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Importing air pollution? Evidence from China’s plastic waste imports 进口空气污染?中国进口塑料垃圾的证据
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102996
Kerstin Unfried , Feicheng Wang

Plastic waste trade has grown considerably in the last decades and has led to severe environmental problems in recipient countries. Being the largest recipient, China has permanently banned the imports of plastic waste since 2018. This paper examines the causal effect of plastic waste imports on air pollution by exploiting China’s experience of importing plastic waste and the recent import ban. By combining data on plastic waste imports with PM2.5 data at the city level for the years 2000–2011, we find that plastic waste imports increased PM2.5 density significantly in recipient cities. To evaluate the impact of the import ban on air quality, we employ daily data on air pollution between 2015 and 2020. Our difference-in-differences results show that affected cities, relative to other cities, experienced considerable improvement in air quality following the ban. Further analysis reveals that increased incineration of non-recycled waste is the main channel. These findings provide insights into the costs of importing plastic waste and the potential environmental gains from banning such imports in other countries.

过去几十年来,塑料垃圾贸易大幅增长,导致接受国出现严重的环境问题。作为最大的接收国,中国自 2018 年起永久禁止进口塑料垃圾。本文利用中国进口塑料废物的经验和近期的进口禁令,研究塑料废物进口对空气污染的因果效应。通过将 2000-2011 年塑料垃圾进口数据与城市层面的 PM2.5 数据相结合,我们发现塑料垃圾进口显著增加了接收城市的 PM2.5 密度。为了评估进口禁令对空气质量的影响,我们采用了 2015 年至 2020 年间的每日空气污染数据。我们的差分结果显示,相对于其他城市,受影响城市的空气质量在禁令实施后有了显著改善。进一步的分析表明,非回收垃圾焚烧量的增加是主要原因。这些发现让我们深入了解了其他国家进口塑料垃圾的成本以及禁止进口塑料垃圾可能带来的环境收益。
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引用次数: 0
Pricing carbon in a multi-sector economy with social discounting 多部门经济中的碳定价与社会折扣
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102991
Oliver Kalsbach , Sebastian Rausch

Economists tend to view a uniform emissions price as the most cost-effective approach to reducing greenhouse gas emissions. This paper scrutinizes the assumptions in general equilibrium which underlie the established view that uniform emissions pricing is optimal, focusing on economies where society values the well-being of future generations more than private actors. When social and private discount rates differ, we show that a uniform carbon price is optimal only under restrictive assumptions about technology homogeneity and intertemporal decision-making. Non-uniform pricing spurs capital accumulation and benefits future generations. Depending on sectoral heterogeneity in the substitutability between capital and energy inputs, we find that optimal carbon prices differ widely across sectors and yield substantial welfare gains relative to uniform pricing. Realizing these welfare gains, however, requires that the regulator has information on the technology heterogeneity across sectors. Differentiated carbon pricing based on imperfect estimates of technology heterogeneity can yield significant welfare losses.

经济学家倾向于将统一排放价格视为减少温室气体排放最具成本效益的方法。本文仔细研究了一般均衡中的假设,这些假设是统一排放定价最优这一既定观点的基础,重点关注社会比私人行为者更重视后代福祉的经济体。当社会贴现率和私人贴现率不同时,我们表明,只有在技术同质性和跨期决策的限制性假设下,统一碳价格才是最优的。非统一定价会刺激资本积累,使后代受益。根据资本和能源投入之间可替代性的部门异质性,我们发现不同部门的最优碳价格差异很大,相对于统一定价,最优碳价格能带来巨大的福利收益。然而,要实现这些福利收益,需要监管机构掌握各部门技术异质性的信息。根据对技术异质性的不完全估计进行差别碳定价,可能会产生巨大的福利损失。
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引用次数: 0
Adjusted net savings needs further adjusting: Reassessing human and resource factors in sustainability measurement 调整后的净节余需要进一步调整:重新评估可持续性衡量中的人力和资源因素
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-04-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102984
John C.V. Pezzey

We build a theoretical model of optimal, closed-economy growth of production and consumption, including inputs of human and knowledge capital and growing natural resources, and give two calibrations of it to the global economy's approximately exponential growth during 1995–2014. We thereby show that the World Bank's Adjusted Net Savings (ANS) measure of an economy's sustainability, which has some practical and theoretical advantages over change in wealth, the Bank's preferred measure, ideally needs further adjusting. Our model includes omitted or undervalued estimates of the benefits of human and knowledge capital investment, net resource growth, and productivity growth, and the cost of capitals dilution by population growth. Together these raise estimated, global ANS about 10 percentage points above the Bank's estimate, to equal their growth rate times total wealth, but our adjustments could be negative overall for some countries. By reclassifying about 18% of output from consumption to human and knowledge capital investments, our second calibration needs only 0.3 %/yr of exogenous productivity growth to explain global consumption growth observed during 1995–2014. Though our model omits environmental costs and thus ignores long-run sustainability issues, our adjustments suggest desirable though difficult changes that could improve World Bank ANS as a comparative sustainability indicator.

我们建立了一个封闭经济中生产和消费最优增长的理论模型,其中包括人力资本、知识资本和不断增长的自然资源的投入,并对 1995-2014 年间全球经济的近似指数增长进行了两次校准。由此我们可以看出,世界银行的 "调整后净储蓄"(ANS)衡量一个经济体的可持续性,与世界银行首选的衡量标准--财富变化相比,具有一些实践和理论上的优势,但理想情况下需要进一步调整。我们的模型包括对人力和知识资本投资、净资源增长和生产率增长所带来的收益的遗漏或低估估计,以及人口增长对资本稀释的成本。这些因素加在一起,使估计的全球 ANS 比世界银行的估计值高出约 10 个百分点,相当于其增长率乘以财富总量,但我们的调整对某些国家来说可能是负值。通过将约 18% 的产出从消费重新归类为人力和知识资本投资,我们的第二次校准只需要每年 0.3% 的外生生产力增长就能解释 1995-2014 年间观察到的全球消费增长。虽然我们的模型忽略了环境成本,从而忽略了长期可持续性问题,但我们的调整建议进行理想但困难的改革,以改善作为比较可持续性指标的世界银行国民核算体系。
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引用次数: 0
Cross-ownership and green managerial delegation contracts in a mixed oligopoly 混合寡头垄断中的交叉所有权和绿色管理委托合同
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-04-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102993
Mingqing Xing , Sang-Ho Lee

This study examines strategic interactions between cross-ownership and managerial delegation contracts with environmental corporate social responsibility (ECSR) incentives in a mixed oligopoly. We find that private firms always utilize ECSR incentives in competing prices under cross-ownership, whereas public managers do so only when there is severe environmental damage. We also demonstrate that the ECSR incentives for welfare-weighted public managers are always lower than for their profit-weighted counterparts when they employ ECSR incentives, which leads to lower environmental damage and greater social welfare. Finally, we show that welfare-weighted public delegation increases the private firm's ECSR compared to no public delegation, which is reversed in the profit-weighted variant. Our findings suggest that the government should design an environmental incentive scheme to their public managers that can also induce private managers to behave more aggressively in abatement activities as the degree of cross-ownership increases.

本研究探讨了在混合寡头垄断中,交叉所有权与带有环境企业社会责任(ECSR)激励机制的管理委托合同之间的战略互动关系。我们发现,在交叉所有权条件下,私营企业总是利用环境企业社会责任激励机制进行价格竞争,而公共管理者只有在出现严重环境损害时才会这样做。我们还证明,当福利加权的公共管理者采用 ECSR 激励机制时,他们的 ECSR 激励机制总是低于利润加权的公共管理者,从而导致更低的环境损害和更高的社会福利。最后,我们发现福利加权的公共授权会增加私营企业的 ECSR,而利润加权的公共授权则相反。我们的研究结果表明,随着交叉所有权程度的增加,政府应该为其公共管理者设计一个环境激励计划,该计划也能促使私人管理者在减排活动中表现得更加积极。
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引用次数: 0
Payments and penalties in ecosystem services programs 生态系统服务计划中的付款和处罚
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-04-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102988
Youngho Kim, Erik Lichtenberg, David A. Newburn

Payment for ecosystem services (PES) program contracts include penalties for non-performance to ensure that these programs receive the environmental benefits they have been paying for. The standard penalty structure in PES programs requires participants to pay back all program payments received if the contract is terminated before the end of the contract lifetime. We derive the optimal non-completion penalty structure, which decouples the penalty from payments received. In contrast to the backward-looking standard penalty, the optimal penalty is forward-looking and equals the principal's net future environmental benefits lost due to contract non-completion. The optimal penalty thus falls over the life of the contract, in contrast to the standard penalty, which rises over the life of the contract. A numerical policy simulation with heterogeneous agents based on features in federal agricultural conservation programs in the United States suggests that the optimal penalty structure can increase realized net environmental benefits significantly. Our results suggest that performance of most kinds of PES programs can be enhanced by decoupling non-completion penalties from payments and by adjusting how penalties vary over contract lifetimes.

生态系统服务补偿(PES)项目合同包括对不履约行为的处罚,以确保这些项目获得其支付的环境效益。生态系统服务补偿项目的标准惩罚结构要求,如果合同在有效期结束前终止,参与者必须偿还所有收到的项目付款。我们推导出了最优的未完成惩罚结构,该结构将惩罚与收到的付款脱钩。与向后看的标准罚金不同,最优罚金是向前看的,等于委托人因未完成合同而损失的未来环境效益净值。因此,最优罚金会在合同有效期内下降,而标准罚金则会在合同有效期内上升。根据美国联邦农业保护计划的特点,我们对异质代理人进行了数值政策模拟,结果表明,最优惩罚结构可以显著增加已实现的净环境效益。我们的研究结果表明,通过将未完成合同的惩罚与付款脱钩以及调整惩罚在合同有效期内的变化方式,可以提高大多数生态系统服务补偿项目的绩效。
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引用次数: 0
Can leaders motivate employees’ energy-efficient behavior with thoughtful communication? 领导者能否通过深思熟虑的沟通激发员工的节能行为?
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-04-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102990
Christin Hoffmann , Kirsten Thommes

We study the effect of an employer’s communication concerning energy-efficient behavior on a firm’s employees’ behavioral responses. The management aims to enhance energy-efficient behavior performance by irregularly sending online messages to remote employees. We break down each message, analyzing the positive or negative emotions conveyed, collective or individual orientation, and ease of language. Comparing employees’ daily energy efficiency after receiving a message to their daily performance without a previous message, we find that messages generally result in an immediate increase in efficiency. Messages conveying negative emotions and those making a distinction between the manager and the employees have a smaller effect than messages conveying positive emotions and emphasizing a collective orientation that includes both the management and employees. Additionally, shorter messages are more likely to induce improved efficiency. Sending messages significantly impacts driver performance for up to six days after the message, resulting in economically relevant cost reductions.

我们研究了雇主关于节能行为的沟通对公司员工行为反应的影响。公司管理层旨在通过不定期地向远程员工发送在线信息来提高员工的节能行为表现。我们对每条信息进行了细分,分析了所传达的积极或消极情绪、集体或个人导向以及语言的易用性。对比员工收到信息后与未收到信息前的日常能效表现,我们发现信息通常会立即提高能效。与传达积极情绪和强调集体导向(包括管理层和员工)的信息相比,传达消极情绪和区分管理者与员工的信息的效果较小。此外,较短的信息更有可能提高效率。在发送信息后的六天内,发送信息会对驾驶员的工作表现产生重大影响,从而降低相关的经济成本。
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引用次数: 0
How constant is constant elasticity of substitution? Endogenous substitution between clean and dirty energy 恒定替代弹性有多恒定?清洁能源与肮脏能源之间的内生替代
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-04-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102982
Ara Jo , Alena Miftakhova

The degree of substitutability between clean and dirty energy plays a central role in leading economic analyses of optimal environmental policy. Despite the importance, assuming a constant and exogenous elasticity of substitution has been a dominant theoretical approach. We challenge this assumption by developing a dynamic general equilibrium model with an endogenous elasticity of substitution that interacts with the relative share of clean inputs in the economy. We find strong dynamic feedback effects arising from endogenous substitution capacity that amplifies the impact of directed technical change and accelerates the transition to a green economy.

清洁能源与肮脏能源之间的可替代程度在最优环境政策的主要经济分析中起着核心作用。尽管非常重要,但假设不变的外生替代弹性一直是占主导地位的理论方法。我们建立了一个动态一般均衡模型,其中的内生替代弹性与经济中清洁投入的相对份额相互影响,从而对这一假设提出了挑战。我们发现,内生替代能力产生了强大的动态反馈效应,放大了定向技术变革的影响,加速了向绿色经济的过渡。
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引用次数: 0
Discretion rather than rules in multiple-species fisheries 多鱼种渔业中的自由裁量权而非规则
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-04-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102983
Rajesh Singh, Quinn Weninger

This paper evaluates the bioeconomic performance of individual fishing quota (IFQ) regulations in multiple-species fisheries. In our model, a manager chooses the aggregate quotas under uncertainty over the true stock abundances of two jointly-harvested fish species. Fishers conduct harvest operations under full knowledge of the species-specific productivities of fishing gear. We derive the profit maximizing fishing mortality and economic rent outcomes implemented by fishers under various regulatory designs. We compare bioeconomic performance of an IFQ regulation with discretion over the mix of harvested species against an IFQ regulation that bans at-sea discarding. Both regulations eliminate discards. Discretion allows closer alignment between fisher implemented outcomes and those that maximize long term expected fishery value. Incorporating discretion into regulatory designs provides new prospects for improving fisheries management.

本文评估了多鱼种渔业中个体捕捞配额(IFQ)规定的生物经济绩效。在我们的模型中,管理者在两个共同捕捞鱼种的真实种群丰度不确定的情况下选择总配额。渔民在完全了解渔具的特定物种生产率的情况下进行捕捞作业。我们推导出渔民在不同监管设计下实施的利润最大化捕捞死亡率和经济租金结果。我们比较了可自行决定捕捞鱼种组合的 IFQ 法规与禁止海上弃鱼的 IFQ 法规的生物经济表现。两种法规都杜绝了丢弃。自由裁量权使渔民实施的结果与长期预期渔业价值最大化的结果更加一致。将自由裁量权纳入监管设计为改善渔业管理提供了新的前景。
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引用次数: 0
Carbon capture: Storage vs. Utilization 碳捕获:储存与利用
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-04-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102976
Michel Moreaux , Jean-Pierre Amigues , Gerard van der Meijden , Cees Withagen

Carbon capture and storage in salt domes or in inactive fields is seen as an appealing option to meet the ambitious objectives of the Paris Agreement. Captured CO2 emissions can also be injected in active fields to enhance gas or oil recovery. We examine the optimal scale and timing of these different capturing and storage options in a dynamic model of an economy subject to a carbon budget. We consider the socially optimal outcome as well as the outcome under laissez-faire. The social optimum can have different forms depending on the initial carbon budget, the fossil fuel resource stock and the stock of already injected CO2 in active fields. The level and convexity of the costs of capturing, storing and producing renewable energy plays a role as well. We specify the conditions under which each possible sequence of regimes – no capturing, only enhanced recovery, only storage without enhanced recovery, a combination of both or only renewables – occurs. We quantify our analytical results by calibrating the model and running simulations.

为实现《巴黎协定》的宏伟目标,在盐穹顶或不活跃油田进行碳捕集与封存被认为是一个极具吸引力的选择。捕获的二氧化碳排放也可以注入活跃油田,以提高天然气或石油的采收率。我们在一个受碳预算限制的经济动态模型中,研究了这些不同捕集与封存方案的最佳规模和时机。我们考虑了社会最优结果和自由放任下的结果。根据初始碳预算、化石燃料资源存量和活跃油田中已注入的二氧化碳存量的不同,社会最优结果可能有不同的形式。捕获、储存和生产可再生能源的成本水平和凸性也起着作用。我们明确了每种可能的制度序列--不捕集、仅强化回收、仅封存而不强化回收、两者结合或仅可再生能源--发生的条件。我们通过校准模型和运行模拟来量化我们的分析结果。
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引用次数: 0
Coordinating to avoid the catastrophe 协调避免灾难
IF 4.6 3区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS Pub Date : 2024-04-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeem.2024.102977
Vitus Bühl, Robert C. Schmidt

“Tipping points” for dangerous climate damages can transform climate protection into a coordination problem. If the location of the threshold is known, Nash equilibria exist in which the catastrophe is averted even without a climate agreement. However, there usually exists also an equilibrium in which no country exerts effort to prevent it, and the catastrophe occurs. We model equilibrium selection among non-cooperative countries with the help of an external randomization device, and analyze how it affects coalition formation. We find that results are much more nuanced than in the case where non-cooperative countries always coordinate on preventing the catastrophe. In some cases, a “coalition of free-riders” forms that is detrimental to welfare. In other cases, a “threshold equilibrium” emerges in which coalition members commit to do more than the outsiders, and the coalition is just large enough to become active. The grand coalition is also an equilibrium outcome, but is often unstable towards deviations by groups of countries.

危险气候损害的 "临界点 "可以将气候保护转化为一个协调问题。如果知道临界点的位置,就会存在纳什均衡,在这种均衡中,即使没有气候协议也能避免灾难。然而,通常也存在这样一种均衡,即没有任何国家努力阻止灾难的发生。我们借助外部随机化装置来模拟非合作国家之间的均衡选择,并分析它如何影响联盟的形成。我们发现,与非合作国家总是协调防止灾难发生的情况相比,结果要细微得多。在某些情况下,会形成不利于福利的 "搭便车者联盟"。在其他情况下,会出现一种 "门槛均衡",即联盟成员承诺比局外人做得更多,而联盟的规模恰好大到可以变得活跃。大联盟也是一种均衡结果,但往往对国家集团的偏离具有不稳定性。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Environmental Economics and Management
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