Pub Date : 2024-07-31DOI: 10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101898
As an essential property of frozen soils, change of unfrozen water content (UWC) with temperature, namely soil-freezing characteristic curve (SFCC), plays significant roles in numerous physical, hydraulic and mechanical processes in cold regions, including the heat and water transfer within soils and at the land–atmosphere interface, frost heave and thaw settlement, as well as the simulation of coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical interactions. Although various models have been proposed to estimate SFCC, their applicability remains limited due to their derivation from specific soil types, soil treatments, and test devices. Accordingly, this study proposes a novel data-driven model to predict the SFCC using an extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model. A systematic database for SFCC of frozen soils compiled from extensive experimental investigations via various testing methods was utilized to train the XGBoost model. The predicted soil freezing characteristic curves (SFCC, UWC as a function of temperature) from the well-trained XGBoost model were compared with original experimental data and three conventional models. The results demonstrate the superior performance of the proposed XGBoost model over the traditional models in predicting SFCC. This study provides valuable insights for future investigations regarding the SFCC of frozen soils.
{"title":"Towards an improved prediction of soil-freezing characteristic curve based on extreme gradient boosting model","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101898","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101898","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>As an essential property of frozen soils, change of unfrozen water content (UWC) with temperature, namely soil-freezing characteristic curve (SFCC), plays significant roles in numerous physical, hydraulic and mechanical processes in cold regions, including the heat and water transfer within soils and at the land–atmosphere interface, frost heave and thaw settlement, as well as the simulation of coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical interactions. Although various models have been proposed to estimate SFCC, their applicability remains limited due to their derivation from specific soil types, soil treatments, and test devices. Accordingly, this study proposes a novel data-driven model to predict the SFCC using an extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model. A systematic database for SFCC of frozen soils compiled from extensive experimental investigations via various testing methods was utilized to train the XGBoost model. The predicted soil freezing characteristic curves (SFCC, UWC as a function of temperature) from the well-trained XGBoost model were compared with original experimental data and three conventional models. The results demonstrate the superior performance of the proposed XGBoost model over the traditional models in predicting SFCC. This study provides valuable insights for future investigations regarding the SFCC of frozen soils.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":12711,"journal":{"name":"Geoscience frontiers","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":8.5,"publicationDate":"2024-07-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674987124001221/pdfft?md5=76e5873ce2a825ba0e2599974ea033a8&pid=1-s2.0-S1674987124001221-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141963204","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-19DOI: 10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101895
Green environmental technologies, renewable energy and globalization are interconnected pillars that impact economies and societies. By effectively fostering these resources, environmental policies can help achieve economic prosperity, sustainable development and environmental protection. The current study seeks to address environmental and economic predicaments by empirically examining the role of green technology and renewable energy in influencing the load capacity factor and ecological footprint with the highest ecological impact. Given that these nations are also significant players in the global economy, we also examine the impact of Globalization and economic growth within econometric investigation. The current study uses moments quantile regression (MMQR) as an econometric strategy to report that while innovations in green technology and renewable energy positively influence load factor capacity and help reduce ecological footprint, certain facets of globalization worsen the ecological footprint, thereby unsettling its load factor capacity. These findings underscore the pressing need for policymakers to prioritize integrating environmental and trade policy agreements to ensure progress towards long-term environmental goals.
{"title":"Exploring the impact of green technology, renewable energy and globalization towards environmental sustainability in the top ecological impacted countries","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101895","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101895","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Green environmental technologies, renewable energy and globalization are interconnected pillars that impact economies and societies. By effectively fostering these resources, environmental policies can help achieve economic prosperity, sustainable development and environmental protection. The current study seeks to address environmental and economic predicaments by empirically examining the role of green technology and renewable energy in influencing the load capacity factor and ecological footprint with the highest ecological impact. Given that these nations are also significant players in the global economy, we also examine the impact of Globalization and economic growth within econometric investigation. The current study uses moments quantile regression (MMQR) as an econometric strategy to report that while innovations in green technology and renewable energy positively influence load factor capacity and help reduce ecological footprint, certain facets of globalization worsen the ecological footprint, thereby unsettling its load factor capacity. These findings underscore the pressing need for policymakers to prioritize integrating environmental and trade policy agreements to ensure progress towards long-term environmental goals.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":12711,"journal":{"name":"Geoscience frontiers","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":8.5,"publicationDate":"2024-07-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674987124001191/pdfft?md5=506be48658ac7f53401aa6a22b30756b&pid=1-s2.0-S1674987124001191-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141842411","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-16DOI: 10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101893
A reconciliation of the disagreement on whether financial globalization (FG) affects ecological footprint through the scale, technique and composition effects cannot be achieved without an explicit understanding of the direct and indirect interactions of FG with environmental sustainability. Hence, the novel perspective of this study lies in the investigation of how green innovations moderate the non-linear tendencies in the FG-environmental sustainability link among western African states given the abundance of natural resources and the prevailing pace of economic growth. The core findings are obtained from robust analysis based on cross-sectional autoregressive distributed lag (CS-ARDL) technique, the augmented mean group (AMG) technique, and the common correlated effects mean group (CCEMG) advanced estimators. Firstly, the beneficial ecological impacts of green innovations were observed. As per direct impact, enhanced financial globalization (FG) exhibits non-linear detrimental ecological effects. However, green innovations cushion the observed adverse ecological effects of FG. Furthermore, resource rents reduce ecological footprint within the moderating framework of green innovation as the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) is validated among the states. Additionally, a bidirectional causal link between financial globalization, green innovations, economic growth, natural resources, and ecological footprint was observed. Thus, the significant policy implication is for the West African states to decisively increase their investments in green innovations while strategically encouraging the share of ecologically friendly resources in total resource utilization to guarantee a more sustainable environment.
{"title":"Assessing the palliative aspects of green innovations in the non-linear tendencies of environmental sustainability-financial globalization nexus among West African states","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101893","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101893","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>A reconciliation of the disagreement on whether financial globalization (FG) affects ecological footprint through the scale, technique and composition effects cannot be achieved without an explicit understanding of the direct and indirect interactions of FG with environmental sustainability. Hence, the novel perspective of this study lies in the investigation of how green innovations moderate the non-linear tendencies in the FG-environmental sustainability link among western African states given the abundance of natural resources and the prevailing pace of economic growth. The core findings are obtained from robust analysis based on cross-sectional autoregressive distributed lag (CS-ARDL) technique, the augmented mean group (AMG) technique, and the common correlated effects mean group (CCEMG) advanced estimators. Firstly, the beneficial ecological impacts of green innovations were observed. As per direct impact, enhanced financial globalization (FG) exhibits non-linear detrimental ecological effects. However, green innovations cushion the observed adverse ecological effects of FG. Furthermore, resource rents reduce ecological footprint within the moderating framework of green innovation as the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) is validated among the states. Additionally, a bidirectional causal link between financial globalization, green innovations, economic growth, natural resources, and ecological footprint was observed. Thus, the significant policy implication is for the West African states to decisively increase their investments in green innovations while strategically encouraging the share of ecologically friendly resources in total resource utilization to guarantee a more sustainable environment.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":12711,"journal":{"name":"Geoscience frontiers","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":8.5,"publicationDate":"2024-07-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674987124001178/pdfft?md5=0a05975eebc3b235b269b0c03b83988f&pid=1-s2.0-S1674987124001178-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141714223","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-14DOI: 10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101894
Shallow crustal faults are passive features mobilized by the dissipation of the potential energy and the shear stress accumulated in the brittle volume surrounding them. However, the stored energy in the volume differs from the tectonic setting, i.e., it is mainly gravitational in extensional tectonic settings, whereas it is elastic in strike-slip and contractional tectonic environments. In extensional settings, below about 1 km, the horizontal tensile stress is overwhelmed by the confining pressure of the lithostatic load, and it becomes positive, i.e. compressive. Therefore, there is no horizontal tension in extensional tectonic settings and the pro-gravity motion of the crustal volume is provided by the lithostatic load, which is the vertical maximum principal stress. The elastic energy is rather accumulated by the maximum horizontal principal stresses, i.e., iso-gravity in transcurrent settings and counter-gravity in contractional tectonic settings. The different relation with the gravitational force in the different tectonic settings generates several relevant differences in the three main tectonic environments. The extensional tectonic settings, both in continental and oceanic rift zones generate normal fault-related earthquakes, i.e., pro-gravity movements, or graviquakes. They differ from the other tectonic setting because are marked by (i) lower energy and lower differential stress to activate faults with respect to strike-slip and contractional tectonics; (ii) lower maximum earthquake magnitude; (iii) a larger number of low magnitude earthquakes in extensional settings because the crust moves downward as soon as it can move, whereas contractional settings require larger accumulation of energy to move counter-gravity; (iv) consequently, the b-value of the Gutenberg-Richter is higher than 1 and the aftershocks are more numerous and last longer in extensional settings; (v) the downward motion of the hangingwall determines more diffuse cataclastic deformation with respect to the other tectonic settings because the lithostatic load works everywhere, whereas in the other tectonic settings is concentrated where the elastic energy accumulates; (vi) in extensional settings the volume dimension is determined by thickness of the brittle layer, and its length is in average three times the seismogenic thickness; in strike-slip and contractional settings dominates the elastic energy (elastoquakes), and the mobilized volume may be ten to thirty times longer in a single seismic sequence, being its size proportional both to the brittle thickness and the relative speed of plates. These differences characterize the seismic cycle of graviquakes with respect to the elastoquakes. The bigger the volume, the wider the seismogenic fault in all tectonic settings. The interplay between the horizontal tectonic forces and the lithostatic load, which is ubiquitous, varies in the three main tectonic settings, generating different seismotectonic style
{"title":"Gravitational and elastic energies stored in crustal volumes activate normal versus strike-slip and thrust seismogenic faults","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101894","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101894","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Shallow crustal faults are passive features mobilized by the dissipation of the potential energy and the shear stress accumulated in the brittle volume surrounding them. However, the stored energy in the volume differs from the tectonic setting, i.e., it is mainly gravitational in extensional tectonic settings, whereas it is elastic in strike-slip and contractional tectonic environments. In extensional settings, below about 1 km, the horizontal tensile stress is overwhelmed by the confining pressure of the lithostatic load, and it becomes positive, i.e. compressive. Therefore, there is no horizontal tension in extensional tectonic settings and the pro-gravity motion of the crustal volume is provided by the lithostatic load, which is the vertical maximum principal stress. The elastic energy is rather accumulated by the maximum horizontal principal stresses, i.e., iso-gravity in transcurrent settings and counter-gravity in contractional tectonic settings. The different relation with the gravitational force in the different tectonic settings generates several relevant differences in the three main tectonic environments. The extensional tectonic settings, both in continental and oceanic rift zones generate normal fault-related earthquakes, i.e., pro-gravity movements, or graviquakes. They differ from the other tectonic setting because are marked by (i) lower energy and lower differential stress to activate faults with respect to strike-slip and contractional tectonics; (ii) lower maximum earthquake magnitude; (iii) a larger number of low magnitude earthquakes in extensional settings because the crust moves downward as soon as it can move, whereas contractional settings require larger accumulation of energy to move counter-gravity; (iv) consequently, the <em>b</em>-value of the Gutenberg-Richter is higher than 1 and the aftershocks are more numerous and last longer in extensional settings; (v) the downward motion of the hangingwall determines more diffuse cataclastic deformation with respect to the other tectonic settings because the lithostatic load works everywhere, whereas in the other tectonic settings is concentrated where the elastic energy accumulates; (vi) in extensional settings the volume dimension is determined by thickness of the brittle layer, and its length is in average three times the seismogenic thickness; in strike-slip and contractional settings dominates the elastic energy (elastoquakes), and the mobilized volume may be ten to thirty times longer in a single seismic sequence, being its size proportional both to the brittle thickness and the relative speed of plates. These differences characterize the seismic cycle of graviquakes with respect to the elastoquakes. The bigger the volume, the wider the seismogenic fault in all tectonic settings. The interplay between the horizontal tectonic forces and the lithostatic load, which is ubiquitous, varies in the three main tectonic settings, generating different seismotectonic style","PeriodicalId":12711,"journal":{"name":"Geoscience frontiers","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":8.5,"publicationDate":"2024-07-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S167498712400118X/pdfft?md5=8cf0e7e9dd0d7de86fea8084e438ad0b&pid=1-s2.0-S167498712400118X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141689478","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-14DOI: 10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101892
Extreme fractionation of elements and isotopes in mafic igneous rocks is abnormal in deciphering the source nature and melting conditions of mafic magmatism. Especially, identification of geochemically ultra-depleted mafic melts and their mantle sources has great bearing on the property of crust-mantle differentiation at plate margins. This is illustrated by extreme Hf-Nd isotope fractionation in ultrahigh-pressure eclogites from the Sulu orogen in east-central China. In addition to the previous finding of ultrahigh εNd(0) values, we report here new data of whole-rock trace elements and Lu-Hf isotopes in eclogites and related rocks from the same region. The present results show extremely high Lu/Hf ratios and abnormally high εHf(0) values of up to 576 for the eclogites, significantly different from the garnet amphibolites and other eclogite-facies metamorphic rocks in the same orogen. This feature is coupled with the ultrahigh εNd(0) values as well as the severe depletion of light rare earth elements (LREE) and high field strength elements (HFSE). Because HFSE and LREE are immobile in aqueous solutions and the effect of melt extraction is insignificant during the continental deep subduction, the extreme fractionation of Lu/Hf and Sm/Nd indicate their origination from a geochemically ultra-depleted mantle source. These eclogites have the depleted mantle Hf model ages of 1.27 Ga to 1.61 Ga, similar to the depleted mantle Nd model ages of 1.39 Ga to 1.67 Ga as previously reported. This suggests that the protolith of the extremely high εHf-εNd eclogites was a kind of mafic igneous rocks derived from fractional crystallization of geochemically ultra-depleted mafic melts, which were produced by partial melting of the highly refractory lithospheric mantle during a series of seafloor spreading initiation-failure cycles at a divergent plate margin after the breakup of supercontinent Columbia in the Early Mesoproterozoic. The mafic igneous rocks were located in a passive continental margin in the Late Paleozoic and experienced deep subduction and exhumation in the Triassic, giving rise to the presently studied eclogites. The ancient geochemical signatures were retained without considerable influence by mantle convection, providing insights into the nature of crust-mantle differentiation during the tectonic transition from supercontinental breakup to seafloor spreading beneath the sub-ridge lithospheric mantle.
{"title":"Extreme geochemical fractionation during mantle melting: Insights from Hf-Nd isotopically ultra-depleted eclogite","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101892","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101892","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Extreme fractionation of elements and isotopes in mafic igneous rocks is abnormal in deciphering the source nature and melting conditions of mafic magmatism. Especially, identification of geochemically ultra-depleted mafic melts and their mantle sources has great bearing on the property of crust-mantle differentiation at plate margins. This is illustrated by extreme Hf-Nd isotope fractionation in ultrahigh-pressure eclogites from the Sulu orogen in east-central China. In addition to the previous finding of ultrahigh <em>ε</em><sub>Nd</sub>(0) values, we report here new data of whole-rock trace elements and Lu-Hf isotopes in eclogites and related rocks from the same region. The present results show extremely high Lu/Hf ratios and abnormally high <em>ε</em><sub>Hf</sub>(0) values of up to 576 for the eclogites, significantly different from the garnet amphibolites and other eclogite-facies metamorphic rocks in the same orogen. This feature is coupled with the ultrahigh <em>ε</em><sub>Nd</sub>(0) values as well as the severe depletion of light rare earth elements (LREE) and high field strength elements (HFSE). Because HFSE and LREE are immobile in aqueous solutions and the effect of melt extraction is insignificant during the continental deep subduction, the extreme fractionation of Lu/Hf and Sm/Nd indicate their origination from a geochemically ultra-depleted mantle source. These eclogites have the depleted mantle Hf model ages of 1.27 Ga to 1.61 Ga, similar to the depleted mantle Nd model ages of 1.39 Ga to 1.67 Ga as previously reported. This suggests that the protolith of the extremely high <em>ε</em><sub>Hf</sub>-<em>ε</em><sub>Nd</sub> eclogites was a kind of mafic igneous rocks derived from fractional crystallization of geochemically ultra-depleted mafic melts, which were produced by partial melting of the highly refractory lithospheric mantle during a series of seafloor spreading initiation-failure cycles at a divergent plate margin after the breakup of supercontinent Columbia in the Early Mesoproterozoic. The mafic igneous rocks were located in a passive continental margin in the Late Paleozoic and experienced deep subduction and exhumation in the Triassic, giving rise to the presently studied eclogites. The ancient geochemical signatures were retained without considerable influence by mantle convection, providing insights into the nature of crust-mantle differentiation during the tectonic transition from supercontinental breakup to seafloor spreading beneath the sub-ridge lithospheric mantle.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":12711,"journal":{"name":"Geoscience frontiers","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":8.5,"publicationDate":"2024-07-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674987124001166/pdfft?md5=34b794962b91e1284a8e620aafea41e2&pid=1-s2.0-S1674987124001166-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141690209","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-11DOI: 10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101887
The Permian Fengcheng Formation of the Western Junggar region in the Southwestern Central Asian Orogenic Belt (CAOB) represents one of Earth’s oldest alkali lake deposits. Here, we present a comprehensive study of the stratigraphy, petrography, two-dimensional seismic data, U–Pb geochronology, and Hf isotope analysis of detrital zircons of this deposit. The results, in conjunction with published data, reflect the tectonic evolution of southwestern CAOB. The ages of detrital zircons indicate that the Fengcheng Formation deposition is inferred to have concluded the early Permian Kungurian. The Hf isotopes of detrital zircons indicate that the detritus for the Fengcheng Formation was derived from upper crustal magmatic sources. The West Junggar Basin preserves the records of three Paleozoic tectonic stages. The first stage occurred in the Early Paleozoic and involved intraoceanic subduction and arc-continent collision. The second stage involved the Carboniferous closure of the Junggar Ocean following successive filling of oceanic basins. The final stage occurred in the Early Permian and was related to intracontinental rifting and tectonic inversion. The results of comparing the comprehensive data of U–Pb ages and Hf isotopes of 2537 zircons from West Junggar, Tianshan and Altay show that the orogenic belts to the south of the CAOB experienced similar plate kinematics and vertical crustal growth in the Paleozoic.
{"title":"Evolution of Paleozoic West Junggar Basin, NW China: Seismic data, detrital zircon evidence from Earth’s oldest alkali lake deposit","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101887","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101887","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The Permian Fengcheng Formation of the Western Junggar region in the Southwestern Central Asian Orogenic Belt (CAOB) represents one of Earth’s oldest alkali lake deposits. Here, we present a comprehensive study of the stratigraphy, petrography, two-dimensional seismic data, U–Pb geochronology, and Hf isotope analysis of detrital zircons of this deposit. The results, in conjunction with published data, reflect the tectonic evolution of southwestern CAOB. The ages of detrital zircons indicate that the Fengcheng Formation deposition is inferred to have concluded the early Permian Kungurian. The Hf isotopes of detrital zircons indicate that the detritus for the Fengcheng Formation was derived from upper crustal magmatic sources. The West Junggar Basin preserves the records of three Paleozoic tectonic stages. The first stage occurred in the Early Paleozoic and involved intraoceanic subduction and arc-continent collision. The second stage involved the Carboniferous closure of the Junggar Ocean following successive filling of oceanic basins. The final stage occurred in the Early Permian and was related to intracontinental rifting and tectonic inversion. The results of comparing the comprehensive data of U–Pb ages and Hf isotopes of 2537 zircons from West Junggar, Tianshan and Altay show that the orogenic belts to the south of the CAOB experienced similar plate kinematics and vertical crustal growth in the Paleozoic.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":12711,"journal":{"name":"Geoscience frontiers","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":8.5,"publicationDate":"2024-07-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674987124001117/pdfft?md5=bc68715720bf6e48619f59432be0c868&pid=1-s2.0-S1674987124001117-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141695038","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-10DOI: 10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101889
Flood disasters pose serious threats to human life and property worldwide. Exploring the spatial drivers of flood disasters on a macroscopic scale is of great significance for mitigating their impacts. This study proposes a comprehensive framework for integrating driving-factor optimization and interpretability, while considering spatial heterogeneity. In this framework, the Optimal Parameter-based Geographic Detector (OPGD), Recursive Feature Estimation (RFE), and Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM) models were utilized to construct the OPGD–RFE–LGBM coupled model to identify the essential driving factors and simulate the spatial distribution of flood disasters. The SHapley Additive ExPlanation (SHAP) interpreter was employed to quantitatively explain the driving mechanisms behind the spatial distribution of flood disasters. Yunnan Province, a typical mountainous and plateau area in Southwest China, was selected to implement the proposed framework and conduct a case study. For this purpose, a flood disaster inventory of 7332 historical events was prepared, and 22 potential driving factors related to precipitation, surface environment, and human activity were initially selected. Results revealed that flood disasters in Yunnan Province exhibit high spatial heterogeneity, with geomorphic zoning accounting for 66.1% of the spatial variation in historical flood disasters. The OPGD–RFE–LGBM coupled model offers clear advantages over a single LGBM in identifying essential driving factors and quantitatively analyzing their impacts. Moreover, the simulation performance shows a slight improvement (a 6% average decrease in RMSE and an average increase of 1% in R2) even with reduced factor data. Factor explanatory analysis indicated that the combination of the essential driving factor sets varied across different subregions; nevertheless, precipitation-related factors, such as precipitation intensity index (SDII), wet days (R10MM), and 5-day maximum precipitation (RX5day), were the main driving factors controlling flood disasters. This study provides a quantitative analytical framework for the spatial drivers of flood disasters at large scales with significant heterogeneity, offering a reference for disaster management authorities in developing macro-strategies for disaster prevention.
{"title":"A comprehensive framework for assessing the spatial drivers of flood disasters using an optimal Parameter-based geographical Detector–machine learning coupled model","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101889","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101889","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Flood disasters pose serious threats to human life and property worldwide. Exploring the spatial drivers of flood disasters on a macroscopic scale is of great significance for mitigating their impacts. This study proposes a comprehensive framework for integrating driving-factor optimization and interpretability, while considering spatial heterogeneity. In this framework, the Optimal Parameter-based Geographic Detector (OPGD), Recursive Feature Estimation (RFE), and Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM) models were utilized to construct the OPGD–RFE–LGBM coupled model to identify the essential driving factors and simulate the spatial distribution of flood disasters. The SHapley Additive ExPlanation (SHAP) interpreter was employed to quantitatively explain the driving mechanisms behind the spatial distribution of flood disasters. Yunnan Province, a typical mountainous and plateau area in Southwest China, was selected to implement the proposed framework and conduct a case study. For this purpose, a flood disaster inventory of 7332 historical events was prepared, and 22 potential driving factors related to precipitation, surface environment, and human activity were initially selected. Results revealed that flood disasters in Yunnan Province exhibit high spatial heterogeneity, with geomorphic zoning accounting for 66.1% of the spatial variation in historical flood disasters. The OPGD–RFE–LGBM coupled model offers clear advantages over a single LGBM in identifying essential driving factors and quantitatively analyzing their impacts. Moreover, the simulation performance shows a slight improvement (a 6% average decrease in RMSE and an average increase of 1% in R<sup>2</sup>) even with reduced factor data. Factor explanatory analysis indicated that the combination of the essential driving factor sets varied across different subregions; nevertheless, precipitation-related factors, such as precipitation intensity index (SDII), wet days (R10MM), and 5-day maximum precipitation (RX5day), were the main driving factors controlling flood disasters. This study provides a quantitative analytical framework for the spatial drivers of flood disasters at large scales with significant heterogeneity, offering a reference for disaster management authorities in developing macro-strategies for disaster prevention.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":12711,"journal":{"name":"Geoscience frontiers","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":8.5,"publicationDate":"2024-07-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674987124001130/pdfft?md5=79932d4add0219c47507012ae13a4e22&pid=1-s2.0-S1674987124001130-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141699649","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-09DOI: 10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101890
Yingdong Wei , Haijun Qiu , Zijing Liu , Wenchao Huangfu , Yaru Zhu , Ya Liu , Dongdong Yang , Ulrich Kamp
Landslide susceptibility assessment is crucial in predicting landslide occurrence and potential risks. However, traditional methods usually emphasize on larger regions of landsliding and rely on relatively static environmental conditions, which exposes the hysteresis of landslide susceptibility assessment in refined-scale and temporal dynamic changes. This study presents an improved landslide susceptibility assessment approach by integrating machine learning models based on random forest (RF), logical regression (LR), and gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) with interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) technology and comparing them to their respective original models. The results demonstrated that the combined approach improves prediction accuracy and reduces the false negative and false positive errors. The LR-InSAR model showed the best performance in dynamic landslide susceptibility assessment at both regional and smaller scale, particularly when identifying areas of high and very high susceptibility. Modeling results were verified using data from field investigations including unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) flights. This study is of great significance to accurately assess dynamic landslide susceptibility and to help reduce and prevent landslide risk.
{"title":"Refined and dynamic susceptibility assessment of landslides using InSAR and machine learning models","authors":"Yingdong Wei , Haijun Qiu , Zijing Liu , Wenchao Huangfu , Yaru Zhu , Ya Liu , Dongdong Yang , Ulrich Kamp","doi":"10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101890","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101890","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Landslide susceptibility assessment is crucial in predicting landslide occurrence and potential risks. However, traditional methods usually emphasize on larger regions of landsliding and rely on relatively static environmental conditions, which exposes the hysteresis of landslide susceptibility assessment in refined-scale and temporal dynamic changes. This study presents an improved landslide susceptibility assessment approach by integrating machine learning models based on random forest (RF), logical regression (LR), and gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) with interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) technology and comparing them to their respective original models. The results demonstrated that the combined approach improves prediction accuracy and reduces the false negative and false positive errors. The LR-InSAR model showed the best performance in dynamic landslide susceptibility assessment at both regional and smaller scale, particularly when identifying areas of high and very high susceptibility. Modeling results were verified using data from field investigations including unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) flights. This study is of great significance to accurately assess dynamic landslide susceptibility and to help reduce and prevent landslide risk.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":12711,"journal":{"name":"Geoscience frontiers","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":8.5,"publicationDate":"2024-07-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674987124001142/pdfft?md5=0d8694f65c81f2b7b5d42e3cafe8315b&pid=1-s2.0-S1674987124001142-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141607740","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-07-07DOI: 10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101888
High arsenic (As) groundwater is a global problem primarily originating from As-enriched sediments. The provenance (source) and release mechanisms (sinks) of high As sediment have been identified, but the source-sink transfer is poorly understood, especially the influence of geological and surface processes. In this study, we explore the roles of tectonic movement and Yellow River evolution in provenance formation processes and evaluate the combined effects of provenance and sediment age on the As content of aquifer sediments in the northern Hetao Basin of Inner Mongolia. Based on optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) and 14C dating and detrital zircon U-Pb, As content, and lithological analyses of a 400 m core, we reconstructed As changes over the last 160 ka. Our results show clay deposited in a paleo-lake during the Gonghe movement period in the late Pleistocene (∼100 ka B.P.) is enriched in As (31.8 μg/g) due to significant provenance contributions of the As-bearing Langshan Group under tectonic uplift and mountain erosion. In contrast, clay deposited in the middle Pleistocene (∼160 ka B.P.) has lower As content (7.3 μg/g) due to the Yellow River as the primary provenance. Accordingly, the provenance of basin As forced by tectonic uplift and Yellow River evolution determines the background As of aquifer sediments. After deposition, sediment As content decays over time, with higher decay rates in coarse-grained sands than fine-grained. Overall, both provenance formation and sediment age, representing initial and dynamic states of solid phase As, jointly determine the As content of aquifer sediments. More solid phase As provided by younger sediments from the proximal orogenic provenance and reducing conditions due to frequent river–lake transitions, jointly lead to higher As concentrations in shallow groundwater. The study highlights the potential for using a combined analysis of the tectonic movement-surface processes-environment system to improve understanding of geogenic high As groundwater over global large sedimentary basins in the proximity of young orogenic belts.
高砷(As)地下水是一个全球性问题,主要源自富含砷的沉积物。高砷沉积物的产地(源)和释放机制(汇)已经确定,但对源汇转移,尤其是地质和地表过程的影响了解甚少。在本研究中,我们探讨了构造运动和黄河演变在产状形成过程中的作用,并评估了产状和沉积年龄对内蒙古河套盆地北部含水层沉积物中 As 含量的综合影响。基于光学激发发光(OSL)和14C测年法,以及对400米岩心的碎屑锆石U-Pb、As含量和岩性分析,我们重建了过去160ka的As变化。结果表明,晚更新世(公元前100 ka)共和运动时期沉积在古湖泊中的粘土富含As(31.8 μg/g),这是由于在构造抬升和山体侵蚀作用下,含As的兰山组对其来源有重要贡献。相比之下,中更新世(公元前 160 ka 年)沉积的粘土由于以黄河为主要产地,As 含量较低(7.3 μg/g)。因此,受构造隆升和黄河演变的影响,盆地砷的来源决定了含水层沉积物的本底砷含量。沉积后,沉积物的 As 含量随时间衰减,粗粒砂的衰减率高于细粒砂。总体而言,代表固相砷初始状态和动态状态的产地形成和沉积年龄共同决定了含水层沉积物的砷含量。来自近源成因的年轻沉积物提供了更多的固相砷,而频繁的河流-湖泊转换又导致了条件的降低,这两者共同导致了浅层地下水中更高的砷浓度。该研究强调了利用构造运动-地表过程-环境系统的综合分析来提高对年轻造山带附近全球大型沉积盆地的成因性高砷地下水的认识的潜力。
{"title":"Late Quaternary tectonic uplift and Yellow River evolution create high arsenic aquifers in the Hetao Basin, China","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101888","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101888","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>High arsenic (As) groundwater is a global problem primarily originating from As-enriched sediments. The provenance (source) and release mechanisms (sinks) of high As sediment have been identified, but the source-sink transfer is poorly understood, especially the influence of geological and surface processes. In this study, we explore the roles of tectonic movement and Yellow River evolution in provenance formation processes and evaluate the combined effects of provenance and sediment age on the As content of aquifer sediments in the northern Hetao Basin of Inner Mongolia. Based on optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) and <sup>14</sup>C dating and detrital zircon U-Pb, As content, and lithological analyses of a 400 m core, we reconstructed As changes over the last 160 ka. Our results show clay deposited in a paleo-lake during the Gonghe movement period in the late Pleistocene (∼100 ka B.P.) is enriched in As (31.8 μg/g) due to significant provenance contributions of the As-bearing Langshan Group under tectonic uplift and mountain erosion. In contrast, clay deposited in the middle Pleistocene (∼160 ka B.P.) has lower As content (7.3 μg/g) due to the Yellow River as the primary provenance. Accordingly, the provenance of basin As forced by tectonic uplift and Yellow River evolution determines the background As of aquifer sediments. After deposition, sediment As content decays over time, with higher decay rates in coarse-grained sands than fine-grained. Overall, both provenance formation and sediment age, representing initial and dynamic states of solid phase As, jointly determine the As content of aquifer sediments. More solid phase As provided by younger sediments from the proximal orogenic provenance and reducing conditions due to frequent river–lake transitions, jointly lead to higher As concentrations in shallow groundwater. The study highlights the potential for using a combined analysis of the tectonic movement-surface processes-environment system to improve understanding of geogenic high As groundwater over global large sedimentary basins in the proximity of young orogenic belts.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":12711,"journal":{"name":"Geoscience frontiers","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":8.5,"publicationDate":"2024-07-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674987124001129/pdfft?md5=1a73f692a02896a35a5b51b22949152c&pid=1-s2.0-S1674987124001129-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141708641","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}