达到了前所未有的水平,给公民的生活方式和行为带来了翻天覆地的变化。这项研究调查了疫情引发的远程办公如何以及在多大程度上影响员工的旅行、活动和居住地点,并探讨了他们对疫情后生活的期望。这些数据是通过在日本三个主要大都市地区进行的在线问卷调查收集的,该调查包含了一系列关于远程办公的实施和可行性、疫情前后的生活方式以及疫情后的预期生活方式的综合问题,共收集了2045名受访者。该分析是基于披露的偏好数据进行的,考虑了两个时间段,即新冠肺炎之前、新冠肺炎期间和考虑了所述偏好的19年后情景。在第一步中,基于汇总样本数据估计远程办公行为、远程办公偏好和计划以及活动模式。接下来,通过使用所进行的陈述偏好调查,分别应用有序probit模型和混合logit模型来识别影响疫情后远程办公频率和居住地点偏好的因素。该分析揭示了两个主要发现:远程办公在人们的生活方式和活动的多个方面带来了重大变化,这种变化可能在疫情后持续存在;尽管新冠肺炎后远程办公频率和居住地点选择的决定因素在大都市地区可能有所不同,但通勤/远程办公频率是影响居住地点决定的主要因素。这项研究的结果可以指导交通和城市规划者为新常态时代建立有效的出行需求管理工具和可持续的城市网络。
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引用次数: 1
Urban railway network expansion on transit oriented development: Improvement in accessibility in four Asian developing cities 基于交通导向发展的城市铁路网扩张:亚洲四个发展中城市可达性的改善
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2023.100097
Noriyasu Tsumita , Hiroki Kikuchi , Varameth Vichiensan , Alexis Fillone , Vu Anh Tuan , Hoang Thuy Linh , Digvijay S. Pawar , Atsushi Fukuda

Numerous cities in developing countries in Asia have focused on building rail transit networks using the transit-oriented development (TOD) policy to improve urban accessibility through public transportation. However, the hypothesis that expanding rail transport networks and implementing TOD policies will improve urban accessibility in developing cities has not been sufficiently analyzed. Therefore, this study selected four Asian cities of various sizes under different stages of development to explore how the expansion of rail transport networks and implementation in high-density development of the three TOD policies affect urban accessibility. The results suggest that rail transit network expansion would significantly increase overall accessibility, and TOD policy implementation would further increase accessibility in all cities. This study clarified that the desired urban structure of each city, which determines accessibility, significantly differs depending on the size of the city and existing and proposed networks.

亚洲发展中国家的许多城市都致力于利用以交通为导向的发展(TOD)政策建设轨道交通网络,以通过公共交通改善城市可达性。然而,关于扩大轨道交通网络和实施TOD政策将提高发展中城市的城市可达性的假设尚未得到充分分析。因此,本研究选取了四个处于不同发展阶段的亚洲不同规模城市,探讨轨道交通网络的扩张和三项TOD政策在高密度发展中的实施如何影响城市可达性。研究结果表明,轨道交通网络的扩张将显著提高整体可达性,TOD政策的实施将进一步提高所有城市的可达性。这项研究表明,每个城市的理想城市结构决定了可达性,根据城市的规模以及现有和拟建的网络,其差异很大。
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引用次数: 3
Transit-oriented development strategy in Taiwan: An application of land value capture 台湾以交通为导向的发展策略:土地价值捕捉的应用
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100094
Barbara T.H. Yen, Cheng-Min Feng, Tsai-Chen Lee

Transit-oriented development (TOD) has been widely used in many countries to create more sustainable cities. In 1983, the “Taipei City Self-Ordinance for Land Use Zoning Regulation” was introduced to implement a TOD-equivalent design concept even though the term “TOD” was not yet used worldwide. The regulation specifically allowed any new development within a 500 m radius catchment area of a main public transport station which followed Taipei City's urban planning strategies to have a floor area ratio (FAR) reward up to 30% more than the original FAR (Rule No. 80-4). To strategically plan for TOD, Taipei City has developed a comprehensive TOD strategy with four development aspects, ten development strategies and 32 planning principles. The motivation for private developers to follow Taipei City's TOD strategy is the TOD FAR reward. Value capture, an important funding mechanism for public transport infrastructure, has been implemented in Taipei City's TOD strategy to provide a sustainable public transport system. In order to investigate the impacts of TOD strategy in the form of property value uplift at micro and macro levels, trend analysis and difference in differences modelling are constructed. Model results confirm a significant property value uplift at the micro-level. This review has two strong policy uses. First, it can be a starting point to help cities without a TOD strategy to develop a plan. Second, it can help cities, particularly high population density cities, with an existing TOD plan to review their own TOD plan.

以交通为导向的发展(TOD)在许多国家被广泛用于创建更可持续的城市。1983年,《台北市土地使用分区条例》出台,以实施TOD等效设计概念,尽管“TOD”一词尚未在全球范围内使用。该规定特别允许在主要公共交通站500米半径范围内的任何新开发项目,如果遵循台北市的城市规划策略,其建筑面积比率(FAR)奖励最高可达原FAR的30%(第80-4条)。为了对TOD进行战略规划,台北市制定了一项全面的TOD战略,包括四个发展方面、十个发展战略和32个规划原则。私人开发商遵循台北市TOD战略的动机是TOD FAR奖励。价值捕获是公共交通基础设施的重要融资机制,已在台北市的TOD战略中实施,以提供可持续的公共交通系统。为了从微观和宏观两个层面研究TOD战略对房地产价值提升的影响,构建了趋势分析和差异模型。模型结果证实了微观层面的房地产价值显著提升。这项审查有两个强有力的政策用途。首先,它可以成为帮助没有TOD战略的城市制定计划的起点。其次,它可以帮助城市,特别是高人口密度城市,制定现有的TOD计划来审查自己的TOD规划。
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引用次数: 4
Study on the multi-criteria location decision of wide-area distribution centers in pre-disaster: Case of an earthquake in the Kanto district of Japan 灾前广域配送中心多准则选址研究——以日本关东地区地震为例
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2023.100107
Yufeng Guo , Takuma Matsuda

In this study, we focus on selecting distribution centers (DCs) in the pre-disaster period based on the case of an earthquake in the Kanto district of Japan. This research aims to achieve two objectives, (first) to define the importance of criteria that impact the selection of DCs by analytic hierarchy process (AHP), and (second) to rank existing private DCs and evaluate their location tendency and utilization based on weighted aggregated sum product assessment (WASPAS) and k-means. The results show that the criteria of distance to the nearest highway, floor area, and built-up area are essential for selecting DCs. Furthermore, the top-ranked DCs are located in Kanagawa and Chiba. DCs located near airports and ports should be prioritized. However, for regions far from airports and ports, it is crucial to utilize DCs that are close to highways and have large areas.

在本研究中,我们根据日本关东地区的地震案例,重点选择灾前时期的配送中心。本研究旨在实现两个目标,(一)通过层次分析法(AHP)确定影响DC选择的标准的重要性;(二)基于加权总和产品评估(WASPAS)和k-means对现有私人DC进行排名,并评估其位置趋势和利用率。结果表明,与最近公路的距离、占地面积和建成区面积等标准对选择DC至关重要。此外,排名靠前的DC位于神奈川和千叶。应优先考虑位于机场和港口附近的DC。然而,对于远离机场和港口的地区,利用靠近高速公路且面积大的DC至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of COVID-19 on public transport usage in an anticipated ‘new normal’ situation: The case of a South Asian country based on first wave data 2019冠状病毒病对预期“新常态”下公共交通使用的影响:基于第一波数据的南亚国家案例
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2023.100099
Niaz Mahmud Zafri , Asif Khan , Shaila Jamal , Bhuiyan Monwar Alam

This study attempted to investigate the impacts of COVID-19 on public transport usage in a hypothetical ‘new normal’ situation in a South Asian country, Bangladesh, by using data collected during the first wave of COVID-19. Most of the samples came from young and affluent groups. Findings of the study showed that a substantial proportion of respondents expected to reduce travel by public transport during the ‘new normal’ situation than the pre-pandemic situation. To identify the factors behind the expectation, a multinomial logistic regression model was developed. Results suggest that income, regular travel mode, frequency of travel by public transport in the pre-COVID-19 situation, expected change in trip frequency and virtual activities, risk perception, and trust in preventive strategies can influence public transport use during the ‘new normal’ situation. The results of the study would be useful in understanding the immediate impact of a pandemic on public transportation and help prepare better for future pandemics.

本研究试图通过使用第一波新冠肺炎期间收集的数据,调查在南亚国家孟加拉国假设的“新常态”情况下,新冠肺炎对公共交通使用的影响。大多数样本来自年轻和富裕群体。研究结果显示,与疫情前相比,很大一部分受访者预计在“新常态”期间会减少公共交通出行。为了识别预期背后的因素,开发了一个多项式逻辑回归模型。结果表明,收入、常规出行方式、新冠肺炎疫情前公共交通出行频率、出行频率和虚拟活动的预期变化、风险感知以及对预防策略的信任都会影响“新常态”下公共交通的使用。这项研究的结果将有助于了解大流行对公共交通的直接影响,并有助于为未来的大流行做好更好的准备。
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引用次数: 3
Global logistics intermodal network simulation modeling by incremental assignment and corridor development simulations in Myanmar 基于增量分配和缅甸走廊开发模拟的全球物流多式联运网络仿真建模
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2023.100114
Takuya Yamaguchi, Koki Kawachi, Keigo Shibuya, Masataka Hagiwara, Ryuichi Shibasaki

This study develops a more stable model to simulate the global container cargo flows in the intermodal network with link capacities by improving the existing model with incremental assignment and parallel computing. The developed model is validated by comparing it with the observed port cargo throughputs and sensitivity analyses. Subsequently, the model is applied to the ASEAN region and China to examine the impact of logistics corridor development policies. Specifically, the scenarios improving borders between ASEAN and China confirm that improvements in Myanmar borders would shift cargo from other ASEAN countries, while improvements across ASEAN would increase the region-wide land transit cargo. The scenarios improving borders in the East–West Corridor (EWC) of the Greater Mekong Subregion confirm that the EWC is in competitive and complementary relationships with Thilawa port. Finally, the scenarios adding liner services suggest stimulating the demand by improving Myanmar's domestic logistics network than encouraging border crossings.

本研究通过改进现有的增量分配和并行计算模型,开发了一个更稳定的模型来模拟具有链路容量的多式联运网络中的全球集装箱货物流。通过与观测到的港口货物吞吐量和敏感性分析进行比较,验证了所开发的模型。随后,将该模型应用于东盟地区和中国,考察物流走廊发展政策的影响。具体而言,改善东盟和中国边境的情景证实,缅甸边境的改善将转移来自其他东盟国家的货物,而整个东盟的改善将增加整个地区的陆路过境货物。改善大湄公河次区域东西走廊(EWC)边界的情景证实了EWC与Thilawa港之间存在竞争和互补关系。最后,增加班轮服务的情景表明,通过改善缅甸国内物流网络而不是鼓励过境来刺激需求。
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引用次数: 1
Analysis of offshore waiting at world container terminals and estimation of CO2 emissions from waiting ships 世界集装箱码头近海等候分析及等候船舶二氧化碳排放估算
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2023.100111
Yasuhiro Akakura

Delays of container services seriously affect the lean, extensive global supply chains such as the just-in-time system. A major cause of ship delay is port/terminal congestion, causing offshore waiting, and these delays create a domino effect on other ships through terminals and ships. During the supply chain crisis, started from the second half of 2020, many ships were forced to wait offshore for more than days at major ports, especially in North America, Europe, and China. This study developed the method for identifying offshore waiting ships of terminals, calculating the waiting time of these ships, and estimating the increment of CO2 emissions by utilizing log data sent from ships’ automatic identification systems. The calculated results of major world ports were analyzed to understand the relation between the degree of congestion and offshore waiting time capacity and the relation between the waiting time capacity and CO2 emissions.

集装箱服务的延误严重影响了精益、广泛的全球供应链,如准时制。船舶延误的一个主要原因是港口/码头拥堵,导致海上等待,这些延误对通过码头和船舶的其他船舶产生了多米诺骨牌效应。在2020年下半年开始的供应链危机期间,许多船只被迫在主要港口在海上等待超过几天,尤其是在北美、欧洲和中国。本研究开发了一种识别码头海上等待船舶的方法,计算这些船舶的等待时间,并利用船舶自动识别系统发送的日志数据估计二氧化碳排放量的增量。分析了世界主要港口的计算结果,以了解拥堵程度与海上等待时间容量之间的关系,以及等待时间容量与CO2排放之间的关系。
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引用次数: 1
Active transportation in high density residential areas in Lembah Pantai during pandemic COVID 19 COVID - 19大流行期间兰巴潘泰高密度居民区的主动交通
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2023.100096
Yong Adilah Shamsul Harumain , Suhana Koting , Nur Aulia Rosni , Nuraihan Ibrahim , Razieman Mohd Yusoff

Before the pandemic, most studies on active transportation focused on socioeconomic factors, how many cars people had, and how much it cost to own a car. Comfort, safety, and accessibility are the aspects of active transportation that have been talked about the most in previous studies. However, none of them have looked at active transportation as a way to increase the value of residential properties, whether or not the people who live there use active transportation. So, the right neighbourhood, which would have benefited from good planning and infrastructure, couldn't take advantage of the chance. With restrictions on movement and orders to work from home, the question is raised of whether different socioeconomic groups are well represented in active transportation. Even though residential developers and governments are putting more effort into making better amenities and infrastructure for active mobility, there is no evidence that the two are related. Nonetheless, active transportation is utilized to promote an active lifestyle and market properties. This study adds to an original case study evaluation of walkability and active transportation in Lembah Pantai by adding to what we know about active transportation.

在疫情之前,大多数关于主动交通的研究都集中在社会经济因素、人们有多少辆车以及拥有一辆车的成本上。舒适性、安全性和可达性是先前研究中讨论最多的主动交通方面。然而,他们中没有人将主动交通视为提高住宅物业价值的一种方式,无论居住在那里的人是否使用主动交通。因此,原本可以从良好的规划和基础设施中受益的合适社区无法利用这个机会。随着行动的限制和在家工作的命令,人们提出了一个问题,即不同的社会经济群体在活跃的交通中是否有很好的代表性。尽管住宅开发商和政府正在加大力度,为积极的出行提供更好的便利设施和基础设施,但没有证据表明这两者有关联。尽管如此,积极的交通被用来促进积极的生活方式和市场属性。这项研究通过增加我们对活跃交通的了解,为Lembah Pantai可步行性和活跃交通的原始案例研究评估增加了内容。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Asian Transport Studies
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