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Towards an improved prediction of soil-freezing characteristic curve based on extreme gradient boosting model 基于极端梯度提升模型改进土壤冻结特征曲线预测
IF 8.5 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101898

As an essential property of frozen soils, change of unfrozen water content (UWC) with temperature, namely soil-freezing characteristic curve (SFCC), plays significant roles in numerous physical, hydraulic and mechanical processes in cold regions, including the heat and water transfer within soils and at the land–atmosphere interface, frost heave and thaw settlement, as well as the simulation of coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical interactions. Although various models have been proposed to estimate SFCC, their applicability remains limited due to their derivation from specific soil types, soil treatments, and test devices. Accordingly, this study proposes a novel data-driven model to predict the SFCC using an extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model. A systematic database for SFCC of frozen soils compiled from extensive experimental investigations via various testing methods was utilized to train the XGBoost model. The predicted soil freezing characteristic curves (SFCC, UWC as a function of temperature) from the well-trained XGBoost model were compared with original experimental data and three conventional models. The results demonstrate the superior performance of the proposed XGBoost model over the traditional models in predicting SFCC. This study provides valuable insights for future investigations regarding the SFCC of frozen soils.

作为冻土的一项基本属性,未冻含水量(UWC)随温度的变化,即土壤冻结特性曲线(SFCC),在寒冷地区的许多物理、水力和机械过程中发挥着重要作用,包括土壤内部和土地-大气界面的热量和水分传递、冻胀和融化沉降,以及热-水-机械耦合相互作用的模拟。虽然已经提出了各种估算 SFCC 的模型,但由于这些模型是根据特定的土壤类型、土壤处理方法和测试设备推导出来的,因此其适用性仍然有限。因此,本研究提出了一种新颖的数据驱动模型,利用极端梯度提升(XGBoost)模型预测 SFCC。在训练 XGBoost 模型时,使用了一个系统的冻土 SFCC 数据库,该数据库是通过各种测试方法进行大量实验研究后编制而成的。将训练有素的 XGBoost 模型预测的土壤冻结特征曲线(SFCC、UWC 与温度的函数关系)与原始实验数据和三种传统模型进行了比较。结果表明,所提出的 XGBoost 模型在预测 SFCC 方面的性能优于传统模型。这项研究为今后研究冻土的 SFCC 提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
IF 8.5 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101897
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the impact of green technology, renewable energy and globalization towards environmental sustainability in the top ecological impacted countries 探索绿色技术、可再生能源和全球化对生态影响最大的国家环境可持续性的影响
IF 8.5 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101895

Green environmental technologies, renewable energy and globalization are interconnected pillars that impact economies and societies. By effectively fostering these resources, environmental policies can help achieve economic prosperity, sustainable development and environmental protection. The current study seeks to address environmental and economic predicaments by empirically examining the role of green technology and renewable energy in influencing the load capacity factor and ecological footprint with the highest ecological impact. Given that these nations are also significant players in the global economy, we also examine the impact of Globalization and economic growth within econometric investigation. The current study uses moments quantile regression (MMQR) as an econometric strategy to report that while innovations in green technology and renewable energy positively influence load factor capacity and help reduce ecological footprint, certain facets of globalization worsen the ecological footprint, thereby unsettling its load factor capacity. These findings underscore the pressing need for policymakers to prioritize integrating environmental and trade policy agreements to ensure progress towards long-term environmental goals.

绿色环保技术、可再生能源和全球化是影响经济和社会的相互关联的支柱。通过有效利用这些资源,环境政策有助于实现经济繁荣、可持续发展和环境保护。本研究试图通过实证研究绿色技术和可再生能源对生态影响最大的负载能力系数和生态足迹的影响作用,来解决环境和经济困境。鉴于这些国家也是全球经济的重要参与者,我们还在计量经济学研究中考察了全球化和经济增长的影响。目前的研究采用矩量回归(MMQR)作为计量经济学策略,结果表明,虽然绿色技术和可再生能源方面的创新对负载系数能力有积极影响,并有助于减少生态足迹,但全球化的某些方面会恶化生态足迹,从而影响其负载系数能力。这些发现突出表明,决策者迫切需要优先考虑整合环境和贸易政策协定,以确保在实现长期环境目标方面取得进展。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the palliative aspects of green innovations in the non-linear tendencies of environmental sustainability-financial globalization nexus among West African states 评估西非国家在环境可持续性-金融全球化非线性关系中绿色创新的缓和方面
IF 8.5 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101893

A reconciliation of the disagreement on whether financial globalization (FG) affects ecological footprint through the scale, technique and composition effects cannot be achieved without an explicit understanding of the direct and indirect interactions of FG with environmental sustainability. Hence, the novel perspective of this study lies in the investigation of how green innovations moderate the non-linear tendencies in the FG-environmental sustainability link among western African states given the abundance of natural resources and the prevailing pace of economic growth. The core findings are obtained from robust analysis based on cross-sectional autoregressive distributed lag (CS-ARDL) technique, the augmented mean group (AMG) technique, and the common correlated effects mean group (CCEMG) advanced estimators. Firstly, the beneficial ecological impacts of green innovations were observed. As per direct impact, enhanced financial globalization (FG) exhibits non-linear detrimental ecological effects. However, green innovations cushion the observed adverse ecological effects of FG. Furthermore, resource rents reduce ecological footprint within the moderating framework of green innovation as the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) is validated among the states. Additionally, a bidirectional causal link between financial globalization, green innovations, economic growth, natural resources, and ecological footprint was observed. Thus, the significant policy implication is for the West African states to decisively increase their investments in green innovations while strategically encouraging the share of ecologically friendly resources in total resource utilization to guarantee a more sustainable environment.

如果不明确了解金融全球化与环境可持续性之间的直接和间接相互作用,就无法调和关于金融全球化是否通过规模、技术和构成效应影响生态足迹的分歧。因此,本研究的新视角在于调查在自然资源丰富、经济增长速度普遍较快的情况下,绿色创新如何缓和西非国家在金融全球化与环境可持续性之间的非线性趋势。基于横截面自回归分布滞后(CS-ARDL)技术、增强均值组(AMG)技术和共同相关效应均值组(CCEMG)高级估计器的稳健分析得出了核心结论。首先,观察了绿色创新对生态环境的有利影响。就直接影响而言,金融全球化(FG)的加强表现出非线性的有害生态效应。然而,绿色创新可以缓解所观察到的金融全球化对生态环境的不利影响。此外,在绿色创新的调节框架内,资源租金减少了生态足迹,因为环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)在各州之间得到了验证。此外,还观察到金融全球化、绿色创新、经济增长、自然资源和生态足迹之间存在双向因果联系。因此,重要的政策含义是,西非国家应果断增加对绿色创新的投资,同时从战略上鼓励生态友好型资源在资源利用总量中所占的份额,以确保环境更具可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
Gravitational and elastic energies stored in crustal volumes activate normal versus strike-slip and thrust seismogenic faults 地壳体积中储存的重力和弹性能量激活正断层与走向滑动断层和推覆地震断层
IF 8.5 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101894

Shallow crustal faults are passive features mobilized by the dissipation of the potential energy and the shear stress accumulated in the brittle volume surrounding them. However, the stored energy in the volume differs from the tectonic setting, i.e., it is mainly gravitational in extensional tectonic settings, whereas it is elastic in strike-slip and contractional tectonic environments. In extensional settings, below about 1 km, the horizontal tensile stress is overwhelmed by the confining pressure of the lithostatic load, and it becomes positive, i.e. compressive. Therefore, there is no horizontal tension in extensional tectonic settings and the pro-gravity motion of the crustal volume is provided by the lithostatic load, which is the vertical maximum principal stress. The elastic energy is rather accumulated by the maximum horizontal principal stresses, i.e., iso-gravity in transcurrent settings and counter-gravity in contractional tectonic settings. The different relation with the gravitational force in the different tectonic settings generates several relevant differences in the three main tectonic environments. The extensional tectonic settings, both in continental and oceanic rift zones generate normal fault-related earthquakes, i.e., pro-gravity movements, or graviquakes. They differ from the other tectonic setting because are marked by (i) lower energy and lower differential stress to activate faults with respect to strike-slip and contractional tectonics; (ii) lower maximum earthquake magnitude; (iii) a larger number of low magnitude earthquakes in extensional settings because the crust moves downward as soon as it can move, whereas contractional settings require larger accumulation of energy to move counter-gravity; (iv) consequently, the b-value of the Gutenberg-Richter is higher than 1 and the aftershocks are more numerous and last longer in extensional settings; (v) the downward motion of the hangingwall determines more diffuse cataclastic deformation with respect to the other tectonic settings because the lithostatic load works everywhere, whereas in the other tectonic settings is concentrated where the elastic energy accumulates; (vi) in extensional settings the volume dimension is determined by thickness of the brittle layer, and its length is in average three times the seismogenic thickness; in strike-slip and contractional settings dominates the elastic energy (elastoquakes), and the mobilized volume may be ten to thirty times longer in a single seismic sequence, being its size proportional both to the brittle thickness and the relative speed of plates. These differences characterize the seismic cycle of graviquakes with respect to the elastoquakes. The bigger the volume, the wider the seismogenic fault in all tectonic settings. The interplay between the horizontal tectonic forces and the lithostatic load, which is ubiquitous, varies in the three main tectonic settings, generating different seismotectonic style

浅层地壳断层是一种被动地貌,通过消散其周围脆性体积中积累的势能和剪应力而被调动起来。然而,脆性体积中储存的能量因构造环境而异,即在伸展构造环境中主要是重力能量,而在走向滑动和收缩构造环境中则是弹性能量。在伸展构造环境中,大约 1 千米以下的水平拉应力会被岩性荷载的约束压力压垮,变成正应力,即压应力。因此,在伸展构造环境中不存在水平拉力,地壳体积的顺重力运动由岩石静载荷提供,即垂直方向的最大主应力。弹性能量则由最大水平主应力积累,即在横断构造环境中为等重力,在收缩构造环境中为反重力。在不同的构造环境中,与重力的不同关系导致三大构造环境存在若干相关差异。大陆裂谷带和大洋裂谷带的伸展构造环境会产生与正常断层有关的地震,即顺重力运动或重力地震。它们与其他构造背景不同,因为它们的特点是:(i) 相对于走向滑动构造和收缩构造,激活断层的能量较低,应力差也较小;(ii) 最大震级较低;(iii) 在伸展构造中,低震级地震的数量较多,因为地壳在能够运动时就会向下运动,而收缩构造则需要积累更多的能量才能反重力运动; (iv) 因此,在伸展构造中,古腾堡-里希特的 b 值高于 1,余震数量较多,持续时间较长;(v) 与其他构造背景相比,悬壁的向下运动决定了更分散的碎屑岩变形,因为岩石静力荷载在任何地方都起作用,而在其他构造背景中,岩石静力荷载集中在弹性能量积聚的地方;(vi) 在伸展构造中,体积大小由脆性层厚度决定,其长度平均为成震厚度的三倍;而在走向滑动和收缩构造中,弹性能量(弹震)占主导地位,在一个地震序列中,动员的体积可能长 10 到 30 倍,其大小与脆性层厚度和板块的相对速度成正比。与弹塑性地震相比,重力地震的地震周期存在这些差异。在所有构造环境中,体积越大,致震断层越宽。水平构造力和岩石载荷之间的相互作用无处不在,但在三大构造环境中却各不相同,从而产生了不同的地震构造样式,并且随着垂直引力的作用相对于弹性存储和共震反弹而言成为少数,引力作用的强度也会增加。
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引用次数: 0
Extreme geochemical fractionation during mantle melting: Insights from Hf-Nd isotopically ultra-depleted eclogite 地幔熔融过程中的极端地球化学分馏:从Hf-Nd同位素超贫化蚀变岩中获得的启示
IF 8.5 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101892

Extreme fractionation of elements and isotopes in mafic igneous rocks is abnormal in deciphering the source nature and melting conditions of mafic magmatism. Especially, identification of geochemically ultra-depleted mafic melts and their mantle sources has great bearing on the property of crust-mantle differentiation at plate margins. This is illustrated by extreme Hf-Nd isotope fractionation in ultrahigh-pressure eclogites from the Sulu orogen in east-central China. In addition to the previous finding of ultrahigh εNd(0) values, we report here new data of whole-rock trace elements and Lu-Hf isotopes in eclogites and related rocks from the same region. The present results show extremely high Lu/Hf ratios and abnormally high εHf(0) values of up to 576 for the eclogites, significantly different from the garnet amphibolites and other eclogite-facies metamorphic rocks in the same orogen. This feature is coupled with the ultrahigh εNd(0) values as well as the severe depletion of light rare earth elements (LREE) and high field strength elements (HFSE). Because HFSE and LREE are immobile in aqueous solutions and the effect of melt extraction is insignificant during the continental deep subduction, the extreme fractionation of Lu/Hf and Sm/Nd indicate their origination from a geochemically ultra-depleted mantle source. These eclogites have the depleted mantle Hf model ages of 1.27 Ga to 1.61 Ga, similar to the depleted mantle Nd model ages of 1.39 Ga to 1.67 Ga as previously reported. This suggests that the protolith of the extremely high εHf-εNd eclogites was a kind of mafic igneous rocks derived from fractional crystallization of geochemically ultra-depleted mafic melts, which were produced by partial melting of the highly refractory lithospheric mantle during a series of seafloor spreading initiation-failure cycles at a divergent plate margin after the breakup of supercontinent Columbia in the Early Mesoproterozoic. The mafic igneous rocks were located in a passive continental margin in the Late Paleozoic and experienced deep subduction and exhumation in the Triassic, giving rise to the presently studied eclogites. The ancient geochemical signatures were retained without considerable influence by mantle convection, providing insights into the nature of crust-mantle differentiation during the tectonic transition from supercontinental breakup to seafloor spreading beneath the sub-ridge lithospheric mantle.

黑云母火成岩中元素和同位素的极端分馏在破译黑云母岩浆的来源性质和熔融条件方面是不正常的。特别是,地球化学超贫化岩浆熔体及其地幔源的识别,对板块边缘地壳-地幔分异的性质有重大影响。中国中东部苏禄造山带超高压蚀变岩中极端的 Hf-Nd 同位素分馏就说明了这一点。除了之前发现的超高εNd(0)值之外,我们还在此报告了同一地区斜长岩及相关岩石中全岩石痕量元素和Lu-Hf同位素的新数据。本研究结果表明,埃云母岩中的Lu/Hf比值极高,εHf(0)值也异常高,高达576,与同一造山带的石榴石闪长岩和其他埃云母变质岩有明显不同。这一特征与超高的εNd(0)值以及轻稀土元素(LREE)和高场强元素(HFSE)的严重贫化密切相关。由于轻稀土元素和高场强元素在水溶液中不流动,而且在大陆深俯冲过程中熔体萃取的影响不大,Lu/Hf 和 Sm/Nd 的极端分馏表明它们源自地球化学超贫化的地幔源。这些蚀变岩的贫化地幔Hf模型年龄为1.27 Ga至1.61 Ga,与之前报道的贫化地幔Nd模型年龄1.39 Ga至1.67 Ga相似。这表明极高εHf-εNd蚀变岩的原岩是一种由地球化学超贫化岩浆岩碎裂结晶而成的岩浆火成岩,是在早中新生代哥伦比亚超大陆解体后,在分异板块边缘的一系列海底扩张启动-失败循环过程中,高耐火度岩石圈地幔部分熔融产生的。黑云母火成岩位于晚古生代的被动大陆边缘,在三叠纪经历了深度俯冲和掘起,形成了目前研究的蚀变岩。古老的地球化学特征得以保留,没有受到地幔对流的严重影响,这为我们深入了解从超大陆断裂到次脊岩石圈地幔下海底扩张的构造转变过程中壳幔分异的性质提供了启示。
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引用次数: 0
Evolution of Paleozoic West Junggar Basin, NW China: Seismic data, detrital zircon evidence from Earth’s oldest alkali lake deposit 中国西北部古生代西准噶尔盆地的演化:来自地球最古老碱湖矿床的地震数据和碎屑锆石证据
IF 8.5 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101887

The Permian Fengcheng Formation of the Western Junggar region in the Southwestern Central Asian Orogenic Belt (CAOB) represents one of Earth’s oldest alkali lake deposits. Here, we present a comprehensive study of the stratigraphy, petrography, two-dimensional seismic data, U–Pb geochronology, and Hf isotope analysis of detrital zircons of this deposit. The results, in conjunction with published data, reflect the tectonic evolution of southwestern CAOB. The ages of detrital zircons indicate that the Fengcheng Formation deposition is inferred to have concluded the early Permian Kungurian. The Hf isotopes of detrital zircons indicate that the detritus for the Fengcheng Formation was derived from upper crustal magmatic sources. The West Junggar Basin preserves the records of three Paleozoic tectonic stages. The first stage occurred in the Early Paleozoic and involved intraoceanic subduction and arc-continent collision. The second stage involved the Carboniferous closure of the Junggar Ocean following successive filling of oceanic basins. The final stage occurred in the Early Permian and was related to intracontinental rifting and tectonic inversion. The results of comparing the comprehensive data of U–Pb ages and Hf isotopes of 2537 zircons from West Junggar, Tianshan and Altay show that the orogenic belts to the south of the CAOB experienced similar plate kinematics and vertical crustal growth in the Paleozoic.

位于中亚造山带西南部准噶尔西部地区的二叠纪凤城地层是地球上最古老的碱湖矿床之一。在此,我们对该矿床的地层学、岩相学、二维地震数据、U-Pb地质年代学以及碎屑锆石的Hf同位素分析进行了全面研究。这些结果与已公布的数据相结合,反映了 CAOB 西南部的构造演化。碎屑锆石的年龄表明,凤城地层沉积可推断为二叠纪昆古界早期。碎屑锆石的Hf同位素表明,凤城地层的碎屑来源于上地壳岩浆。西准噶尔盆地保留了三个古生代构造阶段的记录。第一阶段发生在早古生代,涉及洋内俯冲和弧洲碰撞。第二阶段涉及石炭纪准噶尔洋的关闭,之后大洋盆地相继被填平。最后一个阶段发生在早二叠世,与大陆内部断裂和构造反转有关。通过比较西准噶尔、天山和阿勒泰地区 2537 个锆石的 U-Pb 年龄和 Hf 同位素的综合数据,结果表明 CAOB 南部的造山带在古生代经历了相似的板块运动学和地壳垂直生长。
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引用次数: 0
A comprehensive framework for assessing the spatial drivers of flood disasters using an optimal Parameter-based geographical Detector–machine learning coupled model 利用基于参数的最优地理检测器-机器学习耦合模型评估洪水灾害空间驱动因素的综合框架
IF 8.5 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101889

Flood disasters pose serious threats to human life and property worldwide. Exploring the spatial drivers of flood disasters on a macroscopic scale is of great significance for mitigating their impacts. This study proposes a comprehensive framework for integrating driving-factor optimization and interpretability, while considering spatial heterogeneity. In this framework, the Optimal Parameter-based Geographic Detector (OPGD), Recursive Feature Estimation (RFE), and Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM) models were utilized to construct the OPGD–RFE–LGBM coupled model to identify the essential driving factors and simulate the spatial distribution of flood disasters. The SHapley Additive ExPlanation (SHAP) interpreter was employed to quantitatively explain the driving mechanisms behind the spatial distribution of flood disasters. Yunnan Province, a typical mountainous and plateau area in Southwest China, was selected to implement the proposed framework and conduct a case study. For this purpose, a flood disaster inventory of 7332 historical events was prepared, and 22 potential driving factors related to precipitation, surface environment, and human activity were initially selected. Results revealed that flood disasters in Yunnan Province exhibit high spatial heterogeneity, with geomorphic zoning accounting for 66.1% of the spatial variation in historical flood disasters. The OPGD–RFE–LGBM coupled model offers clear advantages over a single LGBM in identifying essential driving factors and quantitatively analyzing their impacts. Moreover, the simulation performance shows a slight improvement (a 6% average decrease in RMSE and an average increase of 1% in R2) even with reduced factor data. Factor explanatory analysis indicated that the combination of the essential driving factor sets varied across different subregions; nevertheless, precipitation-related factors, such as precipitation intensity index (SDII), wet days (R10MM), and 5-day maximum precipitation (RX5day), were the main driving factors controlling flood disasters. This study provides a quantitative analytical framework for the spatial drivers of flood disasters at large scales with significant heterogeneity, offering a reference for disaster management authorities in developing macro-strategies for disaster prevention.

洪水灾害在全球范围内对人类生命和财产构成严重威胁。在宏观尺度上探索洪水灾害的空间驱动因素对于减轻洪水灾害的影响具有重要意义。本研究提出了一个综合框架,将驱动因素优化和可解释性结合起来,同时考虑空间异质性。在此框架下,利用基于最优参数的地理检测器(OPGD)、递归特征估计(RFE)和光梯度提升机(LGBM)模型,构建了 OPGD-RFE-LGBM 耦合模型,以识别基本驱动因素并模拟洪水灾害的空间分布。利用SHAPLE Additive ExPlanation(SHAP)解释器定量解释了洪涝灾害空间分布的驱动机制。云南省是中国西南地区典型的山地高原地区,我们选择云南省来实施所提出的框架并进行案例研究。为此,编制了一份包含 7332 次历史事件的洪水灾害清单,并初步筛选出与降水、地表环境和人类活动相关的 22 个潜在驱动因素。结果表明,云南省洪涝灾害呈现出较高的空间异质性,其中地貌区划占历史洪涝灾害空间变化的 66.1%。与单一的 LGBM 相比,OPGD-RFE-LGBM 耦合模型在识别基本驱动因素和定量分析其影响方面具有明显优势。此外,即使在因子数据减少的情况下,模拟性能也略有提高(RMSE 平均降低 6%,R2 平均提高 1%)。因子解释分析表明,不同次区域的基本驱动因子集组合各不相同;然而,降水强度指数(SDII)、湿润日数(R10MM)和 5 天最大降水量(RX5day)等降水相关因子是控制洪水灾害的主要驱动因子。本研究为具有显著异质性的大尺度洪水灾害的空间驱动因素提供了定量分析框架,为灾害管理部门制定宏观防灾战略提供了参考。
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引用次数: 0
Refined and dynamic susceptibility assessment of landslides using InSAR and machine learning models 利用 InSAR 和机器学习模型对滑坡进行精细化动态易感性评估
IF 8.5 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101890
Yingdong Wei , Haijun Qiu , Zijing Liu , Wenchao Huangfu , Yaru Zhu , Ya Liu , Dongdong Yang , Ulrich Kamp

Landslide susceptibility assessment is crucial in predicting landslide occurrence and potential risks. However, traditional methods usually emphasize on larger regions of landsliding and rely on relatively static environmental conditions, which exposes the hysteresis of landslide susceptibility assessment in refined-scale and temporal dynamic changes. This study presents an improved landslide susceptibility assessment approach by integrating machine learning models based on random forest (RF), logical regression (LR), and gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) with interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) technology and comparing them to their respective original models. The results demonstrated that the combined approach improves prediction accuracy and reduces the false negative and false positive errors. The LR-InSAR model showed the best performance in dynamic landslide susceptibility assessment at both regional and smaller scale, particularly when identifying areas of high and very high susceptibility. Modeling results were verified using data from field investigations including unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) flights. This study is of great significance to accurately assess dynamic landslide susceptibility and to help reduce and prevent landslide risk.

滑坡易发性评估对于预测滑坡的发生和潜在风险至关重要。然而,传统方法通常强调较大的滑坡区域,并依赖于相对静态的环境条件,这暴露了滑坡易感性评估在精细尺度和时间动态变化中的滞后性。本研究通过将基于随机森林(RF)、逻辑回归(LR)和梯度提升决策树(GBDT)的机器学习模型与干涉合成孔径雷达(InSAR)技术相结合,并与各自的原始模型进行比较,提出了一种改进的滑坡易损性评估方法。结果表明,组合方法提高了预测精度,减少了假阴性和假阳性误差。LR-InSAR 模型在区域和较小规模的动态滑坡易发性评估中表现最佳,尤其是在识别高易发性和极高易发性区域时。利用包括无人机飞行在内的实地调查数据对模型结果进行了验证。这项研究对于准确评估动态滑坡易发性以及帮助减少和预防滑坡风险具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Late Quaternary tectonic uplift and Yellow River evolution create high arsenic aquifers in the Hetao Basin, China 第四纪晚期构造隆升和黄河演变在中国河套盆地形成高砷含水层
IF 8.5 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.gsf.2024.101888

High arsenic (As) groundwater is a global problem primarily originating from As-enriched sediments. The provenance (source) and release mechanisms (sinks) of high As sediment have been identified, but the source-sink transfer is poorly understood, especially the influence of geological and surface processes. In this study, we explore the roles of tectonic movement and Yellow River evolution in provenance formation processes and evaluate the combined effects of provenance and sediment age on the As content of aquifer sediments in the northern Hetao Basin of Inner Mongolia. Based on optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) and 14C dating and detrital zircon U-Pb, As content, and lithological analyses of a 400 m core, we reconstructed As changes over the last 160 ka. Our results show clay deposited in a paleo-lake during the Gonghe movement period in the late Pleistocene (∼100 ka B.P.) is enriched in As (31.8 μg/g) due to significant provenance contributions of the As-bearing Langshan Group under tectonic uplift and mountain erosion. In contrast, clay deposited in the middle Pleistocene (∼160 ka B.P.) has lower As content (7.3 μg/g) due to the Yellow River as the primary provenance. Accordingly, the provenance of basin As forced by tectonic uplift and Yellow River evolution determines the background As of aquifer sediments. After deposition, sediment As content decays over time, with higher decay rates in coarse-grained sands than fine-grained. Overall, both provenance formation and sediment age, representing initial and dynamic states of solid phase As, jointly determine the As content of aquifer sediments. More solid phase As provided by younger sediments from the proximal orogenic provenance and reducing conditions due to frequent river–lake transitions, jointly lead to higher As concentrations in shallow groundwater. The study highlights the potential for using a combined analysis of the tectonic movement-surface processes-environment system to improve understanding of geogenic high As groundwater over global large sedimentary basins in the proximity of young orogenic belts.

高砷(As)地下水是一个全球性问题,主要源自富含砷的沉积物。高砷沉积物的产地(源)和释放机制(汇)已经确定,但对源汇转移,尤其是地质和地表过程的影响了解甚少。在本研究中,我们探讨了构造运动和黄河演变在产状形成过程中的作用,并评估了产状和沉积年龄对内蒙古河套盆地北部含水层沉积物中 As 含量的综合影响。基于光学激发发光(OSL)和14C测年法,以及对400米岩心的碎屑锆石U-Pb、As含量和岩性分析,我们重建了过去160ka的As变化。结果表明,晚更新世(公元前100 ka)共和运动时期沉积在古湖泊中的粘土富含As(31.8 μg/g),这是由于在构造抬升和山体侵蚀作用下,含As的兰山组对其来源有重要贡献。相比之下,中更新世(公元前 160 ka 年)沉积的粘土由于以黄河为主要产地,As 含量较低(7.3 μg/g)。因此,受构造隆升和黄河演变的影响,盆地砷的来源决定了含水层沉积物的本底砷含量。沉积后,沉积物的 As 含量随时间衰减,粗粒砂的衰减率高于细粒砂。总体而言,代表固相砷初始状态和动态状态的产地形成和沉积年龄共同决定了含水层沉积物的砷含量。来自近源成因的年轻沉积物提供了更多的固相砷,而频繁的河流-湖泊转换又导致了条件的降低,这两者共同导致了浅层地下水中更高的砷浓度。该研究强调了利用构造运动-地表过程-环境系统的综合分析来提高对年轻造山带附近全球大型沉积盆地的成因性高砷地下水的认识的潜力。
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