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International environmental agreements when countries behave morally 当各国的行为符合道德规范时,达成国际环境协议
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-03-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102955
Thomas Eichner , Rüdiger Pethig

In the game-theoretical literature on forming international environmental agreements (IEAs) countries use to be self-interested materialists and stable coalitions are small. This paper analyzes IEA games with identical countries that exhibit Kantian moral behavior. Kantians are concerned with doing the right thing which means that they take those actions and only those actions that they advocate all others take as well. Countries may behave morally with respect to both emissions (reduction) and membership in an IEA. If countries are emissions Kantians or membership Kantians the equilibrium of the IEA games is socially optimal. To model more realistic Kantian behavior, we define an emissions [membership] moralist as a country whose welfare is a weighted average of the welfare of an emissions [membership] Kantian and a materialist. The game with emissions moralists produces stable coalitions not larger than those in the standard game with materialists. The game with membership moralists yields stable coalitions that are increasing in the membership morality. The aggregate emissions decline if the degree of morality of either type of moralists increases. Finally, we characterize the equilibrium of an IEA game with moderate moralists with respect to both emissions and membership.

在有关形成国际环境协定(IEAs)的博弈理论文献中,各国都是自利的唯物主义者,稳定的联盟规模很小。本文分析了表现出康德式道德行为的相同国家的 IEA 博弈。康德主义者关注的是做正确的事,这意味着他们会采取而且只采取他们主张所有其他人也会采取的行动。各国在排放(减排)和加入国际能源机构方面都可能表现出道德行为。如果各国都是排放康德主义者或成员康德主义者,那么国际能源机构博弈的均衡就是社会最优的。为了模拟更现实的康德行为,我们将排放[成员]道德主义者定义为一个国家,其福利是排放[成员]康德主义者和唯物主义者福利的加权平均值。排放道德主义者博弈产生的稳定联盟并不比唯物主义者标准博弈中的联盟大。成员道德主义者博弈产生的稳定联盟随着成员道德的增加而增加。如果任何一种道德主义者的道德程度增加,总排放量就会下降。最后,我们描述了具有温和道德主义者的 IEA 博弈在排放和成员方面的均衡。
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引用次数: 0
Pollution and learning: Causal evidence from Obama’s Iran sanctions 污染与学习:奥巴马制裁伊朗的因果证据
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-03-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102965
Anthony Heyes , Soodeh Saberian

We provide evidence of a substantial impact of pollution in the vicinity of a school on student learning using standardized test results from the universe of Tehran junior schools. The 2010 US sanctions prevented the sale of refined petroleum products to Iran. Causal identification exploits that the impact of sanctions on air quality in the vicinity of schools in the city varied according to the proximity of each school to roads. Relative academic performance dropped at more road-exposed (variously-measured) schools. Roads upwind appear to have four times the impact compared to those downwind, aligning with the prevailing wind direction which blows 80% of the time from the west, a finding that also provides compelling evidence against alternative interpretations.

我们利用德黑兰所有初中的标准化测试结果,提供了学校附近的污染对学生学习产生重大影响的证据。因果关系识别利用了 2010 年美国制裁阻止向伊朗出售精炼石油产品这一事实,这对该市各学校的空气质量产生了不同影响,具体取决于各学校与道路网络的位置。受道路影响较大的学校(各种测量值)的空气质量相对较差。与 80% 的时间从西面吹来的盛行风向一致,上风向道路的影响似乎是下风向道路的四倍。
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引用次数: 0
Early warning systems, mobile technology, and cholera aversion: Evidence from rural Bangladesh 预警系统、移动技术和霍乱厌恶症:孟加拉国农村的证据
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-03-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102966
Emily L. Pakhtigian , Sonia Aziz , Kevin J. Boyle , Ali S. Akanda , S.M.A. Hanifi

In Bangladesh, cholera poses a significant environmental health risk. Yet, information about the severity of cholera risk is limited as risk varies over time and changing weather patterns make historical cholera risk predictions less reliable. In this paper, we examine how households use geographically and temporally personalized cholera risk predictions to inform their beliefs and behaviors related to cholera and its aversion. We estimate how access to a smartphone application containing monthly cholera risk predictions unique to a user’s home location affects households’ beliefs about their cholera risk and their water use and hygiene behaviors. We find that households with access to this application feel more equipped to respond to environmental and health risks and reduce their reliance on surface water for bathing and washing – a common cholera transmission pathway. We do not find that households invest additional resources into drinking water treatment, nor do we find reductions in self-reported cholera incidence. Further, households with a static, non-personalized app containing public health information about cholera exhibit similar patterns of beliefs updating. Taken together, our results suggest that access to risk information can help households make safer water choices, yet improving design and credibility remain important dimensions for increasing application usability.

在孟加拉国,霍乱对环境健康构成重大风险。然而,有关霍乱风险严重程度的信息却很有限,因为霍乱风险会随着时间的推移而变化,而且不断变化的天气模式也使历史霍乱风险预测变得不那么可靠。在本文中,我们研究了家庭如何利用地理上和时间上的个性化霍乱风险预测来指导他们与霍乱和霍乱厌恶相关的信念和行为。我们估算了访问包含用户家庭所在地独有的每月霍乱风险预测的智能手机应用程序如何影响家庭对其霍乱风险的信念以及他们的用水和卫生行为。我们发现,使用该应用程序的家庭更有能力应对环境和健康风险,并减少对地表水的依赖,因为地表水是霍乱的常见传播途径。我们没有发现家庭在饮用水处理方面投入了额外的资源,也没有发现霍乱发病率的自我报告有所下降。此外,使用包含霍乱公共卫生信息的静态、非个性化应用程序的家庭也表现出类似的信念更新模式。综上所述,我们的研究结果表明,获取动态风险信息可以帮助家庭做出更安全的用水选择,但改进设计和提高可信度仍是提高应用程序可用性的重要方面。
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引用次数: 0
Taxes versus quantities reassessed 重新评估税收与数量
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102951
Larry Karp , Christian Traeger

The ongoing debate concerning the ranking of taxes versus cap and trade for climate policy begins with Weitzman’s (1974) seminal slope-based criterion and concludes that taxes likely dominate quotas. We challenge this conclusion and the intuition behind it. Because technology shocks and pollution stocks are both persistent, a technology shock alters the intercepts of both the marginal damage and abatement cost curves. The ratio of these two intercept shifts is as important as the ratio of slopes in ranking policies. Technology innovations diffuse gradually, strengthening the importance of the ratio of intercept shifts. For plausible parameter combinations, quotas can dominate taxes.

关于气候政策中税收与上限和交易的排序问题,目前的争论始于 Weitzman(1974 年)的开创性斜坡标准,其结论是税收可能优先于配额。我们对这一结论及其背后的直觉提出了质疑。由于技术冲击和污染存量都是持续存在的,因此技术冲击会改变边际损害曲线和减排成本曲线的截距。这两种截距移动的比率与斜率比率一样,对政策排序具有重要意义。技术创新会逐渐扩散,从而加强了截距移动比率的重要性。在参数组合合理的情况下,配额可能会优先于税收。
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引用次数: 0
Beyond the annual averages: Impact of seasonal temperature on employment growth in US counties 超越年平均值:季节性气温对美国各县就业增长的影响
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102946
Ha Minh Nguyen

Using quarterly temperature and employment data between 1990 and 2021, this paper uncovers nuanced evidence on the impact of seasonal temperature within US counties: higher winter temperature increases private sector employment growth while higher summer temperature decreases it. The impacts of higher temperature in milder seasons, fall and spring, are statistically insignificant. Moreover, the negative impact of higher summer temperature persists while the positive impact of higher temperature in the winter is more short-lived. The negative effects of a hotter summer are pervasive and persistent in many sectors: most significantly in “Construction” and “Leisure and Hospitality” but also in “Trade, Transport, and Utilities” and “Financial Activities”. In contrast, the positive effects of a warmer winter are less pervasive. The employment effect of a hotter summer has been more severe in recent decades.

本文利用 1990 年至 2021 年期间的季度气温和就业数据,发现了美国各县季节性气温影响的细微证据:冬季气温升高会增加私营部门的就业增长,而夏季气温升高则会减少就业增长。气温较高对秋季和春季等温和季节的影响在统计上并不显著。此外,夏季气温升高的负面影响持续存在,而冬季气温升高的正面影响则较为短暂。夏季气温升高的负面影响在许多行业都普遍存在且持续存在:"建筑业 "和 "休闲与酒店业 "最为显著,"贸易、运输与公用事业 "和 "金融活动 "也是如此。相比之下,冬季变暖的积极影响则不那么普遍。近几十年来,炎热夏季对就业的影响更为严重。
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引用次数: 0
On breadth and depth of climate agreements with pledge-and-review bargaining 关于采用 "承诺与审查 "谈判方式的气候协议的广度和深度
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102952
Thomas Eichner, Mark Schopf

This paper analyzes the effects of partial cooperation on the breadth and depth of climate agreements in dynamic games in which countries emit, invest in green technology, decide to participate in a climate coalition and participants negotiate the contract duration. When choosing emissions reductions (pledges), coalition countries apply Harstad’s (2023a) pledge-and-review bargaining and partially cooperate. We distinguish between stock-independent and stock-dependent investment costs. It is shown that narrow-but-deep agreements may be welfare superior to broad-but-shallow agreements for signatories. In addition, if the degree of partial cooperation is sufficiently high, broad-and-deep agreements and even first best can be achieved.

本文分析了在动态博弈中部分合作对气候协议广度和深度的影响,在动态博弈中,各国排放、投资绿色技术、决定参加气候联盟,参与者就合同期限进行谈判。在选择减排量(承诺)时,联盟国采用 Harstad(2023a)的 "承诺-审查 "讨价还价法,并进行部分合作。我们将投资成本分为与存量无关的投资成本和与存量有关的投资成本。结果表明,对签署国而言,窄而深的协议可能比宽而浅的协议更具福利优势。此外,如果部分合作的程度足够高,则可以达成宽而深的协议,甚至是第一最佳协议。
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引用次数: 0
Strategic pricing, lifespan choices and environmental implications of peer-to-peer sharing 点对点共享的战略定价、寿命选择和环境影响
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102953
Francisco J. André , Carmen Arguedas , Sandra Rousseau

Peer-to-peer sharing has become increasingly popular in recent years. Many digital platforms exist that allow individuals to use others’ belongings part-time. These platforms explicitly mention their green credentials, as the environmental benefits of such sharing initiatives are often taken for granted. However, there is a recent empirical literature showing evidence of the contrary. We propose a theoretical framework to analyze the economic and environmental implications of peer-to-peer sharing. We present a stylized model where a monopolist supplies a product that is suitable for rent on a sharing platform. Interestingly, we find that the existence of such a platform is typically beneficial for the monopolist, especially in the long run, when she can optimally anticipate the effects of her decisions on the sharing market. Such a scenario may not be beneficial for consumers, especially for those who rent the good rather than buy it. Moreover, the existence of the sharing platform induces higher use and (under some likely conditions) larger production levels and shorter product lifespans. The combination of these three aspects contributes to a worse environmental impact with sharing, which provides a theoretical rationale for the aforementioned empirical studies.

近年来,点对点共享日益流行。许多数字平台允许个人兼职使用他人的物品。这些平台明确提到它们的绿色证书,因为这种共享举措的环境效益往往被认为是理所当然的。然而,最近的实证文献却显示了相反的证据。我们提出了一个理论框架来分析点对点共享对经济和环境的影响。我们提出了一个风格化的模型,在这个模型中,垄断者提供一种适合在共享平台上出租的产品。有趣的是,我们发现这种平台的存在通常对垄断者有利,尤其是在长期内,因为垄断者可以最优化地预测其决策对共享市场的影响。但这种情况对消费者却毫无益处,尤其是对那些租用而非购买商品的消费者而言。此外,共享平台的存在会提高使用率,(在某些可能的条件下)提高生产水平,缩短产品寿命。这三个方面的综合作用导致共享对环境的影响更加严重,这为上述实证研究提供了理论依据。
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引用次数: 0
Emission trading schemes and cross-border mergers and acquisitions 排放交易计划与跨国并购
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102949
Yajie Chen , Dayong Zhang , Kun Guo , Qiang Ji

The Emission Trading Scheme (ETS) provides a market mechanism to mitigate carbon emissions and has been introduced in many countries. Its fundamental idea is to make carbon emissions costly. Consequently, firms undertaking cross-border expansions may have to consider this extra cost when entering markets with an ETS. They may avoid these countries or relocate their investment to countries without an ETS. Using a large sample of international firms between 2002 and 2019, we investigate this issue via a difference-in-difference approach. Our results show that ETS implementation leads to significantly less cross-border merger and acquisition (M&A) deals in the host countries, indicating an avoidance effect or potential carbon leakage. Further analysis reveals that ETS implementation decreases firms’ financial performance and increases market risks, both contributing to cross-border M&A decisions. We demonstrate strong evidence of cross-sectoral differences, where carbon-intensive sectors tend to bear higher costs. This study contributes to the environmental economics and finance literature and provides evidence with policy relevance.

排放交易计划(ETS)为减少碳排放提供了一种市场机制,并已在许多国家推行。其基本理念是使碳排放成本高昂。因此,进行跨国扩张的企业在进入有排放交易计划的市场时,可能不得不考虑这一额外成本。它们可能会避开这些国家,或将投资转移到没有排放交易计划的国家。我们利用 2002 年至 2019 年间的大量国际企业样本,通过差分法研究了这一问题。我们的结果表明,排放交易计划的实施导致东道国的跨境并购(M&A)交易明显减少,这表明存在回避效应或潜在的碳泄漏。进一步的分析表明,排放交易计划的实施降低了企业的财务业绩,增加了市场风险,这两点都会影响跨国并购决策。我们展示了跨行业差异的有力证据,碳密集型行业往往承担更高的成本。本研究为环境经济学和金融学文献做出了贡献,并提供了具有政策相关性的证据。
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引用次数: 0
Window dressing: Changes in atmospheric pollution at boundaries in response to regional environmental policy in China 橱窗装饰:边界大气污染变化对中国区域环境政策的影响
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102948
Liyuan Cui , Zeyu Chen , Yanfen Huang , Huayi Yu

In decentralized environmental governance, local governments are likely to adopt the “beggar-thy-neighbor” strategy to relax regulations at boundaries. This study investigates the impact of China's Joint Atmospheric Prevention and Control Policy (JAPCP) in “2 + 26” cities enforced by the central government on pollution at provincial boundaries. The theoretical model suggests that dual incentives for environmental protection and economic growth may prompt local governments to reduce boundary pollution within the JAPCP-covered area while relocating pollution to uncovered boundaries. Based on Shandong Province data using the difference-in-differences approach, our analysis reveals a 9.6% decline in the air quality at JAPCP-covered boundaries compared to non-boundary areas and a 5.3% increase at JAPCP-uncovered boundaries, which is associated with migration of key regulated industries. Through examining annual work reports, we provide evidence that local governments modify regulatory intensity at various boundaries. These findings indicate that, while regional environmental policies are intended to promote inter-jurisdictional cooperation, the local government responses lead to unintended costs.

在分权式环境治理中,地方政府很可能会采取 "以邻为壑 "的策略,放松对边界地区的监管。本研究探讨了中央政府在 "2+26 "城市实施的大气联防联控政策(JAPCP)对省界污染的影响。理论模型表明,环境保护和经济增长的双重激励可能会促使地方政府减少 JAPCP 覆盖区域内的边界污染,同时将污染转移到未覆盖的边界。基于山东省的数据,我们采用差分法进行了分析,结果显示,与非边界地区相比,JAPCP 覆盖区边界的空气质量下降了 9.6%,而 JAPCP 未覆盖区边界的空气质量上升了 5.3%,这与重点监管行业的迁移有关。通过研究年度工作报告,我们提供了地方政府在不同边界修改监管强度的证据。这些研究结果表明,尽管区域环境政策旨在促进辖区间合作,但地方政府的应对措施却导致了意想不到的成本。
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引用次数: 0
Benefits of diesel emission regulations: Evidence from the World's largest low emission zone 柴油排放法规的益处:来自世界最大低排放区的证据
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102944
Cheolmin Kang , Mitsuru Ota , Koichi Ushijima

We examined the impact of diesel emission regulations on air quality, land prices, and infant health in the Tokyo metropolitan area. The results reveal that as air pollution concentrations improved, land prices increased more in areas with higher diesel vehicle traffic, even after controlling for non-regulated vehicle traffic. In contrast, the concentrations of non-regulated air pollutants were unaffected. Estimates based on the hedonic approach show that the benefit of air quality improvement in the metropolitan area is about 14 times the cost. Improved air quality also improved infant health. The improvement in infant mortality with a one-unit improvement in suspended particulate matter was similar in magnitude to published results from the United States.

我们研究了柴油机排放法规对东京都地区空气质量、土地价格和婴儿健康的影响。结果表明,随着空气污染浓度的改善,柴油车交通量较高地区的地价上涨幅度更大,即使在控制了非管制车辆交通量之后也是如此。相比之下,非管制空气污染物的浓度则不受影响。基于保值方法的估算表明,大都市地区空气质量改善的收益约为成本的 14 倍。空气质量的改善也改善了婴儿健康。悬浮颗粒物每改善一个单位,婴儿死亡率的改善幅度与美国已公布的结果相似。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Environmental Economics and Management
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