Journal of Environmental Economics and Management最新文献

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Resource windfalls, connectivity, and political polarization 资源横财、互联互通和政治两极分化

IF 5.5 3区经济学 Q1 BUSINESS

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management

Pub Date : 2025-05-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2025.103164

Lotem Ikan , David Lagziel , Ohad Raveh

Can natural resource windfalls polarize political opinions? We find that, in societies with heightened political engagement (connectivity), the answer is in the affirmative. Resource windfalls spark public debates over their usage. A model of contest over public opinion predicts that under high societal connectivity resource-induced public debates lead to elevated polarization by allowing extremists unbridled control over the discourse. Employing detailed individual-level U.S. data on political opinions covering several decades, we first confirm that active participation in the political discourse is associated with more extreme (polarized) opinions. Second, we test the model’s predictions by examining the impact of plausibly exogenous variations in states’ connectivity levels and resource windfalls on individuals’ political opinions. Our baseline estimates show that a one standard deviation of resource windfalls induces a 4% increase in the affective polarization of individuals residing in high connectivity states. Our results shed light on hitherto overlooked adverse effects of natural resource abundance, as well as on the dynamics of political polarization.

自然资源带来的意外之财会使政治观点两极分化吗？我们发现，在政治参与度（连通性）较高的社会中，答案是肯定的。意外之财引发了公众对其使用的争论。一个民意竞争模型预测，在高度社会连通性下，资源引发的公共辩论允许极端分子肆无忌惮地控制话语，从而导致两极分化加剧。利用美国几十年来关于政治观点的详细个人数据，我们首先证实，积极参与政治话语与更极端（两极分化）的观点有关。其次，我们通过检验各州连通性水平和资源意外之财的貌似外生变化对个人政治观点的影响来检验模型的预测。我们的基线估计表明，资源意外之财的一个标准差导致居住在高连通性状态的个人的情感两极分化增加4%。我们的研究结果揭示了迄今为止被忽视的自然资源丰富的不利影响，以及政治两极分化的动态。

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引用次数: 0

Air pollution and the housing market: Evidence from Germany’s Low Emission Zones 空气污染与房地产市场：来自德国低排放区的证据

IF 5.5 3区经济学 Q1 BUSINESS

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management

Pub Date : 2025-05-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2025.103161

Henri Gruhl , Nicolas Volkhausen , Nico Pestel , Nils aus dem Moore

This paper studies whether air quality improvements from driving restrictions are valued in the housing market, using comprehensive data on real estate prices in Germany. For identification, we exploit the staggered introduction of Low Emission Zones (LEZs) across German cities, restricting inner-city access for emission-intensive vehicles. We find that air quality improvements are reflected by roughly 2 percent higher apartment rents. The results are primarily driven by earlier LEZ implementations in areas with relatively higher pre-intervention pollution levels and in areas less dependent on cars. Our findings have important implications for planned changes to the emission intensity of the vehicle fleet, underscoring the potential implications of transitioning to cleaner transportation systems.

本文利用德国房地产价格的综合数据，研究了限制驾驶带来的空气质量改善是否在房地产市场中受到重视。为了识别，我们利用德国城市交错引入的低排放区（LEZs），限制排放密集型车辆进入市中心。我们发现，空气质量的改善反映在大约2%的公寓租金上涨上。这一结果主要是由于在干预前污染水平相对较高的地区和对汽车依赖程度较低的地区较早实施低排放区所推动的。我们的研究结果对有计划地改变车队的排放强度具有重要意义，强调了向更清洁的运输系统过渡的潜在影响。

引用次数: 0

The path to net zero emissions 净零排放之路

IF 5.5 3区经济学 Q1 BUSINESS

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management

Pub Date : 2025-05-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2025.103177

Michael Olaf Hoel

To reach the goals of the Paris agreement, net carbon emissions must be reduced to zero by the second half of this century. To achieve this, some kind of carbon dioxide removal (CDR) is needed. The paper gives an analysis of the interaction between extraction of fossil energy resources and CDR. If there is sufficient capacity for storing captured carbon, it will be optimal to have a period of negative net emissions. In this case cumulative extraction will not depend on climate costs, but will be higher the lower is the cost of CDR at low levels of CDR.

为了实现《巴黎协定》的目标，到本世纪下半叶，净碳排放量必须减少到零。为了实现这一目标，需要某种二氧化碳去除（CDR）。本文分析了化石能源开采与CDR之间的相互作用。如果有足够的能力来储存捕获的碳，那么最好有一段时间的净排放量为负。在这种情况下，累积提取量将不取决于气候成本，但在低碳排放水平下，碳排放成本越低，累积提取量就越高。

引用次数: 0

From Low Emission Zone to academic track: Environmental policy effects on educational achievement in elementary school

IF 5.5 3区经济学 Q1 BUSINESS

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management

Pub Date : 2025-05-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2025.103165

Johannes Brehm , Nico Pestel , Sandra Schaffner , Laura Schmitz

Do long-term improvements in air quality influence children’s educational outcomes? This paper investigates the impact of Low Emission Zones (LEZs), which restrict access to designated areas for emission-intensive vehicles, on the educational achievement of elementary school students in Germany. Using school-level data from North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany’s most populous state, we exploit the staggered introduction of LEZs since 2008 with a difference-in-differences approach. LEZ implementations increase transition rates to the academic track in secondary education by approximately one percentage point, or 2.4 percent. We validate this finding using more aggregated district-level data across all of Germany. Our findings imply sizable educational co-benefits of reductions in air pollution.

空气质量的长期改善会影响儿童的教育成果吗？本文调查了低排放区（LEZs）对德国小学生教育成就的影响，该区域限制排放密集型车辆进入指定区域。利用德国人口最多的北莱茵-威斯特伐利亚州的学校层面数据，我们采用差异中的差异方法，利用了自2008年以来错开引入的lez。LEZ的实施将中等教育向学术轨道的转换率提高了大约一个百分点，即2.4%。我们在整个德国使用更多的汇总区级数据来验证这一发现。我们的研究结果表明，减少空气污染对教育有相当大的协同效益。

引用次数: 0

Congestion pricing with electric vehicle exemptions: Car-ownership effects and other behavioral adjustments 免除电动汽车的拥堵收费：汽车拥有量影响和其他行为调整

IF 5.5 3区经济学 Q1 BUSINESS

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management

Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2025.103154

Elisabeth T. Isaksen , Bjørn G. Johansen

Decarbonizing transportation requires a shift from conventional to zero-emission vehicles. We examine whether congestion pricing with electric vehicle (EV) exemptions accelerates this transition by encouraging a shift toward cleaner cars. To identify causal effects, we combine administrative data on car ownership with a triple-differences design that exploits household-level variation in policy exposure across metropolitan areas and work commutes. We find that higher rush hour charges for conventional vehicles significantly increase EV adoption, primarily through replacement rather than fleet expansion. However, responses vary by socioeconomic characteristics, with higher-income and well-educated households more likely to adopt EVs. Beyond car ownership, we document behavioral adjustments, including relocation to avoid tolls, re-routing around the cordon, and shifting travel timing. Overall, congestion pricing reduced traffic volumes and improved air quality. Our findings offer insights for designing equitable and effective transportation policies.

交通脱碳需要从传统车辆向零排放车辆转变。我们研究了带有电动汽车（EV）豁免的拥堵定价是否通过鼓励向更清洁的汽车转变而加速了这一转变。为了确定因果效应，我们将汽车拥有量的行政数据与三重差分设计相结合，利用家庭层面在大都市地区和上下班途中的政策风险差异。我们发现，对传统车辆在高峰时段收取更高的费用会显著提高电动汽车的采用率，这主要是通过更换而不是扩大车队来实现的。然而，不同的社会经济特征会产生不同的反应，高收入和受过良好教育的家庭更有可能采用电动汽车。除汽车所有权外，我们还记录了行为调整，包括为避免收费而搬迁、绕过警戒线改变路线以及改变出行时间。总体而言，拥堵费降低了交通流量，改善了空气质量。我们的研究结果为设计公平有效的交通政策提供了启示。

引用次数: 0

The political economy of ratchet effect: Evidence from China’s environmental regulation 棘轮效应的政治经济学：来自中国环境监管的证据

IF 5.5 3区经济学 Q1 BUSINESS

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management

Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2025.103150

Guangyu Cao , Xi Weng , Mingwei Xu , Li-An Zhou

The ratchet effect is a critical component in dynamic incentive designs. This paper exploits China’s recent adoption of minimum performance standards in air pollution controls and variations in the frequency of target assignment, and utilizes Regression Discontinuity Design to estimate the impact of target ratcheting on Chinese local officials’ incentives to reduce air pollution. We find strong evidence that (i) when local officials fail the minimum targets and try to make up for the failure to avoid severe punishment, the prospect of being ratcheted would weaken the make-up efforts, and (ii) air quality will significantly deteriorate after local officials fulfill the minimum targets ahead of schedule, regardless of whether local officials face the prospect of target ratcheting. We further discover that job rotation and the existence of comparable peers could effectively mitigate the ratchet effect.

棘轮效应是动态激励设计中的一个重要组成部分。本文利用中国最近在空气污染控制中采用的最低绩效标准和目标分配频率的变化，并利用回归不连续设计来估计目标棘齿对中国地方官员减少空气污染激励的影响。我们发现强有力的证据表明：(i)当地方官员未能达到最低目标并试图弥补失败以避免严厉惩罚时，被棘轮化的前景会削弱弥补努力；（ii）无论地方官员是否面临目标棘轮化的前景，地方官员提前完成最低目标后，空气质量都会显著恶化。我们进一步发现，工作轮换和具有可比性的同伴的存在可以有效地缓解棘轮效应。

引用次数: 0

What drives the long-term relationship between economic development and environmental quality? The role of spatial dispersion vs. agglomeration 是什么推动了经济发展与环境质量之间的长期关系？空间分散与集聚的作用

IF 5.5 3区经济学 Q1 BUSINESS

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management

Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2025.103126

JunJie Wu , Kathleen Segerson , Christian Langpap

The dramatic improvement in air quality in major Chinese cities in recent years has led to renewed interest in the question of whether economic development allows a country to “grow” out of its environmental problems. We shed new light on this question by identifying a new factor that can drive the long-term relationship between economic development and environmental quality, namely, a spatial effect that arises from a tradeoff between environmental quality and agglomeration economies. We show theoretically that this spatial effect can lead to an inverted U-shaped relationship between income and pollution, i.e., an environmental Kuznets curve. In addition, we decompose changes in US air pollution concentrations from 1990 to 2017 to allow for a possible spatial effect. Results point to the potential importance of a spatial effect in explaining the reductions in carbon monoxide (CO) concentrations. However, little of the change in sulfur dioxide (SO₂) concentrations in the US can be attributed to a potential spatial effect.

近年来，中国主要城市空气质量的显著改善，重新引发了人们对经济发展能否让一个国家“成长”出环境问题的兴趣。我们发现了一个能够推动经济发展与环境质量之间长期关系的新因素，即环境质量与集聚经济之间的权衡所产生的空间效应，从而为这个问题提供了新的视角。我们从理论上证明，这种空间效应可以导致收入与污染之间的倒u型关系，即环境库兹涅茨曲线。此外，我们分解了1990年至2017年美国空气污染浓度的变化，以考虑可能的空间效应。结果指出了空间效应在解释一氧化碳（CO）浓度降低方面的潜在重要性。然而，美国二氧化硫（SO2）浓度的变化很少可以归因于潜在的空间效应。

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引用次数: 0

Die hard: Exploring the characteristics of resource users who persist in the tragedy of the commons 死而不僵：探索公地悲剧中坚持使用资源者的特征

IF 5.5 3区经济学 Q1 BUSINESS

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management

Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2025.103160

Carina Cavalcanti , Andreas Leibbrandt

This field study investigates the characteristics and preferences of artisanal fishers who continue their profession in a lake afflicted by overfishing. We relate their economic preferences, fishing data, social networks, and socio-demographic information to their decision to either persist or discontinue fishing 4 and 15 years later. Our findings reveal that an increasing portion of fishers have chosen to cease fishing over time. We observe that the fisher's risk preference is an important factor for persistence: More risk-averse fishers are more likely to endure in their fishing endeavors. We also find evidence that better socially integrated, older, and less educated individuals are more persistent. In contrast, we do not observe any notable relationships between persistence and the individual extent of overfishing or social preferences. These insights offer valuable novel knowledge regarding the evolving dynamics of resource user groups. By understanding these factors, policymakers and managers can optimize their approach to designing effective management practices and policies.

这项实地研究调查了在受过度捕捞影响的湖泊中继续从事捕捞业的个体渔民的特征和偏好。我们将他们的经济偏好、捕鱼数据、社会网络和社会人口信息与他们在 4 年和 15 年后继续捕鱼或停止捕鱼的决定联系起来。我们的研究结果表明，随着时间的推移，越来越多的渔民选择停止捕鱼。我们观察到，渔民的风险偏好是影响坚持捕鱼的一个重要因素：风险偏好较高的渔民更有可能坚持捕鱼。我们还发现，社会融合度较高、年龄较大和受教育程度较低的个体更具有持久性。相比之下，我们没有观察到持久性与个人过度捕捞程度或社会偏好之间有任何明显的关系。这些见解为我们提供了有关资源使用者群体动态演变的宝贵新知识。通过了解这些因素，政策制定者和管理者可以优化他们的方法，设计有效的管理实践和政策。

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引用次数: 0

Air pollution and children’s health inequalities 空气污染与儿童健康不平等

IF 5.5 3区经济学 Q1 BUSINESS

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management

Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2025.103149

Milena Suarez Castillo , David Benatia , Christine Le Thi

This paper examines the differential impacts of early childhood exposure to air pollution on children’s health care use across parental income groups and vulnerability factors using French administrative data. Our quasi-experimental study reveals significant impacts on emergency admissions and respiratory medication in young children, attributed to air pollution shocks. Using causal machine learning, we identify these health impacts as predominantly affecting 10% of infants, characterized by poor health indicators at birth and lower parental income. Our results indicate that targeted policies based on vulnerability metrics may be more effective than those based solely on exposure levels.

本文利用法国的行政数据，研究了儿童早期暴露于空气污染对不同父母收入群体和脆弱性因素的儿童医疗保健使用的不同影响。我们的准实验研究揭示了空气污染冲击对幼儿急诊入院和呼吸系统药物治疗的显著影响。使用因果机器学习，我们确定这些健康影响主要影响10%的婴儿，其特征是出生时健康指标不佳和父母收入较低。我们的研究结果表明，基于漏洞度量的有针对性的策略可能比仅基于暴露水平的策略更有效。

引用次数: 0

Order! the border: Multitasking, air pollution regulation and local government responses 订单!边界：多任务、空气污染管制和地方政府的反应

IF 5.5 3区经济学 Q1 BUSINESS

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management

Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2025.103135

Hai Hong , Yongbin Huang

This paper presents new evidence on how multitasking local governments' strategic responses to top-down environmental regulations can induce pollution in border areas. Using the implementation of the Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan in China as a quasi-experiment, we exploit a difference-in-differences model and find that this policy induces the border effect of air pollution. We further reveal a salient window dressing behavior of local governments, which air pollution in border counties reduces significantly as the high-stakes inspection time neared, followed by a dramatic increase soon after the inspection. These results are driven by local government responses to incomprehensive air quality monitor stations installed in non-border counties, and local officials with strong promotion incentives, who exert strict regulations in non-border counties while varied regulations in border counties over time to cater for the multitasking of economic growth and air quality targets.

本文提出了新的证据，说明多任务地方政府对自上而下的环境法规的战略反应如何导致边境地区的污染。以《大气污染防治行动计划》在中国的实施为准实验，利用差分中的差分模型，发现该政策诱导了大气污染的边界效应。我们进一步揭示了地方政府明显的粉饰行为，边境县的空气污染随着高风险检查时间的临近而显著减少，随后在检查后不久急剧增加。这些结果是由地方政府对在非边境县安装的不全面的空气质量监测站的反应，以及具有强烈晋升激励的地方官员推动的，他们在非边境县实行严格的规定，而在边境县随着时间的推移实行不同的规定，以满足经济增长和空气质量目标的多重任务。

引用次数: 0

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Journal of Environmental Economics and Management

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