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Proceedings of the University of Pennsylvania 15th annual conference on statistical issues in clinical trials: Advances in time-to-event analyses in clinical trials-challenges and opportunities. 宾夕法尼亚大学第 15 届临床试验统计问题年会论文集:临床试验中从时间到事件分析的进展--挑战与机遇。
IF 2.7 3区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1177/17407745241276119
Mary E Putt
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引用次数: 0
Participant’s treatment guesses and adverse events in back pain trials: Nocebo in action? 背痛试验中参与者的治疗猜测和不良事件:治疗中的预兆?
IF 2.7 3区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1177/17407745241276124
Javier Muñoz Laguna, Hyangsook Lee, Eduard Poltavskiy, Jeehyoung Kim, Heejung Bang
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引用次数: 0
15th Annual University of Pennsylvania conference on statistical issues in clinical trial/advances in time to event analyses in clinical trials (morning panel discussion). 宾夕法尼亚大学第 15 届年会,主题为临床试验中的统计问题/临床试验中事件时间分析的进展(上午小组讨论)。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1177/17407745241272012
Pralay Mukhopadhyay, Douglas Schaubel, Mei-Cheng Wang
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引用次数: 0
Estimands in clinical trials of complex disease processes. 复杂疾病过程临床试验中的估算。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2024-08-24 DOI: 10.1177/17407745241268054
Richard J Cook, Jerald F Lawless

Clinical trials with random assignment of treatment provide evidence about causal effects of an experimental treatment compared to standard care. However, when disease processes involve multiple types of possibly semi-competing events, specification of target estimands and causal inferences can be challenging. Intercurrent events such as study withdrawal, the introduction of rescue medication, and death further complicate matters. There has been much discussion about these issues in recent years, but guidance remains ambiguous. Some recommended approaches are formulated in terms of hypothetical settings that have little bearing in the real world. We discuss issues in formulating estimands, beginning with intercurrent events in the context of a linear model and then move on to more complex disease history processes amenable to multistate modeling. We elucidate the meaning of estimands implicit in some recommended approaches for dealing with intercurrent events and highlight the disconnect between estimands formulated in terms of potential outcomes and the real world.

采用随机分配治疗方法的临床试验可提供实验性治疗与标准治疗相比的因果效应证据。然而,当疾病过程涉及多种类型的可能半竞争事件时,目标估计值的指定和因果关系的推断就会面临挑战。同时发生的事件,如研究退出、使用抢救药物和死亡等,会使问题进一步复杂化。近年来,关于这些问题的讨论很多,但指导意见仍然模糊不清。一些推荐方法是在假设环境下制定的,与现实世界关系不大。我们将从线性模型背景下的并发症开始,讨论制定估计值的问题,然后再讨论适合多态模型的更复杂的疾病史过程。我们阐明了一些处理并发症的推荐方法中隐含的估计指标的含义,并强调了根据潜在结果制定的估计指标与现实世界之间的脱节。
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引用次数: 0
Commentary on Astrachan et al. The transmutation of research risk in pragmatic clinical trials. 对 Astrachan 等人的评论:实用临床试验中研究风险的嬗变。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2024-08-15 DOI: 10.1177/17407745241266168
Jonathan Kimmelman
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引用次数: 0
Individualized clinical decisions within standard-of-care pragmatic clinical trials: Implications for consent. 标准护理实用临床试验中的个性化临床决策:对同意的影响。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2024-08-15 DOI: 10.1177/17407745241266155
Isabel M Astrachan, James Flory, Scott Yh Kim

Pragmatic clinical trials of standard-of-care interventions compare the relative merits of medical treatments already in use. Traditional research informed consent processes pose significant obstacles to these trials, raising the question of whether they may be conducted with alteration or waiver of informed consent. However, to even be eligible, such a trial in the United States must have no more than minimal research risk. We argue that standard-of-care pragmatic clinical trials can be designed to ensure that they are minimal research risk if the random assignment of an intervention in a pragmatic clinical trial can accommodate individualized, clinically motivated decision-making for each participant. Such a design will ensure that the patient-participants are not exposed to any risks beyond the clinical risks of the interventions, and thus, the trial will have minimal research risk. We explain the logic of this view by comparing three scenarios of standard-of-care pragmatic clinical trials: one with informed consent, one without informed consent, and one recently proposed design called Decision Architecture Randomization Trial. We then conclude by briefly showing that our proposal suggests a natural way to determine when to use an alteration versus a waiver of informed consent.

标准护理干预措施的实用临床试验比较了已在使用的医疗方法的相对优点。传统的研究知情同意程序对这些试验构成了重大障碍,从而引发了是否可以在更改或放弃知情同意的情况下进行试验的问题。然而,在美国,此类试验必须具有最小的研究风险才有资格进行。我们认为,如果务实临床试验中干预措施的随机分配能照顾到每位参与者的个性化临床决策,那么标准护理务实临床试验的设计就能确保其研究风险最小。这样的设计将确保患者-参与者不会面临干预措施临床风险之外的任何风险,因此,试验的研究风险将降至最低。我们通过比较三种标准护理实用临床试验方案来解释这种观点的逻辑:一种是有知情同意的方案,一种是没有知情同意的方案,还有一种是最近提出的名为决策架构随机化试验的设计方案。最后,我们简要说明,我们的建议提出了一种自然的方法来决定何时使用更改知情同意书,何时使用放弃知情同意书。
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引用次数: 0
Taking clinical decisions seriously in standard-of-care pragmatic clinical trials. 在标准护理实用临床试验中认真对待临床决策。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2024-08-15 DOI: 10.1177/17407745241266152
Isabel M Astrachan, James Flory, Scott Yh Kim
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引用次数: 0
Strategies to promote contraception use by female volunteers in Alzheimer's Prevention Initiative Autosomal-Dominant Alzheimer's Disease (API ADAD) Colombia trial. 促进阿尔茨海默氏症预防倡议常染色体显性阿尔茨海默氏症(API ADAD)哥伦比亚试验中的女性志愿者使用避孕药具的策略。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2024-08-14 DOI: 10.1177/17407745241264217
Christian Bustamante, Juan F Martinez, Alexander Navarro, Margarita Lopera, Gustavo Villegas, Sindy Duque, Natalia Acosta-Baena, Silvia Ríos-Romenets, Francisco Lopera

Background/aims: Including women of childbearing age in a clinical trial makes it necessary to consider two factors from a bioethical perspective: first, the lack of knowledge about the potential teratogenic effects of an investigational product, and also, the principle of justice not to exclude any population from the benefits of research. The most common way to address this issue is by requiring volunteers to use contraceptives before, during, and a few weeks after the clinical trial. This work presents all the strategies used to promote contraception use and prevent pregnancy during the Alzheimer's Prevention Initiative Autosomal-Dominant Alzheimer's Disease (API ADAD) Colombia clinical trial. Two characteristics of this trial make it of special interest for closely monitoring contraception use. One is that the trial lasted more than 7 years, and the other is that participants could be carriers of the E280A PSEN1 mutation, leading to a mild cognitive impairment as early as their late 30s.

Methods: An individual medical evaluation to select the contraception method that best fits the volunteer was carried out during the screening visit, remitting to the gynecologist when necessary. All non-surgical contraception methods were supplied by the sponsor. Staff were trained on contraception counseling, correctly dispensing contraceptive drugs to volunteers, and identifying, reporting, and following up on pregnancies. Two comprehensive educational campaigns on contraception use were performed, and the intervention included all volunteers. In addition, volunteers were asked on an annual survey to evaluate the dispensing procedure. Finally, the effectiveness of these strategies was retrospectively evaluated, comparing by extrapolation the number of pregnancies presented throughout the trial with the General Fertility Rate in Colombia.

Results: A total of 159 female volunteers were recruited. All strategies were implemented as planned, even during the COVID-19 contingency. Ten pregnancies occurred during the evaluation period (2015-2021). Two were planned; the rest were associated with a potential therapeutic failure or incorrect use of contraceptive methods for a contraceptive failure of 0.49% per year. Sixty percent of pregnancies led to an abortion, either miscarriage or therapeutic abortion. However, there was not enough data to associate the pregnancy outcome with the administration of the investigational product. Finally, we observed a lower fertility rate in women participating in the trial compared to the Colombian population.

Conclusion: The lower rates of contraceptive failure and the decrease in the incidence of pregnancies in women participating in the trial compared to the Colombian population across the 7 years of evaluation suggest that the strategies used in API ADAD Colombia were adequate and effective in addressing contraception use.

背景/目的:将育龄妇女纳入临床试验需要从生物伦理的角度考虑两个因素:一是对研究产品的潜在致畸作用缺乏了解,二是不能将任何人群排除在研究利益之外的公正原则。解决这一问题的最常见方法是要求志愿者在临床试验前、试验期间和试验后几周内使用避孕药具。本研究介绍了在阿尔茨海默氏症预防倡议常染色体显性阿尔茨海默氏症(API ADAD)哥伦比亚临床试验期间为促进避孕和防止怀孕而采取的所有策略。该试验的两个特点使其在密切监测避孕药具使用情况方面具有特殊意义。其一是该试验持续了 7 年多,其二是参与者可能是 E280A PSEN1 基因突变的携带者,导致他们早在 30 多岁时就出现轻度认知障碍:方法:在筛查访问期间进行个人医学评估,以选择最适合志愿者的避孕方法,必要时可向妇科医生咨询。所有非手术避孕方法均由赞助方提供。工作人员接受了有关避孕咨询、为志愿者正确发放避孕药物以及识别、报告和跟踪妊娠等方面的培训。开展了两次全面的避孕教育活动,并对所有志愿者进行了干预。此外,还在年度调查中要求志愿者对发放程序进行评估。最后,对这些策略的效果进行了回顾性评估,并将整个试验期间的怀孕人数与哥伦比亚的总体生育率进行了比较:结果:共招募了 159 名女性志愿者。所有策略均按计划实施,甚至在 COVID-19 突发事件期间也是如此。在评估期间(2015-2021 年),共有 10 例怀孕。其中 2 例是计划内怀孕,其余都与潜在的治疗失败或不正确使用避孕方法有关,每年的避孕失败率为 0.49%。60%的妊娠导致流产,要么是流产,要么是治疗性流产。但是,没有足够的数据将妊娠结果与服用研究产品联系起来。最后,我们观察到,与哥伦比亚人口相比,参与试验的妇女生育率较低:在 7 年的评估过程中,与哥伦比亚人口相比,参与试验的妇女避孕失败率较低,怀孕率也有所下降,这表明哥伦比亚 API ADAD 在解决避孕问题方面所采用的策略是适当而有效的。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of composite time-to-event endpoints in cardiovascular outcome trials. 分析心血管结果试验中的复合时间到事件终点。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1177/17407745241267999
Rachel Marceau West, Gregory Golm, Devan V Mehrotra

Composite time-to-event endpoints are commonly used in cardiovascular outcome trials. For example, the IMPROVE-IT trial comparing ezetimibe+simvastatin to placebo+simvastatin in 18,144 patients with acute coronary syndrome used a primary composite endpoint with five component outcomes: (1) cardiovascular death, (2) non-fatal stroke, (3) non-fatal myocardial infarction, (4) coronary revascularization ≥30 days after randomization, and (5) unstable angina requiring hospitalization. In such settings, the traditional analysis compares treatments using the observed time to the occurrence of the first (i.e. earliest) component outcome for each patient. This approach ignores information for subsequent outcome(s), possibly leading to reduced power to demonstrate the benefit of the test versus the control treatment. We use real data examples and simulations to contrast the traditional approach with several alternative approaches that use data for all the intra-patient component outcomes, not just the first.

复合时间事件终点常用于心血管结果试验。例如,IMPROVE-IT 试验比较了依折麦布+ 辛伐他汀和安慰剂+ 辛伐他汀对 18,144 名急性冠脉综合征患者的治疗效果,该试验使用的主要复合终点包括五个部分:(1) 心血管死亡;(2) 非致死性卒中;(3) 非致死性心肌梗死;(4) 随机分组后≥30 天的冠状动脉血运重建;(5) 需要住院治疗的不稳定型心绞痛。在这种情况下,传统的分析方法是根据观察到的每位患者第一个(即最早的)部分结果发生的时间来比较治疗方法。这种方法忽略了后续结果的信息,可能会降低证明试验与对照治疗获益的能力。我们使用真实数据示例和模拟,将传统方法与几种替代方法进行对比,这些替代方法使用的是患者体内所有部分结果的数据,而不仅仅是第一个结果的数据。
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引用次数: 0
Statistical approaches for component-wise censored composite endpoints. 成分删减复合终点的统计方法。
IF 2.2 3区 医学 Q3 MEDICINE, RESEARCH & EXPERIMENTAL Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1177/17407745241265628
Anne Eaton

Composite endpoints defined as the time to the earliest of two or more events are often used as primary endpoints in clinical trials. Component-wise censoring arises when different components of the composite endpoint are censored differently. We focus on a composite of death and a non-fatal event where death time is right censored and the non-fatal event time is interval censored because the event can only be detected during study visits. Such data are most often analysed using methods for right censored data, treating the time the non-fatal event was first detected as the time it occurred. This can lead to bias, particularly when the time between assessments is long. We describe several approaches for estimating the event-free survival curve and the effect of treatment on event-free survival via the hazard ratio that are specifically designed to handle component-wise censoring. We apply the methods to a randomized study of breastfeeding versus formula feeding for infants of mothers infected with human immunodeficiency virus.

复合终点定义为两个或两个以上事件最早发生的时间,在临床试验中常被用作主要终点。当综合终点的不同组成部分采用不同的剔除方式时,就会出现成分剔除。我们重点研究死亡和非致命事件的复合终点,其中死亡时间采用右侧剔除,而非致命事件时间采用区间剔除,因为只有在研究访问期间才能检测到该事件。此类数据通常使用右删减数据的方法进行分析,将首次检测到非致命事件的时间视为事件发生的时间。这可能会导致偏差,尤其是当评估间隔时间较长时。我们介绍了几种估算无事件生存曲线的方法,以及通过危险比估算治疗对无事件生存的影响的方法,这些方法是专门为处理成分删减而设计的。我们将这些方法应用到一项随机研究中,研究对象是感染人类免疫缺陷病毒的母亲所生的婴儿,研究方法是母乳喂养还是配方奶粉喂养。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Clinical Trials
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