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Adaptive promising zone design for sequential parallel comparison design with continuous outcomes. 连续结果序列平行比较设计的自适应前景区设计。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-25 DOI: 10.1177/17407745241309056
Xinlin Lu, Guogen Shan

Introduction: The sequential parallel comparison design has emerged as a valuable tool in clinical trials with high placebo response rates. To further enhance its efficiency and effectiveness, adaptive strategies, such as sample size adjustment and allocation ratio modification can be employed.

Methods: We compared the performance of Jennison and Turnbull's method and the Promising Zone approach for sample size adjustment in a two-phase sequential parallel comparison design study. We also evaluated the impact of allocation ratio adjustments using Neyman and Optimal allocation strategies. Various scenarios were simulated to assess the effects of different design parameters, including weight in the test statistic, initial randomization ratio, and interim analysis timing.

Results: The Promising Zone approach demonstrated superior or comparable power to Jennison and Turnbull's method at equivalent expected sample sizes while maintaining the intuitive property that more promising interim results lead to smaller required follow-up sample sizes. However, the Promising Zone approach may require a larger maximum possible sample size in some cases. The addition of allocation ratio adjustments offered minimal improvements overall, but showed potential benefits when the variance in the treatment group was larger than that in the placebo group. We also applied our findings to a real-world example from the AVP-923 trial in patients with Alzheimer's disease-related agitation, demonstrating the practical implications of adaptive sequential parallel comparison designs in clinical research.

Discussion: Adaptive strategies can significantly enhance the efficiency of sequential parallel comparison designs. The choice between sample size adjustment methods should consider trade-offs between power, expected sample size, and maximum adjusted sample size. Although allocation ratio adjustments showed limited overall impact, they may be beneficial in specific scenarios. Future research should explore the application of these adaptive strategies to binary and survival outcomes in sequential parallel comparison designs.

序贯平行比较设计在高安慰剂反应率的临床试验中已成为一种有价值的工具。为了进一步提高其效率和有效性,可以采用调整样本量和调整分配比例等自适应策略。方法:在两阶段连续平行比较设计研究中,我们比较了Jennison和Turnbull的方法和有希望区方法在样本量调整方面的性能。我们还利用内曼和最优分配策略评估了分配比例调整的影响。模拟各种情况以评估不同设计参数的影响,包括试验统计量中的权重、初始随机化比率和中期分析时间。结果:在相同的预期样本量下,有希望区域方法比Jennison和Turnbull的方法表现出优越或相当的能力,同时保持了更有希望的中期结果导致所需的后续样本量更小的直观性质。然而,在某些情况下,希望区方法可能需要更大的最大可能样本量。总的来说,增加分配比例调整提供了最小的改善,但当治疗组的差异大于安慰剂组时,显示出潜在的益处。我们还将我们的发现应用于阿尔茨海默病相关躁动患者的AVP-923试验的现实例子,证明了自适应顺序平行比较设计在临床研究中的实际意义。讨论:自适应策略可以显著提高顺序并行比较设计的效率。样本量调整方法之间的选择应该考虑功率、预期样本量和最大调整样本量之间的权衡。虽然分配比例调整的整体影响有限,但在特定情况下可能是有益的。未来的研究应该探索这些自适应策略在序列平行比较设计中的应用。
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引用次数: 0
Nature-inspired metaheuristics for optimizing dose-finding and computationally challenging clinical trial designs. 自然启发的元启发式优化剂量发现和计算挑战性临床试验设计。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-12 DOI: 10.1177/17407745251346396
Weng Kee Wong, Yevgen Ryeznik, Oleksandr Sverdlov, Ping-Yang Chen, Xinying Fang, Ray-Bing Chen, Shouhao Zhou, J Jack Lee

Metaheuristics are commonly used in computer science and engineering to solve optimization problems, but their potential applications in clinical trial design have remained largely unexplored. This article provides a brief overview of metaheuristics and reviews their limited use in clinical trial settings. We focus on nature-inspired metaheuristics and apply one of its exemplary algorithms, the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm, to find phase I/II designs that jointly consider toxicity and efficacy. As a specific application, we demonstrate the utility of PSO in designing optimal dose-finding studies to estimate the optimal biological dose (OBD) for a continuation-ratio model with four parameters under multiple constraints. Our design improves existing designs by protecting patients from receiving doses higher than the unknown maximum tolerated dose and ensuring that the OBD is estimated with high accuracy. In addition, we show the effectiveness of metaheuristics in addressing more computationally challenging design problems by extending Simon's phase II designs to more than two stages and finding more flexible Bayesian optimal phase II designs with enhanced power.

元启发式通常用于计算机科学和工程中解决优化问题,但其在临床试验设计中的潜在应用在很大程度上仍未被探索。本文简要概述了元启发式,并回顾了它们在临床试验中的有限应用。我们专注于自然启发的元启发式算法,并应用其示例算法之一,粒子群优化(PSO)算法,以寻找联合考虑毒性和功效的I/II期设计。作为一个具体的应用,我们展示了PSO在设计最佳剂量发现研究中的效用,以估计在多个约束条件下具有四个参数的连续比模型的最佳生物剂量(OBD)。我们的设计改进了现有的设计,保护患者不接受高于未知最大耐受剂量的剂量,并确保OBD的估计具有很高的准确性。此外,通过将Simon的第二阶段设计扩展到两个以上阶段,并找到更灵活的贝叶斯优化第二阶段设计,我们展示了元启发式在解决更具计算挑战性的设计问题方面的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
Afternoon discussion: Statistical issues in clinical trials conference on dose finding. 下午讨论:剂量发现临床试验会议中的统计问题。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-27 DOI: 10.1177/17407745251350598
Anna Heath, Kelley M Kidwell

The adoption of innovative, model-based, and computationally intensive clinical trial designs is challenged by barriers including clinician engagement, regulatory acceptance, dissemination beyond major research institutions, and patient accrual. This session explored strategies to overcome these barriers. Key approaches discussed included the development of user-friendly software and interactive platforms to enhance transparency, open sharing of algorithms, and recognition of software contributions in academic publishing. Building collaborations with stakeholders predisposed to innovation, fostering interdisciplinary communication, and producing complementary methodological and clinical publications were emphasized as essential steps. Practical considerations for trials with small sample sizes included the use of adaptive designs, individualized trials, and alternative optimization strategies when traditional theoretical assumptions are infeasible. A major theme of the discussion was the importance of model assumptions in innovative designs. Questions were raised about the sensitivity of results to these assumptions and the robustness of methods, particularly under limited sample sizes. Addressing this requires extensive simulation studies across varied scenarios to assess operating characteristics. The focus should be on achieving clinically meaningful goals-such as identifying effective dose regions-rather than perfect model specification. Speakers emphasized the need to acknowledge and, when feasible, test assumptions post hoc, integrating such verification as secondary objectives in trial design. An iterative scientific process was encouraged, recognizing that trials not only serve immediate clinical goals but also advance broader scientific understanding. Assumptions provide a principled foundation for methodology, but thoughtful scrutiny of their realism was urged, given the risk of relying on overly strong or untestable premises. The potential of metaheuristic algorithms was highlighted for efficiently identifying optimal designs across different model assumptions, supporting robustness evaluations. Practical implementation should adapt optimal designs to stakeholder needs while preserving acceptable statistical efficiency. In sum, advancing the adoption of innovative designs requires improved communication, infrastructure, and methodological transparency, alongside careful evaluation of model assumptions and robustness.

采用创新的、基于模型的和计算密集型的临床试验设计面临着包括临床医生参与、监管接受、主要研究机构以外的传播和患者累积等障碍的挑战。这次会议探讨了克服这些障碍的战略。会议讨论的主要方法包括开发用户友好的软件和互动平台,以提高透明度、公开分享算法,以及认可软件在学术出版中的贡献。强调与倾向于创新的利益相关者建立合作,促进跨学科交流,以及制作互补的方法和临床出版物是必不可少的步骤。小样本量试验的实际考虑包括使用自适应设计、个性化试验和当传统理论假设不可行时的替代优化策略。讨论的一个主要主题是模型假设在创新设计中的重要性。有人提出了关于结果对这些假设的敏感性和方法的稳健性的问题,特别是在有限的样本量下。为了解决这个问题,需要在不同的场景中进行广泛的模拟研究,以评估操作特性。重点应该放在实现有临床意义的目标上,比如确定有效剂量区域,而不是完善模型规格。发言者强调有必要承认并在可行的情况下对事后假设进行检验,将这种核查作为试验设计的次要目标。鼓励反复的科学过程,认识到试验不仅服务于直接的临床目标,而且促进更广泛的科学理解。假设为方法论提供了一个原则性的基础,但考虑到依赖过于强大或不可检验的前提的风险,对其现实性进行深思熟虑的审查是迫切需要的。强调了元启发式算法的潜力,可以有效地识别不同模型假设下的最优设计,支持鲁棒性评估。实际实施应使最佳设计适应利益相关者的需求,同时保持可接受的统计效率。总而言之,推进创新设计的采用需要改进沟通、基础设施和方法透明度,以及对模型假设和稳健性的仔细评估。
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引用次数: 0
Experiences with low-intervention clinical trials-the new category under the European Union Clinical Trials Regulation. 低干预临床试验的经验——欧盟临床试验条例下的新类别。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-22 DOI: 10.1177/17407745241309293
Amos J de Jong, Helga Gardarsdottir, Yared Santa-Ana-Tellez, Anthonius de Boer, Mira Gp Zuidgeest

Background/AimsLow-intervention clinical trials have been established under the European Union Clinical Trials Regulation (EU 536/2014) which aims to simplify the conduct of clinical trials with authorized medicinal products. There is limited experience with conducting low-intervention trials. Therefore, this study aims to report on experiences and perceived (dis)advantages of low-intervention trials.MethodsWe surveyed representatives of all individual clinical trials registered on the public website of the European Union Clinical Trials Information System between 31 January 2022 and 1 December 2023 that evaluated authorized investigational medicinal products and had at least one investigative site in the European Union. These representatives were approached between June 2023 and January 2024.ResultsWe received 70 responses (response rate 21%). Of the respondents, 31 represented a trial registered as low-intervention trial, and 39 represented a trial not registered as a low-intervention trial (hereafter "regular trials"). Simplified clinical trial monitoring and an easier regulatory approval process were perceived as the main advantages of low-intervention trials, with respectively 44% and 34% of the respondents indicating this to be an advantage in low-intervention trials. However, the respondents experienced that stringent and unclear regulatory requirements impeded the conduct of low-intervention trials. Respondents involved with regular trials indicated that 39% of the regular trials met the criteria of a low-intervention trial but were not registered as such, among others due to unfamiliarity with this trial category.ConclusionsWe argue that the simplified procedures for low-intervention trials should be more detailed-for example in regulatory guidance-in the future to further simplify the conduct of clinical trials with authorized investigational medicinal products.

背景/目的:低干预临床试验是根据欧盟临床试验条例(EU 536/2014)建立的,旨在简化授权药品的临床试验进行。进行低干预试验的经验有限。因此,本研究旨在报告低干预试验的经验和感知(缺陷)优势。方法:我们调查了2022年1月31日至2023年12月1日期间在欧盟临床试验信息系统(European Union clinical trials Information System)公共网站上注册的所有个体临床试验的代表,这些临床试验评估了授权的临床试验产品,并且在欧盟至少有一个研究地点。这些代表是在2023年6月至2024年1月之间接触的。结果:共收到应答70例,应答率21%。在应答者中,31个代表注册为低干预试验的试验,39个代表未注册为低干预试验的试验(以下简称“常规试验”)。简化临床试验监测和更容易的监管审批程序被认为是低干预试验的主要优势,分别有44%和34%的受访者表示这是低干预试验的优势。然而,答复者认为,严格和不明确的监管要求阻碍了低干预试验的进行。参与常规试验的应答者指出,39%的常规试验符合低干预试验的标准,但由于不熟悉这一试验类别,因此没有进行登记。结论:我们认为,在未来,低干预试验的简化程序应该更加详细,例如在监管指南中,以进一步简化经批准的临床试验药物的临床试验。
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引用次数: 0
Seamless monotherapy-combination phase I dose-escalation model-based design. 基于剂量递增模型的无缝单药联合I期设计。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-12 DOI: 10.1177/17407745251350604
Libby Daniells, Thomas Jaki, Alimu Dayimu, Nikos Demiris, Basu Bristi, Stefan Symeonides, Pavel Mozgunov

Phase I dose-escalation studies for a single-agent and combination of anti-cancer agents have explored various model-based designs to guide identification of a maximum tolerated dose and recommended phase II dose. This work describes a parallel approach to dose escalation to expedite identification of maximum tolerated doses both for an anti-cancer agent as monotherapy and in combination with another agent. We develop a three-parameter Bayesian logistic regression model that allows for more efficient use of information between monotherapy and combination parts of the study. The model allows the monotherapy and combination data to drive dose escalation of the combination of treatments, reflecting the known dose-toxicity relationship between the monotherapy and combination setting. Through a thorough simulation study in which the proposed model is compared to two comparative approaches, the three-parameter Bayesian logistic regression model is shown to accurately select doses in the target toxicity interval, performing similar to comparative approaches in terms of proportion of target dose/combination selection, while more than halving the proportion of doses selected that were greater than the target toxicity, thereby improving safety concerns.

单药和抗癌药物联合的I期剂量递增研究探索了各种基于模型的设计,以指导最大耐受剂量和推荐的II期剂量的确定。这项工作描述了一种平行的剂量递增方法,以加快确定抗癌药物作为单一疗法和与另一种药物联合使用的最大耐受剂量。我们开发了一个三参数贝叶斯逻辑回归模型,允许更有效地利用研究中单一治疗和联合治疗部分之间的信息。该模型允许单药治疗和联合治疗数据驱动联合治疗的剂量递增,反映了单药治疗和联合治疗之间已知的剂量-毒性关系。通过深入的仿真研究,并与两种比较方法进行了比较,结果表明,三参数贝叶斯逻辑回归模型能够准确地选择目标毒性区间内的剂量,在目标剂量/组合选择比例上与比较方法相似,而选择大于目标毒性的剂量比例减少了一半以上,从而提高了安全性。
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引用次数: 0
An open-source SQL database schema for integrated clinical and translational data management in clinical trials. 用于临床试验中集成临床和转化数据管理的开源SQL数据库模式。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-25 DOI: 10.1177/17407745241304331
Umar Niazi, Charlotte Stuart, Patricia Soares, Vincent Foure, Gareth Griffiths

Unlocking the power of personalised medicine in oncology hinges on the integration of clinical trial data with translational data (i.e. biospecimen-derived molecular information). This combined analysis allows researchers to tailor treatments to a patient's unique biological makeup. However, current practices within UK Clinical Trials Units present challenges. While clinical data are held in standardised formats, translational data are complex, diverse, and requires specialised storage. This disparity in format creates significant hurdles for researchers aiming to curate, integrate and analyse these datasets effectively. This article proposes a novel solution: an open-source SQL database schema designed specifically for the needs of academic trial units. Inspired by Cancer Research UK's commitment to open data sharing and exemplified by the Southampton Clinical Trials Unit's CONFIRM trial (with over 150,000 clinical data points), this schema offers a cost-effective and practical 'middle ground' between raw data and expensive Secure Data Environments/Trusted Research Environments. By acting as a central hub for both clinical and translational data, the schema facilitates seamless data sharing and analysis. Researchers gain a holistic view of trials, enabling exploration of connections between clinical observations and the molecular underpinnings of treatment response. Detailed instructions for setting up the database are provided. The open-source nature and straightforward design ensure ease of implementation and affordability, while robust security measures safeguard sensitive data. We further showcase how researchers can leverage popular statistical software like R to directly query the database. This approach fosters collaboration within the academic discovery community, ultimately accelerating progress towards personalised cancer therapies.

在肿瘤学中释放个性化医疗的力量取决于临床试验数据与转化数据(即生物样本衍生的分子信息)的整合。这种综合分析使研究人员能够根据患者独特的生物构成定制治疗方案。然而,目前英国临床试验单位的实践存在挑战。虽然临床数据以标准化格式保存,但转译数据复杂多样,需要专门存储。这种格式上的差异给旨在有效地管理、整合和分析这些数据集的研究人员造成了重大障碍。本文提出了一个新颖的解决方案:一个专门为学术试用单位的需要而设计的开源SQL数据库模式。受英国癌症研究中心对开放数据共享的承诺的启发,并以南安普顿临床试验单位的CONFIRM试验(超过150,000个临床数据点)为例,该模式在原始数据和昂贵的安全数据环境/可信研究环境之间提供了一个具有成本效益和实用的“中间地带”。通过充当临床和转译数据的中心枢纽,该模式促进了无缝的数据共享和分析。研究人员获得试验的整体观点,使探索临床观察和治疗反应的分子基础之间的联系成为可能。提供了设置数据库的详细说明。开源特性和简单的设计确保了易于实现和负担得起,同时强大的安全措施保护敏感数据。我们进一步展示了研究人员如何利用流行的统计软件,如R,直接查询数据库。这种方法促进了学术发现社区的合作,最终加速了个性化癌症治疗的进展。
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引用次数: 0
A framework for sequential monitoring of individual N-of-1 trials and combining results across a series of sequentially monitored N-of-1 trials. 一个框架,用于连续监测单个N-of-1试验,并将一系列连续监测的N-of-1试验的结果结合起来。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-02 DOI: 10.1177/17407745241304284
Subodh Selukar, David K Prince, Susanne May

Background: N-of-1 trials compare two or more treatment options for a single participant. These trials have been used to study options for chronic conditions such as arthritis and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder. In addition, they have been suggested as a means to study interventions in rare populations that may not be tractable to include in standard clinical trials, such as treatment options for HIV-positive patients in need of organ transplant. Sequential monitoring of accruing data has been well-studied in traditional clinical trials, but these methods have not yet been implemented in N-of-1 trials. However, the option to validly stop an N-of-1 trial early could deliver faster decisions that could directly improve the patient's health.

Methods: In this work, we propose and evaluate a framework to (1) facilitate sequential monitoring in individual N-of-1 trials with a continuous outcome and (2) combine results across a series of already-completed sequentially monitored N-of-1 trials. By employing the block structure common to N-of-1 trials, we suggest that existing approaches to sequential monitoring may be employed when data from one N-of-1 trial are analyzed with a linear mixed-effects model. To combine results across a series of already-completed sequentially monitored N-of-1 trials, we propose combining the naive estimates from constituent trials in a random-effects model with inverse-variance weighting. We evaluate these proposals via simulation.

Results: We find that type 1 error can be substantially inflated for N-of-1 trials with a small number of planned blocks but can reach the nominal rate for trials with more planned blocks or those with larger numbers of periods per block or by using a t-value correction. For those settings with acceptable type 1 error, sequential monitoring results in similar power and on average earlier stopping compared with trials with no sequential monitoring. And, as expected, we find that including a larger number of constituent trials in a series reduces the mean-squared error of the combined point estimator.

Conclusion: Under suitable design considerations, our proposed framework for sequential monitoring can support clinicians in providing important decisions earlier, on average, for patients engaged in N-of-1 trials.

背景:N-of-1试验比较单个参与者的两种或更多治疗方案。这些试验已被用于研究关节炎和注意力缺陷多动障碍等慢性疾病的治疗方案。此外,它们还被建议作为一种手段,用于研究可能难以纳入标准临床试验的罕见人群的干预措施,例如需要器官移植的艾滋病毒阳性患者的治疗选择。在传统的临床试验中,对累积数据的顺序监测已经得到了很好的研究,但这些方法尚未在N-of-1试验中实施。然而,尽早有效停止N-of-1试验的选择可以更快地做出决定,从而直接改善患者的健康状况。方法:在这项工作中,我们提出并评估了一个框架,以(1)促进具有连续结果的单个N-of-1试验的顺序监测,(2)将一系列已经完成的顺序监测N-of-1试验的结果结合起来。通过采用N-of-1试验常见的块结构,我们建议,当用线性混合效应模型分析N-of-1试验的数据时,可以采用现有的顺序监测方法。为了结合一系列已经完成的顺序监测的N-of-1试验的结果,我们建议将组成试验的朴素估计与逆方差加权的随机效应模型相结合。我们通过模拟来评估这些建议。结果:我们发现,对于具有少量计划块的N-of-1试验,类型1误差可以大幅膨胀,但对于具有更多计划块或每个块具有较大周期数或使用t值校正的试验,类型1误差可以达到标称率。对于那些具有可接受的类型1错误的设置,顺序监测的结果与没有顺序监测的试验相比,功率相似,平均停车时间更早。而且,正如预期的那样,我们发现在一个序列中包含更多的组成试验可以降低组合点估计器的均方误差。结论:在适当的设计考虑下,我们提出的顺序监测框架可以支持临床医生平均更早地为参与N-of-1试验的患者提供重要决策。
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引用次数: 0
Concordance between clinical trial data use request proposals and corresponding publications: A cross-sectional study. 临床试验数据使用请求提案与相应出版物之间的一致性:一项横断面研究。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-29 DOI: 10.1177/17407745241304355
Enrique Vazquez, Joseph S Ross, Cary P Gross, Karla Childers, Stephen Bamford, Jessica D Ritchie, Joanne Waldstreicher, Harlan M Krumholz, Joshua D Wallach
<p><p>Background/AimsThe reuse of clinical trial data available through data-sharing platforms has grown over the past decade. Several prominent clinical data-sharing platforms require researchers to submit formal research proposals before granting data access, providing an opportunity to evaluate how published analyses compare with initially proposed aims. We evaluated the concordance between the included trials, study objectives, endpoints, and statistical methods specified in researchers' clinical trial data use request proposals to four clinical data-sharing platforms and their corresponding publications.MethodsWe identified all unique data request proposals with at least one corresponding peer-reviewed publication as of 31 March 2023 on four prominent clinical trial data sharing request platforms (Vivli, ClinicalStudyDataRequest.com, the Yale Open Data Access Project, and Supporting Open Access to Researchers-Bristol Myers Squibb). When data requests had multiple publications, we treated each publication-request pair as a unit. For each pair, the trials requested and analyzed were classified as fully concordant, discordant, or unclear, whereas the study objectives, primary and secondary endpoints, and statistical methods were classified as fully concordant, partially concordant, discordant, or unclear. For Vivli, ClinicalStudyDataRequest.com, and Supporting Open Access to Researchers-Bristol Myers Squibb, endpoints of publication-request pairs were not compared because the data request proposals on these platforms do not consistently report this information.ResultsOf 117 Vivli publication-request pairs, 76 (65.0%) were fully concordant for the trials requested and analyzed, 61 (52.1%) for study objectives, and 57 (48.7%) for statistical methods; 35 (29.9%) pairs were fully concordant across the 3 characteristics reported by all platforms. Of 106 ClinicalStudyDataRequest.com publication-request pairs, 66 (62.3%) were fully concordant for the trials requested and analyzed, 41 (38.7%) for study objectives, and 35 (33.0%) for statistical methods; 20 (18.9%) pairs were fully concordant across the 3 characteristics. Of 65 Yale Open Data Access Project publication-request pairs, 35 (53.8%) were fully concordant for the trials requested and analyzed, 44 (67.7%) for primary study objectives, and 25 (38.5%) for statistical methods; 15 (23.1%) pairs were fully concordant across the 3 characteristics. In addition, 26 (40.0%) and 2 (3.1%) Yale Open Data Access Project publication-request pairs were concordant for primary and secondary endpoints, respectively, such that only one (1.5%) Yale Open Data Access Project publication-request pair was fully concordant across all five characteristics reported. Of three Supporting Open Access to Researchers-Bristol Myers Squibb publication-request pairs, one (33.3%) was fully concordant for the trials requested and analyzed, two (66.6%) for primary study objectives, and two (66.6%) for statistical methods; one (33.
背景/目的通过数据共享平台获得的临床试验数据的重用在过去十年中有所增长。一些著名的临床数据共享平台要求研究人员在授予数据访问权限之前提交正式的研究提案,这为评估已发表的分析与最初提出的目标的比较提供了机会。我们评估了纳入的试验、研究目标、终点和研究人员向四个临床数据共享平台及其相应出版物提交的临床试验数据使用请求中指定的统计方法之间的一致性。方法:我们在四个著名的临床试验数据共享请求平台(Vivli、ClinicalStudyDataRequest.com、耶鲁大学开放数据获取项目和支持研究人员开放获取- bristol Myers Squibb)上识别了截至2023年3月31日至少有一篇同行评审出版物的所有独特数据请求提案。当数据请求有多个发布时,我们将每个发布-请求对视为一个单元。对于每一对,要求和分析的试验被分类为完全一致、不一致或不清楚,而研究目标、主要和次要终点和统计方法被分类为完全一致、部分一致、不一致或不清楚。对于Vivli, ClinicalStudyDataRequest.com和support Open Access to Researchers-Bristol Myers Squibb,没有比较发表请求对的端点,因为这些平台上的数据请求建议没有一致地报告这些信息。结果117对Vivli发表请求对中,76对(65.0%)与请求和分析的试验完全一致,61对(52.1%)与研究目标完全一致,57对(48.7%)与统计方法完全一致;35对(29.9%)对在所有平台报告的3个特征上完全一致。在106对ClinicalStudyDataRequest.com发表请求对中,66对(62.3%)对所请求和分析的试验完全一致,41对(38.7%)对研究目标完全一致,35对(33.0%)对统计方法完全一致;3个性状完全一致的有20对(18.9%)。在65对耶鲁开放数据获取项目发表请求对中,35对(53.8%)与请求和分析的试验完全一致,44对(67.7%)与主要研究目标完全一致,25对(38.5%)与统计方法完全一致;3个性状完全一致的有15对(23.1%)。此外,26对(40.0%)和2对(3.1%)耶鲁开放数据访问项目出版请求对分别在主要和次要终点上是一致的,因此只有1对(1.5%)耶鲁开放数据访问项目出版请求对在报告的所有五个特征上是完全一致的。在3对支持开放获取研究人员-百时美施贵宝出版请求对中,1对(33.3%)与请求和分析的试验完全一致,2对(66.6%)与主要研究目标完全一致,2对(66.6%)与统计方法完全一致;一个(33.3%)对在所有平台报告的所有三个特征上完全一致。结论在四个临床数据共享平台中,数据请求提案往往与其相应的出版物不一致,每个平台报告的所有三个关键提案特征只有25%的一致性。研究人员有机会在其出版物中描述任何数据共享请求建议偏差,平台也有机会加强对关键研究特征规范的报告。
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引用次数: 0
Sequential monitoring of time-to-event safety endpoints in clinical trials. 临床试验中时间到事件安全终点的顺序监测。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-29 DOI: 10.1177/17407745241304119
Michael J Martens, Qinghua Lian, Nancy L Geller, Eric S Leifer, Brent R Logan
<p><p>Background/aimsSafety monitoring is a crucial requirement for Phase II and III clinical trials. To protect patients from toxicity risk, stopping rules may be implemented that will halt the study if an unexpectedly high number of events occur. These rules are constructed using statistical procedures that typically treat the toxicity data as binary occurrences. Because the exact dates of toxicities are often available, a strategy that handles these as time-to-event data may offer higher power and require less calendar time to identify excess risk. This work investigates several statistical methods for monitoring safety events as time-to-event endpoints and illustrates our R software package for designing and evaluating these procedures.MethodsThe performance metrics of safety stopping rules derived from Wang-Tsiatis tests, Bayesian Gamma-Poisson models, and sequential probability ratio tests are evaluated and contrasted in Phase II and III trial scenarios. We developed a publicly available R package "stoppingrule" for designing and assessing these stopping rules whose utility is illustrated through the design of a stopping rule for Blood and Marrow Transplant Clinical Trials Network 1204 (National Clinical Trial number NCT01998633), a multicenter, Phase II, single-arm trial that assessed the efficacy and safety of bone marrow transplant for the treatment of hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis and primary immune deficiencies.ResultsAs seen previously in group sequential testing settings, rules with strict stopping criteria early in a study tend to have more lenient stopping criteria late in the trial. Consequently, methods with aggressive early monitoring, such as Gamma-Poisson models with weak priors and certain choices of truncated sequential probability ratio tests, usually yield a smaller number of toxicities and lower power than ones that are more permissive at early stages, such as Gamma-Poisson models with strong priors and the O'Brien-Fleming test. The Pocock test and maximized sequential probability ratio test performed contrary to these trends, however, exhibiting both diminished power and higher numbers of toxicities than other methods due to their extremely aggressive early stopping criteria, failing to reserve adequate power to identify safety issues beyond the start of the study. In contrast to binary toxicity approaches, our time-to-event methods offer meaningful reductions in expected toxicities of up to 20% across scenarios considered.ConclusionSafety monitoring procedures aim to guard study participants from being exposed to and suffering toxicity from unsafe treatments. Toward this end, we recommend considering the time-to-event-oriented Gamma-Poisson model-weak prior model or truncated sequential probability ratio test for constructing safety stopping rules, as they performed the best in minimizing the number of toxicities in our investigations. Our R package "stoppingrule" offers procedures for creating and assessing stoppi
背景/目的安全监测是II期和III期临床试验的关键要求。为了保护患者免受毒性风险,可能会实施停止规则,如果意外发生大量事件,将停止研究。这些规则是使用统计程序构建的,这些程序通常将毒性数据视为二元事件。由于毒性的确切日期通常是可用的,因此将这些数据作为事件时间数据处理的策略可能会提供更高的能力,并且需要更少的日历时间来识别超额风险。这项工作研究了几种用于监控安全事件的统计方法,并说明了我们设计和评估这些程序的R软件包。方法通过Wang-Tsiatis检验、贝叶斯伽玛泊松模型和序贯概率比检验得出的安全停车规则的性能指标,在II期和III期试验情景下进行评价和对比。我们开发了一个公开可用的R包“停止规则”,用于设计和评估这些停止规则,其效用通过血液和骨髓移植临床试验网络1204(国家临床试验编号NCT01998633)的停止规则的设计来说明,这是一项多中心,II期,单臂试验,评估骨髓移植治疗噬血细胞淋巴组织细胞病和原发性免疫缺陷的有效性和安全性。结果如先前在组序贯试验设置中所见,在研究早期具有严格停止标准的规则往往在试验后期具有更宽松的停止标准。因此,积极的早期监测方法,如具有弱先验的伽马-泊松模型和某些截断顺序概率比测试的选择,通常比在早期阶段更允许的方法产生更少的毒性和更低的功率,如具有强先验的伽马-泊松模型和O'Brien-Fleming测试。然而,Pocock试验和最大化序列概率比试验的结果与这些趋势相反,由于其极端激进的早期停止标准,与其他方法相比,显示出功率降低和毒性数量增加,未能保留足够的功率来识别研究开始后的安全问题。与二元毒性方法相比,我们的时间-事件方法在考虑的各种情况下可将预期毒性降低20%。结论安全监测程序旨在保护研究参与者免受不安全治疗的暴露和毒性。为此,我们建议考虑以时间-事件为导向的伽马-泊松模型-弱先验模型或截断序列概率比检验来构建安全停车规则,因为在我们的研究中,它们在最小化毒性数量方面表现最好。我们的R包“停止规则”提供了创建和评估停止规则的程序,以帮助试验设计。
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引用次数: 0
Central statistical monitoring in clinical trial management: A scoping review. 临床试验管理中的中心统计监测:范围综述。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-02 DOI: 10.1177/17407745241304059
Maciej Fronc, Michał Jakubczyk, Sharon B Love, Susan Talbot, Timothy Rolfe

Background: Clinical trials handle a huge amount of data which can be used during the trial to improve the ongoing study conduct. It is suggested by regulators to implement the remote approach to evaluate clinical trials by analysing collected data. Central statistical monitoring helps to achieve that by employing quantitative methods, the results of which are a basis for decision-making on quality issues.

Methods: This article presents a scoping review which is based on a systematic and iterative approach to identify and synthesise literature on central statistical monitoring methodology. In particular, we investigated the decision-making processes (with emphasis on quality issues) of central statistical monitoring methodology and its place in the clinical trial workflow. We reviewed papers published over the last 10 years in two databases (Scopus and Web of Science) with a focus on data mining algorithms of central statistical monitoring and its benefit to the quality of trials.

Results: As a result, 24 scientific papers were selected for this review, and they consider central statistical monitoring at two levels. First, the perspective of the central statistical monitoring process and its location in the study conduct in terms of quality issues. Second, central statistical monitoring methods categorised into practices applied in the industry, and innovative methods in development. The established methods are discussed through the prism of categories of their usage. In turn, the innovations refer to either research on new methods or extensions to existing ones.

Discussion: Our review suggests directions for further research into central statistical monitoring methodology - including increased application of multivariate analysis and using advanced distance metrics - and guidance on how central statistical monitoring operates in response to regulators' requirements.

背景:临床试验处理大量的数据,这些数据可以在试验期间使用,以改善正在进行的研究行为。监管机构建议实施远程方法,通过分析收集的数据来评估临床试验。中央统计监测通过采用定量方法帮助实现这一目标,其结果是就质量问题作出决策的基础。方法:本文提出了一种基于系统和迭代方法的范围审查,以识别和综合有关中央统计监测方法的文献。特别是,我们调查了中央统计监测方法的决策过程(重点是质量问题)及其在临床试验工作流程中的地位。我们回顾了过去10年在两个数据库(Scopus和Web of Science)中发表的论文,重点关注中央统计监测的数据挖掘算法及其对试验质量的好处。结果:本次综述选取了24篇科学论文,考虑了两个层面的中央统计监测。首先,从中央统计监测过程的角度及其在研究开展方面存在的质量问题。二是将中央统计监测方法分类为行业应用的实践方法和发展中的创新方法。通过其使用类别的棱镜来讨论已建立的方法。反过来,创新指的是对新方法的研究或对现有方法的扩展。讨论:我们的综述提出了进一步研究中央统计监测方法的方向——包括增加多变量分析的应用和使用先进的距离度量——以及关于中央统计监测如何响应监管机构要求的指导。
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