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Comment on Gignac and Zajenkowski, “The Dunning-Kruger effect is (mostly) a statistical artefact: Valid approaches to testing the hypothesis with individual differences data” 评论Gignac和Zajenkowski,“邓宁-克鲁格效应(主要)是一个统计伪产物:用个体差异数据检验假设的有效方法”
IF 3 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intell.2023.101732
Avram Hiller

Gignac and Zajenkowski (2020) find that “the degree to which people mispredicted their objectively measured intelligence was equal across the whole spectrum of objectively measured intelligence”. This Comment shows that Gignac and Zajenkowski (2020) finding of homoscedasticity is likely the result of a recoding choice by the experimenters and does not in fact indicate that the Dunning-Kruger Effect is a mere statistical artifact. Specifically, Gignac and Zajenkowski (2020) recoded test subjects' responses to a question regarding self-assessed comparative IQ onto a linear IQ scale when a normal IQ scale would likely have been more appropriate. More generally, researchers studying self-assessed intelligence should be aware of potential measurement problems that may arise when transforming an ordinal scale onto an interval scale.

Gignac和Zajenkowski(2020)发现,“在整个客观测量的智力范围内,人们对客观测量的智力的错误预测程度是相等的”。这一评论表明,Gignac和Zajenkowski(2020)发现的同差性可能是实验者重新编码选择的结果,实际上并不表明邓宁-克鲁格效应仅仅是一个统计伪像。具体来说,Gignac和Zajenkowski(2020)将测试对象对自我评估比较智商问题的回答重新编码到线性智商量表上,而正常智商量表可能更合适。更一般地说,研究自我评估智力的研究人员应该意识到,当将有序量表转换为间隔量表时,可能会出现潜在的测量问题。
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引用次数: 2
Reframing the clouded scientific spectacles of the Flynn effect: A view through two lenses 重塑弗林效应的科学眼镜:从两个镜头看
IF 3 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intell.2023.101735
Patrick O'Keefe , Linda Wänström , Joseph Lee Rodgers

Flynn argued that the Flynn effect was due to an increasing use of “scientific spectacles” among the general population (Flynn, 2010), yet the Flynn effect itself has been viewed through clouded scientific spectacles. Most research has focused on Flynn's main finding: IQ scores have increased over time. Flynn (1987) presumed the effect was a cohort (generational) effect, yet a variety of within- and between-person processes could give rise to the observed secular changes. Many theories have been put forth as to the fundamental cause of the Flynn effect. Frequently ignored is what a specific cause implies the Flynn effect would look like at different levels of analysis and in the context of different research designs. In this paper we present two ‘lenses’ with which to view a potential causal model of the Flynn effect, in the hopes of closing some of the current gaps emerging from past research. First, we propose an examination of within- versus between-person processes. Relatedly, we propose that the exclusive focus on normed measures of intelligence has hampered understanding of what functional form the Flynn effect might take, particularly during development. Consideration of “raw” intelligence is likely to be fruitful. For our second lens, we consider the framework of age-period-cohort modeling to categorize what kind of effect a given model implies. We examine several causal theories of the Flynn effect through these lenses. Viewed through our lenses, we find that certain causal theories are, perhaps, somewhat incomplete in their specification of all the relevant processes.

弗林认为,弗林效应是由于在普通人群中越来越多地使用“科学眼镜”(弗林,2010),但弗林效应本身是通过模糊的科学眼镜来看待的。大多数研究都集中在弗林的主要发现上:智商分数随着时间的推移而提高。Flynn(1987)认为这种效应是一种群体(代际)效应,然而,人与人之间和人与人之间的各种过程都可能导致观察到的长期变化。关于弗林效应的根本原因,人们提出了许多理论。经常被忽视的是,一个特定的原因意味着弗林效应在不同的分析水平和不同的研究设计背景下会是什么样子。在本文中,我们提出了两个“镜头”,用它们来观察弗林效应的潜在因果模型,希望能缩小过去研究中出现的一些目前的差距。首先,我们建议对人内部过程与人之间过程进行检查。与此相关的是,我们提出,对智力标准测量的独家关注阻碍了对弗林效应可能采取的功能形式的理解,特别是在发展过程中。对“原始”智力的考虑可能是富有成效的。对于我们的第二个视角,我们考虑了年龄-时期-队列模型的框架,以对给定模型所暗示的影响进行分类。我们通过这些镜头考察了弗林效应的几个因果理论。从我们的角度来看,我们发现某些因果理论在描述所有相关过程方面可能有些不完整。
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引用次数: 1
fMRI functional connectivity is a better predictor of general intelligence than cortical morphometric features and ICA parcellation order affects predictive performance fMRI功能连通性比皮质形态特征更好地预测一般智力,ICA的排列顺序影响预测性能
IF 3 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intell.2023.101727
Erick Almeida de Souza, Stéphanie Andrade Silva, Bruno Hebling Vieira , Carlos Ernesto Garrido Salmon

Intelligence, as a general cognitive ability, shows a substantial inter-subject variation. Because of its impact on our lives, there is great interest in explaining the neural substrates of these differences. We used a large set of neuroimaging and behavioral data from 805 subjects, provided by the Human Connectome Project, and applied predictive models based on elastic-net regression using functional connectivity and brain morphometric data to predict general intelligence values. Additionally, we explored the impact of brain spatial distribution of the input connectivity data in the regression model using two strategies: brain parcellation and individual components. Features derived from functional connectivity were considerably more correlated with general intelligence than cortical thickness and surface area. Considering the regularization terms in this particular prediction problem, the best performances were obtained when the impact of all the independent variables was considered in the regresion, i.e. null LASSO sparsity term. Using different parcellation schemes affected predictive performances, which indicates spatial heterogeneity in the regression. We were able to explain 17,5% of the general intelligence variance, in the best performance reached, with a brain parcellation of 25 independent components; by other hand, using only cortical morphometric features the performance reduced to 1,6% for both cortical thickness and surface area. While no component, in particular, was responsible for predicting a large portion of the variance, the spatial components with the best results comprehend parietal, frontal and occipital regions, in agreement with the Parieto-Frontal Integration Theory (P-FIT).

智力作为一种普遍的认知能力,在主体间表现出很大的差异。由于它对我们生活的影响,人们对解释这些差异的神经基础非常感兴趣。我们使用了人类连接组计划提供的805名受试者的大量神经成像和行为数据,并应用基于弹性网络回归的预测模型,利用功能连接和脑形态测量数据来预测一般智力值。此外,在回归模型中,我们采用脑分割和个体成分两种策略探讨了输入连接数据的脑空间分布对大脑空间分布的影响。与皮质厚度和表面积相比,源自功能连接的特征与一般智力的相关性要大得多。考虑到这一特定预测问题的正则化项,在回归中考虑所有自变量的影响,即零LASSO稀疏性项时,得到了最好的性能。采用不同的分割方案会影响预测性能,表明回归的空间异质性。我们能够解释17.5%的一般智力差异,在达到最佳表现的情况下,用25个独立的大脑成分进行分割;另一方面,仅使用皮质形态测量特征,对皮质厚度和表面积的性能降低到1.6%。虽然没有特别的成分负责预测大部分方差,但具有最佳结果的空间成分包括顶叶,额叶和枕叶区域,这与顶叶-额叶整合理论(P-FIT)一致。
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引用次数: 0
Ongoing trends of human intelligence 人类智力的持续趋势
IF 3 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intell.2022.101708
Gerhard Meisenberg, Richard Lynn

The aim of the study is to estimate the most recent trends of intelligence world-wide. We find that the most recent studies report mainly positive Flynn effects in economically less developed countries, but trivial and frequently negative Flynn effects in the economically most advanced countries. This is confirmed by an analysis of 48 countries in the 2000–2018 PISA tests, showing that high pre-existing IQ and school achievement are the best predictors of declining test scores. IQ gaps between countries are still large (e.g., 19 IQ points in PISA between East Asia and South Asia) but are diminishing world-wide. We predict that these trends, observed in adolescents today, will reduce cognitive gaps between the working-age populations of countries and world regions during coming decades. As is predicted by the well-established relationship between intelligence and economic growth, there is already evidence that the ongoing cognitive convergence is paralleled by global economic convergence. These developments raise questions as to how long this cognitive and economic convergence will continue, whether it will eliminate cognitive and economic gaps between countries entirely, and whether a condition with high levels of cognitive ability and economic prosperity is sustainable long-term.

这项研究的目的是估计世界范围内智力的最新趋势。我们发现,最近的研究主要报告了经济欠发达国家的积极弗林效应,但在经济最发达的国家,弗林效应微不足道,而且经常是消极的。对2000年至2018年48个国家PISA测试的分析证实了这一点,表明高智商和学校成绩是测试成绩下降的最佳预测指标。国家之间的智商差距仍然很大(例如,东亚和南亚之间的PISA智商差距为19分),但在全球范围内正在缩小。我们预测,今天在青少年中观察到的这些趋势将在未来几十年缩小各国和世界各区域工作年龄人口之间的认知差距。正如智力和经济增长之间的既定关系所预测的那样,已经有证据表明,正在进行的认知趋同与全球经济趋同并行。这些发展提出了这样的问题:这种认知和经济趋同将持续多久,它是否会完全消除国家之间的认知和经济差距,以及具有高水平认知能力和经济繁荣的状况是否长期可持续。
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引用次数: 2
The association between intelligence and face processing abilities: A conceptual and meta-analytic review 智力与面部处理能力之间的关系:概念和元分析综述
IF 3 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intell.2022.101718
Dana L. Walker, Romina Palermo, Zoe Callis, Gilles E. Gignac

Whether there is an association between intelligence and face processing ability (i.e., face detection, face perception and face memory) is contentious, with some suggesting a moderate, positive association and others contending there is no meaningful association. The inconsistent results may be due to sample size differences, as well as variability in the quality of intelligence measures administered. The establishment of a moderate, positive correlation between face processing and intelligence would suggest it may be integrated within the Cattell-Horn-Carroll model of intelligence. Additionally, developmental prosopagnosia, a specific impairment of the recognition of facial identity, may be assessable in a manner similar to a learning disability. Consequently, we employed a psychometric meta-analytic approach to estimate the true score correlation between intelligence and face processing ability. Intelligence was positively and significantly correlated with face detection (r’ = 0.20; k = 2, N = 407), face perception (r’ = 0.42, k = 11, N = 2528), and face memory (r’ = 0.26, k = 23, N = 9062). Additionally, intelligence measurement quality moderated positively and significantly the association between intelligence and face memory (β = 0.08). On the basis of both theoretical and empirical considerations, we interpreted the results to suggest that face processing ability may be plausibly conceptualised within the Cattell-Horn-Carroll model of intelligence, in a manner similar to other relatively narrow dimensions of cognitive ability, i.e., associated positively with intelligence, but also distinct (e.g., reading comprehension). Potential clinical implications for the assessment of developmental prosopagnosia are also discussed.

智力与面部处理能力(即面部检测、面部感知和面部记忆)之间是否存在关联是有争议的,一些人认为存在适度的、积极的关联,而另一些人则认为没有有意义的关联。不一致的结果可能是由于样本大小的差异,以及智力测量质量的可变性。人脸处理和智力之间适度的正相关关系的建立表明,它可能被整合到卡特泰尔-霍恩-卡罗尔智力模型中。此外,发展性面孔失认症是一种特殊的面部识别障碍,可以用类似于学习障碍的方式来评估。因此,我们采用心理测量元分析方法来估计智力与面部处理能力之间的真实得分相关性。智力与人脸检测呈显著正相关(r′= 0.20;k = 2, N = 407),面部知觉(r = 0.42, k = 11, N = 2528)、和面部记忆(r = 0.26, k = 23, N = 9062)。此外,智力测量质量在智力与面孔记忆之间具有显著的正向调节作用(β = 0.08)。基于理论和经验的考虑,我们对结果进行了解释,表明面部处理能力可能在智力的卡特尔-霍恩-卡罗尔模型中被合理地概念化,其方式类似于其他相对狭窄的认知能力维度,即与智力呈正相关,但也不同(例如,阅读理解)。潜在的临床意义评估发展性面孔失认症也进行了讨论。
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引用次数: 2
Reevaluating the Dunning-Kruger effect: A response to and replication of 邓宁-克鲁格效应的再评价:对邓宁-克鲁格效应的回应与再现
IF 3 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intell.2022.101717
C. Dunkel, Joseph L. Nedelec, Dimitri van der Linden
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引用次数: 3
Reevaluating the Dunning-Kruger effect: A response to and replication of Gignac and Zajenkowski (2020) 重新评估Dunning-Kruger效应:对Gignac和Zajenkowski(2020)的回应和复制
IF 3 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intell.2022.101717
Curtis S. Dunkel , Joseph Nedelec , Dimitri van der Linden

As applied to general intelligence, the Dunning-Kruger effect (DK) is the phenomenon in which individuals at the lower end of the intellectual ability distribution are more likely to overestimate their intelligence. In a recent article in Intelligence it was suggested that the DK is primarily a statistical artifact and, indeed, the application of more appropriate analyses led to a failure to replicate a significant effect. When some of the limitations (namely sample representativeness) were addressed and the more appropriate statistical methods were used in the current study, our analyses illustrated a statistically significant DK effect. However, the magnitude of the effect was minimal; bringing its meaningfulness into question. In conclusion, it is recommended that the conditions that result in a significant DK be further explored.

邓宁-克鲁格效应(DK)适用于一般智力,是指智力分布较低端的个体更有可能高估自己的智力的现象。在《情报》杂志最近的一篇文章中,有人认为DK主要是一种统计假象,事实上,应用更合适的分析导致无法复制显著的效果。当解决了一些局限性(即样本代表性),并在当前研究中使用了更合适的统计方法时,我们的分析表明了统计学上显著的DK效应。然而,影响的程度很小;使其意义受到质疑。总之,建议进一步探索导致重大DK的条件。
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引用次数: 3
Educational choice has greater effects on sex ratios of college STEM majors than has the greater male variance in general intelligence (g) 教育选择对大学STEM专业学生性别比的影响大于男性在一般智力方面的差异(g)
IF 3 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intell.2022.101719
Dai Li , Yizhen Wang , Lantian Li

In STEM fields other than biological sciences (math-intensive STEM), there is a greater ratio of males to females (M:F ratio) than that of the general population. The Ability Distribution Hypothesis suggests that this is mainly due to greater male variance in g. Others hypothesize that this is due to sex differences in occupational interests. There has not been an empirical study to evaluate which kind of differences has greater effects on the M:F ratios in math-intensive STEM fields. To fill the gap, we examine the test scores, application for majors and final admissions in a complete dataset of college entrance. We study the M:F ratios of four math-intensive STEM majors: Economics, Engineering, Computer Science and Physical sciences and Math. In summary, we find that greater male variance exists in total test scores; greater male variance partially explains the female underrepresentation in the upper tails of total test scores; men appear to have stronger interests in Engineering and Computer Science than women, while women appear to have stronger interests in Economics and to a lesser extent Physical sciences and Math than men; compared to sex differences in test scores, sex differences in major-choosing appear to have stronger effects on the M:F ratios of math-intensive STEM majors.

在除生物科学(数学密集型STEM)以外的STEM领域,男性与女性的比例(M:F比)高于一般人群。能力分布假说认为,这主要是由于男性在g方面的差异更大。其他人假设这是由于职业兴趣的性别差异。目前还没有实证研究来评估哪种差异对数学密集型STEM领域的M:F比率有更大的影响。为了填补这一空白,我们在一个完整的大学入学数据集中检查了考试成绩、专业申请和最终录取。我们研究了四个数学密集型STEM专业的M:F比率:经济学,工程学,计算机科学和物理科学与数学。综上所述,我们发现男性在总考试成绩上存在较大的差异;较大的男性方差部分解释了女性在总测试分数上尾的代表性不足;男性似乎比女性对工程和计算机科学更感兴趣,而女性似乎对经济学更感兴趣,对物理科学和数学的兴趣程度低于男性;与考试成绩的性别差异相比,专业选择的性别差异似乎对数学密集型STEM专业的M:F比率有更大的影响。
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引用次数: 2
g's little helpers – VOTAT and NOTAT mediate the relation between intelligence and complex problem solving g的小帮手——VOTAT和NOTAT调解了智力和解决复杂问题之间的关系
IF 3 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intell.2022.101685
Christin Lotz , Ronny Scherer , Samuel Greiff , Jörn R. Sparfeldt

Intelligence and complex problem solving (CPS) correlate closely, but little is known about the mechanism that translates intelligence into successful CPS. Therefore, this study considered the strategic exploration behaviors VOTAT (vary-one-thing-at-a-time) and NOTAT (vary no-thing-at-a-time) as possible mediators. A sample of 495 high-school students worked on nine CPS tasks, six of which with solely direct effects and three with direct and eigendynamic effects. We expected substantial mediation effects if the applied strategic behaviors were optimal to identify the particular underlying effect types (i.e., direct effects: VOTAT; direct and eigendynamic effects: VOTAT and NOTAT). The model for tasks with only direct effects revealed VOTAT and NOTAT to be substantial mediators: Whereas VOTAT showed substantial positive relations to intelligence and CPS performance, NOTAT unexpectedly showed substantial negative relations. Both VOTAT and NOTAT resulted in significant indirect mediation effects. The model for tasks with direct and eigendynamic effects showed substantial positive relations of VOTAT and NOTAT to intelligence and CPS-performance and resulted in significant and positive indirect mediation effects. Moreover, the indirect effects differed between VOTAT and NOTAT and across the two facets of CPS performance. Overall, strategic exploration behaviors are relevant for explaining the g-CPS-relation.

智力与复杂问题解决能力(CPS)密切相关,但人们对将智力转化为成功的CPS的机制知之甚少。因此,本研究认为战略探索行为VOTAT (change -one-thing-at- time)和NOTAT (vary no-thing-at- time)可能是中介。495名高中生完成了9项CPS任务,其中6项只有直接效应,3项有直接效应和特征动力效应。如果应用的战略行为是最优的,我们预计会有实质性的中介效应,以确定特定的潜在效应类型(即直接效应:VOTAT;直接和本征动力效应:VOTAT和NOTAT)。只有直接影响的任务模型显示,VOTAT和NOTAT是实质性的中介:尽管VOTAT对智力和CPS表现表现出实质性的正相关,但NOTAT出人意料地表现出实质性的负相关。VOTAT和NOTAT均产生了显著的间接中介效应。在具有直接效应和特征动力效应的任务模型中,VOTAT和NOTAT对智力和cps绩效存在显著的正相关关系,并产生显著的正间接中介效应。此外,间接影响在VOTAT和NOTAT之间以及在CPS绩效的两个方面有所不同。总体而言,战略探索行为与解释g- cps关系相关。
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引用次数: 0
Analytic thinking outruns fluid reasoning in explaining rejection of pseudoscience, paranormal, and conspiracist beliefs 在解释拒绝伪科学、超自然现象和阴谋论信仰时,分析思维胜过流动推理
IF 3 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.intell.2022.101705
Jan Jastrzębski, Adam Chuderski

Around one third of people across populations hold beliefs in epistemically unwarranted claims and theories. Why this effect is so strong remains elusive. In three studies (total N = 827), we clarified the relationships of fluid reasoning ability, analytic thinking style (indexed by non-intuitiveness and open-mindedness), and unwarranted beliefs in pseudoscience, paranormal phenomena, and conspiracy theories. Fluid reasoning predicted about 11% of variance in rejection of pseudoscience, but only 4% – in paranormal beliefs, and less than 2.5% – in conspiracist beliefs. By contrast, analytic thinking substantially predicted rejection of all the three kinds of beliefs, explaining 37% variance in pseudoscience and around 20% variance in paranormal and conspiracist beliefs. A novel finding indicated that fluid reasoning and analytic thinking predicted rejection of pseudoscience in an over-additive interaction. Fluid reasoning and analytic thinking explained the common variance shared by unwarranted beliefs, but not the belief-specific variance. Their relationships with unwarranted beliefs were stronger for males than for females. Overall, the three studies suggest that analytic thinking is more important than cognitive ability for adopting epistemically supported world-view.

大约三分之一的人相信在认知上毫无根据的主张和理论。为什么这种效应如此强烈仍然难以捉摸。在三项研究中(总N = 827),我们澄清了流动推理能力、分析思维方式(以非直觉性和开放性为索引)和对伪科学、超自然现象和阴谋论的毫无根据的信仰之间的关系。流动推理在拒绝伪科学方面预测了大约11%的差异,但在超自然信仰方面只有4%,在阴谋论信仰方面不到2.5%。相比之下,分析思维在很大程度上预测了对所有三种信仰的拒绝,解释了伪科学中37%的差异,以及超自然现象和阴谋论信仰中约20%的差异。一个新的发现表明,流体推理和分析思维预测拒绝伪科学在一个过度加性的相互作用。流动推理和分析思维解释了无根据信念所共有的共同差异,但不能解释信仰特有的差异。男性与无根据信念的关系比女性更强。总的来说,这三项研究表明,在采用认识论支持的世界观时,分析思维比认知能力更重要。
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引用次数: 1
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Intelligence
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