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When Strength Becomes Weakness: Precolonial State Development, Monopoly on Violence, and Civil War 当实力变弱:前殖民时期的国家发展、暴力垄断和内战
IF 5 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/00104140231169017
Casper Sakstrup
Does the legacy of precolonial statehood affect contemporary levels of civil conflict outside Europe? I argue that places with higher levels of precolonial state development were more likely to end up as weak modern-day states because precolonial state structures and authority structures established by European colonizers came to exist in parallel. This created opportunities and motivation for civil conflict still present in many countries today. I illustrate the argument in the cases of India, Burma, and Ethiopia and test it statistically in a global sample covering 109 countries outside Europe. The results strongly support the theory. Countries with higher levels of state development 3500 BCE–1500 CE have weaker state monopolies on violence and markedly higher levels of intrastate armed conflict in modern times (1946–2018). The findings remain robust across numerous alternative specifications, including using the timing of the Neolithic Revolution as an instrument.
前殖民国家地位的遗产是否影响到欧洲以外的当代国内冲突水平?我认为,前殖民时期国家发展水平较高的地方更有可能最终成为脆弱的现代国家,因为前殖民时期的国家结构和欧洲殖民者建立的权力结构是并行存在的。这为许多国家今天仍然存在的国内冲突创造了机会和动机。我以印度、缅甸和埃塞俄比亚为例说明了这一论点,并在涵盖欧洲以外109个国家的全球样本中进行了统计检验。研究结果有力地支持了这一理论。公元前3500年至公元1500年国家发展水平较高的国家,在现代(1946-2018),国家对暴力的垄断较弱,国内武装冲突的水平明显较高。这些发现在许多不同的规范中仍然是可靠的,包括使用新石器时代革命的时间作为工具。
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引用次数: 0
The Origin of Social Policy for Women Workers: The Emergence of Paid Maternity Leave in Western Countries 女工社会政策的起源:西方国家带薪产假的兴起
IF 5 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.1177/00104140231169024
K. Son
Comparative welfare research commonly assumes that women’s political demands were not a crucial factor in the early development of welfare legislation, given their limited access to political resources. This article argues that women contributed to enhancing their right to maternity protection once paid maternity leave was adopted. The early development of paid maternity leave was not only an outcome but also a cause of women’s influence in policymaking. Although paid maternity leave was invented by male policymakers in pioneer welfare states, the adoption of paid maternity leave generated political opportunities for women to push for further expansions. Utilizing an original historical dataset of paid maternity leave, I examine the adoption and extension of paid maternity leave in 20 Western countries from 1883 until 1975. I find that women’s political participation shaped the generosity of paid maternity leave but not the timing of its adoption.
比较福利研究通常假定妇女的政治要求不是福利立法早期发展的关键因素,因为她们获得政治资源的机会有限。本文认为,实行带薪产假后,妇女获得生育保护的权利得到了加强。带薪产假的早期发展不仅是妇女对决策产生影响的结果,而且是其原因。虽然带薪产假是由福利国家的男性决策者发明的,但带薪产假的采用为女性推动进一步扩张创造了政治机会。利用带薪产假的原始历史数据集,我研究了20个西方国家从1883年到1975年的带薪产假的采用和延长。我发现,女性的政治参与影响了带薪产假的慷慨程度,而不是采用带薪产假的时机。
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引用次数: 0
Erratum to Breaking the Cabinet’s Glass Ceiling: The Gendered Effect of Political Experience in Presidential Democracies 打破内阁的玻璃天花板:总统制民主国家政治经验的性别效应
IF 5 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1177/00104140221106774
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引用次数: 0
Symptoms and Stereotypes: Perceptions and Responses to Covid-19 in Malawi and Zambia 症状和刻板印象:马拉维和赞比亚对Covid-19的看法和反应
IF 5 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-02-06 DOI: 10.1177/00104140231152753
Karen E. Ferree, B. Dulani, Adam S. Harris, Kristen Kao, Ellen Lust, Cecilia Ahsan Jansson, E. Metheney
A large literature documents Covid-19’s health and economic effects. We focus instead on its political impact and its potential to exacerbate identity divisions, in particular. Psychologists argue that contagious disease increases threat perceptions and provokes policing of group boundaries. We explore how insider-outsider status and symptoms of illness shape perceptions of infection, reported willingness to help, and desire to restrict free movement of an ailing neighbor using a phone-based survey experiment administered three times in two neighboring African countries during different stages of the pandemic: Malawi, from May 5 to June 2, 2020 (n = 4,641); Zambia, from July 2 to August 13, 2020 (n = 2,198); and Malawi again, from March 9 to May 1, 2021 (n = 4,356). We study identities that are salient in Malawi and Zambia but have not induced significant prior violence, making our study a relatively hard test of disease threat theories. We find that symptoms more strongly shape perceptions and projected behavior than insider-outsider status in both countries and across time, suggesting that there are limits to the ability of pandemics to independently provoke identity politics de novo.
大量文献记录了Covid-19对健康和经济的影响。相反,我们关注的是它的政治影响,尤其是它加剧身份分歧的可能性。心理学家认为,传染病增加了人们对威胁的感知,并引发了对群体边界的监管。我们通过一项基于电话的调查实验,探讨了内外身份和疾病症状如何影响对感染的看法、报告的帮助意愿和限制生病邻居自由行动的愿望,该实验在疫情的不同阶段在两个邻近的非洲国家进行了三次:马拉维,从2020年5月5日至6月2日(n = 4,641);赞比亚,2020年7月2日至8月13日(n = 2198);再次是马拉维,从2021年3月9日到5月1日(n = 4356)。我们研究的身份在马拉维和赞比亚是突出的,但没有引起显著的先前暴力,使我们的研究相对较难测试疾病威胁理论。我们发现,在两个国家和不同的时间里,症状比局内人-局外人的身份更能塑造人们的观念和预测行为,这表明流行病独立引发身份政治从头开始的能力是有限的。
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引用次数: 1
Regime Transformation From Below: Mobilization for Democracy and Autocracy From 1900 to 2021 从下到下的政权转型:从1900年到2021年的民主和专制动员
IF 5 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-02-03 DOI: 10.1177/00104140231152793
S. Hellmeier, M. Bernhard
Mass mobilization (MM) is an important driver of political change. While some citizens organize in favor of more democratic institutions, others take to the streets to support an authoritarian status quo. This article introduces measures of pro-democratic and pro-autocratic MM using expert assessments for 179 polities from 1900–2021. The data allow us to trace patterns in MM over time, across regions and regime types. We use this new data to systematically analyze the relationship between both types of mobilization and regime change. We confirm the findings of the literature on contentious democratic politics, and our analysis of autocratic mobilization allows us to make sense of the controversy in the literature on “bad actors” in civil society. We show that MM in favor of autocracy negatively affects democracy, making a case for specifying the goals of the actors involved in contentious politics to more precisely understand their impact.
群众动员(MM)是政治变革的重要驱动力。虽然一些公民组织起来支持更民主的制度,但其他人走上街头支持威权主义的现状。本文利用专家对1900-2021年间179项政策的评估,介绍了亲民主和亲专制的MM指标。这些数据使我们能够追踪MM随时间、跨地区和政体类型的模式。我们使用这些新数据系统地分析了两种类型的动员与政权更迭之间的关系。我们确认了关于有争议的民主政治的文献的发现,我们对专制动员的分析使我们能够理解关于公民社会中“不良行为者”的文献中的争议。我们表明,支持专制的MM会对民主产生负面影响,并提出了一个案例,说明参与有争议的政治的行动者的目标,以更准确地理解他们的影响。
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引用次数: 3
Beyond Replication: Secondary Qualitative Data Analysis in Political Science 超越复制:政治学中的二次定性数据分析
IF 5 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1177/00104140221139388
F. Kern, Katariina Mustasilta
Shared qualitative data – such as interview or focus group transcripts – can be used for secondary qualitative data analysis (SQDA). Yet, much archived qualitative data remains unused after primary analysis. Applications and guidance on how to employ SQDA are rare. We use an example application of SQDA studying informal institutions and resilience in Sub-Saharan Africa to show: First, SQDA depends on how primary researchers share ‘raw’ qualitative data and additional documentation to understand primary context. Second, deductive and inductive uses of SQDA require varying engagement with primary data. Third, current practices of participant consent often do not consider potential SQDA. Fourth, SQDA is not less time-consuming than primary data research but offers different benefits, such as expanding the comparative sample of cases or avoiding research fatigue of studied communities. Going forward, SQDA requires greater consensus on the instruments (e.g. transcripts and participant consent forms) used by researchers and further applications of hypothesis-testing and hypothesis-generating designs.
共享的定性数据——如访谈或焦点小组记录——可用于二次定性数据分析(SQDA)。然而,许多存档的定性数据在初步分析后仍未使用。关于如何使用SQDA的应用和指导很少。我们使用SQDA研究撒哈拉以南非洲非正式制度和复原力的一个示例应用程序来说明:首先,SQDA取决于主要研究人员如何共享“原始”定性数据和额外的文件来理解主要背景。其次,SQDA的演绎和归纳使用需要对原始数据进行不同的处理。第三,目前的参与者同意实践通常不考虑潜在的SQDA。第四,SQDA的耗时并不比原始数据研究少,但它提供了不同的好处,例如扩大案例的比较样本或避免研究群体的研究疲劳。展望未来,SQDA需要对研究人员使用的工具(例如转录本和参与者同意书)以及假设检验和假设生成设计的进一步应用达成更大的共识。
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引用次数: 1
Historical Inequality at the Grassroots: Local Public Goods in an Indian District, 1905–2011 草根阶层的历史不平等:1905-2011年印度地区的地方公共产品
IF 5 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-02-01 DOI: 10.1177/00104140231152767
Alexander Lee
How do historical inequalities influence modern public goods provision? This paper analyses a new panel dataset of local public goods provision in a single North Indian district with observations at the village-decade level going back to 1905 and detailed information on colonial land tenure institutions and demographics. The presence of large colonial landowners is positively associated with rural public goods provision when the landlord was resident in the early 20th century and has a null effect when the landlord was an absentee. Villages inhabited or owned by upper castes had an advantage in the colonial and immediate post-independence eras, but not afterward. The results suggest that within unequal societies, economic and status inequalities can have positive effects on public goods provision when they link elites to extralocal decision-makers.
历史上的不平等如何影响现代公共产品的提供?本文分析了一个新的北印度地区当地公共产品供应的面板数据集,其中包括1905年的村庄十年水平的观察结果,以及殖民地土地保有制度和人口统计的详细信息。20世纪初,当地主居住时,大型殖民地主的存在与农村公共产品的提供呈正相关,而当地主不在时,则无效。上层种姓居住或拥有的村庄在殖民时代和独立后不久的时代有优势,但在独立后就没有了。研究结果表明,在不平等的社会中,当经济和地位不平等将精英与外地决策者联系在一起时,它们会对公共产品的提供产生积极影响。
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引用次数: 0
Minding (Your Own and) Others’ Business: Assigning Co-Responsibility in Cabinet Decisions 关注(自己和)他人的事务:在内阁决策中分配共同责任
IF 5 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-23 DOI: 10.1177/00104140231152797
Ilana Shpaizman, Amnon Cavari
In coalition governments, parties invest much effort to manage delegation costs to individual ministers. In this article, we examine an intra-executive mechanism for managing delegation costs: Assigning ministerial co-responsibility in cabinet decisions. Using data of cabinet decisions in Israel, we test when and under what conditions co-responsibility is assigned. We find that co-responsibility is assigned strategically by cabinet members weighing the risk of a drift against the costs of imposing co-responsibility. These findings demonstrate an understudied mechanism through which coalition governments narrow ministerial autonomy and informational advantage once policies reach the cabinet. In doing so, this research contributes to a better understanding of policymaking in coalition governments.
在联合政府中,各党派投入大量精力来管理对个别部长的授权成本。在这篇文章中,我们研究了一种管理授权成本的行政内部机制:在内阁决策中分配部长共同责任。利用以色列内阁决策的数据,我们测试了何时以及在何种条件下分配共同责任。我们发现,共同责任是由内阁成员从战略上分配的,他们权衡漂移的风险和实施共同责任的成本。这些发现表明,一旦政策进入内阁,联合政府就会通过一种研究不足的机制来缩小部长自主权和信息优势。通过这样做,这项研究有助于更好地理解联合政府的政策制定。
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引用次数: 0
Repression Works (Just Not in Moderation) 压抑有效(只是不适度)
IF 5 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-22 DOI: 10.1177/00104140231152778
Y. Zhukov
Why does government violence deter political challengers in one context but inflame them in the next? This paper argues that repression increases opposition activity at low and moderate levels but decreases it in the extreme. There is a threshold level of violence, where the opposition becomes unable to recruit new members, and the rebellion unravels—even if the government kills more innocents. We find empirical support for this proposition in disaggregated data from Chechnya and a meta-analysis of sub-national conflict dynamics in 71 countries. The data suggest that a threshold exists, but the level of violence needed to reach it varies. Many governments, thankfully, are unable or unwilling to go that far. We explore conditions under which this threshold may be higher or lower and highlight a fundamental trade-off between reducing government violence and preserving civil liberties. JEL Classification D74, F51, H56.
为什么政府暴力在一种情况下阻止了政治挑战者,但在另一种情况下却激怒了他们?本文认为,压制在低和中等水平上增加了反对活动,但在极端水平上减少了反对活动。有一个暴力的临界值,当反对派无法招募新成员时,叛乱就会瓦解——即使政府杀害更多无辜的人。我们在车臣的分类数据和71个国家的次国家冲突动态的荟萃分析中发现了对这一命题的实证支持。数据表明,存在一个阈值,但达到这个阈值所需的暴力程度各不相同。值得庆幸的是,许多政府不能或不愿走到这一步。我们探讨了这个门槛可能更高或更低的条件,并强调了减少政府暴力和维护公民自由之间的基本权衡。JEL分类D74、F51、H56。
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引用次数: 8
Low-Skill Products by High-Skill Workers: The Distributive Effects of Trade in Emerging and Developing Countries 高技能工人生产的低技能产品:新兴和发展中国家贸易的分配效应
IF 5 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2023-01-20 DOI: 10.1177/00104140231152800
Irene Menéndez González, Erica Owen, Stefanie Walter
In developing countries, trade is increasingly associated with greater returns to high-skilled labor and rising inequality. These empirical patterns are at odds with canonical models of trade in the developing world. What does this mean for the political economy of trade in these countries? We argue that although developing countries have a comparative advantage in low-skill products, these are produced by workers that are relatively high-skilled compared to their peers. Trade and global production benefit relatively skilled workers, particularly those exposed to exports and inward foreign direct investment in manufacturing. Our argument offers insight into why relatively skilled workers are most supportive of free trade and why inequality is rising in developing countries. We examine micro- and macro-level implications of our argument using cross-national survey data on policy preferences and aggregate data on trade and inequality. The findings have important implications for the political economy of trade and global production in developing countries.
在发展中国家,贸易越来越与高技能劳动力的更高回报和日益加剧的不平等联系在一起。这些经验模式与发展中国家的典型贸易模式不一致。这对这些国家的贸易政治经济意味着什么?我们认为,尽管发展中国家在低技能产品方面具有相对优势,但这些产品是由与同行相比技术相对较高的工人生产的。贸易和全球生产使相对熟练的工人受益,尤其是那些在制造业面临出口和外来直接投资的工人。我们的论点让我们深入了解了为什么相对熟练的工人最支持自由贸易,以及为什么发展中国家的不平等现象正在加剧。我们使用关于政策偏好的跨国调查数据和关于贸易和不平等的汇总数据,研究了我们的论点在微观和宏观层面的影响。研究结果对发展中国家的贸易和全球生产的政治经济具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Comparative Political Studies
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