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Simultaneous optimization of network and fares for self-financing public transportation system 同时优化自筹资金公共交通系统的网络和票价
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2024.100135
Atsushi Sugama , Makoto Okumura

The public transportation system in densely populated areas is often managed as a self-financing system due to fare passenger revenues. In a self-financing system, the network structure and the monetary fare mutually interact; therefore, it is efficient to design both simultaneously. We developed an optimization model that endogenously determines the bus network and fares to maximize the total social surplus of the region. In this study, we conducted numerical applications of the model to a public transportation system around a railroad station in a metropolitan suburb area. The results showed that the optimal network topology changes with the scale of demand, and network shape significantly alters the optimal fare structure. Three types of virtual regions were examined to illustrate optimal fares.

人口稠密地区的公共交通系统通常是以乘客票价收入为基础的自筹资金系统。在自筹资金系统中,网络结构和货币票价是相互影响的;因此,同时设计两者是有效的。我们建立了一个优化模型,通过内生决定公交网络和票价,使该地区的社会总剩余最大化。在本研究中,我们将该模型应用于大都市郊区铁路车站周围的公共交通系统。结果表明,最佳网络拓扑结构会随着需求规模的变化而变化,网络形状会显著改变最佳票价结构。研究了三种类型的虚拟区域,以说明最优票价。
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引用次数: 0
Tourist excursion model considering trip chain choice and duration of stay 考虑旅行链选择和停留时间的游客游览模式
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2024.100146
Ryuichi Tani , Haruki Shimizu , Kenetsu Uchida , Daisuke Fukuda

This study proposes two tourist excursion behavior models. One is the trip chain-based model, in which the tourist behavior is represented by a trip chain and the duration of stay at each tourist spot in the trip chain. The model is based on the tourist's utility maximization, where a tourist allocates the time budget along the trip chain generated from our proposed algorithm formulated as dynamic programming. The proposed model assumes that travel data obtained from Wi-Fi sensors are available. We also proposed the Trip-based model, which estimates the transition ratio of a tourist trip between tourist spots based on the tourist's utility maximization. The trip-based model only partially captures the excursion behavior but is available when only tip data between two nodes in the network is available. To demonstrate the models presented in the paper, we calibrated parameters and predicted the tourist demand in a test and real networks.

本研究提出了两种游客游览行为模型。一个是基于行程链的模型,游客行为由行程链和行程链中每个景点的停留时间来表示。该模型以游客的效用最大化为基础,游客根据我们提出的动态编程算法生成的行程链分配时间预算。我们提出的模型假设游客可以从 Wi-Fi 传感器获得旅行数据。我们还提出了基于行程的模型,该模型根据游客的效用最大化来估算游客在旅游景点之间的行程转换率。基于行程的模型只能部分捕捉游览行为,但在只有网络中两个节点之间的小费数据时,该模型是可用的。为了证明本文提出的模型,我们校准了参数,并预测了测试网络和真实网络中的游客需求。
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引用次数: 0
An enhanced Modelling approach for warehouse sharing platform system designing problem 仓库共享平台系统设计问题的增强建模方法
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2024.100147
Zeren Xing , Yuehui Wu , Shuangyuan Yu

With the increasing importance of sustainability, warehouse sharing arises as a possible way to improve the logistics system efficiency. This paper studied the warehouse sharing platform systems (WSPS) and proposed an enhanced modelling approach for the WSPS design problem (WSPSDP) using the multi-allocation hub location routing problem framework. New elements, such as inter-warehouse transportation and multi-allocation scheme, were considered compared to the existing WSPS model. Then, an adaptive large neighbourhood decomposition search heuristic was applied to solve our problem. Computational experiments were conducted on different-sized instances to compare the WSPS model without inter-warehouse transportation (WSPSDP-WI) and the WSPS model with single-allocation scheme (WSPSDP-SA). The results suggested that our proposed WSPSDP model is more cost-efficient than the existing WSPS models, reducing 15.38% and 1.43% operation costs compared to the WSPSDP-WI and WSPSDP-SA models. Finally, our proposed WSPSDP model also has the potential to promote the utilisation of existing cheap idle warehouses.

随着可持续发展的重要性日益凸显,仓库共享成为提高物流系统效率的一种可能途径。本文对仓库共享平台系统(WSPS)进行了研究,并利用多分配枢纽位置路由问题框架,提出了一种针对 WSPS 设计问题(WSPSDP)的增强建模方法。与现有的 WSPS 模型相比,考虑了仓库间运输和多分配方案等新元素。然后,应用自适应大邻域分解搜索启发式来解决我们的问题。在不同大小的实例上进行了计算实验,以比较无仓库间运输的 WSPS 模型(WSPSDP-WI)和有单一分配方案的 WSPS 模型(WSPSDP-SA)。结果表明,我们提出的 WSPSDP 模型比现有的 WSPS 模型更具成本效益,与 WSPSDP-WI 和 WSPSDP-SA 模型相比,分别降低了 15.38% 和 1.43% 的运营成本。最后,我们提出的 WSPSDP 模型还有可能促进现有廉价闲置仓库的利用。
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引用次数: 0
Verifying the effectiveness of area division for land and population: The case of the Kofu urban area, Japan 验证土地和人口区域划分的有效性:日本甲府城区案例
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2024.100124
Qiaoyu Pan, Kuniaki Sasaki

Japan has used the Area Division Policy to control the disorderly spread of urban space for over 50 years. As a key component of area division, “urbanization promotion areas” are expected to promote land development, concentrate population within it, and prevent or slow down land and population expansion outside. To review the implementation of this system and provide a reference for future spatial optimization, quantitative methods to analyze the influence of urbanization promotion areas are important. This paper applies a regression-discontinuity design to study the impact of an urbanization promotion area on land development and population density in the Kofu urban area. The results indicate that the urbanization promotion area retains control over land and population, but development pressure remains on the urban periphery. To achieve orderly urban development, area division should be adjusted according to residential demands and coordinated with other recent land control policies.

50 多年来,日本一直采用区域划分政策来控制城市空间的无序扩张。作为区域划分的重要组成部分,"城市化推进区 "的作用是促进土地开发,将人口集中在推进区内,防止或减缓土地和人口向外扩张。为了对这一制度的实施情况进行总结,并为未来的空间优化提供参考,定量分析城市化促进区影响的方法非常重要。本文采用回归-不连续设计研究了甲府城区城市化促进区对土地开发和人口密度的影响。结果表明,城市化促进区保留了对土地和人口的控制,但城市外围仍存在发展压力。为实现有序的城市发展,应根据居住需求调整区域划分,并与其他近期土地控制政策相协调。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of a Michi-no-Eki with urban amenities on shopping difficulty and social interaction 具有城市便利设施的 Michi-no-Eki 对购物难度和社交互动的影响
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2024.100143
Noboru Ise , Wan Adam Bin Wan Mohd Suhaimi , Takeshi Hirose

In recent years, there has been an increasing demand for “Michi-no-Eki.” These roadside stations in Japan help solve food desert problems and enhance social interaction. Accordingly, the number of Michi-no-Eki with various urban amenities (e.g., supermarket, restaurant, and playground) has been increasing. However, there is no statistical model that can calculate the impact of a Michi-no-Eki with urban amenities on shopping difficulty or social interaction. Consequently, it can be difficult for local authorities to assess the need, the location, and the design of a Michi-no-Eki with urban amenities to ease shopping difficulty and enhance social interaction. This study aimed to (1) confirm the influence of Michi-no-Eki with urban amenities on shopping difficulty and social interaction, and (2) identify the factors influencing the impact of such Michi-no-Eki to support development of statistical models for shopping difficulty and social interaction.

近年来,人们对 "道之站 "的需求与日俱增。日本的这些路边驿站有助于解决食物荒漠问题,并加强社会交往。因此,拥有各种城市设施(如超市、餐厅和游乐场)的路边驿站数量也在不断增加。然而,目前还没有一个统计模型可以计算出带有城市设施的 Michi-no-Eki 对购物难度或社会交往的影响。因此,地方政府很难评估是否有必要、选址和设计带有城市便利设施的道之站,以缓解购物困难和加强社交互动。本研究的目的是:(1)确认带有城市便利设施的道之站对购物难度和社交互动的影响;(2)确定影响这类道之站的因素,以支持购物难度和社交互动统计模型的开发。
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引用次数: 0
Characterizing spatiotemporal patterns of bus bunching frequency on a bus route network: A case study of Taipei city 公交线路网络中公交车串车频率的时空模式特征:台北市案例研究
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2024.100139
Yi-Shih Chung, Yi-Chen Chiang

Bus bunching is a critical issue in bus operation management. This study investigated the impacts of potential factors affecting bus bunching on a city-wide bus route network, using Taipei City as an example with its 267 bus routes and 4741 bus stops. Frequency of bus bunching was measured on an hourly basis using Automatic Vehicle Location data. Multilevel count models based on Conway-Maxwell Poisson distributions were developed, and the spatiotemporal distributions of random intercepts and residuals were examined. The results showed that the effects of bus lane design, bus route network and operation, and traffic characteristics were consistent with those reported in prior studies. However, a quadratic relationship between bus route length, best measured by number of stops, and bus bunching was identified, which explains the conflicts between the theories of bus bunching propagation and self-repair. Bus route design often faces a dilemma between extending route length to collect additional passengers and reducing in-vehicle travel time to enhance service quality. The findings of the study could be a useful reference for bus route design to minimize bus bunching.

公交车串车是公交车运营管理中的一个关键问题。本研究以台北市的 267 条公交线路和 4741 个公交站点为例,调查了影响公交车串车的潜在因素对全市公交线路网络的影响。研究使用自动车辆定位数据对公交车串车频率进行了逐小时测量。建立了基于 Conway-Maxwell 泊松分布的多层次计数模型,并检验了随机截距和残差的时空分布。结果表明,公交车道设计、公交线路网络和运营以及交通特征的影响与之前研究报告的结果一致。然而,研究发现,公交线路长度(以站点数量为最佳衡量标准)与公交车扎堆之间存在二次关系,这解释了公交车扎堆传播理论与自我修复理论之间的冲突。公交线路设计往往面临两难选择,一方面是延长线路长度以增加乘客,另一方面是缩短车内行驶时间以提高服务质量。研究结果可为巴士线路设计提供有益参考,以尽量减少巴士串线现象。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of the impact of exclusive bus lanes on traffic in Tashkent 评估公交专用道对塔什干交通的影响
Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2024.100151
Bilolidin Khakimov , Shinji Tanaka
This study evaluates the impact of exclusive bus lanes on traffic in broader traffic networks over an extended timeframe. Using PTV Vissim to model existing traffic conditions, we introduced exclusive bus lanes and studied future traffic conditions considering a modal shift, as inferred from a binary logistic model developed using Stata. The findings reveal that, while exclusive bus lanes significantly enhance bus performance on designated streets, reducing travel time by 37%, they do not improve bus performance on other roads, as indicated by the unchanged levels of service (LOS) in the broader network. However, a modal shift analysis suggests a positive long-term effect on overall traffic, indicating that approximately 33% of car users may shift to using buses following the introduction of exclusive bus lanes. Origin-destination analysis revealed that exclusive bus lanes reduce intersection permeability, leading to congestion that varies based on the traffic flow direction.
本研究评估了公交专用道在较长一段时间内对更广泛交通网络中交通的影响。利用 PTV Vissim 对现有交通状况进行建模,我们引入了公交专用道,并根据使用 Stata 开发的二元逻辑模型推断出的模式转变情况,对未来交通状况进行了研究。研究结果表明,虽然公交专用道显著提高了公交车在指定街道上的运行效率,将行车时间缩短了 37%,但公交专用道并没有提高公交车在其他道路上的运行效率,这体现在更广泛的网络中,公交车的服务水平(LOS)保持不变。不过,交通模式转换分析表明,引入公交专用道后,约 33% 的小汽车用户可能会转向使用公交车,这对整体交通产生了积极的长期影响。起点-终点分析表明,公交专用道会降低交叉口的通透性,从而导致交通拥堵,且拥堵程度因车流方向而异。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing demand reduction and recovery of major rail stations in Japan during COVID-19 using mobile spatial statistics 利用移动空间统计分析 COVID-19 期间日本主要铁路车站的需求减少和恢复情况
Pub Date : 2023-12-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2023.100120
Jiannan Dai, Jan-Dirk Schmöcker, Wenzhe Sun

Mobile spatial statistics from across Japan are used to analyze the vitality of stations over the COVID period. Time series population information of 500m × 500m meshes that include major stations are extracted. We analyze the demand loss patterns of 69 train stations during the first COVID wave. We firstly discuss the correlation of this data with annual ridership information. We then conduct a clustering analysis of the time series data and distinguish five impact patterns which we try to explain with a multinomial logistic regression. Stations in large cities had higher ridership but were also more affected than smaller cities. We also find that cities with less dense populations and more local population frequenting the station appear to be more robust to the pandemic. Our results can be used to help cities forecasting the impact of future pandemics on the local economy.

利用日本全国的移动空间统计数据来分析 COVID 期间各站点的活力。我们提取了包括主要车站在内的 500m × 500m 网格的时间序列人口信息。我们分析了第一波 COVID 期间 69 个火车站的需求损失模式。我们首先讨论了这些数据与年度乘客信息的相关性。然后,我们对时间序列数据进行聚类分析,区分出五种影响模式,并尝试用多项式逻辑回归对其进行解释。大城市的车站乘客量更高,但受到的影响也比小城市更大。我们还发现,人口密度较低且有更多本地人口经常光顾车站的城市似乎更能抵御大流行病的影响。我们的研究结果可用于帮助城市预测未来流行病对当地经济的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Violations of mobility restrictions during COVID-19 in five Indonesian cities: A reflection of transport policy-practice gap 2019冠状病毒病期间印尼五个城市违反交通限制的情况:反映交通政策与实践差距
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2023.100112
Isti Hidayati, Yori Herwangi, Bambang Hari Wibisono, Daniel Harjuna Satriawan, Muhammad Alfi Hilman

Since the detection of the first COVID-19 case in March 2020, the Indonesian government has implemented various mobility restrictions as a policy response to address the pandemic. To date, violations of mobility restrictions have been discussed in relation to public health risk, but rarely analyzed in terms of understanding the transport policy-practice gap. Using content analysis of news media from March 2020 to May 2021, this article identifies individual actions and institutional factors enabling violations of mobility restrictions. Our findings infer a policy-practice gap regarding operationalization, institutional issues, and lack of consideration of target groups’ behavior. These findings provide insights for transport policy formulation in uncertain times, such as the post-pandemic, especially in the context of rapidly growing Asian cities.

自2020年3月发现第一例新冠肺炎病例以来,印度尼西亚政府实施了各种行动限制,作为应对疫情的政策措施。迄今为止,违反行动限制的行为已与公共健康风险有关,但很少从理解交通政策实践差距的角度进行分析。本文通过对2020年3月至2021年5月新闻媒体的内容分析,确定了导致违反行动限制的个人行为和制度因素。我们的研究结果推断出在操作性、制度问题和缺乏对目标群体行为的考虑方面存在政策实践差距。这些发现为不确定时期的交通政策制定提供了见解,例如疫情后,特别是在亚洲城市快速增长的背景下。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of the short- and long-term impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on bus ridership in Miyazaki City, Japan 新冠肺炎疫情对日本宫崎市公交客流量的短期和长期影响评估
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.eastsj.2023.100098
Hiroshi Shimamoto , Ryo Kusubaru

We used a Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) model to evaluate the short- and long-term impacts of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on transit ridership. We accessed smart-card data from Miyazaki City, Japan. We defined attributes based on card types (commuters, students and elders) and aggregated attributes (high-frequency users and “frequently used bus-stop pairs”) and analyzed the differences between all users and the extracted groups. Among card types, the short-term impact on elders was almost identical to that of all users, however, the short-term impact of the pandemic on commuters was much smaller and that of students was much larger than that of all users. The long-term trend of commuters was less fluctuated than that of all users. The long-term ridership recovery of students was higher than that of all users. Among aggregated attributes, the short-term impact was smaller on “high-frequency users” than on all users: the decrease in ridership immediately after the appearance of COVID-19 was smaller among “high-frequency users” than among all users. The long-term recoveries in the riderships of the extracted subsets were slower than the recoveries of riderships of all users.

我们使用贝叶斯结构时间序列(BSTS)模型来评估2019冠状病毒病(新冠肺炎)大流行对公交乘客量的短期和长期影响。我们访问了来自日本宫崎市的智能卡数据。我们根据卡片类型(通勤者、学生和老人)和聚合属性(高频用户和“常用公交车站对”)定义了属性,并分析了所有用户和提取组之间的差异。在卡片类型中,对老年人的短期影响几乎与所有用户相同,然而,疫情对通勤者的短期影响要小得多,学生的短期影响比所有用户的短期影响大得多。通勤者的长期趋势比所有用户的波动更小。学生的长期客流量恢复率高于所有用户。在综合属性中,对“高频用户”的短期影响小于对所有用户的短期影响:新冠肺炎出现后,“高频用户“的客流量下降幅度小于所有用户。提取的子集的乘车率的长期恢复慢于所有用户的乘车率恢复。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Asian Transport Studies
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