首页 > 最新文献

Comparative Political Studies最新文献

英文 中文
State Absence, Vengeance, and the Logic of Vigilantism in Guatemala 国家缺席、复仇与危地马拉的警戒逻辑
IF 5 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-05-21 DOI: 10.1177/00104140231169026
D. Dow, Gabrielle Levy, Diego Romero, J. F. Tellez
Across the world, citizens sidestep the state to punish offenses on their own. Such vigilantism can help communities provide order, yet it raises concerns about public accountability and the rights of the accused. While prior research has identified the structural correlates of vigilantism, an open question is in which cases citizens prefer vigilantism over conventional policing. To make sense of these preferences, we draw on two logics of punishment: state substitution and retribution. Using survey data from a conjoint experiment presented to over 9000 households across Guatemala, we find that preferences for vigilantism depend on how transgressive the crime is as well as how unlikely it is to be prosecuted by the state. Victim and perpetrator gender, as well as crime severity and profession of the perpetrator, affect whether people endorse vigilante punishment. These results ultimately raise concerns about the viability of "informal" forms of policing.
在世界各地,公民都会避开国家,独自惩罚犯罪行为。这种私刑可以帮助社区维持秩序,但也引发了人们对公共责任和被告权利的担忧。虽然先前的研究已经确定了私刑的结构相关性,但一个悬而未决的问题是,在哪些情况下,公民更喜欢私刑而不是传统警务。为了理解这些偏好,我们借鉴了两种惩罚逻辑:国家替代和惩罚。利用向危地马拉9000多户家庭提供的一项联合实验的调查数据,我们发现,对私刑的偏好取决于犯罪的违法程度以及被国家起诉的可能性。受害者和犯罪者的性别,以及犯罪严重程度和犯罪者职业,都会影响人们是否支持私刑。这些结果最终引发了人们对“非正式”警务形式可行性的担忧。
{"title":"State Absence, Vengeance, and the Logic of Vigilantism in Guatemala","authors":"D. Dow, Gabrielle Levy, Diego Romero, J. F. Tellez","doi":"10.1177/00104140231169026","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00104140231169026","url":null,"abstract":"Across the world, citizens sidestep the state to punish offenses on their own. Such vigilantism can help communities provide order, yet it raises concerns about public accountability and the rights of the accused. While prior research has identified the structural correlates of vigilantism, an open question is in which cases citizens prefer vigilantism over conventional policing. To make sense of these preferences, we draw on two logics of punishment: state substitution and retribution. Using survey data from a conjoint experiment presented to over 9000 households across Guatemala, we find that preferences for vigilantism depend on how transgressive the crime is as well as how unlikely it is to be prosecuted by the state. Victim and perpetrator gender, as well as crime severity and profession of the perpetrator, affect whether people endorse vigilante punishment. These results ultimately raise concerns about the viability of \"informal\" forms of policing.","PeriodicalId":10600,"journal":{"name":"Comparative Political Studies","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42941019","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Activists Who Divide Us: A Cross-Country Analysis of Party Activists’ Influence on Polarization and Representation 分裂我们的激进主义者:政党激进主义对两极分化和代表性影响的跨国分析
IF 5 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-05-20 DOI: 10.1177/00104140231169030
Yair Amitai
What explains party polarization in multiparty systems? This study turns the spotlight to intraparty mechanisms, namely, the authorities and influence of party activists over the candidate selection process, as a potential source of party-system polarization. I hypothesize that parties in which activists possess more comprehensive selection authorities, the party elite will hold more extreme ideological positions, catering to activists' representation demands. Additionally, in such cases, the ideological gap between party elites and voters will be larger since more extreme actors overshadow the preferences of moderate party voters. Aggregating the intraparty effect of activists to the party-system level, I expect to find higher level of party polarization in countries where more parties allocate selection authorities to activists. Utilizing party-level data regarding candidate selection procedures as well as public opinion and elite position data from 19 countries and 93 parties between 2011 and 2017, I find support for my hypotheses.
是什么解释了多党制中的政党两极分化?这项研究将焦点转向党内机制,即党内活动家对候选人选拔过程的权威和影响力,这是政党制度两极分化的潜在来源。我假设,在积极分子拥有更全面选拔权的政党中,政党精英将持有更极端的意识形态立场,以满足积极分子的代表性要求。此外,在这种情况下,政党精英和选民之间的意识形态差距将更大,因为更极端的行为者掩盖了温和派政党选民的偏好。将活动家的党内效应聚合到政党系统层面,我预计在更多政党将选拔权分配给活动家的国家,会发现政党两极分化程度更高。利用2011年至2017年间来自19个国家和93个政党的关于候选人选拔程序的党内数据以及民意和精英职位数据,我发现我的假设得到了支持。
{"title":"The Activists Who Divide Us: A Cross-Country Analysis of Party Activists’ Influence on Polarization and Representation","authors":"Yair Amitai","doi":"10.1177/00104140231169030","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00104140231169030","url":null,"abstract":"What explains party polarization in multiparty systems? This study turns the spotlight to intraparty mechanisms, namely, the authorities and influence of party activists over the candidate selection process, as a potential source of party-system polarization. I hypothesize that parties in which activists possess more comprehensive selection authorities, the party elite will hold more extreme ideological positions, catering to activists' representation demands. Additionally, in such cases, the ideological gap between party elites and voters will be larger since more extreme actors overshadow the preferences of moderate party voters. Aggregating the intraparty effect of activists to the party-system level, I expect to find higher level of party polarization in countries where more parties allocate selection authorities to activists. Utilizing party-level data regarding candidate selection procedures as well as public opinion and elite position data from 19 countries and 93 parties between 2011 and 2017, I find support for my hypotheses.","PeriodicalId":10600,"journal":{"name":"Comparative Political Studies","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42292447","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Resource Wealth: A “Curse” for Labor Rights? 资源财富:劳工权利的“诅咒”?
IF 5 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-05-17 DOI: 10.1177/00104140231178732
Robert G. Blanton, S. Blanton, Dursun Peksen
Though a great deal of research has examined the economic and political consequences of natural resource wealth, its implications for labor remain empirically under-examined. In this article, we contend that resource abundance undermines labor rights due to the inelastic demand for resource-intensive products, which serves to insulate these states from internal and external pressures to protect these rights. In addition to this direct linkage, we posit that resource wealth indirectly undercuts labor rights through its adverse impact on civil society and bureaucratic capacity. Examining these linkages across 148 countries for the years 1994–2010, we find that resource wealth has a negative and significant impact on labor rights practices, though not on labor rights laws. Results from a causal mediation analysis show that resource wealth also undermines labor rights through its negative impact on labor organizations and bureaucratic capacity
尽管大量研究考察了自然资源财富的经济和政治后果,但其对劳动力的影响仍在实证研究中。在这篇文章中,我们认为,由于对资源密集型产品的需求缺乏弹性,资源丰富破坏了劳工权利,这有助于使这些国家免受保护这些权利的内部和外部压力。除了这种直接联系之外,我们还认为,资源财富通过对公民社会和官僚能力的不利影响,间接削弱了劳工权利。研究1994-2010年148个国家的这些联系,我们发现资源财富对劳工权利实践有负面和重大影响,尽管对劳工权利法没有影响。因果中介分析的结果表明,资源财富也通过对劳工组织和官僚能力的负面影响来损害劳工权利
{"title":"Resource Wealth: A “Curse” for Labor Rights?","authors":"Robert G. Blanton, S. Blanton, Dursun Peksen","doi":"10.1177/00104140231178732","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00104140231178732","url":null,"abstract":"Though a great deal of research has examined the economic and political consequences of natural resource wealth, its implications for labor remain empirically under-examined. In this article, we contend that resource abundance undermines labor rights due to the inelastic demand for resource-intensive products, which serves to insulate these states from internal and external pressures to protect these rights. In addition to this direct linkage, we posit that resource wealth indirectly undercuts labor rights through its adverse impact on civil society and bureaucratic capacity. Examining these linkages across 148 countries for the years 1994–2010, we find that resource wealth has a negative and significant impact on labor rights practices, though not on labor rights laws. Results from a causal mediation analysis show that resource wealth also undermines labor rights through its negative impact on labor organizations and bureaucratic capacity","PeriodicalId":10600,"journal":{"name":"Comparative Political Studies","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42314774","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Cross-National Support for the Welfare State Under Wealth Inequality 财富不平等下福利国家的跨国支持
1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-14 DOI: 10.1177/00104140231168364
Amalie Sofie Jensen, Andreas Wiedemann
Wealth is often more unequally distributed than income, and there are considerable differences across countries. In this paper, we argue that wealth inequality helps explain cross-national variation in support for (and the size of) the welfare state because assets serve as private insurance. When wealth, particularly liquid assets, is unequally distributed across the income spectrum and high-income groups hold most assets, strong reinforcing preferences in favor of or against social policies result in antagonistic welfare politics and less government spending. When assets are more equitably distributed across the income spectrum, cross-cutting preferences emerge as more people support either insurance or redistribution. Welfare politics is consensual and facilitates a broader welfare coalition and more government spending. We analyze original cross-national survey data from nine OECD countries and provide evidence in support of our argument. Our findings suggest that wealth inequality reshapes the role of income in structuring welfare politics.
财富分配往往比收入分配更不平等,而且各国之间存在相当大的差异。在本文中,我们认为财富不平等有助于解释福利国家支持(和规模)的跨国差异,因为资产起到了私人保险的作用。当财富,特别是流动资产,在收入范围内分配不均,高收入群体持有大部分资产时,支持或反对社会政策的强烈偏好会导致对抗性福利政治和政府支出减少。当资产在收入范围内更公平地分配时,随着更多的人支持保险或再分配,交叉偏好就会出现。福利政治是协商一致的,有利于形成更广泛的福利联盟和增加政府支出。我们分析了来自九个经合组织国家的原始跨国调查数据,并提供证据来支持我们的论点。我们的研究结果表明,财富不平等重塑了收入在构建福利政治中的作用。
{"title":"Cross-National Support for the Welfare State Under Wealth Inequality","authors":"Amalie Sofie Jensen, Andreas Wiedemann","doi":"10.1177/00104140231168364","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00104140231168364","url":null,"abstract":"Wealth is often more unequally distributed than income, and there are considerable differences across countries. In this paper, we argue that wealth inequality helps explain cross-national variation in support for (and the size of) the welfare state because assets serve as private insurance. When wealth, particularly liquid assets, is unequally distributed across the income spectrum and high-income groups hold most assets, strong reinforcing preferences in favor of or against social policies result in antagonistic welfare politics and less government spending. When assets are more equitably distributed across the income spectrum, cross-cutting preferences emerge as more people support either insurance or redistribution. Welfare politics is consensual and facilitates a broader welfare coalition and more government spending. We analyze original cross-national survey data from nine OECD countries and provide evidence in support of our argument. Our findings suggest that wealth inequality reshapes the role of income in structuring welfare politics.","PeriodicalId":10600,"journal":{"name":"Comparative Political Studies","volume":"103 9 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135035290","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
When the Far Right Makes the News: Protest Characteristics and Media Coverage of Far-Right Mobilization in Europe 当极右翼制造新闻:欧洲极右翼动员的抗议特征与媒体报道
IF 5 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-07 DOI: 10.1177/00104140231169029
Pietro Castelli Gattinara, Caterina Froio
When do the media cover far-right protests? News coverage matters for the entrenchment of the far right in contemporary democracies, but little comparative research has looked at what drives news attention to far-right mobilization. We apply a classic input–output process model of news selection bias to test the hypothesis that the visibility of far-right protests events depends on the characteristics of protest initiators, type of action, and reactions. We appraise this via logistic regressions on an original dataset of 5972 protest events retrieved from online press releases by far-right groups (input) and national quality newspapers (output) in 11 European countries (2008–2018). The analysis confirms that news media are particularly responsive to contentious action, protest around migration issues, and action–reaction chains between political opponents. Our findings shed light on the role of news organizations in the success of the far-right and on the pathways by which these movements shape public agendas.
媒体什么时候报道极右翼抗议活动?新闻报道对极右翼在当代民主国家的巩固很重要,但很少有比较研究关注是什么促使新闻关注极右翼动员。我们应用新闻选择偏差的经典输入-输出过程模型来检验极右翼抗议事件的可见性取决于抗议发起人的特征、行动类型和反应的假设。我们通过对5972起抗议事件的原始数据集的逻辑回归来评估这一点,这些抗议事件是从11个欧洲国家(2008-2018年)的极右翼团体(输入)和国家级报纸(输出)的在线新闻稿中检索到的。分析证实,新闻媒体对有争议的行动、围绕移民问题的抗议以及政治对手之间的行动-反应链反应特别强烈。我们的研究结果揭示了新闻机构在极右翼成功中的作用,以及这些运动塑造公共议程的途径。
{"title":"When the Far Right Makes the News: Protest Characteristics and Media Coverage of Far-Right Mobilization in Europe","authors":"Pietro Castelli Gattinara, Caterina Froio","doi":"10.1177/00104140231169029","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00104140231169029","url":null,"abstract":"When do the media cover far-right protests? News coverage matters for the entrenchment of the far right in contemporary democracies, but little comparative research has looked at what drives news attention to far-right mobilization. We apply a classic input–output process model of news selection bias to test the hypothesis that the visibility of far-right protests events depends on the characteristics of protest initiators, type of action, and reactions. We appraise this via logistic regressions on an original dataset of 5972 protest events retrieved from online press releases by far-right groups (input) and national quality newspapers (output) in 11 European countries (2008–2018). The analysis confirms that news media are particularly responsive to contentious action, protest around migration issues, and action–reaction chains between political opponents. Our findings shed light on the role of news organizations in the success of the far-right and on the pathways by which these movements shape public agendas.","PeriodicalId":10600,"journal":{"name":"Comparative Political Studies","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49409472","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Message or Messenger? Source and Labeling Effects in Authoritarian Response to Protest 短信还是信使?威权主义抗议反应的来源与标签效应
IF 5 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-06 DOI: 10.1177/00104140231168361
Daniel Arnon, Pearce Edwards, Handi Li
Authoritarian regimes in the 21st century have increasingly turned to using information control rather than kinetic force to respond to threats to their rule. This paper studies an often overlooked type of information control: strategic labeling and public statements by regime sources in response to protests. Labeling protesters as violent criminals may increase support for repression by signaling that protests are illegitimate and deviant. Regime sources, compared to more independent sources, could increase support for repression even more when paired with such an accusatory label. Accommodative labels should have opposing effects—decreasing support for repression. The argument is tested with a survey experiment in China which labels environmental protests. Accusatory labels increase support for repression of protests. Regime sources, meanwhile, have no advantage over non-governmental sources in shifting opinion. The findings suggest that negative labels de-legitimize protesters and legitimize repression while the sources matter less in this contentious authoritarian context.
21世纪的专制政权越来越多地转向使用信息控制,而不是动能来应对对其统治的威胁。本文研究了一种经常被忽视的信息控制类型:政权来源在回应抗议时的战略标签和公开声明。给抗议者贴上暴力罪犯的标签可能会增加对镇压的支持,因为这表明抗议是非法和越轨的。与更独立的消息来源相比,政权的消息来源在加上这种指责性的标签时,可能会更加支持镇压。适应性标签应该有相反的效果——减少对压制的支持。在中国进行的一项针对环境抗议活动的调查实验验证了这一观点。指责的标签增加了对镇压抗议的支持。与此同时,在改变意见方面,政府消息来源与非政府消息来源相比没有优势。研究结果表明,在这个有争议的威权主义背景下,负面标签使抗议者和镇压失去了合法性,而来源则不那么重要。
{"title":"Message or Messenger? Source and Labeling Effects in Authoritarian Response to Protest","authors":"Daniel Arnon, Pearce Edwards, Handi Li","doi":"10.1177/00104140231168361","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00104140231168361","url":null,"abstract":"Authoritarian regimes in the 21st century have increasingly turned to using information control rather than kinetic force to respond to threats to their rule. This paper studies an often overlooked type of information control: strategic labeling and public statements by regime sources in response to protests. Labeling protesters as violent criminals may increase support for repression by signaling that protests are illegitimate and deviant. Regime sources, compared to more independent sources, could increase support for repression even more when paired with such an accusatory label. Accommodative labels should have opposing effects—decreasing support for repression. The argument is tested with a survey experiment in China which labels environmental protests. Accusatory labels increase support for repression of protests. Regime sources, meanwhile, have no advantage over non-governmental sources in shifting opinion. The findings suggest that negative labels de-legitimize protesters and legitimize repression while the sources matter less in this contentious authoritarian context.","PeriodicalId":10600,"journal":{"name":"Comparative Political Studies","volume":"56 1","pages":"1891 - 1923"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44814672","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Regulatory Visions and the State in E. Asia: The Irrational Investor Problem in the Comparative Politics of Finance 监管视野与东亚国家:金融比较政治学中的非理性投资者问题
IF 5 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-06 DOI: 10.1177/00104140231169015
John K. Yasuda
Despite the marked transformation in E. Asia’s financial systems, regulators continue to employ hard paternalistic approaches to their stock markets that are viewed as counterproductive to their development. This article argues that the persistence of hard paternalistic regulatory practices can be explained by a regulatory vision—a common analytical framework to order complex uncertain environments that serve as regulatory first principles—centered on an irrational investor. A regulatory vision works alongside pressures emanating from foreign investment, state capitalism, and state-business relations. This understanding of investor rationality is in marked contrast to a liberal market variant, which emphasizes a rational investor, and thus provides a distinctive comparative lens to understand regulatory behavior in a moment of global financial hybridization. The study draws on over 90 elite interviews of senior regulators, stock exchange officers, and market practitioners conducted in China, Japan, Korea, and Taiwan, from 2015 to 2019.
尽管东亚金融体系发生了显著的转变,但监管机构仍在对其股票市场采取严厉的家长式做法,这被视为对其发展产生反作用。这篇文章认为,严厉的家长式监管做法的持续存在可以用监管愿景来解释,监管愿景是一种常见的分析框架,用于秩序复杂的不确定环境,作为监管的首要原则,以非理性投资者为中心。监管愿景与来自外国投资、国家资本主义和国家商业关系的压力同时发挥作用。这种对投资者理性的理解与自由市场变体形成了鲜明对比,自由市场变体强调理性投资者,从而为理解全球金融杂交时刻的监管行为提供了一个独特的比较视角。该研究借鉴了2015年至2019年在中国、日本、韩国和台湾对高级监管机构、证券交易所官员和市场从业人员进行的90多次精英访谈。
{"title":"Regulatory Visions and the State in E. Asia: The Irrational Investor Problem in the Comparative Politics of Finance","authors":"John K. Yasuda","doi":"10.1177/00104140231169015","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00104140231169015","url":null,"abstract":"Despite the marked transformation in E. Asia’s financial systems, regulators continue to employ hard paternalistic approaches to their stock markets that are viewed as counterproductive to their development. This article argues that the persistence of hard paternalistic regulatory practices can be explained by a regulatory vision—a common analytical framework to order complex uncertain environments that serve as regulatory first principles—centered on an irrational investor. A regulatory vision works alongside pressures emanating from foreign investment, state capitalism, and state-business relations. This understanding of investor rationality is in marked contrast to a liberal market variant, which emphasizes a rational investor, and thus provides a distinctive comparative lens to understand regulatory behavior in a moment of global financial hybridization. The study draws on over 90 elite interviews of senior regulators, stock exchange officers, and market practitioners conducted in China, Japan, Korea, and Taiwan, from 2015 to 2019.","PeriodicalId":10600,"journal":{"name":"Comparative Political Studies","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49003056","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
How Great is the Current Danger to Democracy? Assessing the Risk With Historical Data 当前对民主的威胁有多大?利用历史数据评估风险
IF 5 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-05 DOI: 10.1177/00104140231168363
D. Treisman
Influential voices contend that democracy is in decline worldwide and threatened in the US. Using a variety of measures, I show that—while there has been some recent backsliding—the global proportion of democracies remains close to an all-time high. The current rate of deterioration is not historically unusual and is well explained by the lower income and unseasoned institutions of many new democracies swept upwards in the Third Wave. Historical data suggest the probability of democratic breakdown in the US is extremely low. Western governments are seen as threatened by weakening popular support for democracy and an erosion of elite norms. But systematic evidence for these claims is very limited. While eroding democratic quality in some countries is indeed a cause for concern, the fear of a global slide into autocracy appears premature.
有影响力的声音认为,民主在世界范围内正在衰落,在美国也受到了威胁。通过各种措施,我表明,尽管最近出现了一些倒退,但全球民主国家的比例仍然接近历史最高水平。目前的恶化速度在历史上并不罕见,这可以很好地解释为许多新民主国家在第三波浪潮中的低收入和被推翻的机构。历史数据表明,美国民主崩溃的可能性极低。西方政府被视为受到民众对民主支持减弱和精英规范侵蚀的威胁。但这些说法的系统证据非常有限。尽管一些国家的民主质量受到侵蚀确实令人担忧,但对全球滑向专制的担忧似乎为时过早。
{"title":"How Great is the Current Danger to Democracy? Assessing the Risk With Historical Data","authors":"D. Treisman","doi":"10.1177/00104140231168363","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00104140231168363","url":null,"abstract":"Influential voices contend that democracy is in decline worldwide and threatened in the US. Using a variety of measures, I show that—while there has been some recent backsliding—the global proportion of democracies remains close to an all-time high. The current rate of deterioration is not historically unusual and is well explained by the lower income and unseasoned institutions of many new democracies swept upwards in the Third Wave. Historical data suggest the probability of democratic breakdown in the US is extremely low. Western governments are seen as threatened by weakening popular support for democracy and an erosion of elite norms. But systematic evidence for these claims is very limited. While eroding democratic quality in some countries is indeed a cause for concern, the fear of a global slide into autocracy appears premature.","PeriodicalId":10600,"journal":{"name":"Comparative Political Studies","volume":"56 1","pages":"1924 - 1952"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45366778","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
The Consequences of Militarized Policing for Human Rights: Evidence from Mexico 军事化警务对人权的影响:来自墨西哥的证据
IF 5 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-04 DOI: 10.1177/00104140231168362
Gustavo Flores-Macías, Jessica Zarkin
What are the consequences of the militarization of public safety? Governments increasingly rely on militaries for policing, but the systematic study of this phenomenon’s consequences for human rights has been neglected. NGO and journalistic accounts point to widespread violations by the military, but these snapshots do not necessarily present evidence of systematic abuse. Based on unique data on military deployments and human rights complaints in Mexico, we conduct a systematic, country-wide study of the consequences of constabularization for human rights. Following matching and difference-in-difference strategies, we find that it leads to a 150% increase in complaints against federal security forces. We also leverage deployments for disaster-relief operations and complaints against non-security institutions to show that the increase is not due to underlying conditions or higher reporting in the military’s presence. The findings have important implications for our understanding of quality of democracy and the democratic ideals of civilian policing.
公共安全军事化的后果是什么?各国政府越来越依赖军队维持治安,但对这一现象对人权的影响的系统研究却被忽视了。非政府组织和新闻报道指出了军方普遍存在的侵权行为,但这些快照并不一定是系统性虐待的证据。根据关于墨西哥军事部署和人权申诉的独特数据,我们对警察化对人权的影响进行了系统的全国性研究。遵循匹配和差异中的差异策略,我们发现它导致对联邦安全部队的投诉增加了150%。我们还利用救灾行动的部署和对非安全机构的投诉来表明,这一增长不是由于潜在条件或军队存在的更高报告。这些发现对我们理解民主的质量和民警的民主理想具有重要意义。
{"title":"The Consequences of Militarized Policing for Human Rights: Evidence from Mexico","authors":"Gustavo Flores-Macías, Jessica Zarkin","doi":"10.1177/00104140231168362","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00104140231168362","url":null,"abstract":"What are the consequences of the militarization of public safety? Governments increasingly rely on militaries for policing, but the systematic study of this phenomenon’s consequences for human rights has been neglected. NGO and journalistic accounts point to widespread violations by the military, but these snapshots do not necessarily present evidence of systematic abuse. Based on unique data on military deployments and human rights complaints in Mexico, we conduct a systematic, country-wide study of the consequences of constabularization for human rights. Following matching and difference-in-difference strategies, we find that it leads to a 150% increase in complaints against federal security forces. We also leverage deployments for disaster-relief operations and complaints against non-security institutions to show that the increase is not due to underlying conditions or higher reporting in the military’s presence. The findings have important implications for our understanding of quality of democracy and the democratic ideals of civilian policing.","PeriodicalId":10600,"journal":{"name":"Comparative Political Studies","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46033248","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 7
Credit Claiming by Labeling 标签债权
IF 5 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-02 DOI: 10.1177/00104140231169016
Virginia Oliveros, Rebecca Weitz-Shapiro, Matthew S. Winters
We examine a phenomenon we call “credit claiming by labeling” in which a sitting politician places her name on a project, program, or policy with the goal of claiming credit for it. While the prevalence of this practice suggests that many politicians believe that credit claiming by labeling will aid their careers, there is little existing evidence on this question. We examine the effects of credit claiming by labeling with a survey experiment in Argentina. We find that it has a negative, though small, effect on respondents’ attitudes. Descriptive data suggests that these results stem from the perceived pervasiveness of the practice. We then use evidence from an additional treatment on the (un)biased selection of program beneficiaries to show that respondents actually reward politicians who neither label nor manipulate programs. These results suggest substantial obstacles to overturning citizens’ negative baseline beliefs about the politicized implementation of government programs.
我们研究了一种现象,我们称之为“标签邀功”,即在任政治家将自己的名字放在一个项目、计划或政策上,目的是邀功。虽然这种做法的盛行表明,许多政治家认为,通过标签来获得荣誉将有助于他们的职业生涯,但在这个问题上,几乎没有现有的证据。我们通过在阿根廷进行的一项调查实验来检验信用索赔的影响。我们发现,它对受访者的态度有一个负面的,虽然很小的影响。描述性数据表明,这些结果源于这种做法的普遍存在。然后,我们使用来自(非)有偏见的计划受益人选择的额外处理的证据来表明受访者实际上奖励那些既不标记也不操纵计划的政治家。这些结果表明,要推翻公民对政府项目政治化实施的负面基本信念,存在巨大障碍。
{"title":"Credit Claiming by Labeling","authors":"Virginia Oliveros, Rebecca Weitz-Shapiro, Matthew S. Winters","doi":"10.1177/00104140231169016","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1177/00104140231169016","url":null,"abstract":"We examine a phenomenon we call “credit claiming by labeling” in which a sitting politician places her name on a project, program, or policy with the goal of claiming credit for it. While the prevalence of this practice suggests that many politicians believe that credit claiming by labeling will aid their careers, there is little existing evidence on this question. We examine the effects of credit claiming by labeling with a survey experiment in Argentina. We find that it has a negative, though small, effect on respondents’ attitudes. Descriptive data suggests that these results stem from the perceived pervasiveness of the practice. We then use evidence from an additional treatment on the (un)biased selection of program beneficiaries to show that respondents actually reward politicians who neither label nor manipulate programs. These results suggest substantial obstacles to overturning citizens’ negative baseline beliefs about the politicized implementation of government programs.","PeriodicalId":10600,"journal":{"name":"Comparative Political Studies","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48690588","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Comparative Political Studies
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1