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Pipeline incidents and property values 管道事故和财产价值
IF 5.5 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-07-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103041
Nieyan Cheng , Minghao Li , Pengfei Liu , Qianfeng Luo , Chuan Tang , Wendong Zhang

The rapid expansion of pipelines during the U.S. shale oil and gas boom drew attention to the economic consequences of pipeline incidents. This study investigates the impacts of 426 gas distribution pipeline incidents on property values in the United States between 2010 and 2020. We find that only incidents that are both severe (involving explosion, ignition, or fatalities) and occurred on above-ground pipelines, which we define as high-profile incidents, have adverse effects on nearby property values, while other incidents have no measurable housing price effect. A difference-in-differences analysis finds that high-profile incidents significantly decrease property values within 1000 m by 8.2%, and the negative impact can persist for about eight years on average. Furthermore, we find a drop in transaction volume that lasts a short period after the incidents, suggesting an initial demand-side response. In contrast to the strong effects of pipeline incidents, we do not find statistically significant price effects from pipeline installation. We also demonstrate that there is substantial heterogeneity by the type of incident and that results based on studies of individual incidents should be generalized with caution.

在美国页岩油气繁荣时期,管道的迅速扩张引起了人们对管道事故经济后果的关注。本研究调查了 2010 年至 2020 年间美国 426 起输气管道事故对财产价值的影响。我们发现,只有既严重(涉及爆炸、着火或死亡)又发生在地面管道上的事故(我们将其定义为高知名度事故)才会对附近的房产价值产生不利影响,而其他事故对房价没有可衡量的影响。差异分析发现,高调事件会使 1000 米范围内的房产价值大幅下降 8.2%,这种负面影响平均会持续 8 年左右。此外,我们还发现交易量的下降在事件发生后持续了很短的时间,这表明最初的需求方反应。与管道事故的强烈影响形成对比的是,我们没有发现管道安装在统计上有显著的价格影响。我们还证明,不同类型的事故存在很大的异质性,因此基于单个事故的研究结果应谨慎推广。
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引用次数: 0
Social cost of lifestyle adaptation: Air pollution and outdoor physical exercise 适应生活方式的社会成本:空气污染与户外体育锻炼
IF 5.5 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-07-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103042
Yichun Fan

The social cost of environmental hazards depends on the well-being impacts of both exposure and adaptation. While the monetary expenditure of adaptation is increasingly considered, little research assesses the social cost associated with non-market lifestyle adaptation. Based on a longitudinal database of 27 million exercise records of 243,395 Chinese residents, I present evidence that urbanites limit their outdoor physical exercise in response to air pollution. Employing imported pollution from upwind cities as instrumental variable, I estimate that heavy air pollution leads to a 28% reduction in urbanites’ outdoor exercise likelihood. Information plays a crucial role as behavioral moderator: (i) Outdoor exercise rate plummets at the “heavy pollution” threshold and during the issuance of alerts; (ii) Residents in well-educated neighborhoods exhibit more than double the responsiveness to air pollution and alerts due to their greater awareness of pollution-related health risks. I discuss the health costs associated with this adaptation behavior and policy implications.

环境危害的社会成本取决于暴露和适应对福祉的影响。尽管人们越来越多地考虑适应环境的货币支出,但很少有研究评估与适应非市场生活方式相关的社会成本。基于一个包含 243,395 名中国居民 2,700 万条运动记录的纵向数据库,我提出了城市居民因空气污染而限制户外体育锻炼的证据。利用上风城市的输入性污染作为工具变量,我估计严重的空气污染会导致城市居民户外锻炼的可能性降低 28%。作为行为调节因素,信息起着至关重要的作用:(i)在 "重度污染 "阈值和警报发布期间,户外锻炼率急剧下降;(ii)由于受过良好教育的居民对污染相关的健康风险有更高的认识,因此他们对空气污染和警报的反应能力是普通居民的两倍多。我将讨论与这种适应行为相关的健康成本和政策影响。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of environmental regulation on M&As in the manufacturing sector 环境法规对制造业并购的影响
IF 5.5 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103038
Federico Carril-Caccia , Juliette Milgram Baleix

We test the influence of environmental regulation (ER) on the location decision of cross-border Mergers and Acquisitions (M&As) for a large sample of countries, sectors, and years using a structural gravity model. Unlike other studies, our results confirm the pollution haven hypothesis according to which more stringent ER makes countries less attractive to foreign investors planning to invest through M&As, compared with domestic investors. Policies that set quantitative limits on emissions have similar discouraging effects on cross-border investment to taxes on emissions. We find no evidence that the impact could be stronger in dirty sectors than in clean sectors. The impact of ER differs depending on country type according to their level of development, reflecting the fact that investments in developed countries and BRICS respond to different motivations. In emerging countries, lax ER could attract significantly more inward M&As. In developed countries, ER has a less discouraging effect.

我们使用结构引力模型,对大量国家、行业和年份样本进行了环境监管(ER)对跨国并购(M&As)选址决策的影响测试。与其他研究不同的是,我们的研究结果证实了 "污染天堂假说",根据该假说,与国内投资者相比,更严格的环保政策会降低国家对计划通过并购进行投资的外国投资者的吸引力。设定排放数量限制的政策对跨境投资的抑制作用与排放税相似。我们没有发现证据表明对肮脏行业的影响比对清洁行业的影响更大。不同国家的发展水平不同,排放权的影响也不同,这反映了发达国家和金砖国家的投资动机不同。在新兴国家,宽松的企业减排可以吸引更多的外来投资。在发达国家,企业所得税的抑制作用较小。
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引用次数: 0
Wildfire smoke and private provision of public air-quality monitoring 野火烟雾和私人提供的公共空气质量监测
IF 5.5 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-07-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103036
Michael Coury , Liam Falconer , Andrea La Nauze

Governments monitor air quality for regulatory purposes and, more recently, to provide information so individuals can act to lower their exposure to air pollution. Recent developments in low-cost technologies have also led to private adoption of air-quality monitors that produce publicly accessible air-quality readings. We study the adoption of these private air-quality monitors. We find that shocks to air pollution from wildfire result in substantial adoption. We also find that additional private monitors are concentrated in white, wealthy, and politically liberal neighborhoods. In contrast, there is no evidence that pollution shocks lead to higher adoption in neighborhoods with lower pre-existing access to monitors, higher long-run pollution, or those with more vulnerable populations. Private provision increases inequality in the availability of localized air-quality information.

各国政府出于监管目的对空气质量进行监测,最近则是为了提供信息,以便个人能够采取行动降低空气污染暴露程度。最近,低成本技术的发展也促使私人采用空气质量监测仪,向公众提供空气质量读数。我们研究了这些私人空气质量监测器的采用情况。我们发现,野火对空气污染的冲击导致大量采用。我们还发现,新增的私人监测器主要集中在白人、富人和政治自由的社区。与此相反,没有证据表明污染冲击会导致监测器使用率较低的社区、长期污染较严重的社区或弱势群体较多的社区采用更多监测器。私人提供增加了本地化空气质量信息可用性的不平等。
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引用次数: 0
Widening the scope: The direct and spillover effects of nudging water efficiency in the presence of other behavioral interventions 扩大范围:在有其他行为干预措施的情况下,提高用水效率的直接效应和溢出效应
IF 5.5 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103037
J. Bonan , C. Cattaneo , G. d’Adda , A. Galliera , M. Tavoni

Policymakers and firms use behavioral interventions to promote sustainable development in various domains. A correct impact evaluation requires looking beyond the targeted domain and assessing its interactions with similar interventions. Existing evidence in this area is limited, leading to potential misestimation of behavioural interventions and poor guidance on their design. Here, we test the impact of a two-year social information campaign to nudge water conservation through a large-scale randomized controlled trial implemented with a multi-resource company,. We find that the water nudge significantly decreases water and electricity usage, but not that of gas. Spillovers arise for customers who do not receive nudges targeting the other resources. Customers receiving the water report are also significantly less likely to deactivate their gas and electricity contracts, regardless of whether they receive other reports. Our results suggest that multiple nudges strain users’ limited attention and ability to enact conservation efforts. Users’ constraints in attending to multiple stimuli need to be accounted in designing policy interventions to foster sustainable practices.

政策制定者和企业利用行为干预来促进各个领域的可持续发展。正确的影响评估需要超越目标领域,评估其与类似干预措施的相互作用。该领域的现有证据有限,可能导致对行为干预措施的错误估计以及对其设计的不当指导。在此,我们通过与一家多资源公司共同实施的大规模随机对照试验,检验了为期两年的节水劝导社会宣传活动的影响。我们发现,"节水劝导 "大大减少了水和电的使用量,但没有减少天然气的使用量。没有接受其他资源劝导的客户也会受到溢出效应的影响。无论是否收到其他报告,收到用水报告的客户停用燃气和电力合同的可能性也明显降低。我们的研究结果表明,多重提示会使用户有限的注意力和能力受到限制,从而无法开展节约工作。在设计政策干预措施以促进可持续实践时,需要考虑用户在关注多重刺激时受到的限制。
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引用次数: 0
Li and Pizer in the short-run: A comment on discounting 李和皮泽尔的短期:关于贴现的评论
IF 5.5 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103039
Andrew R. Solow , Scott Farrow

Li and Pizer derived upper and lower bounds on the time-dependent social discount rate that both converge in the long run to the consumption rate of interest. They went on to recommend using the consumption rate of interest as the social discount rate for investments relating to climate change for which the bulk of the benefits accrue in the far future. However, the bounds can be quite wide in the short-run, providing little guidance for shorter term discounting. Here, we show that if uncertainty in the social discount rate is encoded in a uniform distribution, then its expected value converges much more rapidly to the consumption rate of interest. The implications of this for project evaluation are more complicated than in the deterministic case considered by Li and Pizer.

Li和Pizer得出了与时间相关的社会贴现率的上限和下限,从长远来看,这两个贴现率都趋同于消费利率。他们进而建议将消费利率作为与气候变化有关的投资的社会贴现率,因为这些投资的大部分收益都是在遥远的未来产生的。然而,短期内的界限可能会很宽,对短期贴现没有什么指导意义。在这里,我们表明,如果将社会贴现率的不确定性编码为均匀分布,那么其预期值会更快地趋同于相关消费率。这对项目评估的影响比 Li 和 Pizer 所考虑的确定性情况更为复杂。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of energy prices on industrial investment location: Evidence from global firm level data 能源价格对工业投资地点的影响:来自全球企业层面数据的证据
IF 5.5 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102992
Aurélien Saussay , Misato Sato

This study examines the influence of relative energy prices on the geographical distribution of industrial investments across 41 countries. Employing a gravity model framework to analyse firms’ investment location decisions, we estimate the model using global bilateral investment flows derived from firm-level M&A data. Our findings reveal that a 10% increase in the energy price differential between two countries results in a 3.2% rise in cross-border acquisitions. This effect is most pronounced in energy-intensive industries and transactions targeting emerging economies. Furthermore, policy simulations suggest that the impact of unilateral carbon pricing on cross-border investments is modest.

本研究探讨了相对能源价格对 41 个国家工业投资地理分布的影响。我们采用引力模型框架来分析企业的投资选址决策,并利用企业层面的并购数据得出的全球双边投资流量对模型进行了估算。我们的研究结果表明,两国之间能源价格差每增加 10%,跨国并购就会增加 3.2%。这种效应在能源密集型产业和针对新兴经济体的交易中最为明显。此外,政策模拟表明,单边碳定价对跨境投资的影响不大。
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引用次数: 0
Does improved tenure security reduce fires? Evidence from the Greece land registry 改善土地权保障是否会减少火灾?来自希腊土地登记处的证据
IF 5.5 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103002
Liang Diao , Huiqian Song

While tenure security is essential to effective land management, there is little empirical evidence on its environmental impact. Exploiting the staggered rollout of the land registry program across Greece, we find the regions covered by the mandatory program witness large declines in agricultural fire events, burned areas, and air pollutants. Agricultural data reveal that landowners in those regions mitigate fire risks through reducing stubble burning, expanding farming areas, and stocking more fire-suppression equipment. Our findings indicate that strengthening property rights can lead to more sustainable farming practices and promote long-term land investment, thereby reducing fire hazards.

虽然保有权保障对有效的土地管理至关重要,但有关其环境影响的经验证据却很少。通过在希腊全国交错推广土地登记计划,我们发现在强制计划覆盖的地区,农业火灾事件、烧毁面积和空气污染物均大幅下降。农业数据显示,这些地区的土地所有者通过减少秸秆焚烧、扩大耕种面积和储备更多灭火设备来降低火灾风险。我们的研究结果表明,加强产权可以带来更可持续的耕作方式,促进长期土地投资,从而降低火灾风险。
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引用次数: 0
The emerging international trade in hydrogen: Environmental policies, innovation, and trade dynamics 新兴的国际氢贸易:环境政策、创新和贸易动态
IF 5.5 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103035
Werner Antweiler , David Schlund

Hydrogen produced from renewable energy and other carbon-neutral sources has the potential of becoming an important medium for storing and transporting energy, partially taking on the role that fossil fuels play to date. We develop a novel theoretical and empirical model of sequential trade based on long-term contracts with one or more fixed-capacity projects entering each period in a modified Nash-Cournot competition. We simulate the emerging international trade in hydrogen using calibrated demand, supply, transportation, and policy data, exploring a set of scenarios to determine which factors have significant influence—in particular environmental, innovation, and trade policies. Our findings suggest that hydrogen trade exhibits significant price dispersion and two-way trade as vintages of contracts overlap in a market defined by endogenous innovation and policy interventions. Trade costs and the mode of transportation (pipelines or ammonia conversion, possibly others) play a pivotal role and influence the relative share of hydrogen production types (green, blue, or turquoise). Trade policies emerge as a more essential determinant of hydrogen trade than carbon and innovation policies.

利用可再生能源和其他碳中性能源生产的氢有可能成为储存和运输能源的重要媒介,部分取代化石燃料迄今所发挥的作用。我们建立了一个新颖的理论和实证模型,该模型以长期合同为基础,每期都有一个或多个固定产能项目进入修改后的纳什-库尔诺竞争。我们利用经过校准的需求、供应、运输和政策数据模拟了新兴的氢气国际贸易,探索了一系列方案,以确定哪些因素具有重大影响,特别是环境、创新和贸易政策。我们的研究结果表明,在一个由内生性创新和政策干预决定的市场中,随着合同年份的重叠,氢贸易表现出明显的价格分散和双向贸易。贸易成本和运输方式(管道或氨转化,可能还有其他)起着关键作用,并影响着氢气生产类型(绿色、蓝色或绿松石色)的相对份额。与碳政策和创新政策相比,贸易政策对氢贸易的决定作用更为重要。
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引用次数: 0
Climate change impacts on the within-country income distributions 气候变化对国家内部收入分配的影响
IF 5.5 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.103012
Martino Gilli , Matteo Calcaterra , Johannes Emmerling , Francesco Granella

This paper investigates the relationship between climate change and income inequality, recognizing that the economic impacts of climate change are not uniform across different levels of income within and across countries. Using methods from the existing literature on climate and economic growth, we analyze the economic impact of rising temperatures by within-country income decile. Our findings suggest that climate change disproportionately affects the poorer segments of the population within countries, even after accounting for a country’s ability to adapt to climate impacts, while richer households suffer lower damages. In the reference scenario without additional climate action (3.6°C warming), we estimate that climate impacts could lead to an increase in the Gini index by up to six percentage points, notably in Sub-Saharan Africa. We project impacts to 2100 through the RICE50+ model and estimate the income elasticity of impacts within countries. Our estimates indicate that climate change damages are regressive, with an income elasticity of damages of 0.6 under our preferred specification. On the other hand, climate benefits are approximately distribution-neutral or slightly progressive.

本文研究了气候变化与收入不平等之间的关系,认识到气候变化对各国内部和各国之间不同收入水平的经济影响并不一致。利用现有气候与经济增长文献中的方法,我们按国内收入十分位数分析了气温上升对经济的影响。我们的研究结果表明,即使考虑到一个国家适应气候影响的能力,气候变化对国内较贫困人口的影响也不成比例,而较富裕家庭遭受的损失较小。在不采取额外气候行动(升温 3.6°C)的参考情景下,我们估计气候影响可能导致基尼系数上升达 6 个百分点,尤其是在撒哈拉以南非洲地区。我们通过 RICE50+ 模型预测了 2100 年的影响,并估算了各国内部影响的收入弹性。我们的估算结果表明,气候变化的损害是递减的,在我们首选的规范下,损害的收入弹性为 0.6。另一方面,气候惠益近似于分配中性或略有进步。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Environmental Economics and Management
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