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Ultra-processed food addiction in a nationally representative sample of older adults in the USA. 超加工食品成瘾在美国老年人的全国代表性样本。
IF 5.3 1区 医学 Q1 PSYCHIATRY Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-29 DOI: 10.1111/add.70186
Lucy K Loch, Matthias Kirch, Dianne C Singer, Erica Solway, J Scott Roberts, Jeffrey T Kullgren, Ashley N Gearhardt

Aims: Ultra-processed foods (UPFs; industrially produced foods typically containing unnaturally elevated levels of refined carbohydrates and/or added fats) became more widely introduced into the United States (US) food environment in the 1980s and have proliferated since. UPFs have been shown to trigger an addictive-like response. This study examines the prevalence of ultra-processed food addiction (UPFA) in older US adults and its association with various health domains.

Design: In July 2022, a cross-sectional online and telephone survey was conducted using the University of Michigan National Poll on Healthy Aging (NPHA). Gender-stratified analyses examined the association between UPFA and perceptions of physical and mental health, and social isolation. Prevalence ratios were calculated, unadjusted and adjusted for age, race/ethnicity, education, and income.

Setting: Nationally representative sample of older adults (aged 50-80 years) in the United States.

Participants: The sample included 2038 older adults (49.4% aged 50-64 years and 50.6% aged 65-80 years, 51.2% women, M age = 63.6, standard deviation = 8.1).

Measurements: The modified Yale Food Addiction Scale 2.0 (validated measure that applies the diagnostic criteria for substance use disorder to the overconsumption of UPFs) was used to assess diagnostic criteria for UPFA. Various self-reported items were used to assess health-related domains (i.e., physical and mental health, social isolation).

Findings: The overall prevalence of UPFA was 12.4%, higher among women (16.9%) than men (7.5%), with the highest rate in women aged 50-64 (21%). Men reporting being overweight were 19.14 (95% confidence interval [CI] [5.26-69.66]) times more likely to meet the criteria for UPFA. Women reporting being overweight were 11.44 (95% CI [4.56-28.71]) times more likely to meet UFPA criteria. Women and men reporting worse physical health were 1.93 (95% CI [1.26-2.98]) times and 2.99 (95% CI [1.70-5.26]) times more likely to meet the criteria for UPFA, respectively. Similarly, women reporting worse mental health were 2.78 (95% CI [1.79-4.32]) times more likely to meet the criteria for UPFA, with men 4.02 (95% CI [2.19-7.38]) times more likely. Lastly, women and men reporting feelings of social isolation were 3.40 (95% CI [2.16-5.34]) times and 3.35 (95% CI [1.83-6.14]) times more likely to meet UFPA criteria.

Conclusion: Ultra-processed food addiction appears to be prevalent among older adults in the United States, particularly among women who were in adolescence and early adulthood when the nutrient quality of the US food supply worsened. Addictive patterns of UPF intake appear to be associated with poorer physical health, mental health, and social well-being.

目的:超加工食品(upf;工业生产的食品,通常含有不自然的高水平的精制碳水化合物和/或添加脂肪)在20世纪80年代被更广泛地引入美国的食品环境,并自那时起激增。upf已被证明会引发类似上瘾的反应。本研究调查了美国老年人中超加工食品成瘾(UPFA)的患病率及其与各种健康领域的关系。设计:2022年7月,使用密歇根大学健康老龄化全国民意调查(NPHA)进行了一项横断面在线和电话调查。性别分层分析考察了UPFA与身心健康观念和社会孤立之间的关系。计算患病率,未调整患病率,并根据年龄、种族/民族、教育程度和收入进行调整。背景:美国老年人(50-80岁)的全国代表性样本。对象:老年人2038人,其中50 ~ 64岁49.4%,65 ~ 80岁50.6%,女性51.2%,M年龄= 63.6,标准差= 8.1。测量方法:使用修改后的耶鲁食物成瘾量表2.0(将物质使用障碍的诊断标准应用于upf过度消费的有效测量)来评估UPFA的诊断标准。各种自我报告项目被用来评估与健康相关的领域(即身心健康、社会孤立)。研究结果:UPFA的总体患病率为12.4%,女性(16.9%)高于男性(7.5%),其中50-64岁女性患病率最高(21%)。报告超重的男性达到UPFA标准的可能性高出19.14倍(95%可信区间[CI][5.26-69.66])。报告超重的女性达到UFPA标准的可能性是其11.44倍(95% CI[4.56-28.71])。报告身体健康状况较差的女性和男性达到UPFA标准的可能性分别为1.93倍(95% CI[1.26-2.98])和2.99倍(95% CI[1.70-5.26])。同样,报告心理健康状况较差的女性符合UPFA标准的可能性是其2.78倍(95% CI[1.79-4.32]),男性为4.02倍(95% CI[2.19-7.38])。最后,报告社会孤立感的女性和男性达到UFPA标准的可能性分别是3.40倍(95% CI[2.16-5.34])和3.35倍(95% CI[1.83-6.14])。结论:超加工食品成瘾似乎在美国老年人中很普遍,尤其是在青春期和成年早期的女性中,当时美国食品供应的营养质量恶化了。UPF摄入的成瘾模式似乎与较差的身体健康、心理健康和社会福祉有关。
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引用次数: 0
Sample size requirements to evaluate policies in addiction research using interrupted time series analysis (ITS): Tools and guidance. 使用中断时间序列分析(ITS)评估成瘾研究政策的样本量要求:工具和指导。
IF 5.3 1区 医学 Q1 PSYCHIATRY Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-11 DOI: 10.1111/add.70220
Emma Beard, Jamie Brown, Lion Shahab

Formal power calculations are rarely presented in interrupted time-series (ITS) studies due to their technical complexity, creating a significant gap in methodological rigor. This paper aimed to make power and sample size determination more accessible for researchers, particularly in the field of addiction, by providing a suite of practical and user-friendly tools. A set of resources was developed using Monte Carlo simulation to allow researchers to estimate statistical power under a wide range of ITS design parameters. The approach allows for the explicit definition of the data-generating process, including specific autocorrelation error structures (ARMA), the presence of covariates and trends and different intervention effect types (step, pulse and trend change). The study produced three key resources: (1) a flexible R code base for conducting custom power simulations, (2) an intuitive, interactive R Shiny App that enables code-free power analysis through a web interface and (3) a series of pre-calculated look-up tables for quick sample size estimation during the initial stages of study design. Illustrative examples from addiction research demonstrate the tools' application. The provided tools bridge a critical gap by simplifying the process of conducting rigorous power calculations for ITS designs. Their adoption can enhance the planning, execution and interpretation of quasi-experimental studies, helping to ensure that research is adequately powered to detect meaningful policy and intervention effects.

由于中断时间序列(ITS)研究的技术复杂性,很少提出正式的功率计算,这在方法的严谨性方面造成了重大差距。本文旨在通过提供一套实用且用户友好的工具,使研究人员更容易获得功率和样本量的测定,特别是在成瘾领域。使用蒙特卡罗模拟开发了一套资源,使研究人员能够在广泛的ITS设计参数下估计统计功率。该方法允许明确定义数据生成过程,包括特定的自相关误差结构(ARMA)、协变量和趋势的存在以及不同的干预效应类型(步进、脉冲和趋势变化)。该研究产生了三个关键资源:(1)一个灵活的R代码库,用于进行自定义功率模拟;(2)一个直观的,交互式的R Shiny应用程序,通过web界面实现无代码功率分析;(3)一系列预先计算的查找表,用于在研究设计的初始阶段快速估计样本量。来自成瘾研究的例子说明了这些工具的应用。提供的工具通过简化对ITS设计进行严格的功率计算的过程,弥合了一个关键的差距。它们的采用可以加强准实验研究的规划、执行和解释,有助于确保研究得到充分的支持,以发现有意义的政策和干预效果。
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引用次数: 0
Differences in benefits of office based opioid treatment: Secondary analyses across sub-groups in the PROUD randomized controlled implementation trial. 基于办公室的阿片类药物治疗的获益差异:PROUD随机对照实施试验中亚组间的二次分析。
IF 5.3 1区 医学 Q1 PSYCHIATRY Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-24 DOI: 10.1111/add.70221
Katharine A Bradley, Noorie Hyun, Abisola Idu, Onchee Yu, Jennifer F Bobb, Paige D Wartko, Zoe Weinstein, Abigail G Matthews, Jennifer McCormack, Amy K Lee, Jeffrey H Samet
<p><strong>Background and aims: </strong>Female, Hispanic, and Black patients with opioid use disorder (OUD) are less likely to receive OUD medication treatment than other patients. The PROUD (PRimary care Opioid Use Disorders treatment) trial demonstrated that implementation of primary care (PC) nurse care management increases OUD medication treatment compared with usual care (UC). This study assessed whether the PROUD intervention's effect differed across sex, race and ethnicity.</p><p><strong>Design: </strong>Secondary analyses of cluster-randomized implementation trial.</p><p><strong>Setting: </strong>12 PC clinics (2 per health system) in five states in the USA, randomized to UC or intervention, stratified by health system.</p><p><strong>Participants: </strong>PC patients 16-90 years old.</p><p><strong>Intervention: </strong>Three strategies to implement office-based addiction treatment (OBAT) by nurse care managers: (1) full-time nurse salary; (2) nurse training and technical assistance from expert nurses at Boston Medical Center; (3) ≥3 PC providers willing to prescribe buprenorphine. Nurses were trained in the Massachusetts model of OBAT which includes lowering barriers to OUD treatment, assessing and educating patients, supporting initiation of medications for OUD and providing ongoing medical management, in collaboration with PC providers.</p><p><strong>Measurements: </strong>The primary outcome was a clinic-level measure of OUD treatment defined as patient-years of OUD treatment per 10 000 PC patients based on orders and procedures for buprenorphine or extended-release naltrexone from electronic health records and insurance claims (hereafter 'OUD treatment').</p><p><strong>Findings: </strong>The mean numbers of patients seen by intervention and UC clinics at baseline were 18 485 and 22 557, respectively. Female patients comprised 60% of the total PC population in intervention clinics and 64% in UC clinics; Asian, Black, Hispanic or smaller racial groups comprised 61% of the PC population in intervention clinics, and 70% in UC clinics. Compared with UC, the intervention increased OUD treatment for male patients [adjusted difference: 13.7 patient-years; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 5.8-21.7], but not female patients (2.9; 95% CI = -4.3 to 10.2); effect modification test, F (1,14) = 4.77; P = 0.046. Exploratory analyses suggest that differences in the intervention's effect on receipt of any OUD treatment in female and male patients, rather than differences in the duration of OUD treatment, may account for findings. There was no significant effect modification by race or ethnic group [effect modification test F (4,44) = 1.50; P = 0.218].</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Primary care clinics that implement office-based addiction treatment by nurses increase patient-years of opioid use disorder (OUD) treatment in male but not female patients. Exploratory findings suggest that differences in the proportion of patients treated for OUD, ra
背景和目的:女性、西班牙裔和黑人阿片类药物使用障碍(OUD)患者接受OUD药物治疗的可能性低于其他患者。PROUD(初级保健阿片类药物使用障碍治疗)试验表明,与常规护理(UC)相比,初级保健(PC)护士护理管理的实施增加了OUD药物治疗。这项研究评估了PROUD干预的效果是否在性别、种族和民族之间存在差异。设计:集群随机实施试验的二次分析。环境:美国五个州的12个PC诊所(每个卫生系统2个),随机分为UC或干预,按卫生系统分层。参与者:16-90岁的PC患者。干预:护理管理者实施办公室成瘾治疗(OBAT)的三种策略:(1)全职护士工资;(2)波士顿医疗中心的护士培训和专家护士的技术援助;(3)≥3个PC提供者愿意开丁丙诺啡。护士接受了马萨诸塞州OBAT模式的培训,其中包括与个人护理提供者合作,降低OUD治疗的障碍,评估和教育患者,支持开始使用OUD药物,并提供持续的医疗管理。测量:主要结果是临床水平的OUD治疗测量,定义为基于电子健康记录和保险索赔中丁丙诺啡或延长释放纳曲酮的订单和程序的每10,000名PC患者的OUD治疗患者年(以下简称“OUD治疗”)。研究结果:干预和UC诊所在基线时的平均患者人数分别为18 485和22 557。女性患者占干预诊所PC患者总数的60%,UC诊所占64%;亚裔、黑人、西班牙裔或更小的种族群体占干预诊所PC人群的61%,UC诊所占70%。与UC相比,干预增加了男性患者的OUD治疗[调整差值:13.7患者-年;95%可信区间(CI) = 5.8-21.7],但女性患者没有(2.9;95% CI = -4.3 - 10.2);效应修正检验,F (1,14) = 4.77;p = 0.046。探索性分析表明,女性和男性患者接受任何OUD治疗的干预效果的差异,而不是OUD治疗持续时间的差异,可能解释了这些发现。种族或民族间无显著效应改变[效应改变检验F (4,44) = 1.50;p = 0.218]。结论:初级保健诊所实施基于办公室的护士成瘾治疗增加了男性患者的阿片类药物使用障碍(OUD)治疗,而不是女性患者。探索性研究结果表明,各组间观察到的差异是由于接受OUD治疗的患者比例的差异,而不是OUD治疗持续时间的差异。
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引用次数: 0
Rare but relevant: MDMA and hyponatraemia. 罕见但相关:MDMA和低钠血症。
IF 5.3 1区 医学 Q1 PSYCHIATRY Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1111/add.70255
Maria Rita Garcia, Nelson G M Gomes, Diana Dias-da-Silva

Conventionally used for its stimulant, empathogenic and entactogenic effects, 3,4-methylenedioxymethamphetamine (MDMA, ecstasy) is one of the most commonly used psychoactive drugs, specifically among young adults and in nightlife and recreational party contexts. Often perceived as a safe drug, MDMA can display an array of toxic effects on multiple organs, with hyponatraemia (a low blood sodium concentration that can cause an altered mental state) being increasingly reported. Although hyponatraemia per se is among the most common electrolyte disorders encountered in clinical care, acute MDMA-induced hyponatraemia was first described in 1993 and constitutes a life-threatening condition if left untreated, particularly among women, who present higher incidence rates and increased odds of developing severe clinical effects. The present review outlines the main clinical manifestations and prevalence of MDMA-induced hyponatraemia, its pathophysiological mechanisms and the therapeutical approaches to correct this electrolyte imbalance.

3,4-亚甲基二氧甲基苯丙胺(MDMA,摇头丸)通常因其兴奋、致病性和致幻作用而被使用,是最常用的精神活性药物之一,特别是在年轻人中,以及在夜生活和娱乐派对环境中。MDMA通常被认为是一种安全的药物,但它可以对多个器官产生一系列毒性作用,低钠血症(低血钠浓度可导致精神状态改变)的报道越来越多。虽然低钠血症本身是临床护理中最常见的电解质紊乱之一,但mdma引起的急性低钠血症在1993年首次被描述,如果不及时治疗,将构成危及生命的疾病,特别是在妇女中,她们的发病率更高,发生严重临床反应的几率也更大。本文概述了mdma诱导的低钠血症的主要临床表现和流行情况,其病理生理机制和纠正这种电解质失衡的治疗方法。
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引用次数: 0
Commentary on Roberts et al.: Trends in methamphetamine-related deaths in the UK and USA-increasing mortality, but in different contexts. 对Roberts等人的评论:英国和美国与甲基苯丙胺有关的死亡趋势——死亡率上升,但情况不同。
IF 5.3 1区 医学 Q1 PSYCHIATRY Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1111/add.70305
Nicole D Fitzgerald, Joseph J Palamar
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引用次数: 0
Considering alcohol and other drug screening, brief intervention and referral to treatment in two safety-sensitive industries in Australia: An exploratory qualitative study. 考虑酒精和其他药物筛选,短暂干预和转诊治疗在澳大利亚两个安全敏感行业:一项探索性质的研究。
IF 5.3 1区 医学 Q1 PSYCHIATRY Pub Date : 2026-02-06 DOI: 10.1111/add.70348
Kirrilly Thompson, Tina Hart, Jacqueline Bowden

Background and aims: Workplaces offer a practical setting for alcohol and other drug interventions, especially in industries where impairment introduces substantial risk. Screening, brief intervention and referral to treatment has demonstrated effectiveness in health care settings and shows promise in workplace settings. However, low participation and high attrition in previous workplace studies indicate a need for deeper understanding of feasibility and acceptability. This exploratory qualitative study aimed to identify likely determinants for implementing alcohol and other drug screening, brief intervention and referral to treatment in two safety-sensitive industries in Australia.

Methods: Qualitative research design based on semi-structured online interviews, focussed on the construction and manufacturing industries. Participants included 23 professionals working in health and safety roles representing 21 organisations located across six Australian jurisdictions. Interview transcripts were coded against the five domains of the updated Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research.

Findings: Sixteen determinants were identified that were expected to act as barriers (n = 10) or enablers (n = 5) or have bidirectional impacts (n = 1) on the implementation of screening, brief intervention and referral to treatment in construction and manufacturing. Enabling factors included freely available tools, flexible delivery methods and delivery by trusted, external, peer-based organisations. Pervasive barriers included workers' mistrust of management, concerns about confidentiality and fear of consequences for disclosing substance use.

Conclusions: Successful workplace implementation of screening, brief intervention and referral to treatment appears to depend on organisational cultures where workers trust management, are assured of confidentiality and are not afraid of retribution for disclosure.

背景和目的:工作场所为酒精和其他药物干预提供了一个实际的环境,特别是在损害会带来重大风险的行业。筛查、短暂干预和转诊治疗已在卫生保健环境中证明有效,并在工作场所中显示出希望。然而,在以前的工作场所研究中,低参与度和高流失率表明需要更深入地了解可行性和可接受性。本探索性定性研究旨在确定在澳大利亚两个安全敏感行业实施酒精和其他药物筛查、短暂干预和转诊治疗的可能决定因素。方法:基于半结构化在线访谈的定性研究设计,以建筑业和制造业为研究对象。与会者包括23名从事健康和安全工作的专业人员,代表澳大利亚6个司法管辖区的21个组织。访谈笔录根据更新的《实施研究综合框架》的五个领域进行编码。研究结果:16个决定因素被确定为障碍(n = 10)或推动因素(n = 5),或具有双向影响(n = 1),影响建筑业和制造业中筛查、短暂干预和转诊治疗的实施。促成因素包括可免费获得的工具、灵活的交付方法以及可信的、外部的、基于同行的组织的交付。普遍存在的障碍包括员工对管理层的不信任、对保密的担忧以及对披露药物使用后果的恐惧。结论:成功的工作场所实施筛选,简短的干预和转诊治疗似乎取决于组织文化,工人信任管理层,保证保密,不害怕因披露而受到惩罚。
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引用次数: 0
Commentary on Lim et al.: Real-world e-cigarette use under prescription-only regulation. 对Lim等人的评论:仅在处方监管下使用电子烟的现实世界。
IF 5.3 1区 医学 Q1 PSYCHIATRY Pub Date : 2026-02-05 DOI: 10.1111/add.70355
Dimitra Kale, Sarah Jackson
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引用次数: 0
Trends in gamma-hydroxybutyrate use, harms and treatment in Australia, 2013 to 2024. 2013 - 2024年澳大利亚γ -羟基丁酸盐使用、危害和治疗趋势
IF 5.3 1区 医学 Q1 PSYCHIATRY Pub Date : 2026-02-02 DOI: 10.1111/add.70308
Amy Peacock, Agata Chrzanowska, Nicola Man, Shane Darke, Jared Brown, Jodie Grigg, Paul Dietze, Nadine Ezard, Raimondo Bruno, Krista J Siefried, Caroline Salom, Jack Freestone, Jane Akhurst, Louise Tierney, Rachel Sutherland

Background and aims: There is significant concern about potential rising harms from gamma-hydroxybutyrate (GHB) but an absence of studies internationally synthesising data across indicators to identify changes in harms and broader patterns of use. This paper contributes to addressing this gap by measuring national trends in GHB use, harms and treatment in Australia.

Design, setting, and cases: Triangulation of indicators (2013-2024) from Australian triennial population surveys; annual interviews with cross-sectional non-representative samples of people who use illicit stimulants or who inject drugs; and administrative data on GHB-related hospitalisations, GHB-related deaths, and treatment episodes where GHB was the principal drug of concern.

Measurements: Annual trend data were analysed using Joinpoint regression. Survey data were modelled as the annual percent change in the proportion reporting lifetime, past 12-month, and past 6-month use, depending on the survey. Administrative data were modelled as the annual percent change in crude rates per 100 000 population.

Findings: Lifetime and past 12-month GHB use in the general population remained below 1.2% and 0.2% respectively, but the latter increased from 0.07% in 2013 to 0.19% in 2022-2023 (annual percent change [APC] 9.3; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 5.2, 13.2). The percentage of people who use illicit stimulants reporting past 6-month use increased from 5.7% in 2013 to 7.3% in 2017 (APC 11.6; 95%CI: 0.2, 52.9) and from 5.4% in 2019 to 11.5% in 2024 (APC 17.8; 95%CI: 5.9, 41.1). The proportion of people who inject drugs reporting use varied between 7.2% and 17.5% over the short period studied (2020-2024). There were statistically significant increases in GHB-related hospitalisations from 5.3 in 2012-13 to 19.1 per 100 000 people in 2022-23 (APC 19.0; 95%CI: 11.9, 31.1) and GHB-related deaths from 0.02 in 2013 to 0.24 per 100 000 people in 2022 (APC 36.5; 95%CI: 27.2, 58.1). Treatment episodes also increased across the period, from 0.07 in 2012-13 to 6.0 episodes per 100 000 people in 2020-21 (APC 97.3; 95%CI: 83.5, 830.9), with no subsequent statistically significant change (8.4 per 100 000 people in 2022-23).

Conclusions: Gamma-hydroxybutyrate use, harms and treatment engagement increased in Australia from 2013 to 2024. These findings highlight a need to implement acceptable, tailored prevention and harm reduction strategies for key populations, and implement stronger monitoring efforts nationally and internationally.

背景和目的:人们对γ -羟基丁酸盐(GHB)潜在的日益增加的危害非常关注,但国际上缺乏综合指标数据的研究,以确定危害的变化和更广泛的使用模式。本文通过衡量澳大利亚GHB使用、危害和治疗的国家趋势,有助于解决这一差距。设计、设置和案例:来自澳大利亚三年一次人口调查的指标三角测量(2013-2024);对使用非法兴奋剂或注射毒品的人的横断面非代表性样本进行年度访谈;以及与GHB有关的住院、与GHB有关的死亡和以GHB为主要关切药物的治疗事件的行政数据。测量方法:使用Joinpoint回归分析年度趋势数据。根据调查结果,将调查数据建模为报告使用寿命、过去12个月和过去6个月使用的比例的年变化百分比。行政数据以每10万人口的原油价格年变化百分比为模型。研究结果:一般人群终生和过去12个月GHB使用分别低于1.2%和0.2%,但后者从2013年的0.07%增加到2022-2023年的0.19%(年变化百分比[APC] 9.3; 95%置信区间[CI]: 5.2, 13.2)。报告过去6个月使用非法兴奋剂的人的百分比从2013年的5.7%增加到2017年的7.3% (APC 11.6; 95%CI: 0.2, 52.9),从2019年的5.4%增加到2024年的11.5% (APC 17.8; 95%CI: 5.9, 41.1)。在研究的短期内(2020-2024年),报告使用注射毒品的人的比例在7.2%至17.5%之间变化。与ghb相关的住院人数从2012- 2013年的每10万人5.3人增加到2022-23年的每10万人19.1人(APC 19.0; 95%CI: 11.9, 31.1),与ghb相关的死亡人数从2013年的每10万人0.02人增加到2022年的每10万人0.24人(APC 36.5; 95%CI: 27.2, 58.1)。在此期间,治疗发作次数也有所增加,从2012- 2013年的0.07次增加到2020- 2021年的6.0次(APC 97.3; 95%CI: 83.5, 830.9),随后没有统计学上的显著变化(2022-23年的8.4次)。结论:2013年至2024年,澳大利亚γ -羟基丁酸盐的使用、危害和治疗参与度均有所增加。这些发现突出表明,有必要针对关键人群实施可接受的、量身定制的预防和减少危害战略,并在国家和国际上实施更强有力的监测工作。
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引用次数: 0
Modelling the economic effects of reducing the consumption of unhealthy commodities: An inter-sectoral input-output approach. 模拟减少不健康商品消费的经济影响:部门间投入产出方法。
IF 5.3 1区 医学 Q1 PSYCHIATRY Pub Date : 2026-02-02 DOI: 10.1111/add.70336
Damon Morris, Duncan Gillespie, Megan James, Penny Breeze, Alan Brennan

Aims: Industry arguments against public health policies that reduce the consumption of unhealthy commodities often include the assertion that the policy will harm the economy by reducing production and costing jobs. However, this argument does not consider that consumers may spend money previously used for unhealthy commodity consumption on other products, benefiting other sectors and potentially offsetting those negative economic consequences. In this study we aimed to estimate the macroeconomic impacts of reducing consumption of alcohol, tobacco, confectionary and gambling, accounting for reallocation of spending from these commodities to alternatives.

Method: We developed the open-source Commercial Determinants of Health Input-Output (CDOHIO) model version 1.1.0. CDOHIO models inter-sectoral linkages in the United Kingdom (UK) economy using published input-output tables to estimate the macroeconomic outcomes of changes in the total national consumer expenditure on selected unhealthy commodities and the reallocation of this expenditure to other consumption. We modelled a 10% decrease in total consumer expenditure on (1) alcohol, (2) tobacco, (3) confectionary and (4) gambling, assuming that the reduced expenditure was reallocated entirely to other products. The comparator in each case was no change in expenditure. We analysed six economic outcomes: (i) output (the total value of production in the economy), (ii) tax receipts from employees, (iii) tax receipts from employers, (iv) full-time equivalent employment, (v) total net earnings to individuals, and (vi) Gross Value Added (GVA), which is the primary outcome measure used as a proxy for national Gross Domestic Product.

Results: For tobacco, confectionary and gambling, reduced spending was estimated to yield positive effects across all six measures. The total effect of a 10% reduction in confectionary spending was an increase in GVA of £0.389 billion (0.02%), for reduced spending on tobacco, +£1.859 billion GVA (+0.09%) and for gambling +£1.250 billion GVA (+0.06%). For alcohol, a 10% reduction in spending led to a small negative effect on GVA (-£0.134 billion, -0.01%), which is the net effect of positive effects of reduced spending on off-trade alcohol (+£2.543 billion) and negative effects of reduced spending on on-trade alcohol (-£2.677 billion).

Conclusions: The potential negative macroeconomic impacts of reducing spending on tobacco, confectionary and gambling in the United Kingdom could be more than mitigated when consumers reallocate money spent on these products to other consumption. This is also the case for off-trade alcohol consumption, but not for on-trade alcohol consumption.

目的:业界反对减少不健康商品消费的公共卫生政策的论据通常包括断言该政策将通过减少生产和减少就业而损害经济。然而,这一论点没有考虑到消费者可能会把以前用于不健康商品消费的钱花在其他产品上,从而使其他部门受益,并可能抵消这些负面的经济后果。在这项研究中,我们旨在估计减少酒精、烟草、糖果和赌博消费的宏观经济影响,并考虑到从这些商品到替代品的消费再分配。方法:开发了开源的健康投入产出商业决定因素(CDOHIO)模型1.1.0版。CDOHIO利用公布的投入产出表对联合王国经济的部门间联系进行建模,以估计国家消费者在选定的不健康商品上的总支出变化的宏观经济后果,以及将这种支出重新分配给其他消费的情况。我们模拟了消费者在(1)酒精、(2)烟草、(3)糖果和(4)赌博上的总支出减少10%的情况,假设减少的支出完全重新分配到其他产品上。每一个比较国的支出都没有变化。我们分析了六种经济结果:(i)产出(经济中生产的总价值),(ii)雇员的税收收入,(iii)雇主的税收收入,(iv)全职等效就业,(v)个人的总净收入,以及(vi)总增加值(GVA),这是用来代替国民生产总值的主要结果指标。结果:对于烟草、糖果和赌博,减少支出估计会在所有六项措施中产生积极影响。糖果支出减少10%的总影响是GVA增加3.89亿英镑(0.02%),烟草支出减少18.59亿英镑(+0.09%),赌博支出减少12.5亿英镑(+0.06%)。就酒精而言,减少10%的支出对GVA产生了很小的负面影响(- 1.34亿英镑,-0.01%),这是减少贸易外酒精支出的积极影响(+ 25.43亿英镑)和减少贸易内酒精支出的负面影响(- 26.77亿英镑)的净影响。结论:在英国,当消费者将花在这些产品上的钱重新分配到其他消费时,减少烟草、糖果和赌博支出的潜在负面宏观经济影响可能会得到缓解。贸易外酒精消费也是如此,但贸易内酒精消费并非如此。
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引用次数: 0
The need for a comprehensive opioid overdose prevention program in Iran. 伊朗需要一个全面的阿片类药物过量预防方案。
IF 5.3 1区 医学 Q1 PSYCHIATRY Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1111/add.70313
Pooneh Malekifar, Afarin Rahimi-Movaghar
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Addiction
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