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Predicting critical flame quenching thickness using machine learning approach with ResNet and ANN 利用 ResNet 和 ANN 的机器学习方法预测临界焰淬厚度
IF 3.6 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2024.105448
In the study of flame quenching, quenching thickness is one of the important parameters to determine the design of a flame arrester, and often determines the flame quenching performance of the arrester. In the study, residual network (ResNet) and artificial neural network (ANN) are used to predict the critical quench thickness of combustible gas in pipelines. The critical quench thickness is influenced by fuel concentration and density, pipeline size, inert gas type and concentration, porous media porosity, and thermal conductivity. The influence of different combinations of hyper-parameters on the prediction performance of the two models is explored. The results show that the prediction performance of both models reaches the best after hyper-parameter optimization. Compared with ANN, the ResNet model shows more stable and better prediction ability, and its optimal evaluation parameters are: MAE is 1.4679, MSE is 91.7431, R2 is 0.9216. The prediction errors of the two models on the same dataset are subjected to analysis, and the impact of the use of normalized data on the performance of the two models is compared. It is determined that the ResNet model demonstrated superior robustness and generalization ability in predicting the critical quenching thickness of combustible gases. The study is helpful for the safety protection of combustible gas and the safety design of pipeline arresters.
在火焰淬火研究中,淬火厚度是确定阻火器设计的重要参数之一,通常决定了阻火器的淬火性能。本研究采用残差网络(ResNet)和人工神经网络(ANN)预测管道中可燃气体的临界淬火厚度。临界淬火厚度受燃料浓度和密度、管道尺寸、惰性气体类型和浓度、多孔介质孔隙率和热导率的影响。研究探讨了不同超参数组合对两个模型预测性能的影响。结果表明,经过超参数优化后,两种模型的预测性能均达到最佳。与 ANN 相比,ResNet 模型显示出更稳定和更好的预测能力,其最优评价参数为MAE 为 1.4679,MSE 为 91.7431,R2 为 0.9216。分析了两个模型在同一数据集上的预测误差,比较了使用归一化数据对两个模型性能的影响。结果表明,ResNet 模型在预测可燃气体临界淬火厚度方面表现出更高的鲁棒性和泛化能力。该研究有助于可燃气体的安全保护和管道阻火器的安全设计。
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引用次数: 0
A rapid analysis method for regional population distribution safety based on societal risk assessment 基于社会风险评估的区域人口分布安全快速分析方法
IF 3.6 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2024.105447
The population distribution within areas potentially impacted by major accidents is crucial for societal risk analysis. Population data are essential for land use planning activities related to major accident hazards. However, repeated quantitative risk assessments (QRA) and diverse planning scenarios complicate planning decisions in Major Hazard Installation (MHI) areas. This study introduces an analysis method for the safety of population distribution in potential impact zones of major accidents. By combining accident simulation and population distribution characteristics analysis, we established standardized indicators that succinctly indicate safety thresholds for societal risks, addressing the challenge of rapidly assessing off-site population safety. A rapid formula meeting practical needs is provided for urban managers and planners, enabling them to easily evaluate how population density and distribution affect societal risks in MHI areas. Finally, we applied this method to the flammable and explosive hazardous material enterprises in Shijiazhuang, China, demonstrating its functionality and practicality. The application results suggest its potential as a useful decision-support method for guiding urban planning and emergency management. This work offers new insights and valuable demonstrations for enhancing vulnerability and land use risk assessments in MHI regions.
可能受重大事故影响地区的人口分布对于社会风险分析至关重要。人口数据对于与重大事故危害相关的土地利用规划活动至关重要。然而,重复的定量风险评估(QRA)和多样化的规划方案使重大危险设施(MHI)区域的规划决策变得更加复杂。本研究介绍了一种重大事故潜在影响区人口分布安全分析方法。通过将事故模拟与人口分布特征分析相结合,我们建立了简明指示社会风险安全阈值的标准化指标,解决了快速评估场外人口安全的难题。我们为城市管理者和规划者提供了一个符合实际需求的快速公式,使他们能够轻松评估人口密度和分布如何影响多器官功能障碍地区的社会风险。最后,我们将该方法应用于中国石家庄的易燃易爆危险品企业,展示了其功能性和实用性。应用结果表明,该方法有望成为指导城市规划和应急管理的有用决策支持方法。这项工作为加强多波段高风险地区的脆弱性和土地利用风险评估提供了新的见解和有价值的示范。
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引用次数: 0
Efficacy evaluation of bicarbonate formulations dry water fire extinguishing agents 碳酸氢盐配方干水灭火剂的功效评估
IF 3.6 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2024.105444
The fire situation has gotten worse over the past few years. To put out flames, we desperately need more effective and sustainable fire extinguishing products. The primary goal of this research is to increase the dry water (DW) core-shell structure's stability and water retention—but more significantly, to increase the structure's fire extinguishing effectiveness. The following five materials are introduced in this article: dimethyl silicone oil, lauryl ether phosphate ester (AEO-3P), gelled adhesive, gallium bicarbonate (Ca(HCO3)2), and magnesium bicarbonate (Mg(HCO3)2). The water content of DW increased to 88%–94% with the addition of gel and dimethyl silicone oil, according to thermogravimetric analysis and moisture retention tests. By altering the characteristics of the liquid-solid interface between the hydrophobic silica and the aqueous solution, lauryl ether phosphate increased the stability of the DW structure. This study also examined and contrasted the effectiveness of five commercial dry powder fire extinguishing agents and DW fire extinguishing agents in terms of fire extinguishing efficiency. The findings indicate that the Mg(HCO3)2 gel DW extinguishing time in n-heptane fire is the smallest (9 s), while the Ca(HCO3)2 gel DW extinguishing time in anhydrous ethanol fire is the shortest (9 s). The extinguishing efficiency of the two is boosted by 66% and 55%, respectively, in comparison to commercial dry powder. By developing a new kind of stable, effective, and non-toxic fire extinguishing chemical, this work has benefited the firefighting and rescue sectors.
在过去几年里,火灾形势日益严峻。为了扑灭火焰,我们迫切需要更有效、更可持续的灭火产品。本研究的主要目标是提高干水(DW)核壳结构的稳定性和保水性,但更重要的是提高该结构的灭火效果。本文介绍了以下五种材料:二甲基硅油、月桂醇醚磷酸酯(AEO-3P)、胶凝粘合剂、碳酸氢镓(Ca(HCO3)2)和碳酸氢镁(Mg(HCO3)2)。根据热重分析和保湿测试,添加凝胶和二甲基硅油后,DW 的含水量增至 88%-94%。通过改变疏水性二氧化硅与水溶液之间的液固界面特性,月桂基醚磷酸酯提高了 DW 结构的稳定性。这项研究还考察并对比了五种商用干粉灭火剂和 DW 灭火剂的灭火效率。研究结果表明,Mg(HCO3)2 凝胶 DW 在正庚烷火灾中的灭火时间最小(9 秒),而 Ca(HCO3)2 凝胶 DW 在无水乙醇火灾中的灭火时间最短(9 秒)。与商用干粉相比,两者的灭火效率分别提高了 66% 和 55%。通过开发一种稳定、有效、无毒的新型灭火剂,这项工作造福了消防和救援领域。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of pipe diameter and volume ratio on dust explosion in interconnected vessels 管道直径和容积比对互连容器中粉尘爆炸的影响
IF 3.6 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2024.105445
The explosion process of 150 nm polymethyl methacrylate (PMMA) dust in the interconnected vessels is studied through CFD, which supports the safety protection of the powder-related industry. The simulation results are verified by the overpressure and the flame propagation velocity, which are in excellent agreement with the experimental results and have high reliability. The results show that with the expansion in the pipe diameter, the turbulent velocity in the primary vessel decreases while the precompression increases. With the growth of the volume ratio, the maximum explosion overpressure decreases first and then mounts after reaching the trough. For industrial explosion-proof design, it should be avoided to use pipe diameters for the most dangerous conditions. The existence of an optimal volume ratio is the optimal choice for explosion-proof designs. This study supports an in-depth understanding of the evolution mechanism of pressure-piling in interconnected vessels and contributes effective methods for designing equipment with explosion risk.
通过 CFD 研究了 150 nm 聚甲基丙烯酸甲酯(PMMA)粉尘在互连容器中的爆炸过程,为粉末相关行业的安全保护提供了支持。模拟结果得到了超压和火焰传播速度的验证,与实验结果非常吻合,具有很高的可靠性。结果表明,随着管道直径的扩大,主容器内的湍流速度减小,而预压缩增加。随着容积比的增大,最大爆炸超压先减小,到达波谷后再增大。在工业防爆设计中,应避免使用最危险条件下的管道直径。最佳容积比的存在是防爆设计的最佳选择。这项研究有助于深入理解互联容器中压力堆积的演变机制,并为设计具有爆炸风险的设备提供了有效方法。
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引用次数: 0
Microscopic mechanism of oxygen consumption inhibitor delaying the oxidation of coal 耗氧抑制剂延缓煤氧化的微观机理
IF 3.6 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2024.105438
<div><div>In order to inhibit the coal-oxygen complex that triggers spontaneous coal combustion, a retardant consisting of sodium alginate solution, sodium bicarbonate, inorganic salt MgCl<sub>2</sub> and deoxidiser that can achieve multiple effects of hysteresis and oxygen depletion was developed. Taking the sulfur-containing side-chain reactive group of coal molecule -CH<sub>2</sub>-SH as the object of study, the Gaussian 16W procedure and density-functional-transfer theory (DFT) were applied to investigate the electrostatic potential and reaction tendency, oxygen adsorption capacity, front-line orbitals, natural bonding capacity, and oxygen adsorption capacity of the reactive group before and after the formation of the complexes with Na<sup>+</sup> and Mg<sup>2+</sup>, using the solvation effect at the level of B3LYP/6-31G(d, p), respectively. The changes of electrostatic potential and reaction tendency, oxygen adsorption, front orbitals, natural bonding orbitals and charge transfer before and after the formation of complexes between -CH<sub>2</sub>-SH reactive groups and Na<sup>+</sup>, Mg<sup>2+</sup>, respectively. Comparative analysis of the interaction with oxygen before and after the formation of coordination blocking structure of coal and inorganic salts in gaseous environment, aqueous environment and retarded oxygen-depleting sodium alginate blocking solution environment, respectively. The calculated results show that the side chain of the aromatic ring of the raw coal is the active site for easy adsorption of oxygen, and the stability of the coordination blocking structure is significantly enhanced under the environment of hysteretic oxygen-depleting sodium alginate gel blocking agent, and the adsorption of oxygen before and after the coal molecule combines with Na<sup>+</sup> and Mg<sup>2+</sup> is the weakest under the environment of hysteretic oxygen-depleting sodium alginate gel blocking agent; The absolute value of the HOMO orbital energy increases the most, and the energy level difference (E<sub>LUMO</sub> - E<sub>HOMO</sub>) of the complexes increases the most; the natural bonding orbital analysis reveals that the lone pair of electrons of S atoms in -CH<sub>2</sub>-SH under the environment of hysteresis oxygen depletion sodium alginate gel blocker has a strong coordination effect with Na<sup>+</sup> and Mg<sup>2+</sup>. In the hysteresis oxygen depletion sodium alginate gel resist environment, the stability of the coordination blocking structure is strengthened due to the moderateness of the dielectric constant, and its oxygen depletion also reduces the number of O<sub>2</sub> molecules, which further reduces the adsorption and collision chances between the two, and a more desirable blocking effect can be obtained. The results reveal the micro-mechanism of the hysteresis oxygen depletion inhibitor in preventing spontaneous combustion of coal, which can provide a reference for further improving the inhibition effect of the inhi
为了抑制引发煤炭自燃的煤-氧复合物,开发了一种由海藻酸钠溶液、碳酸氢钠、无机盐 MgCl2 和脱氧剂组成的阻燃剂,可实现滞后和耗氧的多重效果。以煤分子的含硫侧链活性基团 -CH2-SH 为研究对象,应用高斯 16W 程序和密度函数转移理论(DFT)研究了静电势和反应趋势、在 B3LYP/6-31G(d,p)水平上,利用溶解效应分别研究了反应基团在与 Na+ 和 Mg2+ 形成络合物前后的静电势和反应倾向、氧吸附能力、前线轨道、自然成键能力和氧吸附能力。分别分析了 -CH2-SH 活性基团与 Na+、Mg2+ 形成络合物前后的静电势和反应倾向、氧吸附、前轨道、自然成键轨道和电荷转移的变化。分别比较分析了煤和无机盐在气态环境、水态环境和迟缓耗氧海藻酸钠封堵溶液环境中形成配位封堵结构前后与氧的相互作用。计算结果表明,原煤的芳香环侧链是容易吸附氧的活性位点,在滞氧海藻酸钠凝胶封端剂环境下,配位封端结构的稳定性明显增强,在滞氧海藻酸钠凝胶封端剂环境下,煤分子与Na+、Mg2+结合前后对氧的吸附最弱;HOMO轨道能的绝对值增大最大,配合物的能级差(ELUMO - EHOMO)增大最大;自然成键轨道分析发现,滞后耗氧海藻酸钠凝胶封端剂环境下-CH2-SH中S原子的孤对电子与Na+、Mg2+的配位效应较强。在滞氧海藻酸钠凝胶阻聚剂环境中,由于介电常数的缓和,配位阻聚结构的稳定性得到加强,同时其耗氧也减少了 O2 分子的数量,进一步降低了两者之间的吸附和碰撞几率,可以获得更理想的阻聚效果。研究结果揭示了滞后耗氧抑制剂阻止煤炭自燃的微观机理,为进一步提高抑制剂的抑制效果提供了参考。
{"title":"Microscopic mechanism of oxygen consumption inhibitor delaying the oxidation of coal","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.jlp.2024.105438","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jlp.2024.105438","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;div&gt;&lt;div&gt;In order to inhibit the coal-oxygen complex that triggers spontaneous coal combustion, a retardant consisting of sodium alginate solution, sodium bicarbonate, inorganic salt MgCl&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; and deoxidiser that can achieve multiple effects of hysteresis and oxygen depletion was developed. Taking the sulfur-containing side-chain reactive group of coal molecule -CH&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;-SH as the object of study, the Gaussian 16W procedure and density-functional-transfer theory (DFT) were applied to investigate the electrostatic potential and reaction tendency, oxygen adsorption capacity, front-line orbitals, natural bonding capacity, and oxygen adsorption capacity of the reactive group before and after the formation of the complexes with Na&lt;sup&gt;+&lt;/sup&gt; and Mg&lt;sup&gt;2+&lt;/sup&gt;, using the solvation effect at the level of B3LYP/6-31G(d, p), respectively. The changes of electrostatic potential and reaction tendency, oxygen adsorption, front orbitals, natural bonding orbitals and charge transfer before and after the formation of complexes between -CH&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;-SH reactive groups and Na&lt;sup&gt;+&lt;/sup&gt;, Mg&lt;sup&gt;2+&lt;/sup&gt;, respectively. Comparative analysis of the interaction with oxygen before and after the formation of coordination blocking structure of coal and inorganic salts in gaseous environment, aqueous environment and retarded oxygen-depleting sodium alginate blocking solution environment, respectively. The calculated results show that the side chain of the aromatic ring of the raw coal is the active site for easy adsorption of oxygen, and the stability of the coordination blocking structure is significantly enhanced under the environment of hysteretic oxygen-depleting sodium alginate gel blocking agent, and the adsorption of oxygen before and after the coal molecule combines with Na&lt;sup&gt;+&lt;/sup&gt; and Mg&lt;sup&gt;2+&lt;/sup&gt; is the weakest under the environment of hysteretic oxygen-depleting sodium alginate gel blocking agent; The absolute value of the HOMO orbital energy increases the most, and the energy level difference (E&lt;sub&gt;LUMO&lt;/sub&gt; - E&lt;sub&gt;HOMO&lt;/sub&gt;) of the complexes increases the most; the natural bonding orbital analysis reveals that the lone pair of electrons of S atoms in -CH&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;-SH under the environment of hysteresis oxygen depletion sodium alginate gel blocker has a strong coordination effect with Na&lt;sup&gt;+&lt;/sup&gt; and Mg&lt;sup&gt;2+&lt;/sup&gt;. In the hysteresis oxygen depletion sodium alginate gel resist environment, the stability of the coordination blocking structure is strengthened due to the moderateness of the dielectric constant, and its oxygen depletion also reduces the number of O&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; molecules, which further reduces the adsorption and collision chances between the two, and a more desirable blocking effect can be obtained. The results reveal the micro-mechanism of the hysteresis oxygen depletion inhibitor in preventing spontaneous combustion of coal, which can provide a reference for further improving the inhibition effect of the inhi","PeriodicalId":16291,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Loss Prevention in The Process Industries","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2024-09-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142422474","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Reconstruction of temperature field in different fire stages of electrical and mechanical equipment room based on acoustic CT 基于声学 CT 重建机电设备房不同火灾阶段的温度场
IF 3.6 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2024.105441
Acquiring and visualizing temperature data in real time in the event of a fire in an electrical and mechanical equipment room is of great significance. It can be applied to early fire detection and monitoring, help rescuers quickly understand the fire situation, develop effective fire extinguishing and evacuation plans, and provide valuable data support for subsequent accident investigation. Acoustic computed tomography (CT) temperature measurement technology has the benefits of high precision, non-contact, real-time and global, in order to explore the applicability of this technology in the acquisition of details about temperature in the fire scene of electrical and mechanical equipment room, this paper carries out the following research. A numerical model of the fire in the electrical and mechanical equipment room is constructed on the basis of fire dynamics simulator (FDS), and the basic temperature data is obtained. The large ill-conditioned matrix equation of acoustic flight is constructed under a variety of mesh division schemes, and the Simultaneous Algebraic Reconstruction Technique (SART) is used to figure it out. Then we accomplish the temperature field reconstruction of the electrical and mechanical equipment room in different fire stages. The effect of reconstruction is evaluated through the analysis of the difference between the original and rebuilt data. The conclusions demonstrate that the acoustic CT temperature measurement technique can achieve reconstructing the temperature field in real time and with accuracy under the appropriate reconstruction scheme. With the rise in the quantity of grid divisions, the morphology of the reconstructed high-temperature region of the fire field is more similar to the morphology of the basic fire field within a certain range.
在机电设备房发生火灾时,实时获取温度数据并将其可视化具有重要意义。它可用于早期火灾探测和监控,帮助救援人员快速了解火灾情况,制定有效的灭火和疏散计划,并为后续事故调查提供宝贵的数据支持。声学计算机断层扫描(CT)测温技术具有高精度、非接触、实时性和全局性等优点,为探索该技术在机电设备房火灾现场温度细节采集中的适用性,本文开展了以下研究。在火灾动力学模拟器(FDS)的基础上构建了机电设备房火灾的数值模型,并获取了基本的温度数据。在多种网格划分方案下构建了声学飞行的大条件差矩阵方程,并利用同步代数重构技术(SART)对其进行了计算。然后,我们完成了不同火灾阶段机电设备房的温度场重建。通过分析原始数据和重建数据之间的差异,评估了重建的效果。结论表明,声学 CT 温度测量技术可以在适当的重建方案下实时、准确地重建温度场。随着网格划分数量的增加,重建后的火场高温区形态在一定范围内与基本火场形态更加相似。
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引用次数: 0
Study on the hydrogen-air premixed flame propagation characteristics in semi-open space with obstacle 带障碍物的半开放空间中氢气-空气预混合火焰传播特性研究
IF 3.6 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2024.105435
In semi-open space, obstacles have the potential to accelerate flame propagation and increase hydrogen-air deflagration pressure. Therefore, this paper is dedicated to exploring the influence of obstacles on the premixed hydrogen deflagration, which is crucial for enhancing the safety of industrial production and energy utilization. By using Large Eddy Simulation (LES) model in OpenFOAM, this study investigates the deflagration characteristics of premixed hydrogen in the presence of three different shaped obstacles. The analysis results reveal that under obstacle conditions, the flame shape can be categorized into four phases: the hemispherical phase, finger-shaped phase, jet phase, and vortex phase. The velocity of the flame front is nearly same for elliptical and rectangular obstacle condition, but it is 36% higher compared to triangular obstacle condition. The impact of triangular and rectangular obstacles on explosion overpressure is less than that of triangular obstacles on explosion overpressure, but it is 16% higher than that of elliptical obstacle. Analyzing the vorticity generated by different obstacle reveals that the vorticity produced by rectangular obstacle is twice as much as that produced by elliptical obstacle, whereas the vorticity produced by triangular obstacle is 2.4 times greater than that produced by elliptical obstacle. The acceleration of hydrogen-air explosion process occurs due to the narrow space created by obstacle and pipeline walls, and the shape of obstacle significantly influences this acceleration.
在半开放空间,障碍物有可能加速火焰传播,增加氢气-空气爆燃压力。因此,本文致力于探索障碍物对预混合氢气爆燃的影响,这对提高工业生产和能源利用的安全性至关重要。本研究利用 OpenFOAM 中的大涡流模拟(LES)模型,研究了三种不同形状障碍物存在时预混合氢气的爆燃特性。分析结果表明,在障碍物条件下,火焰形状可分为四个阶段:半球形阶段、指形阶段、喷射阶段和涡旋阶段。在椭圆形和矩形障碍物条件下,火焰前沿的速度基本相同,但与三角形障碍物条件相比,火焰前沿的速度要高出 36%。三角形和矩形障碍物对爆炸超压的影响小于三角形障碍物对爆炸超压的影响,但比椭圆形障碍物高出 16%。分析不同障碍物产生的涡度发现,矩形障碍物产生的涡度是椭圆形障碍物的两倍,而三角形障碍物产生的涡度是椭圆形障碍物的 2.4 倍。氢气-空气爆炸过程的加速是由于障碍物和管道壁形成的狭窄空间造成的,而障碍物的形状对这种加速有很大影响。
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引用次数: 0
Selection and planning of hazardous materials transportation routes based on explosion accident risks 根据爆炸事故风险选择和规划危险材料运输路线
IF 3.6 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2024.105440
The explosiveness of hazardous materials determines that once an accident occurs during transportation, severe damage will be imposed on surrounding targets. However, the increasing complexity of the road network significantly augments the risk of damage occurrence. To maintain low accident risks in transporting hazardous materials, this study proposes a method for selection and planning of transportation routes based on explosion accident risks. Firstly, the road network topology is associated with vehicle status to establish a relationship between the accident probability and speed gradient. Meanwhile, an independent grid-based approach is used to perform multi-level damage quantification on various objects. Secondly, route risks are quantitatively characterized, and a comparison system for multiple risk metrics is established. Based on search algorithms, route planning and risk ranking are achieved. Finally, the method is validated. It has been confirmed that this method can quickly and accurately obtain route ranking and risk distribution. The results offer practical guidance for relevant organizations to improve risk management and strategy development, and provide reference for future research.
危险品的爆炸性决定了一旦在运输过程中发生事故,将对周围目标造成严重破坏。然而,道路网络的复杂性不断增加,大大增加了损害发生的风险。为了降低危险品运输过程中的事故风险,本研究提出了一种基于爆炸事故风险的运输路线选择和规划方法。首先,将路网拓扑结构与车辆状态联系起来,建立事故概率与速度梯度之间的关系。同时,采用基于独立网格的方法,对各种物体进行多级损害量化。其次,对路线风险进行定量表征,建立多种风险指标的比较体系。基于搜索算法,实现了路线规划和风险排序。最后,对该方法进行了验证。结果表明,该方法可以快速、准确地获得路线排序和风险分布。研究结果为相关机构改进风险管理和战略制定提供了实用指导,并为今后的研究提供了参考。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of oxygen consumption characteristics of goaf on the low oxygen formation mechanism in the working face 沼渣的耗氧特性对工作面低氧形成机制的影响
IF 3.6 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2024.105442
Low oxygen at a coal mine's working face has a detrimental impact on working conditions and productivity. This study conducted an experiment on oxygen consumption at low temperatures, quantified the rate of air infiltration, and scrutinised and examined the zoning division of coal seam gas occurrences. The gas change rules in the return air corner and the goaf and the gas outflow rules in the goaf to the working face are analysed. Experiment results reveal that residual coal predominantly consumes oxygen through a combination of physical adsorption and chemical reaction, which is the key factor in the decrease in oxygen concentration. The examination showed, that the gas emission rate of air from the surface cracks to the working face is 0.09–0.13 m·s−1. Air leakage in the goaf results in the oxidation of residual coal and consequently leads to significant oxygen consumption. The release of low-oxygen gases from the oxidation of residual coal in the goaf to the working face is facilitated by atmospheric pressure and negative pressure ventilation methods, which act as sources of power. The research findings offer direction for examining and managing the problem of low oxygen in coal mine working faces.
煤矿工作面的低氧会对工作条件和生产率产生不利影响。本研究对低温条件下的耗氧量进行了实验,对空气渗透率进行了量化,并对煤层瓦斯发生的分区进行了细致的分析和研究。分析了回风隅角和煤层的瓦斯变化规律,以及煤层向工作面的瓦斯涌出规律。实验结果表明,残煤主要通过物理吸附和化学反应消耗氧气,是氧气浓度下降的关键因素。研究表明,从地表裂隙到工作面的气体排放速率为 0.09-0.13 m-s-1。煤层漏风导致残煤氧化,进而导致大量氧气消耗。大气压和负压通风方法有助于将煤层中残留煤氧化产生的低氧气体释放到工作面,成为动力源。研究结果为研究和管理煤矿工作面的低氧问题提供了方向。
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引用次数: 0
A risk assessment of a gas pressure reduction station system with confidence for dealing with imprecisions and unknowns 对气体减压站系统进行风险评估,提高处理不精确和未知因素的信心
IF 3.6 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CHEMICAL Pub Date : 2024-09-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlp.2024.105437
Process systems are sensitive and vital industrial facilities. Disturbances in their performance may cause harm to the environment,humans,or significant economic damage. In risk assessment of chemical process industries, the available data, information, and knowledge are typically rare, limited, and often unrealistic. This issue poses a challenge to conducting a credible quantitative risk assessment and effects the robustness of the results. To address these challenges, this work proposes a methodology based on the Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence as the reasoning framework. It incorporates risk identification, analysis, and mitigation phases to ensure a thorough analysis of risks and the integration of proactive risk reduction strategies. The approach aims to model the worst-case hazard scenario and assess associated risks using various methods such as FMECA, Bow-Tie, Credal Network, and Dempster-Shafer theory. The proposed approach models imprecision and data ambiguity using intervals and associated belief mass. This extension provides a basis for addressing the fundamental problem of prior ignorance about the distribution of the observed data, which is prevalent in data mining applications. A new approach is proposed that utilizes Belief and Plausibility curves, similar to a Cumulative Distribution Function, to propagate uncertainty, enhance criticality discrimination, and determine cumulated belief measures. This approach is applied in analyzing the failure modes identified in FMECA and is further extended through the credal network for comprehensive risk assessment. Results show how to express irrelevant and independent judgments, and how to work out with inferences in credal networks. This issue is often overlooked, but if properly addressed it represents the key to ultimately drawing reliable conclusions and fully utilizing the system's available data. A case study of the City Gate Station system was used to verify the application potential of the proposed approach.
工艺系统是敏感而重要的工业设施。它们的性能受到干扰可能会对环境、人类造成危害或重大经济损失。在化工流程工业的风险评估中,可用的数据、信息和知识通常是罕见的、有限的,而且往往是不现实的。这一问题对进行可靠的定量风险评估和影响评估结果的稳健性构成了挑战。为了应对这些挑战,这项工作提出了一种以 Dempster-Shafer 证据理论为推理框架的方法。该方法包含风险识别、分析和缓解阶段,以确保对风险进行全面分析,并整合积极主动的风险降低策略。该方法旨在利用 FMECA、Bow-Tie、Credal Network 和 Dempster-Shafer 理论等各种方法,模拟最坏情况下的危险情景并评估相关风险。建议的方法使用区间和相关的信念质量对不精确性和数据模糊性进行建模。这一扩展为解决数据挖掘应用中普遍存在的对观测数据分布的先验无知这一基本问题提供了基础。我们提出了一种新方法,利用类似于累积分布函数的信念和可信度曲线来传播不确定性,增强临界判别能力,并确定累积信念量。这种方法适用于分析 FMECA 中确定的故障模式,并通过信用网络进一步扩展,以进行综合风险评估。结果表明了如何表达不相关和独立的判断,以及如何在信誉网络中进行推论。这个问题经常被忽视,但如果处理得当,它将成为最终得出可靠结论和充分利用系统可用数据的关键。我们利用城门站系统的案例研究来验证所建议方法的应用潜力。
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Journal of Loss Prevention in The Process Industries
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