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Is Media Really the Great Information Equalizer? The Effects of WSJ Coverage of Firm Earnings Announcements on Peer Information Asymmetry in Information Transfers 媒体真的是伟大的信息均衡器吗?《华尔街日报》对企业财报的报道对信息传递中同伴信息不对称的影响
Pub Date : 2021-05-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3837808
Jing Xia
Prior research generally finds that the financial media levels the playing field among investors by reducing information acquisition costs for unsophisticated investors. In the setting of information transfers, I demonstrate that when media coverage is likely to reduce the industry information acquisition costs for both sophisticated and unsophisticated investors, their information gap may be widened. Specifically, I find that same-day Wall Street Journal (WSJ) coverage of a focal firm’s earnings announcement (EA) exacerbates information asymmetry of its industry peers around the focal firm’s EA day. However, when the WSJ article is published one day after the EA, there is no change in peer information asymmetry on both the EA day and the day after. Additional analysis shows that the effects of same-day WSJ coverage on peer information asymmetry are stronger when it is more likely to reduce peer investors’ industry information acquisition costs and when inferring the implications of the focal firm EA for the peer entails higher information integration costs. These findings suggest that media coverage may increase information asymmetry among investors despite its importance in information dissemination.
先前的研究普遍发现,金融媒体通过降低不成熟投资者的信息获取成本,在投资者之间创造了公平的竞争环境。在信息传递的背景下,我证明了当媒体报道可能降低成熟和不成熟投资者的行业信息获取成本时,他们的信息差距可能会扩大。具体来说,我发现《华尔街日报》(WSJ)对焦点公司财报的同一天报道加剧了业内同行在焦点公司财报当天的信息不对称。然而,当华尔街日报的文章在EA之后一天发表时,在EA当天和之后的一天,对等信息不对称都没有变化。进一步的分析表明,当《华尔街日报》当日报道更有可能降低同行投资者的行业信息获取成本,以及当推断焦点公司EA对同行的影响需要更高的信息整合成本时,对同行信息不对称的影响更强。这些发现表明,尽管媒体报道在信息传播中很重要,但它可能会增加投资者之间的信息不对称。
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引用次数: 0
Partial Information Disclosure in a Contest 竞赛中的部分信息披露
Pub Date : 2021-04-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3808118
Derek J. Clark, Tapas Kundu
Zhang and Zhou (2016) use the concept of Bayesian persuasion due to Kamenica and Gentzkow (2011) to analyze information disclosure in a contest with one-sided asymmetric information. They show that an effort-maximizing designer can manipulate information disclosure to increase expected efforts in the contest, but base their analysis upon active participation in the contest by all types of the informed player. We extend their analysis to equilibria in which some informed types exert no effort in the contest, showing how this changes the type of information disclosure that arises.
Zhang and Zhou(2016)利用Kamenica and Gentzkow(2011)的贝叶斯说服概念分析了信息片面不对称竞争中的信息披露。他们表明,努力最大化的设计师可以操纵信息披露来增加比赛中的预期努力,但他们的分析是基于所有类型的知情玩家对比赛的积极参与。我们将他们的分析扩展到均衡,在这种均衡中,一些知情人士在竞争中不付出任何努力,显示这是如何改变出现的信息披露类型的。
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引用次数: 2
Private Compensation and Organizational Design 私人薪酬与组织设计
Pub Date : 2021-04-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3410479
A. Buffa, Qing Liu, L. White
Most of the literature on organizational design and incentives assumes public contracting. Yet most real world compensation contracts are private information, observed only by their direct signatories. This matters when agents work together to produce a joint output, because they care about each others' incentives. In this case, the principal can gain from designating one agent "team leader," with authority to decide, and hence observe, all the bonuses. Such "outsourcing" of contracting is never optimal with fully public contracts. With private contracts, by contrast, it raises effort by reassuring agents that the incentives provided are sufficiently strong; but it distorts effort allocation, as the team leader takes too much of the compensation budget. Even when observability is held constant, pay delegation can raise output by skewing bonuses towards more productive agents.
大多数关于组织设计和激励的文献都假设公共契约。然而,现实世界中的大多数薪酬合同都是私人信息,只有直接签约方才会遵守。当代理人一起工作以产生共同产出时,这一点很重要,因为他们关心彼此的激励。在这种情况下,委托人可以从指定一个代理“团队领导”中获益,该代理有权决定并观察所有奖金。这种合同的“外包”从来都不是完全公共合同的最佳选择。相比之下,对于私人合同,它通过让代理人相信所提供的激励足够强大,从而加大了努力;但它扭曲了工作分配,因为团队领导占用了太多的薪酬预算。即使在可观察性保持不变的情况下,薪酬授权也可以通过向生产率更高的代理人倾斜奖金来提高产出。
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引用次数: 1
Screening while Controlling an Externality 在控制外部性的同时进行筛选
Pub Date : 2021-03-16 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3823180
Franz Ostrizek, Elia Sartori
We propose a tractable framework to introduce externalities in a screening model. Agents differ in both payoff-type and influence (how strongly their actions affect others). Applications range from pricing network goods to regulating industries that create externalities. Inefficiencies arise only if the payoff-type is unobservable. When both dimensions are unobserved, the optimal allocation satisfies lexicographic monotonicity: increasing along the payoff-type to satisfy incentive compatibility, but tilted towards influential agents to produce the externality. In particular, the allocation depends on a private characteristic that is payoff-irrelevant for the agent. We characterize the solution through a two-step ironing procedure that addresses the nonmonotonicity in virtual values arising from the countervailing impact of payoff-types and influence. If observable, influence is used as a signal of the payoff-type. We provide sufficient conditions for rents from influence to emerge even in a setting featuring atomistic agents.
我们提出了一个易于处理的框架来引入外部性筛选模型。代理人在回报类型和影响力(他们的行为对他人的影响程度)上都有所不同。应用范围从网络商品定价到监管产生外部性的行业。只有当收益类型不可观察时,效率低下才会出现。当两个维度都不存在时,最优配置满足字典单调性:沿收益型增加以满足激励兼容性,但向有影响力的代理人倾斜以产生外部性。特别是,分配依赖于一个对代理来说与收益无关的私有特征。我们通过两步熨平过程来描述解决方案,该过程解决了由收益类型和影响的抵消影响引起的虚拟值的非单调性。如果可观察到,则使用影响作为回报类型的信号。我们提供了充分的条件,即使在一个以原子主体为特征的环境中,也能从影响力中获得租金。
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引用次数: 2
Contracts Without Courts or Clans: How Business Networks Govern Exchange 没有法庭或宗族的契约:商业网络如何管理交易
Pub Date : 2021-03-10 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.3780925
Sadie Blanchard
Legal scholars have long recognized the clan or close-knit community as alternative institutions for supporting trade when contract law and trusted courts are unavailable. But recent research finds that heterogeneous business networks engage in high-stakes transactions that are not fully susceptible to formal, judicially backed contracting. These networks lack features seen as undergirding clan- or community-supported trade. They lack preexisting noncommercial social ties that allow reliable and trusted information to spread at low cost, make exiting the network difficult, and enable coordinated sanctioning of cheaters. Consequently, some leading scholars doubt that these networks are doing the work of sustaining cooperation. Can business networks sustain cooperation? If so, how? This Article offers an answer by presenting and theorizing an original case study into a long-term, sophisticated, high-stakes trade network that relied on neither the court nor the clan. When the gains from trade are sufficiently large, parties can build mechanisms to produce and disseminate reliable information needed to support trade by starting with transactions that align incentives and commit to high transparency about behavior. Parties can then strengthen their commitments by investing in the bilateral relationship and by building a network in which each party is connected to multiple other parties, which facilitates the dissemination of information about behavior in trading relationships. The targeted cultivation of strong personal ties together with the construction of a trading network allow for bonding of higher-risk transactions and a greater variety of transactional terms than can be supported by incentive alignment alone. The reinsurance trade suggests that cultivated, freestanding business networks can support extralegal private ordering under a larger set of circumstances than legal scholars currently appreciate.
法律学者早就认识到,在没有合同法和可信赖的法院的情况下,氏族或紧密联系的社区是支持贸易的另一种制度。但最近的研究发现,异质商业网络从事高风险交易,这些交易不完全容易受到正式的、有司法支持的合同的影响。这些网络缺乏被视为支持部族或社区支持的贸易的特征。他们缺乏预先存在的非商业社会关系,这种关系允许可靠和可信的信息以低成本传播,使退出网络变得困难,并使对作弊者的协调制裁成为可能。因此,一些著名学者怀疑这些网络是否起到了维持合作的作用。商业网络能维持合作吗?如果有,怎么做?本文通过对一个既不依赖朝廷也不依赖宗族的长期、复杂、高风险的贸易网络的原始案例研究,提出并理论化了这个问题的答案。当贸易的收益足够大时,各方可以建立机制,生产和传播支持贸易所需的可靠信息,从协调激励措施和承诺行为高度透明的交易开始。然后,各方可以通过投资双边关系和建立一个网络来加强他们的承诺,在这个网络中,每一方都与多个其他各方联系在一起,这有助于传播有关贸易关系中行为的信息。有针对性地培养强大的个人关系以及建立交易网络,可以将高风险交易和更多样化的交易条件结合起来,而不仅仅是激励一致性所能支持的。再保险行业表明,培育的、独立的业务网络可以在比法律学者目前所认为的更大范围的情况下支持法外私人订购。
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引用次数: 0
The Weight on Earnings in Incentive Contracting: Dynamic Response or Status Quo? 激励契约对收益的影响:动态反应还是现状?
Pub Date : 2021-02-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3796180
Katharine D. Drake, Melissa A. Martin
As firms evolve, the tasks required to generate firm value change, as does the ability of earnings to reflect changes in that value. To the extent earnings differentially captures managers’ effort toward desire tasks, contracting theory suggests its role in incentive pay should also change. However, anecdotal evidence suggests boards often fail to alter the weights on earnings in response to changes in the firm over time, relying instead on the status quo. In this study, we use a large longitudinal sample research design to investigate whether and how boards alter the weight on earnings in bonus contracts as its contracting usefulness changes over time. Our results suggest that although some contract evolution occurs, it often lacks timeliness. We find that boards often rely on contracting decisions made in prior periods, suggesting evidence of the status quo bias. Consistent with the status quo bias affecting board decisions, we document that process accountability mitigates a lack of concurrent contract evolution with shifts in firm evolution. Finally, we show that firms trade off earnings for other more idiosyncratic performance measures, suggesting alternate measures incrementally inform manager effort in early and late stages of firm development.
随着公司的发展,产生公司价值所需的任务发生了变化,盈利反映价值变化的能力也发生了变化。在某种程度上,收入差异反映了管理者对期望任务的努力,契约理论认为,它在激励性薪酬中的作用也应该改变。然而,坊间证据表明,随着时间的推移,董事会往往无法根据公司的变化来改变收益的权重,而是依赖于现状。在本研究中,我们采用大型纵向样本研究设计来调查董事会是否以及如何随着合同有用性随时间的变化而改变奖金合同中收益的权重。我们的研究结果表明,尽管契约发生了一些演变,但往往缺乏时效性。我们发现,董事会往往依赖于之前时期做出的合同决策,这表明存在现状偏见。与影响董事会决策的现状偏见一致,我们证明了过程问责制减轻了公司演变过程中缺乏同步合同演变的情况。最后,我们表明,公司用其他更特殊的绩效指标来权衡收益,表明替代指标在公司发展的早期和后期阶段逐渐告知经理的努力。
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引用次数: 0
Parametric Rules for State Contingent Claims 国家或有债权的参数规则
Pub Date : 2021-02-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3777083
S. Chatterjee, Sinan Ertemel, Rajnish Kumar
We study bankruptcy rules in a setting where individuals have state contingent claims. A rule must distribute shares before uncertainty resolves. Within a wide class of parametric rules, we first characterize rules of ex-ante form in terms of the way that the rule processes inherent uncertainty in the individual claims. The key property is: No Penalty for Risk. It says that the rule does not penalize an individual in a situation that differs from another only in terms of the this individual's claim in that the former situation has a risky version of the riskless claim in the latter situation. With regard to the ex-post characterization, our key property is: Indifference to Independent Combinations. It says that if an individual is risk neutral with expected utility preferences then any rule that makes her indifferent between any bankruptcy problem and a corresponding independent combination of gamble between a degenerate gamble and a zero game (any bankruptcy game with zero endowment) forces the rule to be in the ex-post form. Finally, a partial comparative static result is provided which formalizes the claim that individuals generally and ex-ante rules more appealing when the level of the resource is suffciently low.
我们在个人拥有国家或有债权的情况下研究破产规则。规则必须在不确定性消除之前分配股份。在广泛的参数规则类别中,我们首先根据规则处理个体索赔中固有不确定性的方式来表征事前形式的规则。关键的属性是:没有风险惩罚。它说规则不会惩罚不同情况下的个体仅仅因为这个人的主张不同因为前一种情况下的无风险主张有一个风险版本在后一种情况下。关于事后表征,我们的关键性质是:对独立组合漠不关心。它说,如果一个人是风险中性的,有预期效用偏好,那么任何使她对任何破产问题和相应的退化赌博和零博弈(任何破产博弈和零禀赋)之间的独立赌博组合无动于衷的规则都迫使该规则为事后形式。最后,提供了一个局部的比较静态结果,它正式化了当资源水平足够低时,个人通常和事前规则更有吸引力的主张。
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引用次数: 1
Non-Deal Roadshows, Informed Trading, and Analyst Conflicts of Interest 非交易路演,知情交易和分析师利益冲突
Pub Date : 2021-01-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3302687
D. Bradley, Russell Jame, Jared Williams
Non-deal roadshows (NDRs) are private meetings between management and institutional investors, typically organized by sell-side analysts. We find that around NDRs, local institutional investors trade heavily and profitably, while retail trading is significantly less informed. Analysts who sponsor NDRs issue significantly more optimistic recommendations and target prices, coupled with more “beatable” earnings forecasts, consistent with analysts issuing strategically biased forecasts in order to win NDR business. Our results suggest that NDRs result in a substantial information advantage for institutional investors and create significant conflicts of interests for the analysts that organize them.
非交易路演(ndr)是管理层和机构投资者之间的私人会议,通常由卖方分析师组织。我们发现,围绕存托凭证,本地机构投资者进行了大量且有利可图的交易,而散户投资者的知情程度明显较低。赞助NDR的分析师给出了更为乐观的建议和目标价,同时给出了更为“可战胜”的盈利预测,这与分析师为了赢得NDR业务而发布的有战略偏见的预测相一致。我们的研究结果表明,ndr为机构投资者带来了实质性的信息优势,并为组织它们的分析师带来了重大的利益冲突。
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引用次数: 6
The Crisis of Expertise 专业知识的危机
Pub Date : 2021-01-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3768185
Allen I. K. Vong
A careerist expert advises a sequence of principals on their actions to match a hidden, randomly evolving state. The expert privately knows her competence. The principals learn about the state and the expert’s competence from past advice and past action outcomes, both publicly observable. I find that the equilibrium can feature a “crisis of expertise,” in which principals dismiss a competent expert’s correct advice, and rely only on public information. Notably, the crisis happens precisely when the quality of public information is low, and thus when expert knowledge is much needed. I discuss policy implications for alleviating the crisis.
一个野心家专家建议一系列的原则来配合一个隐藏的,随机发展的状态。专家私下里知道自己的能力。校长从过去的建议和过去的行动结果中了解国家和专家的能力,这两者都是可以公开观察到的。我发现,这种均衡可能会出现“专家危机”,在这种情况下,校长们会忽视有能力的专家的正确建议,而只依赖公共信息。值得注意的是,危机恰恰发生在公共信息质量较低的时候,因此也正是非常需要专家知识的时候。我讨论了缓解危机的政策含义。
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引用次数: 0
Who Should Pay the Bill for Employee Upskilling? 谁应该为员工的技能提升买单?
Pub Date : 2021-01-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3719009
R. Vranceanu, A. Sutan
Upskilling is an investment in human capital that allows a worker to successfully undertake a new task or new project within his/her existing job. It involves costly e⁄ort on behalf of the employee to acquire new skills and new knowledge. In this context, one essential question for managers is whether to invest in workersupskilling or let them pay for the investment in human capital and compensate them accordingly. Using traditional contract theory analysis, we show that the latter choice is not cost-neutral since the most exible workers benet of an informational rent. A prot comparison shows that it might be in the interest of a company to invest in worker upskilling, rather than to rely on worker self-training.
提升技能是对人力资本的一种投资,它使工人能够在现有工作中成功地承担新任务或新项目。代表员工学习新技能和新知识需要付出昂贵的努力。在这种背景下,管理者面临的一个重要问题是,是投资于工人的技能培训,还是让他们为人力资本投资买单,并给予相应的补偿。利用传统的契约理论分析,我们发现后一种选择不是成本中性的,因为最灵活的工人从信息租金中受益。一项项目比较表明,投资于提高工人技能,而不是依靠工人自我培训,可能符合公司的利益。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Microeconomics: Asymmetric & Private Information eJournal
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