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Nuclear Iran facing the USA 面对美国的核伊朗
Pub Date : 2008-09-23 DOI: 10.1504/AFP.2008.020387
J. Hébert
Iran's efforts to endow nuclear capacities date back to the Shah's era, and were at that time developed through a close collaboration with the USA. Those plans were presented as civil programmes, but comprised, beyond any doubt, some military potentialities. As a first step, the 1979 Islamic Revolution completely interrupted any activity in this field. But more recently, uranium enrichment activities were developed to a pace that triggered the reaction of the USA, preoccupied by the potentiality to see a nation of the 'Axis of evil' to endow massive destruction weapons. Although they did not find any proof of any prohibited activity, IAEA inspections did not dissipate the doubts, and pressure grew up against Teheran (such as sanctions taken by the Security Council). Nevertheless, it may be thought that the line taken by Teheran is more subtle, and does not consist in having the nuclear weapon, but rather to be in a position to have it.
伊朗赋予核能力的努力可以追溯到伊朗国王时代,当时是通过与美国的密切合作发展起来的。这些计划是作为民事方案提出的,但毫无疑问,其中包括一些军事潜力。作为第一步,1979年的伊斯兰革命彻底中断了这一领域的任何活动。虽然他们没有发现任何被禁止活动的证据,但原子能机构的视察并没有消除疑虑,对德黑兰的压力越来越大(例如安全理事会采取的制裁)。然而,人们可能会认为,德黑兰采取的路线更为微妙,不在于拥有核武器,而在于能够拥有核武器。
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引用次数: 0
The process of South African denuclearisation: an example for the world? 南非无核化进程:为世界树立榜样?
Pub Date : 2008-09-23 DOI: 10.1504/AFP.2008.020389
J. Collin
Largely unknown, the history of the accession of South Africa to nuclear weapon status resulted from a programme launched secretly in 1974, benefiting from secret cooperation from Israel, Germany and France. This programme was stopped by President De Klerk as of 1989, which allowed his country to ratify the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) in 1991. It was the first example in the world of a country giving up nuclear weapons and was done in very particular circumstances: the collapse of the Berlin Wall and the prospect of apartheid ending and thus the transfer of power to the ANC.
南非获得核武器地位的历史在很大程度上是不为人知的,它源于1974年秘密发起的一项方案,得益于以色列、德国和法国的秘密合作。1989年,德克勒克总统停止了这一方案,这使他的国家得以在1991年批准《不扩散条约》。这是世界上第一个国家放弃核武器的例子,而且是在非常特殊的情况下进行的:柏林墙倒塌和种族隔离结束的前景,从而将权力移交给非国大。
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引用次数: 0
Russia's comeback to the arms market: a strategic choice 俄罗斯重返武器市场:一个战略选择
Pub Date : 2008-09-23 DOI: 10.1504/AFP.2008.020390
Éric Lahille
The return of Russia as the main player in the global arms market presents specific features, by arms type and region. It also illustrates, beyond the revival of state control of strategic industries, a key element in its new foreign policy. This is in phase with the desire of various countries to assert greater military autonomy in front of the perceived dangers of US unilateralist posturing.
俄罗斯重新成为全球武器市场的主要参与者,按武器类型和区域划分,呈现出具体的特点。除了恢复国家对战略性产业的控制之外,它还表明了中国新外交政策的一个关键因素。这与各国在美国单边主义姿态的危险面前维护更大军事自主权的愿望是一致的。
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引用次数: 2
Proliferation: the pitfalls of nuclear weaponry 扩散:核武器的陷阱
Pub Date : 2008-09-23 DOI: 10.1504/AFP.2008.020385
J. Salomon
The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) is in jeopardy: North Korea, who signed it, has tested a nuclear bomb, and Iran, a joint signatory, seems set on developing nuclear armaments. Since the first A-bomb was dropped on Hiroshima, the world has not known a state of nuclear conflict for 60 years – and we have every reason for rejoicing. And yet the threat is still looming, whether it be a matter of 'escalation to the extremes' between States (a contingency that can't be entirely disregarded), of terrorist attacks using nuclear bombs, or of radioactive spills. As the chief executive officer of the International Nuclear Energy Agency (INEA) has put it, this is a twofold crisis: 'Some non-nuclear States have embarked on secret activities aiming at building nuclear armaments, and the nuclear States fail in their duty to take practical and irreversible measures in order to completely eliminate their nuclear arsenals'.
《核不扩散条约》(NPT)正处于危险之中:该条约的签署国朝鲜已经进行了一次核弹试验,而联合签署国伊朗似乎正着手发展核武器。自从第一颗原子弹被投在广岛以来,60年来世界从未经历过核冲突状态——我们有充分的理由感到高兴。然而,威胁仍然迫在眉睫,无论是国家之间的“极端升级”(一种不可完全忽视的突发事件),还是使用核弹的恐怖袭击,还是放射性泄漏。正如国际核能机构(原子能机构)首席执行官所指出的那样,这是一场双重危机:“一些无核国家已开始进行旨在建立核军备的秘密活动,而核国家未能履行其义务,采取实际和不可逆转的措施,以彻底消除其核武库”。
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引用次数: 0
Israel and the bomb 以色列和核弹
Pub Date : 2008-09-23 DOI: 10.1504/AFP.2008.020388
Camille Mansour
In spite of its policy of ambiguity, Israel's nuclear military capability is universally admitted. This raises the question of the underlying doctrine and the function played by the bomb in the political-military relations between Israel and its neighbours since the end of the 1950s. This paper shows that instead of contributing to deterrence, the bomb has been irrelevant (at best) or destabilising. Israel's reluctance to define what constitutes its sovereign 'sanctuary', together with its drive to develop tactical nuclear weapons and an anti-missile system, has led to a confused doctrine. The paper finally argues for Tel Aviv's accession to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) as a non-nuclear weapon state, while acknowledging its linkage with the achievement of a Middle East peace.
尽管以色列的政策模棱两可,但它的核军事能力是公认的。这就提出了一个问题,即自20世纪50年代末以来,原子弹在以色列及其邻国之间的政治军事关系中所发挥的基本理论和作用。这篇论文表明,核弹非但没有起到威慑作用,反而变得无关紧要(充其量)或破坏稳定。以色列不愿界定其主权“避难所”的构成,再加上其发展战术核武器和反导系统的动力,导致了一种混乱的学说。文章最后主张以色列作为无核武器国家加入《核不扩散条约》(NPT),同时承认其与实现中东和平的联系。
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引用次数: 0
Asia's nuclear challenge 亚洲的核挑战
Pub Date : 2008-09-23 DOI: 10.1504/AFP.2008.020386
Patrice Jorland
Although the cold war ended 17 years ago, studies and reports on foreign affairs are, most of the time, dreary or pessimistic. True enough, the state of the 'Greater Middle East' and Africa's dramas are causes for deep concern, but Asia is also pointed at, because of its population, its growth rates, its exports of industrial goods, its social imbalances, its political emergence, its military budgets, the arms race and nuclear proliferation going on there. China, India, Pakistan, North Korea: the East is seen as the main actor undermining the universal non-proliferation rules and institutions. Is it really so? Until now, the non-proliferation system has been rather efficient, even in Asia; it should be backed and could be strengthened.
尽管冷战在17年前就结束了,但关于外交事务的研究和报道在大多数时候都是沉闷或悲观的。诚然,“大中东”和非洲的局势令人深感担忧,但亚洲也受到了关注,因为它的人口、增长率、工业品出口、社会失衡、政治崛起、军事预算、军备竞赛和核扩散正在那里进行。中国、印度、巴基斯坦、朝鲜:东方被视为破坏普遍不扩散规则和机构的主要行为体。真的是这样吗?到目前为止,核不扩散体系相当有效,即使在亚洲也是如此;它应该得到支持,并且可以得到加强。
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引用次数: 0
Strategy for combining fast growth in electricity generation capacity with the early introduction of the thorium cycle in India 将发电能力的快速增长与在印度尽早采用钍循环相结合的战略
Pub Date : 2008-08-14 DOI: 10.1504/AFP.2008.019894
P. Rodriguez
The purpose of this paper is to describe a strategy for combining fast growth in electricity generation capacity, with the early introduction of the thorium cycle in India. Three types of Liquid Metal Cooled Fast Breeder Reactors (LMFBRs) are considered: LMFBR 1, with plutonium/depleted uranium driver zones and depleted uranium blankets; LMFBR 2, with self-sustaining plutonium/depleted uranium driver zones and depleted uranium axial blankets, while the radial thorium blanket produces excess U 233; LMFBR 3, with U233-Th driver zones and Th blankets. The strategy suggested is a combination of 50% LMFBR 1 and 50% of a symbiotic mix of LMFBR 2 and LMFBR 3 all the three using metal fuel. With this strategy, the delay in reaching an installed electrical capacity of 350 GWe is likely to be only about 15 years beyond the approximately 50 years envisaged with only metal fuelled LMFBR 1.
本文的目的是描述一种将发电能力的快速增长与印度钍循环的早期引入相结合的战略。考虑了三种类型的液态金属冷却快速增殖反应堆(LMFBRs): lmfbr1,具有钚/贫铀驱动区和贫铀包层;lmfbr2,具有自持型钚/贫铀驱动区和贫铀轴向包层,而径向钍包层产生多余的u233;lmfbr3,带U233-Th驱动区和Th毯子。建议的策略是50%的lmfbr1和50%的lmfbr2和lmfbr3的共生混合,这三种燃料都使用金属燃料。采用这一策略,达到350 GWe装机容量的延迟可能仅为15年左右,而仅使用金属燃料的lmfbr1设想的延迟约为50年。
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引用次数: 1
Editorial[:The Indo?US Civil Nuclear Cooperation] 编辑[:印度吗?美国民用核合作]
Pub Date : 2008-08-14 DOI: 10.1504/AFP.2008.019896
B. Singh
The Indo?US Civil Nuclear Cooperation has aroused great controversy in India on the grounds of technical feasibility, economic desirability, legal implications and political ideologies. This Editorial provides the background to the Special Issue, outlining the Indian political scene and the opinions of Indian scientists as expressed in their open letter.
印度吗?美国民用核合作在技术可行性、经济可取性、法律影响和政治意识形态等方面引起了印度的巨大争议。这篇社论提供了特刊的背景,概述了印度的政治场景和印度科学家在公开信中表达的观点。
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引用次数: 0
Nuclear technology and its challenges in India 印度的核技术及其挑战
Pub Date : 2008-08-14 DOI: 10.1504/AFP.2008.019889
D. Sood
India has a strong technology base for its comprehensive nuclear energy programme. A glimpse of this capability is given in this paper, starting with uranium exploration and mining to fuel reprocessing and nuclear waste management. India has chosen a closed fuel cycle option, and the plutonium recovered from spent fuel will soon be manufactured into fuel elements for its 500 MWe Prototype Fast Breeder Reactor, which is under construction. A modest programme to develop systems for thorium utilisation is being pursued. The nuclear energy development programme includes accelerator-based nuclear reactor systems. India is also a party to the 500 MW nuclear fusion machine ITER, which is under construction at Cadarache, France, under an international cooperation framework.
印度为其全面的核能方案拥有强大的技术基础。本文从铀勘探和开采到燃料后处理和核废料管理,对这种能力进行了一瞥。印度选择了一个封闭的燃料循环方案,从乏燃料中回收的钚将很快被制造成正在建设的500兆瓦原型快速增殖反应堆的燃料元件。目前正在推行一项适度的方案,开发钍利用系统。核能发展方案包括基于加速器的核反应堆系统。印度也是在国际合作框架下正在法国Cadarache建设的500兆瓦核聚变机器ITER的缔约方。
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引用次数: 0
The May 1998 Pokhran tests: scientific aspects 1998年5月的博克兰试验:科学方面
Pub Date : 2008-08-14 DOI: 10.1504/AFP.2008.019890
R. Chidambaram
On 11 and 13 May 1998, India conducted five carefully planned and fully successful nuclear tests, including that of a two-stage thermonuclear device with a fusion-boosted fission trigger as the first stage and with all the features needed for integration with delivery vehicles at the controlled yield of 45 kt, and of three sub-kiloton fission devices from the point of view of developing low-yield weapons and of validating new weapon-related ideas and sub-systems. These tests also established the computer simulation capability to predict the yields of nuclear weapons (fission, boosted fission and two-stage thermonuclear) of designs related to the designs of the devices tested by India.
1998年5月11日和13日,印度进行了五次精心策划和完全成功的核试验,其中包括第一阶段试验了一种两级热核装置,其核聚变助推裂变触发器具有与运载工具结合所需的所有特征,控制当量为45千吨;从发展低当量武器和验证与武器有关的新想法和分系统的角度来看,试验了三种次千吨裂变装置。这些试验还建立了计算机模拟能力,以预测与印度试验装置设计相关设计的核武器(裂变、助推裂变和两级热核)的当量。
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引用次数: 1
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Atoms for Peace: An International Journal
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