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Adaptive capacity of homeowners in Ghana to improve technical and social flood resilience 加纳房主提高技术和社会抗洪能力的适应能力
IF 4.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104953
Helene Meyer , Georg Johann , Mariele Evers
Increasing flood resilience involves the implementation of structural and non-structural measures by homeowners to comprehend adaptive capacity to the impacts to flood events. Analyzing homeowners' technical and social capacity creates more knowledge and helps to understand how prepared a system is and what specific actions should be taken. This is the basis for recommending appropriate adaptation measures and increasing resilience. The study identifies homeowners' social and technical capacity aspects in Ghana, West Africa, to effectively improve their resilience. Ghana is particularly vulnerable to flooding, and its flood risk management (FRM) strategy is gradually evolving to encompass a greater role for homeowners. To gain insight into the factors influencing homeowners' capacity to implement measures, a quantitative research design comprising a household survey was employed in three study areas (Accra, Kumasi, and White Volta) with 1168 participating homeowners. The results offered insights into the high risk perception and respondents’ motivation, the significant challenges they face in coping with flood events, their limited knowledge of effective measures, and the heterogeneous implementation barriers and support needs across the region. Based on these findings, this paper outlines the practical implications, actionable steps, and sustainable strategies that can be employed with the FLOODLABELGHANA tool for resilience improvement.
提高抗洪能力涉及房主实施结构性和非结构性措施,以提高对洪水事件影响的适应能力。通过分析房主的技术和社会能力,可以获得更多知识,有助于了解系统的准备程度以及应采取的具体行动。这是推荐适当的适应措施和提高抗灾能力的基础。本研究确定了西非加纳房主的社会和技术能力方面,以有效提高他们的抗灾能力。加纳特别容易受到洪水的影响,其洪水风险管理(FRM)战略正在逐步发展,使房主发挥更大的作用。为了深入了解影响房主实施措施能力的因素,我们在三个研究地区(阿克拉、库马西和怀特沃尔特)采用了包括家庭调查在内的定量研究设计,共有 1168 名房主参与。研究结果有助于深入了解受访者的高风险感知和动机、他们在应对洪水事件时面临的重大挑战、他们对有效措施的有限了解以及整个地区不同的实施障碍和支持需求。基于这些发现,本文概述了使用 "加纳洪水标签 "工具提高抗灾能力的实际意义、可行步骤和可持续战略。
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引用次数: 0
Reimagining health security: Developing a conceptual framework for the Philippines 重新认识健康安全:为菲律宾制定概念框架
IF 4.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104970
Reneepearl Kim Sales , Krizelle Cleo Fowler , Miguel Antonio Salazar , Miguel Manuel Dorotan , Christine Ingrid Espinosa , Andrei Narciso
The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted global vulnerabilities to emergencies, with the Philippines facing significant challenges as hospitals reached capacity, routine health services were disrupted, and health workers demanded better working conditions. Ranking 57th in the 2021 Global Health Security Index, the Philippines' susceptibility to natural hazards and health crises underscores the urgent need for a robust health security framework. This study developed a conceptual framework to guide health security strategies, policies, and capacity-building efforts, harmonizing the national health security agenda and outlining stakeholder actions through an iterative process involving the review of 78 policies and consultations with 21 stakeholders. The framework is founded on four core principles intrinsic to Filipino identity: Bayanihan (multisectorality), Kalusugan Pangkalahatan (equity and universal health care), Magkakaugnay na Sistema (interoperability), and Pananagutan (accountability). It prescribes six strategic actions: ensuring the accessibility and sustainability of resources, adopting a community-centered approach, enhancing knowledge and information sharing, fostering partnerships and collaboration, establishing a robust implementation system and integrated service delivery network, and strengthening governance. This framework aims to fortify the Philippine health system, making it more resilient and equitable in facing current and future health threats. It calls for active engagement from all stakeholders in implementing these strategies, contributing to a healthier and more secure nation.
COVID-19 大流行突显了全球在紧急情况下的脆弱性,菲律宾面临着重大挑战,因为医院达到了饱和状态,常规医疗服务中断,医疗工作者要求改善工作条件。菲律宾在 2021 年全球卫生安全指数中排名第 57 位,易受自然灾害和卫生危机的影响,这突出表明迫切需要一个强有力的卫生安全框架。本研究制定了一个概念框架,以指导卫生安全战略、政策和能力建设工作,通过对 78 项政策的审查和与 21 个利益相关方的磋商,协调国家卫生安全议程并概述利益相关方的行动。该框架以菲律宾人固有的四项核心原则为基础:Bayanihan(多部门性)、Kalusugan Pangkalahatan(公平和全民医疗保健)、Magkakaugnay na Sistema(互操作性)和 Pananagutan(问责制)。该框架规定了六项战略行动:确保资源的可获得性和可持续性、采取以社区为中心的方法、加强知识和信息共享、促进伙伴关系与合作、建立健全的执行系统和综合服务提供网络,以及加强治理。该框架旨在加强菲律宾的卫生系统,使其在面对当前和未来的健康威胁时更具应变能力,更加公平。它呼吁所有利益攸关方积极参与实施这些战略,为建设一个更健康、更安全的国家做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Understanding managers' motivation in adopting protective measures: Preventing supply chain disruptions from flood-related Natechs 了解管理人员采取保护措施的动机:防止与洪水有关的内特奇事件造成供应链中断
IF 4.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104985
Namulun Borjigin , Ana Maria Cruz , Lina Parra Orduz
Floods can cause damage and losses at chemical industrial installations and can trigger chemical accidents (so-called Natech accidents). The impact of Natech events can escalate throughout supply chains. To mitigate such impact, industry and business managers need to adopt protective measures in the chemical industry. Past research has shown that managers may not be on the same page in adopting protective behavior. This exploratory study aims to understand factors influencing managers' motivation for adopting protective measures to prevent chemical supply chain disruptions when dealing with flood-related Natech risk, through the lens of an enriched Protection Motivation Theory (PMT). It proposes an enriched version of the PMT, which is re-elaborated from three aspects: (1) updating the sub-components of threat appraisal with advanced risk perception formation; (2) considering perceived resource deficiency within the business when evaluating coping appraisal; and (3) incorporating the impact of cognitive biases. The model is validated through partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) analysis, with data collected through a questionnaire distributed to a sample of the chemical industry in Colombia. The results showed that the proposed model is a promising model for predicting managers' protection motivation although it does not effectively explain or predict the variance in the endogenous variables. Experiential risk perception, response efficacy, self-efficacy, and resource deficiency are strong drivers in predicting managers' protection motivation. Furthermore, normalcy bias lowers deliberative risk perception and indirectly affects protection motivation, whereas, short-termism increases perceived resource deficiency and indirectly affects protection motivation. Although not related to protection motivation, optimistic bias is found to lower affective risk perception. In addition, several key insights were obtained that may help enhance managers’ protection motivation and Natech risk management through more specific risk communication and policy interventions.
洪水会对化学工业设施造成破坏和损失,并引发化学事故(所谓的 Natech 事故)。Natech 事件的影响可能会扩大到整个供应链。为了减轻这种影响,行业和企业管理者需要在化工行业采取保护措施。过去的研究表明,管理人员在采取保护措施时可能并不一致。本探索性研究旨在通过丰富的保护动机理论(PMT),了解在应对与洪水有关的 Natech 风险时,影响管理人员采取保护措施以防止化学品供应链中断的动机的因素。该研究提出了一个丰富版的保护动机理论,并从三个方面对其进行了重新阐述:(1) 更新威胁评估的子要素,形成先进的风险感知;(2) 在评估应对评估时考虑企业内部可感知的资源不足;(3) 纳入认知偏差的影响。该模型通过偏最小二乘结构方程模型(PLS-SEM)分析进行了验证,数据是通过向哥伦比亚化工行业样本发放问卷收集的。结果表明,所提出的模型虽然不能有效解释或预测内生变量的变异,但在预测管理人员的保护动机方面是一个很有前途的模型。经验风险认知、反应效能、自我效能和资源不足是预测管理人员保护动机的强大驱动力。此外,正常性偏差降低了审议风险感知,间接影响了保护动机,而短期主义增加了资源不足感知,间接影响了保护动机。乐观偏差虽然与保护动机无关,但会降低情感风险感知。此外,我们还获得了一些重要启示,这些启示可能有助于通过更具体的风险交流和政策干预来提高管理人员的保护动机和Natech风险管理。
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引用次数: 0
Bourdieu and early career researchers (ECRs) in disaster research: A collaborative autoethnography (CAE) 布迪厄与灾害研究中的早期职业研究人员(ECRs):合作式自述(CAE)
IF 4.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104969
Shinya Uekusa , Kien Nguyen-Trung , Daniel F. Lorenz , Sivendra Michael , Jeevan Karki
This collaborative autoethnography (CAE) by five emerging disaster researchers explores the transformative role of Bourdieu's theories in the realm of disaster research. Despite the rapid expansion of disaster scholarship since the late 1970s, the field's theoretical foundations and frameworks have been relatively underdeveloped. The authors, united by their engagement with Bourdieu's work in their doctoral research, reflect on how his theories shaped their journeys into Critical Disaster Studies (CDS) scholars and propelled the advancement of disaster theories. The paper navigates the ambiguity and richness of Bourdieu's concepts, illustrating how they are used beyond their original domains to find relevance in contemporary disaster research. Each author shares their unique pathway for encountering and applying Bourdieu's theories, revealing a diverse spectrum of applications, from understanding symbolic violence in disaster contexts to analysing social vulnerability and resilience. Through this shared dedication, the authors aim to expand the horizon of social science disaster research and inspire others, especially early career researchers (ECRs), to engage profoundly with Bourdieu's contribution to the field.
这篇由五位新兴灾害研究人员撰写的合作自述(CAE)探讨了布迪厄理论在灾害研究领域的变革作用。尽管自 20 世纪 70 年代末以来,灾害学术研究迅速发展,但该领域的理论基础和框架却相对欠缺。作者们在博士论文研究中与布迪厄的著作结下了不解之缘,他们反思了布迪厄的理论如何影响了他们成为关键灾害研究(CDS)学者的历程,并推动了灾害理论的发展。本文探讨了布尔迪厄概念的模糊性和丰富性,说明了这些概念如何被用于其原有领域之外,并在当代灾害研究中找到相关性。每位作者都分享了他们接触和应用布尔迪厄理论的独特途径,揭示了从理解灾害背景下的象征性暴力到分析社会脆弱性和复原力等各种不同的应用范围。通过这种共同的奉献精神,作者们旨在拓展社会科学灾害研究的视野,并激励其他人,尤其是早期职业研究人员(ECRs),深入了解布尔迪厄对该领域的贡献。
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引用次数: 0
A participatory foresight approach in disaster risk management: The multi-risk storylines 灾害风险管理中的参与式展望方法:多重风险故事情节
IF 4.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104972
Claudio Marciano , Antonella Peresan , Andrea Pirni , Massimiliano Pittore , Gabriella Tocchi , Anna Maria Zaccaria
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引用次数: 0
Risk assessment of urban infrastructure vulnerability to meteorological disasters: A case study of Dongguan, China 城市基础设施易受气象灾害影响的风险评估:中国东莞案例研究
IF 4.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104943
Fan Li , Yan Li , Matteo Rubinato , Yu Zheng , Tao Zhou
Effective forecasting and response to meteorological hazards are crucial for safeguarding life, property, and supporting sustainable socioeconomic development. With the rising frequency and severity of meteorological hazards worldwide, this study proposes an enhanced risk assessment framework for urban infrastructure exposed to extreme weather events, with a focus on cascading impacts to critical services such as electricity, communication, and transportation networks (roads and subways). A disaster-loss model is developed to quantify infrastructure vulnerability at various spatial and temporal scales under heavy rainfall conditions, accounting for secondary effects. The model's performance is validated through empirical analysis of a 15-year rainfall event in Dongguan City, China, occurring from September 7–8, 2023. Results indicate the model's ability to predict real-event outcomes with approximately 70% accuracy. This model offers valuable insights for disaster prevention and mitigation strategies, aiding decision-makers in optimizing emergency resource allocation, enhancing disaster response efficiency, and issuing timely public risk warnings to minimize losses.
有效预测和应对气象灾害对于保障生命财产安全和支持可持续社会经济发展至关重要。随着全球气象灾害的频率和严重程度不断上升,本研究提出了一个针对受极端天气事件影响的城市基础设施的强化风险评估框架,重点关注对电力、通信和交通网络(道路和地铁)等关键服务的连带影响。我们开发了一个灾害损失模型,用于量化强降雨条件下不同时空尺度的基础设施脆弱性,并考虑次生效应。通过对 2023 年 9 月 7-8 日发生在中国东莞市的 15 年降雨事件进行实证分析,验证了该模型的性能。结果表明,该模型能够预测真实事件的结果,准确率约为 70%。该模型为防灾减灾战略提供了宝贵的见解,有助于决策者优化应急资源配置,提高灾害响应效率,并及时发布公共风险预警,最大限度地减少损失。
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引用次数: 0
Disaster risk reduction education (DRRE) in elementary education of Pakistan: Challenges and scaling up endeavours 巴基斯坦初等教育中的减少灾害风险教育(DRRE):挑战和扩大规模的努力
IF 4.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104962
Ashfaq Ahmad Shah , Nasir Abbas Khan , Wahid Ullah , Abid Khan , Bader Alhafi Alotaibi , Ayat Ullah , Avianto Amri
Disaster Risk Reduction Education (DRRE) plays a crucial role in building community resilience by equipping children with the knowledge and skills needed to respond to disasters and reduce vulnerabilities. School children are not only among the most vulnerable to disaster impacts but also serve as important agents of change by sharing DRR knowledge with their families and communities. Over the past decade, educational initiatives in Pakistan have gained momentum to mitigate disaster-related damages and foster resilience. This approach has been supported by numerous studies highlighting its effectiveness in achieving positive results. This study examines the factors that can either aid or impede the expansion of disaster risk reduction education for primary school students in four districts of the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province. The study employed a multi-informant mixed-method approach that gathered data from multiple sources, including elementary school children, school personnel, and child-centered disaster risk reduction non-governmental organizations members. Many teachers in the study believed they could involve children in disaster preparedness and thought disaster risk reduction education should be taught in schools. The study identified six significant challenges (policy blueprint for DRR education, cognizance and availability of DRR educational materials, teacher’s competence to improve learning outcomes, strengthening school partnerships, allocating resources for optimal results, and giving children a voice) and proposed several policies recommendations for making progress. Although these issues may be prevalent in developing and developed nations, the suggested strategies may have applicability beyond the geographic confines of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan.
减少灾害风险教育(DRRE)通过向儿童传授应对灾害和减少脆弱性所需的知识和技能,在建设社区抗灾能力方面发挥着至关重要的作用。在校儿童不仅是最容易受到灾害影响的群体之一,而且还通过与家人和社区分享减灾知识,成为推动变革的重要力量。在过去的十年中,巴基斯坦的教育举措在减轻灾害造成的损失和提高抗灾能力方面取得了进展。许多研究都强调了这种方法在取得积极成果方面的有效性。本研究探讨了有助于或阻碍开伯尔巴图克瓦省四个地区的小学生扩大减少灾害风险教育的因素。研究采用了多信息混合方法,从多个来源收集数据,包括小学生、学校工作人员和以儿童为中心的减少灾害风险非政府组织成员。研究中,许多教师认为他们可以让儿童参与备灾,并认为应在学校开展减少灾害风险教育。该研究确定了六大挑战(减灾教育的政策蓝图、减灾教育材料的认知和可用性、教师提高学习成果的能力、加强学校伙伴关系、分配资源以取得最佳效果以及让儿童发表意见),并提出了若干政策建议以取得进展。虽然这些问题可能在发展中国家和发达国家普遍存在,但所建议的战略可能超越巴基斯坦开伯尔巴图克瓦省的地理范围。
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引用次数: 0
Do regional disaster risks determine insurance spending? Evidence from organised manufacturing factories in India 地区灾害风险决定保险支出吗?来自印度有组织制造工厂的证据
IF 4.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104964
Sohini Bhowmik, Gopal Krishna Roy
Insurance is a crucial risk management tool for firms. This paper examines the factors determining insurance expenditure among organised manufacturing factories in India, focusing on the role of regional disaster risks. We gather information on insurance expenditure and other factory-level factors by utilizing unit-level data from the Annual Survey of Industries for 2018–19. We integrate this data with the spatial disaster risks index across Indian states, obtained from the Disaster Risks and Resilience in India report by the Ministry of Home Affairs, Government of India, and the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP). The state-level disaster risk index captures the regional risk environment that influences insurance expenditure at the factory level, even after accounting for factory-specific factors. We test various hypotheses on the determinants of factory-level insurance expenditure using the ordinary least squares method in a multiple linear regression framework. Given that the decision to spend on insurance reflects a corner solution problem, with a substantial share of factories reporting zero expenditure while others incur strictly positive amounts, we employ Tobit and Cragg's hurdle models to ensure robustness. Our results indicate a positive and statistically significant association between the location-based spatial disaster risks index and factory-level insurance expenditure. Factories located in a state with higher disaster risks spend significantly more on insurance expenditure. Among other factory-level factors, our findings indicate that factors such as gross value added, subsidies, the value of imported inputs, export share, type of organisation, age, the value of plant and machinery, and depreciation significantly affect insurance expenditure.
保险是企业重要的风险管理工具。本文研究了决定印度有组织制造业工厂保险支出的因素,重点关注地区灾害风险的作用。我们利用《2018-19 年度工业调查》中的单位层面数据,收集有关保险支出和其他工厂层面因素的信息。我们将这些数据与印度各邦的空间灾害风险指数相结合,后者来自印度政府内政部和联合国开发计划署(UNDP)的《印度的灾害风险和抗灾能力》报告。邦一级的灾害风险指数捕捉了影响工厂保险支出的地区风险环境,即使在考虑了工厂的特定因素之后也是如此。我们在多元线性回归框架下使用普通最小二乘法检验了有关工厂级保险支出决定因素的各种假设。鉴于保险支出的决定反映了一个角解问题,即相当一部分工厂的支出为零,而其他工厂的支出则完全为正数,我们采用了 Tobit 和 Cragg 的障碍模型来确保稳健性。我们的研究结果表明,基于地理位置的空间灾害风险指数与工厂的保险支出之间存在正相关,且在统计上具有显著性。位于灾害风险较高州的工厂的保险支出明显更高。在其他工厂层面的因素中,我们的研究结果表明,总附加值、补贴、进口投入品价值、出口份额、组织类型、年龄、厂房和机器价值以及折旧等因素对保险支出有显著影响。
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引用次数: 0
Anxiety and demand for living conditions in the aftermath of disaster 灾后的焦虑和对生活条件的要求
IF 4.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104994
Kiyomine Terumoto
In the aftermath of a disaster, due to disrupted traffic and communication systems, survivors have to endure severe conditions for a certain period, address multiple issues in affected areas, and overcome the situations by themselves. This study aims to depict the relationship between residents' anxiety about post-disaster living conditions and demand for measures to improve living conditions. In this study, the anxiety about post-disaster living conditions is treated as the concern and fear of the difficult situations until external resources are adequately provided and temporal living conditions are sufficiently improved. Then, this study deals with the demand for measures as the intention and attitude of responding to these problems and taking measures in isolated and difficult situations. The target area in this study is the districts of Kirime area in Inami Town, Wakayama, Japan, including the tsunami inundation area estimated by the Nankai Trough Megathrust Earthquake assessment. To illustrate the relationship between residents’ anxiety and demand, a questionnaire survey was conducted with residents in the research area between September 12 and October 17, 2022. The number of valid responses in this study was 724. In the analyses, after individual perceptions of the anxiety and demands were measured, we identify factors of the anxiety and demand and their relationships. Results indicated seven factors of living space problems, physical health, mental stress, changes of daily life, living problems caused by facility damage, maintaining privacy, and cooperation within the area in the anxiety, and five factors of support for medical and health care activities, consideration for women, common space management, responding to individual needs, and community disaster response activities in the demand. The main factors for the perception of post-disaster living conditions were mental stress, changes of daily life, living problems caused by facility damage, and cooperation within the area in the anxiety.
灾害发生后,由于交通和通信系统中断,幸存者不得不在一定时期内忍受恶劣的条件,解决受灾地区的多种问题,并靠自己的力量克服困难。本研究旨在描述居民对灾后生活条件的焦虑与对改善生活条件措施的需求之间的关系。在本研究中,对灾后生活条件的焦虑被视为在外部资源充分提供和临时生活条件得到充分改善之前,对困境的担忧和恐惧。然后,本研究将对措施的需求视为在孤立和困难的情况下应对这些问题和采取措施的意向和态度。本研究的目标区域是日本和歌山县稻美町的桐目地区,包括南海槽特大地震评估所估计的海啸淹没区。为了说明居民的焦虑与需求之间的关系,我们在 2022 年 9 月 12 日至 10 月 17 日期间对研究地区的居民进行了问卷调查。本研究的有效答卷数为 724 份。在分析中,在对焦虑和需求的个体感知进行测量后,我们确定了焦虑和需求的因素及其关系。结果表明,在焦虑方面有生活空间问题、身体健康、精神压力、日常生活变化、设施损坏导致的生活问题、维护隐私和区域内合作 7 个因素,在需求方面有医疗保健活动支持、为女性考虑、公共空间管理、满足个人需求和社区灾害应对活动 5 个因素。对灾后生活条件感知的主要因素是精神压力、日常生活的变化、设施损坏造成的生活问题,以及焦虑中的地区内合作。
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引用次数: 0
What factors influence building material supply for post-disaster reconstruction and recovery? A systematic review applying systems thinking 哪些因素会影响灾后重建和恢复的建材供应?运用系统思维进行系统审查
IF 4.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104981
Kenan Liu , Alice Chang-Richards , Seosamh B. Costello , Cécile L'Hermitte , Nan Li
Reconstruction and recovery projects after major natural disasters often face building material supply challenges, leading to schedule delays and cost overruns. However, extant studies lack a thorough investigation of these supply issues in a post-disaster environment. This paper aims to understand the factors influencing post-disaster building material supply and the mechanisms contributing to the supply problems. Thus, the authors analysed 49 publications from 2005 to 2023 and identified 42 influencing factors and 226 causal relationships. These factors were classified into three groups, namely, 1) contextual sub-system, 2) operational sub-system, and 3) stakeholder sub-system. Drawing on the data, a causal loop diagram (CLD) was developed, and numerous feedback loops were identified within and between systems. Through a network analysis of the CLD, five leverage factors were identified as systemic interventions for policymakers to consider in improving building material supply performance for post-disaster recovery, namely, regulatory arrangements and governance, competence and capability of stakeholders, stakeholder relationship, availability of local materials, and resource exploitation. However, CLD and network analysis also revealed the need for further investigation of the mechanisms and interventions related to building material supply in disaster contexts. To better understand and address post-disaster building material supply problems, ongoing studies can be further advanced by the better utilisation of extant knowledge, the application of systems thinking approaches and computational modelling methods.
重大自然灾害后的重建和恢复项目往往面临建筑材料供应方面的挑战,导致工期延误和成本超支。然而,现有研究缺乏对灾后环境中这些供应问题的深入调查。本文旨在了解影响灾后建材供应的因素以及造成供应问题的机制。因此,作者分析了 2005 年至 2023 年的 49 篇出版物,确定了 42 个影响因素和 226 个因果关系。这些因素被分为三类,即:1)背景子系统;2)操作子系统;3)利益相关者子系统。根据这些数据,绘制了因果循环图(CLD),并在系统内部和系统之间发现了许多反馈回路。通过对因果循环图进行网络分析,确定了五个杠杆因素,作为政策制定者在改善灾后恢复的建材供应绩效时应考虑的系统干预措施,即监管安排和治理、利益相关者的能力、利益相关者的关系、当地材料的可用性以及资源开发。然而,CLD 和网络分析也揭示了进一步调查与灾后建材供应相关的机制和干预措施的必要性。为了更好地理解和解决灾后建筑材料供应问题,可以通过更好地利用现有知识、应用系统思维方法和计算建模方法来进一步推进正在进行的研究。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International journal of disaster risk reduction
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