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The devil in the air: Air pollution and dementia 空气中的魔鬼空气污染与痴呆症
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103020
Meng Sun , Naibao Zhao , Emily Yiying Zheng

We study the causal relationship between air pollution and dementia prevalence. Leveraging the strict air pollution regulations implemented during the 2008 Beijing Olympics and employing a Synthetic Difference-in-Differences (SDID) approach, we find that a 1 μg/m3 decrease in annual PM10 levels corresponds to a 0.82 percentage point reduction in dementia prevalence (equivalent to 2.39% of the mean). Analyses across demographics show a more pronounced impact on vulnerable groups. Moreover, an economic assessment suggests that a 10 μg/m3 reduction in China’s air pollution in 2010 could generate up to 2.36 billion US dollars in benefits due to a lower dementia prevalence. These results highlight the potential public health gains achievable through air pollution regulations.

我们研究了空气污染与痴呆症发病率之间的因果关系。利用 2008 年北京奥运会期间实施的严格空气污染法规,并采用合成差分法(SDID),我们发现 PM10 年浓度每降低 1 μg/m3 相当于痴呆症患病率降低 0.82 个百分点(相当于平均值的 2.39%)。对不同人群的分析表明,这对弱势群体的影响更为明显。此外,一项经济评估表明,由于痴呆症发病率降低,2010 年中国空气污染每立方米降低 10 微克可带来高达 23.6 亿美元的收益。这些结果凸显了通过空气污染法规可实现的潜在公共健康收益。
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引用次数: 0
Can policy packaging help overcome Pigouvian tax aversion? A lab experiment on combining taxes and subsidies 政策组合能否帮助克服皮古夫避税效应?税收与补贴相结合的实验室实验
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103010
Gøril L. Andreassen , Steffen Kallbekken , Knut Einar Rosendahl

Tax aversion makes it politically challenging to introduce Pigouvian taxes. One proposed solution to overcome this resistance is to package policies. Using an online lab experiment, we investigate whether combining a tax and a subsidy is perceived as more acceptable than the tax or the subsidy alone. The purpose of the policies is to reduce demand for a good with a negative externality to the socially optimal level. We find that support for a combination of a tax and a subsidy equals the simple average of support for the two instruments alone. Combining a tax and a subsidy therefore does not reduce tax aversion. We examine potential mechanisms behind the tax aversion. Participants believe they will receive a lower share of the tax revenue when the tax is implemented alone than when it is combined with a subsidy, i.e. the participants in the tax alone group hold more pessimistic beliefs about the tax revenue. We also find that the participants expect the tax to be more effective in reducing demand for the good with a negative externality than both the subsidy alone and the combinations of tax and subsidy. This belief does not, however, translate into support for the tax.

避税心理使得引入皮格夫税在政治上具有挑战性。为克服这一阻力,我们提出的一个解决方案是将政策打包。通过在线实验室实验,我们研究了税收与补贴相结合是否比单独征税或补贴更容易被接受。这些政策的目的是将具有负外部性的商品需求降至社会最优水平。我们发现,对税收和补贴相结合的支持等于对单独两种手段的支持的简单平均值。因此,将税收和补贴结合起来并不会降低避税效应。我们研究了避税背后的潜在机制。参与者认为在单独征税时,他们获得的税收份额将低于结合补贴征税时,即单独征税组的参与者对税收持有更悲观的看法。我们还发现,与单独补贴以及税收与补贴相结合的方式相比,参与者认为税收能更有效地减少对具有负外部性的商品的需求。然而,这种信念并没有转化为对税收的支持。
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引用次数: 0
The Volkswagen emissions scandal: Exploring the role of environmental concern and social norms 大众汽车排放丑闻:探索环境问题和社会规范的作用
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103019
M. Marino , P. Parrotta , D. Sala , G. Valletta

Nearly a decade after the 2015 emissions scandal, Volkswagen has transitioned from marketing deceptive ‘clean engine cars’ to becoming a major player in the electrification of the automotive industry. Yet, the violation of environmental standards during the scandal resulted in excessive pollutant emissions, posing persistent threats to health and the environment. This paper explores how consumers held Volkswagen accountable for these hazards. Our analysis reveals that the decline in Volkswagen’s sales volumes following the scandal was driven by environmentally concerned consumers globally. However, their reaction was short-lived and mainly limited to the models implicated by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Interestingly, we find no evidence of lost sales to competitors. Instead, we document a within-brand or within-group shift in favor of Volkswagen models compliant with environmental regulations. This phenomenon could be one of the contributing factors explaining Volkswagen’s resilience in navigating the fallout from the scandal.

2015 年排放丑闻发生近十年后,大众汽车已从推销欺骗性的 "清洁发动机汽车 "转型为汽车行业电气化的主要参与者。然而,丑闻中违反环保标准的行为导致污染物排放超标,对健康和环境造成了持续威胁。本文探讨了消费者如何追究大众汽车对这些危害的责任。我们的分析表明,丑闻发生后,全球关注环保的消费者推动了大众汽车销量的下降。然而,他们的反应是短暂的,而且主要局限于美国环保署所涉及的车型。有趣的是,我们没有发现竞争对手销售量下降的证据。相反,我们记录了品牌内部或集团内部对符合环保法规的大众车型的青睐。这一现象可能是大众汽车在丑闻余波中保持韧性的原因之一。
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引用次数: 0
Beyond birth: The medium-term health impact of prenatal exposure to air pollution 出生之后:产前接触空气污染对健康的中期影响
IF 5.5 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-05-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103009
Simone Ferro , Alessandro Palma , Chiara Serra , Massimo Stafoggia

We investigate the medium-term health effects of prenatal exposure to moderate air pollution by matching satellite PM10 concentration estimates with longitudinal data on hospitalisations and filled prescriptions for the universe of live births in a large Italian region. We employ exogenous variation in PM10 in a multiple fixed-effects model to show that prenatal exposure to pollution leads to worse birth outcomes and to more hospitalisations and filled prescriptions in the first 10 years of life, especially at the bottom health quantiles. We use these estimates to quantify the monetary cost of prenatal exposure to air pollution.

我们通过将卫星 PM10 浓度估算值与意大利一个大区活产婴儿住院和处方的纵向数据相匹配,研究了产前暴露于中度空气污染对健康的中期影响。我们在一个多重固定效应模型中采用了 PM10 的外生变化,结果表明,产前暴露于污染会导致较差的出生结果,并在出生后的前 10 年中导致更多的住院和处方,尤其是在健康水平最低的量级。我们利用这些估计值来量化产前暴露于空气污染的货币成本。
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引用次数: 0
Urban pollution: A global perspective 城市污染:全球视角
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-05-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103013
Rainald Borck , Philipp Schrauth

We use worldwide gridded satellite data to analyse how population size and density affect urban PM2.5 pollution. We find that more populated and denser grid cells are more exposed to pollution. However, across urban areas, exposure increases with cities’ population size but decreases with density. Moreover, the population effect is driven mostly by population commuting to core cities rather than the core city population itself. We analyse heterogeneity by geography and income levels. A counterfactual simulation shows that PM2.5 exposure could fall by up to 40% if population size were equalized across all cities within countries, but the relocation of population from large to small cities that maximizes welfare would be small.

我们利用全球网格卫星数据分析了人口规模和密度对城市 PM2.5 污染的影响。我们发现,人口越多、密度越大的网格单元受到的污染越严重。然而,在整个城市地区,暴露量随城市人口规模的增加而增加,但随密度的增加而减少。此外,人口效应主要由通往核心城市的人口而非核心城市人口本身驱动。我们分析了地域和收入水平的异质性。反事实模拟显示,如果国家内所有城市的人口规模均等,PM2.5 暴露最多可下降 40%,但能使福利最大化的人口从大城市向小城市迁移的幅度很小。
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引用次数: 0
Centralization of environmental administration and air pollution: Evidence from China 环境管理集中化与空气污染:来自中国的证据
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-05-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103016
Jidong Chen , Xinzheng Shi , Ming-ang Zhang , Sihan Zhang

This paper studies how centralizing environmental administration affects air pollution in China. China launched a reform in 2016 to empower upper-level environmental protection bureaus to administer lower-level bureaus vertically through personnel control. Exploiting a stacked difference-in-differences strategy, we find that the reform significantly reduced air pollution. The effect was stronger in places where pollution was less likely to be affected by spillovers from other provinces, where local governments initially paid less attention to environmental protection, and where there was less economic importance. Further analysis shows that the reform reduced pollution by strengthening the pollution reduction incentives of local environmental officials, increasing the intensity of local environmental inspection, and promoting environmental compliance by polluting firms.

本文研究了环境管理集中化如何影响中国的空气污染。中国于 2016 年启动了一项改革,授权上级环保局通过人事控制对下级环保局进行垂直管理。利用叠加差分策略,我们发现改革显著减少了空气污染。在污染不太可能受到其他省份外溢效应影响、地方政府最初不太重视环境保护以及经济重要性较低的地方,改革效果更为明显。进一步的分析表明,改革通过加强地方环保官员减少污染的积极性、加大地方环保检查力度以及促进污染企业遵守环保规定来减少污染。
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引用次数: 0
Consequences of omitting non-lethal wildlife impacts from stated preference scenarios 在既定偏好情景中忽略非致命性野生动物影响的后果
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-05-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103011
Robert J. Johnston , Tobias Börger , Nick Hanley , Keila Meginnis , Tom Ndebele , Ghamz E. Ali Siyal , Nicola Beaumont , Frans P. de Vries

Stated preference (SP) research on willingness to pay (WTP) for improvements to wildlife populations focuses almost universally on measures related to whether organisms live or die. Preferences for changes in non-lethal harm to wildlife are generally overlooked. To evaluate the consequences, this article develops a theoretical model and corresponding discrete choice experiment (DCE) to evaluate whether and how the omission of information on non-lethal wildlife harm influences WTP estimation, grounded in a case study of marine plastic reductions in the North Atlantic. The theoretical model suggests that when environmental programs have both lethal and non-lethal impacts on wild species, DCEs that omit information on the latter may not produce valid welfare measures. Empirical results show that the omission of this information has multiple impacts on welfare estimates, largely consistent with theoretical predictions. Results suggest that welfare estimates for wildlife improvements can be confounded by the omission of information on non-lethal harm from SP scenarios. Results also demonstrate the hazards of excluding potentially welfare-relevant information from SP scenarios when respondents might assume relationships between omitted information and other material included in the questionnaire.

关于改善野生动物种群的支付意愿(WTP)的陈述偏好(SP)研究几乎普遍关注与生物生存或死亡相关的措施。对野生动物非致命伤害变化的偏好通常被忽视。为了评估其后果,本文建立了一个理论模型和相应的离散选择实验(DCE),以北大西洋海洋塑料减量案例研究为基础,评估忽略野生动物非致命伤害信息是否以及如何影响 WTP 估算。理论模型表明,当环境项目对野生物种既有致命影响又有非致命影响时,省略非致命影响信息的无选择排放试验可能不会产生有效的福利测量结果。实证结果表明,忽略这一信息会对福利估算产生多重影响,这与理论预测基本一致。结果表明,由于在 SP 情景中忽略了非致命伤害的信息,对野生动物改良的福利估算可能会被混淆。结果还表明,当受访者可能认为所遗漏的信息与问卷中的其他材料之间存在关系时,将可能与福利相关的信息排除在SP情景之外会造成危害。
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引用次数: 0
The health benefits of solar power generation: Evidence from Chile 太阳能发电对健康的益处:智利的证据
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-05-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102999
Nathaly M. Rivera , J. Cristobal Ruiz-Tagle , Elisheba Spiller

Renewable energy can yield social benefits through local air quality improvements and their subsequent effects on human health. We estimate some of these benefits using data gathered during the rapid adoption of large-scale solar power generation in Chile over the last decade. Relying on exogenous variation from solar irradiation and incremental solar generation capacity over time, we find that solar energy displaces coal generation and curtails hospital admissions due to respiratory diseases. These effects are largely manifested in cities downwind of and near coal plants that are displaced by the introduction of new solar. The reduction in exposure to air pollution from these displaced coal plants seems to be driving this relationship. Our results help quantify the health benefits that can be achieved through greater renewable energy investments.

可再生能源可通过改善当地空气质量及其对人类健康的影响产生社会效益。我们利用过去十年智利快速采用大规模太阳能发电期间收集的数据,对其中一些效益进行了估算。依靠太阳辐照和太阳能发电能力随时间递增的外生变化,我们发现太阳能取代了煤炭发电,并减少了因呼吸道疾病入院的人数。这些影响主要体现在煤电厂的下风向和附近的城市,这些煤电厂因引入新的太阳能而被取代。这些被取代的煤电厂所造成的空气污染的减少似乎是这一关系的驱动因素。我们的研究结果有助于量化通过增加可再生能源投资所带来的健康益处。
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引用次数: 0
Climate anomalies and international migration: A disaggregated analysis for West Africa 气候异常与国际移民:西非的分类分析
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-05-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102997
Fernanda Martínez Flores , Sveta Milusheva , Arndt R. Reichert , Ann-Kristin Reitmann

Migration is one measure that individuals can take to adjust to the adverse impacts of increasingly extreme weather that can arise from climate change. Using novel geo-referenced high-frequency data, we investigate the impact of soil moisture anomalies on migration within West Africa and towards Europe. We estimate that a standard deviation decrease in soil moisture leads to a 2-percentage point drop in the probability of international migration, equivalent to a 25 percent decrease in the number of international migrants. This effect is concentrated during the months that immediately follow the crop-growing season among areas in the middle of the income distribution. The findings suggest that weather anomalies negatively affect agricultural production, leading to liquidity constraints that prevent people from moving internationally.

迁移是个人为适应气候变化带来的日益极端天气的不利影响而采取的一种措施。利用新颖的地理参照高频数据,我们研究了土壤湿度异常对西非和欧洲移民的影响。我们估计,土壤湿度每减少一个标准差,国际移民的概率就会下降 2 个百分点,相当于国际移民人数减少 25%。这种影响主要集中在紧接着农作物种植季节的几个月中,在收入分布处于中间的地区。研究结果表明,气候异常会对农业生产产生负面影响,导致流动性紧张,从而阻碍人们进行国际迁移。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental regulation and productivity growth in the euro area: Testing the porter hypothesis 欧元区的环境监管和生产力增长:检验波特假说
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-05-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102995
Nicola Benatti , Martin Groiss , Petra Kelly , Paloma Lopez-Garcia

This paper examines the impact of changes in the stringency of environmental regulations on productivity growth. We exploit several data sources, including the OECD Environmental Policy Stringency Index and balance sheet information from ORBIS and iBACH, to test the Porter hypothesis, according to which firms’ productivity can benefit from more stringent environmental policies. We estimate the regulatory impact over a five-year horizon using panel local projections. To identify the direction of the effects, we estimate CO2 equivalent emissions for all firms in our sample using a machine learning algorithm. As suggested by the country-level analysis and confirmed by the firm-level analysis, policy tightening negatively affects productivity growth of high-polluting firms and to a larger extent than that of their low-polluting peers. Hence, we do not find support for the Porter hypothesis in general. However, not all policies have the same impact – non-market based policies are the most detrimental to productivity growth – and not all highly polluting firms are affected in the same way – the negative impact is mitigated for large firms, which may benefit from easier access to finance and greater innovativeness.

本文探讨了环境法规严格程度的变化对生产率增长的影响。我们利用多个数据来源(包括经合组织环境政策严格指数以及 ORBIS 和 iBACH 的资产负债表信息)来检验波特假说,根据波特假说,企业的生产率可从更严格的环境政策中获益。我们利用面板本地预测估算了五年内的监管影响。为了确定影响的方向,我们使用机器学习算法估算了样本中所有企业的二氧化碳排放当量。正如国家层面的分析和企业层面的分析所证实的那样,政策收紧对高污染企业的生产率增长产生了负面影响,且影响程度大于低污染企业。因此,我们没有发现波特假说在总体上得到支持。然而,并非所有政策都会产生同样的影响--非市场政策对生产率增长最为不利--也并非所有高污染企业都会受到同样的影响--大型企业的负面影响会有所缓解,因为它们可能受益于更容易获得资金和更高的创新能力。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Environmental Economics and Management
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