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Payments and penalties in ecosystem services programs 生态系统服务计划中的付款和处罚
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-04-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102988
Youngho Kim, Erik Lichtenberg, David A. Newburn

Payment for ecosystem services (PES) program contracts include penalties for non-performance to ensure that these programs receive the environmental benefits they have been paying for. The standard penalty structure in PES programs requires participants to pay back all program payments received if the contract is terminated before the end of the contract lifetime. We derive the optimal non-completion penalty structure, which decouples the penalty from payments received. In contrast to the backward-looking standard penalty, the optimal penalty is forward-looking and equals the principal's net future environmental benefits lost due to contract non-completion. The optimal penalty thus falls over the life of the contract, in contrast to the standard penalty, which rises over the life of the contract. A numerical policy simulation with heterogeneous agents based on features in federal agricultural conservation programs in the United States suggests that the optimal penalty structure can increase realized net environmental benefits significantly. Our results suggest that performance of most kinds of PES programs can be enhanced by decoupling non-completion penalties from payments and by adjusting how penalties vary over contract lifetimes.

生态系统服务补偿(PES)项目合同包括对不履约行为的处罚,以确保这些项目获得其支付的环境效益。生态系统服务补偿项目的标准惩罚结构要求,如果合同在有效期结束前终止,参与者必须偿还所有收到的项目付款。我们推导出了最优的未完成惩罚结构,该结构将惩罚与收到的付款脱钩。与向后看的标准罚金不同,最优罚金是向前看的,等于委托人因未完成合同而损失的未来环境效益净值。因此,最优罚金会在合同有效期内下降,而标准罚金则会在合同有效期内上升。根据美国联邦农业保护计划的特点,我们对异质代理人进行了数值政策模拟,结果表明,最优惩罚结构可以显著增加已实现的净环境效益。我们的研究结果表明,通过将未完成合同的惩罚与付款脱钩以及调整惩罚在合同有效期内的变化方式,可以提高大多数生态系统服务补偿项目的绩效。
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引用次数: 0
Can leaders motivate employees’ energy-efficient behavior with thoughtful communication? 领导者能否通过深思熟虑的沟通激发员工的节能行为?
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-04-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102990
Christin Hoffmann , Kirsten Thommes

We study the effect of an employer’s communication concerning energy-efficient behavior on a firm’s employees’ behavioral responses. The management aims to enhance energy-efficient behavior performance by irregularly sending online messages to remote employees. We break down each message, analyzing the positive or negative emotions conveyed, collective or individual orientation, and ease of language. Comparing employees’ daily energy efficiency after receiving a message to their daily performance without a previous message, we find that messages generally result in an immediate increase in efficiency. Messages conveying negative emotions and those making a distinction between the manager and the employees have a smaller effect than messages conveying positive emotions and emphasizing a collective orientation that includes both the management and employees. Additionally, shorter messages are more likely to induce improved efficiency. Sending messages significantly impacts driver performance for up to six days after the message, resulting in economically relevant cost reductions.

我们研究了雇主关于节能行为的沟通对公司员工行为反应的影响。公司管理层旨在通过不定期地向远程员工发送在线信息来提高员工的节能行为表现。我们对每条信息进行了细分,分析了所传达的积极或消极情绪、集体或个人导向以及语言的易用性。对比员工收到信息后与未收到信息前的日常能效表现,我们发现信息通常会立即提高能效。与传达积极情绪和强调集体导向(包括管理层和员工)的信息相比,传达消极情绪和区分管理者与员工的信息的效果较小。此外,较短的信息更有可能提高效率。在发送信息后的六天内,发送信息会对驾驶员的工作表现产生重大影响,从而降低相关的经济成本。
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引用次数: 0
How constant is constant elasticity of substitution? Endogenous substitution between clean and dirty energy 恒定替代弹性有多恒定?清洁能源与肮脏能源之间的内生替代
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-04-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102982
Ara Jo , Alena Miftakhova

The degree of substitutability between clean and dirty energy plays a central role in leading economic analyses of optimal environmental policy. Despite the importance, assuming a constant and exogenous elasticity of substitution has been a dominant theoretical approach. We challenge this assumption by developing a dynamic general equilibrium model with an endogenous elasticity of substitution that interacts with the relative share of clean inputs in the economy. We find strong dynamic feedback effects arising from endogenous substitution capacity that amplifies the impact of directed technical change and accelerates the transition to a green economy.

清洁能源与肮脏能源之间的可替代程度在最优环境政策的主要经济分析中起着核心作用。尽管非常重要,但假设不变的外生替代弹性一直是占主导地位的理论方法。我们建立了一个动态一般均衡模型,其中的内生替代弹性与经济中清洁投入的相对份额相互影响,从而对这一假设提出了挑战。我们发现,内生替代能力产生了强大的动态反馈效应,放大了定向技术变革的影响,加速了向绿色经济的过渡。
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引用次数: 0
Discretion rather than rules in multiple-species fisheries 多鱼种渔业中的自由裁量权而非规则
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-04-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102983
Rajesh Singh, Quinn Weninger

This paper evaluates the bioeconomic performance of individual fishing quota (IFQ) regulations in multiple-species fisheries. In our model, a manager chooses the aggregate quotas under uncertainty over the true stock abundances of two jointly-harvested fish species. Fishers conduct harvest operations under full knowledge of the species-specific productivities of fishing gear. We derive the profit maximizing fishing mortality and economic rent outcomes implemented by fishers under various regulatory designs. We compare bioeconomic performance of an IFQ regulation with discretion over the mix of harvested species against an IFQ regulation that bans at-sea discarding. Both regulations eliminate discards. Discretion allows closer alignment between fisher implemented outcomes and those that maximize long term expected fishery value. Incorporating discretion into regulatory designs provides new prospects for improving fisheries management.

本文评估了多鱼种渔业中个体捕捞配额(IFQ)规定的生物经济绩效。在我们的模型中,管理者在两个共同捕捞鱼种的真实种群丰度不确定的情况下选择总配额。渔民在完全了解渔具的特定物种生产率的情况下进行捕捞作业。我们推导出渔民在不同监管设计下实施的利润最大化捕捞死亡率和经济租金结果。我们比较了可自行决定捕捞鱼种组合的 IFQ 法规与禁止海上弃鱼的 IFQ 法规的生物经济表现。两种法规都杜绝了丢弃。自由裁量权使渔民实施的结果与长期预期渔业价值最大化的结果更加一致。将自由裁量权纳入监管设计为改善渔业管理提供了新的前景。
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引用次数: 0
Carbon capture: Storage vs. Utilization 碳捕获:储存与利用
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-04-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102976
Michel Moreaux , Jean-Pierre Amigues , Gerard van der Meijden , Cees Withagen

Carbon capture and storage in salt domes or in inactive fields is seen as an appealing option to meet the ambitious objectives of the Paris Agreement. Captured CO2 emissions can also be injected in active fields to enhance gas or oil recovery. We examine the optimal scale and timing of these different capturing and storage options in a dynamic model of an economy subject to a carbon budget. We consider the socially optimal outcome as well as the outcome under laissez-faire. The social optimum can have different forms depending on the initial carbon budget, the fossil fuel resource stock and the stock of already injected CO2 in active fields. The level and convexity of the costs of capturing, storing and producing renewable energy plays a role as well. We specify the conditions under which each possible sequence of regimes – no capturing, only enhanced recovery, only storage without enhanced recovery, a combination of both or only renewables – occurs. We quantify our analytical results by calibrating the model and running simulations.

为实现《巴黎协定》的宏伟目标,在盐穹顶或不活跃油田进行碳捕集与封存被认为是一个极具吸引力的选择。捕获的二氧化碳排放也可以注入活跃油田,以提高天然气或石油的采收率。我们在一个受碳预算限制的经济动态模型中,研究了这些不同捕集与封存方案的最佳规模和时机。我们考虑了社会最优结果和自由放任下的结果。根据初始碳预算、化石燃料资源存量和活跃油田中已注入的二氧化碳存量的不同,社会最优结果可能有不同的形式。捕获、储存和生产可再生能源的成本水平和凸性也起着作用。我们明确了每种可能的制度序列--不捕集、仅强化回收、仅封存而不强化回收、两者结合或仅可再生能源--发生的条件。我们通过校准模型和运行模拟来量化我们的分析结果。
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引用次数: 0
Coordinating to avoid the catastrophe 协调避免灾难
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-04-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102977
Vitus Bühl, Robert C. Schmidt

“Tipping points” for dangerous climate damages can transform climate protection into a coordination problem. If the location of the threshold is known, Nash equilibria exist in which the catastrophe is averted even without a climate agreement. However, there usually exists also an equilibrium in which no country exerts effort to prevent it, and the catastrophe occurs. We model equilibrium selection among non-cooperative countries with the help of an external randomization device, and analyze how it affects coalition formation. We find that results are much more nuanced than in the case where non-cooperative countries always coordinate on preventing the catastrophe. In some cases, a “coalition of free-riders” forms that is detrimental to welfare. In other cases, a “threshold equilibrium” emerges in which coalition members commit to do more than the outsiders, and the coalition is just large enough to become active. The grand coalition is also an equilibrium outcome, but is often unstable towards deviations by groups of countries.

危险气候损害的 "临界点 "可以将气候保护转化为一个协调问题。如果知道临界点的位置,就会存在纳什均衡,在这种均衡中,即使没有气候协议也能避免灾难。然而,通常也存在这样一种均衡,即没有任何国家努力阻止灾难的发生。我们借助外部随机化装置来模拟非合作国家之间的均衡选择,并分析它如何影响联盟的形成。我们发现,与非合作国家总是协调防止灾难发生的情况相比,结果要细微得多。在某些情况下,会形成不利于福利的 "搭便车者联盟"。在其他情况下,会出现一种 "门槛均衡",即联盟成员承诺比局外人做得更多,而联盟的规模恰好大到可以变得活跃。大联盟也是一种均衡结果,但往往对国家集团的偏离具有不稳定性。
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引用次数: 0
Weathering the ride: Experimental evidence on transport pricing, climate extremes, and future travel demand 风雨兼程:关于交通定价、极端气候和未来出行需求的实验证据
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102978
Peter Christensen , Adam Osman , Abigail Stocker

The future of travel will be characterized by changes in weather patterns and changes in transportation technology. How will these forces interact? We explore this question by utilizing a unique randomized experiment with Uber riders in Cairo, Egypt. We consider how very hot days (>35 °C/95 °F) affect transportation choices, how a sizeable price decrease (simulating a future with autonomous vehicles and access to cheaper transportation) changes travel, and how the interaction of these two elements affects choices. We find that while travel will increase significantly in response to the price decrease, extreme weather dampens this effect by 21%. Individuals receiving subsidies also shift away from public transportation modes and towards private transportation modes, except when the public transit option is air-conditioned. These results provide important insights for policymakers when considering optimal travel policy in the face of climate change.

未来旅行的特点将是天气模式的变化和交通技术的变革。这些力量将如何相互作用?我们以埃及开罗的 Uber 乘客为对象,通过独特的随机实验来探讨这个问题。我们考虑了酷热天(35°C/95°F)对交通选择的影响、大幅降价(模拟未来自动驾驶汽车和更便宜的交通方式)对出行的影响,以及这两个因素的相互作用对选择的影响。我们发现,虽然价格下降会显著增加出行,但极端天气会将这种影响抑制 21%。获得补贴的个人也会从公共交通模式转向私人交通模式,除非公共交通有空调。这些结果为政策制定者在面对气候变化时考虑最优出行政策提供了重要启示。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of ozone pollution on mortality: Evidence from China 臭氧污染对死亡率的影响:来自中国的证据
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102980
Yun Qiu , Yunning Liu , Wei Shi , Maigeng Zhou

This paper estimates the mortality impacts of ozone pollution in China and the moderating effects of two possible adaptation strategies. Using an instrument variable constructed from ozone concentrations of nearby upwind cities, we find that ozone pollution significantly increases all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality. Healthcare service provision significantly decreases the impacts of ozone pollution on all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, but does not moderate the impact on respiratory mortality. The impact of ozone on RES mortality declines after COVID-19. Healthcare service provision also reduces the distributional impact of ozone across the elderly and younger groups. Projection shows that climate change would induce mortality costs of 0.08% of China's GDP through increasing ozone pollution.

本文估算了中国臭氧污染对死亡率的影响以及两种可能的适应策略的调节作用。通过使用由附近上风城市臭氧浓度构建的工具变量,我们发现臭氧污染会显著增加全因死亡率、心血管死亡率和呼吸系统死亡率。医疗保健服务的提供会明显降低臭氧污染对全因死亡率和心血管死亡率的影响,但不会减缓对呼吸系统死亡率的影响。COVID-19 之后,臭氧对 RES 死亡率的影响有所下降。医疗保健服务的提供也降低了臭氧对老年人群和年轻人群的分布影响。预测显示,气候变化将通过增加臭氧污染导致死亡率成本占中国 GDP 的 0.08%。
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引用次数: 0
Consumer demand and the economy-wide costs of regulation: Modeling households with empirically estimated flexible functional forms 消费者需求和整个经济的监管成本:用经验估算的灵活函数形式为家庭建模
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-03-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102972
Ensieh Shojaeddini , Andrew Schreiber , Ann Wolverton , Alex Marten

This paper estimates flexible demand systems for heterogeneous households in the United States and links the estimated parameters with an economy-wide model to assess their relative contributions to the social cost of regulation. We estimate elasticities for several final demand categories as well as labor-leisure elasticities that are important for calibrating the labor-leisure choice in the economy-wide model and find that estimated elasticities are relatively similar across regions but vary meaningfully by income. Using the estimated elasticities, we explore the implications of both the functional form and its parameterization in a simplified computable general equilibrium model for the social and distributional costs of illustrative policy scenarios. Model variants with less flexible consumer demand systems overestimate social costs across our entire range of scenarios. Furthermore, we find that parameterizing the model with elasticities that vary with household income is important for adequately characterizing the distributional implications of a policy.

本文估算了美国异质家庭的弹性需求系统,并将估算参数与整体经济模型联系起来,以评估它们对监管的社会成本的相对贡献。我们估算了几个最终需求类别的弹性,以及对整个经济模型中劳动-休闲选择的校准非常重要的劳动-休闲弹性,并发现不同地区的估算弹性相对相似,但因收入不同而存在显著差异。利用估算的弹性,我们探讨了简化的可计算一般均衡模型中的函数形式及其参数化对说明性政策方案的社会成本和分配成本的影响。在我们的所有方案中,消费者需求系统不太灵活的模型变体都高估了社会成本。此外,我们还发现,用随家庭收入变化的弹性来设定模型参数,对于充分描述政策的分配影响非常重要。
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引用次数: 0
On the palm oil-biodiversity trade-off: Environmental performance of smallholder producers 棕榈油与生物多样性之间的权衡:小农生产者的环境绩效
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-03-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102975
Bernhard Dalheimer , Iordanis Parikoglou , Fabian Brambach , Mirawati Yanita , Holger Kreft , Bernhard Brümmer

Oil palm remains an important source of rural income in South East Asia. At the same time, Indonesia has become a hotspot for large-scale species extinction and a loss of biodiversity in favor of agricultural production. The present study sets out to assess the environmental performance of smallholder oil palm production with respect to biodiversity. Using a panel dataset that combines conventional farm data together with an account of plant diversity, we estimate a restricted hyperbolic environmental distance function. We integrate loss of biodiversity as an undesirable output into the production model which allows explaining shortfalls in environmental performance and the derivation of shadow prices of biodiversity conservation. We find a substantial environmental inefficiency, which is partly explained by both chemical and manual weeding practices, highlighting the potential for improvements in both the environmental and the economic dimension. Moreover, the value for conserving one species of the average biodiversity on a farmers plantation was 325 USD in 2018. Payments for ecosystem services schemes could be a viable policy response to conserve meaningful levels of biodiversity while simultaneously allowing smallholders to increase palm oil output. In general, addressing drivers of environmental performance in PES designs amplifies its effect without reducing output.

油棕仍然是东南亚农村收入的重要来源。与此同时,为了农业生产,印度尼西亚已成为物种大规模灭绝和生物多样性丧失的热点地区。本研究旨在评估小农油棕生产在生物多样性方面的环境绩效。我们利用结合了传统农场数据和植物多样性数据的面板数据集,估算了一个受限双曲环境距离函数。我们将生物多样性损失作为一种不良产出纳入生产模型,从而解释了环境绩效的不足,并推导出生物多样性保护的影子价格。我们发现,化学除草和人工除草的做法在一定程度上解释了环境效率低下的问题,这凸显了在环境和经济两方面进行改进的潜力。此外,2018 年,保护农民种植园中一个物种的平均生物多样性的价值为 325 美元。生态系统服务付费计划可以作为一种可行的政策应对措施,在保护有意义的生物多样性的同时,让小农提高棕榈油产量。一般来说,在生态系统服务补偿设计中解决环境绩效的驱动因素可在不减少产出的情况下扩大其效果。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Environmental Economics and Management
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