Pub Date : 2025-11-25DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105933
Katsuya Tanaka , Tadashi Kito , Kohji Tanaka
This study evaluates public preferences for next-generation disaster preparedness apps using a factorial survey experiment in flood-prone Japanese communities. The analysis first reveals a fundamental heterogeneity in public receptiveness, identifying two distinct segments: a small "receptive" minority (approx. 20 %) willing to consider adoption, and a large "unreceptive" majority (approx. 80 %) that rejects the app regardless of its features or price. Consequently, focusing on the receptive segment, the study estimates the economic value of specific app features. Results show that functions for immediate personal safety and family security—such as Rescue Request and Family Status Confirmation—are most highly prized. These findings lead to the conclusion that a freemium model is the most viable strategy for social implementation, offering a free version with basic features to the unreceptive majority while providing a premium, feature-rich version to the receptive minority at a sustainable price point. This dual approach can maximize public reach while ensuring financial viability.
{"title":"Who pays for preparedness? Valuing disaster app features through a factorial survey experiment in flood-prone communities","authors":"Katsuya Tanaka , Tadashi Kito , Kohji Tanaka","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105933","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105933","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study evaluates public preferences for next-generation disaster preparedness apps using a factorial survey experiment in flood-prone Japanese communities. The analysis first reveals a fundamental heterogeneity in public receptiveness, identifying two distinct segments: a small \"receptive\" minority (approx. 20 %) willing to consider adoption, and a large \"unreceptive\" majority (approx. 80 %) that rejects the app regardless of its features or price. Consequently, focusing on the receptive segment, the study estimates the economic value of specific app features. Results show that functions for immediate personal safety and family security—such as Rescue Request and Family Status Confirmation—are most highly prized. These findings lead to the conclusion that a freemium model is the most viable strategy for social implementation, offering a free version with basic features to the unreceptive majority while providing a premium, feature-rich version to the receptive minority at a sustainable price point. This dual approach can maximize public reach while ensuring financial viability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"133 ","pages":"Article 105933"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2025-11-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145616560","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-11-24DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105930
Daniel Yupanqui , Oscar Zapata , David Natcher , Ken Belcher , Suren Kulshreshtha
This study examined the economic impacts of the reconstruction of Fox Lake, Alberta, following the 2023 Paskwa wildfire.Fox Lake, one of three reserves of the Little Red River Cree Nation, lost 190 homes and other critical community infrastructure. Initial rebuilding costs have exceeded $160 million CAD. Wildfires present an ongoing challenge globally, especially for remote Indigenous communities in Canada, where climate change intensifies wildfire risk. The main consequences include damage to infrastructure and disruption of lives, calling for government recovery support. In 2024, the province of Alberta allocated $2 billion specifically to combat wildfires. Employing the provincial Input-Output model, we estimate the economic impact of government spending for wildfire response and recovery on Alberta's economy. The impact is evaluated by measuring the rise in production value across Alberta's sectors relative to government-assisted recovery efforts. We estimate the economic effects of evacuation, transportation, and reconstruction expenditures by utilizing daily ledger reports of recovery expenses from March 2023 to April 2024, along with Alberta's 2020 Supply and Use tables.
The main findings indicate that expenditures for post-fire recovery in Fox Lake increased the provincial production values. The estimated output multipliers for evacuation, transportation, and reconstruction expenditures are 1.71, 1.74, and 1.77, respectively, while the aggregate recovery spending has an overall multiplier of 1.76. The federal government's contributions of $291 million resulted in a $221 million increase in provincial production. This boosted Alberta's gross value added by $253 million and created 2300 full-time equivalent jobs, representing 0.1 % of the provincial workforce.
{"title":"Economic spillovers of wildfire recovery efforts in remote Indigenous communities in Canada: The case of Little Red River Cree Nation","authors":"Daniel Yupanqui , Oscar Zapata , David Natcher , Ken Belcher , Suren Kulshreshtha","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105930","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105930","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examined the economic impacts of the reconstruction of <em>Fox Lake</em>, Alberta, following the 2023 <em>Paskwa wildfire</em><strong><em>.</em></strong> <em>Fox Lake</em>, one of three reserves of the <em>Little Red River Cree Nation</em>, lost 190 homes and other critical community infrastructure. Initial rebuilding costs have exceeded $160 million CAD. Wildfires present an ongoing challenge globally, especially for remote Indigenous communities in Canada, where climate change intensifies wildfire risk. The main consequences include damage to infrastructure and disruption of lives, calling for government recovery support. In 2024, the province of Alberta allocated $2 billion specifically to combat wildfires. Employing the provincial Input-Output model, we estimate the economic impact of government spending for wildfire response and recovery on Alberta's economy. The impact is evaluated by measuring the rise in production value across Alberta's sectors relative to government-assisted recovery efforts. We estimate the economic effects of evacuation, transportation, and reconstruction expenditures by utilizing daily ledger reports of recovery expenses from March 2023 to April 2024, along with Alberta's 2020 Supply and Use tables.</div><div>The main findings indicate that expenditures for post-fire recovery in <em>Fox Lake</em> increased the provincial production values. The estimated output multipliers for evacuation, transportation, and reconstruction expenditures are 1.71, 1.74, and 1.77, respectively, while the aggregate recovery spending has an overall multiplier of 1.76. The federal government's contributions of $291 million resulted in a $221 million increase in provincial production. This boosted Alberta's gross value added by $253 million and created 2300 full-time equivalent jobs, representing 0.1 % of the provincial workforce.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"133 ","pages":"Article 105930"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2025-11-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145616561","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Mount Merapi, among the world's most active volcanoes, poses complex risks while fostering unique opportunities for surrounding communities. This study investigates how local knowledge, cultural practices, and institutional frameworks converge to shape adaptive strategies and resilience in the face of volcanic hazards. Employing qualitative methods, including in-depth and group interviews with local residents, community leaders, traditional authorities, and government representatives, the research applies thematic and narrative analyses to illuminate both practical and cultural dimensions of everyday risk navigation. Findings demonstrate that local and spiritual knowledge, lived experience, and collaborative networks are pivotal for hazard recognition and community preparedness. The integration of these local capacities with modern tools—such as real-time monitoring and participatory evacuation planning—amplifies their effectiveness. Meanwhile, economic activities like sand mining and tourism generate both livelihoods and new vulnerabilities, highlighting persistent social and environmental trade-offs. Ultimately, the study concludes that disaster resilience on Mount Merapi is inherently multidimensional, demanding the integration of indigenous and scientific knowledge, sustainable economic practices, and inclusive policy approaches.
{"title":"Navigating risk and resilience: Exploring cultural, local responses, livelihoods, and institutions to Mount Merapi's volcanic hazards","authors":"Alfi Rahman , Muzayin Nazaruddin , Anang Hermawan , Dahlawi , Deni Yanuar , Nurul Fajar Januriyadi","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105929","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105929","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Mount Merapi, among the world's most active volcanoes, poses complex risks while fostering unique opportunities for surrounding communities. This study investigates how local knowledge, cultural practices, and institutional frameworks converge to shape adaptive strategies and resilience in the face of volcanic hazards. Employing qualitative methods, including in-depth and group interviews with local residents, community leaders, traditional authorities, and government representatives, the research applies thematic and narrative analyses to illuminate both practical and cultural dimensions of everyday risk navigation. Findings demonstrate that local and spiritual knowledge, lived experience, and collaborative networks are pivotal for hazard recognition and community preparedness. The integration of these local capacities with modern tools—such as real-time monitoring and participatory evacuation planning—amplifies their effectiveness. Meanwhile, economic activities like sand mining and tourism generate both livelihoods and new vulnerabilities, highlighting persistent social and environmental trade-offs. Ultimately, the study concludes that disaster resilience on Mount Merapi is inherently multidimensional, demanding the integration of indigenous and scientific knowledge, sustainable economic practices, and inclusive policy approaches.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"133 ","pages":"Article 105929"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2025-11-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145616563","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This study examines a peer leadership approach by a disability representative organisation in Australia, designed to enhance individualised support for members and improve systemic advocacy efforts. Our research objective was to explore the structure, roles, leadership qualities, and benefits of disability-led peer support groups as part of a broader participatory action research program examining disability leadership and its application in Disability Inclusive Disaster Risk Reduction (DIDRR). Structured interviews were conducted with 14 peer leaders from established groups, with reflexive thematic analysis applied to interpret the data. The research identified transformational leadership qualities within the peer support model, including a shared purpose, mentoring, and supportive connections. Leaders fostered inclusivity, facilitating information sharing and community bonding. Notably, the deliberate use of curiosity and joint exploration emerged as a key method for building confidence among less-heard members, turning the disability representative organisation into a dynamic learning hub that integrates grassroots insights to enhance disability-inclusive programs and advocacy strategies. The study highlights the effectiveness of transformational leadership in disability peer support groups, offering insights into peer leadership dynamics and its potential to advance DIDRR. Further research could expand its application, transforming disaster preparedness and response strategies to be more inclusive and effective.
{"title":"Disability leadership and the future of inclusive disaster risk reduction","authors":"Michelle Villeneuve , Damian Mellifont , Liala Cadelli , Ivy Yen , Michelle Moss","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105927","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105927","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines a peer leadership approach by a disability representative organisation in Australia, designed to enhance individualised support for members and improve systemic advocacy efforts. Our research objective was to explore the structure, roles, leadership qualities, and benefits of disability-led peer support groups as part of a broader participatory action research program examining disability leadership and its application in Disability Inclusive Disaster Risk Reduction (DIDRR). Structured interviews were conducted with 14 peer leaders from established groups, with reflexive thematic analysis applied to interpret the data. The research identified transformational leadership qualities within the peer support model, including a shared purpose, mentoring, and supportive connections. Leaders fostered inclusivity, facilitating information sharing and community bonding. Notably, the deliberate use of curiosity and joint exploration emerged as a key method for building confidence among less-heard members, turning the disability representative organisation into a dynamic learning hub that integrates grassroots insights to enhance disability-inclusive programs and advocacy strategies. The study highlights the effectiveness of transformational leadership in disability peer support groups, offering insights into peer leadership dynamics and its potential to advance DIDRR. Further research could expand its application, transforming disaster preparedness and response strategies to be more inclusive and effective.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"133 ","pages":"Article 105927"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2025-11-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145616556","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This research contributes to debates regarding the disconnect between climate risk perception and actual adaptation strategies among farmers. This disconnect is particularly concerning in the context of increasing climate-related disasters affecting agricultural systems. We challenge the assumption of a direct link and explore alternative factors influencing adaptation behaviour. We investigate the role of climate risk perception, alongside socio-economic and non-climatic factors, on farmers’ adoption of soil health practices in Australia. Using survey data from Australian farmers (n = 531), we employ Poisson regression to model the intensity of adaptation, measured as the count of soil health practices adopted. Our analysis finds that innovation attitude, risk aversion, training attendance, rainfall zone, age, location, and formal education are significant predictors of the intensity of adaptation, while climate risk perception is not directly significant. Our findings suggest a “risk-action gap” where climate risk perception does not necessarily translate into increased soil health adaptations. This highlights the need for targeted interventions beyond awareness-raising, focusing on location-specific needs, risk management, fostering innovation, and improving access to training.
{"title":"Is climate risk perception enough? Empirical evidence from Australian farmers","authors":"Salini Khuraijam , Heidi Wechtler , Vaughan Higgins , Hanabeth Luke","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105918","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105918","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This research contributes to debates regarding the disconnect between climate risk perception and actual adaptation strategies among farmers. This disconnect is particularly concerning in the context of increasing climate-related disasters affecting agricultural systems. We challenge the assumption of a direct link and explore alternative factors influencing adaptation behaviour. We investigate the role of climate risk perception, alongside socio-economic and non-climatic factors, on farmers’ adoption of soil health practices in Australia. Using survey data from Australian farmers (n = 531), we employ Poisson regression to model the intensity of adaptation, measured as the count of soil health practices adopted. Our analysis finds that innovation attitude, risk aversion, training attendance, rainfall zone, age, location, and formal education are significant predictors of the intensity of adaptation, while climate risk perception is not directly significant. Our findings suggest a “risk-action gap” where climate risk perception does not necessarily translate into increased soil health adaptations. This highlights the need for targeted interventions beyond awareness-raising, focusing on location-specific needs, risk management, fostering innovation, and improving access to training.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"133 ","pages":"Article 105918"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2025-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145616562","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-11-20DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105910
Timothy D. Stark , Kayley D. Estes , Roxane Cohen Silver , E. Alison Holman , Ben A. Leshchinsky , Farshid Vahedifard
Landslides pose a significant threat to infrastructure, communities, and human life throughout the world. A critical first step toward landslide risk reduction lies in risk awareness and proactive risk mitigation. However, in some cases, a lack of awareness or underestimation of landslide risks among communities and local stakeholders can lead to increased losses from potential landslide events. This study explores divergences between objective and subjective landslide risk assessments, focusing on the Cache Creek Landslide in Lake County, California. The landslide is in a region highly susceptible to various hazards. For the objective assessment of landslide risk, this study utilized imagery from Google Earth and publicly available digital elevation models to track the movements of the Cache Creek Landslide since 1953. Landslide movements over time were analyzed regarding cascading hazards such as heavy precipitation, post-wildfire conditions, and seismic activity. For subjective landslide risk assessment, a survey was conducted among adult residents throughout Lake County. Survey results revealed that most of the residential community surrounding Cache Creek is predominantly unaware of the landslide and the cascading hazards it poses. We argue that engineers and scientists must better convey disaster potential to the public to motivate community and governmental response. These differences in objective findings and subjective perceptions have significant implications, including potential delays in implementing necessary mitigation strategies and increased vulnerability of at-risk populations. Addressing these gaps is essential to enhance landslide risk awareness and foster proactive measures, ultimately reducing the devastating impacts of landslides in vulnerable communities.
{"title":"Objective versus subjective landslide risk: A case of Cache Creek Landslide in California","authors":"Timothy D. Stark , Kayley D. Estes , Roxane Cohen Silver , E. Alison Holman , Ben A. Leshchinsky , Farshid Vahedifard","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105910","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105910","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Landslides pose a significant threat to infrastructure, communities, and human life throughout the world. A critical first step toward landslide risk reduction lies in risk awareness and proactive risk mitigation. However, in some cases, a lack of awareness or underestimation of landslide risks among communities and local stakeholders can lead to increased losses from potential landslide events. This study explores divergences between objective and subjective landslide risk assessments, focusing on the Cache Creek Landslide in Lake County, California. The landslide is in a region highly susceptible to various hazards. For the objective assessment of landslide risk, this study utilized imagery from Google Earth and publicly available digital elevation models to track the movements of the Cache Creek Landslide since 1953. Landslide movements over time were analyzed regarding cascading hazards such as heavy precipitation, post-wildfire conditions, and seismic activity. For subjective landslide risk assessment, a survey was conducted among adult residents throughout Lake County. Survey results revealed that most of the residential community surrounding Cache Creek is predominantly unaware of the landslide and the cascading hazards it poses. We argue that engineers and scientists must better convey disaster potential to the public to motivate community and governmental response. These differences in objective findings and subjective perceptions have significant implications, including potential delays in implementing necessary mitigation strategies and increased vulnerability of at-risk populations. Addressing these gaps is essential to enhance landslide risk awareness and foster proactive measures, ultimately reducing the devastating impacts of landslides in vulnerable communities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"132 ","pages":"Article 105910"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2025-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145797602","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Successful post-fire rehabilitation is of utmost importance in wildfire-prone areas. Within the broader framework of postfire management, a tool that facilitates the continuous evaluation of applied strategies is therefore potentially essential. The current study aims to contribute to this process through the definition, implementation and validation of the Continuous Monitoring for Post-Fire Rehabilitation Index, thereby filling a gap in the existing literature. The proposed index integrates variables representing the ecological and socio-economic status of an area, which have been thoroughly weighted through the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP). To that end, a structured survey was conducted among 14 experts across Europe to obtain pairwise comparisons and to derive the corresponding variable weights. A Likert scale was employed to ensure unbiased scoring transformation and homogeneity across diverse data types. The survey responses were rigorously processed to ensure consistency, address missing judgments, and aggregate preference weights. To further support spatial distribution on a Geographic Information System basis, a software tool was developed using the Python programming language. The index's reliability and sensitivity were validated using the Monte Carlo simulation method and tested on field data in the form of maps using a Geodatabase in a burned area in Northern Evia, Greece, across two distinct periods. The results of the sensitivity analysis shown that the index runs smoothly. The produced spatial data from its application in the test area indicate that it classifies locations according to the impact size, and maps the progress of rehabilitation efforts between the two evaluation periods with clarity and reliability compared to the field rehabilitation progress.
{"title":"Assessing post-fire rehabilitation: Development and validation of a continuous monitoring index","authors":"Spyridon Kaloudis , Dimitrios Raptis , Stavroula Galanopoulou , Konstantinos Demestichas , Evdoxia Lykoudi , Filotheos Ntalianis , Dimitrios Zografakis , Dimitrios Sykas , Constantina Costopoulou","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105924","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105924","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Successful post-fire rehabilitation is of utmost importance in wildfire-prone areas. Within the broader framework of postfire management, a tool that facilitates the continuous evaluation of applied strategies is therefore potentially essential. The current study aims to contribute to this process through the definition, implementation and validation of the Continuous Monitoring for Post-Fire Rehabilitation Index, thereby filling a gap in the existing literature. The proposed index integrates variables representing the ecological and socio-economic status of an area, which have been thoroughly weighted through the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP). To that end, a structured survey was conducted among 14 experts across Europe to obtain pairwise comparisons and to derive the corresponding variable weights. A Likert scale was employed to ensure unbiased scoring transformation and homogeneity across diverse data types. The survey responses were rigorously processed to ensure consistency, address missing judgments, and aggregate preference weights. To further support spatial distribution on a Geographic Information System basis, a software tool was developed using the Python programming language. The index's reliability and sensitivity were validated using the Monte Carlo simulation method and tested on field data in the form of maps using a Geodatabase in a burned area in Northern Evia, Greece, across two distinct periods. The results of the sensitivity analysis shown that the index runs smoothly. The produced spatial data from its application in the test area indicate that it classifies locations according to the impact size, and maps the progress of rehabilitation efforts between the two evaluation periods with clarity and reliability compared to the field rehabilitation progress.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"133 ","pages":"Article 105924"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2025-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145616557","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-11-19DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105922
Kaida Yan , Fengjun Zhao , Yongqiang Liu , Lifu Shu , Mingyu Wang , Liqing Si , Weike Li
Border zones between countries are among the world regions with large spatial variability in wildfires. However, our understanding of fire regimes in these areas, particularly quantitative assessments of cross-border fire risk, remains limited. This study examines fire regimes and their driving factors along China's extensive land borders, which encompass the world's longest border and the second-highest number of neighboring countries. Utilizing Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiomete satellite products, we analyzed fire occurrence (fire count), intensity (fire radiative power), and impact (burned area) within 50-km buffer zones on both sides of the border, their relationships with vegetation, and the statistical differences across borders. The results indicate that approximately 10 % of China's land border areas face threats from cross-border fires, primarily originating from Russia, Mongolia, and Laos. The wildfire metrics in neighboring countries—notably the fire count and cumulative FRP in Russia, Myanmar, and Laos and the total burned area in Mongolia and Russia—were significantly greater than those in China. However, the differences in vegetation between inside and outside the borders were not significant. The results suggest that the fire disparities were primarily driven by divergent fire management policies and resource allocation. We argue that effective mitigation of transboundary fire risk requires an integrated approach that combines regional governance, targeted prevention measures, and strengthened international cooperation. Quantifying policy-driven disparities in fire regimes provides a critical baseline for coordinated management in global border hotspots.
{"title":"Disparities in wildfire regimes across China's borders: Policy-driven asymmetries in fire frequency, intensity and impact","authors":"Kaida Yan , Fengjun Zhao , Yongqiang Liu , Lifu Shu , Mingyu Wang , Liqing Si , Weike Li","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105922","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105922","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Border zones between countries are among the world regions with large spatial variability in wildfires. However, our understanding of fire regimes in these areas, particularly quantitative assessments of cross-border fire risk, remains limited. This study examines fire regimes and their driving factors along China's extensive land borders, which encompass the world's longest border and the second-highest number of neighboring countries. Utilizing Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiomete satellite products, we analyzed fire occurrence (fire count), intensity (fire radiative power), and impact (burned area) within 50-km buffer zones on both sides of the border, their relationships with vegetation, and the statistical differences across borders. The results indicate that approximately 10 % of China's land border areas face threats from cross-border fires, primarily originating from Russia, Mongolia, and Laos. The wildfire metrics in neighboring countries—notably the fire count and cumulative FRP in Russia, Myanmar, and Laos and the total burned area in Mongolia and Russia—were significantly greater than those in China. However, the differences in vegetation between inside and outside the borders were not significant. The results suggest that the fire disparities were primarily driven by divergent fire management policies and resource allocation. We argue that effective mitigation of transboundary fire risk requires an integrated approach that combines regional governance, targeted prevention measures, and strengthened international cooperation. Quantifying policy-driven disparities in fire regimes provides a critical baseline for coordinated management in global border hotspots.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 105922"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2025-11-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145576850","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-11-19DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105923
Aishwarya Borate , David Feldman
The post-disaster period is often marked by discussions about the causes of the event and solutions to manage risk. From a policy-making perspective, disasters can act as focusing events, garnering the attention of the public and elites and creating a window of opportunity for policy change to reduce disaster risk. Narratives that circulate post-disaster are one of the crucial factors that influence the government's decisions to respond to them. This study examines the narratives surrounding flood risk in Chiplun, Maharashtra, after the 2021 flooding by integrating the Narrative Policy Framework (NPF) with the Pressure and Release Framework (PAR). Our innovative framework reveals how narratives in a post-disaster policy window direct attention to certain dimensions of risk while overlooking others and its implications for flood risk reduction. Analysis of media coverage, government reports, and stakeholder interviews revealed three dominant narratives surrounding flood risk: 1) flooding as a consequence of dam (mis)management, 2) flooding as a result of sediment accumulation in the river, and 3) flooding as an outcome of development in the floodplain. We found that the narratives focusing on unsafe conditions gained traction, while those challenging power structures faced resistance. The sediment accumulation narrative was successful because it did not challenge existing power structures. Despite engaging with dynamic pressures, the floodplain development narrative faced the most resistance because it challenged the powerful economic interest groups. The analysis of competing narratives surrounding flood risk indicates that selective engagement or silence regarding different dimensions of risk makes effective flood risk management in India challenging.
{"title":"Barriers to effective flood risk management in India: A case of 2021 Chiplun flooding","authors":"Aishwarya Borate , David Feldman","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105923","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105923","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The post-disaster period is often marked by discussions about the causes of the event and solutions to manage risk. From a policy-making perspective, disasters can act as focusing events, garnering the attention of the public and elites and creating a window of opportunity for policy change to reduce disaster risk. Narratives that circulate post-disaster are one of the crucial factors that influence the government's decisions to respond to them. This study examines the narratives surrounding flood risk in Chiplun, Maharashtra, after the 2021 flooding by integrating the Narrative Policy Framework (NPF) with the Pressure and Release Framework (PAR). Our innovative framework reveals how narratives in a post-disaster policy window direct attention to certain dimensions of risk while overlooking others and its implications for flood risk reduction. Analysis of media coverage, government reports, and stakeholder interviews revealed three dominant narratives surrounding flood risk: 1) flooding as a consequence of dam (mis)management, 2) flooding as a result of sediment accumulation in the river, and 3) flooding as an outcome of development in the floodplain. We found that the narratives focusing on unsafe conditions gained traction, while those challenging power structures faced resistance. The sediment accumulation narrative was successful because it did not challenge existing power structures. Despite engaging with dynamic pressures, the floodplain development narrative faced the most resistance because it challenged the powerful economic interest groups. The analysis of competing narratives surrounding flood risk indicates that selective engagement or silence regarding different dimensions of risk makes effective flood risk management in India challenging.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"133 ","pages":"Article 105923"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2025-11-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145616549","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-11-19DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105921
Isabel Muñoz Beaulieu , Revka Perez , Mayfourth Luneta , Lisa Eckenwiler , Shelley Rose Hyppolite , Handreen Mohammed Saeed , Lisa Schwartz , Matthew Hunt
Humanitarian organizations, while addressing acute crises, may ask questions regarding their role in supporting longer term recovery. Planning for and implementing project closure presents opportunities to integrate plans to sustain benefits and services that can extend past the emergency intervention. This study employs interpretive description methodology to examine local stakeholders' experiences of project closure. Data was collected through eight focus groups and thirty-four key informant interviews, involving 101 participants across six communities in the Philippines. This article presents findings related to perceptions of sustainability. Participants characterized sustainability as a shared responsibility between humanitarian organizations and local actors, to be considered at every stage of project implementation. Moreover, sustained relationships were identified as pivotal for ensuring lasting project benefits, including capacities, services, material gains, and livelihood support. Participants' insights offer guidance for how, when, and to what extent humanitarian organizations can address underlying vulnerabilities and support communities’ long-term well-being beyond the immediate crisis.
{"title":"What remains after humanitarian organizations leave? An exploration of community perspectives regarding sustainability and humanitarian aid in the Philippines","authors":"Isabel Muñoz Beaulieu , Revka Perez , Mayfourth Luneta , Lisa Eckenwiler , Shelley Rose Hyppolite , Handreen Mohammed Saeed , Lisa Schwartz , Matthew Hunt","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105921","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105921","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Humanitarian organizations, while addressing acute crises, may ask questions regarding their role in supporting longer term recovery. Planning for and implementing project closure presents opportunities to integrate plans to sustain benefits and services that can extend past the emergency intervention. This study employs interpretive description methodology to examine local stakeholders' experiences of project closure. Data was collected through eight focus groups and thirty-four key informant interviews, involving 101 participants across six communities in the Philippines. This article presents findings related to perceptions of sustainability. Participants characterized sustainability as a shared responsibility between humanitarian organizations and local actors, to be considered at every stage of project implementation. Moreover, sustained relationships were identified as pivotal for ensuring lasting project benefits, including capacities, services, material gains, and livelihood support. Participants' insights offer guidance for how, when, and to what extent humanitarian organizations can address underlying vulnerabilities and support communities’ long-term well-being beyond the immediate crisis.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 105921"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2025-11-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145576852","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
扫码关注我们
求助内容：
应助结果提醒方式：
京公网安备 11010802042870号