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Should Bank Dividends Be Regulated? What Is the Long-Term Historical Evidence? 银行股息应该受到监管吗?什么是长期的历史证据?
Pub Date : 2020-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3740258
A. Saunders, Berry K. Wilson
The issue of bank dividend regulation has become highly controversial as the stress induced on bank capital during the 2008 financial crisis and the covid pandemic created a demand for enhanced regulation and restrictions on bank dividend payments. This paper examines this issue from a historical perspective by analyzing the dividend decisions of a sample of central-reserve-city banks during the Great Depression and its aftermath to 1973, and in particular the active risk management role that dividend policy may have played for study banks. Dividend policy was used to balance the interests of stockholders and depositors, and to preserve the long-term solvency of the bank. Overall our study results show that despite an initial reluctance to cut dividends, banks cut dividend levels by 24% in 1932 and by 12.7% in 1933 (in median terms). Post-Great Depression dividends remained at depressed levels through most of the 1930s and 1940s. Our study results indicate that this period of depressed and relatively constant dividends allowed banks to rebuild capital levels, which had fallen sharply with the Great Depression. Capital rebuilding post-depression represented risk-shifting in favor of depositors and likely contributed to the stability of the U.S. banking system in the post-depression era.
2008年金融危机和新型冠状病毒感染症(covid - 19)疫情对银行资本造成的压力,引发了加强对银行股息支付的监管和限制的需求,因此银行股息监管问题备受争议。本文从历史的角度考察了这一问题,通过分析大萧条时期和1973年之后中央储备城市银行样本的股息决策,特别是股息政策对研究银行可能发挥的积极风险管理作用。股息政策是用来平衡股东和存款人的利益,并保持银行的长期偿付能力。总体而言,我们的研究结果表明,尽管最初不愿削减股息,但银行在1932年和1933年分别削减了24%和12.7%的股息水平(按中位数计算)。在20世纪30年代和40年代的大部分时间里,大萧条后的股息一直处于低迷水平。我们的研究结果表明,这一时期的低迷和相对稳定的股息使银行能够重建资本水平,这一水平在大萧条时期急剧下降。大萧条后的资本重建意味着风险向有利于储户的方向转移,可能有助于后萧条时期美国银行体系的稳定。
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引用次数: 2
Visa Acquiring Plaid: A Tartan Over a Killer Acquisition? Reflections on the Risks of Harming Competition Through the Acquisition of Startups Within Digital Ecosystems Visa收购格纹:格纹还是杀手级收购?关于收购数字生态系统内初创企业损害竞争风险的思考
Pub Date : 2020-11-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3738299
F. Marty, Thierry Warin
The applicability of the notion of killer acquisition to digital platforms has long been debated. The case of the proceedings brought by the U.S. DoJ against Visa is even more interesting insofar as it makes it possible to illustrate and discuss its different facets ranging from the notion of competition suppression to that of consolidation and extension of the dominant position. The complaint analysis also makes it possible to question inter-digital ecosystem competition and shed light on the issues related to the monitoring of acquisitions undertaken by dominant companies in the sector.
杀手级收购的概念是否适用于数字平台一直备受争议。美国司法部对Visa提起的诉讼更有趣,因为它可以说明和讨论它的不同方面,从竞争抑制的概念到主导地位的巩固和扩展。投诉分析还使人们有可能质疑数字生态系统之间的竞争,并阐明与监控该行业主导公司进行的收购有关的问题。
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引用次数: 3
Designing Remedies for Digital Markets: The Interplay Between Antitrust and Regulation 为数字市场设计补救措施:反垄断与监管之间的相互作用
Pub Date : 2020-11-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3704763
F. Lancieri, Caio Mario da Silva Pereira Neto
Over the past decade, societies significantly improved their understanding of the competitive dynamics at play in digital markets. However, a challenge remains in designing remedies that actually improve overall welfare. This paper first maps out the frontier of remedy design in the digital world. Section I summarizes antitrust remedies imposed on digital companies to both group cases according to the different underlying concerns they tackle and to identify potential interplays with regulatory interventions that share the same rationale. Section II complements this analysis by reviewing eighteen key independent reports on competition in digital markets to identify proposals to advance antitrust or regulatory interventions. The overall conclusion is that while the interplay between antitrust and regulation is bound to grow, authorities lack a coherent framework that would allow them coherently and rationally apply these policies in practice. Section III, the core of the paper, fills this gap by introducing a new framework to integrate antitrust and regulatory interventions in the digital world—one that is focused on two different levels of remedy design. First, it develops a compounded error-cost framework authorities can apply when choosing between remedies for a given conduct: when authorities accept higher risks of over-enforcement in deciding to intervene they should compensate by taking lower risks of over-enforcement in remedy design, and vice-versa. Second, it proposes four criteria authorities can rely on to allocate between different regulators three connected but different key activities in remedy design: (i) the identification of harmful behavior; (ii) the design of the intervention; and (iii) monitoring and adaptation of the remedy. Section IV concludes by applying this framework to seven types of conduct that Sections I and II identified as potentially problematic: (i) discrimination, unfair treatment and self-preferencing; (ii) exclusivity relations with suppliers, distributors or clients; (iii) tying or bundling through contractual agreements; (iv) MFNs and other price parity clauses; (v) refusals to deal, limited interoperability and lack of data portability; (vi) rules and terms of service imposed by digital platforms; and (vii) nudges, sludges and other concerns in user interfaces.
在过去十年中,社会对数字市场竞争动态的理解显著提高。然而,如何设计出真正改善整体福利的补救措施仍是一个挑战。本文首先描绘了数字世界中救济设计的前沿。第一节总结了针对数字公司的反垄断补救措施,根据它们处理的不同潜在问题对这两个案例进行分组,并确定与具有相同原理的监管干预的潜在相互作用。第二节通过回顾18份关于数字市场竞争的关键独立报告来补充这一分析,以确定推进反垄断或监管干预的建议。总的结论是,尽管反垄断和监管之间的相互作用必然会增强,但当局缺乏一个连贯的框架,使他们能够在实践中连贯、合理地应用这些政策。第三部分是本文的核心,通过引入一个新的框架来整合数字世界中的反垄断和监管干预,填补了这一空白——该框架侧重于两个不同层次的救济设计。首先,它开发了一个复合错误-成本框架,当局在为特定行为选择补救措施时可以应用:当当局在决定干预时接受过度执行的较高风险时,他们应该通过在补救措施设计中承担较低的过度执行风险来进行补偿,反之亦然。其次,它提出了当局可以依赖的四个标准,以便在不同的监管机构之间分配救济设计中三个相互关联但不同的关键活动:(i)识别有害行为;(ii)干预的设计;(三)监测和调整补救措施。第四节最后将这一框架应用于第一节和第二节确定为潜在问题的七种行为:(I)歧视、不公平待遇和自我偏爱;(ii)与供应商、分销商或客户的排他性关系;(iii)通过合同协议捆绑或捆绑;最惠国待遇和其他价格平价条款;(v)拒绝处理、有限的互操作性和缺乏数据可携性;(vi)数字平台施加的规则和服务条款;(vii)用户界面中的轻推、污迹和其他问题。
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引用次数: 0
Can AI Replace the FTC? 人工智能能取代FTC吗?
Pub Date : 2020-11-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3733324
Giovanna Massarotto, A. Ittoo
The application of AI and Machine Learning (ML) techniques is becoming a primary issue of investigation in the legal and regulatory domain. Antitrust agencies are into the spotlight because antitrust is the first arm of government regulation by tackling forms of monopoly and collusive practices in any markets, including new digital-data-driven markets. A question the antitrust community is asking is whether antitrust agencies are equipped with the appropriate tools and powers to face today’s increasingly dynamic markets. Our study aims to tackle this question by building and testing an ML antitrust algorithm (AML) based on an unsupervised approach, devoid of any human intervention. It shows how a relatively simple algorithm can, in an autonomous manner, discover underlying patterns from past antitrust cases classified by commuting similarity. Thus, we recognize that teaching antitrust to an algorithm is possible, although we admit that AI cannot replace antitrust agencies, such as the FTC. Today, having an increasingly fast and uniform way to enforce antitrust principles is fundamental as we move into a new digital economic transformation. Our contribution aims to pave the way for future AI applications in markets’ regulation starting from antitrust regulation. Government’s adoption of emerging technologies, such as AI, appears to be the key for ensuring consumer welfare and market efficiency in the age of AI and big data.
人工智能和机器学习(ML)技术的应用正在成为法律和监管领域研究的主要问题。反垄断机构之所以受到关注,是因为反垄断是政府在任何市场(包括新的数字数据驱动的市场)应对各种形式的垄断和串通行为的第一个监管部门。反垄断界提出的一个问题是,反垄断机构是否配备了适当的工具和权力,以面对当今日益活跃的市场。我们的研究旨在通过构建和测试基于无监督方法的ML反垄断算法(AML)来解决这个问题,没有任何人为干预。它展示了一个相对简单的算法如何以一种自主的方式,从过去的反垄断案件中发现按通勤相似性分类的潜在模式。因此,我们认识到向算法教授反垄断是可能的,尽管我们承认人工智能不能取代反垄断机构,如FTC。今天,随着我们进入新的数字经济转型,拥有一种越来越快速和统一的方式来执行反垄断原则是至关重要的。我们的贡献旨在从反垄断监管开始,为未来人工智能在市场监管中的应用铺平道路。在人工智能和大数据时代,政府对人工智能等新兴技术的采用似乎是确保消费者福利和市场效率的关键。
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引用次数: 0
Exposing the Revolving Door in Executive Branch Agencies 揭露行政部门机构的旋转门
Pub Date : 2020-11-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3732484
Logan P. Emery, M. Faccio
We develop the first comprehensive mapping of the revolving door phenomenon in the U.S. by examining the work experience in executive branch agencies of 1,910,150 individuals covering top corporate positions in 373,011 unique firms. We document that the phenomenon is prevalent, with one out of every 15 firms, and one out of every three publicly traded firms, having at least one top employee with prior work experience in U.S. executive branch agencies. On average, former regulators are hired in response to or concomitant with increases in regulation as well as concomitant with more aggressive regulator behavior in the form of a higher incidence of fines. Firms headquartered in more corrupt states, firms seemingly more corruption-prone, and established violators receive benefits in the form of a reduction in the incidence of fines after hiring former regulators from fine-imposing agencies. In contrast, we do not observe other firms receiving benefits on average.
我们通过研究373,011家不同公司中1,910,150人在行政部门机构的工作经历,开发了美国第一个全面的旋转门现象地图。我们发现这种现象很普遍,每15家公司中就有一家,每3家上市公司中就有一家,至少有一名高级员工之前在美国行政部门工作过。平均而言,前监管机构的聘用是为了应对或伴随监管力度的加大,同时也伴随着更激进的监管行为,即更高的罚款发生率。总部设在更腐败的州的公司,看起来更容易腐败的公司,以及已经确立的违规者,在从罚款机构雇佣前监管人员后,以减少罚款发生率的形式获得好处。相比之下,我们没有观察到其他公司平均获得的福利。
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引用次数: 4
Comment Letter on Fincen's Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking on Anti-Money Laundering Program Effectiveness 关于金融监管局关于反洗钱项目有效性建议规则制定的预先通知意见书
Pub Date : 2020-11-16 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3731801
Benjamin Edwards, James Fallows Tierney
We submitted these comments in response to the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network's advance notice of proposed rulemaking on the definition of an "effective and reasonably designed" anti-money laundering program applicable broadly to financial institutions. Our comments highlight industry-specific obligations of brokers and dealers in securities to have reasonably designed anti-money-laundering programs.

We argue that in undertaking future rulemaking, FinCEN should account for industry-specific statutory requirements, and how these bear on regulators’ experiences implementing AML program obligations analogous to those the advance notice of proposed rulemaking contemplates. Regulators’ experience enforcing compliance with FINRA's informal guidance under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, for instance, raises questions about whether FinCEN’s proposals to elaborate on AML obligations through periodic guidance would impose obligations enforceable at all. In particular, FinCEN should carefully consider whether essential enforcement regimes will require additional rulemaking because simply issuing official guidance may not create fully enforceable obligations in all regulatory frameworks. For self-regulatory organizations overseen by the SEC, guidance alone may not suffice to create an enforceable obligation. In instances where the SEC reviews SRO enforcement actions, it considers whether conduct violated the SRO's “rules,” meaning rules approved by the SEC. As explained in greater detail below, official guidance may not meet this standard, creating doubt, enforcement challenges, and likely inhibiting FinCEN’s compliance objectives.
我们提交这些评论是为了回应金融犯罪执法网络(Financial Crimes Enforcement Network)关于“有效且设计合理”的反洗钱计划的定义的拟议规则制定通知,该计划广泛适用于金融机构。我们的意见强调了证券经纪人和交易商在合理设计反洗钱程序方面的行业特定义务。我们认为,在进行未来的规则制定时,FinCEN应考虑到行业特定的法定要求,以及这些要求如何影响监管机构实施“反洗钱”计划义务的经验,类似于拟议规则制定的预先通知所考虑的那些。例如,监管机构根据1934年《证券交易法》(Securities Exchange Act of 1934)强制遵守FINRA非正式指导的经验,引发了人们的疑问,即FinCEN通过定期指导详细阐述“反洗钱”义务的提议是否会强制执行义务。特别是,FinCEN应仔细考虑必要的执法制度是否需要额外的规则制定,因为仅仅发布官方指导可能无法在所有监管框架中产生完全可执行的义务。对于受SEC监管的自律组织来说,仅凭指导可能不足以形成可执行的义务。在美国证券交易委员会审查SRO执法行动的情况下,它会考虑行为是否违反了SRO的“规则”,即美国证券交易委员会批准的规则。正如下面更详细地解释的那样,官方指导可能不符合这一标准,从而产生疑问,执法挑战,并可能阻碍FinCEN的合规目标。
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引用次数: 0
The Economic Consequences of Regulatory Similarity 监管相似性的经济后果
Pub Date : 2020-11-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3730721
Joseph Kalmenovitz, Jason Chen
Using novel data, we develop a similarity score which compares the regulatory exposure of each two companies, for example if they lobby against similar rules. Regulatory similarity transcends industrial, geographic, and product market boundaries, but responds to exogenous regulatory shocks. Consistent with rational learning and efficient contract theories, regulatory similarity explains the co-movement of key corporate outcomes and the relative performance evaluation of corporate executives. Converting the pairwise similarities into a regulatory network, we find that network centrality increases complexity and reduces the quantity and quality of firm-specific information. Combined, our results highlight important economic implications of shared regulatory exposure.
使用新颖的数据,我们开发了一个相似性评分,比较每两家公司的监管风险,例如,如果他们游说反对类似的规则。监管相似性超越了产业、地理和产品市场的界限,但会对外生监管冲击做出反应。与理性学习理论和有效契约理论一致,监管相似性解释了企业关键成果与企业高管相对绩效评估的共同运动。将两两相似性转化为一个监管网络,我们发现网络中心性增加了复杂性,降低了企业特定信息的数量和质量。综上所述,我们的研究结果突出了共同监管风险的重要经济影响。
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引用次数: 1
Rent-Seeking and Public Choice in Digital Markets 数字市场中的寻租与公共选择
Pub Date : 2020-11-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3733707
T. Lambert
This chapter examines how public choice concerns, most prominently “rent-seeking” behavior, have been manifested in initiatives to regulate digital markets. The chapter first summarizes key insights from public choice and describes the phenomenon of rent-seeking. It then documents the existence of rent-seeking activity and other public choice concerns in the regulation of digital markets. It closes with a brief observation about how the structure of regulatory interventions may constrain or exacerbate rent-seeking and other public choice concerns in digital markets.
本章研究了公共选择问题,最突出的是“寻租”行为,是如何在监管数字市场的举措中表现出来的。本章首先总结了公共选择的主要见解,并描述了寻租现象。然后,它记录了在数字市场监管中存在的寻租活动和其他公共选择问题。报告最后简要地观察了监管干预的结构如何限制或加剧数字市场中的寻租和其他公共选择问题。
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引用次数: 3
Vertical Mergers and Integration in Digital Markets 数字市场中的垂直兼并与整合
Pub Date : 2020-11-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3733684
John M. Yun
In this chapter, we address three issues relating to vertical mergers and antitrust: (1) incorporating the elimination of double marginalization into the analysis of the likelihood of a unilateral price effect rather than treating it as a separate efficiencies defense; (2) recognizing, inter alia, the importance of reduced transaction costs in analyzing the efficiencies commonly associated with vertical mergers; and (3) highlighting that the weight of the empirical evidence continues to support the proposition that vertical mergers are less likely to generate competitive concerns than horizontal mergers.
在本章中,我们将讨论与垂直合并和反垄断有关的三个问题:(1)将消除双重边缘化纳入单边价格效应可能性的分析中,而不是将其视为单独的效率辩护;(2)除其他外,认识到在分析通常与垂直合并相关的效率时降低交易成本的重要性;(3)强调经验证据的权重继续支持垂直合并比水平合并更不可能产生竞争问题的命题。
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引用次数: 0
Overview of Network Effects & Platforms in Digital Markets 数字市场中的网络效应和平台概述
Pub Date : 2020-11-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3733656
John M. Yun
In this chapter, we address a number of foundational questions. What exactly are platforms? How do platforms relate to the various types of network effects? Importantly, do we need different tools to assess potential anticompetitive conduct that involves platforms?

Specifically, we begin with a discussion of the various types of network effects, as these effects are integral to understanding the nature of platforms. Next, we consider platforms more from the perspective of incentives rather than an overt focus on a standardized definition. We also discuss how platforms compete, including discussions of “zero-price” markets and the associated idea of “attention” markets. Finally, we offer some guidance on some relevant economic issues to consider when assessing platform markets in the context of antitrust cases.
在本章中,我们将讨论一些基本问题。平台到底是什么?平台如何与各种类型的网络效应相关联?重要的是,我们是否需要不同的工具来评估涉及平台的潜在反竞争行为?具体来说,我们首先讨论各种类型的网络效应,因为这些效应对于理解平台的本质是不可或缺的。其次,我们更多地从激励的角度来考虑平台,而不是公开地关注标准化的定义。我们还讨论了平台如何竞争,包括讨论“零价格”市场和相关的“注意力”市场。最后,我们就在反垄断案件背景下评估平台市场时需要考虑的一些相关经济问题提供了一些指导。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
ERN: Regulation (IO) (Topic)
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