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Energy consumption, technological innovation, and economic growth in BRICS: A GMM panel VAR framework analysis 金砖国家的能源消耗、技术创新和经济增长:GMM 面板 VAR 框架分析
IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2024.101587
Muhammad Khalid Anser , Sajid Ali , Muhammad Umair , Rubab Javid , Sanjar Mirzaliev
The growing interdependence between environmental resources, financial development, technological advancements, and energy consumption poses significant challenges for sustainable growth in emerging economies. This study investigates these dynamics in the BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) from 1990 to 2023 using the GMM panel VAR framework, with the aim of understanding how these factors interact and shape economic outcomes. The analysis shows that environmental rents positively impact financial growth, countering the traditional "resource curse" belief. Technological innovation is negatively linked to both economic growth and environmental sustainability, while energy consumption is positively correlated with economic growth and exhibits a weak correlation with the environment. Furthermore, primary energy consumption is strongly connected to resource utilization and financial growth, although technological advancements negatively affect this relationship. Causality tests reveal mutual influences between energy consumption and technological innovation, alongside unidirectional effects of natural resources on financial and technological growth. Policy implications underscore the need for BRICS nations to balance resource management and technological progress to foster sustainable economic and environmental development.
环境资源、金融发展、技术进步和能源消耗之间日益相互依存,给新兴经济体的可持续增长带来了重大挑战。本研究利用 GMM 面板 VAR 框架研究了金砖国家(巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国和南非)从 1990 年到 2023 年的这些动态变化,旨在了解这些因素如何相互作用并影响经济结果。分析表明,环境租金对金融增长有积极影响,这与传统的 "资源诅咒 "观点相反。技术创新与经济增长和环境可持续性都呈负相关,而能源消耗与经济增长呈正相关,与环境的相关性较弱。此外,一次能源消耗量与资源利用率和财政增长密切相关,尽管技术进步对这种关系产生了负面影响。因果检验显示,能源消耗与技术创新之间存在相互影响,自然资源对金融和技术增长也存在单向影响。政策影响强调金砖国家需要平衡资源管理和技术进步,以促进经济和环境的可持续发展。
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引用次数: 0
Carbon footprint valuation of Bangladesh transportation under environmental regulations 环境法规下的孟加拉国运输碳足迹评估
IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2024.101576
Guangwei Zhang, Muhammad Yousaf Raza, Li Dong-sheng
The study detects and analyzes the driving factors underlying the CO2 emission variations in the transport sector of Bangladesh, including the carbon coefficient, fossil fuel ratio, energy use per unit turnover, turnover per unit of transport value-added, and value-added of transport from 2003 to 2021. The objective is to analyze the transportation (i.e., land, water and air) factor's effects under the logarithmic mean Divisia index, Tapio index, CO2 mitigation potential methods, and their decouplings. The results show that: (i) value-added was the main CO2 driving factor, while CO2 coefficient, fuel substitution, energy use, and turnover value mitigated CO2 emissions. (ii) Land and water transport seemed to be the main CO2 producers and meaningfully contributed to the economy. (iii) Only two decoupling states─weak decoupling and strong decoupling appeared, in which economic growth was the significant turn towards the best state. (iv) Sub-transportation presented significant and strong decouplings in the maximum intervals. (iv) The carbon mitigation rate was observed at 0.26 % during the period in which the economic structural factor was the main factor contributing to declining CO2 emissions. Finally, the study proposes frameworks that will support policymakers in estimating energy and technological policies for climate and economic sustainability.
本研究发现并分析了孟加拉国运输部门二氧化碳排放量变化的驱动因素,包括 2003 年至 2021 年期间的碳系数、化石燃料比率、单位营业额能源使用量、单位运输增值营业额和运输增值。目的是分析迪维西亚指数对数平均值、塔皮奥指数、二氧化碳减排潜力方法及其解耦作用下的交通(即陆路、水路和航空)因素的影响。结果表明(i) 附加值是主要的二氧化碳驱动因素,而二氧化碳系数、燃料替代、能源使用和营业额则可减轻二氧化碳排放。(ii) 陆路和水路运输似乎是主要的二氧化碳产生者,并对经济做出了有意义的贡献。(iii) 只出现了两种脱钩状态--弱脱钩和强脱钩,其中经济增长是向最佳状态的重要转折。(iv) 在最大区间内,次级运输出现了明显的强脱钩。(iv) 在经济结构因素成为二氧化碳排放量下降的主要因素期间,碳减排率为 0.26%。最后,本研究提出了一些框架,这些框架将支持政策制定者估算能源和技术政策,以实现气候和经济的可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
Gender and authorship in energy studies: Is there an impact? 能源研究中的性别与作者身份:有影响吗?
IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2024.101581
Péter Vakhal , Kateryna Yakovenko , Matúš Mišík , Veronika Oravcová , Raffaele Mattera
Although gender inequality has been examined and debated as one of the most prominent challenges within the scientific community, relatively little attention has been paid to gender differences with regard to authorship. The aim of this paper is to identify whether gender differences exist with respect to the impact factors of the journals in which male and female authors publish their research. Existing studies use machine-assisted tools to determine author gender. Given the limitations of this type of approach to data collection and coding, we opted for a manual approach that ensured both the inclusion of a high number of journals and greater precision in determining author gender. This paper focuses on authors who published articles on a concrete area of research (energy) in a specific region (Central and Eastern Europe) over a 14-year period (2004–2017). Our study identified a gender bias within energy-related research: male authors (or male-dominated teams) publish more often and on average in journals with higher impact factors than female authors.
尽管性别不平等已作为科学界最突出的挑战之一受到研究和讨论,但人们对作者身份方面的性别差异关注相对较少。本文旨在确定男女作者发表研究成果的期刊影响因子是否存在性别差异。现有研究使用机器辅助工具来确定作者性别。鉴于这种数据收集和编码方法的局限性,我们选择了人工方法,这样既能确保纳入大量期刊,又能更精确地确定作者性别。本文重点关注在 14 年内(2004-2017 年)在特定地区(中东欧)发表具体研究领域(能源)文章的作者。我们的研究发现了能源相关研究中的性别偏见:与女性作者相比,男性作者(或男性主导的团队)在影响因子更高的期刊上发表文章的频率更高,平均影响因子也更高。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of different renewable electricity diffusion paths and restricted european cooperation on Europe's hydrogen supply 不同的可再生能源电力传播途径和受限的欧洲合作对欧洲氢气供应的影响
IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2024.101589
Benjamin Lux , Miriam Frömel , Gustav Resch , Florian Hasengst , Frank Sensfuß
Today, most hydrogen production is based on natural gas and occurs locally at the demand sites. However, according to many studies, hydrogen generation will shift to greenhouse gas (GHG)-neutral sources and supply, substantially increasing demands to meet ambitious climate protection targets in the European Union. Therefore, the model-based analysis in this paper addresses where hydrogen will come from in a GHG-neutral target system. A scenario study examines different expansion paths of renewable energy generation technologies and variations in European cooperation regarding energy trading. The model results show that a domestic European hydrogen supply strategy is cost-efficient. This result is robust even with higher self-sufficiency shares of individual countries. However, delayed or restricted expansions of renewable electricity generation technologies lead to increased hydrogen demands for power generation and increased pipeline-bound hydrogen imports in winter from the Middle East and North Africa in the model results. Furthermore, scenarios with higher photovoltaic shares exhibit increased demand for hydrogen storage for seasonal energy supply and demand balancing and increased hydrogen demands for power generation. A cost-efficient hydrogen supply strategy should, therefore, particularly focus on the expansion of onshore wind energy and hydrogen supply technologies in Europe and strengthen European cooperation for energy supply infrastructures.
目前,大多数氢气生产都以天然气为基础,并在需求地本地进行。然而,根据许多研究,氢气生产将转向温室气体(GHG)中性来源和供应,从而大幅增加需求,以满足欧盟雄心勃勃的气候保护目标。因此,本文基于模型的分析探讨了氢气在温室气体中性目标系统中的来源。一项情景研究考察了可再生能源发电技术的不同扩展路径以及欧洲在能源交易方面的合作变化。模型结果表明,欧洲国内氢供应战略具有成本效益。即使个别国家的自给率较高,这一结果也是稳健的。然而,在模型结果中,可再生能源发电技术的延迟或限制性扩展导致发电对氢气的需求增加,以及冬季从中东和北非进口的管道氢气增加。此外,在光伏发电比例较高的情况下,为平衡季节性能源供需,对氢气储存的需求会增加,发电对氢气的需求也会增加。因此,具有成本效益的氢供应战略应特别注重在欧洲扩大陆上风能和氢供应技术,并加强欧洲在能源供应基础设施方面的合作。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of economic policy uncertainty, renewable energy adoption, and eco-innovation on sectoral CO₂ emissions in the United States 美国经济政策的不确定性、可再生能源的采用以及生态创新对部门二氧化碳排放量的影响
IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2024.101593
Peng Zhang , Yuye Xiao , Shah zaib , Nasir khan
In 2022, emitting 4.8 billion metric tonnes of carbon dioxide (CO2), the United States ranked as the global second-biggest polluter. In order to address this, the US has set a specific target of reducing net carbon dioxide emissions by 50–52 % from the peak of 2006 by 2030. For this reason, identifying the most important elements that will help achieve the SDGs is of the utmost importance. This study looked at how the relationships between green energy transitions (ET), ecological innovation (EI), economic policy uncertainty (EPU), energy consumption (EU), economic growth (EG), and sectoral CO₂ emissions changed from 1982 to 2022. It used advanced Quantile-on-Quantile Regression (QQR) and Quantiles Granger Causality test (QGC). The result highlights a positive correlation between overall sectoral CO2 quantiles and ET quantiles. In the lowest to upper quantiles, EI and sectoral CO2 are slightly positive; however, in the 0.2–0.95 quantiles, the rising slope values demonstrate that EPU affects SCO2. In a similar vein, sectoral CO2 and energy consumption exhibited mixed results across quantiles, while the QQR slope values for sectoral CO2 and economic growth exhibited mixed results throughout quantiles as well. It is crucial to make investments in ET and ecological innovation in order to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals-7 by 2030. This will reduce EPU and ensure that all sectors have access to energy.
2022 年,美国的二氧化碳排放量为 48 亿吨,位居全球第二大污染国。为解决这一问题,美国制定了一个具体目标,即到 2030 年,将二氧化碳净排放量从 2006 年的峰值减少 50-52%。因此,确定有助于实现可持续发展目标的最重要因素至关重要。本研究探讨了从 1982 年到 2022 年,绿色能源转型(ET)、生态创新(EI)、经济政策不确定性(EPU)、能源消耗(EU)、经济增长(EG)和部门二氧化碳排放量之间的关系是如何变化的。研究采用了先进的量化对量化回归(QQR)和量化格兰杰因果检验(QGC)。结果表明,部门二氧化碳总量位数与排放总量位数之间存在正相关关系。在最低至较高的量值范围内,EI 和部门二氧化碳略呈正相关;然而,在 0.2-0.95 量值范围内,斜率值的上升表明 EPU 会影响 SCO2。同样,部门二氧化碳和能源消耗在不同的量化值中表现出不同的结果,而部门二氧化碳和经济增长的 QQR 斜率值在不同的量化值中也表现出不同的结果。为了到 2030 年实现可持续发展目标 7,对环境技术和生态创新进行投资至关重要。这将降低 EPU,并确保所有部门都能获得能源。
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引用次数: 0
Renewable energy in the mining industry: Status, opportunities and challenges
IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2024.101597
Xuexian Li , Qinghua Gu , Qian Wang , Jiale Luo , Di Liu , Yu Chang
Currently, the mining sector is confronted with declining ore grades, volatile energy prices, and environmental pollution from massive carbon emissions. Due to the advantages of RE in terms of emission reduction and cost, some mining companies are actively exploring integrating RE in production to alleviate these challenges. At the same time, the integration of RE in mining sites also faces many obstacles. This paper highlights the importance of incorporating RE into mining projects through a comprehensive review of existing research and analyzes the opportunities and challenges from multiple perspectives. Finally, the conclusions summarize the gaps in existing work and provide appropriate recommendations. The paper aims to inform and provide implications for the transition to RE practices in the mining industry.
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引用次数: 0
Examining the impact of tourism on carbon neutrality and environmental sustainability in China: The role of renewable energy 研究旅游业对中国碳中和与环境可持续性的影响:可再生能源的作用
IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2024.101579
Weiyi Zhang , Jia Cuijing , Zhixiang Liu , Pinfan He , Enle Wuhao
The increasing effects of climate change have prompted the initiation of various programs aimed at achieving carbon neutrality and environmental sustainability. Tourism, through activities such as air travel and hotel stay, significantly contributes to global warming. This study examines the relationship between carbon emissions and tourism in China, using data from 1990 to 2022, and applies the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach to estimate both long-run and short-run coefficients. The results indicate that tourism exacerbates the challenges China faces in achieving carbon neutrality, with long-term carbon emissions being positively correlated with the number of travelers, fossil fuel energy consumption, economic growth, financial development, gross fixed capital formation, and population growth. However, a negative correlation is observed between carbon emissions and the use of renewable energy. These findings are further validated through Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS), Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS), and Canonical Cointegration Regression (CCR) techniques. The study suggests that enhancing the use of renewable energy is crucial for developing sustainable tourism practices and aiding China in its efforts to reach carbon neutrality.
气候变化的影响与日俱增,促使人们发起各种旨在实现碳中和与环境可持续性的计划。旅游业通过航空旅行和酒店住宿等活动极大地加剧了全球变暖。本研究利用 1990 年至 2022 年的数据研究了中国碳排放与旅游业之间的关系,并采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)方法估计了长期和短期系数。结果表明,旅游业加剧了中国实现碳中和所面临的挑战,长期碳排放量与旅游人数、化石燃料能源消耗、经济增长、金融发展、固定资本形成总额和人口增长呈正相关。然而,碳排放与可再生能源的使用之间呈负相关。这些发现通过完全修正普通最小二乘法(FMOLS)、动态普通最小二乘法(DOLS)和卡农协整回归(CCR)技术得到了进一步验证。研究表明,加强可再生能源的使用对于发展可持续旅游业和帮助中国实现碳中和至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Socio-economic determinants of sustainable tourism and their nexus with energy, environment, and economy (3ES): A panel data analysis 可持续旅游业的社会经济决定因素及其与能源、环境和经济(3ES)的关系:面板数据分析
IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2024.101577
Yuxi Zhang , Qamar Ali
Tourism is a trillion-dollar industry, and sustainable development is a core issue in tourism development in the recent era. Sustainable tourism covers development's social, cultural, economic, and environmental aspects. Tourism development is essential for developed and developing economies because it has a multiplier effect. Tourism showed the potential to attain all 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Therefore, this study explores the socioeconomic factors of promoting sustainable tourism in the high, upper-middle, low-middle-, and low-income counties. This study will also explore the effect of sustainable tourism on the economy, energy, and environment. A novel worldwide tourism index is developed, incorporating factors such as domestic tourism consumption, government spending on individuals, capital investment, tourist revenue, and tourism activity. It creates an infrastructure index using multiple indicators like access to clean fuels and technologies for cooking, access to electricity, drinking water, and essential sanitation services. The proposed period for the selected variable will be 1990–2022. therefore, we conducted second-generational unit root and cointegration tests due to the chances of cross-sectional dependence and slope heterogeneity. The regression analysis shows the impact of selected indicators on global tourism using a two-step difference GMM. The regression analysis shows the effect of selected indicators on clean energy, inclusive growth and environment using a two-step difference GMM. The increase in inclusive growth was reported due to increased FDI inflow, Trade openness, financial development, and global tourism in all income groups (upper-middle and low). The decrease in inclusiveness resulted from increased inflation (all panels). The increase in inclusive growth was found to be a 1 % increase in Global tourism growth, FDI, financial development, and infrastructure index. The increase in the global inclusive growth was 0.522 %, 0.4 %, 0.016 %, 0.097 % and 4.287 % for a 1 % increase in Global tourism, trade openness, financial development index, foreign direct investment and infrastructure index., respectively. It is beneficial to encourage financial development in tourism to receive the economic advantages of tourism. Tourism is linked to the generation of foreign currency, enhancing a country's financial stability. Therefore, governments should increase investment in tourism, i.e. transportation, restaurants, and hotels. Ensuring an enabling environment for tourism-related businesses is recommended by eliminating unnecessary regulations and providing credit to small businesses. It is also recommended that tourism-related tax revenue be invested in infrastructural development. The governments should ensure a peaceful environment and quality of institutions. The availability of cultural resources and ICT can also attract tourists.
旅游业是一个价值万亿美元的产业,而可持续发展是近代旅游业发展的核心问题。可持续旅游业涵盖了社会、文化、经济和环境等方面的发展。旅游业的发展对发达经济体和发展中经济体都至关重要,因为旅游业具有乘数效应。旅游业显示出实现所有 17 个可持续发展目标(SDGs)的潜力。因此,本研究探讨了在高、中上、中低和低收入县促进可持续旅游业的社会经济因素。本研究还将探讨可持续旅游业对经济、能源和环境的影响。本研究开发了一种新颖的全球旅游指数,将国内旅游消费、政府对个人的支出、资本投资、旅游收入和旅游活动等因素纳入其中。该指数利用多种指标创建了基础设施指数,如获得清洁燃料和烹饪技术、获得电力、饮用水和基本卫生服务。由于存在横截面依赖性和斜率异质性,我们进行了第二代单位根和协整检验。回归分析采用两步差分 GMM 方法显示了选定指标对全球旅游业的影响。回归分析使用两步差分 GMM 显示了选定指标对清洁能源、包容性增长和环境的影响。据报告,包容性增长的增加是由于所有收入组别(中高收入组别和低收入组别)的外国直接投资流入、贸易开放度、金融发展和全球旅游业的增加。包容性下降的原因是通货膨胀加剧(所有小组)。全球旅游业增长、外国直接投资、金融发展和基础设施指数每增加 1%,包容性增长就会增加。全球旅游业、贸易开放度、金融发展指数、外国直接投资和基础设施指数每增长 1%,全球包容性增长的增幅分别为 0.522%、0.4%、0.016%、0.097%和 4.287%。鼓励旅游业的金融发展有利于获得旅游业的经济优势。旅游业与外汇收入息息相关,能增强国家的金融稳定性。因此,政府应增加对旅游业的投资,如交通、餐饮和酒店。建议通过取消不必要的规定和向小企业提供信贷,确保为旅游业相关企业创造有利环境。还建议将与旅游业相关的税收投资于基础设施建设。政府应确保和平的环境和机构的质量。文化资源和信息与传播技术也可以吸引游客。
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引用次数: 0
Does the disparity between rural and urban incomes affect rural energy poverty? 城乡收入差距是否影响农村能源贫困?
IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2024.101584
yinuo wang , Muhammad Umair , Assilova Aizhan , Vusala Teymurova , Lie Chang
The persistent disparity between urban and rural incomes in China poses a critical challenge to alleviating energy poverty in rural areas. This study investigates how the income gap between urban and rural regions exacerbates rural energy poverty, focusing on the period from 2005 to 2023, utilizing data from 30 provinces. By employing a two-way fixed-effects model and asymmetry analysis, the research reveals that an increase in the urban-rural income disparity significantly intensifies rural energy poverty. Notably, at higher income quantiles, the gap's effect on energy poverty is more pronounced, while at lower quantiles, its impact is less severe. Financial development, rather than alleviating the situation, is positively associated with rural energy poverty, highlighting an unintended consequence of unequal access to financial services. The results further show that rural regions with limited financial inclusion experience a deepening of energy poverty, with financial service accessibility benefiting wealthier demographics more than the impoverished rural population. These findings imply that targeted policies promoting equitable financial access, narrowing income disparities, and integrating energy poverty reduction strategies are essential to achieving China's Rural Revitalization Strategy.
中国持续存在的城乡收入差距对缓解农村地区的能源贫困提出了严峻挑战。本研究利用 30 个省份的数据,重点考察了 2005 年至 2023 年期间城乡收入差距如何加剧农村能源贫困。通过采用双向固定效应模型和不对称分析,研究揭示了城乡收入差距的扩大会显著加剧农村能源贫困。值得注意的是,在较高的收入分位数上,差距对能源贫困的影响更为明显,而在较低的分位数上,差距对能源贫困的影响则较小。金融发展非但没有缓解这种状况,反而与农村能源贫困呈正相关,凸显了金融服务不平等的意外后果。研究结果进一步表明,金融包容性有限的农村地区能源贫困程度加深,金融服务的可获得性使富裕人口比贫困农村人口受益更多。这些研究结果表明,促进金融服务公平可及、缩小收入差距、整合能源减贫战略的针对性政策对于实现中国的乡村振兴战略至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Pathways to innovation: How city pilots leverage digital technology to reduce carbon emissions 创新之路:城市试点如何利用数字技术减少碳排放
IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2024.101578
Zhen Jia , Xiaohui Yang , Fangfang Shi , Yan Xing
Technological innovation through various pathways is crucial for achieving carbon neutrality and peak carbon emissions. The Innovative City Pilot (ICP) initiative, a key effort to promote national innovation, has garnered increasing attention. However, most studies have not examined the effects of ICP on carbon emissions through diverse digital technologies. Using city-level data from 2000 to 2022, we constructed a staggered difference-in-differences (DID) model to analyze changes in carbon emissions before and after the ICP period in both ICP and non-ICP areas. The carbon emission reduction pathway of the ICP influences various forms of digital technology, which then empower local green product innovation, market-oriented innovation, and industrial innovation. The impact of ICP emission reduction through digital technology is more significant in western, first- and second-tier, sub-provincial, populous, and coastal cities. In conclusion, policymakers should tailor policies according to the action pathways of digital technology and specific city characteristics. We outline the specific pathways of green product innovation, market-oriented innovation, and industrial innovation enabled by digital technologies and provide policy recommendations for the sustainable development of China.
通过各种途径进行技术创新对于实现碳中和和碳排放峰值至关重要。创新型城市试点(ICP)计划是促进国家创新的一项重要工作,已引起越来越多的关注。然而,大多数研究并未考察 ICP 通过各种数字技术对碳排放的影响。利用 2000 年至 2022 年的城市级数据,我们构建了一个交错差分(DID)模型,分析了 ICP 和非 ICP 地区在 ICP 期前后的碳排放变化。ICP 的碳减排途径影响了各种形式的数字技术,进而推动了当地的绿色产品创新、市场导向创新和产业创新。数字技术对 ICP 减排的影响在西部、一二线、副省级、人口大市和沿海城市更为显著。总之,政策制定者应根据数字技术的行动路径和具体城市的特点制定相应的政策。我们概述了数字技术推动绿色产品创新、市场导向创新和产业创新的具体路径,并为中国的可持续发展提供了政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
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