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Determinants of food price in Turkey: A Structural VAR approach 土耳其食品价格的决定因素:结构VAR方法
IF 2 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-08-22 DOI: 10.1080/23311932.2023.2247169
İ̇brahim Orkun Oral, A. Çakıcı, F. Yıldız, Mohannad Alayoubi
Abstract The rise in food prices in Turkey in the post-Covid 19 period is extremely higher than the increase in the consumer price index and the social dimension of food price. This issue prompted researchers and policy makers to examine these topics. The fact that negativities which have been observed worldwide in an emerging process are making a difference also reinforces the need for more intensive investigation of food prices or policies to be followed. This trend aims to identify the global and macroeconomic factors that cause the rise in food prices in the Turkish economy. According to this purpose, In order to measure the global impact, oil prices, the global fertilizer price index, and the world food price index were included in the study. The M2 exchange rate and money supply variables were used to measure the macroeconomic impact. In this context, monthly data for the period 2003:01–2022:03 were used in the analysis using the SVAR model. Result of the analysis indicated that global and macroeconomic factors had an impact on food prices in the period under consideration. As a result of the variance decomposition, it was observed that the food price after its own collisions was more reactive with the exchange rate, respectively.
摘要2019年新冠疫情后土耳其食品价格的上涨幅度远远高于消费者价格指数和食品价格的社会层面的上涨幅度。这一问题促使研究人员和政策制定者对这些主题进行研究。世界各地在一个新兴过程中观察到的负面影响正在产生影响,这一事实也加强了对食品价格或政策进行更深入调查的必要性。这一趋势旨在确定导致土耳其经济中粮食价格上涨的全球和宏观经济因素。根据这一目的,为了衡量全球影响,本研究纳入了石油价格、全球化肥价格指数和世界粮食价格指数。M2汇率和货币供应量变量被用来衡量宏观经济影响。在这种情况下,在使用SVAR模型的分析中使用了2003:01-2022:03期间的月度数据。分析结果表明,在审议期间,全球和宏观经济因素对粮食价格产生了影响。作为方差分解的结果,观察到食品价格在其自身碰撞后分别对汇率更具反应性。
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of the war on smallholder agriculture in Tigray, Northern Ethiopia 战争对埃塞俄比亚北部提格雷小农户农业的影响
IF 2 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-08-18 DOI: 10.1080/23311932.2023.2247696
Ashenafi Manaye, A. Afewerk, B. Manjur, Negasi Solomon
Abstract The war in Tigray (Northern Ethiopia) that started at the beginning of November 2020 has brought devastating damage to smallholder agriculture and food security. However, empirical evidence on the effect of war on smallholder agriculture has not studied systematically. Thus, this research was initiated to address the knowledge gap. A survey was done on selected 4376 households using systematic random sampling. All the data required for the study was collected using a semi-structured questionnaire, focus group discussions and key informant interview. The study revealed that 81% of the smallholder households lost their crop followed by livestock (75%) and farm tools (48%). Overall, 94% of the households reported that at least one of their agricultural components (crop, livestock and farm tools) was looted and/or destroyed by the belligerents. Of which, 37% of the respondent’s crop, livestock and farm tools were totally damaged. Moreover, farmers have limited access to their farms, agricultural inputs, and services. Consequently, more than 5.2 million people are currently in need of immediate humanitarian assistance. To avert the worsening situation, immediate intervention is needed to deliver food and agricultural input supplies and rehabilitate the agricultural extension system and infrastructure.
摘要2020年11月初开始的提格雷(埃塞俄比亚北部)战争对小农户农业和粮食安全造成了毁灭性的破坏。然而,关于战争对小农户农业影响的经验证据尚未得到系统研究。因此,开展这项研究是为了解决知识差距问题。采用系统随机抽样对选定的4376户家庭进行了调查。研究所需的所有数据都是通过半结构化问卷、焦点小组讨论和关键线人访谈收集的。研究显示,81%的小农户失去了作物,其次是牲畜(75%)和农具(48%)。总的来说,94%的家庭报告说,他们的农业组成部分(作物、牲畜和农具)至少有一部分被交战方掠夺和/或摧毁。其中,37%的被调查者的农作物、牲畜和农具被完全损坏。此外,农民获得农场、农业投入和服务的机会有限。因此,目前有520多万人急需人道主义援助。为了避免局势恶化,需要立即进行干预,提供粮食和农业投入物资,恢复农业推广系统和基础设施。
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引用次数: 0
Bundling the adoption of conservation tillage improved crop variety and crop diversification in Ethiopia: Implications for food security 结合采用保护性耕作改善了埃塞俄比亚作物品种和作物多样化:对粮食安全的影响
IF 2 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-08-17 DOI: 10.1080/23311932.2023.2248692
S. Bedeke
Abstract Bundling the adoption of different adaptation strategies is useful in reducing multiple agricultural risks, building the resilience and supporting food security. This study analyses the effect of bundled adoption of conservation tillage, improved crop variety, and crop diversification on household food security in Ethiopia. In this study, a quantitative survey approach was used to gather household data using structured questionnaires. The data were gathered from randomly selected drought-prone districts of the Wolaita zone (southwest Ethiopia), which is often characterized by severe soil erosion, frequent rainfall variability, fragmented landholding, and poor plot tenure system, all of which threaten household food security. Household interview data were analyzed by the means of a multinomial endogenous switching model. Using the principal component analysis, the adoption of different adaptation strategies was bundled into three key components: conservation tillage, improved crop varieties, and crop diversification. The results showed that greater food security outcomes were achieved with the bundled adoption of conservation tillage, improved crop varieties, and crop-legume production compared to either of the single adoption. Adopters of the three bundles were 32.29% more food secure in terms of household food consumption score and 24.46% more food secure based on the scores of dietary diversity. The adoption of the three bundled climate change adaptation strategies was significantly influenced by the gender of the household head, farm size, and value of productive farm assets, implying that socioeconomic conditions are important factors affecting the adoption of bundled strategies and household food security. To promote bundling of adaptation strategies, frequent provision of agricultural extension services, active participation in farmer/female peers, and empowerment of women should be maintained through continuous education and gendered training.
摘要将不同的适应战略捆绑在一起,有助于减少多种农业风险、建立抵御能力和支持粮食安全。本研究分析了埃塞俄比亚捆绑采用保护性耕作、改良作物品种和作物多样化对家庭粮食安全的影响。在这项研究中,使用定量调查方法,使用结构化问卷收集家庭数据。这些数据是从Wolaita地区(埃塞俄比亚西南部)随机选择的干旱易发地区收集的,该地区的特点往往是严重的土壤侵蚀、频繁的降雨变化、土地所有权分散和土地保有制度差,所有这些都威胁到家庭粮食安全。采用多项内生转换模型对住户访谈数据进行分析。采用主成分分析法,将采用不同的适应策略分为三个关键组成部分:保护性耕作、改良作物品种和作物多样化。结果表明,与单一采用相比,捆绑采用保护性耕作、改良作物品种和作物豆类生产取得了更大的粮食安全成果。就家庭食品消费得分而言,这三种捆绑食品的使用者的食品安全性高出32.29%,而就饮食多样性得分而言,其食品安全性则高出24.46%。三种捆绑式气候变化适应战略的采用受到户主性别、农场规模和生产性农场资产价值的显著影响,这意味着社会经济条件是影响采取捆绑式战略和家庭粮食安全的重要因素。为了促进适应战略的捆绑,应通过持续教育和性别培训,保持经常提供农业推广服务、积极参与农民/女性同行以及赋予妇女权力。
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引用次数: 0
Composition of Ewe’s Lump cheese during the production season Ewe块干酪在生产季节的成分
IF 2 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-08-17 DOI: 10.1080/23311932.2023.2243105
P. Zajác, J. Čurlej, Jozef Čapla, L. Benešová, Silvia Jakabová
Abstract Native sheep breeds provide milk, the raw material rich in nutrients for traditional cheese products, in selected cases labelled with the logo of the Traditional Specialty of the European Union. The study aimed to find out whether seasonal or other factors may significantly affect the composition of traditional Ewe’s lump cheese (“Ovčí hrudkový syr”) manufactured on a farm in the western region of Slovakia. For this purpose, 46 samples of fresh Ewe’s lump cheeses across the season of production undergo analysis following ISO standards focused on determining total fat, dry matter, protein, total casein, and ash. The mean values of the content of individual analytes were as follows: fat 28.60 g 100 g−1, dry matter 51.10%, protein 18.33 g 100 g−1, lactose 2.00 g 100 g−1, ash 2.16 g 100 g−1, casein 17.88 g 100 g−1. Based on statistical evaluation of the results, six significant differences have been found, namely: fat (.01), protein (.005), lactose (.005), dry matter (.05), ash (.001) and casein (.001). Considering all the evaluated aspects of such a product, the Traditional Ewe’s lump cheese presents relatively stable products in the content matter over the season.
本地绵羊品种为传统奶酪产品提供富含营养的原料牛奶,在选定的情况下标有欧盟传统特产的标志。这项研究的目的是找出季节或其他因素是否会显著影响斯洛伐克西部地区一个农场生产的传统母羊块奶酪(“Ovčí hrudkový syr”)的成分。为此,在整个生产季节的46个新鲜母羊块奶酪样品按照ISO标准进行了分析,重点是确定总脂肪、干物质、蛋白质、总酪蛋白和灰分。各分析物含量平均值为:脂肪28.60 g 100 g−1,干物质51.10%,蛋白质18.33 g 100 g−1,乳糖2.00 g 100 g−1,灰分2.16 g 100 g−1,酪蛋白17.88 g 100 g−1。通过对结果的统计评价,发现6个显著差异,分别是:脂肪(0.01)、蛋白质(0.005)、乳糖(0.005)、干物质(0.05)、灰分(0.001)和酪蛋白(0.001)。考虑到这种产品的所有评估方面,传统母羊块状奶酪在内容物上呈现出相对稳定的产品。
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引用次数: 0
A systematic review of the supply of agriproducts to supermarkets in emerging markets of Africa and Asia 对非洲和亚洲新兴市场超市农产品供应的系统回顾
IF 2 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-08-17 DOI: 10.1080/23311932.2023.2247697
Abigail Oparebea Boateng, Richard Kwasi Bannor, Ebenezer Bold, Oppong-Kyeremeh Helena
Abstract This paper systematically sheds light on the procurement systems, the selection criteria of Supermarket agrifood suppliers, and the impact of procurement systems on producers. A systematic search of literature from 2000 to 2022 was carried out. Fifty-two peer-reviewed research articles were identified from the Scopus database. The review findings revealed a positive impact on the income, productivity, and efficiency of the suppliers of supermarkets. Supermarkets used a combination of procurement systems (modernised and traditional) but primarily used the modernised method. Most studies reported that pricing and quality of food, the safety of produce, quantity, supply stability, delivery timeliness, and trust connections determine whether supermarkets buy from small or large producers. From the study, it is suggested that, to attract and maintain consumers in the underdeveloped areas, supermarket managers have to practice a just-in-time inventory management system where stocks will be kept low and also integrate vendor relationship management to reduce the cost of fresh fruits and vegetables sold at the Supermarket.
摘要:本文系统地阐述了采购制度、超市农产品供应商的选择标准以及采购制度对生产者的影响。对2000年至2022年的文献进行了系统的检索。从Scopus数据库中确定了52篇同行评议的研究文章。审查结果表明,这对超市供应商的收入、生产力和效率产生了积极影响。超市使用采购系统(现代化和传统)的组合,但主要使用现代化的方法。大多数研究报告说,食品的价格和质量、产品的安全性、数量、供应的稳定性、交货的及时性和信任关系决定了超市是从小型还是大型生产商那里购买。研究建议,为了吸引和维持欠发达地区的消费者,超市管理者必须实行及时库存管理制度,保持低库存,并整合供应商关系管理,以降低在超市销售的新鲜水果和蔬菜的成本。
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引用次数: 0
Value chain analysis of arabica coffee (Coffea arabica l.) in Arghakhanchi district of Nepal 尼泊尔Arghakhanchi地区阿拉比卡咖啡(Coffea arabica i .)价值链分析
IF 2 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-08-15 DOI: 10.1080/23311932.2023.2247173
Sushil Khatri, T. N. Bhusal, S. Kafle, Aakriti Kafle, Yagyaraj Joshi, K. Pandey
Abstract A field survey was conducted during February–May 2022 in Chhatradev rural municipality and Sitganga municipality with the purpose of analyzing the existing value chain of arabica coffee in Arghakhanchi district of Nepal. A sample size of 110 arabica coffee growers, comprising 55 from each municipality, was selected by using three-stage sampling method for interviews that used a pretested questionnaire. To study the value addition and trading aspects, six collectors and pulper operators and two secondary processors were selected. Descriptive statistics was applied to analyze the data. Input suppliers, producers, collectors, pulper operators, secondary processors, traders, and consumers were identified as key players in the coffee value chain. NTCDB, NARC, CDC, AKC, Coffee Zone, Primary Coffee Cooperatives, Central Coffee Cooperative Union Limited, NCPA, financial institutions, and certification agencies were identified as the enabling environment providers in the value chain. The findings showed that the gross margin of one kg each of fresh cherry production, dry parchment production, green bean production, and coffee powder production was NRs. 26.06, NRs. 92.83, NRs. 107.7, and NRs. 215.06, respectively. Value addition from producers to primary processors was NRs. 109.8 per kg, and the value addition from primary to secondary processors was NRs. 445.6 per kg. Similarly, the value addition from secondary processors to consumers was NRs. 480.58 per kg. The research area’s value chain structure or network was determined to be brief and straightforward. Therefore, it is advised to adopt cutting-edge processing and packaging methods to improve the competitiveness of Nepali coffee in the market.
本文于2022年2月至5月在尼泊尔恰特拉德夫农村市和锡甘加市进行了实地调查,目的是分析尼泊尔阿尔哈汉奇地区现有的阿拉比卡咖啡价值链。通过采用三阶段抽样方法进行访谈,选择了110名阿拉比卡咖啡种植者,其中包括来自每个城市的55名种植者。为了研究附加值和交易方面的问题,选择了6家收集商和制浆商以及2家二级加工商。采用描述性统计方法对数据进行分析。投入品供应商、生产商、收集者、制浆经营者、二级加工商、贸易商和消费者被确定为咖啡价值链中的关键参与者。NTCDB、NARC、CDC、AKC、咖啡区、初级咖啡合作社、中央咖啡合作社联盟有限公司、NCPA、金融机构和认证机构被确定为价值链上的有利环境提供者。结果表明,鲜樱桃、干羊皮纸、绿豆和咖啡粉的毛利率均为1 kg。26.06,关系。92.83,关系。107.7和nr。215.06,分别。从生产者到初级加工者的附加值是nr。109.8 / kg,从一级加工者到二级加工者的增加值为NRs。每公斤445.6美元。同样,从二级处理器到消费者的附加价值是nr。每公斤480.58。研究区域的价值链结构或网络被确定为简单明了。因此,建议采用先进的加工和包装方法,提高尼泊尔咖啡在市场上的竞争力。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of climate variability adaptation strategies on maize yield in the Cape Coast Municipality, Ghana 加纳开普海岸市气候变化适应策略对玉米产量的影响
IF 2 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-08-15 DOI: 10.1080/23311932.2023.2247166
D. Ankrah, C. Okyere, J. Mensah, E. Okata
Abstract Maize is a major staple produced by most peasant farmers in Ghana, amidst climate variabilities that potentially thwart the attainment of global sustainable development goals (SDGs), specifically SDG −2 of zero hunger. Ordinarily, one expects the extant literature to be replete on a nexus between climate variability adaptation strategies and maize yields. Ironically, there appears to be scant information on the expected nexus in Ghana’s coastal areas. The dual questions about what adaptation strategies significantly affect maize yield, and the extent (magnitude) to which climate variability strategies affect maize yield beg answering. Inspired by these research questions, the objective of this article is to examine the effect of climate variability adaptation strategies on maize yield. This study relies on a cross-sectional data covering 197 smallholder maize farmers in the Cape Coast Metropolitan Assembly of Ghana’s Central Region. The study is deeply rooted in a quantitative approach employing multiple linear regression and a treatment effect model (inverse probability weighted regression adjustment—IPWRA). Our findings reveal that adaptation strategies correlate with maize yields. Specifically, estimates from the IPWRA show that irrigation and changes in planting dates positively correlate with maize yields. The implication is that these adaptation strategies improve maize yields. Smallholder farmers are encouraged to adopt effective climate variability adaptation strategies to minimize the adverse risks associated with climate variability. The government of Ghana’s initiative for arid regions, dubbed as the “one village one dam” initiative can be upscaled to southern Ghana to ensure sustainable agricultural development.
摘要玉米是加纳大多数农民生产的主要作物,气候变化可能阻碍实现全球可持续发展目标,特别是零饥饿的可持续发展目标2。通常,人们期望现存的文献中充满气候变化适应策略与玉米产量之间的联系。具有讽刺意味的是,关于加纳沿海地区的预期联系,似乎缺乏信息。关于什么样的适应策略会显著影响玉米产量,以及气候变异策略对玉米产量的影响程度(幅度),这两个问题值得回答。受这些研究问题的启发,本文的目的是检验气候变异适应策略对玉米产量的影响。这项研究基于加纳中部地区开普海岸大都会议会197名小农户的横断面数据。这项研究深深植根于采用多元线性回归和治疗效果模型(逆概率加权回归调整-IPWRA)的定量方法。我们的研究结果表明,适应策略与玉米产量相关。具体而言,IPWRA的估计表明,灌溉和种植日期的变化与玉米产量呈正相关。这意味着这些适应策略可以提高玉米产量。鼓励小农户采取有效的气候变化适应策略,最大限度地减少与气候变化相关的不利风险。加纳政府的干旱地区倡议,被称为“一村一坝”倡议,可以扩大到加纳南部,以确保可持续的农业发展。
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引用次数: 0
Postharvest effect of gaseous ozone on physicochemical quality, carotenoid content and shelf-life of mango fruit 采后气体臭氧对芒果果实理化品质、类胡萝卜素含量及保质期的影响
IF 2 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-08-15 DOI: 10.1080/23311932.2023.2247678
N. Bambalele, A. Mditshwa, L. S. Magwaza, S. Tesfay
Abstract This study investigated the effect of gaseous ozone (O3) exposure time on the postharvest quality and shelf-life of mangoes. “Keitt” mango fruit harvested at physiological maturity was exposed to 0.25 mg/L of O3 for 12, 24,36, or 48 hours, and the control fruit were untreated. Fruit were thereafter stored at 10 ℃ for three weeks and ripened at ambient temperature for one week. Postharvest parameters such as mass loss, decay incidence, firmness, total soluble solids (TSS), titratable acidity (TA), and carotenoid content were assessed at weekly intervals. The findings showed that the physiological weight loss of untreated fruit (30.92%) was significantly higher (p <0.05) compared to O3 (12 h), O3 (24 h), O3 (36 h), and O3 (48 h) treated fruit, which was 28.49%, 25.90%, 20.54%, and 20.50%, respectively. Fruit treated with O3 (36 h) significantly maintained firmness, delayed TSS accumulation, and decreased loss of TA. The untreated fruit had a higher decay incidence compared to other treatments at the end of storage. Moreover, the total carotenoid content was notably higher in O3 (48 h) treated fruit during storage. Overall, the results demonstrated that the shelf-life of mango fruit was longer under the 36 h and 48 h treatments. These research findings indicate that O3 could be used effectively to maintain the postharvest quality and extend the shelf-life of mango fruit. Therefore, O3 (36 h) is recommended as a cost-effective postharvest treatment for “Keitt” mangoes.
摘要本研究探讨了气态臭氧(O3)暴露时间对芒果采后品质和货架期的影响。在生理成熟时收获的“Keitt”芒果果实暴露于0.25 mg/L的O3中12、24、36或48小时,对照果实未经处理。10℃贮藏3周,常温成熟1周。采后参数如质量损失、腐烂发生率、硬度、总可溶性固形物(TSS)、可滴定酸度(TA)和类胡萝卜素含量每隔一周进行评估。结果表明,与O3 (12 h)、O3 (24 h)、O3 (36 h)和O3 (48 h)处理的果实相比,未经处理的果实生理失重率(30.92%)显著高于O3(28.49%)、25.90%、20.54%和20.50% (p <0.05)。O3处理36 h后,果实硬度显著保持,TSS积累延迟,TA损失减少。与其他处理相比,未经处理的水果在贮藏末期的腐烂率更高。此外,在贮藏过程中,O3处理(48 h)的果实总类胡萝卜素含量显著高于其他处理。综上所述,36 h和48 h处理下芒果果实的保质期更长。研究结果表明,O3可以有效地保持芒果果实采后品质,延长芒果果实的货架期。因此,建议将O3 (36 h)作为“Keitt”芒果采收后的经济有效处理。
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引用次数: 0
Study of the biochemical activity and plant growth promoting bacteria in soils polluted with oxyfluorfen 氟氧芬污染土壤中促进细菌生化活性及植物生长的研究
IF 2 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-08-13 DOI: 10.1080/23311932.2023.2247171
Salvadora Navarro-Torre, María Aguilera-Salas, Paloma Ávila-Pozo, J. Parrado, M. Tejada
Abstract There is currently a great deal of information available about the toxic effects of oxyfluorfen on soil biochemical activity and microbial biodiversity. However, there is no information about how this herbicide affects plant growth promoting bacteria (PGPB) or their properties, such as biofilm formation, nitrogen fixation, siderophore and auxin production, and phosphate solubilisation. As such in this study an agricultural soil was polluted with the oxyfluorfen herbicide every 30 days at a dose of 4 L ha−1 for a total period of 90 days. During this experimental period, the dehydrogenase activity was determined, a count and isolation of cultivable bacteria was performed, and the PGPB and their properties were characterized. The results indicated that oxyfluorfen inhibits the dehydrogenase activity, with this inhibition increasing with herbicide concentration in the soil (69.9% compared to non-polluted soil). It also causes changes in the population diversity of cultivable bacteria in soils. Regard to the evolution of isolated PGPB, it was found that oxyfluorfen induces the growth of nitrogen-fixing, biofilm-forming, and siderophore-producing bacteria, while negatively affecting the growth of auxin-producing and phosphate-solubilising bacteria. These results suggest that oxyfluorfen modulates the properties of PGPB in a concentration-dependent manner.
目前已有大量关于氟氧芬对土壤生化活性和微生物多样性的毒性影响的信息。然而,关于这种除草剂如何影响植物生长促进菌(PGPB)或它们的特性,如生物膜的形成、固氮、铁载体和生长素的产生以及磷酸盐的溶解,还没有任何信息。因此,在本研究中,每30天用4 L ha - 1剂量的氟氧芬除草剂污染农业土壤,总共持续90天。在实验期间,测定了脱氢酶活性,进行了可培养菌的计数和分离,并对PGPB及其性质进行了表征。结果表明,氟氧芬对土壤脱氢酶活性有抑制作用,且抑制作用随除草剂浓度的增加而增加(与未污染土壤相比为69.9%)。它还引起土壤中可培养细菌种群多样性的变化。在分离的PGPB的进化过程中,发现氟氧芬诱导固氮、生物膜形成和产铁载体细菌的生长,而对生长素和溶磷细菌的生长产生负面影响。这些结果表明,氧氟芬以浓度依赖的方式调节PGPB的性质。
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引用次数: 1
Agriculture growth in Ghana: A time-series analysis with autoregressive distributed lag approach 加纳农业增长:基于自回归分布滞后方法的时间序列分析
IF 2 4区 农林科学 Q2 AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-08-13 DOI: 10.1080/23311932.2023.2244267
A. Ashiagbor, Sylvia Ablateye, K. Essel-Mensah
Abstract The lack of empirical research on the effect of financial development and interest rate on agricultural growth hinders effective policy orientation towards poverty reduction. This paper is set to examine the effect of financial development and interest on agricultural growth from the Ghanaian perspective. We used time-series data for the period 1980–2020. The time-series autoregressive distributed lag approach was used to investigate the relationship between the underlying variables. The cumulative sum chart and cumulative sum of squares statistics were used to show that our model is stable and does not contain any serious structural change. The results show that financial development and interest rates have a significantly positive effect on agricultural growth in both the long-run and short-run. The results also suggest that the government should pay more attention to both short-term and long-term policies to enhance agricultural growth through improving macroeconomic variables like reducing interest rate and enhancing accessibility to agricultural financial services in the country. We propose that agribusinesses be encouraged by enacting new financial reforms to stimulate agri-based commercial ventures, particularly in the agricultural sector. We further suggest that in order to boost agricultural growth in the country, the government should focus on lowering the prices of agri-based inputs such as seeds, fertilizers, and fuel, as well as encouraging research and development efforts. By analyzing the effect of financial development and interest rate on agricultural growth, this paper contributes to evidence-based explanations for the need to implement policies that will boost agricultural production and, hence, poverty reduction.
摘要缺乏关于金融发展和利率对农业增长影响的实证研究,阻碍了减贫的有效政策导向。本文旨在从加纳的角度考察金融发展和兴趣对农业增长的影响。我们使用了1980-2020年期间的时间序列数据。使用时间序列自回归分布滞后方法来研究潜在变量之间的关系。使用累积和图和累积平方和统计数据表明,我们的模型是稳定的,不包含任何严重的结构变化。研究结果表明,从长期和短期来看,金融发展和利率对农业增长都有显著的正向影响。研究结果还表明,政府应更加关注短期和长期政策,通过改善宏观经济变量,如降低利率和提高国内农业金融服务的可及性,来促进农业增长。我们建议通过实施新的金融改革来鼓励农业综合企业,以刺激以农业为基础的商业企业,特别是在农业部门。我们进一步建议,为了促进该国的农业增长,政府应重点降低种子、化肥和燃料等农业投入品的价格,并鼓励研发工作。通过分析金融发展和利率对农业增长的影响,本文有助于对实施促进农业生产从而减少贫困的政策的必要性做出循证解释。
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Cogent Food & Agriculture
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