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Information, incentives, and environmental governance: Evidence from China’s ambient air quality standards 信息、激励和环境治理:中国环境空气质量标准的证据
IF 5.5 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-10-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103066
Pei Li , Yi Lu , Lu Peng , Jin Wang
Information and incentives are pillars of political accountability. We examine their effectiveness in achieving governance under China’s new ambient air quality standards. By exploiting the sequential introduction of pollution information disclosure and environmental performance evaluation, we show that transparency alone is insufficient to induce public monitoring or government responsiveness. But when information provision is combined with performance incentives, local bureaucrats take actions to reduce pollution. The findings suggest that in a top-down hierarchy, when superiors receive accurate environmental information and administer rewards or sanctions based on that information, local governments face greater accountability pressure and respond by improving environmental performance.
信息和激励机制是政治问责的支柱。我们研究了它们在中国新环境空气质量标准下的治理效果。通过依次引入污染信息披露和环境绩效评估,我们发现,仅靠透明度不足以引起公众监督或政府响应。但当信息提供与绩效激励相结合时,地方官员就会采取行动减少污染。研究结果表明,在自上而下的等级制度中,当上级领导获得准确的环境信息并根据这些信息实施奖惩时,地方政府就会面临更大的问责压力,并通过改善环境绩效来做出回应。
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引用次数: 0
Too hot to sleep 热得睡不着
IF 5.5 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-09-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103063
Patrick Bigler , Benedikt Janzen
Adequate sleep is important for a variety of economic outcomes. We study the relationship between ambient temperatures and human sleep using daily district-level data on sleep duration collected by nearly half a million individual consumer wearable sensors in Germany from 2020 to 2022. Our results illustrate a nonlinear relationship between temperature and sleep duration. Average sleep duration decreases at high temperatures and is unaffected by low temperatures. For instance, we find a small but statistically significant reduction in average sleep duration of 2.8% (12 min and 8 s) on a tropical night (when daily minimum temperature exceeds 20 °C) compared to a mid-temperature night. We document corresponding changes in physical activity (number of daily steps) and vital signs (resting heart rate) at high minimum temperatures, which could represent potential mechanisms for the link between temperature and sleep.
充足的睡眠对各种经济成果都很重要。我们利用 2020 年至 2022 年期间德国近 50 万个个人消费者可穿戴传感器收集的睡眠时间的每日地区级数据,研究了环境温度与人类睡眠之间的关系。我们的研究结果表明,温度与睡眠时间之间存在非线性关系。平均睡眠时间在高温下会缩短,而在低温下则不受影响。例如,我们发现在热带地区的夜晚(日最低气温超过 20 °C),平均睡眠时间与中温夜晚相比减少了 2.8%(12 分 8 秒),虽然幅度不大,但在统计学上却有显著意义。我们记录了高最低气温下身体活动(每日步数)和生命体征(静息心率)的相应变化,这可能是气温与睡眠之间联系的潜在机制。
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引用次数: 0
Focusing the view: Improved methods for assessing viewshed impacts of onshore wind turbines 聚焦视野:陆上风力涡轮机对景观影响的改进评估方法
IF 5.5 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-09-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103068
Luran Dong , Corey Lang , Jason Parent
Onshore wind turbine capacity continues to grow and will only accelerate, though siting can be challenging given community opposition. We apply the hedonic valuation method with residential property sales data to assess nearby residents’ willingness to pay to avoid having views of turbines from their property. In doing so, we aim to improve methods of assessing viewshed impacts for turbines and other amenities and disamenities that have a visual component. Our recommended viewshed approach uses a Digital Surface Model (DSM), which accounts for trees and buildings that obstruct views. For comparison, we also create viewsheds based on bare-earth Digital Elevation Model (DEM), which has been more typically used other studies. Using data from New England, USA, we use a difference-in-differences identification strategy with treatment defined by the visibility of a wind turbine, while also controlling for proximity-based treatment effects. The results suggest that property values decline by 2.2%–2.5% when a wind turbine is visible, with larger impacts in urban and coastal areas. DEM methods misclassify viewshed for about 75% of properties, when compared to the DSM-based viewshed, and the resulting DEM-based valuation estimates are attenuated.
陆上风力涡轮机发电量持续增长,而且只会加速增长,但由于社区的反对,选址可能具有挑战性。我们将保值估值法与住宅物业销售数据相结合,评估附近居民为避免从其物业看到涡轮机而付费的意愿。这样做的目的是改进涡轮机和其他具有视觉效果的便利设施和不便利设施的景观影响评估方法。我们推荐的视角方法使用数字地表模型 (DSM),该模型考虑了阻碍视线的树木和建筑物。为了进行比较,我们还根据裸地数字高程模型(DEM)创建了景观区,这种方法在其他研究中更为常用。利用美国新英格兰地区的数据,我们采用了差分识别策略,以风力涡轮机的可见度来定义处理,同时还控制了基于邻近性的处理效应。结果表明,当风力涡轮机可见时,房产价值会下降 2.2%-2.5%,对城市和沿海地区的影响更大。与基于 DSM 的视角相比,DEM 方法对约 75% 的房产进行了错误的视角分类,由此得出的基于 DEM 的估价也有所减弱。
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引用次数: 0
Equity weighting increases valuations when using real-world data 使用真实世界数据时,股票加权可提高估值
IF 5.5 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-09-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103067
Austin Burlile, Peter Maniloff
Environmental economists have long debated whether and how to appropriately integrate distributional concerns into cost benefit analysis. Recent White House guidance instructs U.S. government analysts to weight different groups’ costs and benefits according to their incomes. Groups with incomes below the median would have weights above one, while groups with incomes above the median would have weights below one. We explore the impact of this method. We find that the average weight is above one in a policy-relevant setting. In this example, weighting increases the magnitude of monetized costs and benefits. The average weight varies with the unit of analysis and the choice of unit of analysis can change the sign of the net benefits.
长期以来,环境经济学家一直在争论是否以及如何将分配问题恰当地纳入成本效益分析。白宫最近的指导意见指示美国政府分析师根据不同群体的收入情况对其成本和收益进行加权。收入低于中位数的群体的权重将高于 1,而收入高于中位数的群体的权重将低于 1。我们探讨了这种方法的影响。我们发现,在与政策相关的情况下,平均权重高于 1。在这个例子中,权重增加了货币化成本和收益的幅度。平均权重随分析单位的变化而变化,分析单位的选择也会改变净效益的符号。
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引用次数: 0
The cost-efficiency carbon pricing puzzle 碳定价的成本效益之谜
IF 5.5 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-09-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103062
Christian Gollier
Any global temperature target must be translated into an intertemporal carbon budget and its associated cost-efficient carbon price schedule. Under the Hotelling’s rule without uncertainty, the growth rate of this price should be equal to the interest rate. It is therefore a puzzle that many cost-efficiency IAM models yield carbon prices that increase at an average real growth rate above 7% per year, a very large return for traders of carbon assets. I explore whether uncertainties surrounding the development of green technologies could solve this puzzle. I show that future marginal abatement costs and aggregate consumption are positively correlated. This justifies doing less for climate change than in the safe case, implying a smaller initial carbon price, and an expected growth rate of carbon price that is larger than the interest rate. In the benchmark calibration of my model, I obtain an equilibrium interest rate around 1% and an expected growth rate of carbon price around 3.5%, yielding an optimal carbon price above 200 USD/tCO2 within the next few years. I also show that the rigid carbon budget approach to cost-efficiency carbon pricing implies a large uncertainty surrounding the future carbon prices that support this constraint. I show that green investors should be compensated for this risk by a large risk premium embedded in the growth rate of expected carbon prices, rather than by a collar on carbon prices as often recommended.
任何全球气温目标都必须转化为跨时碳预算及其相关的具有成本效益的碳价格表。在没有不确定性的霍特林法则下,该价格的增长率应等于利率。因此,令人费解的是,许多成本效益 IAM 模型得出的碳价格年平均实际增长率超过 7%,这对碳资产交易者来说是一个非常大的回报。我探讨了绿色技术发展的不确定性能否解决这一难题。我的研究表明,未来的边际减排成本与总消费呈正相关。这就证明,与安全情况相比,我们有理由减少对气候变化的投入,这意味着初始碳价格较小,碳价格的预期增长率大于利率。在我的模型的基准校准中,我得到的均衡利率约为 1%,碳价格的预期增长率约为 3.5%,从而在未来几年内得到一个高于 200 美元/吨二氧化碳的最优碳价格。我还表明,成本效益碳定价的刚性碳预算方法意味着支持这一约束的未来碳价格具有很大的不确定性。我的研究表明,绿色投资者应该通过预期碳价格增长率中包含的巨大风险溢价来补偿这种风险,而不是像通常建议的那样通过碳价格的领口来补偿。
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引用次数: 0
Resource dependence, recycling, and trade 资源依赖、循环利用和贸易
IF 5.5 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-09-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103064
Peter H. Egger , Christian Keuschnigg
Recycling waste from used goods can substitute for scarce virgin materials and reduce resource dependence. We present a model of waste collection, recycling, and final goods production using virgin and recycled materials. Environmentally safe disposal of trash (non-recycled waste) requires costly processing by landfill and burning which creates externalities. Trade between resource poor and resource rich countries involves non-trivial interactions between terms of trade effects and distortions in recycling and resource extraction. We analyze welfare improving policy intervention with local trash disposal and with trade in trash.
从废旧商品中回收废物可以替代稀缺的原生材料,减少对资源的依赖。我们提出了一个利用原生材料和回收材料进行废物收集、回收和最终产品生产的模型。垃圾(非回收废物)的环境安全处理需要成本高昂的填埋和焚烧处理,这就产生了外部效应。资源贫乏国家和资源丰富国家之间的贸易涉及贸易条件效应与回收和资源开采扭曲之间的非三角互动。我们分析了对当地垃圾处理和垃圾贸易的福利改善政策干预。
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引用次数: 0
Carbon market design and market sentiment 碳市场设计和市场情绪
IF 5.5 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-09-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103057
Grischa Perino
Concerns about systematic price distortions in the EU Emission Trading System (ETS) have risen in recent years. This paper shows how carbon-market design affects the impact of market sentiment, i.e. systematic deviations of price expectations from fundamentals by at least some market participants, on equilibrium prices. The Market Stability Reserve (MSR) of the EU ETS that adjusts supply based on past allowance banking undermines self-stabilization of the carbon market by discouraging rational intertemporal arbitrage. The MSR increases vulnerability of the EU ETS to market sentiments. Initially, the allowance price responds more to distorted expectations while the MSR (partially) prevents the distortion to spread across periods. Making the MSR more responsive to banking decisions increases the likelihood that distorted expectations turn out to be correct ex post. In contrast, a mechanism that adjust the cap based on the current allowance price does not face a trade off between stabilizing prices in the present and the future.
近年来,人们对欧盟排放交易体系(ETS)中系统性价格扭曲的担忧与日俱增。本文展示了碳市场设计如何影响市场情绪(即至少部分市场参与者的价格预期系统性地偏离基本面)对均衡价格的影响。欧盟排放交易计划的市场稳定储备(MSR)根据过去的配额库调整供应量,阻碍了理性的跨期套利,从而破坏了碳市场的自我稳定。可变储备金增加了欧盟排放交易计划受市场情绪影响的脆弱性。最初,配额价格对扭曲的预期反应更大,而 MSR(部分)防止了扭曲在不同时期的蔓延。使 MSR 更好地响应银行决策,会增加扭曲的预期在事后被证明是正确的可能性。与此相反,根据当前津贴价格调整上限的机制不会在稳定当前和未来价格之间进行权衡。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of extreme temperatures on evictions 极端气温对驱逐的影响
IF 5.5 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-09-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103055
Dylan Brewer, Sarah Goldgar
Using data on evictions in the United States, we estimate the relationship between temperature and eviction filings. We find that extreme heat days result in a statistically significant increase in filings, while extreme cold days do not have the same relationship. To explain these findings, we show that residential energy expenditures are more sensitive to extreme heat than extreme cold, and that energy assistance programs in the United States prioritize funding for heating rather than cooling. These findings suggest that relative to today, future climate change scenarios with more hot days and fewer cold days will increase eviction filings without other policy or private adaptation.
利用美国的驱逐数据,我们估算了气温与驱逐申请之间的关系。我们发现,极端高温天会导致申请驱逐的数量在统计上显著增加,而极端寒冷天则没有这种关系。为了解释这些发现,我们表明住宅能源支出对极端高温比极端寒冷更敏感,而且美国的能源援助计划优先资助供暖而不是制冷。这些研究结果表明,与现在相比,在未来气候变化的情况下,如果没有其他政策或私人适应措施,炎热天数增加而寒冷天数减少将增加驱逐申请。
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引用次数: 0
The more the better? Synergies of prosocial interventions and effects on behavioural spillovers 越多越好?亲社会干预措施的协同作用和对行为溢出效应的影响
IF 5.5 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103061
Marius Alt , Hendrik Bruns , Nives Della Valle
Incentivising prosocial and pro-environmental behaviours is a sensitive endeavour. While behavioural change is urgently needed to mitigate the consequences of climate change, monetary interventions often have negative side effects. Such interventions are prone to motivation crowding, which can impede lasting positive behavioural change and stimulate negative temporal spillovers to other prosocial behaviours. In this study, we investigate whether implementing monetary interventions as part of policy mixes can mitigate these negative side effects. In an online experiment involving 3782 participants, we test whether the use of nudges that make personal and social norms salient can counteract the motivation-crowding effect and explore the effects of such policy mixes on temporal spillovers. We find that policy mixes of norm-based nudges and monetary incentives are more effective at stimulating engagement in targeted prosocial behaviour than no intervention when controlling for sample characteristics. Analysing the temporal spillover effects of these interventions reveals that policy mixes can alleviate the tendency of monetary incentives to negatively affect subsequent prosocial behaviour. This indicates that norm-based nudges are suitable complements to monetary interventions, facilitating long-lasting positive effects.
激励亲社会和亲环境行为是一项敏感的工作。虽然迫切需要改变行为以减轻气候变化的后果,但货币干预往往会产生负面的副作用。此类干预措施容易产生动机挤出效应,从而阻碍持久的积极行为改变,并对其他亲社会行为产生负面的时间溢出效应。在本研究中,我们探讨了作为政策组合的一部分实施货币干预是否可以减轻这些负面影响。在一项有 3782 名参与者参与的在线实验中,我们测试了使用使个人和社会规范突出的激励措施是否能抵消动机-拥挤效应,并探讨了这种政策组合对时间溢出效应的影响。我们发现,在控制样本特征的情况下,基于规范的劝导和货币激励的政策组合在刺激参与目标亲社会行为方面比不采取干预措施更有效。对这些干预措施的时间溢出效应进行分析后发现,政策组合可以缓解货币激励对后续亲社会行为产生负面影响的趋势。这表明,以规范为基础的激励措施是货币干预措施的适当补充,有助于产生持久的积极效果。
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引用次数: 0
Do time-of-use prices deliver energy savings at the right time? 分时价格是否能在正确的时间节约能源?
IF 5.5 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103054
Zheng Fu , Kevin Novan , Aaron Smith
Time-of-use (TOU) electricity prices are increasingly being adopted to reduce consumption during the higher marginal cost afternoon hours. There is ample evidence that TOU rates reduce average consumption during the peak price hours of the day, but it is unknown how these energy savings are distributed across days. Using a unique dataset from households with smart thermostats, we find that adopting TOU rates causes large decreases in peak period AC usage, resulting in energy savings that are concentrated on the hottest, highest demand days when the benefits of conservation are the greatest.
人们越来越多地采用分时电价(TOU)来减少下午边际成本较高时段的用电量。有大量证据表明,TOU 电价降低了一天中电价高峰时段的平均用电量,但这些节省下来的能源是如何在一天中分配的,我们还不得而知。通过使用智能恒温器家庭的独特数据集,我们发现采用 TOU 费率会导致高峰期空调使用量大幅下降,从而使节约的能源集中在最热、需求量最大的日子,而此时节约能源的效益最大。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Environmental Economics and Management
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