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Productivity impact of government-led bailout of Japan Airlines 政府主导的对日本航空公司的救助对生产力的影响
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100064
Katsuhiro Yamaguchi

Over ten years have passed since Japan Airlines (JAL) filed for bankruptcy. This paper treats how the Japanese government undertook the bailout in January 2010 and subsequent measures to facilitate competition between JAL and the other national air carrier, All Nippon Airways (ANA). After describing the bailout process and post-bailout measures regarding slot allocation at Haneda Airport, the paper assesses the impact of these government interventions on airline productivity. Although JAL's total factor productivity (TFP) plunged with bankruptcy, they managed to turn the business around and TFP rapidly recovered thereafter to exceed that of ANA. Regression Discontinuity (RD) design analysis shows evidence of positive impact of these government interventions on TFP growth rate of the two airlines. As of 2016, JAL and ANA's TFP figures are more-or-less equal. In Japan, a new era of competition of the two legacy air carriers has emerged.

日本航空公司(JAL)申请破产已经过去了十多年。本文论述了日本政府如何在2010年1月实施救助,以及随后采取的措施,以促进日航与另一家国家航空公司全日空(All Nippon Airways)之间的竞争。在描述了羽田机场的救助过程和救助后关于机位分配的措施后,本文评估了这些政府干预对航空公司生产力的影响。尽管日航的全要素生产率(TFP)因破产而大幅下降,但他们设法扭转了局面,TFP此后迅速恢复,超过了全日空。回归不连续(RD)设计分析表明,政府干预对两家航空公司的TFP增长率有积极影响。截至2016年,日航和全日空的TFP数据基本持平。在日本,两家传统航空公司之间的竞争进入了新时代。
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引用次数: 2
Updating function model: Model updating method transferable in a wider range of data sizes 更新函数模型:模型更新方法可适用于更大范围的数据大小
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100071
Nobuhiro Sanko

When data are available from two time points—older data with a larger number of observations and more recent data with a smaller number of observations—then model updating is utilised to take advantage of the different merits of each data set. However, the author's previous study demonstrated that conventional model updating methods—transfer scaling, joint context estimation, Bayesian updating, and combined transfer estimation—were inferior to models using only the more recent data. The present study examines an updating method that the author calls an ‘updating function model’ in which the parameters are assumed to follow the functions of gross domestic product per capita. The present study demonstrates that the updating function model often produces statistically significantly better forecasts than models using only the more recent data. The study extends the applicability of the model updating to cases in which the more recent time point has more observations than the older time point.

当数据来自两个时间点时——具有大量观测值的较旧数据和具有较少观测值的较新数据——则利用模型更新来利用每个数据集的不同优点。然而,作者之前的研究表明,传统的模型更新方法-迁移缩放,联合上下文估计,贝叶斯更新和组合迁移估计-不如仅使用最新数据的模型。本研究考察了一种更新方法,作者称之为“更新函数模型”,其中假设参数遵循人均国内生产总值的函数。本研究表明,更新函数模型通常比仅使用较新数据的模型产生统计上显著更好的预测。该研究将模型更新的适用性扩展到最近的时间点比旧的时间点有更多观测值的情况。
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引用次数: 0
Safety evaluation of personal mobility vehicles and pedestrians under mixed traffic flow using traffic simulation 基于交通模拟的混合交通流下个人机动车辆与行人安全评价
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2021.100049
Takayuki Hishikawa , Miho Iryo-Asano

Personal mobility vehicles (PMVs) are small and slow vehicles that are designed to move within relatively dense pedestrian traffic on sidewalks or shared-use paths. Although various types of PMVs have been developed recently, the requirements of PMV performance in various traffic conditions are yet to be discussed in depth. This study aims to evaluate the impact of geometry and traffic conditions on the safety of mixed traffic flow between pedestrians and standing-type PMVs using a traffic simulation model. As a surrogate safety measure, an objective risk index based on collision probability and collision intensity is proposed. The results of the traffic simulations showed that the objective risk was affected by sidewalk width, traffic demand, and PMV movement parameters. A linear regression model was estimated to explain the safety index as a function of these variables, and combinations of applicable settings for PMV–pedestrian mixed traffic flow in terms of safety are discussed.

个人机动车辆(pmv)是一种小型且速度缓慢的车辆,设计用于在人行道或共用路径上相对密集的行人交通中行驶。虽然近年来开发了各种类型的PMV,但在各种交通条件下对PMV性能的要求还没有深入讨论。本研究旨在利用交通仿真模型,评估几何和交通条件对行人与站立式pmv混合交通流安全性的影响。作为替代安全措施,提出了基于碰撞概率和碰撞强度的客观风险指标。交通仿真结果表明,目标风险受人行道宽度、交通需求和PMV运动参数的影响。本文估计了一个线性回归模型来解释安全指数作为这些变量的函数,并讨论了pmv -行人混合交通流在安全性方面的适用设置组合。
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引用次数: 2
Analysis of the single-regime speed-density fundamental relationships for varying spatiotemporal resolution using Zen Traffic Data 基于Zen交通数据的时空分辨率变化单区速度-密度基本关系分析
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100066
Garima Dahiya, Yasuo Asakura, Wataru Nakanishi

This study analyzed the single-regime speed-density (v-k) relationships for urban expressways using high resolution Zen Traffic Data (ZTD) containing all vehicles’ trajectory data obtained using image sensing technology. The steady-state traffic data were extracted for varying spatiotemporal resolutions, followed by estimation of traffic flow parameters, namely, jam density, kinematic-wave-speed, and proportionality factor, a behavioral parameter, using empirical data. Functional and shape parameters were estimated using the Levenberg–Marquardt algorithm. Statistical metrics were used to assess the performance and model fitness in all categories of linear, exponential and logarithmic, and complex forms of v-k relationships for different resolutions. The theoretical analysis revealed that certain relationships satisfy all the static properties and that only one satisfies both the dynamic properties of traffic behavior. Highly parameterized forms had the lowest errors. However, the linear form of model developed by May and Keller has high application potential.

本研究利用高分辨率Zen交通数据(ZTD)分析了城市高速公路的单时段速度-密度(v-k)关系,该数据包含了使用图像传感技术获得的所有车辆的轨迹数据。提取不同时空分辨率的稳态交通数据,然后利用经验数据估计交通流参数,即拥堵密度、运动波速和行为参数比例因子。利用Levenberg-Marquardt算法估计了功能参数和形状参数。使用统计度量来评估不同分辨率下所有类别的线性、指数和对数以及v-k关系的复杂形式的性能和模型适应度。理论分析表明,某些关系满足交通行为的所有静态特性,只有一种关系同时满足交通行为的动态特性。高度参数化的表单误差最小。然而,May和Keller开发的线性形式的模型具有很高的应用潜力。
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引用次数: 2
Analysis on the driving behavior of old drivers by driving recorder GPS trajectory data 利用行车记录仪GPS轨迹数据分析老年驾驶员驾驶行为
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100063
Yuanfang Zhu , Meilan Jiang , Toshiyuki Yamamoto

With the aging of the population, the number of elderly drivers is increasing. Elderly drivers tend to overestimate their driving abilities, despite their maneuvering skills and cognitive function worsening with aging. Therefore, understanding the driving behavior of older drivers is becoming increasingly important for assisting their safe driving. This research analyzes the characteristics of old drivers' driving behaviors by utilizing the GPS trajectory data collected by the driving recorders installed in their vehicles. The analysis conducted was from the perspectives of route choice, driving time, driving distance, risky driving event, and driving speed. Furthermore, a linear regression model was used to explore the influence of drivers’ socioeconomic attributes and travel behaviors on driving speed. The results show that older drivers prefer short-distance travel in the daytime and tend to have more risky driving behaviors with aging.

随着人口老龄化,老年司机的数量正在增加。老年司机往往高估自己的驾驶能力,尽管他们的操作技能和认知功能随着年龄的增长而恶化。因此,了解老年驾驶员的驾驶行为对于协助他们安全驾驶变得越来越重要。本研究利用安装在车辆上的行车记录仪采集的GPS轨迹数据,分析老年驾驶员的驾驶行为特征。从路线选择、驾驶时间、驾驶距离、危险驾驶事件、驾驶速度四个角度进行分析。此外,采用线性回归模型探讨驾驶员社会经济属性和出行行为对驾驶速度的影响。结果表明:老年驾驶员偏好日间短途出行,且随年龄增长,危险驾驶行为增加;
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引用次数: 3
Competition between airlines and railways in Japan focusing on the travel time 日本航空公司和铁路公司之间的竞争主要集中在旅行时间上
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100086
Kyoko Manaka , Satoru Hashimoto , Tomoaki Nakamura , Takao Goto

This study estimates the price elasticity of demand per airline route using a demand function and airfare function with Japanese data including the access and egress cost to clarify the relationship between airlines and railways by focusing on the travel time. The study also estimates the access and egress cost elasticity of demand per airline route to explore the effect of the access and egress cost on the demand. From the results of estimation, We conclude that reducing the total travel time would increase the airline demand and change the relationship between airlines and railways. Additionally, we consider that passengers would be more sensitive to the cost in the case that the average access and egress cost ratio exceeds 30% than in the case that the average ratio is under 30%.

本研究使用需求函数和机票函数来估计每条航线的需求价格弹性,并结合日本的数据,包括入口和出口成本,通过关注旅行时间来澄清航空公司和铁路之间的关系。本研究还估算了每条航线需求的进出成本弹性,以探讨进出成本对需求的影响。从估算结果来看,减少总旅行时间会增加航空公司的需求,并改变航空公司与铁路的关系。此外,我们认为在平均出入口成本比超过30%的情况下,乘客对成本的敏感度高于平均出入口成本比低于30%的情况。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating the potential retail impact of improving the pedestrian environment in the Downtown Cebu City 估计改善宿雾市区步行环境对零售业的潜在影响
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100059
Crispin Emmanuel Diaz, Konstantine Koh

Pedestrianization is often suggested as a means to revitalize downtown Cebu City. However, commercial establishments fear that the closure of main roads like Colon St to vehicle traffic will hurt their business rather than help. Studies in other countries point to many contextual factors that affect the outcomes of pedestrianization projects. This study reveals that improving walkways, though desirable, is not the most important intervention that will increase visitation to the area. Respondent pedestrians and commercial establishments gave priority to improving security and addressing urban environmental concerns such as cleanliness and flooding. If current clientele visit the area at least once more within a year, it is estimated that 30 million pesos and 31 million pesos in additional business revenue can be created for Colon St and Osmena Blvd respectively. This scale of benefit may help economically justify the needed interventions for improving the pedestrian environment in downtown Cebu City.

行人专用区经常被建议作为振兴宿务市中心的一种手段。然而,商业机构担心,像科隆街这样的主要道路对车辆交通的关闭将损害而不是帮助他们的业务。其他国家的研究指出,许多环境因素会影响步行项目的结果。这项研究表明,改善人行道虽然是可取的,但并不是最重要的干预措施,这将增加该地区的访问量。被调查的行人和商业机构优先考虑改善安全和解决城市环境问题,如清洁和洪水。如果现有的客户在一年内至少再次访问该地区,估计可以分别为科隆街和奥斯梅纳大道创造3000万比索和3100万比索的额外业务收入。这种规模的效益可能有助于从经济上证明改善宿雾市中心步行环境所需的干预措施是合理的。
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引用次数: 1
An empirical study of taxi crashes in Singapore 新加坡出租车事故的实证研究
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100056
Liujiang Kang , Yue Zhao , Qiang Meng

The 36-month taxi crash data include 41,538 taxi crash records distributed throughout 29 districts of Singapore (including Changi Airport), involving 16,933 taxis and 16,705 taxi drivers. We purposely use these data to analyze the impacts of nine influential factors on taxi crashes and give quantitative and practical suggestions on taxi driving safety. Our solid analysis shows that the maximum daily working time for a taxi driver is suggested to be less than 10 h for safety concerns because it could reduce the possible taxi crashes. In addition, the likelihood of taxi crashes in the daylight is the highest when compared to road conditions with streetlights or one without streetlights at all. We further use the random forest method to find the critical influential factors in blue and yellow taxi crashes. The relief and switcher modes are the two unique factors contributing to taxi crashes that are different from private car crashes. The findings of this study are of significant value for taxi operators and policymakers.

36个月的出租车事故数据包括分布在新加坡29个区(包括樟宜机场)的41,538起出租车事故记录,涉及16,933辆出租车和16,705名出租车司机。我们有意利用这些数据分析了9个影响因素对出租车事故的影响,并给出了量化和实用的出租车驾驶安全建议。我们的可靠分析表明,出于安全考虑,建议出租车司机的最大每日工作时间不超过10小时,因为这可以减少可能发生的出租车撞车事故。此外,与有路灯或没有路灯的道路状况相比,在白天发生出租车撞车事故的可能性最高。我们进一步使用随机森林方法找出蓝黄出租车事故的关键影响因素。出租车事故不同于私家车事故的两个独特因素是救援和切换方式。本文的研究结果对出租车经营者和政策制定者具有重要的参考价值。
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引用次数: 1
Passenger's satisfaction with service quality of app-based ride hailing services in developing countries: Case of Lahore, Pakistan 发展中国家乘客对基于app的网约车服务质量的满意度:以巴基斯坦拉合尔为例
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100076
Syed Arif Hussain Shah, Hisashi Kubota

App-based ride hailing services (ABRHS) are becoming increasingly popular among masses in recent years. The assessment of customer's satisfaction with service quality of ride hailing services is essential for success of these services in the long run. Therefore, the current study aims to understand better the complexities of factors influencing the customer satisfaction and intentions towards app-based ride hailing services through the finding of a questionnaire study in Lahore, Pakistan. The collected data from 865 respondents were analyzed using exploratory factor analysis and structural model of traveler's satisfaction with the service quality was constructed. Structural Equation Modelling (SEM) also revealed that the commuter's overall satisfaction with service quality of app-based ride hailing service has positive impact on user's intentions to continue using services in future. The SEM further explained that overall satisfaction with the services mediates the relationship between service quality attributes including service & system attributes, service attraction attributes, network design attributes, and service reliability & professionalism attributes and commuter's intentions to continue using in the future. The further improvements in the quality attributes of app-based ride hailing services would enhance the traveler's overall satisfaction and their intentions to continuing using these services in the future.

近年来,基于应用程序的叫车服务(ABRHS)越来越受大众欢迎。从长远来看,客户对网约车服务质量的满意度评估是网约车服务成功与否的关键。因此,本研究旨在通过在巴基斯坦拉合尔进行问卷调查,更好地了解影响客户满意度和对基于应用程序的网约车服务意向的因素的复杂性。采用探索性因子分析法对865名被调查者的数据进行分析,构建了旅游者服务质量满意度的结构模型。结构方程模型(SEM)还显示,通勤者对基于应用程序的网约车服务质量的总体满意度对用户未来继续使用服务的意愿有积极影响。SEM进一步解释了对服务的整体满意度在服务质量属性(包括服务&系统属性、服务吸引力属性、网络设计属性和服务可靠性;专业属性和通勤者未来继续使用的意图。基于应用程序的网约车服务质量属性的进一步改进将提高旅行者的整体满意度,并提高他们未来继续使用这些服务的意愿。
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引用次数: 5
Multi-criteria analysis for evaluating the function and location of roadside rest areas to improve disaster preparedness 以多准则分析评估路边休息区的功能及位置,以提高防灾能力
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2022.100075
Shintaro Terabe, Ryota Onose, Hideki Yaginuma, Kosuke Tanaka

The roadside rest area (RRA), called “Michi no eki” in Japanese, is a facility that provides comfortable rest and diverse services to road users through community initiatives. There are many RRAs developed since its first establishment in 1993. It is important to identify the RRAs and regions where a certain function is weak, so as to build more substantial RRAs in the future. In this research, we divided the RRA functions into four categories, rest, information, regional collaboration, and disaster prevention, and listed their evaluation items. By checking the performance of RRAs in terms of the four functions, we can evaluate whether their performance can be improved by sharing functions with or complementing neighboring RRAs. We then calculated the evaluation results. During the evaluation, we compared two types of cases: one where the RRA was evaluated alone and the other where overlay evaluation was performed. The latter considered the distance among RRAs so that a complementary relationship with others could be expressed. Furthermore, we devised a method to calculate the impact of RRAs on an area and evaluate the region for this. By applying these methods, we were able to answer the question: “Where and for what functions are roadside rest areas needed?"

路边休息区(RRA)在日语中被称为“Michi no eki”,是一个通过社区倡议为道路使用者提供舒适休息和各种服务的设施。自1993年第一次成立以来,已经发展了许多rra。重要的是识别出RRAs和某些功能较弱的区域,以便在未来构建更丰富的RRAs。在本研究中,我们将RRA功能分为休息、信息、区域协作和防灾四大类,并列出了它们的评价项目。通过从这四种功能来检验RRAs的性能,我们可以评估是否可以通过与相邻RRAs共享功能或互补功能来提高其性能。然后计算评价结果。在评估过程中,我们比较了两种类型的情况:一种是单独评估RRA,另一种是进行覆盖评估。后者考虑了rra之间的距离,从而可以表达与其他rra之间的互补关系。此外,我们设计了一种方法来计算RRAs对一个地区的影响,并为此评估该地区。通过应用这些方法,我们能够回答这个问题:“路边休息区需要在哪里,有什么功能?”
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Asian Transport Studies
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