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Spending after Job Loss from the Great Recession through COVID-19: The Roles of Financial Health, Race, and Policy 从大衰退到COVID-19失业后的支出:财务健康、种族和政策的作用
Pub Date : 2021-08-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3910672
Fiona Greig, Chris Wheat, George Eckerd, Melissa O'Brien, Shantanu Banerjee
Using an administrative dataset covering 2 million job loss events we analyze the impact of unemployment insurance (UI) benefits on spending from 2008 to 2020. We find that during the Great Recession spending cuts after job loss were deeper than in the subsequent expansion, but in the COVID-19 recession spending increased after job loss for many, as government stimulus supported demand amid sharp declines in overall spending. Households’ tendency to spend out of income after job loss—their marginal propensity to consume (MPC)—has been fairly consistent over varying economic environments from 2008 to 2020. That said, across economic environments, there are large and consistent household-level differences in marginal propensity to consume. Specifically, following job loss, families with lower liquidity exhibit larger declines in spending in the face of income declines. In addition, Black and Latinx households cut their spending to a greater extent than White families after job loss, partially explained by their lower cash buffers and indicators of wealth. For policy, the findings suggest that countercyclical UI benefit levels are likely to be an effective means of stabilizing demand. Additional measures to target income supports with consideration to wealth inequality and racial equity can limit the welfare costs of job loss.
我们使用涵盖200万失业事件的行政数据集分析了失业保险(UI)福利对2008年至2020年支出的影响。我们发现,在大衰退期间,失业后的支出削减幅度大于随后的经济扩张,但在2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)衰退期间,由于政府刺激措施在总体支出大幅下降的情况下支持了需求,许多人在失业后的支出增加了。从2008年到2020年,在不同的经济环境中,家庭在失业后的消费倾向——边际消费倾向(MPC)——是相当一致的。也就是说,在不同的经济环境中,边际消费倾向在家庭层面上存在巨大而一致的差异。具体来说,在失业之后,面对收入下降,流动性较低的家庭在支出方面表现出更大的下降。此外,黑人和拉丁裔家庭在失业后比白人家庭更大幅度地削减支出,部分原因是他们的现金缓冲和财富指标较低。在政策方面,研究结果表明,反周期的失业保险福利水平可能是稳定需求的有效手段。在考虑到财富不平等和种族平等的情况下,针对收入支持采取额外措施,可以限制失业的福利成本。
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引用次数: 0
Treasuring Career from Home: The Sustainability of Women Homeworkers and Household Divisions 珍惜家庭事业:女性家庭工作者和家庭分工的可持续性
Pub Date : 2021-08-15 DOI: 10.31219/osf.io/b3tmf
Anggaunitakiranantika Anggaunitakiranantika
Women homeworkers in Indonesia also resulted in double role causes women to have double workload, namely the main work that makes money and household chores such as cleaning the house, cooking and so on. This is because women cannot leave their responsibilities in the household, yet they must continue to perform their main work. Accordingly, a discussion addressing the dual burden and mechanism of division of work between men and women in the household is needed. This research was conducted with a descriptive qualitative method aimed to describe a number of issues including how consensus was performed by women homeworkers in carrying out the division of work with men and the efforts of women homeworkers to do the division of work with their husbands in the domestic sphere. The research was conducted in Malang City, East Java, Indonesia with snowball sampling techniques on 37 women. Based on the research results, it was discovered that: 1) the division of work in the public and domestic spheres for women homeworkers was flexible; 2) Men more often did the heavy household chores such as washing and drying clothes, the division of work occurred at certain times such as in the morning; 3) Within the household, the division of work between men and women took place when the woman homeworkers’ main work piled up and could not be abandoned.
印度尼西亚的女性家庭工作者也造成了双重角色,导致女性有双重工作量,即赚钱的主要工作和家务,如打扫房子,做饭等。这是因为妇女不能离开她们在家庭中的责任,但她们必须继续从事她们的主要工作。因此,有必要讨论男女在家庭中的双重负担和分工机制。这项研究是用描述性定性方法进行的,目的是描述一些问题,包括妇女家庭工人在与男子分工方面如何达成共识,以及妇女家庭工人在家庭领域与丈夫分工的努力。该研究在印度尼西亚东爪哇的玛琅市进行,采用滚雪球抽样技术对37名妇女进行了研究。研究发现:1)家庭主妇在公共领域和家庭领域的分工是灵活的;2)男性更多地从事洗衣服、晒衣服等繁重的家务劳动,分工发生在特定的时间,如早晨;3)在家庭内部,当女性家务劳动者的主要工作堆积起来,无法放弃时,男女分工就发生了。
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引用次数: 1
Nandi Female Husbands 南帝女丈夫
Pub Date : 2021-08-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3899091
Ignacio Palacios-Huerta
Gender differences in competitiveness have been hypothesized as a potential explanation for gender differences in education and labor market outcomes. Central to the literature is whether differences in preferences for competition are innate or learned. I study this question in the Nandi society in Kenya. A distinct aspect of this society is the cultural institution of "female husbands." In Nandi custom, the property of a woman's house (the "house property") can only be transmitted to male heirs, and so inheritance flows through mothers to the sons. As not every woman gives birth to a male heir, the Nandi solution to sustain the family lineage is for the heirless woman to become the "female husband" to a younger woman. A woman who marries another woman for this purpose has to undergo an "inversion ceremony" to change into a man. This biological woman, now socially male, becomes a "husband" to a younger female and a "father" to the younger woman's children, whose sons become the heirs of her house. Taking advantage of this unique separation of biological and social roles holding constant the same society, I conduct competitiveness experiments. Similar to the extant evidence from experiments in Western cultures, I find that Nandi men opt to compete at roughly twice the rate as Nandi women. Importantly, however, female husbands (socially males but biologically females) choose to compete at basically the same rate as males, and thus around twice as often as females. These results provide novel support for the argument that social norms, family roles and endogenous preference formation are crucially linked to differences in competitiveness.
竞争力的性别差异被假设为教育和劳动力市场结果的性别差异的潜在解释。这些文献的核心是竞争偏好的差异是天生的还是后天习得的。我在肯尼亚的Nandi社会研究了这个问题。这个社会的一个独特方面是“女丈夫”的文化制度。在南地的习俗中,女性的房屋财产(“房屋财产”)只能传给男性继承人,因此遗产由母亲传给儿子。因为不是每个女人都会生一个男性继承人,所以南迪人维持家族血统的办法是让没有继承人的女人成为一个年轻女人的“女丈夫”。为了这个目的而与另一个女人结婚的女人必须经历一个“反转仪式”才能变成男人。这个生理上的女性,现在在社会上是男性,成为年轻女性的“丈夫”和年轻女性孩子的“父亲”,这些孩子成为她的房子的继承人。利用这种独特的生物和社会角色的分离,保持不变的同一社会,我进行竞争力实验。与西方文化中现有的实验证据相似,我发现南迪男性选择竞争的比例大约是南迪女性的两倍。然而,重要的是,女性丈夫(社会上是男性,但生理上是女性)选择与男性竞争的比率基本相同,因此大约是女性的两倍。这些结果为社会规范、家庭角色和内生偏好形成与竞争力差异有重要联系的观点提供了新的支持。
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引用次数: 1
The Millennials' Transition from School to Work 千禧一代从学校到工作的转变
Pub Date : 2021-07-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3910074
Yy Wong
We present the first study of the high school-to-work transition for American Millennial males and females. Using data from the PSID Transition to Adulthood from 2005-2011, we estimate two versions of the Burdett and Mortensen (1998) model, one with an exogenous productivity distribution and one that endogenizes productivity. We compare our Millennial results to those of Generation X for males and find a substantial decline in search efficiencies for white males with convergence to black males. We also find convergence in search patterns for Millennial males and females leaving less room for search to explain the gender wage gap. Finally, we show the labor market deteriorated substantially for both males and females who graduated from high school during the Great Recession.
我们提出了第一项关于美国千禧一代男性和女性从高中到工作过渡的研究。利用2005-2011年PSID向成年过渡的数据,我们估计了Burdett和Mortensen(1998)模型的两个版本,一个是外生生产率分布,一个是内生生产率分布。我们将千禧一代的结果与X一代的结果进行比较,发现白人男性的搜索效率大幅下降,与黑人男性趋同。我们还发现,千禧一代男性和女性的搜索模式趋同,这就减少了解释性别工资差距的搜索空间。最后,我们显示,在大衰退期间,无论是对高中毕业生还是对高中毕业生来说,劳动力市场都大幅恶化。
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引用次数: 0
Los jóvenes que no estudian ni trabajan (NINIS) en Colombia (Youth not in Employment, Education or Training (NEET) In Colombia) 哥伦比亚不从事就业、教育或培训的青年(NEET)
Pub Date : 2021-06-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3874011
Roberto Sánchez Torres
Spanish Abstract: En Colombia hay 2,7 millones de jóvenes entre 14 y 28 años que no estudian ni trabajan (NINIS), lo que representa una problemática social y económica, en la medida en que se desaprovechan las potenciales capacidades productivas de la población, pero también evidencia las limitaciones de una sociedad que no ofrece suficientes oportunidades. Esta situación se explica por una amalgama de factores estructurales, institucionales e individuales. El objetivo de este documento es analizar los determinantes microeconómicos (personales y del hogar) que inciden en la situación de los jóvenes NINIS en Colombia. Para ello, se presenta un análisis descriptivo de los NINIS y sus hogares, y se estiman modelos econométricos de variable dependiente limitada. Los principales resultados muestran que la situación tiene un importante sesgo de género afectando negativamente a las mujeres, garantizar mayores niveles educativos contribuye a una notable reducción de la inactividad de los jóvenes, pero su efecto es limitado sobre el desempleo, además, menor desempleo y mayores niveles de educación de los padres del hogar reduce considerablemente la probabilidad de que los jóvenes sean NINIS. English Abstract: Colombia has 2.7 million of young people between 14 and 28 years that are not in employment, education or training. It means a huge social and economic problem, because capabilities of population are not being used properly, but it also shows the limitation of a society that does not offer enough opportunities. That situation is the consequence of multiple structural, institutional, and individual aspects. The purpose of this article is to analyze the microeconomic determinants (personal and household characteristics) that influence the condition of youth NEET in Colombia. To do so, a descriptive analysis is shown and some econometric models with categorical dependent variables are estimated. The primary results are the level of NEET has a gender bias, negatively affecting women; higher education levels reduce the inactivity of young people but its effect on unemployment is lower; besides, the likelihood of being NEET for young would decline substantially if their parents were not unemployed and they had more years of education.
[Abstract:在哥伦比亚有270万年轻人学习不工作的14至28岁(NINIS),比一场经济和社会问题,因为错失了潜在生产能力的人口,但社会制约的证据也不提供足够的机会。这种情况可以用结构、制度和个人因素的混合来解释。本文的目的是分析影响哥伦比亚年轻人处境的微观经济决定因素(个人和家庭)。本文提出了一种方法,通过这种方法,我们分析了墨西哥家庭的社会经济状况。主要结果表明情况有一个重要性别偏见影响,确保妇女教育水平有助于显著降低年轻人的活动,但其关于失业的效果是有限的,此外,失业和家庭家长教育水平大幅度下降使青年NINIS的可能性。哥伦比亚有270万14至28岁的年轻人没有就业、教育或培训。这是一个巨大的社会和经济问题,因为人民的能力没有得到充分利用,但它也显示出社会的局限性,没有提供足够的机会。这种情况是多重结构、制度和个人方面的结果。本文的目的是分析影响哥伦比亚啃老族青年状况的微观经济决定因素(个人和家庭特征)。为此,提出了描述性分析,并估计了一些具有分类因变量的计量经济学模型。主要结果是,啃老族的性别偏见程度对妇女产生了负面影响;较高的教育水平减少了年轻人的不活动,但对失业的影响较小;此外,如果父母没有失业,并且他们接受了更多的教育,那么啃老族对年轻人的吸引力就会大大降低。
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引用次数: 0
Automation and Human Capital Adjustment: The Effect of Robots on College Enrollment 自动化与人力资本调整:机器人对高校招生的影响
Pub Date : 2021-06-02 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3920935
Giuseppe Di Giacomo, Benjamin Lerch
This paper investigates the effect of robot adoption on the accumulation of human capital in the US. Using a simple theoretical framework, we illustrate how advances in automation are expanding the share of individuals who enroll in college, as college-educated workers are less exposed to the adverse effects of new technologies. We test this prediction empirically exploiting exogenous variation in the adoption of robots across local labor markets between 1993 and 2007. Our results show that robot exposure has increased substantially enrollment rates in post-secondary education institutions: for every three workers that have been displaced by automation, one individual enrolls in college. Most students are enrolling in two-year public institutions, since they are more accessible and rapidly provide workers with the necessary skills to be competitive in the labor market. There is no evidence, though, that automation is affecting students' commitment to complete their studies. Nevertheless, we observe a shift in completions towards more applied fields, such as computer science and engineering, which are likely to be the main source of job creation in the years to come due to their complementary role to the new technologies.
本文研究了机器人的采用对美国人力资本积累的影响。使用一个简单的理论框架,我们说明了自动化的进步是如何扩大个人进入大学的比例的,因为受过大学教育的工人较少受到新技术的不利影响。我们利用1993年至2007年间当地劳动力市场中机器人采用的外生变化对这一预测进行了实证检验。我们的研究结果表明,接触机器人大大提高了高等教育机构的入学率:每三个工人被自动化取代,就有一个人进入大学。大多数学生就读于两年制的公立大学,因为它们更容易进入,而且能迅速为工人提供在劳动力市场上具有竞争力的必要技能。不过,没有证据表明自动化会影响学生完成学业的决心。然而,我们观察到完井向更多应用领域的转变,例如计算机科学和工程,由于它们与新技术的互补作用,这些领域可能成为未来几年创造就业机会的主要来源。
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引用次数: 2
Do Female Leaders Promote Gender-Sensitive Policies? 女性领导人推动性别敏感政策吗?
Pub Date : 2021-03-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3716566
Andrés Gago, Felipe Carozzi
We study whether female-headed local governments in Spain are more likely to engage in gender sensitive policies such as long-term care support, pre-schooling, or work and family-life balancing services. Using a fuzzy regression discontinuity design estimated on the set of mixed electoral races, we find no evidence of female mayors being more likely to implement these policies at the local level. We do find evidence of differences between parties in the probability of implementing these policies, suggesting that the gender of the politician is less important than their partisan or ideological position when it comes to these policy levers.
我们研究了西班牙女性领导的地方政府是否更有可能参与性别敏感的政策,如长期护理支持、学前教育或工作和家庭生活平衡服务。使用模糊回归不连续设计估计混合选举的集合,我们发现没有证据表明女性市长更有可能在地方一级实施这些政策。我们确实发现了政党之间在实施这些政策的可能性方面存在差异的证据,这表明,在这些政策杠杆方面,政治家的性别不如他们的党派或意识形态立场重要。
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引用次数: 6
Does Home Equity Liquidation Reduce the Poverty Rate of Older Adults? Evidence from South Korea 房屋净值清算能降低老年人的贫困率吗?来自韩国的证据
Pub Date : 2021-03-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3802230
In-hong Baek, Sanha Noh
Can we determine the poverty levels of the population aged 65 and over without considering their assets? How much can we reduce poverty rates among older adults if their assets are liquidated? To answer these questions, we investigate poverty rates among older adults relatively by taking residential property into account using an actuarial method applied to a public reverse mortgage program. We use unique data collated by merging the Survey of Household Finances and Living Conditions by Statistics Korea and data on spouse information. We find that public reverse mortgage programs increase disposable income by approximately 20% on average for the population aged 65 and over, and the improvement is more effective in the low-income quintiles. Due to the income enhancement from reverse mortgages, poverty rates among older adults reduce significantly to about 31%, while it is 41% without the liquation of home equity. Therefore, the current poverty rate among older adults following the OECD standard may overestimate the poverty rate for people aged 65 and over and misguides the direction of welfare policies, and misuses government budgets for older adults.
我们能在不考虑资产的情况下确定65岁及以上人口的贫困水平吗?如果老年人的资产被清算,我们能在多大程度上降低他们的贫困率?为了回答这些问题,我们使用一种适用于公共反向抵押贷款计划的精算方法,将住宅物业考虑在内,相对调查老年人的贫困率。我们使用了统计厅的家庭财务及生活状况调查和配偶资料合并而成的独特数据。我们发现,公共反向抵押贷款计划使65岁及以上人口的可支配收入平均增加了约20%,而且这种改善在低收入五分之一的人群中更为有效。由于反向抵押贷款增加了收入,老年人的贫困率大幅下降至31%左右,而在没有清算房屋净值的情况下,贫困率为41%。因此,按照经合组织标准计算的老年人贫困率可能高估了65岁及以上老年人的贫困率,误导了福利政策的方向,滥用了政府对老年人的预算。
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引用次数: 0
The COVID-19 Employment Prospects of Women 2019冠状病毒病妇女就业前景
Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3880024
Gohar Sedrakyan
In this commentary we are using raw statistical data to tell the story of how the COVID-19 pandemic impacted employment prospects of women in the United States. However, this is not a story focusing on healthcare, but is more about the extrinsic principles and market forces that impact employment and livelihood.
在这篇评论中,我们使用原始统计数据来讲述COVID-19大流行如何影响美国妇女的就业前景。然而,这并不是一个关于医疗保健的故事,更多的是关于影响就业和生计的外在原则和市场力量。
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引用次数: 0
Earnings Dynamics and Its Intergenerational Transmission: Evidence from Norway 收入动态及其代际传递:来自挪威的证据
Pub Date : 2021-02-19 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3789289
Elin Halvorsen, Serdar Ozkan, Sergio C. Salgado
Using administrative data, we provide an extensive characterization of labor earnings dynamics in Norway. Some of our findings are as follows: (i) Norway has not been immune to the increase in top earnings inequality seen in other countries, (ii) the earnings distribution compresses in the bottom 90% over the life cycle but expands in the top 10%, and (iii) the earnings growth distribution is left‐skewed and leptokurtic, and the extent of these nonnormalities varies with age and past income. Linking individuals to their parents, we also investigate the intergenerational transmission of income dynamics. We find that children of high‐income, high‐wealth fathers enjoy steeper income growth over the life cycle and face more volatile but more positively skewed income changes, suggesting that they are more likely to pursue high‐return, high‐risk careers. Income growth for children of poorer fathers is more gradual and more left skewed, displaying higher left tail risk. Furthermore, the income dynamics of fathers and children are strongly correlated: children of fathers with steeper life‐cycle income growth, more volatile incomes, or higher downside risk also have income streams of similar properties. These findings shed new light on the determinants of intergenerational mobility.
使用行政数据,我们提供了一个广泛的表征劳动收入动态在挪威。我们的一些发现如下:(i)挪威并没有免受其他国家收入不平等加剧的影响,(ii)在整个生命周期中,收入分布在底部90%的人群中压缩,但在顶部10%的人群中扩大,(iii)收入增长分布偏左且呈细峰状,这些异常的程度随年龄和过去的收入而变化。将个人与其父母联系起来,我们还研究了收入动态的代际传递。我们发现,高收入、高财富父亲的孩子在整个生命周期中收入增长更快,并且面临更不稳定但更积极的收入变化,这表明他们更有可能追求高回报、高风险的职业。较贫穷父亲的子女的收入增长更为缓慢,也更偏左,显示出更高的左尾部风险。此外,父亲和孩子的收入动态是密切相关的:父亲生命周期收入增长更快、收入波动更大或下行风险更高的孩子也有类似属性的收入流。这些发现揭示了代际流动的决定因素。
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引用次数: 8
期刊
Labor: Demographics & Economics of the Family eJournal
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