International journal of disaster risk reduction最新文献_第3页

The effect of evacuation decisions on flash flood preparedness in Fujairah, UAE: When the waters rise are we ready in desert country? 撤离决定对阿联酋富查伊拉山洪防备的影响：当水位上涨时，我们在沙漠国家准备好了吗？

IF 4.5 1区地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

International journal of disaster risk reduction

Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2026.106013

Dr Praveen Maghelal , Dr Sudha Arlikatti , Dr Michael Lindell , Dr Khawla Saeed Al Hattawi , Mr Bader Abdulaziz Omar Al Jaberi , Ms Ghala Mohammed Mansour

The United Arab Emirates (UAE), known for its dry desert climate, receives only 140–200 mm (5.5–8.0 in) of rainfall per year. Over the past decade there has been a notable increase in the intensity of rain and occurrences of flash flooding in the Emirates of Dubai, Sharjah, Ras Al Khaimah and Fujairah. Although these events have caused fatalities and large-scale economic losses, there has been very little research about the increasing vulnerabilities of the population to flash flooding or about community preparedness and response to this hazard. The present study aims to fill this gap by examining households' decisions to evacuate in response to flooding and their intentions to prepare for future floods. A questionnaire based on the Protective Action Decision Model (PADM) was administered to 223 residents in the Emirate of Fujairah. The resulting data analysis identified several significant predictors of flash flood evacuation. These include risk perceptions, both positive and negative affective responses, and receipt of warnings from government authorities and news media platforms. Other significant predictors were the number of elderly people in the household, the respondent's age, and home ownership. There were significant differences among flood preparedness actions that households intend to take, as well as differences between evacuees and non-evacuees in their expectations of adopting permanent relocation and structural mitigation. The insights derived from this study can strengthen emergency management agencies' support for household preparedness and response to future flash floods.

阿拉伯联合酋长国（UAE）以其干燥的沙漠气候而闻名，每年的降雨量只有140-200毫米（5.5-8.0英寸）。在过去十年中，迪拜、沙迦、哈伊马角和富查伊拉等酋长国的降雨强度和山洪暴发次数显著增加。虽然这些事件造成了死亡和大规模的经济损失，但很少有关于人口对山洪暴发日益脆弱的研究，也很少有关于社区对这种危险的准备和反应的研究。本研究旨在通过考察家庭在应对洪水时的撤离决定以及他们为未来洪水做准备的意图来填补这一空白。根据保护行动决策模型（PADM）对富查伊拉酋长国的223名居民进行了问卷调查。由此产生的数据分析确定了几个重要的山洪疏散预测因素。这些包括风险认知，积极和消极的情感反应，以及收到政府当局和新闻媒体平台的警告。其他重要的预测因素是家庭中老年人的数量，受访者的年龄和房屋所有权。家庭准备采取的防洪行动之间存在显著差异，撤离者和非撤离者对采取永久性搬迁和结构性缓解措施的期望之间也存在显著差异。从本研究中获得的见解可以加强应急管理机构对家庭准备和应对未来山洪暴发的支持。

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引用次数: 0

Why we see risk differently: Socioeconomic dimensions of climate hazard and risk perceptions in Auckland, New Zealand 为什么我们对风险的看法不同：新西兰奥克兰气候危害的社会经济层面和风险认知

IF 4.5 1区地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

International journal of disaster risk reduction

Pub Date : 2026-01-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2026.106011

Iresh Jayawardena , Sandeeka Mannakkara , Guanghao Wang , Le Wen

Climate-related natural hazards such as floods and landslides pose increasing risks to urban communities. Understanding how diverse individuals perceive these risks is essential for designing effective disaster risk reduction strategies. This study investigates the multidimensional nature of risk perception and its socioeconomic determinants in Henderson-Massey, Auckland—one of New Zealand's most demographically varied urban regions.

Drawing on survey data from 206 residents, the study constructs a five-part Risk Perception Index encompassing cognitive, emotional, experiential, coping, and social trust dimensions. Using Ordinary Least Squares and logistic regression models, the analysis explores how variables such as age, gender, education, income, ethnicity, housing tenure, and place attachment influence both overall and dimension-specific risk perceptions.

Findings reveal that Māori and Pacific Islander respondents exhibit higher levels of cognitive awareness, emotional sensitivity, and coping intentions, yet report significantly lower trust in formal institutions. Income and education are positively associated with experiential and coping dimensions, while emotional distress is more prevalent among lower-income and female respondents. The study also identifies a risk perception paradox, where high exposure does not always translate into heightened concern or preparedness.

By highlighting the differentiated nature of risk perception across social groups, this research contributes to the growing body of literature on urban climate vulnerability and provides actionable insights for policymakers. Tailored, culturally responsive risk communication and inclusive governance are critical to enhancing resilience in multi-ethnic urban settings.

洪水和山体滑坡等与气候有关的自然灾害对城市社区构成越来越大的风险。了解不同个体如何看待这些风险对于设计有效的减少灾害风险战略至关重要。本研究在新西兰人口最多样化的城市地区之一奥克兰的亨德森-梅西调查了风险感知的多维性及其社会经济决定因素。基于对206名居民的调查数据，本研究构建了由认知、情感、经验、应对和社会信任五个维度组成的风险感知指数。使用普通最小二乘和逻辑回归模型，分析探讨了年龄、性别、教育、收入、种族、住房使用权和地方依恋等变量如何影响整体和特定维度的风险感知。研究结果显示，Māori和太平洋岛民受访者表现出更高水平的认知意识、情绪敏感性和应对意图，但对正式机构的信任度显著降低。收入和教育程度与经验和应对维度呈正相关，而情绪困扰在低收入和女性受访者中更为普遍。该研究还发现了一个风险认知悖论，即高度暴露并不总是转化为高度关注或准备。通过强调不同社会群体风险感知的差异性，本研究有助于增加城市气候脆弱性的文献，并为政策制定者提供可操作的见解。量身定制的、符合文化的风险沟通和包容性治理对于增强多民族城市环境中的复原力至关重要。

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引用次数: 0

Long-term physical health impacts of disasters: Evidence from the 2006 Yogyakarta earthquake 灾害对身体健康的长期影响：来自2006年日惹地震的证据

IF 4.5 1区地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

International journal of disaster risk reduction

Pub Date : 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2026.106010

Rozana Himaz

This paper looks at the impact of the 2006 Yogyakarta earthquake on physical health outcomes 18–24 months after the event. The data come from the longitudinal Indonesia Family Life Survey 2000 and 2007 for a sample of around 4400 individuals representing those affected by the earthquake and a carefully constructed control group. Health outcomes are measured using indices capturing long-term health (Activities of Daily Living), physical pain, sleep disturbance and the effect of chronic illness onset on the ability to take up paid work. These health outcomes are regressed on earthquake destruction and pre-hazard characteristics, accounting for endogeneity via instrumental variable estimation. The results show that a complete (100 %) loss of assets -experienced by over a fifth of those who lived in earthquake-affected areas- is associated with an 11 % increase in difficulty in daily activities relative to baseline and an 8 % increase in pain relative to the control group. It also shows that for the subset of respondents who experienced full asset loss and were diagnosed with at least one chronic illness since the quake, perceived limitations to take up paid work increased by 18.5 % relative to the control group average. Thus, the negative physical health impacts of the earthquake were persistent and significant suggesting the importance of post-disaster health and labour market support well beyond the emergency phase. These findings are highly relevant in the context of more recent disasters such as the 2023 Türkiye-Syria, Morocco and Afghanistan earthquakes where long-term health consequences and recovery strategies are still unfolding.

本文着眼于2006年日惹地震对震后18-24个月的身体健康结果的影响。这些数据来自2000年和2007年的纵向印度尼西亚家庭生活调查，样本包括大约4400名受地震影响的个人和一个精心构建的对照组。衡量健康结果的指标包括长期健康（日常生活活动）、身体疼痛、睡眠障碍以及慢性病对从事有偿工作能力的影响。这些健康结果根据地震破坏和灾前特征进行了回归，通过工具变量估计说明了内生性。研究结果表明，与对照组相比，生活在地震灾区的五分之一以上的人经历的完全（100%）财产损失与日常活动困难增加11%和疼痛增加8%有关。调查还显示，自地震以来经历了全部资产损失并被诊断出至少患有一种慢性病的受访者中，与对照组的平均水平相比，他们认为从事有偿工作的限制增加了18.5%。因此，地震对身体健康造成的负面影响是持久而重大的，这表明灾后健康和劳动力市场支持的重要性远远超出了紧急阶段。这些发现与最近发生的灾害高度相关，例如2023年叙利亚、摩洛哥和阿富汗地震，这些灾害的长期健康后果和恢复战略仍在展开。

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引用次数: 0

Earthquake-hazard exposure of residents with potential access and functional needs in the United States 美国具有潜在通道和功能需求的居民的地震危险暴露

IF 4.5 1区地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

International journal of disaster risk reduction

Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2026.106002

Nathan Wood , Alice Pennaz , Jeanne Jones

Earthquake response plans and earthquake early warning (EEW) systems designed for general populations may not consider potential access and functional needs (AFN) of individuals with physical, sensory, cognitive, or social limitations. Previous efforts to map the distribution of these populations have focused on social-vulnerability indices that ignore or oversimply these limitations. The descriptive and exploratory analysis summarized in this United States (U.S.) case study addresses this gap by identifying and integrating spatially explicit data for AFN-related residential populations, earthquake hazards, and county and county equivalents for the conterminous U.S., Alaska, Puerto Rico, and Hawaii. We focus on 13 AFN-related attributes that relate to an individual's ability to access information contained in an EEW alert, to understand and process earthquake information or observed ground shaking, and to take self-protective actions based on this information and physical cues of an earthquake. Depending on the demographic attribute, there are millions to tens of millions of U.S. residents with AFN-related attributes in areas considered to have varying likelihoods (2%, 10%, and 50%) of exceedance of a damaging earthquake in the next 50 years. Although these amounts represent low percentages at the national level, the percentage of individuals with AFN-related attributes in many counties and county equivalents substantially exceeds national percentages. No one county, county equivalent, U.S. state, or U.S. territory has the highest percentage of individuals in all AFN-related attributes; therefore, future efforts to increase individual resilience to earthquakes may benefit from understanding the local context of individuals with potential access and functional needs.

为一般人群设计的地震响应计划和地震预警（EEW）系统可能没有考虑到具有身体、感官、认知或社会限制的个人的潜在访问和功能需求（AFN）。以前绘制这些人口分布图的努力集中在忽视或过于简单地考虑这些限制的社会脆弱性指数上。本美国案例研究总结的描述性和探索性分析通过识别和整合与afn相关的居住人口、地震灾害以及美国相邻地区、阿拉斯加、波多黎各和夏威夷的县和县等价物的空间明确数据，解决了这一差距。我们将重点放在13个与afn相关的属性上，这些属性与个人获取EEW警报中包含的信息、理解和处理地震信息或观察地面震动的能力有关，并基于这些信息和地震的物理线索采取自我保护行动。根据人口统计属性，在未来50年内，有数百万到数千万具有afn相关属性的美国居民被认为有不同的可能性（2%、10%和50%）发生破坏性地震。虽然这些数字在全国范围内所占的百分比很低，但在许多县和同等县，具有afn相关属性的个人百分比大大超过了全国百分比。在所有afn相关属性中，没有一个县、同等县、美国州或美国领土的个人比例最高；因此，未来提高个人抗灾能力的努力可能受益于了解具有潜在通道和功能需求的个人的当地环境。

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引用次数: 0

Factors influencing return migration after disaster relocation: Housing dissatisfaction and place attachment in the 2021 Mount Semeru eruption, Indonesia 影响灾后移民回归的因素：2021年印尼塞梅鲁火山喷发中的住房不满和地方依恋

IF 4.5 1区地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

International journal of disaster risk reduction

Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2026.106007

Azura Calista Shafa Kamila , I Dewa Made Frendika Septanaya , Rajib Shaw , Adjie Pamungkas , Kesumaning Dyah Larasati

Disaster-induced relocation is a key disaster risk reduction strategy, yet many programs fail as households return to hazard-prone zones. This study investigates return migration intention among households displaced by the 2021 Mount Semeru eruption in Indonesia, based on a cross-sectional survey of 204 returnee households and analyzed using Structural Equation Modelling–Partial Least Squares (SEM-PLS). The results show that both housing dissatisfaction (push) and place attachment (pull) significantly influence return migration intention, with housing dissatisfaction exerting a stronger effect (β = 0.630, f² = 0.781) than place attachment (β = 0.307, f² = 0.186), explaining 78.5 % of the variance. These findings reveal the fragility of relocation policies that treat housing as a purely technical intervention, as dissatisfaction with resettlement design and accessibility, combined with strong kinship ties and livelihood dependence, continue to drive households back to unsafe zones. Beyond its empirical contribution, the study advances theoretical debates by showing how inadequate resettlement amplifies processes of risk normalization, while socio-economic dependence and cultural identity sustain livelihood resilience and attachment under bounded rationality in conditions of uncertainty. Relocation success therefore requires multidimensional approaches that integrate community participation, livelihood continuity, cultural recognition, institutional trust, and regulatory measures prohibiting reoccupation of high-risk areas.

灾害引发的搬迁是减少灾害风险的一项关键战略，但由于家庭返回易发地区，许多项目都失败了。本研究基于对204个返回家庭的横断面调查，调查了2021年印度尼西亚塞梅鲁火山喷发后流离失所家庭的返回移民意愿，并使用结构方程模型-偏最小二乘法（SEM-PLS）进行了分析。结果表明，住房不满（推动）和地方依恋（拉动）均显著影响农民工返乡意愿，其中住房不满的影响（β = 0.630, f2 = 0.781）大于地方依恋（β = 0.307, f2 = 0.186），解释了78.5%的方差。这些发现揭示了将住房视为纯粹技术干预的搬迁政策的脆弱性，因为对重新安置设计和可达性的不满，再加上强烈的亲属关系和生计依赖，继续将家庭赶回不安全地区。除了其经验贡献之外，该研究还通过展示不充分的重新安置如何放大风险正常化过程，而社会经济依赖和文化认同如何在不确定条件下维持有限理性下的生计弹性和依恋，从而推进了理论辩论。因此，成功的搬迁需要多方面的方法，包括社区参与、生计连续性、文化认同、制度信任和禁止重新占领高风险地区的监管措施。

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引用次数: 0

Optimizing fluvial flood mitigation strategies: A multi-objective approach for cost-effective and socially-aware infrastructure feasibility analysis 优化河流洪水缓解策略：成本效益和社会意识基础设施可行性分析的多目标方法

IF 4.5 1区地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

International journal of disaster risk reduction

Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2026.106004

Linchao Luo , Chih-Shen Cheng , William Mobley , Katherine Lieberknecht , Juhyeon Kim , Fernanda Leite

Effective levee planning must balance capital cost, risk reduction, and community priorities. These objectives are rarely optimized together. This study presents a feasibility phase, simulation-in-the-loop framework that couples terrain-based flood modeling with a socially aware multi-objective optimizer. Flood risk is measured as Expected Annual Exposed Population (EAEP), obtained by integrating exposure over Annual Exceedance Probability (AEP) nodes, mirroring the Hydrologic Engineering Center's Flood Damage Reduction Analysis (HEC-FDA) expected-annual formulation but with people rather than dollars. Exposure per scenario is computed by overlaying binary inundation masks with a population surface at the tract level. Distributional fairness is encoded through a Group Benefit Share (GBS) constraint that requires high-SVI tracts to receive at least a baseline share of annualized benefits. Capital cost is represented by a height-dependent unit-cost model suitable for screening. This study addresses the two-objective problem, minimize cost and expected annual exposure subject to the GBS constraint, using Non-Dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA-II) and leveraging Pareto front for feasibility phase decision making. Implemented with terrain-based flood modeling, GeoFlood, for rapid scenario evaluation, the framework is demonstrated in Southeast Texas. The results reveal clear trade-offs among cost, risk, and social benefits and identify non-dominated levee height configurations that satisfy the benefit-share floor. The contributions are a scalable decision support method that operationalizes expected annual population-based risk, embeds enforceable benefit-sharing guarantees, and uses lightweight simulation to explore large design spaces before higher fidelity design stages.

有效的堤坝规划必须平衡资本成本、降低风险和社区优先事项。这些目标很少同时优化。本研究提出了一种可行性阶段的环内仿真框架，该框架将基于地形的洪水建模与社会感知的多目标优化器相结合。洪水风险以预期的年度暴露人口（EAEP）来衡量，通过整合年度超过概率（AEP）节点的暴露得到，反映了水文工程中心的减少洪水损失分析（HEC-FDA）的预期年度公式，但使用的是人而不是美元。每个情景的暴露量是通过将二元淹没掩模与种群表面叠加在水道水平来计算的。分配公平是通过群体利益份额（GBS）约束进行编码的，该约束要求高svi的地区至少获得年化福利的基线份额。资本成本由适合筛选的高度相关单位成本模型表示。本研究采用非支配排序遗传算法II （NSGA-II）并利用Pareto前沿进行可行性阶段决策，解决了GBS约束下成本和预期年曝光最小化的双目标问题。该框架通过基于地形的洪水建模geofflood实现，用于快速场景评估，并在德克萨斯州东南部进行了演示。结果揭示了成本、风险和社会效益之间的明确权衡，并确定了满足利益共享下限的非主导堤防高度配置。其贡献是一种可扩展的决策支持方法，该方法可操作预期的年度基于人口的风险，嵌入可执行的利益共享保证，并使用轻量级模拟在更高保真度的设计阶段之前探索大型设计空间。

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引用次数: 0

Enhancing the resilience of wind energy infrastructure in Iowa: Flood risk assessment and site suitability analysis for critical infrastructure protection 加强爱荷华州风能基础设施的恢复能力：关键基础设施保护的洪水风险评估和场地适宜性分析

IF 4.5 1区地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

International journal of disaster risk reduction

Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2026.106003

Ege Duran , Ibrahim Demir

As climate change increases the frequency and severity of hydrological hazards, understanding and reducing disaster risk to renewable energy infrastructure has become critical. Iowa, a national leader in wind energy generation, faces enhanced vulnerability due to the intersection of extensive wind turbine deployment and increasing flood risk. This study provides a comprehensive geospatial and statistical evaluation of flood exposure and site suitability for future installation of wind turbines across Iowa, using zonal statistics within buffer areas to evaluate spatial variation in elevation, soil drainage, flood depth, and mean wind profile. Correlation analysis reveals that turbine vulnerability is strongly linked to topographic variability (r ≈ 0.98), and soil characteristics (r ≈ 0.79), underscoring terrain as a key control on localized flood severity. Statewide results show that turbine exposure increases with spatial extent, from about 4 % near turbine bases to over 60 % at broader surroundings, underscoring the sensitivity of flood risk to buffer expansion and indicating that current siting practices may not sufficiently mitigate flood hazards. The research proposes targeted, data-driven recommendations for enhancing the resilience and continuity of wind generation as a vital component of the state's energy infrastructure. These insights support policymakers, engineers, and stakeholders in devising proactive flood mitigation strategies, reinforcing the reliability and security of Iowa's critical energy sector against evolving climate threats.

随着气候变化增加水文灾害的频率和严重程度，了解和减少可再生能源基础设施的灾害风险变得至关重要。爱荷华州在风力发电方面处于全国领先地位，由于风力涡轮机的广泛部署和洪水风险的增加，爱荷华州面临着更大的脆弱性。本研究对爱荷华州的洪水暴露和未来安装风力涡轮机的地点适宜性进行了全面的地理空间和统计评估，使用缓冲区内的分区统计来评估高程、土壤排水、洪水深度和平均风廓线的空间变化。相关分析表明，水轮机脆弱性与地形变异性（r≈0.98）和土壤特征（r≈0.79）密切相关，强调地形是局部洪水严重程度的关键控制因素。全州范围内的结果表明，涡轮机暴露度随着空间范围的扩大而增加，从涡轮机基地附近的约4%增加到更广泛环境的60%以上，这强调了洪水风险对缓冲区扩展的敏感性，并表明目前的选址做法可能不足以减轻洪水危害。该研究提出了有针对性的、数据驱动的建议，以提高风力发电的弹性和连续性，风力发电是该州能源基础设施的重要组成部分。这些见解支持政策制定者、工程师和利益相关者制定积极的洪水缓解战略，加强爱荷华州关键能源部门应对不断变化的气候威胁的可靠性和安全性。

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引用次数: 0

Construction material supply for post-Cyclone Gabrielle transport infrastructure recovery in New Zealand: Challenges and strategies 新西兰加布里埃尔飓风后交通基础设施恢复的建筑材料供应：挑战和策略

IF 4.5 1区地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

International journal of disaster risk reduction

Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2026.106005

Kenan Liu , Alice Chang-Richards , Seosamh B. Costello , Cécile L'Hermitte , Nan Li

A shortage of local construction materials and inefficient supply chains can severely impede post-disaster reconstruction and recovery. Yet, the extant literature offers limited insights into the material supply processes in relation to transport infrastructure recovery and extreme weather events. To address the gap, this paper adopted a case study approach, including literature reviews, semi-structured interviews and on-site observations, to examine the key challenges impeding material supply for the rapid recovery of transport networks following the 2023 Cyclone Gabrielle in New Zealand. Intervention measures and their effectiveness were also evaluated. The findings revealed that high-specification aggregates (e.g., sealing chips), asphalt concrete and rock armour experienced various supply issues, such as shortages, high haulage costs, delivery delays, and substandard quality. These problems primarily stemmed from six critical challenges, which fall into four domains: 1) geo-conditions, 2) resource management and allocation prioritisation, 3) supply chain planning and development, and 4) project governance and procurement management. The challenges interacted to create systematic complexity in material supply systems. While the intervention measures demonstrated promise in addressing these issues, the persistence of adverse outcomes underscores the necessity for future efforts to shift the focus upstream toward prevention and drive broader systemic transformation. Accordingly, a strategic framework was proposed to enhance construction material supply for rapid and effective transport infrastructure recovery after future extreme weather events.

当地建筑材料短缺和供应链效率低下可能严重阻碍灾后重建和恢复。然而，现有文献对与运输基础设施恢复和极端天气事件相关的材料供应过程提供了有限的见解。为了解决这一差距，本文采用了案例研究方法，包括文献综述、半结构化访谈和现场观察，以研究2023年新西兰“加布里埃尔”气旋袭击后阻碍运输网络快速恢复的材料供应的主要挑战。并对干预措施及其效果进行了评价。调查结果显示，高规格骨料（如密封片）、沥青混凝土和岩石装甲经历了各种供应问题，如短缺、高运输成本、交货延迟和质量不合格。这些问题主要源于六个关键挑战，分为四个领域：1)地理条件，2)资源管理和分配优先级，3)供应链规划和发展，4)项目治理和采购管理。这些挑战相互作用，使材料供应系统变得复杂。虽然干预措施显示出解决这些问题的希望，但持续存在的不良后果强调了未来努力将重点转向上游的预防和推动更广泛的系统转型的必要性。因此，提出了一个战略框架，以加强建筑材料供应，以便在未来极端天气事件发生后快速有效地恢复交通基础设施。

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引用次数: 0

Larung Sesaji as an indigenous community resilience practice at Mount Kelud, Indonesia Larung Sesaji是印度尼西亚克鲁德山的土著社区恢复力实践

IF 4.5 1区地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

International journal of disaster risk reduction

Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2026.106006

Dedi Sasmito Utomo , Sumarmi , Syamsul Bachri

This study investigates the Larung Sesaji ritual as a community-based disaster risk reduction (CBDRR) practice at Mount Kelud, Indonesia. For communities living near this active volcano, the annual ritual acts as a cultural mechanism that boosts their disaster preparedness. Using a qualitative ethnographic approach, data were gathered through in-depth interviews with four key informants, participatory observations, and document analyses. This research offers a novel multidimensional analysis showing that Larung Sesaji enhances community resilience across four interconnected dimensions: psychological benefits that support emotional regulation and hope through religious beliefs; social bonding and intergenerational social capital development via collective work practices (gotong royong); environmental conservation messages and sustainable resource management; and practical benefits that improve mental mapping of evacuation routes and internalisation of emergency protocols. The study reveals that the ritual's design aligns with key priorities of the Sendai Framework, demonstrating how traditional knowledge can be effectively integrated into modern DRR approaches to strengthen community capacity while safeguarding cultural heritage.

本研究调查了印度尼西亚Mount Kelud的Larung Sesaji仪式作为社区减少灾害风险（CBDRR）的实践。对于居住在这座活火山附近的社区来说，一年一度的仪式是一种文化机制，可以提高他们的备灾能力。采用定性人种志方法，通过与四位关键线人的深入访谈、参与性观察和文件分析收集数据。这项研究提供了一种新颖的多维分析，表明喇荣Sesaji在四个相互关联的维度上增强了社区的复原力：通过宗教信仰支持情绪调节和希望的心理益处；通过集体工作实践的社会联系和代际社会资本发展环境保护信息和可持续资源管理；还有实际的好处，那就是提高对疏散路线的心理映射和对应急协议的内在化。该研究表明，仪式的设计符合仙台框架的关键优先事项，展示了如何将传统知识有效地融入现代减灾方法，从而在保护文化遗产的同时加强社区能力。

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引用次数: 0

A longitudinal study of the impact of disasters on individual wellbeing 灾难对个人幸福感影响的纵向研究

IF 4.5 1区地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

International journal of disaster risk reduction

Pub Date : 2026-01-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2026.105999

Nikita Sharma , Ella Kuskoff , Cameron Parsell , Nathan Middlebrook

Disasters disrupt people's lives and continue to adversely impact them beyond the immediate aftermath. Whilst the literature establishes that disasters affect wellbeing through multiple channels, our paper contributes by examining the persistence of these effects over subsequent years and testing whether financial impacts serve as a key explanatory mechanism. Using rich, longitudinal data from Australia's HILDA Survey, we employ mediation analysis to understand the temporal patterns of disaster impacts and individual recovery by focusing on their wellbeing levels measured by life satisfaction, social connectedness, and happiness. Our fixed-effects regression analysis reveals that disasters reduce the life satisfaction and happiness of those affected, with adverse effects extending well beyond the year of occurrence. These effects are explained by lower financial satisfaction and remain consistent across specifications accounting for multiple disasters. We also find a positive impact of disasters on the social connectedness of respondents. These findings support the call for sustained support services and wellbeing assessments of disaster-affected communities.

灾害扰乱了人们的生活，并在直接后果之后继续对他们产生不利影响。虽然文献表明灾害通过多种渠道影响幸福感，但我们的论文通过检查这些影响在随后几年的持续性并测试财务影响是否作为关键的解释机制来做出贡献。利用来自澳大利亚HILDA调查的丰富的纵向数据，我们采用中介分析来了解灾害影响和个人恢复的时间模式，通过关注他们的生活满意度、社会联系和幸福感来衡量他们的健康水平。我们的固定效应回归分析显示，灾害降低了受影响者的生活满意度和幸福感，其负面影响远远超过了发生的年份。这些影响可以用较低的财务满意度来解释，并且在考虑多种灾难的规范中保持一致。我们还发现灾难对受访者的社会联系有积极的影响。这些发现支持了对受灾社区提供持续支持服务和福祉评估的呼吁。

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