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Multi-objective optimization of rice production and environmental sustainability under climate change in the Yangtze River Delta: A DNDC-random forest framework approach 气候变化下长三角水稻生产与环境可持续性多目标优化:dndc -随机森林框架方法
IF 6.4 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.fcr.2026.110357
Shuoshuo Liang , Ping He , Qingnan Chu , Wentian He , Ruochen Li , Xinpeng Xu , Rong Jiang , Shuang Liu , Linkui Cao , Zhimin Sha
The possible solutions for maintaining rice productivity while minimizing environmental impacts under climate change remain unclear. We developed a DNDC-Random Forest (DNDC-RF) framework coupling the process-based DNDC model with random forest machine learning to evaluate rice yield, NH₃ volatilization, and greenhouse gas emissions, and explored optimization potential through multi-objective fertilizer management. The DNDC model demonstrated superior performance in simulating rice yield (R² = 0.83) compared to gaseous emissions (R² = 0.80–0.86), while the DNDC-RF framework achieved enhanced predictive accuracy (R² = 0.93–0.97). Multi-objective optimization using the NSGA-III algorithm identified distinct regional variations in optimal fertilizer management strategies across Yangtze River Delta region, with partial replacement of chemical fertilizer with organic fertilizer (MF) maintaining comparable yields while reducing GHG emissions by 25–35 % compared to conventional practices (CT). Under the SSP126 scenario, both treatments-maintained productivity gains throughout 2021–2100 with yield increases of 21.8–22.4 % during the early period, while SSP585 led to progressive yield declines reaching 42.3 % below baseline levels. Spatial analysis revealed that northern counties demonstrated greater climate resilience, while southern coastal counties showed increased vulnerability. The findings of our study provide scientific support for developing climate-smart agricultural practices that simultaneously enhance productivity and environmental sustainability.
在气候变化的情况下,维持水稻产量同时尽量减少对环境影响的可能解决方案尚不清楚。将基于过程的DNDC模型与随机森林机器学习相结合,建立了DNDC- random Forest (DNDC- rf)框架,用于评估水稻产量、NH₃挥发和温室气体排放,并通过多目标肥料管理探索优化潜力。DNDC模型在模拟水稻产量(R²= 0.83)方面优于气体排放(R²= 0.80-0.86),而DNDC- rf框架的预测精度(R²= 0.93-0.97)更高。使用NSGA-III算法的多目标优化发现了长江三角洲地区最优肥料管理策略的明显区域差异,与传统做法(CT)相比,有机肥料(MF)部分替代化肥(MF)在保持相当产量的同时减少了25 - 35% %的温室气体排放。在SSP126方案下,两种处理在2021-2100年期间都保持了生产力的提高,早期产量增加了21.8 - 22.4% %,而SSP585导致产量逐步下降,比基线水平低42.3% %。空间分析显示,北部县表现出更强的气候适应能力,而南部沿海县则表现出更强的脆弱性。我们的研究结果为发展气候智能型农业实践提供了科学支持,这些实践可以同时提高生产力和环境可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
Utilizing unique irrigation techniques and different phosphorus rates as strategies to improve peanut growth, phosphorus use efficiency and water productivity 利用独特的灌溉技术和不同的施磷量作为提高花生生长、磷利用率和水分生产力的策略
IF 6.4 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.fcr.2025.110322
Ayman M.S. Elshamly , Modhi O. Alotaibi , Mashael M. Alotibi , Maged M. Alharbi , Esawy Mahmoud , Samar Swify , Kassem A.S. Mohammed , Saudi A. Rekaby , Adel M. Ghoneim , Wael A. Mahmoud , Rashid Iqbal , Maximilian Lackner

Objectives

Currently, there is a gap in understanding how fixed partial root-zone irrigation (FDI) and phosphorus (P) levels interact to affect stressed peanut yield and phosphorus use efficiency (PUE), with a particular need for data on their dynamic responses and potential to enhance FDI in arid conditions. Therefore, a two-year field experiment was designed using a split-split plot system to evaluate the impact of partial root-zone irrigation techniques, P application rates, and irrigation levels on peanuts. The experiment's goal was to determine how these factors influence the physio-chemical properties, root development, PUE, overall yield, and water productivity (WP).

Methods

The experimental setup involved two partial root-zone irrigation techniques in the main plots, FDI and alternate partial root-zone driplines (ADI), each with dripline distances of 15 cm and 30 cm from the plant rows, creating four treatments: FDI-15, FDI-30, ADI-15, and ADI-30. Two irrigation levels were applied to the sub-plots, consisting of 100 % and 75 % of the required peanut irrigation. Within these sub-plots, three different P application rates were distributed in the sub-sub plots: 0 kg P ha−1, 45 kg P ha−1, and 72 kg P ha−1.

Results

Variations in wetted area, peanut responses, PUE, yield, and WP were observed depending on the adopted irrigation technique, irrigation level, and P rate. Under FDI-30, the combination of 75 % irrigation level and 72 Kg P ha−1 led to positive outcomes in peanut crops, including higher nutrient content, improved root traits, increased relative water content, greater carbohydrate levels, and enhanced peanut yield and WP. Irrigating plants with 75 % of peanut irrigation amounts and applying 45 Kg P ha−1 using ADI-30 technique resulted in the highest recorded wetted area percentage, relative water content, total chlorophyll, root weight density, K, PUE, overall yield, and WP.

Conclusions

Based on the findings, applying 75 % irrigation level and adopting ADI-30 and 45 kg P ha−1 was recommended to boost peanut yield, PUE, and WP; while achieving efficient use of irrigation and P fertilization amounts. This approach leads to increased profitability, a more resilient farming system, and serves as a model for sustainable water and input management in similar crops and arid regions.
目前,在了解固定部分根区灌溉(FDI)和磷(P)水平如何相互作用影响胁迫花生产量和磷利用效率(PUE)方面存在空白,特别需要关于它们在干旱条件下的动态响应和提高FDI潜力的数据。为此,设计了一项为期2年的田间试验,采用裂畦法评价部分根区灌溉技术、施磷量和灌溉水平对花生的影响。试验的目的是确定这些因素如何影响理化性质、根系发育、PUE、总产量和水分生产力(WP)。方法采用FDI和ADI两种部分根区灌溉技术,分别距植株行15 cm和30 cm,分别设置4种处理:FDI-15、FDI-30、ADI-15和ADI-30。子田施2个灌溉水平,分别为花生需水量的100% %和75% %。在这些子样地中,3个不同的施磷率分布在子样地:0 kg P ha−1、45 kg P ha−1和72 kg P ha−1。结果不同灌溉方式、灌水量和施磷量对受水面积、花生反应、PUE、产量和WP的影响不同。在FDI-30条件下,75% %的灌溉水平和72 Kg P ha - 1的组合对花生作物产生了积极的影响,包括提高养分含量,改善根系性状,增加相对含水量,提高碳水化合物水平,提高花生产量和WP。以花生灌水量的75% %灌溉植株,并使用ADI-30技术施用45 Kg P ha - 1,可获得最高的湿面积百分比、相对含水量、总叶绿素、根重密度、K、PUE、总产量和WP。结论建议以75% %的灌溉水平、ADI-30和45 kg P ha - 1灌溉可提高花生产量、PUE和WP;同时实现灌溉和磷肥用量的有效利用。这种方法提高了盈利能力,增强了农业系统的抵御能力,并可作为类似作物和干旱地区可持续水和投入管理的典范。
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引用次数: 0
Under supplementary irrigation, phosphorus fertilizer input enhances post-anthesis dry matter accumulation and yield by improving canopy characteristics 在补灌条件下,磷肥通过改善冠层特性提高花后干物质积累和产量
IF 5.8 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2026-03-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.fcr.2026.110460
Yakun Li, Huihui Hu, Jianli Liu, Yi Liu, Jianke Xiao, Vinay Nangia, Yang Liu
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引用次数: 0
Simulated impacts of irrigation, planting date, and cultivar maturity on soybean yield and water productivity in a humid subtropical climate 模拟湿润亚热带气候下灌溉、种植日期和品种成熟度对大豆产量和水分生产力的影响
IF 5.8 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2026-03-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.fcr.2026.110432
Mounica Talasila, Maria Morrogh Bernard, Chad Lee, Ole Wendroth, Thiago Berton Ferreira, Gerrit Hoogenboom, Montserrat Salmerón
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引用次数: 0
US maize yield gains have decoupled from the need for higher plant densities 美国玉米产量的增长已经与对更高种植密度的需求脱钩
IF 5.8 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2026-03-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.fcr.2026.110456
Lucas Borras, Alejo Ruiz, Matheus Dalsente Krause, Chris Zinselmeier, Nick Hoffman, Dean Podlich, Matthew Smalley
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引用次数: 0
38 years of micronutrient fertilization, particularly copper, enhance winter wheat yield during drought on the Loess Plateau without yield penalties 38年微量元素(特别是铜)施用可提高黄土高原旱季冬小麦产量,且无减产效应
IF 5.8 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2026-03-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.fcr.2026.110458
Xiaozhou Li, Fu Liu, Yunfei Ren, Jinxia Wang, Haibo Hu, Shuangguo Zhu, Fei Mo
Micronutrients are critical regulators for wheat productivity, yet, the effects of micronutrient fertilization on yield and its key component traits remain poorly understood especially under frequent drought conditions. Moreover, whether long-term micronutrient accumulation poses a latent threat to wheat production remains largely unexplored. Prolonged micronutrient fertilization may also increase their concentrations in wheat grain, thereby influencing dietary intake and potential human health risks.
微量元素是小麦产量的重要调节因子,然而,微量元素施肥对小麦产量及其关键组成性状的影响仍然知之甚少,特别是在频繁干旱条件下。此外,微量元素长期积累是否对小麦生产构成潜在威胁仍未得到充分研究。长期施用微量营养素也可能增加其在小麦谷物中的浓度,从而影响膳食摄入量和潜在的人类健康风险。
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引用次数: 0
Dense planting coupled with optimized irrigation improves rice yield while reducing Cd level in rice grain and CH4 emission from field 密植配以优化灌溉不仅能提高水稻产量,还能降低籽粒镉含量和田间CH4排放
IF 5.8 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2026-03-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.fcr.2026.110455
Zhiwei Tang, Xin Zhang, Aixing Deng, Jun Zhang, Zhenwei Song, Xiangcheng Zhu, Jin Chen, Min Xie, Fu Chen, Weijian Zhang
Water management plays a crucial role in determining rice yield, methane (CH₄) emissions from paddy fields, and cadmium (Cd) level in rice grains. Controlled irrigation can significantly reduce CH₄ emissions from paddy fields, but may increase Cd level in rice grain and decrease yield through excessive drought. To innovate water management practices is urgent to achieve the synergistic goals of higher yields while lowering both CH₄ emissions and Cd level.
水分管理在决定水稻产量、稻田甲烷(CH₄)排放和水稻籽粒镉(Cd)水平方面发挥着关键作用。控制灌溉能显著减少水田中氯氟钾的排放,但也可能导致稻米中镉含量升高,并因过度干旱而减产。创新水管理实践是实现提高产量的协同目标,同时降低氯氟烃排放和镉水平的迫切需要。
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引用次数: 0
Sucrose metabolism and translocation regulate stem–grain biomass partitioning to enhance grain yield in rice 蔗糖代谢和转运调节水稻茎粒生物量分配,提高籽粒产量
IF 5.8 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2026-03-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.fcr.2026.110457
Chen Ni, Jiahao Zhang, Changjin Zhu, Qiuqian Hu, Zhongyang Huo, Qigen Dai, Ke Xu, Guohui Li
Rice yield relies on the efficient allocation of carbon assimilates from source to sink organs. The regulation of carbon flow direction through phloem transport and carbon metabolism is a key factor in determining yield. Identifying factors that determine the allocation of carbon assimilates is crucial for balancing biomass and yield in rice.
水稻产量依赖于碳同化物从源器官到汇器官的有效分配。通过韧皮部运输和碳代谢调节碳流方向是决定产量的关键因素。确定决定碳同化物分配的因素对于平衡水稻生物量和产量至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Rice genetic gains in Ethiopia's rainfed high and low elevation ecologies 埃塞俄比亚雨养高海拔和低海拔生态的水稻遗传收益
IF 5.8 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2026-03-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.fcr.2026.110452
Mulugeta Atnaf, Abebaw Dessie, Zelalem Zewdu, Desta Abebe, Altaye Tiruneh, Assaye Berie, Fisseha Worede, Taddesse Lakew, Assaye Birhanu, Gedifew Gebrie, Solomon Admasu, Geleta Gerema, Tesfaye Mitiku, Negussie Zenna
Rice is the primary food grain for more than half of the world’s population, and is becoming important in Ethiopia. Despite increased rice production in the country, no comprehensive studies have been made so far to quantify the genetic gains made over the years from the national breeding programs.
大米是世界上一半以上人口的主要粮食,在埃塞俄比亚正变得越来越重要。尽管该国的水稻产量有所增加,但迄今为止还没有进行全面的研究来量化多年来从国家育种计划中获得的遗传收益。
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引用次数: 0
Response of source capacity to elevated ozone during grain filling determines ozone sensitivity of wheat cultivars 灌浆期源容量对臭氧升高的响应决定了小麦品种对臭氧的敏感性
IF 6.4 1区 农林科学 Q1 AGRONOMY Pub Date : 2026-03-15 Epub Date: 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.fcr.2025.110296
Yanze Ma , Yansen Xu , Xintong Hu , Evgenios Agathokleous , Kazuhiko Kobayashi , Xinyou Yin , Rong Cao , Zhaozhong Feng

Context

Elevated tropospheric ozone (O3) negatively affects both assimilate production (source) and accumulation (sink), leading to reductions in wheat yield. However, the effects of elevated O3 on source-sink relationships during grain filling in wheat remain unknown.

Objective

The objectives of this study were to investigate the impacts of elevated O3 on source supply, sink growth and their relationship, and to identify the key factors underlying differences in O3 sensitivity among wheat cultivars.

Methods

A two-year field experiment was conducted at a Free-Air O3–Concentration Enrichment (O3–FACE) facility in China to investigate the effects of elevated O3 on 12 wheat cultivars. A model-based analysis of grain weight and aboveground biomass dynamics was used to evaluate the effects of elevated O3 on the source-sink relationship.

Results and conclusions

Elevated O3 significantly reduced grain yield by 12.7 % across cultivars, with yield losses ranging from 2.4 % to 24.7 %. A significant trade-off between grain yield and O3 sensitivity indicated that high-yielding cultivars tend to be more sensitive to O3. Elevated O3 significantly decreased the rate and duration of post-anthesis source supply and sink growth, but the source was more sensitive to O3 than the sink. The remobilization of pre-anthesis carbon reserves was increased by elevated O3, partially mitigating the negative effects of O3 on sink growth in the O3-sensitive cultivars. The sensitivity of cultivars to O3 is primarily attributable to the response of source supply to elevated O3.

Implications

In summary, reducing O3-induced impairment of source capacity and increasing remobilization of carbon reserves under high O3 level are critical strategies for breeding high-yielding and O3-tolerant wheat cultivars.
对流层臭氧(O3)升高对同化物的产生(源)和积累(库)都产生负面影响,导致小麦产量下降。然而,小麦灌浆过程中O3浓度升高对源库关系的影响尚不清楚。目的研究O3浓度升高对小麦源供应、库生长的影响及其相互关系,探讨不同小麦品种O3敏感性差异的关键因素。方法在中国自由空气臭氧浓缩(O3 - face)设施进行为期两年的田间试验,研究高浓度O3对12个小麦品种的影响。通过对籽粒重和地上生物量动态的模型分析,评价了O3升高对源库关系的影响。结果与结论O3浓度显著降低各品种籽粒产量12.7 %,产量损失在2.4 % ~ 24.7 %之间。籽粒产量与O3敏感性之间存在显著的权衡关系,表明高产品种对O3更敏感。O3的升高显著降低了花后源供应和汇生长的速率和持续时间,但源对O3的敏感性高于汇。O3的增加增加了花前碳储量的再动员,部分缓解了O3对O3敏感品种库生长的负面影响。各品种对O3的敏感性主要是由于供源对O3升高的响应。综上所述,在高O3水平下,减少O3对源容量的损害,增加碳储量的再动员是选育高产耐O3小麦品种的关键策略。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Field Crops Research
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