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Conflict and Well-Being of Civilians: The Case of Russian-Ukrainian Hybrid War 冲突与平民福祉:以俄乌混合战争为例
Pub Date : 2018-01-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3102215
Maryna Osiichuk, Oleksandr Shepotylo
Abstract This paper investigates the contemporaneous effect of conflict on civilians living outside of the conflict zone. Applying a multi-dimensional concept of well-being, it uses two large household surveys over 2012–2016 to analyze how the Russian-Ukrainian hybrid war affected the financial well-being and health of people in both countries. We find that the conflict significantly worsened financial well-being in both countries. The impact mostly operates by worsening expectations about financial well-being and is inversely related to the distance from the conflict zone. Our analysis indicates an increase in chronic diseases in Ukraine over a longer period. Mental health is negatively impacted in both countries at the earlier stages of the conflict. However, in Russia this effect is significant only in the region bordering the conflict zone, while in Ukraine it is significant in regions farther away from the conflict zone.
摘要本文研究冲突对冲突区外平民的同期影响。运用多维幸福概念,它使用2012-2016年的两次大型家庭调查来分析俄罗斯-乌克兰混合战争如何影响两国人民的财务状况和健康。我们发现,这场冲突显著恶化了两国的经济状况。这种影响主要是由于人们对经济状况的预期不断恶化,与离冲突地区的距离成反比。我们的分析表明,在较长时期内,乌克兰的慢性病有所增加。在冲突的早期阶段,两国的心理健康都受到了负面影响。然而,在俄罗斯,这种影响只在与冲突地区接壤的地区显著,而在乌克兰,这种影响在远离冲突地区的地区显著。
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引用次数: 20
The Impact of Digital Technologies on Worker Tasks: Do Labor Policies Matter? 数字技术对工人任务的影响:劳工政策重要吗?
Pub Date : 2018-01-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3123622
Rita Almeida, Carlos Henrique Leite Corseuil, J. Poole
Between 1999 and 2006, Brazilian cities experienced strong growth in the provision of internet services, driven in part by the privatization of the telecommunications industry. A main concern of policymakers is that digital technology replaces routine, manual tasks, displacing lower-skilled workers. In Brazil, stringent labor market institutions exist to protect workers from such shocks, but by increasing labor costs, labor policy may also constrain firms from adjusting the workforce and fully benefiting from technology adoption. We show that digital technology adoption shifted the demand for skills toward an increased use of non-routine and cognitive tasks. Furthermore, and in contrast with labor policy intentions, we show that de facto labor market regulations differentially benefit the most skilled workers, particularly those workers employed in non-routine and cognitive tasks. Our results point to important changes in the future of labor markets in middle-income settings and warn for distortive and unintended consequences of labor market policies.
1999年至2006年间,巴西城市在互联网服务方面经历了强劲增长,部分原因是电信行业的私有化。政策制定者的一个主要担忧是,数字技术取代了常规的手工工作,取代了低技能工人。在巴西,有严格的劳动力市场制度来保护工人免受这种冲击,但由于劳动力成本的增加,劳动力政策也可能限制企业调整劳动力和充分受益于技术采用。我们表明,数字技术的采用将对技能的需求转向了非常规和认知任务的增加使用。此外,与劳工政策意图相反,我们表明事实上的劳动力市场法规对最熟练的工人,特别是那些从事非常规和认知任务的工人有不同的好处。我们的研究结果指出了中等收入国家劳动力市场未来的重要变化,并对劳动力市场政策的扭曲和意外后果提出了警告。
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引用次数: 8
Усъвършенстване на работата на институциите на пазара на труда чрез прилагане на процесен модел (Improvement in the Work of the Institutions on Labor Market Through a Process Model)
Pub Date : 2017-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3143030
Venelin Terziev
Bulgarian Abstract: Настоящата публикация разглежда възможностите за подобряване на работата на институциите на пазара на труда чрез прилгането на процесен модел, разработен въз основа на предварителни измервания на времето на основните процеси и дейностите в българските служби за заетост, както и експертни становища за стандартизация на тези процеси. Представянето се фокусира върху процеса на регистрация, като пример за моделиране и определяне на необходимия капацитет. В заключение се обосновава рационалното вземане на правилни решения, които са подкрепени с достатъчно информация и анализ. English Abstract: The paper discusses the opportunities for improvement of the work in the institutions on labor market through the application of a process model developed on the basis of preliminary measurements of time for the main processes and activities in labor market offices in Bulgaria, collection of experts’ opinion and standardization. The presentation is focused on the process of registration as an example of the modelling and determination of necessary capacities. The conclusions underline the importance of the rational decision making substantiated by profound information and analyses.
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引用次数: 8
Impacts of Institutions on the Performances of Enterprises in Vietnam 制度对越南企业绩效的影响
Pub Date : 2017-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3104490
Mai Phuong Chu Thi
This paper investigates the impacts of institutions on the performances of enterprises in Vietnam. The result obtained from the quantitative research method shows that the criteria on institutions do affect the performances of enterprises in Vietnam; while some criteria have positive impacts, others negatively affect them. Moreover, the improvement in the quality of economic institutions will lead to the differences in the performances among different types of enterprises. More specifically, improving economic institutional quality will result in higher increases in the revenues and added values of state-owned enterprises than those of FDI enterprises. Similarly, the improvement also leads to the higher increase in private enterprises' revenues but lower increases in their added values and added value ratios compared to those of FDI enterprises. However, there is no difference in the impact of institutional quality improvement on the before-tax earnings of different types of enterprises. Based on the research's result, the paper proposes some suggestions to improve the quality of economic institutions, and thus improve enterprises' performances and success, on all three aspects including "rules", "players" and "implementation procedures".
本文研究了制度对越南企业绩效的影响。定量研究方法的结果表明,制度标准确实会影响越南企业的绩效;虽然一些标准有积极的影响,但其他标准会对它们产生负面影响。此外,经济制度质量的提高会导致不同类型企业之间绩效的差异。更具体地说,提高经济制度质量将使国有企业的收入和附加值增长高于外国直接投资企业。同样,这种改善也导致民营企业的收入增幅高于FDI企业,但其增加值和增加值比率的增幅低于FDI企业。而制度质量提升对不同类型企业税前收益的影响没有差异。根据研究结果,本文从“规则”、“参与者”和“实施程序”三个方面提出了提高经济制度质量,从而提高企业绩效和成功的建议。
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引用次数: 0
Intellectual Property, Competition, and Science versus Technology 知识产权,竞争,科学与技术
Pub Date : 2017-11-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3077524
John T. Scott, T. J. Scott
This paper models pre-invention-insight research effort and explores the proposition that competition among potential inventors, who can freely enter into the discovery process and who freely share their ideas without taking intellectual property as they strive to discover invention insights, increases research effort above what would occur without the free sharing of ideas, hence stimulating invention and ultimately innovation. Given an idealized dichotomy between pre-invention-insight research and investment in research and development (R&D), the proposition is shown to be true. Although it is also shown that the proposition is not necessarily true given realistic overlapping of R&D investment with the search for invention insight, historical evidence suggests that the idealized dichotomy may be a sufficiently accurate description to allow the proposition to provide good guidance for public policy toward intellectual property in scientific findings.
本文对发明洞察前的研究工作进行了建模,并探讨了潜在发明者之间的竞争,这些潜在发明者可以自由地进入发现过程,自由地分享他们的想法,而不需要知识产权,因为他们努力发现发明洞察,这比没有自由分享想法的情况下增加了研究工作,从而刺激了发明和最终的创新。考虑到发明前洞察力研究和研发投资之间的理想二分法,该命题被证明是正确的。尽管研究也表明,考虑到研发投资与寻求发明洞察力的现实重叠,这一命题并不一定正确,但历史证据表明,理想化的二分法可能是一个足够准确的描述,可以让这一命题为科学发现的知识产权公共政策提供良好的指导。
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引用次数: 0
Ideas Production and International Knowledge Spillovers: Digging Deeper into Emerging Countries 创意生产与国际知识溢出:深入新兴国家
Pub Date : 2017-11-21 DOI: 10.1016/J.RESPOL.2017.07.009
K. Luintel, Mosahid Khan
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引用次数: 15
Драйверы Инновационной Деятельности в Условиях Внешней Нестабильности (Drivers of Innovative Activity in the Conditions of External Instability) ДрайверыИнновационнойДеятельностивУсловияхВнешнейНестабильности条件(司机的创新活动的外部不稳定)
Pub Date : 2017-10-02 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3046981
Raisa Fedosova
Russian Abstract: Мировой экономический кризис показал ограниченность роста российской экономики, базирующегося на благоприятной конъюнктуре мирового рынка энергосырьевых ресурсов, и актуализировал задачу формирования модели устойчивого развития экономики, основу которой составляет инновационная деятельность. English Abstract: The global economic crisis has shown the limited growth of the Russian economy, based on a favorable conjuncture of the world market energy resources, and actualized the task of forming a model of sustainable The development of the economy, the basis of which is innovation activity.
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引用次数: 0
Розробка інструментарію для забезпечення якості трудового потенціалу промислових підприємств (Development of Tools for Ensuring the Quality of Labor Potential of Industrial Enterprises)
Pub Date : 2017-09-29 DOI: 10.22178/POS.26-8
R. Skrynkovskyy, Grzegorz Pawlowski, Liliia Sytar
The purpose of the article is to deepen theoretical and methodological provisions and to develop tools for ensuring the quality of labor potential of industrial enterprises. It was established that the basis of the development of tools for quality assurance of labor potential (within the framework of the development of industrial enterprises) lies the system of goals of managerial diagnostics of an industrial enterprise, which includes such key diagnostic objectives as: 1) diagnostics of the effectiveness of controlling the internal business processes of the enterprise; 2) diagnostics of the effectiveness of the typical organizational structure of enterprise management; 3) diagnostics of the efficiency of standardization of the work of linear and functional managers and specialists at the enterprise; 4) diagnostics of the enterprise in the areas of vocational education, labor activity and motivation, innovation work and social development; 5) diagnostics of management policies in the areas of social responsibility, information security and labor protection; 6) diagnostics of the level of conflict in the team at the enterprise 7) diagnosis of the effectiveness of the use of information technology in the management of the enterprise. It was determined that effective management of the quality of labor potential of the personnel (on the basis of its objective assessment) is one of the key conditions that determines the success of industrial enterprises. The prospect of further research in this direction is improving the system of diagnostics and planning of reserves for improving the quality of labor potential of an industrial enterprise in crisis conditions.
本文的目的是深化理论和方法的规定,并开发工具,以确保工业企业的劳动力潜力的质量。确立了(在工业企业发展的框架内)劳动力潜力质量保证工具开发的基础在于工业企业管理诊断目标体系,其中包括以下关键诊断目标:1)诊断企业内部业务流程控制的有效性;2)诊断典型企业管理组织结构的有效性;3)诊断企业线性和职能管理人员和专家工作标准化的效率;4)在职业教育、劳动活动与激励、创新工作和社会发展等方面对企业进行诊断;5)社会责任、信息安全和劳动保护领域的管理政策诊断;6)诊断企业团队的冲突程度7)诊断在企业管理中使用信息技术的有效性。认为有效管理人员的劳动潜力素质(在其客观评价的基础上)是决定工业企业成功的关键条件之一。在这个方向上进一步研究的前景是改进诊断和储备计划系统,以提高危机条件下工业企业劳动力潜力的质量。
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引用次数: 10
Metrology, Psychometrics, and New Horizons for Innovation 计量学,心理测量学和创新的新视野
Pub Date : 2017-09-18 DOI: 10.1051/METROLOGY/201709007
W. Fisher
The vital roles of common languages, metrics, and standards in team-based innovation are well established. The historical success of science has depended extensively on mathematically rigorous, theoretically explained, experimentally evaluated, and socially distributed communications networks comprised of metrologically traceable measuring instruments. Recent descriptions of practical and theoretical correspondences between metrology and psychometrics extend scientific model-based reasoning into education and other fields. Realizing psychometrics’ metrological potentials requires attending to interrelated ethical, technical, and social issues. First, measurement must embody the ethics of the Golden Rule in support of compassionate and tolerant comparisons. Technically, effective measurement systems involve (a) invariant units, with known uncertainties, (b) scientific laws modelling substantive relationships in the world, (c) hypotheses experimentally tested against data, (d) explanatory theories providing predictive control over the construct, and (e) methods for ensuring traceability to the standard unit. But to be effective, measurement systems incorporating these features will need to be situated in a larger social context cognizant of needs for the relevant standards bodies, educational programs and textbooks, professional societies, legal and regulatory oversight, accounting and economic applications, etc. Paraphrasing Rasch, the challenges are huge, but having formulated the problem, human ingenuity will likely find a way to solve it.
在基于团队的创新中,公共语言、度量和标准的重要作用已经很好地确立了。科学在历史上的成功很大程度上依赖于数学上的严谨、理论上的解释、实验上的评估,以及由计量上可追溯的测量仪器组成的社会分布式通信网络。最近对计量学和心理测量学之间的实践和理论对应的描述将基于模型的科学推理扩展到教育和其他领域。实现心理测量学的计量潜力需要关注相关的伦理、技术和社会问题。首先,衡量必须体现黄金法则的伦理,以支持富有同情心和宽容的比较。从技术上讲,有效的测量系统包括(a)具有已知不确定性的不变单位,(b)模拟世界中实质性关系的科学规律,(c)根据数据进行实验验证的假设,(d)对结构提供预测控制的解释性理论,以及(e)确保可追溯性的方法。但是要想有效,包含这些特征的测量系统将需要被置于更大的社会背景中,认识到相关标准机构、教育计划和教科书、专业协会、法律和监管监督、会计和经济应用等方面的需求。套用Rasch的话来说,挑战是巨大的,但在制定了问题之后,人类的聪明才智可能会找到解决问题的方法。
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引用次数: 2
Политики для воздействия и анализ состояния на рынок труда (Policies for Impact and Analysis of Status for the Labor Market) Политикидлявоздействияианализсостояниянарыноктруда(政策地位对劳动力市场的影响和分析)
Pub Date : 2017-09-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3143043
Venelin Terziev, V. Banabakova, Marin Georgiev
Russian Abstract: Несмотря на эти и другие изменения, которые осуществляются в рамках действующей политической и экономической парадигмы, ее изменение с начала реформ в 90-е годы ставит вопрос об основных шагах перехода и особенностей самого переходного этапа. Може быть менее драматичным оказывается переход, связанный с возвратом демократических гражданских прав. В Законе о защите при безработице и стимулов для занятости с 1997 г., а перед этим и в новой Конституции Республики Болгарии, принятая в 1991 г., нормативно установлено право граждан самостоятельно распоряжаться своей способностью работать без всякого принуждения. Но в экономическом плане эта трансформация оказывается очень драматичной. С одной стороны, много работников остаются «привязанными» к предприятиям с различными неденежными рычагами (жилище, детские сады и т.д.), с сохраненным институтом адресной регистрации, с отсуствием жилищного рынка и т.д. Потеря работы или ее смена означает одновременно потерю существенного социального обеспечения. С другой стороны, перераспределение экономической ответственности между гражданами и государством приводит к устранению обязанности государства гарантировать обеспечение работы для граждан. Последнее невозможно из-за выравнивания баланса между правами и обязанностями работника и работодателя. English Abstract: Despite these and other changes that are being implemented within the framework of the current political and economic paradigm, its change from the beginning of reforms in the 1990s raises the question of the main steps of transition and the characteristics of the transition stage itself. The transition, connected with the return of democratic civil rights, can be less dramatic. In the Unemployment Protection Act and incentives for employment, since 1997, and before this and in the new Constitution of the Republic of Bulgaria, adopted in 1991, the right of citizens to independently dispose of their ability to work without any coercion is normatively established. But economically, this transformation is very dramatic. On the one hand, many employees remain "attached" to enterprises with various non-monetary levers (housing, kindergartens, etc.), with a preserved institution of targeted registration, with no housing market, etc. The loss of work or its replacement means at the same time the loss of substantial social security. On the other hand, the redistribution of economic responsibility between citizens and the state leads to the elimination of the state's obligation to guarantee the provision of work for citizens. The latter is impossible because of the equalization of the balance between the rights and duties of the employee and the employer.
俄罗斯的Abstract:尽管这些和其他变化都是在当前的政治和经济范式下进行的,但自上世纪90年代改革开始以来的变化使人们质疑转型的基本步骤和过渡本身的特征。也许不那么戏剧性的转变是民主公民权利的回归。自1997年以来,《失业保护和就业激励法案》以及1991年颁布的保加利亚共和国新宪法明确规定了公民有权利在没有任何胁迫下行使自己的工作能力。但从经济角度来看,这种转变是非常戏剧性的。一方面,许多工人仍然与各种低杠杆(住房、日托所等)、保存的地址登记制度、住房市场的流失、失业或失业等有关的企业“联系”。另一方面,公民和国家之间的经济责任再分配导致国家取消了为公民提供工作保障的责任。由于工人和雇主的权利和义务之间的平衡,后者是不可能的。英国Abstract:这是对传统政治和经济环境的影响,从1990年过渡阶段的主要改革和过渡阶段的改变。这是一种由反文明力量的回归联系在一起的过渡,可能是一种戏剧。1991年,在新成立的保加利亚共和国之前,公民权利被剥夺了。但经济增长,这种转变是一种戏剧。在一个人的手臂上,曼尼·艾姆斯用各种各样的“非蒙塔哥特”(housing, kindergartens, etc),用一种特殊的目标控制装置,没有家庭市场,等等。在substantial社会安全的same时代,这是一种损失。在另一个手臂上,经济状况良好的公民的回归和国家对保护公民的遗产的排斥。拉特是不朽的,因为他是神圣的,也是神圣的。
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引用次数: 0
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Institutions & Transition Economics: Microeconomic Issues eJournal
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