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Effects of different renewable electricity diffusion paths and restricted european cooperation on Europe's hydrogen supply 不同的可再生能源电力传播途径和受限的欧洲合作对欧洲氢气供应的影响
IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2024.101589
Benjamin Lux , Miriam Frömel , Gustav Resch , Florian Hasengst , Frank Sensfuß
Today, most hydrogen production is based on natural gas and occurs locally at the demand sites. However, according to many studies, hydrogen generation will shift to greenhouse gas (GHG)-neutral sources and supply, substantially increasing demands to meet ambitious climate protection targets in the European Union. Therefore, the model-based analysis in this paper addresses where hydrogen will come from in a GHG-neutral target system. A scenario study examines different expansion paths of renewable energy generation technologies and variations in European cooperation regarding energy trading. The model results show that a domestic European hydrogen supply strategy is cost-efficient. This result is robust even with higher self-sufficiency shares of individual countries. However, delayed or restricted expansions of renewable electricity generation technologies lead to increased hydrogen demands for power generation and increased pipeline-bound hydrogen imports in winter from the Middle East and North Africa in the model results. Furthermore, scenarios with higher photovoltaic shares exhibit increased demand for hydrogen storage for seasonal energy supply and demand balancing and increased hydrogen demands for power generation. A cost-efficient hydrogen supply strategy should, therefore, particularly focus on the expansion of onshore wind energy and hydrogen supply technologies in Europe and strengthen European cooperation for energy supply infrastructures.
目前,大多数氢气生产都以天然气为基础,并在需求地本地进行。然而,根据许多研究,氢气生产将转向温室气体(GHG)中性来源和供应,从而大幅增加需求,以满足欧盟雄心勃勃的气候保护目标。因此,本文基于模型的分析探讨了氢气在温室气体中性目标系统中的来源。一项情景研究考察了可再生能源发电技术的不同扩展路径以及欧洲在能源交易方面的合作变化。模型结果表明,欧洲国内氢供应战略具有成本效益。即使个别国家的自给率较高,这一结果也是稳健的。然而,在模型结果中,可再生能源发电技术的延迟或限制性扩展导致发电对氢气的需求增加,以及冬季从中东和北非进口的管道氢气增加。此外,在光伏发电比例较高的情况下,为平衡季节性能源供需,对氢气储存的需求会增加,发电对氢气的需求也会增加。因此,具有成本效益的氢供应战略应特别注重在欧洲扩大陆上风能和氢供应技术,并加强欧洲在能源供应基础设施方面的合作。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of economic policy uncertainty, renewable energy adoption, and eco-innovation on sectoral CO₂ emissions in the United States 美国经济政策的不确定性、可再生能源的采用以及生态创新对部门二氧化碳排放量的影响
IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2024.101593
Peng Zhang , Yuye Xiao , Shah zaib , Nasir khan
In 2022, emitting 4.8 billion metric tonnes of carbon dioxide (CO2), the United States ranked as the global second-biggest polluter. In order to address this, the US has set a specific target of reducing net carbon dioxide emissions by 50–52 % from the peak of 2006 by 2030. For this reason, identifying the most important elements that will help achieve the SDGs is of the utmost importance. This study looked at how the relationships between green energy transitions (ET), ecological innovation (EI), economic policy uncertainty (EPU), energy consumption (EU), economic growth (EG), and sectoral CO₂ emissions changed from 1982 to 2022. It used advanced Quantile-on-Quantile Regression (QQR) and Quantiles Granger Causality test (QGC). The result highlights a positive correlation between overall sectoral CO2 quantiles and ET quantiles. In the lowest to upper quantiles, EI and sectoral CO2 are slightly positive; however, in the 0.2–0.95 quantiles, the rising slope values demonstrate that EPU affects SCO2. In a similar vein, sectoral CO2 and energy consumption exhibited mixed results across quantiles, while the QQR slope values for sectoral CO2 and economic growth exhibited mixed results throughout quantiles as well. It is crucial to make investments in ET and ecological innovation in order to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals-7 by 2030. This will reduce EPU and ensure that all sectors have access to energy.
2022 年,美国的二氧化碳排放量为 48 亿吨,位居全球第二大污染国。为解决这一问题,美国制定了一个具体目标,即到 2030 年,将二氧化碳净排放量从 2006 年的峰值减少 50-52%。因此,确定有助于实现可持续发展目标的最重要因素至关重要。本研究探讨了从 1982 年到 2022 年,绿色能源转型(ET)、生态创新(EI)、经济政策不确定性(EPU)、能源消耗(EU)、经济增长(EG)和部门二氧化碳排放量之间的关系是如何变化的。研究采用了先进的量化对量化回归(QQR)和量化格兰杰因果检验(QGC)。结果表明,部门二氧化碳总量位数与排放总量位数之间存在正相关关系。在最低至较高的量值范围内,EI 和部门二氧化碳略呈正相关;然而,在 0.2-0.95 量值范围内,斜率值的上升表明 EPU 会影响 SCO2。同样,部门二氧化碳和能源消耗在不同的量化值中表现出不同的结果,而部门二氧化碳和经济增长的 QQR 斜率值在不同的量化值中也表现出不同的结果。为了到 2030 年实现可持续发展目标 7,对环境技术和生态创新进行投资至关重要。这将降低 EPU,并确保所有部门都能获得能源。
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引用次数: 0
Examining the impact of tourism on carbon neutrality and environmental sustainability in China: The role of renewable energy 研究旅游业对中国碳中和与环境可持续性的影响:可再生能源的作用
IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2024.101579
Weiyi Zhang , Jia Cuijing , Zhixiang Liu , Pinfan He , Enle Wuhao
The increasing effects of climate change have prompted the initiation of various programs aimed at achieving carbon neutrality and environmental sustainability. Tourism, through activities such as air travel and hotel stay, significantly contributes to global warming. This study examines the relationship between carbon emissions and tourism in China, using data from 1990 to 2022, and applies the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach to estimate both long-run and short-run coefficients. The results indicate that tourism exacerbates the challenges China faces in achieving carbon neutrality, with long-term carbon emissions being positively correlated with the number of travelers, fossil fuel energy consumption, economic growth, financial development, gross fixed capital formation, and population growth. However, a negative correlation is observed between carbon emissions and the use of renewable energy. These findings are further validated through Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS), Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS), and Canonical Cointegration Regression (CCR) techniques. The study suggests that enhancing the use of renewable energy is crucial for developing sustainable tourism practices and aiding China in its efforts to reach carbon neutrality.
气候变化的影响与日俱增,促使人们发起各种旨在实现碳中和与环境可持续性的计划。旅游业通过航空旅行和酒店住宿等活动极大地加剧了全球变暖。本研究利用 1990 年至 2022 年的数据研究了中国碳排放与旅游业之间的关系,并采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)方法估计了长期和短期系数。结果表明,旅游业加剧了中国实现碳中和所面临的挑战,长期碳排放量与旅游人数、化石燃料能源消耗、经济增长、金融发展、固定资本形成总额和人口增长呈正相关。然而,碳排放与可再生能源的使用之间呈负相关。这些发现通过完全修正普通最小二乘法(FMOLS)、动态普通最小二乘法(DOLS)和卡农协整回归(CCR)技术得到了进一步验证。研究表明,加强可再生能源的使用对于发展可持续旅游业和帮助中国实现碳中和至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Socio-economic determinants of sustainable tourism and their nexus with energy, environment, and economy (3ES): A panel data analysis 可持续旅游业的社会经济决定因素及其与能源、环境和经济(3ES)的关系:面板数据分析
IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2024.101577
Yuxi Zhang , Qamar Ali
Tourism is a trillion-dollar industry, and sustainable development is a core issue in tourism development in the recent era. Sustainable tourism covers development's social, cultural, economic, and environmental aspects. Tourism development is essential for developed and developing economies because it has a multiplier effect. Tourism showed the potential to attain all 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Therefore, this study explores the socioeconomic factors of promoting sustainable tourism in the high, upper-middle, low-middle-, and low-income counties. This study will also explore the effect of sustainable tourism on the economy, energy, and environment. A novel worldwide tourism index is developed, incorporating factors such as domestic tourism consumption, government spending on individuals, capital investment, tourist revenue, and tourism activity. It creates an infrastructure index using multiple indicators like access to clean fuels and technologies for cooking, access to electricity, drinking water, and essential sanitation services. The proposed period for the selected variable will be 1990–2022. therefore, we conducted second-generational unit root and cointegration tests due to the chances of cross-sectional dependence and slope heterogeneity. The regression analysis shows the impact of selected indicators on global tourism using a two-step difference GMM. The regression analysis shows the effect of selected indicators on clean energy, inclusive growth and environment using a two-step difference GMM. The increase in inclusive growth was reported due to increased FDI inflow, Trade openness, financial development, and global tourism in all income groups (upper-middle and low). The decrease in inclusiveness resulted from increased inflation (all panels). The increase in inclusive growth was found to be a 1 % increase in Global tourism growth, FDI, financial development, and infrastructure index. The increase in the global inclusive growth was 0.522 %, 0.4 %, 0.016 %, 0.097 % and 4.287 % for a 1 % increase in Global tourism, trade openness, financial development index, foreign direct investment and infrastructure index., respectively. It is beneficial to encourage financial development in tourism to receive the economic advantages of tourism. Tourism is linked to the generation of foreign currency, enhancing a country's financial stability. Therefore, governments should increase investment in tourism, i.e. transportation, restaurants, and hotels. Ensuring an enabling environment for tourism-related businesses is recommended by eliminating unnecessary regulations and providing credit to small businesses. It is also recommended that tourism-related tax revenue be invested in infrastructural development. The governments should ensure a peaceful environment and quality of institutions. The availability of cultural resources and ICT can also attract tourists.
旅游业是一个价值万亿美元的产业,而可持续发展是近代旅游业发展的核心问题。可持续旅游业涵盖了社会、文化、经济和环境等方面的发展。旅游业的发展对发达经济体和发展中经济体都至关重要,因为旅游业具有乘数效应。旅游业显示出实现所有 17 个可持续发展目标(SDGs)的潜力。因此,本研究探讨了在高、中上、中低和低收入县促进可持续旅游业的社会经济因素。本研究还将探讨可持续旅游业对经济、能源和环境的影响。本研究开发了一种新颖的全球旅游指数,将国内旅游消费、政府对个人的支出、资本投资、旅游收入和旅游活动等因素纳入其中。该指数利用多种指标创建了基础设施指数,如获得清洁燃料和烹饪技术、获得电力、饮用水和基本卫生服务。由于存在横截面依赖性和斜率异质性,我们进行了第二代单位根和协整检验。回归分析采用两步差分 GMM 方法显示了选定指标对全球旅游业的影响。回归分析使用两步差分 GMM 显示了选定指标对清洁能源、包容性增长和环境的影响。据报告,包容性增长的增加是由于所有收入组别(中高收入组别和低收入组别)的外国直接投资流入、贸易开放度、金融发展和全球旅游业的增加。包容性下降的原因是通货膨胀加剧(所有小组)。全球旅游业增长、外国直接投资、金融发展和基础设施指数每增加 1%,包容性增长就会增加。全球旅游业、贸易开放度、金融发展指数、外国直接投资和基础设施指数每增长 1%,全球包容性增长的增幅分别为 0.522%、0.4%、0.016%、0.097%和 4.287%。鼓励旅游业的金融发展有利于获得旅游业的经济优势。旅游业与外汇收入息息相关,能增强国家的金融稳定性。因此,政府应增加对旅游业的投资,如交通、餐饮和酒店。建议通过取消不必要的规定和向小企业提供信贷,确保为旅游业相关企业创造有利环境。还建议将与旅游业相关的税收投资于基础设施建设。政府应确保和平的环境和机构的质量。文化资源和信息与传播技术也可以吸引游客。
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引用次数: 0
Does the disparity between rural and urban incomes affect rural energy poverty? 城乡收入差距是否影响农村能源贫困?
IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2024.101584
yinuo wang , Muhammad Umair , Assilova Aizhan , Vusala Teymurova , Lie Chang
The persistent disparity between urban and rural incomes in China poses a critical challenge to alleviating energy poverty in rural areas. This study investigates how the income gap between urban and rural regions exacerbates rural energy poverty, focusing on the period from 2005 to 2023, utilizing data from 30 provinces. By employing a two-way fixed-effects model and asymmetry analysis, the research reveals that an increase in the urban-rural income disparity significantly intensifies rural energy poverty. Notably, at higher income quantiles, the gap's effect on energy poverty is more pronounced, while at lower quantiles, its impact is less severe. Financial development, rather than alleviating the situation, is positively associated with rural energy poverty, highlighting an unintended consequence of unequal access to financial services. The results further show that rural regions with limited financial inclusion experience a deepening of energy poverty, with financial service accessibility benefiting wealthier demographics more than the impoverished rural population. These findings imply that targeted policies promoting equitable financial access, narrowing income disparities, and integrating energy poverty reduction strategies are essential to achieving China's Rural Revitalization Strategy.
中国持续存在的城乡收入差距对缓解农村地区的能源贫困提出了严峻挑战。本研究利用 30 个省份的数据,重点考察了 2005 年至 2023 年期间城乡收入差距如何加剧农村能源贫困。通过采用双向固定效应模型和不对称分析,研究揭示了城乡收入差距的扩大会显著加剧农村能源贫困。值得注意的是,在较高的收入分位数上,差距对能源贫困的影响更为明显,而在较低的分位数上,差距对能源贫困的影响则较小。金融发展非但没有缓解这种状况,反而与农村能源贫困呈正相关,凸显了金融服务不平等的意外后果。研究结果进一步表明,金融包容性有限的农村地区能源贫困程度加深,金融服务的可获得性使富裕人口比贫困农村人口受益更多。这些研究结果表明,促进金融服务公平可及、缩小收入差距、整合能源减贫战略的针对性政策对于实现中国的乡村振兴战略至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Pathways to innovation: How city pilots leverage digital technology to reduce carbon emissions 创新之路:城市试点如何利用数字技术减少碳排放
IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2024.101578
Zhen Jia , Xiaohui Yang , Fangfang Shi , Yan Xing
Technological innovation through various pathways is crucial for achieving carbon neutrality and peak carbon emissions. The Innovative City Pilot (ICP) initiative, a key effort to promote national innovation, has garnered increasing attention. However, most studies have not examined the effects of ICP on carbon emissions through diverse digital technologies. Using city-level data from 2000 to 2022, we constructed a staggered difference-in-differences (DID) model to analyze changes in carbon emissions before and after the ICP period in both ICP and non-ICP areas. The carbon emission reduction pathway of the ICP influences various forms of digital technology, which then empower local green product innovation, market-oriented innovation, and industrial innovation. The impact of ICP emission reduction through digital technology is more significant in western, first- and second-tier, sub-provincial, populous, and coastal cities. In conclusion, policymakers should tailor policies according to the action pathways of digital technology and specific city characteristics. We outline the specific pathways of green product innovation, market-oriented innovation, and industrial innovation enabled by digital technologies and provide policy recommendations for the sustainable development of China.
通过各种途径进行技术创新对于实现碳中和和碳排放峰值至关重要。创新型城市试点(ICP)计划是促进国家创新的一项重要工作,已引起越来越多的关注。然而,大多数研究并未考察 ICP 通过各种数字技术对碳排放的影响。利用 2000 年至 2022 年的城市级数据,我们构建了一个交错差分(DID)模型,分析了 ICP 和非 ICP 地区在 ICP 期前后的碳排放变化。ICP 的碳减排途径影响了各种形式的数字技术,进而推动了当地的绿色产品创新、市场导向创新和产业创新。数字技术对 ICP 减排的影响在西部、一二线、副省级、人口大市和沿海城市更为显著。总之,政策制定者应根据数字技术的行动路径和具体城市的特点制定相应的政策。我们概述了数字技术推动绿色产品创新、市场导向创新和产业创新的具体路径,并为中国的可持续发展提供了政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
An EnergyPlan analysis of electricity decarbonization in the CEMAC region 能源计划对中非经货共同体地区电力去碳化的分析
IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2024.101548
Cai Dongsheng , Ernest Zoa Ndifor , Alex-Oke Temidayo Olayinka , Chiagoziem C. Ukwuoma , Ali Shefik , Yihua Hu , Olusola Bamisile , Mustafa Dagbasi , Dilber Uzun Ozsahin , Humphrey Adun
The Central African Economic and Monetary Community (CEMAC) is at a pivotal juncture in its energy development, facing significant challenges such as increasing emissions and an unreliable energy supply that hampers economic progress. This study assesses the potential for integrating diverse renewable energy (RE) sources into the CEMAC grid, specifically focusing on river hydro, dam hydropower, onshore wind, and solar photovoltaics. Using the EnergyPlan tool, we conduct a dynamic one-year simulation to model energy dispatch on monthly and hourly scales. The modelling result indicates that achieving a 100 % electricity access in the CEMAC region by 2030 will require an annual electricity demand of 8.59 TWh. If this demand is fully met by natural gas (1143 MW), it will result in about 3.75 Mt of carbon emissions. The result shows that by implementing a mix of these renewable technologies in the proposed integrated grid system, the CEMAC region could reduce its carbon emissions by up to 48.7 % relative to using a single RE source in the grid, with annual renewable electricity production of 4.19 TWh/year. Also, by maximising the RE potential from each CEMAC region, there is 49 % RE integration in the proposed integrated grid, with the highest RE share from hydro. This study quantitatively shows that the proposed synchronized regional grid incorporating these renewable sources could enhance electricity reliability and further reduce emissions in the CEMAC region. This research also highlights the transformative potential of RE in achieving sustainable and cost-effective energy solutions for CEMAC, setting a roadmap towards a resilient energy future by 2050.
中部非洲经济和货币共同体(CEMAC)正处于能源发展的关键时刻,面临着排放增加和能源供应不可靠等重大挑战,阻碍了经济发展。本研究评估了将各种可再生能源(RE)纳入中非经货共同体电网的潜力,特别关注河流水力发电、大坝水力发电、陆上风力发电和太阳能光伏发电。利用 EnergyPlan 工具,我们进行了为期一年的动态模拟,建立了以月和小时为单位的能源调度模型。模拟结果表明,到 2030 年,中非经货共同体地区要实现 100%的电力供应,每年需要 8.59 太瓦时的电力需求。如果完全使用天然气(1143 兆瓦)来满足这一需求,将产生约 375 万吨的碳排放量。结果表明,通过在拟议的综合电网系统中混合使用这些可再生能源技术,中非经货共同体地区的碳排放量可比在电网中使用单一可再生能源减少 48.7%,可再生能源年发电量为 4.19 太瓦时/年。此外,通过最大限度地发挥中非经货共同体各地区的可再生能源潜力,拟议的一体化电网中的可再生能源整合率为 49%,其中水电的可再生能源比例最高。这项研究从数量上表明,拟议的区域同步电网纳入了这些可再生能源,可以提高中非经货共同体地区的电力可靠性,并进一步减少排放。这项研究还凸显了可再生能源在实现中非经货共同体可持续和具有成本效益的能源解决方案方面的变革潜力,为到 2050 年实现弹性能源未来制定了路线图。
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引用次数: 0
Regional digital infrastructure and carbon neutrality: A technology–structure–efficiency perspective 区域数字基础设施与碳中和:技术-结构-效率视角
IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2024.101583
Fengxiu Zhou , Lei Li , Huwei Wen
The synergistic development of digital transformation and carbon neutrality is a key path to global sustainable development. This study utilized the Broadband China pilot policy and a multi-period Difference-in-Differences (DID) design to comprehensively evaluate the impact of digital infrastructure on carbon neutrality using panel data from 291 prefecture-level cities in China from 2008 to 2021. The results indicate that regional digital infrastructure contributed to carbon neutralization innovation, carbon-intensive industry innovation, and carbon-emission efficiency in the pilot areas. This held true after analyzing the results with propensity score matching, coarsened exact matching, robust estimators, and instrumental variable regression. Specifically, the results of the mediation effect model indicate that digital infrastructure promotes the process of carbon neutrality through several mechanisms, including promoting the rationalization of industrial structure, promoting digital economic development, and inducing innovation in digital technology. In addition, cities with better economic development, lower resource dependence, and weaker environmental constraints have a greater carbon neutrality dividend effect from regional digital infrastructure. These findings indicate a need to optimize policies to unleash the dividends of digital infrastructure in carbon neutrality, which can drive technological, structural, and efficiency changes through digital empowerment. In addition, cities with heterogeneous endowments need to develop targeted measures.
数字化转型与碳中和的协同发展是实现全球可持续发展的关键路径。本研究利用 "宽带中国 "试点政策和多期差分法(DID)设计,使用中国291个地级市2008-2021年的面板数据,全面评估了数字基础设施对碳中和的影响。结果表明,区域数字基础设施促进了试点地区的碳中和创新、碳密集型产业创新和碳排放效率。在使用倾向得分匹配、粗略精确匹配、稳健估计器和工具变量回归分析结果后,这一结论依然成立。具体而言,中介效应模型的结果表明,数字基础设施通过促进产业结构合理化、推动数字经济发展、诱导数字技术创新等几种机制推动碳中和进程。此外,经济发展较好、资源依赖度较低、环境约束较弱的城市,其区域数字基础设施带来的碳中和红利效应更大。这些发现表明,有必要优化政策,释放数字基础设施在碳中和方面的红利,通过数字赋能推动技术、结构和效率变革。此外,具有不同禀赋的城市需要制定有针对性的措施。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the advancement of sustainable development objectives in recently industrialized nations by tying gold prices, fossil fuel prices, and energy use 将黄金价格、化石燃料价格和能源使用联系起来,评估近期工业化国家可持续发展目标的推进情况
IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2024.101575
Tiancheng Xu , Chun Feng , Esmira Guluzada , Chen Chao
Rapid industrialization in recently industrialized countries (NICs) has exacerbated environmental degradation, raising urgent concerns about how energy consumption, gold prices, and fossil fuel prices contribute to this growing issue. This study aims to evaluate the asymmetric relationships between these factors and environmental degradation across 10 NICs, including Brazil, India, South Korea, Mexico, Indonesia, Turkey, Thailand, South Africa, Malaysia, and the Philippines, from 1995 to 2023. Using the CS-ARDL model, our study demonstrates that while energy costs and renewable energy consumption reduce environmental degradation, gold prices and fossil fuel consumption significantly increase ecological harm. Additionally, the study employs FGLS, CS-DL, AMG, and Driscoll-Kray to verify the robustness of these findings. Notably, the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis holds true in these economies. Key results show that a 1 % increase in renewable energy use decreases emissions by 0.7 %, while a 1 % rise in gold prices correlates with a 0.5 % increase in pollution levels. These findings underscore the need for NICs to implement green investments, promote renewable energy, and initiate structural reforms to ensure sustainable development.
近代工业化国家(NICs)的快速工业化加剧了环境退化,引发了人们对能源消耗、黄金价格和化石燃料价格如何导致这一日益严重问题的迫切关注。本研究旨在评估巴西、印度、韩国、墨西哥、印度尼西亚、土耳其、泰国、南非、马来西亚和菲律宾等 10 个新工业化国家在 1995 年至 2023 年期间这些因素与环境退化之间的不对称关系。利用 CS-ARDL 模型,我们的研究表明,虽然能源成本和可再生能源消费减少了环境退化,但黄金价格和化石燃料消费却显著增加了生态危害。此外,研究还采用了 FGLS、CS-DL、AMG 和 Driscoll-Kray 来验证这些结论的稳健性。值得注意的是,环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假设在这些经济体中成立。主要结果显示,可再生能源使用每增加 1%,排放量就会减少 0.7%,而金价每上涨 1%,污染水平就会增加 0.5%。这些研究结果突出表明,新工业化国家需要实施绿色投资、推广可再生能源并启动结构改革,以确保可持续发展。
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引用次数: 0
Portfolio effects in green hydrogen production under temporal matching requirements 时间匹配要求下绿色制氢的组合效应
IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2024.101580
M. Nieves Casas Ferrús , Oliver Ruhnau , Reinhard Madlener
This article investigates temporal matching requirements between electrolytic hydrogen production and dedicated renewable electricity generation for the hydrogen to qualify as “green”. In contrast to previous studies, which found that a more granular matching increases production costs, we study cost advantages for hourly matching through technological and spatial diversification. To this end, we develop and apply a linear cost-optimization model to quantify the resulting portfolio effects. We identify two types of portfolio effects, “technological” and “locational” ones, and quantify these for different portfolio sizes and types of power generation technologies in Germany. Portfolio effects turn out to be in the range of 3–8% when aggregating two locations, and up to 21 % for a nation-wide portfolio. Finally, we discuss the implications of our findings in terms of discrimination against small players and for the modeling of temporal matching requirements.
本文研究了电解氢气生产与专用可再生能源发电之间的时间匹配要求,以使氢气符合 "绿色 "标准。以往的研究发现,更精细的匹配会增加生产成本,与此不同,我们研究了通过技术和空间多样化实现每小时匹配的成本优势。为此,我们开发并应用了一个线性成本优化模型来量化由此产生的组合效应。我们确定了两种类型的组合效应,即 "技术 "效应和 "地点 "效应,并针对德国不同的组合规模和发电技术类型对其进行了量化。结果表明,当两个地点的组合效应为 3-8% 时,全国范围内的组合效应可达 21%。最后,我们讨论了我们的研究结果对小型参与者的歧视以及对时间匹配要求建模的影响。
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Energy Strategy Reviews
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