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Implicit carbon prices 隐含碳价格
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-03-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102950
Elisa Belfiori , Armon Rezai

Climate and fiscal policy interact closely. The former imposes explicit prices for carbon emissions, while the latter affects emissions implicitly. We study the correspondence between explicit and implicit carbon pricing of a Ramsey-optimal fiscal policy in a neoclassical growth model of climate change. Our central result is that any arbitrary sequence of explicit carbon prices can be achieved implicitly through a blend of conventional taxes (e.g., consumption, energy, and income taxes), when lump-sum transfers are available. In a Ramsey setting, policy balances these taxes’ traditional revenue-raising role with the Pigouvian role of fixing the climate externality. We characterize the Ramsey and Pigouvian components of optimal tax rates. We show that explicit carbon pricing is implicitly implementable through a mix of conventional taxes also in this framework. We extend these findings to scenarios compatible with net-zero emissions, adding carbon capture technologies and a cap on cumulative emissions.

气候政策与财政政策密切互动。前者对碳排放实行显性价格,而后者则对排放产生隐性影响。我们研究了气候变化新古典增长模型中拉姆齐最优财政政策的显性和隐性碳定价之间的对应关系。我们的核心结果是,当一次性转移支付可用时,任何任意序列的显性碳价格都可以通过传统税收(如消费税、能源税和所得税)的混合来隐性实现。在拉姆齐环境下,政策可以平衡这些税收的传统增收作用和固定气候外部性的 Pigouvian 作用。我们描述了最优税率的拉姆齐和皮格维成分。我们表明,在这一框架下,显性碳定价也可以通过传统税收的组合来隐性实施。我们将这些发现扩展到与净零排放兼容的情景,增加了碳捕获技术和累积排放上限。
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引用次数: 0
Gender composition of children and sanitation behavior in India 印度儿童的性别构成和卫生行为
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-03-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102962
Deepak Saraswat

Open defecation has been linked to various environmental and public health issues and has gained significant policy attention. Investing in better sanitation has also been advocated to provide women with privacy and protection from harassment. Nonetheless, previous research has shown that because of son-biased preferences, households in India underinvest in outcomes for their female children. Linking the gender composition of children to the sanitation behavior in Indian households, I find that households increase toilet ownership in the presence of female children by 5% in urban and 2.5% in rural areas, respectively. These results are robust to various empirical specifications, falsification tests, and bounding analysis to test for omitted-variable bias. Various heterogeneity analyses suggest that the decline in open defecation in response to having a female child is driven by households living in regions with a higher prevalence gender-based harassment and weaker law and order. These findings provide new evidence that differences in the gender composition of households create differential incentives to adopt toilets, which can be harnessed to reduce open defecation in India.

露天排便与各种环境和公共卫生问题有关,已经引起了政策上的高度重视。人们还提倡投资改善卫生条件,为妇女提供隐私和免受骚扰的保护。然而,以往的研究表明,由于偏好男孩,印度家庭对其女性子女的投资不足。将儿童的性别构成与印度家庭的卫生行为联系起来,我发现,在有女性儿童的情况下,城市家庭和农村家庭的厕所拥有率分别提高了 5%和 2.5%。这些结果在不同的经验规格、证伪检验以及检验遗漏变量偏差的边界分析中都是稳健的。各种异质性分析表明,生活在性别骚扰发生率较高、治安较差地区的家庭会因为有了一个女婴而减少随地大小便的现象。这些研究结果提供了新的证据,表明家庭性别构成的差异会对采用厕所产生不同的激励作用,可以利用这种激励作用来减少印度的露天排便现象。
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引用次数: 0
Ocean salinity, early-life health, and adaptation 海洋盐度、生命早期健康和适应性
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102954
Amanda Guimbeau , Xinde James Ji , Zi Long , Nidhiya Menon

We study the effects of in utero exposure to climate change induced high ocean salinity levels on children's anthropometric outcomes. Leveraging six geo-referenced waves of the Bangladesh Demographic and Health Surveys merged with gridded data on ocean salinity, ocean chemistry and weather indicators (temperature, rainfall and humidity) from 1993 to 2018, we find that a one standard deviation increase in in utero salinity exposure leads to a 0.11 standard deviation decline in height-for-age. Effects on weight-for-height and weight-for-age for a similar magnitude increase in salinity are 0.13 and 0.15 standard deviations, respectively. Analyses of parental investments and health-seeking behaviors demonstrate that compensating actions along these dimensions to attenuate the detrimental effects of salinity are few and restricted to poorer households. Using satellite-sourced datasets on agriculture and land-use, we find that increasing salinity constrains farmers' land use choices, restricting cultivation in the more profitable seasons which leads to lower agricultural potential. In particular, the effects of salinity on child health originate in areas with lower agricultural intensity caused by the progressive salinization of productive lands. These results highlight the climate change related costs of environmental insults on early-life health outcomes in vulnerable populations.

我们研究了暴露于气候变化引起的高海洋盐度对儿童人体测量结果的影响。利用 1993 年至 2018 年孟加拉国人口与健康调查的六次地理参照波,并结合海洋盐度、海洋化学和天气指标(温度、降雨量和湿度)的网格数据,我们发现,子宫内盐度增加一个标准差会导致身高-年龄下降 0.11 个标准差。盐度增加类似幅度对身高体重和年龄体重的影响分别为 0.13 和 0.15 个标准差。对父母投资和寻求健康行为的分析表明,在这些方面采取补偿行动以减轻盐度的不利影响的情况很少,而且仅限于贫困家庭。利用卫星来源的农业和土地利用数据集,我们发现盐度的增加限制了农民对土地利用的选择,限制了在利润较高的季节耕种,从而导致农业潜力降低。特别是,盐碱化对儿童健康的影响源自农业生产强度较低的地区,原因是生产用地逐渐盐碱化。这些结果凸显了与气候变化相关的环境污染对弱势人群生命早期健康结果造成的代价。
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引用次数: 0
On the perils of environmentally friendly alternatives 环保型替代品的危害
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102967
Francisco Alpizar , Fredrik Carlsson , Gracia Lanza

Environmentally friendly alternatives (EFA) are touted as a key component of a transition towards lowering the impact of human activity on the environment. Still, the environmental costs of these technologies are seldom null; they are simply less environmentally damaging than existing options. In this paper, we investigate consumer behavior when an EFA is introduced. Using a carefully constructed field experimental design, we look at plastic bags vis-a-vis biodegradable (bio) bags, when the latter are offered for free versus at a price. Moreover, we explore offering costly biodegradable bags as part of the default choice. We find that giving away the bio bags for free results in a large behavioral rebound effect, resulting in a substantial increase in the total number of bags. Setting a small, rather symbolic price offsets this rebound effect completely. Interestingly, when the bio bag is offered as a default, the behavioral rebound remains. Our results lead us to conclude against providing these EFA for free and to caution against the use of subsidies to promote their uptake.

环境友好替代品(EFA)被吹捧为向降低人类活动对环境的影响过渡的关键组成部分。然而,这些技术的环境成本很少是零,它们只是比现有技术对环境的破坏更小而已。在本文中,我们将研究消费者在引入 EFA 时的行为。通过精心设计的现场实验,我们研究了塑料袋与生物降解袋的区别,即后者是免费提供还是有偿提供。此外,我们还探讨了将成本高昂的生物降解袋作为默认选择的一部分。我们发现,免费赠送生物袋会产生巨大的行为反弹效应,导致袋子总数大幅增加。而设定一个象征性的小价格则可以完全抵消这种反弹效应。有趣的是,当提供生物袋作为默认设置时,行为反弹依然存在。我们的研究结果使我们得出结论,反对免费提供这些电子食品添加剂,并告诫人们不要使用补贴来促进对它们的吸收。
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引用次数: 0
Love of variety and the welfare effects of trade in renewable resources 爱的多样性与可再生资源贸易的福利效应
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102968
Isha Dube, Martin Quaas

We analyze welfare effects of trade in renewable resources, which is induced by consumer love of variety in resource consumption. We model two countries, one being relatively wealthy in labor and capital, the other one being relatively resource abundant. For open-access resources, we show that trade freeness benefits the country that is wealthy in labor and capital, as it improves access to a larger variety of resources, especially to those of the resource-abundant country. The resource-abundant country also benefits from improved access to variety, but due to the increased resource demand and resulting overuse, this country’s welfare may depend on trade freeness in a non-monotonic fashion. We derive conditions such that welfare first decreases and then increases when trade freeness varies from autarky to costless trade. In direct comparison, autarky may generate higher welfare than costless trade only under restrictive conditions, in particular if endowments are very asymmetric and if the love of variety effect is weak. We also consider resource harvesting under private property rights and show that only for a sufficiently low discount rate the welfare increase from trade freeness in the resource-abundant country is sustainable.

我们分析了可再生资源贸易对福利的影响,这种影响是由消费者对资源消费多样性的喜爱引起的。我们考虑了两个国家,一个是劳动力和资本相对富裕的国家,另一个是资源相对丰富的国家。对于开放获取的资源,我们的研究表明,贸易自由化有利于劳动力和资本富裕的国家,因为它改善了对更多种类资源的获取,尤其是对资源丰富国家的资源。资源丰富的国家也会因获得更多种类的资源而受益,但由于资源需求的增加以及由此导致的过度使用,该国的福利可能会以非单调的方式取决于贸易自由度。我们得出的条件是,当贸易自由度从自给自足变为无成本贸易时,福利先减少后增加。直接比较来看,只有在限制性条件下,特别是在收入非常不对称和对品种的喜爱效应很弱的情况下,自给自足可能比无成本贸易产生更高的福利。我们还考虑了私有产权下的资源采伐问题,结果表明,只有在贴现率足够低的情况下,资源丰富国家的自由贸易所带来的福利增长才是可持续的。
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引用次数: 0
International environmental agreements when countries behave morally 当各国的行为符合道德规范时,达成国际环境协议
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-03-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102955
Thomas Eichner , Rüdiger Pethig

In the game-theoretical literature on forming international environmental agreements (IEAs) countries use to be self-interested materialists and stable coalitions are small. This paper analyzes IEA games with identical countries that exhibit Kantian moral behavior. Kantians are concerned with doing the right thing which means that they take those actions and only those actions that they advocate all others take as well. Countries may behave morally with respect to both emissions (reduction) and membership in an IEA. If countries are emissions Kantians or membership Kantians the equilibrium of the IEA games is socially optimal. To model more realistic Kantian behavior, we define an emissions [membership] moralist as a country whose welfare is a weighted average of the welfare of an emissions [membership] Kantian and a materialist. The game with emissions moralists produces stable coalitions not larger than those in the standard game with materialists. The game with membership moralists yields stable coalitions that are increasing in the membership morality. The aggregate emissions decline if the degree of morality of either type of moralists increases. Finally, we characterize the equilibrium of an IEA game with moderate moralists with respect to both emissions and membership.

在有关形成国际环境协定(IEAs)的博弈理论文献中,各国都是自利的唯物主义者,稳定的联盟规模很小。本文分析了表现出康德式道德行为的相同国家的 IEA 博弈。康德主义者关注的是做正确的事,这意味着他们会采取而且只采取他们主张所有其他人也会采取的行动。各国在排放(减排)和加入国际能源机构方面都可能表现出道德行为。如果各国都是排放康德主义者或成员康德主义者,那么国际能源机构博弈的均衡就是社会最优的。为了模拟更现实的康德行为,我们将排放[成员]道德主义者定义为一个国家,其福利是排放[成员]康德主义者和唯物主义者福利的加权平均值。排放道德主义者博弈产生的稳定联盟并不比唯物主义者标准博弈中的联盟大。成员道德主义者博弈产生的稳定联盟随着成员道德的增加而增加。如果任何一种道德主义者的道德程度增加,总排放量就会下降。最后,我们描述了具有温和道德主义者的 IEA 博弈在排放和成员方面的均衡。
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引用次数: 0
Pollution and learning: Causal evidence from Obama’s Iran sanctions 污染与学习:奥巴马制裁伊朗的因果证据
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-03-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102965
Anthony Heyes , Soodeh Saberian

We provide evidence of a substantial impact of pollution in the vicinity of a school on student learning using standardized test results from the universe of Tehran junior schools. The 2010 US sanctions prevented the sale of refined petroleum products to Iran. Causal identification exploits that the impact of sanctions on air quality in the vicinity of schools in the city varied according to the proximity of each school to roads. Relative academic performance dropped at more road-exposed (variously-measured) schools. Roads upwind appear to have four times the impact compared to those downwind, aligning with the prevailing wind direction which blows 80% of the time from the west, a finding that also provides compelling evidence against alternative interpretations.

我们利用德黑兰所有初中的标准化测试结果,提供了学校附近的污染对学生学习产生重大影响的证据。因果关系识别利用了 2010 年美国制裁阻止向伊朗出售精炼石油产品这一事实,这对该市各学校的空气质量产生了不同影响,具体取决于各学校与道路网络的位置。受道路影响较大的学校(各种测量值)的空气质量相对较差。与 80% 的时间从西面吹来的盛行风向一致,上风向道路的影响似乎是下风向道路的四倍。
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引用次数: 0
Early warning systems, mobile technology, and cholera aversion: Evidence from rural Bangladesh 预警系统、移动技术和霍乱厌恶症:孟加拉国农村的证据
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-03-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102966
Emily L. Pakhtigian , Sonia Aziz , Kevin J. Boyle , Ali S. Akanda , S.M.A. Hanifi

In Bangladesh, cholera poses a significant environmental health risk. Yet, information about the severity of cholera risk is limited as risk varies over time and changing weather patterns make historical cholera risk predictions less reliable. In this paper, we examine how households use geographically and temporally personalized cholera risk predictions to inform their beliefs and behaviors related to cholera and its aversion. We estimate how access to a smartphone application containing monthly cholera risk predictions unique to a user’s home location affects households’ beliefs about their cholera risk and their water use and hygiene behaviors. We find that households with access to this application feel more equipped to respond to environmental and health risks and reduce their reliance on surface water for bathing and washing – a common cholera transmission pathway. We do not find that households invest additional resources into drinking water treatment, nor do we find reductions in self-reported cholera incidence. Further, households with a static, non-personalized app containing public health information about cholera exhibit similar patterns of beliefs updating. Taken together, our results suggest that access to risk information can help households make safer water choices, yet improving design and credibility remain important dimensions for increasing application usability.

在孟加拉国,霍乱对环境健康构成重大风险。然而,有关霍乱风险严重程度的信息却很有限,因为霍乱风险会随着时间的推移而变化,而且不断变化的天气模式也使历史霍乱风险预测变得不那么可靠。在本文中,我们研究了家庭如何利用地理上和时间上的个性化霍乱风险预测来指导他们与霍乱和霍乱厌恶相关的信念和行为。我们估算了访问包含用户家庭所在地独有的每月霍乱风险预测的智能手机应用程序如何影响家庭对其霍乱风险的信念以及他们的用水和卫生行为。我们发现,使用该应用程序的家庭更有能力应对环境和健康风险,并减少对地表水的依赖,因为地表水是霍乱的常见传播途径。我们没有发现家庭在饮用水处理方面投入了额外的资源,也没有发现霍乱发病率的自我报告有所下降。此外,使用包含霍乱公共卫生信息的静态、非个性化应用程序的家庭也表现出类似的信念更新模式。综上所述,我们的研究结果表明,获取动态风险信息可以帮助家庭做出更安全的用水选择,但改进设计和提高可信度仍是提高应用程序可用性的重要方面。
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引用次数: 0
Taxes versus quantities reassessed 重新评估税收与数量
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-02-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102951
Larry Karp , Christian Traeger

The ongoing debate concerning the ranking of taxes versus cap and trade for climate policy begins with Weitzman’s (1974) seminal slope-based criterion and concludes that taxes likely dominate quotas. We challenge this conclusion and the intuition behind it. Because technology shocks and pollution stocks are both persistent, a technology shock alters the intercepts of both the marginal damage and abatement cost curves. The ratio of these two intercept shifts is as important as the ratio of slopes in ranking policies. Technology innovations diffuse gradually, strengthening the importance of the ratio of intercept shifts. For plausible parameter combinations, quotas can dominate taxes.

关于气候政策中税收与上限和交易的排序问题,目前的争论始于 Weitzman(1974 年)的开创性斜坡标准,其结论是税收可能优先于配额。我们对这一结论及其背后的直觉提出了质疑。由于技术冲击和污染存量都是持续存在的,因此技术冲击会改变边际损害曲线和减排成本曲线的截距。这两种截距移动的比率与斜率比率一样,对政策排序具有重要意义。技术创新会逐渐扩散,从而加强了截距移动比率的重要性。在参数组合合理的情况下,配额可能会优先于税收。
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引用次数: 0
Beyond the annual averages: Impact of seasonal temperature on employment growth in US counties 超越年平均值:季节性气温对美国各县就业增长的影响
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-02-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102946
Ha Minh Nguyen

Using quarterly temperature and employment data between 1990 and 2021, this paper uncovers nuanced evidence on the impact of seasonal temperature within US counties: higher winter temperature increases private sector employment growth while higher summer temperature decreases it. The impacts of higher temperature in milder seasons, fall and spring, are statistically insignificant. Moreover, the negative impact of higher summer temperature persists while the positive impact of higher temperature in the winter is more short-lived. The negative effects of a hotter summer are pervasive and persistent in many sectors: most significantly in “Construction” and “Leisure and Hospitality” but also in “Trade, Transport, and Utilities” and “Financial Activities”. In contrast, the positive effects of a warmer winter are less pervasive. The employment effect of a hotter summer has been more severe in recent decades.

本文利用 1990 年至 2021 年期间的季度气温和就业数据,发现了美国各县季节性气温影响的细微证据:冬季气温升高会增加私营部门的就业增长,而夏季气温升高则会减少就业增长。气温较高对秋季和春季等温和季节的影响在统计上并不显著。此外,夏季气温升高的负面影响持续存在,而冬季气温升高的正面影响则较为短暂。夏季气温升高的负面影响在许多行业都普遍存在且持续存在:"建筑业 "和 "休闲与酒店业 "最为显著,"贸易、运输与公用事业 "和 "金融活动 "也是如此。相比之下,冬季变暖的积极影响则不那么普遍。近几十年来,炎热夏季对就业的影响更为严重。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Environmental Economics and Management
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