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Estimating Grain Stress and Distinguishing Between Mobility and Transportability Improves Bedload Transport Estimates in Coarse-Bedded Mountain Rivers 估算颗粒应力并区分流动性和可迁移性可改进山区粗河床床面负荷迁移估算结果
IF 3.5 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-08-07 DOI: 10.1029/2024JF007662
Jordan Gilbert, Andrew C. Wilcox

Estimating sediment transport in mountain rivers is challenging because of sediment supply limitation, broad grain size distributions, complex flow hydraulics, and large form drag. Consequently, sediment transport equations are lacking for application in rivers where the bed is coarse and largely immobile, but small fractions of finer, transportable sized material contribute disproportionately to bedload transport. We introduce a framework for estimating sediment transport in mountain rivers that addresses two limitations: estimating the shear stress acting on mobile grains, and accounting for the difference between mobility of size fractions, that is, whether or not a specific grain size can move at a given flow, and transportability, which we define as how much of that size present in the bed will be recruited into transport. We use two bedload data sets to develop equations for predicting incipient motion and transport rates of each grain size fraction present in the bed. We tested the new equations against incipient motion and sediment transport data we collected from streams in the Rocky Mountains, USA, and against published regional sediment yield data. Using this method results in transport estimates where the finer fractions, despite being a small fraction of the bed surface, make up a large part of the total yield. Fractions greater than the median bed grain size are mobile only during peak flood flows, consistent with the existing mountain river bedload data sets. The approach is parsimonious, requiring only data that are often readily available or obtainable: a bed grain size distribution, hydraulic geometry measurements, and discharge.

由于沉积物供应限制、粒径分布广泛、水流水力学复杂以及形态阻力大,估算山区河流的沉积物输运具有挑战性。因此,在河床较粗且基本不流动,但小部分较细且可运输的物质对河床负荷运输的贡献不成比例的河流中,缺乏适用的泥沙输运方程。我们引入了一个用于估算山区河流泥沙输运的框架,该框架解决了两个局限性问题:估算作用于移动颗粒的剪应力,以及考虑粒度分部的移动性(即特定粒度是否能在给定流量下移动)和可输运性(我们将其定义为河床中该粒度有多少会被输运)之间的差异。我们利用两组床面负荷数据,建立了预测床面中每种粒径部分的初始运动和迁移率的方程。我们根据从美国落基山脉的溪流中收集的萌动和泥沙输运数据,以及已公布的区域泥沙产量数据,对新方程进行了测试。使用这种方法得出的输运估算结果是,尽管较细的部分只占河床表面的一小部分,但却占总产量的很大一部分。大于河床粒径中值的部分仅在洪峰流量期间流动,这与现有的山区河流河床负荷数据集一致。这种方法非常简单,只需要通常容易获得的数据:河床粒径分布、水力几何测量和排水量。
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引用次数: 0
Traveling or Jiggling: Particle Motion Modes and Their Relative Contribution to Bed-Load Variables 行进还是抖动:粒子运动模式及其对床载荷变量的相对贡献
IF 3.5 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-08-03 DOI: 10.1029/2024JF007637
Daniel Rebai, Alessio Radice, Francesco Ballio

The motion state of a particle is a crucial aspect of sediment transport problems. In this paper, we conceptualized three states: stillness, “transport”, and “non-transport”, considering that not all the particle motions contribute significantly to the mean sediment transport rate. Starting from a data set of bed-load particle tracks obtained from particle tracking velocimetry, we removed the bias from experimental uncertainty and applied one-dimensional, instantaneous, and non-parametric criteria for distinguishing the states. We described the kinematics of particles in transport and non-transport states, presenting some sample trajectories and the distributions of particle velocity and acceleration. While the transport state presents a clear distinction between stream-wise and transverse particle velocity, the non-transport state is related to isotropic particle jiggling, and does not significantly contribute to the bed-load rate. Vice-versa, the particle motions in the non-transport state are relevant for other summary indicators of the transport process, such as the mean number of moving particles and mean particle velocity. We discuss how applying the proposed non-parametric criterion for state separation is beneficial compared to parameter-dependent alternatives available in the literature. Finally, we provide an outlook on possible applications of our concept for the investigation of other sediment transport processes (incipient motion, solid-fluid interface, creeping flow).

颗粒的运动状态是泥沙输运问题的一个关键方面。考虑到并非所有颗粒运动都会对平均沉积物输运率产生重大影响,我们在本文中提出了三种状态的概念:静止、"输运 "和 "非输运"。我们从粒子跟踪测速仪获得的床面负荷粒子轨迹数据集出发,消除了实验不确定性带来的偏差,并采用一维、瞬时和非参数标准来区分这些状态。我们描述了颗粒在传输状态和非传输状态下的运动学特性,展示了一些样本轨迹以及颗粒速度和加速度的分布。运移状态下的粒子速度与横向粒子速度有明显区别,而非运移状态则与各向同性的粒子抖动有关,对床面负荷率的影响不大。反之亦然,非迁移状态下的颗粒运动与迁移过程的其他简要指标有关,如移动颗粒的平均数量和平均颗粒速度。我们讨论了与文献中依赖参数的替代方法相比,采用所提出的非参数标准进行状态分离的好处。最后,我们展望了将我们的概念应用于研究其他沉积物输运过程(初生运动、固液界面、蠕动流)的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
Editorial to the Special Collection “Controls and Biasing Factors in Sediment Generation, Routing, and Provenance: Models, Methods, and Case Studies” 编辑专集 "沉积物生成、路径和来源中的控制和偏差因素:模型、方法和案例研究
IF 3.5 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-30 DOI: 10.1029/2024JF007874
Laura Stutenbecker, Chris Mark, Alberto Resentini

Clastic sediment composition constitutes a key archive of Earth history, controlled by allogenic and autogenic processes that impact weathering, erosion, sediment transfer, and deposition. Deciphering those processes can provide valuable insights into ancient and modern tectonic, geomorphic, climatic, and anthropogenic controls that shape sediment routing systems over a wide range of temporal and spatial scales. However, in order to clearly identify the controls on sediment composition, it is necessary to exclude sources of bias that may mask or diminish the original provenance signal. Such biases may be natural, including mineral fertility, sediment recycling, and grain size, or analytical. This special collection arises from the fifth meeting of the working group on sediment generation held at the University Milano-Bicocca in Milan, Italy, from 28 to 30 June 2022. The collation includes studies that investigate biasing factors affecting all steps of the sediment cascade and all stages of sample collection, preparation, and analysis, as well as case studies that aim to disentangle original provenance signals from geological, environmental, or analytical noise.

碎屑沉积物成分是地球历史的重要档案,受影响风化、侵蚀、沉积物转移和沉积的同源和自源过程控制。破译这些过程可以为了解古今构造、地貌、气候和人为控制提供宝贵的信息,这些控制在广泛的时间和空间尺度上塑造了沉积物路由系统。然而,为了清楚地确定沉积物组成的控制因素,有必要排除可能掩盖或削弱原始来源信号的偏差来源。这些偏差可能是自然产生的,包括矿物肥力、沉积物循环和粒度,也可能是分析产生的。沉积物生成工作组第五次会议于 2022 年 6 月 28 日至 30 日在意大利米兰比可卡大学举行,本特别文集即是此次会议的成果。本论文集包括调查影响沉积物级联所有步骤以及样本收集、制备和分析所有阶段的偏差因素的研究,以及旨在从地质、环境或分析噪声中分离原始出处信号的案例研究。
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引用次数: 0
Geochemical and Radiogenic Sr-Nd Isotope Characterization of Widespread Sandy Surface Sediments in the Great Indian Desert, Thar: Implications for Provenance Studies 塔尔印度大沙漠大范围沙质表层沉积物的地球化学和放射性 Sr-Nd 同位素特征:对产地研究的启示
IF 3.5 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-30 DOI: 10.1029/2023JF007625
Rohan Bhattacharyya, Satinder Pal Singh, Abul Qasim, Azad Kashyap Chandrashekhar

Understanding large desert formation/evolution contributing to regional-to-global dust cycles remains a challenge. This study presents the geochemical and Sr-Nd isotope compositions of 51 surface sediment samples collected from the widespread hyper-arid Thar Desert in northwestern India. The major objective is to determine sediment provenance for a better understanding of the formation/evolution mechanism of this Great Indian Desert as well as downwind dust contributions toward the Himalayas. The compositionally immature sandy Thar sediments (CIA ∼50 ± 4, WIP ∼49 ± 12, and EuN/Eu* ∼0.80 ± 0.13) are recycled materials derived from the Himalayan orogen and later modified by quartz addition and heavy mineral depletion/sorting processes. The 87Sr/86Sr (0.7259 ± 0.0012 and εNd (−12.5 ± 2.7) in the bulk of these Thar sediments are different from the earlier published compositions of the eolian sand deposits in northwestern India. The subcategories of Thar materials collected from different dune types exposed over different lithologies (Quaternary alluvium vs. Tertiary and Mesozoic sedimentary formations) are geochemically and isotopically indistinguishable, which indicates their cogenetic sources and/or sediment reworking. Thar sediments collected in this study have a predominant Indus origin along with significant contributions from the upwind Ghaggar-Hakra paleochannels. The Indus sediments are most likely wind-eroded from the shelf region exposed during the low sea stand of LGM and afterward deglaciation. Considering the new and published data sets, the Sr-Nd isotope budget of dust deposited in the Himalayan frontal glaciers indicates that atmospheric mineral dust contribution from the upwind Indo-Gangetic Plain proximal to the Himalayas is at par with dust parcels from distant natural deserts.

了解大沙漠的形成/演变对区域乃至全球沙尘循环的影响仍然是一项挑战。本研究介绍了从印度西北部广布的超干旱塔尔沙漠采集的 51 个地表沉积物样本的地球化学和钍钕同位素组成。研究的主要目的是确定沉积物的来源,以便更好地了解印度大沙漠的形成/演变机制以及喜马拉雅山的下风向沙尘贡献。成分不成熟的沙质塔尔沉积物(CIA ∼50 ± 4,WIP ∼49 ± 12,EuN/Eu* ∼0.80 ± 0.13)是来自喜马拉雅造山运动的再循环材料,后经石英添加和重矿物贫化/分选过程而改变。大部分塔尔沉积物中的 87Sr/86Sr (0.7259 ± 0.0012) 和 εNd (-12.5 ± 2.7) 与早先公布的印度西北部风化砂沉积物成分不同。从暴露在不同岩性(第四纪冲积层与第三纪和中生代沉积层)上的不同沙丘类型中采集的塔尔沉积物子类别在地球化学和同位素方面没有区别,这表明它们具有同源来源和/或沉积物再加工。本研究收集的塔尔河沉积物主要来自印度河,上风向的加加尔-哈克拉古河道也为其提供了大量沉积物。印度河沉积物很可能是在远古至近代的低海平面时期以及脱冰期之后从陆架地区暴露出来的风蚀沉积物。考虑到新的和已公布的数据集,沉积在喜马拉雅山正面冰川中的尘埃的 Sr-Nd 同位素预算表明,来自喜马拉雅山附近的上风印度-甘地平原的大气矿物尘埃与来自遥远的天然沙漠的尘埃相当。
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引用次数: 0
A Sediment Budget for a Sand Bed River Partitioned by Sand Fractions 按沙粒分区计算的沙床河流沉积物预算
IF 3.5 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-22 DOI: 10.1029/2023JF007384
Christina M. Leonard, John C. Schmidt

Sediment budgets are widely used to measure reach-scale sediment accumulation and evacuation. Such measurements, however, cannot determine when the disturbance is major and the measured sediment mass imbalance is reflective of a river adjusting to a new equilibrium state, as opposed to situations when the disturbance is minor, and the mass imbalance is reflective of a river adjusting within its existing behavioral regime. Sediment sorting among channels and floodplains can have a large effect on how a river responds to a disturbance. Fine sediment may accumulate in the floodplains while coarser sediment erodes from the channel bed. We demonstrate that if a sediment budget does not account for the different behavior and destination of grain sizes, the budget cannot reveal important channel adjustments. In this study, we evaluated how a sand bed river responded to increases in sediment supply by partitioning a sediment budget among silt/clay and five sand fractions. On average, 12 metric tons/meter (downstream)/year of sand was evacuated from the system, but sorting caused channel margins to behave differently from vegetated islands, revealing how a river can slightly narrow while in deficit. Floodplain shaving and bed coarsening evacuated sediment while channel geometry barely changed, consistent with a river adjusting to a minor disturbance within its behavioral regime. This study is an important reminder that sediment mass imbalance does not always lead to channel change. Mechanisms such as floodplain shaving and bed textural change help rivers absorb minor disturbances and resist channel change.

沉积物预算被广泛用于测量河段范围内的沉积物积累和疏散。然而,这种测量方法无法确定何时干扰较大,测得的泥沙质量失衡反映了河流正在调整到新的平衡状态,而何时干扰较小,质量失衡反映了河流正在其现有行为机制内进行调整。河道和洪泛区之间的泥沙分选会对河流如何应对扰动产生很大影响。细泥沙可能会在冲积平原上堆积,而较粗的泥沙则会从河床上侵蚀下来。我们证明,如果沉积物预算不考虑不同粒径的行为和去向,预算就无法揭示重要的河道调整。在这项研究中,我们通过将泥沙预算划分为淤泥/粘土和五种沙粒,评估了沙床河流如何应对泥沙供应的增加。平均而言,每年有 12 公吨/米(下游)的沙子从该系统中排出,但分选导致河道边缘的表现不同于植被丰富的岛屿,揭示了河流在缺水时如何略微变窄。在河道几何形状几乎没有变化的情况下,洪泛区刨削和河床粗化带走了泥沙,这与河流在其行为机制中适应轻微干扰的情况是一致的。这项研究提醒我们,泥沙量失衡并不总能导致河道变化。洪泛区刨削和河床纹理变化等机制有助于河流吸收轻微扰动并抵御河道变化。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling Riverbed Elevation and Bedload Tracer Transport Resting Times Using Fractional Laplace Motion 利用分数拉普拉斯运动模拟河床高程和床面负荷示踪迁移静止时间
IF 3.5 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-22 DOI: 10.1029/2024JF007771
Zi Wu, Arvind Singh

Riverbed elevations play a crucial role in sediment transport and flow resistance, making it essential to understand and quantify their effects. This knowledge is vital for various fields, including river engineering and stream ecology. Previous observations have revealed that fluctuations in the bed surface can exhibit both multifractal and monofractal behaviors. Specifically, the probability distribution function (PDF) of elevation increments may transition from Laplace (two-sided exponential) to Gaussian with increasing scales or consistently remain Gaussian, respectively. These differences at the finest timescale lead to distinct patterns of bedload particle exchange with the bed surface, thereby influencing particle resting times and streamwise transport. In this paper, we utilize the fractional Laplace motion (FLM) model to analyze riverbed elevation series, demonstrating its capability to capture both mono- and multi-fractal behaviors. Our focus is on studying the resting time distribution of bedload particles during downstream transport, with the FLM model primarily parameterized based on the Laplace distribution of increments PDF at the finest timescale. Resting times are extracted from the bed elevation series by identifying pairs of adjacent deposition and entrainment events at the same elevation. We demonstrate that in cases of insufficient data series length, the FLM model robustly estimates the tail exponent of the resting time distribution. Notably, the tail of the exceedance probability distribution of resting times is much heavier for experimental measurements displaying Laplace increments PDF at the finest scale, compared to previous studies observing Gaussian PDF for bed elevation.

河床高程在泥沙输运和水流阻力方面起着至关重要的作用,因此了解和量化河床高程的影响至关重要。这些知识对河流工程学和溪流生态学等多个领域都至关重要。以往的观测结果表明,河床表面的波动既可以表现为多分形,也可以表现为单分形。具体来说,随着尺度的增大,海拔增量的概率分布函数(PDF)可能从拉普拉斯(双面指数)过渡到高斯分布函数,也可能始终保持高斯分布函数。这些最细时间尺度上的差异会导致不同的床面颗粒交换模式,从而影响颗粒的静止时间和流向传输。在本文中,我们利用分数拉普拉斯运动(FLM)模型来分析河床高程序列,展示了其捕捉单分形和多分形行为的能力。我们的重点是研究下游输运过程中河床颗粒的静止时间分布,FLM 模型的参数主要基于最细时间尺度上增量 PDF 的拉普拉斯分布。通过识别同一海拔高度的相邻沉积和夹带事件对,从河床海拔高度序列中提取静止时间。我们证明,在数据序列长度不足的情况下,FLM 模型能稳健地估计静止时间分布的尾部指数。值得注意的是,在最细尺度上显示拉普拉斯增量PDF的实验测量中,静止时间超标概率分布的尾部要重得多,而之前的研究观察到的是床面高程的高斯PDF。
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引用次数: 0
The Potential for Fracture Growth in Stepped Subglacial Topography as a Quarrying Mechanism 阶梯状冰川地形中断裂增长作为采石机制的潜力
IF 3.5 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.1029/2023JF007482
C. R. Theiss, K. M. Cuffey, Q. Zhao

Understanding the rates and mechanisms of erosion by subglacial quarrying is a major unsolved problem in geomorphology. Stress enhancement due to load concentration on bedrock ledges between cavities is hypothesized to drive the growth of fractures. Prior work assumed the formation of vertically oriented tensile fractures at the downstream margins of cavities as the controlling process, but did not account for the evolution of the stress field as fractures lengthen, and in particular the dominance of the shearing mode at fracture tips. We used 2D finite element analysis and J-integral methods to analyze stress intensity factors and fracture growth potentials at the tips of preexisting fractures in loaded bedrock steps, taking into account normal and shear components and measured rock strengths. By examining different step heights, step riser angles, rock types, prior fracture locations and orientations, and extents of ice-rock contact zones, we identified some situations favorable for fracture growth, especially in brittle rock types. Typically, however, the growth direction will not be vertically downward but angled up-glacier away from the step riser, a situation unfavorable for quarrying. Moreover, in many situations, the normal stress across fracture planes will be compressive. Non-vertical step risers buttress the bedrock and also suppress fracture growth. In contrast, reducing the sizes of ice-rock contact zones not only increases the loading magnitude, as previously recognized, but also increases intensification of tensile stress at the tips of fractures located just up-glacier. Thus, larger cavities, and hence, fast sliding and low effective pressures, favor quarrying more strongly than previously recognized.

了解冰川下采石活动的侵蚀速度和机制是地貌学中一个尚未解决的重大问题。据推测,岩洞间基岩壁架的负荷集中导致应力增强,从而推动了裂缝的生长。之前的研究假定空洞下游边缘垂直方向拉伸裂缝的形成是控制过程,但没有考虑到裂缝延长时应力场的演变,特别是裂缝顶端剪切模式的主导作用。我们使用二维有限元分析和 J-积分法分析了加载基岩台阶中预先存在的裂缝顶端的应力强度因子和裂缝增长潜力,同时考虑了法向和剪切分量以及测得的岩石强度。通过研究不同的台阶高度、台阶上升角度、岩石类型、先前的断裂位置和方向以及冰岩接触带的范围,我们发现了一些有利于断裂生长的情况,尤其是在脆性岩石类型中。不过,通常情况下,裂缝的生长方向不是垂直向下,而是在冰川上倾斜,远离阶梯立面,这种情况不利于采石。此外,在许多情况下,断裂面上的法向应力是压缩应力。非垂直的阶梯立管可以支撑基岩,也可以抑制断裂的生长。与此相反,缩小冰岩接触区的面积不仅会增加荷载量(如前所述),还会加剧冰川上游断裂顶端的拉应力。因此,较大的空洞,以及由此产生的快速滑动和较低的有效压力,比以前认识到的更有利于采石。
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引用次数: 0
Sediment Cover Modulates Landscape Erosion Patterns and Channel Steepness in Layered Rocks: Insights From the SPACE Model 沉积物覆盖调节层状岩石的地貌侵蚀模式和河道陡度:SPACE 模型的启示
IF 3.5 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-14 DOI: 10.1029/2023JF007509
G. J. Guryan, J. P. L. Johnson, N. M. Gasparini

Erosional perturbations from changes in climate or tectonics are recorded in the profiles of bedrock rivers, but these signals can be challenging to unravel in settings with non-uniform lithology. In layered rocks, the surface lithology at a given location varies through time as erosion exposes different layers of rock. Recent modeling studies have used the Stream Power Model (SPM) to highlight complex variations in erosion rates that arise in bedrock rivers incising through layered rocks. However, these studies do not capture the effects of coarse sediment cover on channel evolution. We use the “Stream Power with Alluvium Conservation and Entrainment” (SPACE) model to explore how sediment cover influences landscape evolution and modulates the topographic expression of erodibility contrasts in horizontally layered rocks. We simulate river evolution through alternating layers of hard and soft rock over million-year timescales with a constant and uniform uplift rate. Compared to the SPM, model runs with sediment cover have systematically higher channel steepness values in soft rock layers and lower channel steepness values in hard rock layers. As more sediment accumulates, the contrast in steepness between the two rock types decreases. Effective bedrock erodibilities back-calculated assuming the SPM are strongly influenced by sediment cover. We also find that sediment cover can significantly increase total relief and timescales of adjustment toward landscape-averaged steady-state topography and erosion rates.

基岩河流的剖面中记录了气候或构造变化引起的侵蚀扰动,但在岩性不均匀的环境中,要解开这些信号可能具有挑战性。在层状岩石中,特定位置的地表岩性会随着时间的推移而变化,因为侵蚀会暴露出不同的岩层。最近的建模研究使用了溪流动力模型(SPM)来突出基岩河流切入层状岩石时侵蚀速率的复杂变化。然而,这些研究并没有捕捉到粗沉积物覆盖对河道演变的影响。我们使用 "冲积层保护和诱导的溪流动力"(SPACE)模型来探索沉积物覆盖如何影响地貌演变,以及如何调节水平层状岩石中侵蚀性对比的地形表达。我们模拟了河流在百万年时间尺度内通过软硬交替的岩石层的演变过程,并模拟了恒定和均匀的隆升速率。与 SPM 相比,在有沉积物覆盖的模型运行中,软岩层的河道陡度值明显较高,而硬岩层的河道陡度值较低。随着沉积物的增加,两种岩石类型的陡度对比会减小。假设 SPM 进行回算的有效基岩侵蚀率受沉积物覆盖的影响很大。我们还发现,沉积物覆盖会显著增加总的地形起伏,以及向景观平均稳态地形和侵蚀率调整的时间尺度。
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引用次数: 0
An Attempt to Take Into Account Natural Variability in 1D Bedload Prediction 在一维床面负荷预测中考虑自然变化的尝试
IF 3.5 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-13 DOI: 10.1029/2023JF007601
A. Recking, A. Johannot, K. Horita, M. Nasr, D. Vázquez-Tarrío, S. Zanker, F. Fontaine, G. Melun

Bedload transport can fluctuate considerably over relatively short periods of time and for a given quasi-constant flow rate. What are the implications of replacing the fluctuating signal with a smoothed signal when calculating bedload transport using averaged values, as is common practice? This question was investigated with the BedloadR code, which allows 1D bedload calculation as well as Monte Carlo simulations using a new data set collected in the Severaisse River (French Ecrins massif). Four bedload equations (Camenen & Larson, 2005, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2004.10.019; Meyer-Peter & Mueller, 1948; Parker, 1990, https://doi.org/10.1080/00221689009499058; Recking, 2013a, https://doi.org/10.1061/(asce)hy.1943-7900.0000653) were selected for their performance relative to the measured bedload (except for and Meyer-Peter and Mueller) and because each equation has a different mathematical form and degree of nonlinearity. They were used in a Monte Carlo approach, with input probability distributions fitted to the measured river width, slope, bed grain-size distribution, and to the associated (computed) Shields stress. The results show that accounting for natural variability in the calculation reproduces bedload fluctuations well. But overall, when calculating the bedload volume transported by a flow event, accounting for variability systematically leads to higher estimated volumes (of the order of 20%) than those obtained with a deterministic approach using average input parameters. This is a direct consequence of the nonlinearity of the equations.

在给定的准恒定流速下,在相对较短的时间内,床面负荷迁移量会有很大波动。按照通常的做法,在使用平均值计算床载运移时,用平滑信号取代波动信号会产生什么影响?我们使用 BedloadR 代码对这一问题进行了研究,该代码可以进行一维床面负荷计算,也可以使用在塞韦莱塞河(法国埃克林山丘)收集的新数据集进行蒙特卡罗模拟。我们选择了四个床面负荷方程(Camenen & Larson, 2005, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2004.10.019; Meyer-Peter & Mueller, 1948; Parker, 1990, https://doi.org/10.1080/00221689009499058; Recking, 2013a, https://doi.org/10.1061/(asce)hy.1943-7900.0000653),因为它们相对于实测床面负荷的性能(Meyer-Peter 和 Mueller 除外)以及每个方程都具有不同的数学形式和非线性程度。它们被用于蒙特卡罗方法,输入概率分布与测量的河宽、坡度、河床粒径分布以及相关的(计算的)希尔兹应力相适应。结果表明,在计算中考虑到自然变化,可以很好地再现床面负荷的波动。但总体而言,在计算一个水流事件搬运的床面负荷量时,考虑变化因素会导致估算的体积比使用平均输入参数的确定性方法得出的体积高(约 20%)。这是方程非线性的直接结果。
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引用次数: 0
Permafrost and Active Layer Temperature and Freeze/Thaw Timing Reflect Climatic Trends at Bayelva, Svalbard 斯瓦尔巴群岛巴耶尔瓦的永久冻土和活动层温度及冻融时间反映气候趋势
IF 3.5 2区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Pub Date : 2024-07-11 DOI: 10.1029/2024JF007648
Inge Grünberg, Brian Groenke, Sebastian Westermann, Julia Boike

Permafrost warming has been observed all around the Arctic, however, variations in temperature trends and their drivers remain poorly understood. We present a comprehensive analysis of climatic changes spanning 25 years (1998–2023) at Bayelva (78.92094°N, 11.83333°E) on Spitzbergen, Svalbard. The quality controlled hourly data set includes air temperature, radiation fluxes, snow depth, rainfall, active layer temperature and moisture, and, since 2009, permafrost temperature. Our Bayesian trend analysis reveals an annual air temperature increase of 0.9 ± 0.5°C/decade and strongest warming in September and October. We observed a significant shortening of the snow cover by −14 ± 8 days/decade, coupled with reduced winter snow depth. The active layer simultaneously warmed by 0.6 ± 0.7°C/decade at the top and 0.8 ± 0.5°C/decade at the bottom. While the soil surface got drier, in particular during summer, soil moisture below increased in accordance with the longer unfrozen period and higher winter temperatures. The thawed period prolonged by 10–15 days/decade at different depths. In contrast to earlier top-soil warming, we observed stable temperatures since 2010 and only little permafrost warming (0.14 ± 0.13°C/decade). This is likely due to recently stable winter air temperature and continuously decreasing winter snow depth. This recent development highlights a complex interplay among climate and soil variables. Our distinctive long-term data set underscores (a) the changes in seasonal warming patterns, (b) the influential role of snow cover decline, and (c) that air temperature alone is not a sufficient indicator of change in permafrost environments, thereby highlighting the importance of investigating a wider range of parameters, such as soil moisture and snow characteristics.

在整个北极地区都观察到了冻土变暖的现象,然而,人们对温度趋势的变化及其驱动因素仍然知之甚少。我们对斯瓦尔巴群岛斯皮茨卑尔根岛的巴耶尔瓦(78.92094°N,11.83333°E)25 年(1998-2023 年)的气候变化进行了全面分析。质量受控的每小时数据集包括气温、辐射通量、积雪深度、降雨量、活动层温度和湿度,以及自 2009 年以来的永久冻土温度。我们的贝叶斯趋势分析表明,气温的年增长率为 0.9 ± 0.5°C/十年,9 月和 10 月的升温幅度最大。我们观察到积雪覆盖时间明显缩短,为-14 ± 8天/十年,同时冬季积雪深度也有所减少。同时,活动层顶部升温 0.6 ± 0.7°C/十年,底部升温 0.8 ± 0.5°C/十年。虽然土壤表层变得更加干燥,尤其是在夏季,但随着解冻期的延长和冬季气温的升高,下层土壤湿度增加。不同深度的解冻期延长了 10-15 天/十年。与早期表层土壤变暖不同的是,我们观察到自 2010 年以来气温稳定,冻土变暖幅度很小(0.14 ± 0.13°C /十年)。这可能是由于最近冬季气温稳定,冬季积雪深度持续下降所致。这一最新进展凸显了气候与土壤变量之间复杂的相互作用。我们独特的长期数据集强调了:(a)季节性变暖模式的变化;(b)积雪覆盖率下降的影响作用;(c)仅凭气温不足以说明永久冻土环境的变化,从而突出了研究土壤湿度和积雪特征等更广泛参数的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface
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