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Probability analysis considering the temporal properties of fire-induced domino effects 考虑火灾引发的多米诺骨牌效应的时间特性的概率分析
IF 3.6 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2024.105420

If a fire occurs in an area with multiple installations storing or handling flammable materials, it may escalate from one installation to another to form so-called domino effects. The propagation of fire-induced domino effects has temporal properties due to the heating effect of the thermal radiation of fires. Under the action of thermal radiation, the surrounding installations may be damaged, and the probability of damage can be estimated by Probit models. As a result, the propagation path exhibits characteristics of randomness. As new installations catch fire due to domino effects, the thermal radiation received by a target installation changes, so that the damage probability changes dynamically throughout the accident process. This study aims at further improve the previous study of the matrix modeling approach for fire-induced domino effects by considering the heating process of facilities under fire accidents. The analysis process incorporating the damage probability calculation algorithm is presented. The improved approach is illustrated by the study of two cases.

如果火灾发生在一个有多个储存或处理易燃材料的设施的区域,火灾可能会从一个设施蔓延到另一个设施,形成所谓的多米诺骨牌效应。由于火灾热辐射的加热效应,火灾引发的多米诺效应的传播具有时间特性。在热辐射的作用下,周围的设施可能会受损,受损概率可通过 Probit 模型进行估算。因此,传播路径具有随机性。由于多米诺骨牌效应会导致新的设备着火,目标设备接收到的热辐射会发生变化,因此在整个事故过程中,损坏概率会发生动态变化。本研究旨在通过考虑火灾事故下设施的加热过程,进一步改进以往针对火灾引发的多米诺骨牌效应的矩阵建模方法研究。本文介绍了包含损伤概率计算算法的分析过程。通过对两个案例的研究说明了改进后的方法。
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引用次数: 0
The weakening and suppression effects of cavities on the propagation of gas explosions in pipes 空腔对管道中气体爆炸传播的削弱和抑制作用
IF 3.6 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2024.105417

To reduce the hazard of gas explosions, the weakening and inhibiting effects of additional cavities and obstacle deflectors on the propagation of gas explosions in straight pipes were investigated by means of comparative experiments in a self-constructed experimental platform. The results show that an additional cavity in the straight pipe can reduce the intensity of the gas explosion. Moreover, the obstacle deflector in front of the cavity can further weaken the intensity of the gas explosion. When the obstacle was located 0 m and 0.1 m in front of the cavity, the explosion flame and shockwave were deflected to hit the inner wall of the cavity, then rebounded, and sufficiently diluted by the air in cavity, thus the subsequent development of the explosion was restricted. The second peak overpressure was reduced by 5.15% and 27.82%, respectively, compared to that of the pipe only with a cavity, and the explosion flame was diverted and quenched in the cavity. When the obstacle was located 0.2 m in front of the cavity, the intensity of the gas explosion increased, and the flame quickly crossed through the cavity and rushed out of the pipe end. An obstacle in the middle of the vertical direction is more effective at reducing the strength of the gas explosion than an obstacle located at the bottom. The minimum amount of ABC dry powder (containing 75% ammonium dihydrogen phosphate and 15% ammonium sulfate) needed to prevent gas explosions is reduced by the additional cavity in the straight pipe. When the obstacle is located in front of the cavity, the minimum amount of ABC dry powder available for explosion prevention is further reduced. The reduction in the amount of ABC dry powder required for explosion prevention also intuitively reflects the weakening effect of the cavity and obstacle deflector on the gas explosion.

为了降低瓦斯爆炸的危害,通过在自建实验平台上进行对比实验,研究了附加空腔和障碍物导流板对直管中瓦斯爆炸传播的削弱和抑制作用。结果表明,直管中的附加空腔可以降低气体爆炸的强度。此外,空腔前的障碍物导流板可以进一步减弱气体爆炸的强度。当障碍物位于空腔前 0 m 和 0.1 m 处时,爆炸火焰和冲击波偏转撞击空腔内壁后反弹,并被空腔中的空气充分稀释,从而限制了爆炸的后续发展。与仅有空腔的管道相比,第二峰值超压分别降低了 5.15%和 27.82%,爆炸火焰在空腔中被分流和熄灭。当障碍物位于空腔前 0.2 米处时,气体爆炸强度增加,火焰迅速穿过空腔冲出管道端部。与位于底部的障碍物相比,位于垂直方向中间的障碍物能更有效地降低气体爆炸的强度。直管中的额外空腔减少了防止气体爆炸所需的 ABC 干粉(含 75% 磷酸二氢铵和 15% 硫酸铵)的最低用量。当障碍物位于空腔前方时,可用于防爆的最低 ABC 干粉量会进一步减少。防爆所需 ABC 干粉量的减少也直观地反映了空腔和障碍物导流板对气体爆炸的削弱作用。
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引用次数: 0
Chemical plant optimization layout based on the domino hazard index considering the fixed hazard unit outside the available area 基于多米诺危险指数的化工厂优化布局,考虑可用区域外的固定危险单元
IF 3.6 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2024.105415

The layout of chemical plants is a significant step to promote the safe and efficient operation of a chemical factory. In the actual production process, the chemical process plant layout may be affected by immovable hazards outside the available layout area. In this paper, the external hazard unit is arranged as one of the chemical process plants. The domino effect potential of all chemical process plants is quantified by using the classical domino hazard index (DHI). A layout optimization model considering the effects of external hazard units has been proposed to obtain the optimal plant layout from economic and safety aspects. The feasible layout solutions are obtained under the orientation, boundary and non-overlapping constraints by the non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II (NSGA-Ⅱ). The proposed model is further analyzed through a hypothetical case of three storage tanks outside the acrylic acid (AA) production plant layout area. The results show that the total cost range for the optimal solution is 650348–1365443 $, with corresponding DHI values ranging from 29 to 129. The plant with larger DHI value will be arranged to far away from the external hazard units to obtain a safer layout. This work can provide rational layout solutions for the layout designers to make different decisions according to the actual situation.

化工厂的布局是促进化工厂安全高效运行的重要步骤。在实际生产过程中,化工工艺装置布局可能会受到可用布局区域外不可移动危险的影响。本文将外部危险单元作为化工工艺装置之一进行布置。采用经典的多米诺危险指数(DHI)对所有化工工艺设备的多米诺效应潜力进行量化。考虑到外部危险单元的影响,本文提出了一个布局优化模型,以从经济和安全方面获得最佳工厂布局。通过非支配排序遗传算法 II(NSGA-Ⅱ)在方向、边界和非重叠约束条件下获得可行的布局方案。通过在丙烯酸(AA)生产厂布局区域外设置三个储罐的假设案例,对所提出的模型进行了进一步分析。结果表明,最优解的总成本范围为 650348-1365443 美元,相应的 DHI 值范围为 29-129 美元。DHI 值越大的厂房布局越远离外部危险单元,布局越安全。这项工作可以为布局设计人员提供合理的布局方案,使他们可以根据实际情况做出不同的决策。
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引用次数: 0
Cuboid obstacle influence on high-pressure jet dispersion: A CFD study 立方体障碍物对高压射流分散的影响:CFD 研究
IF 3.6 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2024.105416

In the context of the process industry safety, one of the main accidental scenarios is the release of high-pressure gaseous material. Since natural gas is highly flammable, the likelihood of ignition increases as the jet develops, with a maximum area of effect related to its lower flammability limit (LFL). This work aims at simulating and evaluating the interaction between high-pressure natural gas jets and cuboid obstacles, which were selected due to their prevalence in the process industry as storage units or buildings present in industrial parks. The maximum extent of the cloud at the LFL of natural gas is often influenced by the jet-obstacle interactions, necessitating complex numerical methods like computational fluid dynamics (CFD) for accurate estimation. Therefore, this study provides pivotal insights that challenge traditional modelling approaches, like integral ones, offering cost-effective alternatives where needed without compromising on safety.

The findings indicate that using a CFD approach is not always necessary, as it largely depends on the storage pressure, diameter size, and the release height of the jet. At storage pressures of 65–130 bar with an orifice diameter of 2.54 cm, and a release height above 2.75 m, simpler methods like integral models are applicable without any substantial reliability loss. This is especially true when the cuboid obstacle is farther away from the release source. At lower release heights, especially if coupled with a larger orifice diameter, the CFD approach should be utilised as jet-cuboid interactions become highly relevant to the development of the jet.

在加工工业安全方面,主要的事故情况之一是高压气体物质的释放。由于天然气具有高度可燃性,随着喷射的发展,点燃的可能性会增加,其最大影响范围与其可燃性下限(LFL)有关。这项工作旨在模拟和评估高压天然气射流与立方体障碍物之间的相互作用,之所以选择立方体障碍物,是因为这些障碍物在加工工业中普遍存在,如工业园区中的存储单元或建筑物。天然气 LFL 处云层的最大范围通常会受到射流与障碍物相互作用的影响,因此需要采用复杂的数值方法(如计算流体动力学 (CFD))进行精确估算。因此,本研究提供了挑战传统建模方法(如整体建模)的重要见解,在不影响安全性的前提下提供了具有成本效益的替代方法。研究结果表明,使用 CFD 方法并不总是必要的,因为它在很大程度上取决于储气压力、直径大小和射流的释放高度。在储存压力为 65-130 巴、喷口直径为 2.54 厘米、释放高度超过 2.75 米的情况下,可以采用积分模型等简单方法,而不会造成任何重大的可靠性损失。当立方体障碍物距离释放源较远时,情况尤其如此。在较低的释放高度下,尤其是在喷口直径较大的情况下,应采用 CFD 方法,因为射流与立方体之间的相互作用与射流的发展密切相关。
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引用次数: 0
A method for the core accident chain based on fuzzy-DEMATEL-ISM: An application to aluminium production explosion 基于模糊-解码-智能系统的核心事故链方法:铝生产爆炸的应用
IF 3.6 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2024.105414

The occurrence of accidents is often influenced by many factors, which result in the complexity of the causes of accidents. Therefore, clarifying the accident chain of the explosion accident is of great significance for the daily management of safety. In this study, a novel method of the core accident chain based on the traditional fuzzy-DEMATEL-ISM method was proposed. This method can clarify the importance of each accident chain and rank them accordingly by calculating their weighted centralities. Then, the explosion accident caused by the contact of molten aluminium and water, which has caused heavy casualties and property losses, is analyzed systematically. In order to clarify the impact relationships and hierarchical structure of the various factors in the complex explosion accident systems, and establish the accident system models, twenty-two factors were summarized, and the evolution process of explosion accident were obtained by the fuzzy-DEMATEL-ISM approach. The results reveal that equipment damage or failure has the most direct impact to the explosion accidents. The core accident chain that national policy (aluminium market demand)→incomplete safety management system→disordered on-site management→insufficient lighting→physical discomfort→improper operation→equipment damage or failure is obtained, which has the most significant influence on the occurrence of explosion accidents. The result analysis is employed to give some advice. This research is helpful for safety practitioners to develop accident prevention strategies and make aluminum production safer.

事故的发生往往受到多种因素的影响,这就造成了事故原因的复杂性。因此,厘清爆炸事故的事故链对日常安全管理具有重要意义。本研究在传统模糊-DEMATEL-ISM 方法的基础上,提出了一种新颖的核心事故链方法。该方法可以明确各事故链的重要性,并通过计算其加权中心度对其进行相应的排序。然后,系统分析了熔融铝与水接触引起的爆炸事故,该事故造成了重大人员伤亡和财产损失。为了理清复杂爆炸事故系统中各因素的影响关系和层次结构,建立事故系统模型,归纳了二十二个因素,并利用模糊-DEMATEL-ISM 方法得到了爆炸事故的演化过程。结果表明,设备损坏或故障对爆炸事故的影响最为直接。得出国家政策(铝市场需求)→安全管理制度不完善→现场管理混乱→照明不足→身体不适→操作不当→设备损坏或失效的核心事故链,对爆炸事故的发生影响最大。运用结果分析给出了一些建议。这项研究有助于安全从业人员制定事故预防策略,使铝生产更加安全。
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引用次数: 0
The effect of ethane on the chain reaction characteristics of methane–air mixtures explosions 乙烷对甲烷-空气混合物爆炸链式反应特性的影响
IF 3.6 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2024.105413

In order to study the effect of ethane on gas explosions, the macroscopic properties, thermodynamics and kinetics of gas explosions were investigated using Chemkin numerical simulation software with the GRI-Mech 3.0 mechanism. Ethane was added to methane-air mixtures at seven different concentrations, such as 0%, 0.1%, 0.3% and so on, at constant initial temperature (1200 K) and pressure(0.9atm), respectively. The results show that the maximum explosion pressure, explosive power and ·H content was all maximized when the volume fraction of ethane was 3%, which was the most effective volume addition to promote gas explosion. Ethane reduced the time to peak energy of key radical reactions from 0.049s to 0.003s and reduced the sensitivity factors for reactions such as R155 and R158. When the added ethane was 8%, R158 and R98 shifted from inhibiting methane consumption to promoting methane consumption. Calculated by Arrhenius and Lindemann formulae found that ethane can act as the third molecule in unimolecular reactions, increasing the reaction rate constant and decreasing the activation energy, so accelerating the reaction. Due to the low addition of ethane, there was still a large amount of N2 acting as the third molecule, so the decrease in activation energy was small.

为了研究乙烷对气体爆炸的影响,使用 Chemkin 数值模拟软件和 GRI-Mech 3.0 机制研究了气体爆炸的宏观特性、热力学和动力学。在初始温度(1200 K)和压力(0.9atm)恒定的条件下,在甲烷-空气混合物中分别加入 0%、0.1%、0.3% 等 7 种不同浓度的乙烷。结果表明,当乙烷的体积分数为 3% 时,最大爆炸压力、爆炸威力和 -H 含量均达到最大值,是促进气体爆炸最有效的体积添加量。乙烷将关键自由基反应的峰值能量时间从 0.049s 缩短到 0.003s,并降低了 R155 和 R158 等反应的敏感系数。当添加的乙烷为 8%时,R158 和 R98 从抑制甲烷消耗转变为促进甲烷消耗。通过阿伦尼乌斯公式和林德曼公式计算发现,乙烷在单分子反应中可作为第三分子,增加反应速率常数,降低活化能,从而加速反应。由于乙烷的加入量较少,仍有大量的 N2 充当第三分子,因此活化能的降低幅度较小。
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引用次数: 0
Quantitative risk assessments of hydrogen blending into transmission pipeline of natural gas 天然气输送管道中掺入氢气的定量风险评估
IF 3.6 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2024-08-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2024.105412

Recently, considerable attention has been paid to blending hydrogen with natural gas transmission pipelines. However, risk assessments using different hydrogen blend concentrations in natural gas pipelines have not been thoroughly investigated. Thus, the main objective of this study is to carry out a quantitative risk assessment of hydrogen blending into the transmission of natural gas. For this, six different concentrations of hydrogen blending, three pipes and four different release holes are used in this study. The effect distance decreased with increasing hydrogen concentration for the jet fire case. For case of vapor cloud explosions, the downwind distance of the maximum explosion overpressure increased with increasing hydrogen concentration. It was also found that as the hydrogen concentration increased, the individual risk was sensitive to adjacent to the pipelines, however, it was less for far-fields. This study is expected to contribute to the safety measures for business sites with hydrogen blending into natural gas pipelines.

最近,人们对天然气输送管道中的氢气混合物给予了极大关注。然而,对天然气管道中不同氢气混合浓度的风险评估尚未进行深入研究。因此,本研究的主要目的是对天然气输送过程中的氢气掺混进行定量风险评估。为此,本研究使用了六种不同浓度的氢气混合物、三条管道和四个不同的释放孔。在喷射起火的情况下,影响距离随着氢浓度的增加而减小。对于蒸汽云爆炸,最大爆炸超压的下风距离随着氢浓度的增加而增加。研究还发现,随着氢浓度的增加,个人风险对邻近管道的敏感度增加,但对远场的敏感度降低。这项研究有望为天然气管道掺氢企业的安全措施做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Experimental investigation on the impact of water immersion time and particle size on the ignition characteristics of coal dust 浸水时间和粒度对煤粉着火特性影响的实验研究
IF 3.6 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2024.105411

After drying, water-immersed coal is more prone to spontaneous combustion than raw coal. However, the influence mechanisms of particle size and water immersion duration on the physicochemical properties of coal dust, as well as the explosion and fire hazards of water-immersed coal dust, have not been sufficiently investigated. In this study, two particle sizes of coal dust were selected, and experiments were conducted using the Godbert-Greenwald furnace, Hartmann tube, Muffle furnace, and Fourier Transform Infrared Spectrometer. The study investigated the impact of different water immersion times, dust particle sizes, and dust concentrations on the sensitivity of coal dust fires and explosions, analyzed the process of functional group changes in coal dust particles in water and other mechanisms of transformation. The results indicated that the water immersion process increased the number of active functional groups on the surface of coal dust, significantly reducing the Minimum Ignition Temperature (MIT) and Minimum Ignition Energy (MIE) values for different samples, and also enhancing the ignition sensitivity and peak temperature of coal dust layer fires. This study contributes to a deeper understanding of the characteristics of coal dust and is of great significance for improving the prevention and control of coal dust fires and explosions.

干燥后的水浸煤比原煤更容易自燃。然而,粒度和浸水时间对煤粉理化性质的影响机理以及水浸煤粉的爆炸和火灾危险性的研究还不够充分。本研究选取了两种粒度的煤粉,使用戈伯特-格林沃尔德炉、哈特曼管、马弗炉和傅立叶变换红外光谱仪进行了实验。研究考察了不同浸水时间、粉尘粒径、粉尘浓度对煤尘起火爆炸敏感性的影响,分析了煤尘颗粒在水中官能团变化过程及其他转化机理。结果表明,浸水过程增加了煤粉表面活性官能团的数量,显著降低了不同样品的最低着火温度(MIT)和最低着火能量(MIE)值,同时也提高了煤粉层火灾的着火敏感性和峰值温度。这项研究有助于加深对煤尘特性的理解,对提高煤尘火灾和爆炸的预防和控制能力具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Research on work-stress recognition for deep ground miners based on depth-separable convolutional neural network 基于深度分离卷积神经网络的深层地面矿工工作压力识别研究
IF 3.6 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2024.105410

In deep mine production operations, the challenging operating environment intensifies the workload and pressure on coal miners. Long-term exposure to high-intensity operating pressure can seriously impact the physical and mental health of miners, leading to unsafe behaviors and accidents. To identify the pressure of miners' operations, this paper examines various driving scenarios, such as the deep-well tunneling machine cutting the wall and opening the alley, the shoveling machine shoveling ore, and the pickup truck driver transporting. The paper randomly collects facial images of miners during each operation using an explosion-proof CCD camera to obtain the facial expression characteristic data of miners. The Ferface2013 facial expression dataset was used to establish the dataset. The depth separable convolutional neural network MiniXception was used for training and to output the classification results of the pressure degree of deep shaft miners. A MiniXception-based miners' operating pressure recognition model was established. The training time, precision, recall, F1 score, and classification accuracy confusion matrix were selected. The study evaluated the effectiveness of the recognition model by measuring its training time, precision, recall, F1 score, and classification accuracy confusion matrix. The results indicate that the model has a correct recognition rate of 88% for the pressure state, 91% for the pleasure state, and 74% for the normal state. The overall accuracy of the model is 0.843. Therefore, the MiniXception recognition model is suitable for recognizing the pressure of miners' operations in deep mines. This can meet practical needs and is useful for preventing major accidents in mines, managing on-site safety, and managing safety in non-hazardous areas. It has important theoretical and practical significance.

在煤矿深部生产作业中,严峻的作业环境加剧了煤矿工人的工作量和压力。长期暴露在高强度的作业压力下,会严重影响矿工的身心健康,导致不安全行为和事故的发生。为了识别矿工的作业压力,本文研究了各种驾驶场景,如深井掘进机凿壁开巷、铲运机铲运矿石、皮卡司机运输等。本文使用防爆 CCD 摄像机随机采集矿工在每次操作过程中的面部图像,从而获得矿工的面部表情特征数据。数据集采用 Ferface2013 面部表情数据集。使用深度可分离卷积神经网络 MiniXception 进行训练,并输出深井矿工压力程度的分类结果。建立了基于 MiniXception 的矿工工作压力识别模型。选择了训练时间、精确度、召回率、F1 分数和分类精度混淆矩阵。研究通过测量识别模型的训练时间、精确度、召回率、F1 分数和分类准确度混淆矩阵,评估了识别模型的有效性。结果表明,该模型对压力状态的正确识别率为 88%,对愉悦状态的正确识别率为 91%,对正常状态的正确识别率为 74%。模型的总体准确率为 0.843。因此,MiniXception 识别模型适用于识别深矿井中矿工的作业压力。这可以满足实际需要,对预防矿山重大事故、现场安全管理和非危险区域安全管理都有帮助。具有重要的理论和实践意义。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of humidity on moisture absorption of sodium percarbonate and its thermal hazard 湿度对过碳酸钠吸湿性的影响及其热危害
IF 3.6 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2024-08-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2024.105409

Sodium percarbonate (SPC), also known as sodium carbonate–hydrogen peroxide, is a bleaching. The thermal decomposition of SPC produces oxygen, which slightly increases its bleaching ability. Nevertheless, the heat and oxygen produced pose a fire risk, potentially leading to spontaneous combustion when the SPC is stored alongside flammable materials. Previous studies have noted that water vapour affects SPC decomposition; However, the moisture absorption of SPC and the particular details of the effect have not been reported. In this study, the moisture absorption test revealed the deliquescence of SPC above 75% relative humidity (RH) and its hygroscopicity above 60% RH. Deliquescence occurred at 30 °C and 84% RH for 192 h, and the absorbed water caused its decomposition. Adiabatic calorimetry revealed only 30 wt% water, which was similar to that absorbed by SPC stored for 24 h at 30 °C and 97% RH, decreasing the thermal stability of SPC. These results indicate that the humidity surrounding the SPC is an extremely important parameter for estimating thermal hazards during the storage and manufacturing of SPC.

过碳酸钠(SPC)又称碳酸钠-过氧化氢,是一种漂白剂。过碳酸钠在热分解过程中会产生氧气,从而略微增强其漂白能力。然而,产生的热量和氧气会带来火灾风险,当 SPC 与易燃材料一起存放时,可能会导致自燃。以前的研究曾指出,水蒸气会影响 SPC 的分解;但 SPC 的吸湿性及其影响的具体细节尚未见报道。在这项研究中,吸湿测试显示 SPC 在相对湿度(RH)超过 75% 时会潮解,在相对湿度超过 60% 时会吸湿。潮解发生在 30 °C 和 84% 相对湿度条件下,持续时间为 192 小时,吸收的水分导致其分解。绝热热量测定法显示只有 30 wt% 的水分,这与在 30 °C 和 97% 相对湿度条件下存放 24 小时的 SPC 所吸收的水分相似,从而降低了 SPC 的热稳定性。这些结果表明,SPC 周围的湿度是估计 SPC 储存和制造过程中热危害的一个极其重要的参数。
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引用次数: 0
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