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Contrasting the medical-device and aerospace-industries approach to reliability 对比医疗设备和航空航天工业的可靠性方法
Pub Date : 1995-01-16 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1995.513234
D. D. Bell
A comparison is made between the defense driven aerospace industry and the medical device industry with respect to their approach to achieving reliability. The Department of Defense establishment has driven the aerospace industry to consider and analyze reliability through imposing a complex set of standards and specifications that control all aspects of design and analysis. The medical device industry, driven by market forces, safety considerations, and limited government regulation, has typically lagged in the imposition of specific reliability requirements and performance of reliability analyses in the design and development process. This situation is changing, the Department of Defense is adopting more and more commercial standards and the medical device industry is responding to a marketplace that is becoming more demanding, where commercial standards and specifications are becoming more widely imposed, and where the Federal, state, and local governments are becoming more active in exerting influence on the industry. The net result is an increasing similarity in the approach taken by of the aerospace and medical device industries towards achieving reliability.
比较国防驱动的航空航天工业和医疗设备工业之间的方法,以实现可靠性。美国国防部通过实施一套复杂的标准和规范来控制设计和分析的各个方面,推动航空航天工业考虑和分析可靠性。在市场力量、安全考虑和有限的政府监管的推动下,医疗器械行业在设计和开发过程中实施具体的可靠性要求和可靠性分析方面通常落后。这种情况正在发生变化,国防部正在采用越来越多的商业标准,医疗设备行业正在响应越来越苛刻的市场,商业标准和规范越来越广泛地实施,联邦、州和地方政府也越来越积极地对行业施加影响。最终结果是,航空航天和医疗设备行业为实现可靠性所采取的方法越来越相似。
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引用次数: 1
Predictive maintenance program evolution-lessons learned 预测性维护程序的进化——经验教训
Pub Date : 1995-01-16 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1995.513216
B. Mitchell, R.J. Murry
The United States Department of Energy (DOE) Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) has one of the country's largest and most diverse collection of large pumps and motors. These pumps and motors, along with their power, control, and valving support systems, are used to move the enormous quantities of crude oil stored within the reserve. A predictive maintenance program (PdM) was initiated on the SPR during 1993 and 1994. During the development, implementation, and early phases of the PdM program, the program evolved based on lessons learned. The primary areas of involvement and potential improvement in the process are: defining the PdM program based on project needs; obtaining and maintaining support for the program; setting realistic implementation goals and schedules; establishing and justifying manpower levels; developing and involving a project team in the program; developing detailed equipment specifications; identifying training requirements; implementing a phased program; and developing project reporting schemes.
美国能源部(DOE)战略石油储备(SPR)拥有全国最大和最多样化的大型泵和电机集合之一。这些泵和马达,连同它们的动力、控制和阀门支持系统,被用来运输储存在储备中的大量原油。在1993年和1994年期间,在SPR上启动了一个预测性维护计划(PdM)。在PdM计划的开发、实现和早期阶段,该计划是基于经验教训而发展的。过程中主要涉及和潜在改进的领域是:根据项目需要定义PdM计划;获得并维持对项目的支持;制定切合实际的实施目标和时间表;建立及厘定人手水平;发展项目团队并使其参与到项目中;制定详细的设备规格;确定培训需求;实施分阶段规划;制定项目报告方案。
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引用次数: 5
Combinatorial-models and coverage: a binary decision diagram (BDD) approach 组合模型和覆盖率:一种二进制决策图(BDD)方法
Pub Date : 1995-01-16 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1995.513227
S. A. Doyle, J. Dugan, M. Boyd
This paper presents the DREDD (Dependability and Risk Analysis using Decision Diagrams) algorithm which incorporates coverage modeling into a BDD solution of a combinatorial model. The DREDD algorithm takes advantage of the efficiency of the BDD solution approach and the increased accuracy afforded by coverage modeling. BDDs have been used to find exact solutions for extremely large systems, including those with as many as 10/sup 20/ prime implicants. Including coverage in this process will increase the validity of the results, since a more complete model allows for more realistic analysis. The reliability of life critical systems which previously could only be approximated may now be analyzed more accurately.
本文提出了DREDD(使用决策图的可靠性和风险分析)算法,该算法将覆盖建模合并到组合模型的BDD解决方案中。DREDD算法利用了BDD解决方法的效率和覆盖建模所提供的更高的准确性。bdd已被用于为超大型系统找到精确的解决方案,包括那些具有多达10/sup / 20/质数蕴涵的系统。在这个过程中包括覆盖率将增加结果的有效性,因为一个更完整的模型允许更现实的分析。生命关键系统的可靠性以前只能近似估计,现在可以更准确地分析。
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引用次数: 17
Standardizing the FMECA format: a guideline for Air Force contractors 标准化FMECA格式:空军承包商指南
Pub Date : 1995-01-16 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1995.513225
T. Jackson, B. Warren
Each reliability requirement extracted from a military standard (MIL-STD-1543, MIL-STD-785, MIL-STD-1629, etc.) must now be justified before a program office can approve its inclusion in a statement of work (SOW). Justification can be based on the criticality of high reliability to achieving program objectives or the lack of substitute commercial standards. With or without standards, the purpose of the reliability program is to assure that reliability engineering is a major contributor to the contractor's systems engineering process. In the case of failure mode and effects criticality analysis (FMECA), an ancillary purpose is to provide proof to the customer (the Air Force in the case of most US Space and launch vehicles) that reliability engineering was in fact included in the systems engineering process. This paper describes guidelines for building a comprehensive reliability engineering database using the failure mode, effects, and criticality analysis record (FMECAR) format.
从军事标准(MIL-STD-1543, MIL-STD-785, MIL-STD-1629等)中提取的每个可靠性要求现在必须在项目办公室批准将其纳入工作声明(SOW)之前进行验证。论证可以基于实现计划目标的高可靠性的重要性,或者缺乏替代的商业标准。无论是否有标准,可靠性计划的目的是确保可靠性工程是承包商系统工程过程的主要贡献者。在故障模式和影响临界性分析(FMECA)的情况下,辅助目的是向客户(空军在大多数美国航天和运载火箭的情况下)提供证据,证明可靠性工程实际上包括在系统工程过程中。本文介绍了使用失效模式、影响和临界性分析记录(FMECAR)格式建立综合可靠性工程数据库的指南。
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引用次数: 2
Estimation of the coverage probabilities by 3-stage sampling 通过三阶段抽样估计覆盖概率
Pub Date : 1995-01-16 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1995.513236
C. Constantinescu
Development of fault-tolerant computing systems requires accurate reliability assessment techniques. Usually, the reliability measures are functions of component failure rates and fault coverage probabilities. Coverage provides information about the fault and error detection, isolation and system recovery capabilities. This parameter can be estimated by physical or simulated fault injection. One of the most difficult problems the analyst has to deal with, throughout the fault injection process, is the largeness of the fault space. This paper addresses the problem of inferring the coverage probabilities from the information gathered in physical or simulated fault injection experiments. A 3-stage sampling technique is developed for coping with the largeness of the fault space. Statistical experiments are carried out in a three-dimensional fault space which takes into account the inputs applied to the system, fault occurrence times and fault locations.
容错计算系统的开发需要精确的可靠性评估技术。通常,可靠性度量是部件故障率和故障覆盖概率的函数。覆盖范围提供了有关故障和错误检测、隔离和系统恢复功能的信息。该参数可以通过物理或模拟断层注入来估计。在整个故障注入过程中,分析人员必须处理的最困难的问题之一是故障空间的大。本文解决了从物理或模拟断层注入实验中收集的信息推断断层覆盖概率的问题。针对断层空间较大的问题,提出了一种三级采样技术。在考虑系统输入、故障发生次数和故障位置的三维故障空间中进行统计实验。
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引用次数: 3
Framework for a dual-use reliability program standard 两用可靠性程序标准框架
Pub Date : 1995-01-16 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1995.513230
I. Knowles, A. Malhotra, T. Stadterman, Ramesh Munamarty
Technology today is such that the user, or customer, is not able to specify how a product should be developed. The responsibility of developing a reliable product must be placed on the supplier, instead of the customer. This idea should not be new. Military contractors have been saying that the government imposes too many requirements that inhibit innovative design, and often adds cost, with the result being an inferior product. This paper outlines the framework for a next-generation, reliability program standard based on a "code of practice". In this framework, the customer specifies the performance of the product, without stipulating how the supplier must develop, engineer and test the product. The supplier, however, must show that they understand the needs of the customer, can determine the appropriate processes to meet those needs, and can assure the customer that those needs are met. This approach allows the supplier to be flexible and innovative, as long as the customer's needs are met. The Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) has initiated an effort to develop a reliability program standard which incorporates these concepts.
今天的技术是这样的,用户或客户不能指定产品应该如何开发。开发可靠产品的责任必须放在供应商身上,而不是客户身上。这个想法不应该是新的。军事承包商一直在说,政府强加了太多限制创新设计的要求,而且往往增加了成本,结果是生产出劣质产品。本文概述了基于“实践规范”的下一代可靠性程序标准的框架。在这个框架中,顾客指定产品的性能,而不规定供应商必须如何开发、设计和测试产品。然而,供方必须表明,他们理解顾客的需求,能够确定满足这些需求的适当过程,并能够向顾客保证这些需求得到了满足。这种方法允许供应商灵活和创新,只要满足客户的需求。电气和电子工程师协会(IEEE)已经开始努力开发一个包含这些概念的可靠性程序标准。
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引用次数: 4
A framework for reliability modeling of electronics 电子产品可靠性建模框架
Pub Date : 1995-01-16 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1995.513238
J. Evans, P. Lall, R. Bauernschub
The physics-of-failure approach (PoF) to design, reliability modeling, testing and screening of single chip IC packages and multichip modules (MCM), has been developed. The PoF approach is implemented using CADMP-II software. The PoF approach is based on the identification of potential failure mechanisms and failure sites for the product. Failure mechanisms are described by models which characterize the physics of degradation processes leading to failure at each potential failure site. The loads at each failure site are obtained as a function of environmental and operation conditions. The approach preactively incorporates reliability in the design process by establishing a scientific basis for evaluation of new materials, structures, and technologies, through design of tests, screens, safety factors, and acceleration transforms, based on the knowledge of failure mechanisms and modes.
失效物理方法(PoF)用于设计、可靠性建模、测试和筛选单芯片集成电路封装和多芯片模块(MCM)。采用CADMP-II软件实现了PoF方法。PoF方法基于对产品潜在失效机制和失效部位的识别。失效机制由模型来描述,该模型描述了导致每个潜在失效点失效的退化过程的物理特性。每个故障点的载荷作为环境和运行条件的函数得到。该方法基于失效机制和模式的知识,通过设计测试、筛管、安全系数和加速度转换,为新材料、结构和技术的评估建立了科学基础,从而预先将可靠性纳入设计过程。
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引用次数: 14
An inspection model for automatic trips and warning instruments 一种自动跳闸和报警仪表的检测模型
Pub Date : 1995-01-16 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1995.513257
D. Sherwin
Automatic trips and warning instruments (TWI) protect important machines by shutting them down or warning the operators of impending serious failure. They are subject to hidden faults which must be discovered and corrected at frequent inspections, and spurious trips when the machine is stopped unnecessarily because of a fault in the TWI spurious trips may also be reduced by inspections. A Markov model is used to optimize the inspection rate with respect to costs on the assumption that inspection is a Poisson event. This simplifies the mathematics compared to a model with periodic inspections and is often just as close to the truth. An example is given involving gas-turbines in the off-shore oil industry. An extension of the model covers the case of 2-out-of-3 voting systems which are increasingly used to reduce the risks of both types of TWI failure. The optimizations are usually rather flat around the optimum, and inspections often have to fit in with operational needs, so approximate methods such as this are potentially very useful as the example illustrates.
自动跳闸和警告仪表(TWI)通过关闭或警告操作员即将发生的严重故障来保护重要机器。它们受到隐藏故障的影响,必须在频繁的检查中发现和纠正,当机器因TWI故障而不必要地停止时,假跳闸也可以通过检查来减少。在假定检查是泊松事件的前提下,利用马尔科夫模型对成本进行优化。与定期检查的模型相比,这简化了数学,并且通常同样接近事实。给出了近海石油工业中燃气轮机的一个例子。该模型的扩展涵盖了2-out- 3投票系统的情况,该系统越来越多地用于降低两种TWI失败的风险。优化通常在最优值周围相当平坦,并且检查通常必须符合操作需求,因此像这样的近似方法可能非常有用,如示例所示。
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引用次数: 3
Mass-transit system service quality: tradeoff analysis on reliability, maintainability and logistics 轨道交通系统服务质量:可靠性、可维护性和物流的权衡分析
Pub Date : 1995-01-16 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1995.513293
P. Dersin, J. Durand
Service quality is influenced not only by intrinsic reliability and maintainability but also by logistical factors such as: the number of operations reserves of spare trains; the number of repair facilities; fleet size; average recovery times after perturbations; and spare parts. Operators are looking for service quality commitments from manufacturers. However, only intrinsic reliability and maintainability, and to some extent, service reliability, are determined by the manufacturer's design. This paper addresses quantitatively the dependence of service quality on intrinsic reliability and maintainability, and logistic variables. Analytical models, based on Markov chains, are used to derive the corresponding relationships. Sensitivity analyses can then be performed. Tradeoffs can be assessed quantitatively between several solutions for achieving a given service quality target at different costs. On the basis of such a tradeoff analysis. The effort toward a higher service quality can be guided in a life-cycle cost perspective. Also, reliability and maintainability apportionments can be performed which are derived from the service quality objective. Logistic parameters are seen to play a key part. Accordingly, the manufacturer which does not control maintenance may find it inappropriate to commit to a service quality level, but may commit, instead, to reliability and maintainability levels that, under precise assumptions on the logistics, result in the desired service quality.
服务质量不仅受到内在可靠性和可维护性的影响,还受到后勤因素的影响,如:备用列车的运行储备数量;维修设施的数目;机队规模;扰动后平均恢复时间;还有备用零件。运营商正在寻求制造商的服务质量承诺。然而,只有内在可靠性和可维护性,以及在一定程度上的服务可靠性,是由制造商的设计决定的。本文定量地讨论了服务质量对内在可靠性、可维护性和逻辑变量的依赖关系。基于马尔可夫链的分析模型用于推导相应的关系。然后可以进行敏感性分析。可以对以不同成本实现给定服务质量目标的几个解决方案之间的权衡进行定量评估。基于这样的权衡分析。可以从生命周期成本的角度来指导提高服务质量的工作。此外,还可以根据服务质量目标进行可靠性和可维护性分配。物流参数被认为起着关键的作用。因此,不控制维护的制造商可能会发现不适合承诺服务质量水平,但可能会承诺,相反,在对物流的精确假设下,可靠性和可维护性水平会产生期望的服务质量。
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引用次数: 8
Empirical validation of availability models for the RISC System/6000 workstation using survey and measurement data 基于调查和测量数据的RISC System/6000工作站可用性模型实证验证
Pub Date : 1995-01-16 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1995.513281
A. Chandra, G. Ahrens, M. Kanthanathan, J. Grzinich
We show an empirically driven process to validate the availability models of RISC System/6000 workstations. The empirical data is obtained by tracking RISC System/6000 workstations in the field. The tracking data is obtained by using customer surveys and by using an availability measurement tool installed on selected running systems. We model several types of RISC System/6000 workstations using the SAVE tool. Care is taken to include all classes of systems. The workstations modeled include representatives from the desktop, deskside, and rack families. We explain the key principle of the "representative field model." For each type of workstation modeled, availability data for validation is extracted from the customer survey database or the availability measurement database. The validation data is used to identify and eliminate model errors. The identification and elimination of modeling errors involves sensitivity analysis. The validation of the availability measures of several RISC System/6000 workstations using both survey and measurement data confirms the accuracy of our modeling process and gives us the confidence to utilize the availability models in our development and marketing processes. Also, this enables us to generate accurate availability measures in our future availability modeling efforts.
我们展示了一个经验驱动的过程来验证RISC系统/6000工作站的可用性模型。通过现场跟踪RISC系统/6000工作站获得经验数据。跟踪数据是通过使用客户调查和使用安装在选定运行系统上的可用性测量工具获得的。我们使用SAVE工具对几种类型的RISC System/6000工作站进行建模。注意包括所有类型的系统。建模的工作站包括来自桌面、桌面和机架系列的代表。我们解释了“代表性场模型”的关键原理。对于建模的每种类型的工作站,用于验证的可用性数据是从客户调查数据库或可用性度量数据库中提取的。验证数据用于识别和消除模型错误。建模误差的识别和消除涉及到灵敏度分析。使用调查和测量数据对几个RISC System/6000工作站的可用性度量进行验证,证实了我们建模过程的准确性,并使我们有信心在开发和营销过程中使用可用性模型。此外,这使我们能够在未来的可用性建模工作中生成准确的可用性度量。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium 1995 Proceedings
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