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Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium 1995 Proceedings最新文献

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Understanding and solving the real reliability assurance problems 了解和解决实际的可靠性保证问题
Pub Date : 1995-01-16 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1995.513240
M. Pecht, F.R. Nash, J.H. Lory
To be competitive, manufacturers need to know how things fail, as well as how things work. The combination of physics-of-failure and best practices is an approach to the development of cost-effective reliable products that focuses on how things can fail through an understanding of the root causes of failure. The goal is to answer the following questions: (1) how can the supplier measure how well he is doing?; (2) what kind of reliability assurances can a supplier give to a customer?; (3) how can a customer determine that the supplier knows what he is doing, and that he is likely to deliver what is desired?; and (4) how can both the supplier and customer assess and minimize the risks? These questions are important because the supplier of a product that fails in the field experiences a loss of customer confidence and subsequently a loss of business. Similarly, the customer of a product that fails will experience a loss of functionality which could result in decreased business, safety and customer satisfaction.
为了具有竞争力,制造商需要知道产品是如何失效的,以及产品是如何工作的。故障物理和最佳实践的结合是一种开发具有成本效益的可靠产品的方法,通过了解故障的根本原因,重点关注事物是如何发生故障的。目标是回答以下问题:(1)供应商如何衡量他做得有多好?(2)供应商可以向客户提供什么样的可靠性保证?(3)顾客如何确定供方知道他在做什么,并且他很可能交付他所期望的?(4)供应商和客户如何评估和降低风险?这些问题很重要,因为在现场失败的产品的供应商会失去客户的信任,从而失去业务。同样,产品失败的客户将体验到功能的损失,这可能导致业务、安全性和客户满意度的下降。
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引用次数: 6
A fault-list generation algorithm for the evaluation of system coverage 一种用于系统覆盖率评估的故障列表生成算法
Pub Date : 1995-01-16 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1995.513279
D.T. Smith, B.W. Johnson, J. Profeta, D. Bozzolo
The expanding size and complexity of dependable computing systems has increased their cost and at the same time complicated the process of estimating dependability attributes such as fault coverage and detection latency. One approach to estimating such parameters is to employ fault injection, however algorithms are needed to generate a list of faults to inject. Unlike randomly selected faults, a fault list is needed which guarantees to cause either system failure or the activation of mechanisms which cover the injected fault. This research effort has developed an automated technique for selecting faults to use during fault injection experiments. The technique is general in nature and can be applied to any computing platform. The primary objective of this research effort was the development and implementation of the algorithms to generate a fault set which exercises the fault detection and fault processing aspects of the system. The end result is a completely automated method for evaluating complex dependable computing systems by estimating fault coverage and fault detection latency.
可靠计算系统的规模和复杂度不断扩大,不仅增加了其成本,同时也使故障覆盖和检测延迟等可靠性属性的估计过程变得复杂。估计这些参数的一种方法是使用故障注入,但是需要算法来生成要注入的故障列表。与随机选择的故障不同,需要一个故障列表来保证导致系统故障或激活覆盖注入故障的机制。本研究开发了一种在断层注入实验中选择断层的自动化技术。该技术本质上是通用的,可以应用于任何计算平台。本研究工作的主要目标是开发和实现生成故障集的算法,该算法用于系统的故障检测和故障处理方面。最终的结果是一种完全自动化的方法,通过估计故障覆盖和故障检测延迟来评估复杂的可靠计算系统。
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引用次数: 13
A risk-effect model for waterway transport of dangerous goods 水路危险货物运输的风险效应模型
Pub Date : 1995-01-16 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1995.513268
J. Donk, W.G. de Rijke
Inland waterway transport of dangerous goods in the Netherlands is becoming increasingly important. When accidentally exposed, these goods can endanger the environment and inhabitants. The Dutch government is concerned with the safety of transport and has developed a risk management policy. To develop tools for risk management, a large research project "Safety of Inland Water Transport" was initiated. The aim of this project is to make an inventory of the most dangerous locations along the inland waterways and to develop a risk-effect model (REM), that can support decisions on safety improvement of waterways and harbours. The research project is divided into 3 phases. In January 1994 the first phase of the project was finished. In the final phase REM will enable precise calculation of safety risks, economical and environmental risks of waterway transport and will make it possible to get insight into the qualitative and quantitative effect of risk-reducing measures. In the paper an outline of the risk policy in the Netherlands is given. The paper then concentrates on the first phase version of REM. Some major future developments of REM are highlighted. The application of REM is then demonstrated with a case-study.
危险货物的内河运输在荷兰变得越来越重要。当意外暴露时,这些物品会危害环境和居民。荷兰政府关注交通安全,并制定了风险管理政策。为开发风险管理工具,我们展开了一项大型研究项目“内河运输安全”。该项目的目的是对内陆水道沿线最危险的地点进行盘点,并开发风险效应模型(REM),以支持有关水道和港口安全改进的决策。研究项目分为3个阶段。1994年1月,该项目的第一阶段已经完成。在最后阶段,REM将能够精确计算水路运输的安全风险、经济风险和环境风险,并将有可能深入了解降低风险措施的定性和定量效果。本文对荷兰的风险政策进行了概述。然后重点介绍了快速眼动模型的第一阶段,并指出了快速眼动模型未来的发展方向。然后通过案例研究说明了快速眼动的应用。
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引用次数: 1
Combining computational-simulations with probabilistic-risk-assessment techniques to analyze launch vehicles 将计算模拟与概率风险评估技术相结合,对运载火箭进行分析
Pub Date : 1995-01-16 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1995.513267
G. Maggio, J. Fragola
To assess the overall cost of a launch system the potential losses which may be incurred due to catastrophic failure should also be considered along with the manufacturing and operational costs. The potential for catastrophic failure may be determined by performing a probabilistic risk assessment. Launch vehicles operate under highly transient conditions. In addition, the complex nature of launch systems makes the task of determining the probability of failure responses and consequences, with any reasonable certainty, practically impossible. Launch vehicle dynamics may be studied by the use of computational methods, offering a solution for assessing failure responses. However, the deterministic nature of these methods makes their use incompatible with probabilistic risk assessment. This paper discusses a solution to this dilemma. A semi-deterministic methodology is proposed which combines these two technologies, computational simulation and probabilistic risk assessment, in a synergistic fashion. A matrix based interfacing mechanism was developed which allows information to be transferred from one analysis structure to the other. Although software may be developed to facilitate the transfer process, the methodology may be applied without having to modify any of the existing resources. As computer-based designing and testing becomes the rule and not the exception, this method may offer engineers the capability to integrate risk considerations directly into the design process. Assessing risk during the design phase has the potential of substantially reducing safety related maintenance costs.
为了评估发射系统的总体成本,由于灾难性故障可能引起的潜在损失也应与制造和操作成本一起考虑。灾难性故障的可能性可以通过执行概率风险评估来确定。运载火箭在高度瞬态条件下运行。此外,发射系统的复杂性质使得以任何合理的确定性确定故障响应和后果的概率的任务实际上是不可能的。利用计算方法研究运载火箭动力学,为评估失效响应提供了一种解决方案。然而,这些方法的确定性使得它们的使用与概率风险评估不相容。本文探讨了解决这一困境的方法。提出了一种半确定性方法,将计算模拟和概率风险评估这两种技术以协同的方式结合起来。开发了一种基于矩阵的接口机制,允许信息从一种分析结构转移到另一种分析结构。虽然可以开发软件来促进转移过程,但可以在不修改任何现有资源的情况下应用该方法。随着基于计算机的设计和测试成为常规而不是例外,这种方法可以为工程师提供将风险考虑直接集成到设计过程中的能力。在设计阶段评估风险有可能大大降低与安全相关的维护成本。
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引用次数: 2
Using R&M analysis to calculate economic risk in the process industries 运用R&M分析方法计算过程工业的经济风险
Pub Date : 1995-01-16 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1995.513269
H. Tripp, J. Propst
A systematic procedure for quantifying the financial risk of repetitive hardware failures is used to analyze the reliability of plant electrical systems and process units. The procedure uses component failure rates and the financial impact to calculate annual risk premiums, which approximate the insurance premiums required to compensate for financial losses caused by the component failures. Basic reliability calculations are then used to combine the component characteristics and to find the annual risk premium of the system. Typically the annual risk premiums for components follow a Pareto distribution; i.e., several component failures account for most of the production losses. Results of these calculations provide data for: ranking component failures on the basis of financial impact across discipline, system, and unit boundaries; developing realistic estimates of the future availability of units and systems; developing alternatives for upgrading systems to achieve desired availability; and developing maintenance strategies.
一个量化重复硬件故障的财务风险的系统程序被用于分析工厂电气系统和工艺单元的可靠性。该程序使用组件故障率和财务影响来计算年度风险保费,其近似于补偿组件故障造成的财务损失所需的保险费。然后利用基本的可靠性计算,结合各部件的特性,求出系统的年风险溢价。通常,组件的年风险溢价遵循帕累托分布;也就是说,几个部件的故障造成了大部分的生产损失。这些计算的结果为以下方面提供了数据:基于跨学科、系统和单位边界的财务影响对组件故障进行排名;对单位和系统的未来可用性作出切合实际的估计;开发升级系统的替代方案,以达到预期的可用性;制定维护策略。
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引用次数: 3
Reliability-based structural design 基于可靠性的结构设计
Pub Date : 1995-01-16 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1995.513247
D. Mukherjee, S. Mahadevan
This paper presents the use of state-of-the-art reliability techniques to develop efficient structural design guidelines for civil engineering structures in a manner that includes overall structural system effects. Probabilistic design is done by explicitly accounting for the uncertainties in the different variables and their influence on structural performance. This approach has been used to develop a set of load and resistance factors instead of just a single safety factor to address all the uncertainties. However, the reliabilities of the individual components, when placed in the overall configuration, may not remain the same as when the components are considered separately. Therefore, this paper proposes that the reliability of the structure be explicitly satisfied at the component level as well as at the system level during design. Two important considerations are addressed in this regard: (i) the influence of system effects on the element reliability, and (ii) formulation of component design to ensure overall system reliability. As a result, system factors are developed for inclusion in structural design.
本文介绍了使用最先进的可靠性技术,以一种包括整体结构系统效应的方式,为土木工程结构制定有效的结构设计指南。概率设计是通过明确地考虑不同变量的不确定性及其对结构性能的影响来完成的。这种方法已被用于开发一组负载和阻力因素,而不仅仅是单一的安全因素,以解决所有的不确定性。然而,当放在整体配置中时,单个组件的可靠性可能与单独考虑组件时的可靠性不同。因此,本文提出在设计时既要明确满足构件级的可靠性要求,也要明确满足系统级的可靠性要求。在这方面解决了两个重要的考虑事项:(i)系统效应对元件可靠性的影响,(ii)组件设计的制定以确保整体系统可靠性。因此,系统因素被开发为包含在结构设计中。
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引用次数: 8
Design simulation tool to improve product reliability 设计仿真工具,提高产品可靠性
Pub Date : 1995-01-16 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1995.513245
W. D. Yates, D. M. Beaman
The design community has historically been challenged to design-in reliability and maintainability (R&M) during the front-end of the design process. This has been difficult due to the budget profiles on most programs: R&M activities have not traditionally been funded up-front, and the designers are usually just too busy trying to make their designs work to worry about R&M. This paper describes a McDonnell Douglas Aerospace (MDA) independent research and development (IRAD) supportability sponsored project entitled "Integrated Crew Chiefs Associate". This IRAD has developed a new design simulation software tool that permits designers to assess and optimize their design for reliability up-front, during the early conceptual design phases of product development. The result has been a tool that allows the designer to reduce cycle time in developing a new prototype hydromechanical subsystem and its associated onboard embedded control logic software, the ability to optimize the configuration and subsystem reliability very early-on, and the ability to capture early design information for use throughout the acquisition process for performing reliability, maintainability, testability, and advanced logistics analysis.
在设计过程的前端,设计界一直面临着设计可靠性和可维护性(R&M)的挑战。由于大多数项目的预算情况,这是很困难的:传统上,R&M活动并没有预先得到资助,设计师通常只是忙于使他们的设计工作,而不去担心R&M。本文描述了麦克唐纳-道格拉斯航空公司(MDA)独立研发(IRAD)可保障性资助的项目,名为“综合机组负责人助理”。该IRAD开发了一种新的设计仿真软件工具,允许设计人员在产品开发的早期概念设计阶段预先评估和优化其设计的可靠性。该工具使设计人员能够缩短开发新原型流体机械子系统及其相关机载嵌入式控制逻辑软件的周期时间,能够在早期优化配置和子系统可靠性,并能够捕获早期设计信息,以便在整个采购过程中使用,以执行可靠性、可维护性、可测试性和高级物流分析。
{"title":"Design simulation tool to improve product reliability","authors":"W. D. Yates, D. M. Beaman","doi":"10.1109/RAMS.1995.513245","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/RAMS.1995.513245","url":null,"abstract":"The design community has historically been challenged to design-in reliability and maintainability (R&M) during the front-end of the design process. This has been difficult due to the budget profiles on most programs: R&M activities have not traditionally been funded up-front, and the designers are usually just too busy trying to make their designs work to worry about R&M. This paper describes a McDonnell Douglas Aerospace (MDA) independent research and development (IRAD) supportability sponsored project entitled \"Integrated Crew Chiefs Associate\". This IRAD has developed a new design simulation software tool that permits designers to assess and optimize their design for reliability up-front, during the early conceptual design phases of product development. The result has been a tool that allows the designer to reduce cycle time in developing a new prototype hydromechanical subsystem and its associated onboard embedded control logic software, the ability to optimize the configuration and subsystem reliability very early-on, and the ability to capture early design information for use throughout the acquisition process for performing reliability, maintainability, testability, and advanced logistics analysis.","PeriodicalId":143102,"journal":{"name":"Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium 1995 Proceedings","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1995-01-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121767678","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 12
Analysis techniques for real-time, fault-tolerant, VLSI processing arrays 实时、容错、超大规模集成电路处理阵列的分析技术
Pub Date : 1995-01-16 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1995.513237
A. J. Schwab, B.W. Johnson, J. Dugan
Several techniques are described for the quantitative evaluation of the effectiveness of various reconfiguration strategies for real-time, VLSI processing arrays. The first technique illustrates the advantages of small, easily managed semi-Markov models for comparing important events in the fault/error process of a system. Since these events have the greatest impact on architecture selection in a real-time system, a methodology that quantifies system differences is necessary to properly design a real-time processing array. The second technique developed for this research expands the previous concept to include the events within a single time interval in a real-time system. The single interval model provides unique information on critical real-time design issues. It quantitatively describes the effects of time-outs on the failure probability of potential reconfiguration strategies. The interaction of sampling rate and failures due to time-outs is clarified with this model. The ability to recover from faults at different points within an interval is also estimated.
描述了几种用于定量评估实时VLSI处理阵列的各种重构策略有效性的技术。第一种技术说明了小型、易于管理的半马尔可夫模型用于比较系统故障/错误过程中的重要事件的优势。由于这些事件对实时系统中的体系结构选择影响最大,因此需要一种量化系统差异的方法来正确设计实时处理阵列。为本研究开发的第二种技术扩展了先前的概念,包括实时系统中单个时间间隔内的事件。单间隔模型提供了关键实时设计问题的独特信息。定量地描述了超时对潜在重构策略失效概率的影响。该模型阐明了采样率与超时失效的相互作用。在一个时间间隔内,从不同点的故障中恢复的能力也进行了估计。
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引用次数: 2
Dependent-failures in spacecraft: root causes, coupling factors, defenses, and design implications 航天器中的依赖故障:根本原因、耦合因素、防御和设计含义
Pub Date : 1995-01-16 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1995.513266
P. Rutledge, A. Mosleh
This paper provides: (1) the results of dependent failure analysis of Space Shuttle Orbiter in-flight anomaly (IFA) data; (2) revised and new classification systems for root causes, coupling factors, and defenses; (3) dependent failure design guidelines for the analysis of existing spacecraft systems and the design of new ones; (4) insights from the study; and (5) parameters for use in common cause failure models for spacecraft. The Space Shuttle served as the primary subject of this study because: (1) problem/failure data were abundant and readily available; (2) in-flight failures are thoroughly analyzed and relatively well documented upon the vehicle's return to Earth; and perhaps most importantly; and (3) the Space Shuttle is a valuable national resource.
本文提供了:(1)航天飞机轨道飞行器飞行异常(IFA)数据的相关失效分析结果;(2)修订的和新的根本原因、耦合因素和防御的分类系统;(3)现有航天器系统分析和新系统设计的相关失效设计准则;(4)研究的见解;(5)用于航天器共因失效模型的参数。航天飞机作为本研究的主要对象是因为:(1)问题/故障数据丰富且易于获得;(2)对飞行中的故障进行彻底分析,并在飞行器返回地球时进行相对完整的记录;也许最重要的是;(3)航天飞机是宝贵的国家资源。
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引用次数: 29
Application of test effectiveness in spacecraft testing 试验有效性在航天器试验中的应用
Pub Date : 1995-01-16 DOI: 10.1109/RAMS.1995.513289
P. Lang, Michael E. Card, Susie Saalwaechter, Todd Godkin
This article summarizes test design practices of selected NASA Centers and prime contractors as they are used to evaluate the performance and reliability of space mission payloads. It also reports the use of previous relevant test experience to avoid risk in the design of future spacecraft and enhance test programs. Test effectiveness (TE) is defined as the ability of a test to accurately emulate the expected mission environment, and reliably detect failure causing defects before launch. These twin objectives determine the value of a test program relative to project funding.
本文总结了选定的NASA中心和主承包商的测试设计实践,因为它们用于评估空间任务有效载荷的性能和可靠性。它还报告了利用以前的相关测试经验,以避免未来航天器设计中的风险,并加强测试计划。测试有效性(TE)被定义为测试准确地模拟预期的任务环境,并在发射前可靠地检测故障导致缺陷的能力。这两个目标决定了测试程序相对于项目资金的价值。
{"title":"Application of test effectiveness in spacecraft testing","authors":"P. Lang, Michael E. Card, Susie Saalwaechter, Todd Godkin","doi":"10.1109/RAMS.1995.513289","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/RAMS.1995.513289","url":null,"abstract":"This article summarizes test design practices of selected NASA Centers and prime contractors as they are used to evaluate the performance and reliability of space mission payloads. It also reports the use of previous relevant test experience to avoid risk in the design of future spacecraft and enhance test programs. Test effectiveness (TE) is defined as the ability of a test to accurately emulate the expected mission environment, and reliably detect failure causing defects before launch. These twin objectives determine the value of a test program relative to project funding.","PeriodicalId":143102,"journal":{"name":"Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium 1995 Proceedings","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1995-01-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127515058","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
期刊
Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium 1995 Proceedings
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