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Gradient-based identification of hydraulic resistance for optimal pump control in meshed district heating network 基于梯度的网格集中供热管网泵最优控制液压阻力辨识
IF 9.4 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-02-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2026.140205
Zhikai Liu , Ting Dai , Lian Zhang , Xin Xu , Qi Zhang , Yaran Wang , Feng Tao
Accurate hydraulic resistance is essential for optimal pump control in meshed district heating networks (DHNs). However, actual resistances often deviate from design values due to pipeline aging, corrosion, or topology changes, which can reduce control effectiveness. Identifying hydraulic resistance is further complicated by the underdetermined nature of the network, as measurements are typically available only at heating substations, while the number of pipelines far exceeds the number of observable nodes in the absence of additional sensors. To address this issue, a physics-constrained gradient descent-based identification framework is proposed. Hydraulic resistance is iteratively updated using gradient descent with analytically derived gradients, relying only on pressure data under multiple operating conditions. A loss function is first defined to quantify discrepancies between observed and simulated pressures, and its analytical gradient with respect to normalized resistance is derived. The estimated resistance converges to consistent and stable equivalent values across a wide range of perturbation levels. These identified resistances effectively capture the hydraulic behavior of the network and form the basis for the optimal pump control (OPC) strategy proposed in this study. Compared to the constant pressure difference control (CPDC) strategy, the OPC strategy can save approximately 10.4% of pumping energy during the heating period.
准确的水力阻力是网格集中供热网(dhs)优化泵控制的关键。然而,由于管道老化、腐蚀或拓扑变化,实际电阻往往会偏离设计值,从而降低控制效果。由于管网的性质不确定,确定水力阻力的工作变得更加复杂,因为通常只能在供热变电站进行测量,而在没有额外传感器的情况下,管道的数量远远超过可观察到的节点的数量。为了解决这一问题,提出了一种基于物理约束梯度下降的识别框架。利用梯度下降和解析导出的梯度迭代更新水力阻力,仅依赖于多种工况下的压力数据。首先定义损失函数来量化观测压力和模拟压力之间的差异,并推导出其相对于归一化阻力的分析梯度。估计的电阻在大范围的扰动水平上收敛到一致和稳定的等效值。这些确定的阻力有效地捕获了网络的水力行为,并构成了本研究中提出的最优泵控制(OPC)策略的基础。与恒压差控制(CPDC)策略相比,OPC策略在采暖期间可节省约10.4%的泵送能量。
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引用次数: 0
A study on direct in-cylinder methanol-reforming strategy for performance enhancement of rotary engines 提高旋转发动机性能的直接缸内甲醇重整策略研究
IF 9.4 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2026.140268
Yonghao Zeng , Baowei Fan , Haidong Yang , Jianfeng Pan , Chao Jiang , Wenming Yang
Methanol, a promising low-carbon alternative fuel synthesized via CO2 hydrogenation, enhances combustion efficiency in internal combustion engines due to its high oxygen content and rapid flame propagation. To further leverage its potential, fuel reforming technology is employed to generate hydrogen-rich gas. Nevertheless, studies on in-cylinder reforming for rotary engines are notably scarce. In response, this study develops a novel in-cylinder methanol reforming method, which utilizes the high-temperature and low-oxygen conditions during the end of the combustion stroke to produce hydrogen. The hydrogen is introduced into the next working cycle through exhaust gas recirculation (EGR). This research systematically examines how reformate injection position and angle affect reforming efficiency and combustion performance. The results indicate that injection position and angle determine the distribution of methanol across different temperature-pressure regions in the cylinder, significantly influencing reforming efficiency. In addition, the distribution of reforming hydrogen in the exhaust stage significantly determines the quality of hydrogen available for the next cycle, thereby enhancing the efficiency of pure-methanol rotary engines. According to the simulation results, when applying methanol reforming technology in jet ignition methanol rotary engines, it is recommended to place the reforming fuel nozzle on the cylinder block 40 mm away from the long axis, with an injection angle of −20°.
甲醇是一种很有前途的低碳替代燃料,它通过二氧化碳加氢合成,由于其高氧含量和快速的火焰传播,提高了内燃机的燃烧效率。为了进一步发挥其潜力,采用燃料重整技术生产富氢气体。然而,关于旋转发动机缸内重整的研究却非常少。为此,本研究开发了一种新的缸内甲醇重整方法,该方法利用燃烧行程结束时的高温低氧条件产生氢气。氢气通过废气再循环(EGR)进入下一个工作循环。本文系统地考察了重整喷射位置和角度对重整效率和燃烧性能的影响。结果表明,喷射位置和喷射角度决定了甲醇在缸内不同温度-压力区域的分布,对重整效率有显著影响。此外,排气段重整氢的分布显著地决定了下一个循环可用氢的质量,从而提高了纯甲醇旋转发动机的效率。仿真结果表明,在喷燃式甲醇旋转发动机中应用甲醇重整技术时,建议将重整燃油喷嘴放置在距长轴40mm的缸体上,喷射角为- 20°。
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引用次数: 0
Heat-reflective technology for cold-region roads: Mechanisms, materials, performance and life-cycle perspectives 寒冷地区道路的热反射技术:机制、材料、性能和生命周期观点
IF 9.4 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2026.140104
Jiwei Wang , Xiangtian Xu , Mingyi Zhang , Yuhang Liu , Ruiqiang Bai , Yongtao Wang , Wansheng Pei , Xiangbing Kong
Heat-reflective technologies reduce solar heat gains of asphalt surfaces and can contribute to energy-efficient, low-carbon transport systems. Their relevance is amplified for cold-region highways, where disturbed surface energy exchange can accelerate permafrost warming and intensify freeze-thaw distress. However, the evidence base remains dispersed and often fails to connect optical engineering with roadway performance and life-cycle implications. This review synthesizes laboratory measurements, outdoor-model experiments, and field monitoring through a surface-energy-balance framework, covering coating and material systems, spectral-property characterization, cooling effectiveness, functional performance, and life-cycle assessment considerations. Reported datasets consistently indicate that increasing albedo yields a monotonic, often near-linear, reduction in surface temperature and radiation indices, with measurable cooling in shallow pavement layers. Among deployable options, coating-based solutions dominate current practice, particularly multilayer epoxy or acrylic matrices formulated with near-infrared selective pigments. Evidence underscores the roles of binder chemistry and surface texturing in resisting aging. Their benefits are strongly modulated by embankment slope and aspect, which govern short-wave radiation. Functional outcomes show systematic trade-offs: lower operating temperature can improve rutting resistance and moisture sealing, whereas skid resistance, adhesion, and optical retention depend on surface texture, freeze-thaw exposure, snowplowing abrasion, and de-icing chemicals. Based on these insights, we propose a cold-region evaluation framework and research priorities including standardized spectral sensing, predictive optical-aging models, coupled thermo-mechanical simulation, AI-enabled field assessment or material design, and context-specific life-cycle accounting. As this technology matures and its adoption scales, it is expected to enhance the whole-life service performance of cold-region road transport infrastructure while reducing life-cycle costs.
热反射技术减少了沥青表面的太阳能热增益,有助于节能、低碳的运输系统。它们的相关性在寒冷地区的高速公路上被放大,在那里,受到干扰的地表能量交换可以加速永久冻土变暖并加剧冻融困境。然而,证据基础仍然分散,往往无法将光学工程与道路性能和生命周期影响联系起来。这篇综述通过表面能量平衡框架综合了实验室测量、室外模型实验和现场监测,涵盖了涂层和材料系统、光谱特性表征、冷却效果、功能性能和生命周期评估考虑。报告的数据集一致表明,反照率的增加会导致地表温度和辐射指数的单调下降,通常是接近线性的,在浅层路面上可测量到冷却。在可部署的方案中,基于涂层的解决方案在目前的实践中占主导地位,特别是用近红外选择性颜料配制的多层环氧树脂或丙烯酸基体。证据强调粘结剂化学和表面织构在抗老化中的作用。它们的效益受路基坡度和坡向的强烈调节,而坡向和坡向决定着短波辐射。功能结果显示了系统的权衡:较低的工作温度可以提高车辙性和防潮性,而防滑性、附着力和光学保持性取决于表面纹理、冻融暴露、除雪磨损和除冰化学品。基于这些见解,我们提出了一个寒冷地区评估框架和研究重点,包括标准化光谱传感、预测光学老化模型、耦合热-机械模拟、人工智能支持的现场评估或材料设计,以及特定环境的生命周期会计。随着这项技术的成熟和应用规模的扩大,它有望提高寒冷地区道路运输基础设施的全寿命服务性能,同时降低生命周期成本。
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引用次数: 0
A multi-scale photovoltaic (PV) panel dust accumulation simulation dataset based on physical consistency modeling 基于物理一致性建模的多尺度光伏板积尘模拟数据集
IF 9.4 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2026.140248
Linhong Chen , Siyuan Fan , Mingyue He , Shixian Ji , Shengxian Cao , Tianyi Sun , Yanhui Zhang , Yangwu Shen
The lack of high-quality image datasets with quantifiable labels hinders the development of deep learning models for photovoltaic (PV) panel dust detection. To address this, this paper proposes a novel physical consistency modeling approach to generate a large-scale synthetic dataset with precise dust concentration labels. A particle cluster generation model is developed to simulate multiscale, heterogeneous dust aggregation governed by lognormal distributions, while an adaptive error feedback mechanism ensures accurate concentration estimation. Furthermore, an optical attenuation model based on the Beer-Lambert law and nonlinear hue, saturation, and value (HSV) color mapping is employed to ensure visual realism. Multi-dimensional evaluations demonstrate that the synthetic images achieve a histogram similarity exceeding 0.86, an entropy similarity above 0.94, and a comprehensive similarity score over 0.82 compared to real-world ground truth. These results significantly outperform conventional mask-based and generative adversarial networks (GANs) techniques, providing a reliable data source for training advanced dust detection algorithms.
缺乏具有可量化标签的高质量图像数据集阻碍了光伏(PV)面板粉尘检测的深度学习模型的发展。为了解决这个问题,本文提出了一种新的物理一致性建模方法来生成具有精确粉尘浓度标签的大规模合成数据集。建立了一种粒子簇生成模型,用于模拟对数正态分布控制的多尺度非均匀粉尘聚集,而自适应误差反馈机制确保了准确的浓度估计。此外,采用基于Beer-Lambert定律和非线性色相、饱和度和值(HSV)颜色映射的光学衰减模型来保证视觉真实感。多维度评价表明,合成图像的直方图相似度超过0.86,熵相似度超过0.94,综合相似度得分超过0.82。这些结果明显优于传统的基于掩模和生成对抗网络(gan)技术,为训练先进的粉尘检测算法提供了可靠的数据源。
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引用次数: 0
Experimental study on thermal performance of a novel micro channel separated heat pipe system coupled with radiative sky cooling 一种新型微通道分离热管系统与辐射天空冷却耦合的热性能实验研究
IF 9.4 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2026.140275
Xiaoming Chen , Gui Cheng , Quan Zhang
A novel micro channel separated heat pipe system coupled with radiative sky cooling is proposed to reduce the cooling energy consumption in data centers. The system can operate in two modes, including the conventional heat pipe mode and the coupled heat pipe mode with radiative sky cooling. Two prototype systems with different structures of radiative cooling heat exchanger (RCHE) were designed, built and experimentally tested. The surface of RCHE is pained with a spectrally selective absorbing material, which has a low absorptivity in the solar irradiation band and a high emissivity in the atmospheric window band. The temperatures of air and refrigerant along with the refrigerant pressure were measured. The subcooling degree, cooling capacity and energy efficiency ratio (EER) were calculated and analyzed. Experimental results indicate that compared to the conventional system, refrigerant can be cooled further in the coupled system due to the assistant cooling by the RCHE through radiating heat to the cold outer space, with a higher subcooling degree at the inlet of evaporator by 0.4 °C on average. Moreover, the coupled system had 18.91% more cooling capacity and higher EER. Then, the performances of the coupled system with different structures of RCHE were compared. It was observed that 10.7% more cooling capacity and higher EER were obtained by the coil tube structure coupled system over the parallel tube structure coupled system.
为了降低数据中心的冷却能耗,提出了一种新型的微通道分离热管系统,并结合辐射天空冷却。该系统可在两种模式下工作,包括传统热管模式和具有辐射天空冷却的耦合热管模式。设计、制造了两种不同结构的辐射冷却换热器原型系统,并进行了实验测试。RCHE表面涂有光谱选择性吸收材料,在太阳辐照波段具有低吸收率,在大气窗口波段具有高发射率。测量了空气和制冷剂的温度以及制冷剂压力。计算并分析了过冷度、制冷量和能效比。实验结果表明,与常规系统相比,耦合系统中制冷剂通过RCHE向冷外空间的辐射热辅助冷却,可以进一步冷却制冷剂,蒸发器进口过冷度平均提高0.4℃。耦合系统的制冷量提高18.91%,EER提高。然后,比较了不同结构RCHE耦合系统的性能。与平行管结构耦合系统相比,盘管结构耦合系统的制冷量和EER提高了10.7%。
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引用次数: 0
Thermal contribution-driven energy matching for internal heating regeneration in microchannel-corrugated fin regenerators under extreme hot-humid climate 极端湿热气候下微通道波纹翅片蓄热器内部热再生的热贡献驱动能量匹配
IF 9.4 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2026.140258
Jingchao Xie , Junlong Li , Haotian Huang , Guangkai Zhang , Jiaping Liu
Under extreme hot-humid climatic conditions, the regeneration efficiency of liquid desiccant air conditioning systems significantly decreases due to insufficient vapor pressure difference. Although internal heating regeneration has emerged as a promising solution, comprehensive understanding of its thermal contribution mechanism and energy matching principle remains limited. This study developed a microchannel-corrugated fin internal heating regenerator (MF-IHR) and systematically investigated its regeneration performance from the perspective of thermal contribution. Experimental results demonstrate that the MF-IHR enhances the solution moisture removal rate by up to 72.0% compared to adiabatic operation. Thermal contribution analysis reveals that as the temperature of hot water rises, the heating power ratio of water (HPRW) increases from 33.3% to 87.5%, the heat loss power ratio of solution (HLPRS) decreases from 66.7% to 12.5%, and the regeneration efficiency drops from 58.8% to 26.4%. Under extreme environmental conditions, air humidity dominates thermal contribution distribution, with HPRW increasing from 62.1% to 87.2% as humidity rises from 18.3 g/kg to 26.7 g/kg. These findings demonstrate that balancing thermal contributions, rather than maximizing heat input, is key to optimizing regeneration performance. This study provides valuable insights for achieving efficient liquid desiccant regeneration in extreme hot-humid climates.
在极端湿热气候条件下,由于蒸汽压差不足,液体干燥剂空调系统的再生效率显著降低。虽然内热再生已经成为一种很有前途的解决方案,但对其热贡献机制和能量匹配原理的全面理解仍然有限。研制了一种微通道-波纹翅片内热蓄热器(MF-IHR),并从热贡献角度对其蓄热性能进行了系统研究。实验结果表明,与绝热操作相比,MF-IHR对溶液的除湿率提高了72.0%。热贡献分析表明,随着热水温度的升高,水的加热功率比(HPRW)从33.3%增加到87.5%,溶液的热损失功率比(HLPRS)从66.7%下降到12.5%,再生效率从58.8%下降到26.4%。在极端环境条件下,空气湿度主导热贡献分布,当湿度从18.3 g/kg增加到26.7 g/kg时,HPRW从62.1%增加到87.2%。这些发现表明,平衡热贡献,而不是最大化热输入,是优化再生性能的关键。这项研究为在极端湿热气候下实现高效的液体干燥剂再生提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Optical-electrical synergistic optimization of FEP/Al2O3 anti-reflective coating for solar cells FEP/Al2O3太阳能电池防反射涂层的光电协同优化
IF 9.4 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2026.140247
Xianli Li , Fei Zhao , Yi Xu , WenQiang Liu , Haoran Dai , Ru Chang
This paper introduces a double-layer anti-reflective coating composed of ethylene propylene fluoride (FEP) and alumina (Al2O3), capitalizing on the superior optical and chemical properties of FEP, including its low refractive index, exceptional chemical inertness, and weatherability. This structure possesses ideal characteristics for serving as the functional surface of photovoltaic modules, which are fabricated sequentially via magnetron sputtering followed by ultrasonic spray deposition. In the coating structure design, with optoelectronic synergy as the guiding principle, electrical requirements are proactively incorporated upfront into the optimization of coating parameters. By combining the equivalent interface theory with the quarter-wavelength principle, the simplex optimization algorithm is utilized. Experimental validated optical model by TFCalc confirms that this coating structure achieves a weighted average reflectance of merely 1.26 % within the 400–1100 nm spectral range. The design enables the reflectance to consistently maintain below 1.1 % across the incident angle of 0°–55°. The thickness of coating with low refractive index exhibits greater effects to reflectance, especially for the double-layer structure with a 157 % fluctuation. An electrical model developed by PC1D software employing dual-diode model demonstrates a significant enhancement in photovoltaic conversion efficiency compared to uncoated glass. Furthermore, a comprehensive year-round simulation model has been established to integrate inclined-surface irradiation, energy yield, economic analysis, and carbon emission assessment. Model projection reveals that, the FEP/Al2O3 structure achieves annual energy yield gain of 2431.85 kWh and carbon emission reduction of 1510.18 kg relative to uncoated system.
本文介绍了一种由氟化乙烯丙烯(FEP)和氧化铝(Al2O3)组成的双层抗反射涂层,利用了氟化乙烯丙烯(FEP)优越的光学和化学性能,包括低折射率、优异的化学惰性和耐寒性。该结构具有作为光伏组件功能表面的理想特性,通过磁控溅射和超声喷涂沉积依次制备光伏组件。在涂层结构设计中,以光电协同为指导原则,主动将电气要求提前纳入涂层参数的优化。将等效界面理论与四分之一波长原理相结合,采用单纯形优化算法。经TFCalc实验验证的光学模型证实,该涂层结构在400 ~ 1100 nm光谱范围内的加权平均反射率仅为1.26%。该设计使反射率在0°-55°的入射角范围内始终保持在1.1%以下。低折射率涂层的厚度对反射率的影响更大,特别是对于波动幅度为157%的双层结构。利用PC1D软件开发的采用双二极管模型的电学模型表明,与未镀膜玻璃相比,光电转换效率显著提高。在此基础上,建立了集倾斜地表辐照、能量产出、经济分析和碳排放评估为一体的全年综合模拟模型。模型预测表明,FEP/Al2O3结构相对于未涂层体系年发电量增加2431.85 kWh,碳排放量减少1510.18 kg。
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引用次数: 0
Novel method for data center placement using multiobjective optimization with thermohydraulic models of existing district heating systems 基于区域供热系统热水力模型的多目标优化数据中心布局新方法
IF 9.4 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2026.140178
Juhani Kotilainen, Henrik Tolvanen
Integrating data centers into district heating systems is on the rise, due to the low cost of the waste heat, and energy efficiency targets for both data center and district heating companies. This study presents a novel method for data center placement using multiobjective optimization with thermohydraulic models. A 1.5 MW data center producing 75 °C waste heat was simulated across the entire distribution lines of existing district heating systems at a 100 m interval. Location suitability index (LSI) was formed to compare each location based on three performance indicators: total production costs, average and maximum supply temperature reductions for customers. The objective was to determine the data center waste heat utilization potential based on how the waste heat mixes into other high temperature production in each specific location. The results show that the data center placement has a major impact on the waste heat utilization potential and overall profitability. The best locations near other production plants had a utilization potential of 93–99 % compared to full power potential, while the worst locations near demand had less than 60 %. The yearly production cost reduction was up to 5 % at Valkeakoski and 12 % at Kangasala, with a waste heat price of 10€/MWh.
由于废热成本低,以及数据中心和区域供热公司的能源效率目标,将数据中心集成到区域供热系统的趋势正在上升。提出了一种基于热水力学模型的多目标优化数据中心布局的新方法。模拟了一个1.5 MW的数据中心,在现有区域供热系统的整个配电线路上每隔100米产生75°C的废热。地点适宜性指数(LSI)是根据三个性能指标来比较每个地点的:总生产成本,客户的平均和最大供应温度降低。目标是根据废热如何混入每个特定位置的其他高温产品来确定数据中心废热利用潜力。结果表明,数据中心布局对余热利用潜力和整体盈利能力有重大影响。与满功率潜力相比,靠近其他生产工厂的最佳位置的利用潜力为93 - 99%,而靠近需求的最差位置的利用潜力不到60%。Valkeakoski和Kangasala的年生产成本分别降低了5%和12%,废热价格为10欧元/兆瓦时。
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引用次数: 0
Performance analysis and multi-objective optimization of a reheat-regenerative closed Brayton cycle for aircraft-engine waste heat recovery 飞机发动机余热回收再热封闭式Brayton循环性能分析及多目标优化
IF 9.4 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2026.140230
Lanxin Wang , Biao Yuan , Decang Lou , Yusen Wang , Chuanjun Tang , Wei Chen
Aircraft engine exhaust nozzles are subjected to extreme thermal loads from high-temperature gases. To improve thermal management and meet onboard power requirements, this study proposes a reheat-regenerative closed Brayton cycle system using a helium-xenon mixture. A nozzle-based generalized heat source model is developed to analyze the system's flow and heat transfer characteristics. Parametric studies reveal that the compressor pressure ratio and heat source geometry significantly impact efficiency. The optimal pressure ratio ranges from 2.5 to 3.5; lower ratios limit turbine output, while higher ratios increase compressor power consumption. Regarding geometry, optimizing the length of the dual heat sources regulates the turbine inlet temperature. Furthermore, channel diameters between 0.023 m and 0.032 m are found to balance flow losses and heat transfer performance. Multi-objective optimization indicates that Heat Source-I parameters remain stable, whereas Heat Source-II varies due to coupling effects. The final design, selected using the TOPSIS method, achieves a thermal efficiency of 32.80 %, a power output of 376.34 kW, and a power-to-weight ratio of 0.387 kW/kg.
飞机发动机排气喷嘴承受来自高温气体的极端热负荷。为了改善热管理并满足车载电源需求,本研究提出了一种使用氦-氙混合物的再热再生封闭式布雷顿循环系统。建立了基于喷嘴的广义热源模型,分析了系统的流动和传热特性。参数化研究表明,压缩机压比和热源几何形状对效率有显著影响。最佳压力比为2.5 ~ 3.5;较低的比率限制了涡轮机的输出,而较高的比率增加了压缩机的功率消耗。在几何结构上,优化双热源的长度调节涡轮入口温度。此外,在0.023 m和0.032 m之间的通道直径可以平衡流动损失和传热性能。多目标优化表明,热源i参数保持稳定,而热源ii参数受耦合效应影响而变化。采用TOPSIS方法选择的最终设计,实现了32.80%的热效率,376.34 kW的功率输出,功率重量比0.387 kW/kg。
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引用次数: 0
Performance forecasting and optimization for metro station chilled water systems under extreme heat based on field data analysis 基于现场数据分析的极热条件下地铁车站冷冻水系统性能预测与优化
IF 9.4 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2026.140255
Chao Zeng , Haixia Cao , Yang Feng , Xiaoshu Lü , Fariborz Haghighat , Yanping Yuan
Rapid urbanization and expanding rail networks drive surging energy demands, necessitating efficiency research. When extreme heatwaves coincide with peak passenger periods, metro station air conditioning systems suffer from severe load fluctuations and performance degradation. Current research on chiller efficiency focuses primarily on standard operating conditions, often overlooking dynamic performance under extreme heat. Furthermore, a lack of high-temperature datasets restricts the adaptability and accuracy of existing predictive models. In response, this study proposes an integrated framework encompassing performance prediction, high-temperature performance degradation warning and operational optimization. To precisely predict COP, energy consumption (E), and degradation rate (η), a multi-output prediction model called N-BEATS-XGBoost is created by integrating gradient boosted trees with deep temporal feature extraction. By combining temporal feature extraction from N-BEATS with gradient boosting from XGBoost, the model achieves high predictive accuracy, with R2 values of 98.5 %, 99.1 %, and 99.1 %, and SMAPE values of 1.56 %, 1.93 %, and 1.47 % for COP, E, and η, respectively. The increasing frequency and intensity of high-temperature events necessitate optimized system operation under such conditions. Criteria distinguishing functional failure from performance degradation were established, and an IQR-based method identified a degradation-rate warning threshold of 39.8 %, effectively demarcating normal operation from potential degradation. An NSGA-II-based dual-objective optimization framework was applied to historical high-temperature data, targeting energy consumption (E) and degradation rate (η). The results indicate reductions of 3.64 % in E and 10.06 % in η, demonstrating substantial potential for performance improvement under extreme heat. These findings address a critical challenge at the nexus of climate resilience and energy efficiency.
快速的城市化和不断扩大的铁路网推动了能源需求的激增,因此有必要进行能效研究。当极端热浪与客流高峰同时发生时,地铁站的空调系统会遭受严重的负荷波动和性能下降。目前对冷水机组效率的研究主要集中在标准运行条件下,往往忽视了极端高温下的动态性能。此外,缺乏高温数据集限制了现有预测模型的适应性和准确性。为此,本研究提出了一个包含性能预测、高温性能退化预警和运行优化的集成框架。为了准确预测COP、能量消耗(E)和降解率(η),将梯度增强树与深度时间特征提取相结合,建立了N-BEATS-XGBoost多输出预测模型。通过将N-BEATS的时间特征提取与XGBoost的梯度增强相结合,该模型获得了较高的预测精度,COP、E和η的R2值分别为98.5%、99.1%和99.1%,SMAPE值分别为1.56%、1.93%和1.47%。随着高温事件发生频率和强度的不断增加,需要对系统运行进行优化。建立了区分功能失效和性能退化的标准,并基于iqr的方法确定了退化率警告阈值为39.8%,有效地区分了正常运行和潜在退化。将基于nsga - ii的双目标优化框架应用于历史高温数据,以能耗(E)和降解率(η)为目标。结果表明,E降低了3.64%,η降低了10.06%,显示出在极端高温下性能改善的巨大潜力。这些发现解决了气候适应能力和能源效率之间的关键挑战。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Energy
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