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Environmental gradients drive convergence in life history strategies among disparate but coevolved taxonomic groups 环境梯度驱动不同但共同进化的分类群体的生活史策略趋同
IF 4.3 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1002/ecy.70273
Carla L. Atkinson, Alex J. Franzen, Garrett W. Hopper, Jonathan W. Lopez, Zachery D. Zbinden, Caryn C. Vaughn

Trait-based approaches can improve ecological understanding by linking fitness to the environment. The trilateral life history model is an expansion of r- and K-selection theory that reflects trade-offs between juvenile survival, fecundity, and generation time and describes differential survival of species across environmental gradients. We used this framework to generate and test hypotheses regarding community assembly and the validity of such a model in two disparate taxonomic groups, freshwater mussels and fish. We assessed the distribution of mussel and fish life history strategies across 80 sites spanning aspects of the river continuum concept within the Ouachita Highlands (USA) and asked if their distributions are predicted by a similar life history strategy framework. Because mussel and fish assemblages should both be structured by selective forces in an up- to downstream trajectory, we expected both taxa to converge on more species-rich assemblages with a greater proportion of equilibrium strategists in larger, more stable downstream habitats. We found that both mussel and fish species richness increased with watershed area as well as the proportion of equilibrium strategists in the assemblages. Our study validates the use of the trilateral life history model to test hypotheses about the distribution patterns of two coevolved taxonomic groups.

基于性状的方法可以通过将适应度与环境联系起来来提高对生态的理解。三边生活史模型是对r -和K -选择理论的扩展,反映了幼崽生存、繁殖力和世代时间之间的权衡,并描述了不同环境梯度下物种的差异生存。我们使用这个框架来生成和测试关于群落组装的假设,以及这种模型在两个不同的分类群体,淡水贻贝和鱼类中的有效性。我们评估了美国瓦希塔高地80个地点贻贝和鱼类生活史策略的分布,这些地点涵盖了河流连续体概念的各个方面,并询问它们的分布是否可以通过类似的生活史策略框架来预测。由于贻贝和鱼类的组合都是在向上到下游的轨迹中由选择力构建的,我们预计这两个分类群将在更大、更稳定的下游栖息地中收敛于更丰富的物种组合和更大比例的平衡策略。贻贝和鱼类的物种丰富度随流域面积的增加而增加,平衡策略在组合中的比例也随流域面积的增加而增加。我们的研究验证了使用三边生活史模型来检验关于两个共同进化的分类群体分布模式的假设。
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引用次数: 0
Algal assemblage drives patterns in ecosystem structure but not metabolism in a productive river 藻类组合驱动生态系统结构的模式,而不是生产力河流的代谢模式
IF 4.3 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1002/ecy.70262
Alice M. Carter, Robert O. Hall Jr., Rafael Feijó-Lima, Michael DeGrandpre, Qipei Shangguan, H. Maurice Valett

Algal dynamics are fundamental drivers of lotic ecosystem processes. Although rivers tend to be heterotrophic and have low standing stocks of autotrophic biomass, filamentous algae can cause nuisance algal blooms that alter the structure of the autotrophic assemblage. Still, the influence of these blooms on ecosystem processes can be variable. Here, we examined the structural and functional contribution of filamentous and epilithic algae by linking algal biomass measurements to daily primary production fluxes throughout two growing seasons in six sites along the Upper Clark Fork River, an open canopy, snow melt river in western Montana, USA. We partitioned daily productivity estimates across different algal groups using the spatial and temporal variability in algal assemblages across our six sites. By using reach-scale metabolism estimates, we assessed the in situ functional rates of individual algal groups. Throughout two growing seasons, we measured high fluxes of ecosystem productivity and spatially variable filamentous algal blooms. We found that the filamentous algal blooms determined the ecosystem structure in terms of total biomass and algal turnover times, but not the ecosystem functions of gross primary productivity, ecosystem respiration, or net production. Whole-reach estimates of epilithic and filamentous algae growth rates were 0.30 and 0.026 day1$$ {}^{-1} $$ respectively, which are similar to rates measured in mesocosms. The epilithic algae grew and turned over rapidly, dominating total biomass production and driving ecosystem function while filamentous algae grew slowly and built up large amounts of biomass during a growing season, shaping the structure, but not function, of the ecosystem.

藻类动力学是生态系统过程的基本驱动力。虽然河流往往是异养的,自养生物量的存储量很低,但丝状藻类可以引起有害的藻华,改变自养组合的结构。尽管如此,这些水华对生态系统过程的影响是可变的。在这里,我们通过将藻类生物量测量与两个生长季节的每日初级生产通量联系起来,在美国蒙大拿州西部克拉克福克河上游的六个地点,研究了丝状和鳞藻的结构和功能贡献。克拉克福克河是一条开放的冠层融雪河。我们利用六个地点藻类组合的时空变异性对不同藻类群体的日常生产力进行了划分。通过使用可达尺度代谢估计,我们评估了单个藻类群体的原位功能率。在两个生长季节,我们测量了生态系统生产力的高通量和空间可变的丝状藻华。我们发现,丝状藻华决定了总生物量和藻类周转时间的生态系统结构,而不是总初级生产力、生态系统呼吸或净产量的生态系统功能。鳞藻和丝状藻的全河段生长速率估计分别为0.30天和0.026天,这与中生态系统的生长速率相似。鳞藻生长和翻转迅速,主导了总生物量生产,驱动了生态系统功能,而丝状藻生长缓慢,在一个生长季节积累了大量生物量,塑造了生态系统的结构,而不是功能。
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引用次数: 0
Discovery of an unidentified species of nicothoid copepod infesting cancrid crabs in Santa Barbara, California 在加州圣巴巴拉发现了一种未被识别的寄生于蟹蟹身上的烟状桡足类昆虫
IF 4.3 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-09 DOI: 10.1002/ecy.70263
Jaden E. Orli, Sophia M. Lecuona, Gabrielle O. Plewe, Carson N. Gadler, Armand M. Kuris, Danny Tang, Zoe L. Zilz
<p>Externally brooding crustaceans host a variety of symbiotic egg predators, often causing substantial brood mortality (Kuris et al., <span>1991</span>; Kuris & Wickham, <span>1987</span>). Taxa known to live and feed on crustacean eggs (summarized by Kuris, <span>1993</span>) include various microorganisms, rotifers, gastropods, worms (nemerteans, turbellarians, nematodes, polychaetes, and oligochaetes), and other small crustaceans (copepods, amphipods, and isopods). Heavy infestations of egg predators, for example, nemertean worms in the Dungeness crab, <i>Metacarcinus magister</i>, have been implicated in the collapse (Wickham, <span>1979</span>, <span>1986</span>) and slow recovery (Hobbs & Botsford, <span>1989</span>; Kuris et al., <span>1991</span>) of some crustacean fisheries. The copepod family Nicothoidae includes parasites and symbiotic egg predators of other crustaceans, most of which have adopted egg mimicry as a life history strategy (Boxshall & Halsey, <span>2004</span>). High intensities of nicothoids have negatively impacted the fecundity of commercially important species, such as the blue sand crab in Australia (Shields & Wood, <span>1993</span>).</p><p>In October 2021, during a routine classroom laboratory activity at the University of California Santa Barbara focused on the demonstration of crustacean egg predators, we observed, for the first time, a nicothoid copepod in the genus <i>Choniosphaera</i> Connolly, 1929 infesting ovigerous yellow rock crabs (<i>Metacarcinus anthonyi</i> Rathbun, 1897). This discovery prompted further investigation, during which crabs were collected by fishermen from a 66–100 m depth using baited crab pots along the Gaviota Coast, west of Santa Barbara, CA (see Appendix S1: Section S1 for full methods). Crabs were held in flow-through aquaria during the investigation. We discovered <i>Choniosphaera</i> sp. in abundance on two other commercially important rock crab species, <i>Romaleon antennarium</i> Stimpson, 1856 and <i>Cancer productus</i> Randall, 1840. These crabs are habitat generalists, occurring in coastal waters from 0 to 150 m, and together form a small fishery in California (CDFW, <span>2019</span>; Morris et al., <span>1980</span>). Four species of nicothoids have been reported in association with seven species of brachyuran crabs, with varying effects on host fecundity (Bloch & Gallien, <span>1933</span>; Connolly, <span>1929</span>; Dang et al., <span>2022</span>; Fischer, <span>1956</span>; Gnanamuthu, <span>1954</span>; Johnson, <span>1957</span>; Santos & Björnberg, <span>2004</span>; Shields & Wood, <span>1993</span>). Nicothoid copepods have not been previously reported infesting decapod species from the Eastern Pacific (Appendix S1: Figure S1) despite extensive inspection of cancrid egg clutches during studies of the egg-predatory nemertean <i>Carcinonemertes epialti</i> Coe, 1902 in the 1990s (Shields et al., <span>1990</span>, <span>1991</span>).
外部孵化的甲壳类动物寄主各种共生的蛋捕食者,经常造成大量的孵化死亡率(Kuris et al., 1991; Kuris & Wickham, 1987)。已知以甲壳类动物卵为食的分类群(Kuris总结,1993)包括各种微生物、轮虫、腹足类、蠕虫(nemerteans、turbellarians、线虫、多毛纲和寡毛纲)和其他小型甲壳类动物(桡足类、片足类和等足类)。一些甲壳类渔场的崩溃(Wickham, 1979, 1986)和缓慢恢复(Hobbs & Botsford, 1989; Kuris et al., 1991)与卵捕食者的严重侵扰有关,例如,Dungeness蟹(Metacarcinus magister)中的nemertean蠕虫。桡足动物Nicothoidae科包括寄生虫和其他甲壳类动物的共生虫卵捕食者,它们中的大多数都将卵模仿作为一种生活史策略(Boxshall & Halsey, 2004)。高强度的烟碱类对具有重要商业价值的物种的繁殖力产生了负面影响,例如澳大利亚的蓝沙蟹(Shields & Wood, 1993)。2021年10月,在加州大学圣巴巴拉分校的一次常规课堂实验室活动中,我们首次观察到一种nicothoid桡足类(Choniosphaera Connolly, 1929)寄生于产卵的黄岩蟹(Metacarcinus anthonyi Rathbun, 1897)。这一发现促使了进一步的调查,在此期间,渔民沿着加利福尼亚州圣巴巴拉西部的加维奥塔海岸,从66-100米深的深度使用诱饵蟹笼收集螃蟹(参见附录S1:第S1节了解完整方法)。调查期间,螃蟹被关在直通水缸里。我们在另外两种具有重要商业价值的岩蟹(1856年的Romaleon antenarium Stimpson和1840年的Cancer productus Randall)身上发现了大量的Choniosphaera sp.。这些螃蟹是栖息地的通虫,出现在0 - 150米的沿海水域,在加利福尼亚州共同形成了一个小型渔业(CDFW, 2019; Morris等人,1980)。据报道,4种nicothoids与7种短尾蟹相关,对寄主繁殖能力有不同的影响(Bloch & Gallien, 1933; Connolly, 1929; Dang et al., 2022; Fischer, 1956; Gnanamuthu, 1954; Johnson, 1957; Santos & Björnberg, 2004; Shields & Wood, 1993)。尽管在20世纪90年代对捕食卵的nemertean Carcinonemertes epialti Coe, 1902进行的研究中广泛检查了脱色的卵卵,但以前并没有报道过烟状桡足类昆虫侵袭东太平洋的十足类物种(附录S1:图S1) (Shields等,1990,1991)。此外,自1978年以来,加州大学圣巴巴拉分校无脊椎动物生物学本科班和讲师每年都会仔细检查寄生虫卵群。本研究记录了在这些检查中首次发现的烟状桡足动物。据报道,两个nicothoid属的成员,Choniosphaera和Carcinothoe,在短爪蟹卵群中存在(Bloch & Gallien, 1933; Connolly, 1929; Fischer, 1956; Lee & Kim, 2024)。根据成年雌性的形态特征,本文讨论的nicothoid与软骨动物更接近,包括没有腹部的球形,明显位于腹侧的口器,1号和2号腿上的双关节外足和单关节内足,触角有11节,尾支有4到5个刚毛(Bloch & Gallien, 1933; Connolly, 1929; Lee & Kim, 2024)。我们在蟹卵上观察到的第一个生命阶段是成年雌性烟蛾(图1a)。我们没有观察到任何可以识别为雄性的成年烟状体,并且明显缺乏雄性软骨球era sp.值得进一步调查。成年雌性软骨藻似乎永久生活在寄主蟹的卵群上,因此,它们的形态发生了很大的变化。成年雌体呈球形,不明显分节。它的形状与寄主的卵相似,并能很好地伪装在卵团中(图1b;附录S1:图S3)。成年雌性软骨藻会随着体积增大和怀孕而改变颜色(图1,参见Adult_Nicothoid_Video)。MOV in Orli et al., 2025b)。在早期发育阶段的寄主虫卵上发现的成年拟烟虫的颜色从黄色到橙色不等,而在后期虫卵上发现的成年拟烟虫则是栗色的(图1a,参见附录S1:表S1对寄主虫卵发育阶段的描述)。我们观察到成年雌性Choniosphaera sp.在没有蜕皮的情况下体型会增加,这一现象在其他共生的雌性桡足动物中也有记载(Kabata, 1979; Ohtsuka et al., 2004, 2005; Smith & Whitfield, 1988)。当将成年雌性软骨藻从宿主卵中取出时,尽管在流动的海水中保持良好的通风,并提供卵供其食用,但所有雌性软骨藻都在24小时内死亡。 软骨藻的生命周期似乎与寄主蟹卵的发育相耦合(附录S1:图S2)。在寄主卵发育的整个过程中(m.a anthonyyi约为45天,见附录S1:表S1),成年雌性Choniosphaera sp.产卵卵囊,一次携带1至4个卵囊。当雌性在宿主的卵群中移动时,它们的卵囊会与宿主的卵纠缠在一起(图1d)。每个卵囊包含1 - 4个胚胎(图1b和2a)。在整个寄主卵发育过程中,我们无法追踪每只雌性卵的沉积数量,因为不可能在原位区分单个烟蛾,而且雌性从寄主卵团中取出后死亡的趋势禁止长时间的非原位观察。本研究中观察到的烟状桡足动物的生命周期与另外两种软骨动物(癌软骨动物和软骨动物)相似。(布洛赫&加利恩,1933;康诺利,1929)。在Nicothoidae科的22个属中,只有两个属(Choniosphaera和Choniomyzon)含有卵孵化成nauplii的物种(Wakabayashi et al., 2013)。一旦nauplii从卵囊中孵化出来(图2b),它们就会通过未知数量的连续蜕皮发育出更多的附体,并增加分割,直到它们到达第一桡足动物阶段,其特征是发育良好的游泳腿(图2d)。桡足类密度在寄主卵发育结束时达到峰值(附录S1:图S2)。桡足类以寄主卵为食。一旦雌蟹从寄主蟹卵群中孵化出来,雌蟹就会从她的多足类动物中取出旧的卵壳、流产的卵和碎片(如Shields等人1991年所述),可能包括残留在卵群上的所有拟烟虫。然而,在寄主蟹卵孵化前后,我们也在寄主蟹鳃片中观察到桡足类(图2e)。其他螃蟹的共生卵捕食者(Kuris, 1993)也有来自宿主鳃的报道,其中包括一种与本文描述的物种密切相关的拟烟纲,Carcinothoe indica(在Shields & Wood, 1993年报道为Choniosphaera indica)。我们在7只螃蟹的卵团中发现了烟状体,这些螃蟹在观察期间产卵了一窝卵。产卵1天内,在这些蟹的卵团中观察到桡足类幼虫,9天内出现软骨藻成虫(附录S1:图S2
{"title":"Discovery of an unidentified species of nicothoid copepod infesting cancrid crabs in Santa Barbara, California","authors":"Jaden E. Orli,&nbsp;Sophia M. Lecuona,&nbsp;Gabrielle O. Plewe,&nbsp;Carson N. Gadler,&nbsp;Armand M. Kuris,&nbsp;Danny Tang,&nbsp;Zoe L. Zilz","doi":"10.1002/ecy.70263","DOIUrl":"10.1002/ecy.70263","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;p&gt;Externally brooding crustaceans host a variety of symbiotic egg predators, often causing substantial brood mortality (Kuris et al., &lt;span&gt;1991&lt;/span&gt;; Kuris &amp; Wickham, &lt;span&gt;1987&lt;/span&gt;). Taxa known to live and feed on crustacean eggs (summarized by Kuris, &lt;span&gt;1993&lt;/span&gt;) include various microorganisms, rotifers, gastropods, worms (nemerteans, turbellarians, nematodes, polychaetes, and oligochaetes), and other small crustaceans (copepods, amphipods, and isopods). Heavy infestations of egg predators, for example, nemertean worms in the Dungeness crab, &lt;i&gt;Metacarcinus magister&lt;/i&gt;, have been implicated in the collapse (Wickham, &lt;span&gt;1979&lt;/span&gt;, &lt;span&gt;1986&lt;/span&gt;) and slow recovery (Hobbs &amp; Botsford, &lt;span&gt;1989&lt;/span&gt;; Kuris et al., &lt;span&gt;1991&lt;/span&gt;) of some crustacean fisheries. The copepod family Nicothoidae includes parasites and symbiotic egg predators of other crustaceans, most of which have adopted egg mimicry as a life history strategy (Boxshall &amp; Halsey, &lt;span&gt;2004&lt;/span&gt;). High intensities of nicothoids have negatively impacted the fecundity of commercially important species, such as the blue sand crab in Australia (Shields &amp; Wood, &lt;span&gt;1993&lt;/span&gt;).&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;In October 2021, during a routine classroom laboratory activity at the University of California Santa Barbara focused on the demonstration of crustacean egg predators, we observed, for the first time, a nicothoid copepod in the genus &lt;i&gt;Choniosphaera&lt;/i&gt; Connolly, 1929 infesting ovigerous yellow rock crabs (&lt;i&gt;Metacarcinus anthonyi&lt;/i&gt; Rathbun, 1897). This discovery prompted further investigation, during which crabs were collected by fishermen from a 66–100 m depth using baited crab pots along the Gaviota Coast, west of Santa Barbara, CA (see Appendix S1: Section S1 for full methods). Crabs were held in flow-through aquaria during the investigation. We discovered &lt;i&gt;Choniosphaera&lt;/i&gt; sp. in abundance on two other commercially important rock crab species, &lt;i&gt;Romaleon antennarium&lt;/i&gt; Stimpson, 1856 and &lt;i&gt;Cancer productus&lt;/i&gt; Randall, 1840. These crabs are habitat generalists, occurring in coastal waters from 0 to 150 m, and together form a small fishery in California (CDFW, &lt;span&gt;2019&lt;/span&gt;; Morris et al., &lt;span&gt;1980&lt;/span&gt;). Four species of nicothoids have been reported in association with seven species of brachyuran crabs, with varying effects on host fecundity (Bloch &amp; Gallien, &lt;span&gt;1933&lt;/span&gt;; Connolly, &lt;span&gt;1929&lt;/span&gt;; Dang et al., &lt;span&gt;2022&lt;/span&gt;; Fischer, &lt;span&gt;1956&lt;/span&gt;; Gnanamuthu, &lt;span&gt;1954&lt;/span&gt;; Johnson, &lt;span&gt;1957&lt;/span&gt;; Santos &amp; Björnberg, &lt;span&gt;2004&lt;/span&gt;; Shields &amp; Wood, &lt;span&gt;1993&lt;/span&gt;). Nicothoid copepods have not been previously reported infesting decapod species from the Eastern Pacific (Appendix S1: Figure S1) despite extensive inspection of cancrid egg clutches during studies of the egg-predatory nemertean &lt;i&gt;Carcinonemertes epialti&lt;/i&gt; Coe, 1902 in the 1990s (Shields et al., &lt;span&gt;1990&lt;/span&gt;, &lt;span&gt;1991&lt;/span&gt;). ","PeriodicalId":11484,"journal":{"name":"Ecology","volume":"106 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.3,"publicationDate":"2025-12-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://esajournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/ecy.70263","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145704281","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Temporal plasticity of thermal tolerance in ants 蚂蚁热耐受性的时间可塑性
IF 4.3 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1002/ecy.70250
Diane V. Roeder, Anna W. Paraskevopoulos, Karl A. Roeder

How do individuals tolerate both hot and cold climates of our planet? One possibility is that organisms have plastic traits, such as thermal tolerance, that allow them to function in highly variable environments. In this study, we tested whether phenotypic plasticity of temperature tolerance (i.e., acclimatization in the field and acclimation in the lab) occurs in the red harvester ant, Pogonomyrmex barbatus, at two temporal scales. We first measured the upper and lower critical thermal limits (CTmax and CTmin) of ants monthly for 2 years while concurrently measuring environmental conditions. Both CTmax and CTmin covaried with temperature in a predictable way; values increased in a positive, linear manner. We then experimentally tested whether CTmax and CTmin could shift within a shorter time period by exposing subcolonies of ants to cool (10°C), moderate (20°C), and hot (30°C) temperatures for 10 days. CTmax increased only slightly at the hottest temperature treatment (+1.2°C); however, CTmin increased considerably under both moderate (+2.6°C) and hot treatments (+3.8°C). Combined, our results suggest that the thermal tolerance of ants may be more plastic than originally hypothesized, potentially aiding an already thermophilic clade in future climate scenarios.

人类是如何忍受地球上的冷热气候的?一种可能性是生物体具有可塑性特征,例如耐热性,这使它们能够在高度多变的环境中发挥作用。在这项研究中,我们在两个时间尺度上测试了红色收获蚁(Pogonomyrmex barbatus)的耐温表型可塑性(即田间驯化和实验室驯化)是否存在。我们首先连续2年每月测量蚂蚁的临界温度上限和下限(CTmax和CTmin),同时测量环境条件。CTmax和CTmin随温度呈可预测的协变;价值以正线性的方式增长。然后,我们通过实验测试CTmax和CTmin是否可以在较短的时间内移动,将蚂蚁亚群暴露在凉爽(10°C),中等(20°C)和炎热(30°C)的温度下10天。CTmax在高温处理(+1.2℃)下仅略有增加;然而,CTmin在中等(+2.6°C)和热处理(+3.8°C)下均显著增加。综上所述,我们的研究结果表明,蚂蚁的耐热性可能比最初假设的更具可塑性,这可能会在未来的气候情景中帮助已经嗜热的进化支。
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引用次数: 0
Seasonal climate drives population growth but not costs of reproduction of a perennial wildflower 季节性气候推动了种群的增长,而不是多年生野花的繁殖成本
IF 4.3 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1002/ecy.70240
Jenna A. Loesberg, Jennifer L. Williams

Costs of reproduction are predicted to shift under climate change, but the extent to which weaker or stronger costs influence population responses to interannual climate variation is unknown. We asked how seasonal climate, manipulated rainfall, and costs of reproduction influence vital rates and population growth in a long-lived herbaceous perennial plant, Primula hendersonii, across an ongoing rainfall manipulation experiment in oak savanna of northwestern North America. Simulated drought reduced population growth rates, and vital rates (e.g., probability of flowering, individual growth) responded individualistically to variation in winter, spring, and summer temperatures, although not to variation in seasonal precipitation. However, only warmer spring temperatures were associated with a decline in population growth rates. Although we observed a weak negative effect of past reproduction on growth and future reproduction for large individuals, these costs of reproduction ultimately did not influence population growth. Further, observational and manipulative experiments to detect costs of reproduction suggest subtle differences in cost expression. We show that direct climate drivers had a stronger effect on population growth than indirect changes in costs of reproduction and may be more important for understanding population persistence under climate change.

预计生殖成本会随着气候变化而变化,但成本的减弱或增强在多大程度上影响人口对年际气候变化的反应尚不清楚。在北美西北部橡树稀树草原进行的一项正在进行的降雨操纵实验中,我们询问了季节性气候、人工降雨和繁殖成本如何影响长寿命草本多年生植物报春花(Primula hendersonii)的存活率和种群增长。模拟干旱降低了种群增长率,而生命速率(如开花概率、个体生长)对冬季、春季和夏季温度的变化有个体响应,但对季节性降水的变化没有响应。然而,只有温暖的春季气温与人口增长率的下降有关。虽然我们观察到过去的繁殖对大型个体的生长和未来的繁殖有微弱的负面影响,但这些繁殖成本最终不会影响种群增长。此外,用于检测繁殖成本的观察性和操纵性实验表明,成本表达存在细微差异。我们的研究表明,直接气候驱动因素对人口增长的影响比生殖成本的间接变化更大,这可能对理解气候变化下的人口持久性更重要。
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引用次数: 0
Salinity controls rocky intertidal community structure via suppression of herbivory 盐度通过抑制草食来控制岩质潮间带群落结构
IF 4.3 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1002/ecy.70271
Theraesa Coyle, Sandra Emry, Rebecca L. Kordas, Christopher D. G. Harley

Climate change impacts ecosystems directly through differences in species-specific responses as well as indirectly through changes to the strength of species interactions. To predict how species will be impacted by ongoing environmental change, we need to better understand the relative roles of these direct and indirect effects. Salinity is a strong driver of ecological patterns and processes, and salinity regimes in coastal regions are expected to be altered by climate change through the intensification of the hydrological cycle and via climate-driven shifts in the timing and strength of the spring freshet. We hypothesized that hyposalinity can indirectly affect the intertidal community by excluding a dominant guild of herbivores, limpets in the genus Lottia. To test this hypothesis, we (1) conducted intertidal diversity surveys in regions of high versus seasonally low salinity in the Strait of Georgia, British Columbia, (2) conducted laboratory salinity tolerance trials for two important grazers (Lottia pelta and Lottia digitalis) and one primary producer (Ulva sp.), and (3) experimentally manipulated the abundance of grazers in these two regions. We show that rocky intertidal shores from two regions of disparate salinity regimes are distinct in their intertidal communities: low salinity sites were composed primarily of Mytilus trossulus, Fucus distichus, and Ulva sp., whereas high salinity sites were dominated by Chthamalus dalli, Lottia spp., and Mastocarpus sp. Our laboratory trials confirmed that freshwater inputs experienced in the low salinity region resulted in hyposaline levels which exceeded the tolerance of Lottia spp., but not that of Ulva sp. Further, we show that by excluding grazers in high salinity sites, these communities more closely resemble those of the low salinity sites than those of other high salinity sites with grazers present. Together, these results demonstrate that the pattern of distinct estuarine intertidal communities in low versus high salinity regions in the Strait of Georgia may be largely driven by the indirect effects of freshwater inputs, mediated by salinity-driven differences in herbivore population size and thus grazing pressure.

气候变化通过物种特异性反应的差异直接影响生态系统,也通过物种相互作用强度的变化间接影响生态系统。为了预测物种将如何受到持续的环境变化的影响,我们需要更好地了解这些直接和间接影响的相对作用。盐度是生态模式和过程的一个强有力的驱动因素,预计沿海地区的盐度状况将因气候变化而改变,因为水文循环的加剧以及气候驱动的春季淡水时间和强度的变化。我们假设,低盐度可以间接影响潮间带群落,通过排除一个优势的草食动物,帽贝属的Lottia。为了验证这一假设,我们(1)对不列颠哥伦比亚省乔治亚海峡高盐度和季节性低盐度地区进行了潮间带多样性调查,(2)对两种重要的食草动物(Lottia pelta和Lottia digitalis)和一种主要的生产商(Ulva sp.)进行了实验室耐盐试验,(3)对这两个地区的食草动物丰度进行了实验控制。我们表明,来自两个不同盐度地区的潮间带岩石海岸在潮间带群落中是不同的:低盐度地点主要由Mytilus trossulus、Fucus distichus和Ulva sp组成,而高盐度地点主要由Chthamalus dalli、Lottia spp和Mastocarpus sp组成。我们的实验室试验证实,在低盐度地区经历的淡水输入导致低盐水平超过Lottia spp的耐受水平,但不超过Ulva sp的耐受水平。此外,我们表明,通过排除高盐度地点的食草动物,这些群落更接近于低盐度地点的群落,而不是其他有食草动物存在的高盐度地点的群落。总之,这些结果表明,在乔治亚海峡低盐度和高盐度地区,不同河口潮间带群落的模式可能主要由淡水输入的间接影响驱动,由盐度驱动的草食动物种群规模差异和放牧压力介导。
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引用次数: 0
Winter severity shapes zooplankton community in a shallow green lake 严酷的冬季塑造了浅绿色湖泊中的浮游动物群落
IF 4.3 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1002/ecy.70249
Alia Benedict, Casey Schoenebeck, Thomas Hrabik, Ted Ozersky
<p>Winter is a biologically active period in seasonally freezing lakes (Hampton et al. <span>2017</span>). Plankton and fish play important roles in winter processes like nutrient cycling and energy flow which in turn shape open-water ecosystem dynamics (Sommer et al. <span>2012</span>). Winter conditions such as lake snow and ice cover can shape winter biological activity and thus the biological connections between seasons (Ozersky et al. <span>2021</span>; Grosbois et al. <span>2018</span>).</p><p>Winters in the Northern Hemisphere are growing more variable (Sharma et al. <span>2019</span>), with greater fluctuations in temperature and precipitation within and between winters (Casson et al. <span>2019</span>; Cohen et al. <span>2020</span>). Increased intraseasonal variability, such as more frequent rain-on-snow events and mid-winter thaws, can alter light, nutrient, and thermal conditions under lake ice (Kirillin et al. <span>2012</span>; Engle and Melack <span>2001</span>), with short-term impacts on primary production and food web dynamics (Hrycik et al. <span>2021</span>). Increased interannual winter variability may have more lasting consequences on lake ecosystem function (Feiner et al. <span>2022</span>). For example, during mild winters, thin snowpack and increased light penetration can advance the spring phytoplankton bloom (Hrycik et al. <span>2022</span>) with bottom-up effects on zooplankton and fish (Feiner et al. <span>2022</span>). Conversely, during severe winters, thick snow and ice cover can limit under-ice production, promote hypoxia (dissolved oxygen <2 mg/L), and cause mass mortality of fish (Hurst <span>2007</span>), with bottom-up and top-down effects on plankton communities (Schoenebeck et al. <span>2012</span>; Balayla et al. <span>2010</span>).</p><p>Portage Lake (Hubbard County, MN, USA; Appendix S1: Table S1) is a shallow (mean depth 2.3 m), productive (mean total phosphorus 60 μg/L) lake that generally experiences short, cool summers and long, cold winters. The lake has been sampled annually during the open-water period since 1987 as part of the Minnesota Sentinel Lakes Program (MPCA <span>2009</span>) and the Portage Lake Association has tracked ice cover trends for 50 years as well as occurrences of winter fishkills, which are not uncommon in this lake (Appendix S1: Section S1).</p><p>As part of a year-round food web research project, we studied the seasonal development of temperature, oxygen, chlorophyll <i>a</i>, and crustacean zooplankton abundance and diversity in Portage Lake during the winters and summers of 2022–2023 and 2023–2024. During both years, sampling was conducted monthly from January to March and again in May, July, and August in the middle of the lake (4.5 m depth) to capture the seasonal development of abiotic and biotic conditions. When present, ice thickness, ice quality, and snow depth were recorded, and complete water-column profiles of temperature, oxygen, and chlorophyll <i>a</i> were t
冬季是季节性冰冻湖泊的生物活跃期(Hampton et al. 2017)。浮游生物和鱼类在冬季过程中发挥着重要作用,如养分循环和能量流动,进而形成开放水域生态系统动态(Sommer et al. 2012)。湖泊积雪和冰盖等冬季条件可以影响冬季生物活动,从而影响季节之间的生物联系(Ozersky et al. 2021; Grosbois et al. 2018)。北半球的冬季正变得越来越多变(Sharma et al. 2019),冬季内部和冬季之间的温度和降水波动更大(Casson et al. 2019; Cohen et al. 2020)。增加的季节内变化,如更频繁的雨雪事件和隆冬解冻,可以改变湖冰下的光照、营养和热条件(Kirillin等,2012;Engle和Melack, 2001),对初级生产和食物网动态产生短期影响(Hrycik等,2021)。冬季年际变率的增加可能对湖泊生态系统功能产生更持久的影响(Feiner et al. 2022)。例如,在温和的冬季,薄积雪和增加的光线穿透可以促进春季浮游植物的繁殖(Hrycik et al. 2022),并对浮游动物和鱼类产生自下而上的影响(Feiner et al. 2022)。相反,在严冬,厚厚的积雪和冰盖会限制冰下生产,促进缺氧(溶解氧2 mg/L),并导致鱼类大量死亡(Hurst 2007),对浮游生物群落具有自下而上和自上而下的影响(Schoenebeck et al. 2012; Balayla et al. 2010)。波蒂奇湖(美国明尼苏达州哈伯德县;附录S1:表S1)是一个浅湖(平均深度2.3 m),生产力(平均总磷60 μg/L),通常经历短暂而凉爽的夏季和漫长而寒冷的冬季。作为明尼苏达哨兵湖计划(MPCA 2009)的一部分,自1987年以来,每年在开放水域期间对该湖进行采样,波蒂奇湖协会已经跟踪了50年的冰盖趋势以及冬季鱼类死亡的发生情况,这在该湖并不罕见(附录S1:第S1部分)。作为全年食物网研究项目的一部分,我们研究了2022-2023年和2023-2024年冬季和夏季Portage湖温度、氧气、叶绿素a和甲壳类浮游动物丰度和多样性的季节性变化。在这两年中,1 - 3月和5月、7月和8月分别在湖中部(4.5 m深)每月进行一次采样,以捕捉非生物和生物条件的季节性发展。当存在时,记录冰厚、冰质和雪深,并使用YSI EXO2多参数探空仪(YSI Inc., Yellow Springs, OH, USA)采集完整的水柱温度、氧气和叶绿素a剖面。水样在冰-水界面以下1米处(无冰时在水面以下1米处)和湖底以上1米处采集,用于离散叶绿素a分析。叶绿素a在0.2 μm硝化纤维素滤网上过滤,一式三份,在90%丙酮中黑暗提取18 h,用Turner Designs 10-AU荧光仪分析。从湖底上方1米到水面,使用直径为25厘米、孔径为64 μm的网,对浮游动物进行采样,一式三份,其中每个重复由三个池网组成。保存标本,确定最低可识别的分类单元,分类为主要类群,并在7×-70×放大的立体显微镜下进行计数。2022-2023年的冬季尤为严峻,厚厚的积雪和冰盖持续了近5个月零16天(平均冰期为5个月;MN DNR 2024)。这些情况导致了冬季鱼类的部分死亡,以及甲壳类浮游动物的意外消失,直到冰封后几周才恢复。这个令人惊讶的“浮游动物冬杀”促使我们在第二年冬天回到波蒂奇湖作进一步的研究。与2022-2023年冬季相比,2023-2024年冬季是该地区有记录以来最温暖的冬季,积雪最少,冰覆盖时间最短,为3个月零18天(MN DNR 2024)。在Portage湖仅仅两年的冬季研究中,我们观察到湖泊冰雪覆盖的明显差异,与冰下物理、化学和生物的差异相一致,这反过来又影响了开放水域浮游动物的动态。在2022-2023年的严冬期间,Portage湖被白色、不透明的冰和厚厚的雪覆盖(附录S1:图S1),同时水温较低(附录S1:图S2),叶绿素a浓度较低,溶解氧呈季节性减少(图1)。结冰后47天(2023年1月3日),整个水柱都有溶解氧可用,冰下叶绿素a浓度很高。 浮游动物数量丰富,每升24只(Ind/L),种类多样,由小型枝海动物、大小桡足类成年动物和桡足类幼体组成(图2a;附录S1:表S2)。冰封88天后(2月13日),溶解氧和叶绿素a浓度显著下降,从湖中心4.5米处收集的水有强烈的硫化氢气味,硫化氢是一种对无脊椎动物和鱼类有毒的化合物(Dunnette et al. 1985)。浮游动物总丰度降至17 Ind/L,仅由成年和幼年桡足类组成。冰封后128天(3月25日),溶解氧和叶绿素仍然很低。此时,浮游动物丰度降至0 Ind/L,在中上层和沿海地区仅偶见桡足类幼体和小型枝海动物。这是基于在湖中心采集的三个常规样本,以及在整个湖中采集的另外五个调查性样本。浮游动物数量的减少与观察到的死鱼,以及在远洋和沿海沉积物中死亡或迟钝的底栖无脊椎动物相吻合。5月3日封冰后,浮游动物群落恢复到8 Ind/L,主要由小型桡足类幼体组成。5月下旬以202 Ind/L为丰度高峰,以小型桡足幼体为主。在整个开放水域期间,丰度下降,群落转向较大的浮游动物,然后在8月初回到以小型桡足类幼体为主的状态(图2a)。在2023-2024年的暖冬期间,Portage湖被薄而半透明的冰覆盖,积雪很少(附录S1:图S1),与此同时,整个冬季水温升高(附录S1:图S2),叶绿素a浓度高,溶解氧含量高,冰下浮游动物群落丰富而活跃(图1)。结冰48天后(2024年1月14日),冰下溶解氧过饱和,整个水柱的叶绿素浓度都很高。23 Ind/L时浮游动物丰富,群落以小型枝海类、大型携卵桡足类和幼年桡足类为主(图2b;附录S1:表S2)。在结冰89 d后(2月24日),整个水体的氧气和叶绿素a都有所增加,浮游动物丰度增加到60 Ind/L。在结冰后的121天(3月28日),发生了部分冰灭、湖泊混合和重新冻结,在沿岸形成了新的薄冰区域。溶解氧和叶绿素a在整个水柱中保持较高水平,我们观察到当年任何采样点的最大浮游动物密度为90 Ind/L。2024年4月6日完全结冰。浮游动物的丰度在夏季下降,在8月下旬再次增加,夏季群落由大型和小型成年枝海洋动物和桡足动物组成(图2b)。在2022-2023年的严冬,是什么导致了甲壳类浮游动物的消失?我们的观察强烈表明,整个冬季形成的缺氧条件导致了广泛的浮游动物死亡。对常见浮游动物类群缺氧耐受性的研究表明,包括大型枝海类和桡足类在内的许多类群对低氧浓度都很敏感(Vanderploeg et al. 2009; Karpowicz et al. 2020),这与我们的观察结果一致,即大型浮游动物在严冬期间和之后数量较少,而在暖冬期间和之后数量较多。缺氧对浮游动物的负面影响进一步得到了以下事实的支持:在2022-2023年的冬末样本中,只观察到耐缺氧群体,如桡足类幼体和小型枝大洋类(Stalder and Marcus 1997; Karpowicz et al. 2020)。另一种解释可能是2022-2023年严冬期间浮游植物生物量减少。虽然冬季浮游植
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引用次数: 0
Data of the Swiss common breeding bird monitoring program 瑞士普通繁殖鸟类监测项目数据
IF 4.3 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1002/ecy.70268
Nicolas Strebel, Samuel Wechsler, Roman Bühler, Guido Häfliger, Verena Keller, Marc Kéry, Christian Rogenmoser, Martin Spiess, Katarina Varga, Bernard Volet, Niklaus Zbinden, Hans Schmid

The Swiss Common Breeding Bird Monitoring (“Monitoring Häufige Brutvögel” MHB) is a long-term study organized by the Swiss Ornithological Institute. Its main goal is to collect data for estimating breeding population trends of relatively abundant and widespread species. Since 1999, 267 one-km squares laid out in a mostly systematic grid across all of Switzerland have been surveyed annually by skilled, mostly volunteer ornithologists. The sampling sites thus cover a wide range of typical Western European habitats, and an altitudinal range from 250 up to 2750 m above sea level. Bird populations are recorded using a simplified territory mapping protocol with two visits per square above the timberline and three elsewhere. Surveys are conducted during the breeding season (mid-April to early July) along a square-specific transect route that does not change over the years. A typical transect route is between 4 and 6 km long, and each visit usually lasts 3 to 4 h. The location of all visually or acoustically detected birds is recorded on topographical maps or using a smartphone app. Records that meet predefined criteria in terms of species-specific breeding period and observed behavior are retained for the subsequent step of territory delimitation. This is done automatically for most species by the program Autoterri since 2022 and was done manually before, with subsequent checks by an expert. This process finally results in an estimate of the total number of detected territories per species, square and year. The design also explicitly generates detection histories, consisting of two to three numbers that represent the number of territories found to be occupied during each respective visit, enabling the analysis with binomial N-mixture and site-occupancy models. The dataset currently covers the breeding seasons from 1999 to 2024 and includes 6852 site-by-year combinations with estimates of detected territory numbers. It covers 162 of the 166 bird species recorded at least once as potential breeders, excluding four species to prevent potential disturbance at nesting sites. Besides informing about population trends, data from the Swiss Common Breeding Bird Monitoring were used to illustrate several methodological developments in N-mixture, occupancy and related models and to answer scientific and applied questions. With its clearly defined survey method, the largely systematic distribution of its survey sites, and the long timespan covered, it is likely that this dataset will continue to make important contributions in biological and biostatistical research. Herewith, we make the annually updated data set available with a CC BY 4.0 license, allowing researchers and conservationists to use and analyze the data for their own research and conservation efforts.

瑞士普通繁殖鸟类监测(“监测Häufige Brutvögel”MHB)是由瑞士鸟类研究所组织的一项长期研究。其主要目标是收集数据,以估计相对丰富和广泛的物种的繁殖种群趋势。自1999年以来,每年都有经验丰富的鸟类学家(大多是志愿者)对遍布瑞士各地的267个一公里见方的网格进行调查。因此,采样地点覆盖了广泛的典型西欧栖息地,海拔高度从250米到2750米不等。鸟类数量的记录使用一种简化的领土测绘协议,在树带线以上每平方两次,在其他地方三次。在繁殖季节(4月中旬至7月初),沿着一个常年不变的方形样带路线进行调查。典型的横断面路线长度在4至6公里之间,每次访问通常持续3至4小时。所有通过视觉或声音检测到的鸟类的位置都记录在地形图上或使用智能手机应用程序。在特定物种的繁殖期和观察到的行为方面符合预定义标准的记录将被保留,以供后续的领土划分步骤使用。自2022年以来,Autoterri程序自动为大多数物种完成了这一任务,之前是手动完成的,随后由专家进行检查。这一过程最终得出每一物种、每一平方和每一年所探测到的领土总数的估计。该设计还明确地生成检测历史,由两到三个数字组成,代表每次访问期间被占用的领土数量,从而可以使用二项n混合和场地占用模型进行分析。该数据集目前涵盖了1999年至2024年的繁殖季节,包括6852个站点按年组合以及检测到的领土数量估计。它涵盖了166种鸟类中至少有一次被记录为潜在繁殖者的162种,不包括4种以防止筑巢地点受到潜在干扰的鸟类。除了提供种群趋势信息外,来自瑞士普通繁殖鸟类监测的数据还用于说明氮混合、占用和相关模型的几种方法发展,并回答科学和应用问题。该数据集具有明确的调查方法、广泛系统的调查地点分布和较长的时间跨度,很可能将继续在生物学和生物统计学研究中做出重要贡献。在此,我们将每年更新的数据集与CC BY 4.0许可一起提供,允许研究人员和保护主义者使用和分析他们自己的研究和保护工作数据。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring competition coefficients in an ant community: Implications for intraspecific adaptation load 测量蚂蚁群落的竞争系数:对种内适应负荷的影响
IF 4.3 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1002/ecy.70274
Jumpei Uematsu, Masato Yamamichi, Kazuki Tsuji

Understanding the stable coexistence of species despite resource competition has been a central topic in ecology. Ant communities are particularly enigmatic as various species coexist despite resource overlap. Community ecology theory predicts stable species coexistence when intraspecific competition is stronger than interspecific competition, but due to their perennial and underground life, competition coefficients of ants have never been rigorously measured in the field. We tackled this problem by studying Diacamma cf. indicum, which allows for noninvasive mark–recapture of whole colonies. Several ant species coexisted at the study site where Diacamma was most abundant, and baiting experiments and stable isotope analyses suggested overlapping food niches. Consistently, per worker brood production of Diacamma colonies was significantly negatively correlated with con- and heterospecific worker densities within the foraging area, suggesting exploitative competition among the ants. In terms of net population growth, however, the estimated intraspecific competition coefficient was about five times larger than the interspecific competition coefficient. This is possibly because exploitative competition for food occurs both intra- and interspecifically, whereas interference competition occurs mostly among conspecifics. Indeed, for Diacamma worker survival, there was a significant (nonlinear) negative correlation only with the density of conspecific colonies within the foraging area. This is consistent with the observation that Diacamma rarely fought with other species, although it violently attacked conspecific aliens encountered in their nest vicinity. We interpreted these results in light of the recent theory of intraspecific adaptation load. This theory predicts that density-dependent adaptation to intraspecific conflict can intensify intraspecific competition and act to suppress per capita population growth in dominant species, thereby leading to species coexistence with overlapping resources. Our inclusive fitness model suggests that the intraspecific territorial aggression in Diacamma may be a counter-adaptation to intraspecific conflict, that is, brood abduction between conspecific colonies. This aggression pattern can cause the observed density-dependent worker mortality. Our population dynamic model indicates that such density-dependent excess mortality acting on dominant competitors can promote stable coexistence with subordinate competitors. Overall, our results support the intraspecific adaptation load theory that aims at integrating behavioral and community ecology to understand how adaptation interacts with population and community dynamics.

了解物种在资源竞争下的稳定共存一直是生态学的中心话题。蚂蚁群落尤其神秘,尽管资源重叠,但各种物种共存。群落生态学理论预测,当种内竞争强于种间竞争时,物种会稳定共存,但由于蚂蚁的多年生和地下生活,其竞争系数从未在野外得到严格的测量。我们通过研究Diacamma cf. indicum来解决这个问题,它允许非侵入性地重新捕获整个菌落。在双卡玛最丰富的研究地点,几种蚂蚁共存,诱饵实验和稳定同位素分析表明食物生态位重叠。与此一致的是,蚁群的每工蚁产卵量与觅食区域内的同种和异种工蚁密度呈显著负相关,表明蚂蚁之间存在剥削竞争。在种群净增长方面,估计种内竞争系数约为种间竞争系数的5倍。这可能是因为对食物的剥削性竞争既发生在种内也发生在种间,而干扰竞争主要发生在同种种之间。事实上,对于独角蚁工蜂的存活率,仅与觅食区域内同种蚁群的密度存在显著的(非线性)负相关。这与观察结果是一致的,尽管它猛烈攻击在其巢穴附近遇到的同种异类,但Diacamma很少与其他物种战斗。我们根据最近的种内适应负荷理论来解释这些结果。该理论预测,物种对种内冲突的密度依赖适应会加剧种内竞争,抑制优势物种的人均种群增长,从而导致资源重叠的物种共存。我们的包容性适应度模型表明,种内领土侵略可能是对种内冲突的一种反适应,即同种群体之间的幼崽绑架。这种攻击模式可能导致观察到的密度依赖性工人死亡率。我们的种群动态模型表明,这种密度依赖的超额死亡率作用于优势竞争对手可以促进与从属竞争对手的稳定共存。总体而言,我们的研究结果支持种内适应负荷理论,该理论旨在整合行为和群落生态学,以了解适应如何与种群和群落动态相互作用。
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引用次数: 0
Ecological meta-analyses often produce unwarranted results 生态学荟萃分析经常产生不可靠的结果
IF 4.3 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1002/ecy.70269
Scott D. Peacor, Chao Song, James R. Bence, Amy A. Briggs, Elizabeth A. Hamman, Craig W. Osenberg

Meta-analysis (MA), a powerful tool for synthesizing reported results, is influential in ecology. While ecologists have long been well-informed on the potential problems associated with nonindependence in experimental work (e.g., pseudoreplication), they have, until recently, largely neglected this issue in MA. However, results used in MAs are likely much more similar when they come from the same locality, system, or laboratory. A simple and common form of nonindependence in MA arises when multiple data points, that is, observed effect sizes, come from the same paper. We obtained original data from 20 published MAs, reconstructed the published analyses, and then, for 14 that had not accounted for a paper effect, used three approaches to evaluate whether within-paper nonindependence was a problem. First, we found that “nonsense” explanatory variables added to the original analyses were statistically significant (p < 0.05) far more often than the expected 5% (25%–50% for four nonsense variables). For example, the number of vowels in the first author's name had a significant effect 50% of the time. Second, we found that an added dummy variable, which was randomly assigned at one of two levels, was statistically significant an average of 38% of the time, far exceeding the expected 5%. Even after including a random paper effect in the analyses, there was still an excess of significant results, suggesting that the within-paper nonindependence was more complex than modeled with the random paper effect. Third, we repeated the original MAs that did not include random paper effects (n = 14 MAs) but added a random paper effect to each revised analysis. In 12 out of the 14 MAs, an added random effect was statistically significant (indicating group nonindependence that was not accounted for in the original analyses), and often the original inferences were substantially altered. Further, incorporating random paper effects was not a sufficient solution to nonindependence. Thus, problems resulting from nonindependence are often substantial, and accounting for the problem will likely require careful consideration of the details of the potential dependence among observed effect sizes. MAs that do not properly account for this problem may reach unwarranted conclusions.

荟萃分析(Meta-analysis, MA)是一种综合报告结果的有力工具,在生态学中具有重要的影响。虽然生态学家长期以来都很了解与实验工作不独立性相关的潜在问题(例如,伪复制),但直到最近,他们在很大程度上忽略了MA中的这个问题。然而,当它们来自同一地点、系统或实验室时,在MAs中使用的结果可能更加相似。当多个数据点(即观察到的效应大小)来自同一篇论文时,MA中出现了一种简单而常见的非独立性形式。我们从20个已发表的ma中获得原始数据,重建已发表的分析,然后,对于14个没有考虑到论文效应的ma,使用三种方法来评估论文内非独立性是否存在问题。首先,我们发现添加到原始分析中的“无意义”解释变量在统计上显著(p < 0.05)的频率远高于预期的5%(四个无意义变量为25%-50%)。例如,第一作者名字中的元音数量在50%的情况下有显著的影响。其次,我们发现,在两个水平中随机分配的一个额外的虚拟变量在38%的时间内具有统计显著性,远远超过预期的5%。即使在分析中包括随机论文效应之后,仍然有过多的显著结果,这表明论文内非独立性比随机论文效应更复杂。第三,我们重复了不包括随机论文效应的原始MAs (n = 14 MAs),但在每个修订的分析中添加了随机论文效应。在14个MAs中的12个中,一个额外的随机效应在统计上是显著的(表明在原始分析中没有考虑到的群体非独立性),并且通常原始推断被大大改变。此外,纳入随机纸张效应并不能充分解决非独立性问题。因此,非独立性导致的问题往往是实质性的,对问题的解释可能需要仔细考虑观察到的效应大小之间潜在依赖性的细节。没有正确考虑这个问题的MAs可能会得出没有根据的结论。
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