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Moving Beyond Temperature Metrics in Coral Bleaching Prediction Using Interpretable Machine Learning 使用可解释的机器学习在珊瑚白化预测中超越温度指标
IF 6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-08-18 DOI: 10.1111/geb.70105
Mandy W. M. Cheung, Milani Chaloupka, Karlo Hock, Peter J. Mumby

Aim

Marine heatwaves are the greatest threat to coral reefs, but the interplay between other physical environmental factors often influences the thermal sensitivity of corals. While existing coral bleaching algorithms largely depend on temperature-related metrics, such relationships may not hold under climate change when corals experience thermal and environmental variability that may shape bleaching susceptibility. Our aim is to use an interpretable machine learning-based approach to explore the effects and critical thresholds of thermal history and environmental drivers on bleaching outcomes.

Time Period

2016–2020.

Location

Great Barrier Reef (GBR), Australia.

Major Taxa Studied

Scleractinia corals.

Methods

A spatially cross-validated ordinal random forest model was applied to predict 2643 observed coral bleaching outcomes of three levels using 19 potentially informative environmental parameters (i.e., predictors) across three bleaching events on the GBR. We estimated the importance and marginal effects of each predictor using the SHapley Additive exPlanations method. Using the 10 most important predictors, we then fitted and applied a model to predict bleaching on unsurveyed reefs with predictor properties that the model had high confidence in.

Results

Our model predicted bleaching intensities with 80% accuracy. While accumulated heat stress was the strongest predictor, non-linear interactions between drivers resolved observed bleaching outcomes and showed that heat stress alone could not always predict bleaching responses. Reefs with weak currents or high water clarity showed higher bleaching risk even with moderate heat stress. Severely heated reefs with high cloud cover or recent exposure to higher thermal stress exhibited lower bleaching risk.

Main Conclusions

We show that corals respond to acute heat stress differently depending on thermal history, water flow and light availability. Integrating environmental heterogeneity into coral bleaching algorithms, reef vulnerability assessment and

目的海洋热浪是对珊瑚礁的最大威胁,但其他物理环境因素之间的相互作用往往影响珊瑚的热敏性。虽然现有的珊瑚白化算法在很大程度上依赖于与温度相关的指标,但当珊瑚经历可能影响白化敏感性的温度和环境变化时,这种关系可能在气候变化下不成立。我们的目标是使用一种可解释的基于机器学习的方法来探索热历史和环境驱动因素对漂白结果的影响和临界阈值。2016-2020年。位置:澳大利亚大堡礁(GBR)。主要分类群研究了核珊瑚。方法采用空间交叉验证的有序随机森林模型,利用19个潜在信息环境参数(即预测因子)预测GBR上三个漂白事件中2643个观察到的三个级别的珊瑚漂白结果。我们使用SHapley加性解释方法估计了每个预测因子的重要性和边际效应。使用10个最重要的预测因子,我们然后拟合并应用一个模型来预测未调查珊瑚礁的白化,该模型具有很高的置信度。结果该模型预测漂白强度的准确率为80%。虽然累积的热应激是最强的预测因子,但驱动因素之间的非线性相互作用解决了观察到的漂白结果,并表明单独的热应激并不总是能预测漂白反应。即使在适度的热压力下,水流弱或水清澈度高的珊瑚礁也显示出更高的漂白风险。高度云层覆盖或最近暴露于较高热应力的严重加热珊瑚礁显示出较低的漂白风险。研究表明,珊瑚对急性热应激的反应不同,这取决于热历史、水流和光的可用性。将环境异质性纳入珊瑚白化算法、珊瑚礁脆弱性评估和空间保护规划,对于识别白化避难所、促进珊瑚适应和支持气候变化下的珊瑚礁持久性至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Different Macroevolutionary Trajectories Lead to Contrasting Ecogeographical Patterns in Two Widespread Frog Radiations 不同的宏观进化轨迹导致两个广泛分布的青蛙辐射中不同的生态地理模式
IF 6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-08-16 DOI: 10.1111/geb.70109
Helena Martínez-Gil, Antigoni Kaliontzopoulou, Urtzi Enriquez-Urzelai
<div> <section> <h3> Aim</h3> <p>Large-scale evolutionary radiations often occur through marked climatic gradients, which can promote morphological variation. However, opposite trends to the well-known ecogeographical rules can be observed in closely related clades across different geographic regions. Here, we compared macroscale patterns of morphological diversification between two geographically separated evolutionary radiations of widespread frogs to assess how morphological diversity has arisen and tested whether distinct ecogeographical rules operate at broad spatial scales.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Location</h3> <p>Eurasia and America.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Time Period</h3> <p>~ 50 Mya.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Major Taxa Studied</h3> <p><i>Rana</i> and <i>Lithobates</i> genera.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Methods</h3> <p>We combined phylogenetic, morphological, climatic, and microhabitat data for 65 species of <i>Rana</i> and <i>Lithobates</i> and used phylogenetic comparative methods to identify which factors have played a major role in the phenotypic diversification of the two radiations.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Results</h3> <p>Morphological evolution in Eurasian subclades closely followed phylogenetic relatedness, with slow and constant rates of body size diversification through time. By contrast, American species showed accelerated rates of body size evolution in one subclade. Adaptive models (OU) best explained the morphological evolution of this radiation despite the lack of significant correlations with climatic variables, suggesting that selective pressures might have driven adaptation. Discordant ecogeographical trends were also found between radiations: Eurasian species followed Bergmann's rule and the water conservation hypothesis, while no clear trend was observed among American species.</p> </section> <section> <h3> Main Conclusions</h3> <p>Overall, different evolutionary trajectories between the two radiations lead to contrasting ecogeographical patterns, highlighting that distinct selective pressures and adaptive mechanisms can play very different roles in the evolution of phylogenetically related clades. Our research demonstrates that ecogeographical rules should not be considered universally applica
目的大尺度演化辐射往往发生在明显的气候梯度中,能促进形态变异。然而,在不同地理区域的亲缘关系密切的分支中,可以观察到与众所周知的生态地理规律相反的趋势。在这里,我们比较了两个地理上分离的广泛分布的青蛙进化辐射之间形态多样化的宏观模式,以评估形态多样性是如何产生的,并测试了不同的生态地理规则是否在广泛的空间尺度上起作用。地理位置欧亚大陆和美洲。时间周期~ 5亿年前Rana和Lithobates属的主要分类群研究。方法结合65种蛙类和石贝类的系统发育、形态、气候和微生境资料,采用系统发育比较的方法确定在两种辐射的表型多样化中起主要作用的因素。结果欧亚亚枝的形态进化密切遵循系统发育亲缘关系,随着时间的推移,体型的变化速度缓慢而恒定。相比之下,美洲物种在一个亚枝上的体型进化速度加快。适应性模型(OU)最好地解释了这种辐射的形态进化,尽管与气候变量缺乏显著的相关性,这表明选择压力可能驱动了适应。不同辐射之间的生态地理趋势也不一致:欧亚物种遵循Bergmann规则和水分保持假说,而美洲物种没有明显的趋势。总体而言,两种辐射的不同进化轨迹导致了不同的生态地理格局,这表明不同的选择压力和适应机制在系统发育相关枝的进化中可能起着截然不同的作用。我们的研究表明,生态地理规则不应该被认为是普遍适用的,而是依赖于环境的,广泛的辐射是有价值的系统,可以揭示调节这些一般模式的机制和阻碍它们出现的潜在限制。
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引用次数: 0
Environmental Predictability in Phylogenetic Comparative Analysis: How to Measure It and Does It Matter? 系统发育比较分析中的环境可预测性:如何衡量它,它重要吗?
IF 6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-08-16 DOI: 10.1111/geb.70108
Ming Liu, Louis Bell-Roberts, Carlos A. Botero, Charlie K. Cornwallis, Stuart A. West

Aim

Abiotic environmental conditions shape ecological and evolutionary processes, yet quantifying their influence on organisms remains challenging due to variation among metrics and their intercorrelations. This study evaluates the utility of temporal environmental predictability measures and assesses their explanatory power in phylogenetic comparative analyses.

Innovation

We systematically compare widely used metrics of predictability and explore their correlations with environmental means and variances in a global meteorological dataset. Using cooperative breeding birds as a case study, we assess the impact of including predictability metrics in phylogenetic comparative analyses. We demonstrate the consequences of choosing specific metrics and the trade-offs between increased data inclusion and model interpretability.

Main Conclusions

Predictability metrics, though intuitively meaningful, have been conceptualised and quantified with diverse approaches. We found that different measures of predictability can exhibit contrasting global patterns and strong correlations with other environmental quantities. Therefore, our findings caution against overloading statistical analyses with correlated predictors, highlighting the need for a thoughtful selection of environmental metrics to avoid spurious interpretations in ecological and evolutionary studies.

目的:非生物环境条件塑造生态和进化过程,但由于指标及其相互关系的差异,量化它们对生物体的影响仍然具有挑战性。本研究评估了时间环境可预测性措施的效用,并评估了它们在系统发育比较分析中的解释力。我们系统地比较了广泛使用的可预测性指标,并在全球气象数据集中探索了它们与环境手段和方差的相关性。以合作繁殖鸟类为例,我们评估了在系统发育比较分析中纳入可预测性指标的影响。我们展示了选择特定指标的后果,以及增加数据包含和模型可解释性之间的权衡。可预测性指标虽然具有直观意义,但已通过不同的方法概念化和量化。我们发现,不同的可预测性指标可以显示出不同的全球模式,并与其他环境量具有很强的相关性。因此,我们的研究结果提醒我们不要过度使用相关预测因子进行统计分析,强调需要深思熟虑地选择环境指标,以避免在生态和进化研究中出现错误的解释。
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引用次数: 0
Large-Scale Variation in Biodiversity–Ecosystem Functioning (BEF) Relationships in Aquatic Metacommunities on Terrestrial Islands 陆地岛屿水生元群落生物多样性-生态系统功能(BEF)关系的大尺度变化
IF 6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-08-05 DOI: 10.1111/geb.70100
Joren M. Snoeks, Aranya Pathak-Broome, James G. Hagan, Bram Vanschoenwinkel

Aim

Recent work has shown that the biodiversity of potential colonists in a landscape (the local species pool) may be more important for ecosystem functioning than the biodiversity in local habitat patches. However, it is unknown how such biodiversity–ecosystem functioning (BEF) relationships may change across different biomes. To explore such patterns, nested insular ecosystems where variation in local biodiversity and local species pool biodiversity can be reliably quantified can provide important insights.

Location

Rock pool metacommunities on isolated rocky outcrops (i.e., inselbergs) in Africa, Australia, Europe, and North America.

Time Period

Sampling: 2011–2019.

Major Taxa Studied

Freshwater invertebrates.

Methods

We assembled a large-scale dataset of invertebrate metacommunities from replicated rock pool clusters on inselbergs as a model system to test the ability of local biodiversity and local species pool biodiversity to explain community biomass in organisms with different survival strategies (active or passive dispersers). To test our hypotheses, we used a combination of directed acrylic graph-based path analyses and general linear mixed-effects models.

Results

The biodiversity of the local species pool was influenced by climate but did not significantly impact community biomass. Instead, local environmental gradients seem to override any species pool effects on community biomass. However, in line with expectations, the relationship between local biodiversity and biomass varied across inselbergs. Contrary to expectations, inselberg prominence did not influence the BEF slope. However, in drier conditions, the BEF relationship weakened for active dispersers, likely reflecting environmental limits on recolonisation. Thus, climate and dispersal strategy jointly shaped how biodiversity influenced community biomass.

Main Conclusion

This study illustrates that even in a simple ecosystem there can be substantial geographical variation in the relationship between biodiversity and ecosystem functioning that may be partially explained by environmental conditions and by the survival strategy of the organisms considered.

最近的研究表明,景观中潜在殖民者(当地物种池)的生物多样性可能比当地栖息地斑块的生物多样性对生态系统功能更重要。然而,目前尚不清楚这种生物多样性-生态系统功能(BEF)关系如何在不同的生物群系中发生变化。为了探索这种模式,可以可靠地量化当地生物多样性和当地物种池生物多样性变化的巢状岛屿生态系统可以提供重要的见解。在非洲,澳大利亚,欧洲和北美的孤立的岩石露头(即,inselberg)上定位岩石池元群落。采样时间:2011-2019年。主要分类群研究淡水无脊椎动物。方法利用大型无脊椎动物元群落数据集作为模型系统,测试本地生物多样性和本地物种池生物多样性对不同生存策略(主动或被动分散器)生物群落生物量的解释能力。为了验证我们的假设,我们结合了定向丙烯酸图路径分析和一般线性混合效应模型。结果当地物种库的生物多样性受气候的影响,但对群落生物量影响不显著。相反,局部环境梯度似乎超越了任何物种池对群落生物量的影响。然而,与预期一致的是,当地生物多样性和生物量之间的关系在不同的群落中有所不同。与预期相反,inselberg的显著性并没有影响BEF斜率。然而,在干燥条件下,主动分散剂的BEF关系减弱,可能反映了环境对再定居的限制。因此,气候和扩散策略共同决定了生物多样性对群落生物量的影响。本研究表明,即使在一个简单的生态系统中,生物多样性与生态系统功能之间的关系也可能存在实质性的地理差异,这可能部分地由环境条件和所考虑的生物的生存策略来解释。
{"title":"Large-Scale Variation in Biodiversity–Ecosystem Functioning (BEF) Relationships in Aquatic Metacommunities on Terrestrial Islands","authors":"Joren M. Snoeks,&nbsp;Aranya Pathak-Broome,&nbsp;James G. Hagan,&nbsp;Bram Vanschoenwinkel","doi":"10.1111/geb.70100","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.70100","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Aim</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Recent work has shown that the biodiversity of potential colonists in a landscape (the local species pool) may be more important for ecosystem functioning than the biodiversity in local habitat patches. However, it is unknown how such biodiversity–ecosystem functioning (BEF) relationships may change across different biomes. To explore such patterns, nested insular ecosystems where variation in local biodiversity and local species pool biodiversity can be reliably quantified can provide important insights.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Location</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Rock pool metacommunities on isolated rocky outcrops (i.e., inselbergs) in Africa, Australia, Europe, and North America.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Time Period</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Sampling: 2011–2019.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Major Taxa Studied</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Freshwater invertebrates.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Methods</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>We assembled a large-scale dataset of invertebrate metacommunities from replicated rock pool clusters on inselbergs as a model system to test the ability of local biodiversity and local species pool biodiversity to explain community biomass in organisms with different survival strategies (active or passive dispersers). To test our hypotheses, we used a combination of directed acrylic graph-based path analyses and general linear mixed-effects models.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Results</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The biodiversity of the local species pool was influenced by climate but did not significantly impact community biomass. Instead, local environmental gradients seem to override any species pool effects on community biomass. However, in line with expectations, the relationship between local biodiversity and biomass varied across inselbergs. Contrary to expectations, inselberg prominence did not influence the BEF slope. However, in drier conditions, the BEF relationship weakened for active dispersers, likely reflecting environmental limits on recolonisation. Thus, climate and dispersal strategy jointly shaped how biodiversity influenced community biomass.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Main Conclusion</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This study illustrates that even in a simple ecosystem there can be substantial geographical variation in the relationship between biodiversity and ecosystem functioning that may be partially explained by environmental conditions and by the survival strategy of the organisms considered.</p>\u0000 </s","PeriodicalId":176,"journal":{"name":"Global Ecology and Biogeography","volume":"34 8","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2025-08-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144773435","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Relationship Between Grazing Pressure and Environmental Factors Drives Vegetation Fragmentation Across Global Drylands 放牧压力与环境因子驱动全球旱地植被破碎化的关系
IF 6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-08-04 DOI: 10.1111/geb.70098
Yanchuang Zhao, Sonia Kéfi, Emilio Guirado, Miguel Berdugo, David J. Eldridge, Nicolas Gross, Yoann Le Bagousse-Pinguet, Hugo Saiz, Sergio Asensio, Victoria Ochoa, Bea Gozalo, Jaime Martínez-Valderrama, César Plaza, Enrique Valencia, Fernando T. Maestre

Aim

To evaluate how grazing pressure, a key land-use factor, interacts with climatic, vegetation, and soil variables to shape the fragmentation of perennial vegetation across drylands globally.

Location

171 plots across 25 countries on six continents.

Time Period

Field data: 2016–2019.

Major Taxa Studied

Perennial grasses, shrubs, and woody plants.

Methods

We conducted a standardised field survey across 171 45 m × 45 m plots to assess grazing pressure, vegetation, and soil properties. Vegetation fragmentation was quantified using three patch-based metrics derived from high-resolution satellite images. Linear mixed-effects models were used to relate fragmentation to climatic, vegetation, and soil variables. Predictor importance was assessed through multi-model inference and validated using a random forest approach.

Results

Vegetation fragmentation increased with aridity, and this effect was 4.7 times stronger under high grazing pressure than under low pressure. The most influential interactions involved grazing pressure with soil amelioration (49.7% importance) and with vegetation cover (44.6%). Soil amelioration—measured as the enrichment of soil organic carbon beneath vegetation—reduced fragmentation, especially under high grazing pressure. In contrast, the ability of vegetation cover to sustain large patches diminished as grazing intensity increased. Soil amelioration was strongly linked to the proportion of facilitated plant species (p < 0.01), whereas soil organic carbon alone—beneath vegetation (p = 0.37) or in bare areas (p = 0.94)—was not significantly related.

Main Conclusions

Grazing pressure and aridity interact to intensify vegetation fragmentation, potentially accelerating land degradation in drylands under future climate and land-use scenarios. Mitigating this fragmentation requires not only enhancing vegetation cover but also promoting plant–soil facilitation processes, especially under high grazing pressure. These findings underscore the critical role of plant-driven soil amelioration in maintaining ecosystem structure and resilience across global drylands.

目的评估放牧压力(一个关键的土地利用因子)如何与气候、植被和土壤变量相互作用,从而形成全球旱地多年生植被的破碎化。171个地块横跨六大洲25个国家。现场数据:2016-2019年。主要分类群研究多年生草、灌木和木本植物。方法对171个45 m × 45 m样地进行标准化野外调查,评估放牧压力、植被和土壤性质。利用来自高分辨率卫星图像的三个基于斑块的指标对植被破碎化进行了量化。使用线性混合效应模型将破碎化与气候、植被和土壤变量联系起来。通过多模型推理评估预测因子的重要性,并使用随机森林方法进行验证。结果植被破碎化程度随着干旱程度的增加而增加,高放牧压力对植被破碎化程度的影响是低放牧压力下的4.7倍。影响最大的相互作用包括放牧压力与土壤改良(重要性为49.7%)和植被覆盖(重要性为44.6%)。土壤改良——以植被下土壤有机碳的富集来衡量——减少了破碎化,特别是在高放牧压力下。相反,植被覆盖维持大面积斑块的能力随着放牧强度的增加而减弱。土壤改良与促进植物种类的比例密切相关(p < 0.01),而单独的土壤有机碳-植被下(p = 0.37)或光秃秃地区(p = 0.94) -不显著相关。放牧压力和干旱相互作用加剧了植被破碎化,在未来气候和土地利用情景下可能加速旱地土地退化。减轻这种破碎化不仅需要增加植被覆盖,还需要促进植物-土壤的促进过程,特别是在高放牧压力下。这些发现强调了植物驱动的土壤改良在维持全球旱地生态系统结构和恢复力方面的关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
Plant Communities in the Americas Are Highly Bee Dependent Regardless of Biome or Local Bee Diversity 无论生物群落或当地蜜蜂多样性如何,美洲的植物群落都高度依赖蜜蜂
IF 6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-08-03 DOI: 10.1111/geb.70101
Aline C. Martins, Lena Heinrich, Alice C. Hughes, Katja C. Seltmann, Michael C. Orr, Thais Vasconcelos

Aim

All bees depend on angiosperms for survival, while many angiosperms depend on bees for reproduction. However, bee and flowering plant species richness do not peak in the same geographical regions of the world, suggesting that the flora in regions where bees are not as diverse, such as the tropics, may be relatively less bee-dependent. We test this assumption by analysing whether local relative bee diversity can predict the proportion of angiosperm species that attract bees (i.e., “bee flowers”).

Location

The Americas.

Time Period

Present.

Major Taxa Studied

Bees and angiosperms.

Methods

We map the proportion of bees to angiosperm species using recently available datasets of geographic distribution for both taxa. We then combine data from surveys on pollination systems for 56 floristic communities to estimate the proportion of angiosperm species with bee flowers in different regions. Finally, we test whether the proportion of bee flowers in a community can be predicted by a combination of relative bee species richness and abiotic environmental variables.

Results

Broad distribution maps show that the relative richness of bees in relation to angiosperms decreases in tropical areas; however, there is no evidence that tropical floristic communities are less dependent on bees. Interestingly, the proportion of angiosperm species with bee flowers was almost always found to be around 50% across biomes, with some variation depending on the habitat type and method of data collection.

Main Conclusions

Our results suggest that plant communities can be highly bee-dependent even where bees are relatively less diverse. While lower species richness does not mean lower abundance, and fewer bee species of specific life histories can still provide adequate pollination supply for a large number of angiosperm species, this pattern may impact how bee flowers interact with bees in different areas, and consequently how bees and bee flower specialisations have evolved over time.

目的所有的蜜蜂都依赖被子植物生存,而许多被子植物也依赖蜜蜂繁殖。然而,蜜蜂和开花植物物种丰富度在世界上的同一地理区域并没有达到峰值,这表明在蜜蜂不那么多样化的地区,如热带地区,植物群可能相对较少依赖蜜蜂。我们通过分析本地相对蜜蜂多样性是否可以预测吸引蜜蜂的被子植物物种(即“蜂花”)的比例来验证这一假设。地点:美洲。时间:现在。蜜蜂和被子植物的主要分类群。方法利用最近可获得的两个分类群的地理分布数据集绘制蜜蜂与被子植物物种的比例图。然后,我们结合56个植物群落的授粉系统调查数据,估计了不同地区有蜜蜂花的被子植物物种的比例。最后,我们验证了蜂花在一个群落中的比例是否可以通过蜜蜂物种相对丰富度和非生物环境变量的组合来预测。结果广泛的分布图显示,热带地区蜜蜂相对被子植物的相对丰富度呈下降趋势;然而,没有证据表明热带植物群落对蜜蜂的依赖程度较低。有趣的是,在整个生物群落中,有蜜蜂花的被子植物物种的比例几乎总是在50%左右,根据栖息地类型和数据收集方法有一些变化。我们的研究结果表明,即使在蜜蜂种类相对较少的地方,植物群落也可能高度依赖蜜蜂。虽然较低的物种丰富度并不意味着较低的丰度,并且特定生活史的较少蜜蜂物种仍然可以为大量被子植物物种提供足够的授粉供应,但这种模式可能会影响蜜蜂与不同地区蜜蜂的相互作用,从而影响蜜蜂和蜜蜂的专业化如何随着时间的推移而进化。
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引用次数: 0
Degrading Waterscapes and Decaying Diversities: Assessing Habitat Loss and Fragmentation Consequences on Simulated Diversity Patterns Across European Freshwater Ecoregions 退化的水景和退化的多样性:评估生境丧失和破碎化对欧洲淡水生态区模拟多样性模式的影响
IF 6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-08-01 DOI: 10.1111/geb.70103
David Cunillera-Montcusí, Ana Inés Borthagaray, Jordi Bou, Matías Arim

Aim

Aquatic landscapes face severe threats from human activities propelling their deterioration. Waterscape degradation represents a main driver of the current diversity crisis, but its large-scale consequences for ecoregions are difficult to quantify. Here we provide a framework to assess the potential impact of waterscape degradation by simulating diversity decay of European ecoregions. Through this approach, we aim to identify regional sensitivity patterns to degradation and its large-scale determinants.

Location

Europe.

Time Period

From 1984 until 2019.

Major Taxa Studied

Freshwater organisms with aerial or terrestrial dispersal capacity.

Methods

We reconstructed the European waterscape based on satellite data and explored its connection with diversity using metacommunity models. Subsequently, we generated a gradient of dispersal abilities and of waterscape degradation by systematically removing a percentage of habitat and estimating gamma diversity for each level. We synthesised the diversity decay patterns in two parameters: the proportional decay rate and the collapsing rate, which respectively inform about the speed of diversity loss and its acceleration as waterscape degradation progresses.

Results

We observed major differences in the potential response to waterscape degradation across regions. Connectivity and water cover emerged as primary descriptors of diversity decay, with ecoregions that have more heterogeneous waterscapes being the most resistant to degradation.

Main Conclusions

Our study provides a first insight to a needed information: the large-scale consequences of waterscape degradation for biodiversity. This contribution focuses on the role that waterscape configuration plays in sustaining diversity and how it may differently decay with global change. Furthermore, the theoretical perspective developed herein paves the way to include further mechanisms and/or spatial changes at other scales. Our approach can improve conservation by considering large-scale features. Thus, the

目的水生景观面临人类活动的严重威胁,导致其退化。水景退化是当前多样性危机的主要驱动因素,但其对生态区域的大规模影响难以量化。在这里,我们提供了一个框架,通过模拟欧洲生态区的多样性衰减来评估水景退化的潜在影响。通过这种方法,我们的目标是确定区域对退化的敏感性模式及其大规模决定因素。位置 欧洲。时间范围1984年至2019年。主要分类群研究具有空中或陆地扩散能力的淡水生物。方法基于卫星数据重构欧洲水景,并利用元群落模型探讨其与多样性的关系。随后,我们通过系统地移除一定比例的栖息地并估计每个水平的伽马多样性,生成了扩散能力和水景退化的梯度。我们将多样性衰减模式综合为两个参数:比例衰减率和崩溃率,这两个参数分别反映了随着水景退化的进展,多样性丧失的速度和加速程度。结果我们观察到不同地区对水景退化的潜在反应存在重大差异。连通性和水覆盖是多样性退化的主要描述因素,具有更多异质水景的生态区对退化的抵抗力最强。我们的研究首次揭示了水景退化对生物多样性的大规模影响。这篇文章的重点是水景配置在维持多样性方面所起的作用,以及它如何随着全球变化而不同地衰减。此外,本文发展的理论视角为包括其他尺度的进一步机制和/或空间变化铺平了道路。我们的方法可以通过考虑大规模特征来提高守恒性。因此,目前的研究结果增强了我们对水景退化对淡水多样性的影响的理解,并为利用新的视角打破当前的保护停滞奠定了基础。
{"title":"Degrading Waterscapes and Decaying Diversities: Assessing Habitat Loss and Fragmentation Consequences on Simulated Diversity Patterns Across European Freshwater Ecoregions","authors":"David Cunillera-Montcusí,&nbsp;Ana Inés Borthagaray,&nbsp;Jordi Bou,&nbsp;Matías Arim","doi":"10.1111/geb.70103","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.70103","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Aim</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Aquatic landscapes face severe threats from human activities propelling their deterioration. Waterscape degradation represents a main driver of the current diversity crisis, but its large-scale consequences for ecoregions are difficult to quantify. Here we provide a framework to assess the potential impact of waterscape degradation by simulating diversity decay of European ecoregions. Through this approach, we aim to identify regional sensitivity patterns to degradation and its large-scale determinants.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Location</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Europe.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Time Period</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>From 1984 until 2019.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Major Taxa Studied</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Freshwater organisms with aerial or terrestrial dispersal capacity.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Methods</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>We reconstructed the European waterscape based on satellite data and explored its connection with diversity using metacommunity models. Subsequently, we generated a gradient of dispersal abilities and of waterscape degradation by systematically removing a percentage of habitat and estimating gamma diversity for each level. We synthesised the diversity decay patterns in two parameters: the proportional decay rate and the collapsing rate, which respectively inform about the speed of diversity loss and its acceleration as waterscape degradation progresses.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Results</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>We observed major differences in the potential response to waterscape degradation across regions. Connectivity and water cover emerged as primary descriptors of diversity decay, with ecoregions that have more heterogeneous waterscapes being the most resistant to degradation.</p>\u0000 </section>\u0000 \u0000 <section>\u0000 \u0000 <h3> Main Conclusions</h3>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Our study provides a first insight to a needed information: the large-scale consequences of waterscape degradation for biodiversity. This contribution focuses on the role that waterscape configuration plays in sustaining diversity and how it may differently decay with global change. Furthermore, the theoretical perspective developed herein paves the way to include further mechanisms and/or spatial changes at other scales. Our approach can improve conservation by considering large-scale features. Thus, the ","PeriodicalId":176,"journal":{"name":"Global Ecology and Biogeography","volume":"34 8","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/geb.70103","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144758551","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Janzen's Hypothesis Revisited for Soil Microorganisms: Bacteria Align More Strongly With Its Postulates Than Fungi 简森对土壤微生物的假设的重新审视:细菌比真菌更符合它的假设
IF 6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-07-31 DOI: 10.1111/geb.70099
Yazhou Zhang, J. Aaron Hogan, Thomas W. Crowther, Minshu Song, Shijia Xu, Hang Sun

Aim

Mountains support disproportionately high biodiversity relative to the land area they cover. Yet, how montane biodiversity stratification varies with elevation, and whether patterns are similar among mountains, is a contentious issue. In the 1960s, Janzen proposed that the reduced climatic variability in tropical mountains compared with their temperate counterparts constrains species' thermal niches and dispersal abilities, ultimately leading to greater compositional differentiation across equivalent elevation gradients in tropical regions. This pattern has been confirmed for plants and animals but remains largely unexplored for microorganisms.

Location

Global.

Time Period

2008–2023.

Major Taxa Studied

Fungi and bacteria.

Methods

Here, we synthesised global soil microbiome distributions from 268 elevational transects across 17 mountains to test Janzen's hypothesis for microorganisms.

Results

Bacterial communities primarily respond to latitude, temperature variability and elevation, whereas fungal communities are slightly shaped by temperature variability and latitude. The Bray–Curtis distance decay rate of tropical bacteria and fungi is higher than that of temperate regions. As latitude and temperature variability increase, bacterial endemism significantly decreases, while the trend for fungi is weaker. Bacterial community assembly is primarily governed by environmental selection and dispersal limitation, whereas fungi are mainly influenced by dispersal limitation and drift. Notably, the impact of dispersal limitation on bacteria diminishes with increasing latitude.

Main Conclusions

We confirm that bacterial communities align more closely with Janzen's hypothesis than fungal communities, showing steeper distance decay, higher endemism and greater dispersal limitation at low latitudes. The application of classical ecological theories to microorganisms should carefully consider the specific characteristics of different regions and taxa. Our study provides a basis for understanding the mechanisms that maintain microbial diversity along elevational and climatic gradients.

Aim山脉所支持的生物多样性与其所覆盖的土地面积不成比例地高。然而,山区生物多样性分层是如何随海拔而变化的,以及山区之间的模式是否相似,是一个有争议的问题。20世纪60年代,Janzen提出,热带山区与温带地区相比,气候变率的降低限制了物种的热生态位和扩散能力,最终导致热带地区在同等海拔梯度上的组成差异更大。这种模式已在植物和动物中得到证实,但在很大程度上仍未对微生物进行探索。位置 全球。时间范围2008-2023。真菌和细菌的主要分类群。在这里,我们综合了全球17座山脉268个海拔样带的土壤微生物组分布,以验证Janzen的微生物假设。结果细菌群落主要受纬度、温度变化和海拔高度的影响,真菌群落受纬度和温度变化的影响较小。热带地区细菌和真菌的布雷-柯蒂斯距离衰减率高于温带地区。随着纬度和温度变化的增加,细菌的地方性显著减少,而真菌的趋势较弱。细菌群落的聚集主要受环境选择和扩散限制的影响,而真菌群落的聚集主要受扩散限制和漂移的影响。值得注意的是,扩散限制对细菌的影响随着纬度的增加而减弱。我们证实细菌群落比真菌群落更接近Janzen的假设,在低纬度地区表现出更陡峭的距离衰减,更高的地方性和更大的扩散限制。在应用经典生态学理论研究微生物时,应仔细考虑不同地区和分类群的具体特征。我们的研究为理解沿海拔和气候梯度维持微生物多样性的机制提供了基础。
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引用次数: 0
The Role of Earthworms in Mediating Environmental Impacts on Mountain Ecosystem Functioning 蚯蚓在调节山地生态系统功能环境影响中的作用
IF 6.3 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-07-28 DOI: 10.1111/geb.70093
Romain Goury, Tamara Münkemüller, Nicolas Bonfanti, Irene Calderón-Sanou, Jérôme Poulenard, Orchamp Consortium, Wilfried Thuiller

Aim

Soils host a quarter of all terrestrial species, and the pivotal role played by earthworms in soil ecosystem functioning is thought to be paramount. Here, we aimed to quantify the causal influence of changing environments, especially climate, soil conditions, and vegetation type and structure, on earthworm diversity and the subsequent impacts on ecosystem functions.

Location

French Alps.

Time Period

2016–2021.

Major Taxa Studied

Earthworms and plants.

Methods

Along 17 elevational gradients, we sampled climate, soil conditions, plant relevés, ecosystem functions, and earthworm diversity from soil environmental DNA. Through a causal inference framework and structural equation modelling, we quantified how climate conditions structure soil conditions and vegetation structure along the gradients, how these three compartments shape earthworm diversity, and how, in turn, earthworm diversity modulates ecosystem functions in addition to direct environmental impacts.

Results

Vegetation was the most important driver of earthworm diversity, with acquisitive plant strategies contributing to an increase in earthworm diversity, followed by soil organic matter. While climate was important, its impact on earthworm diversity was only indirect, through cascading effects mediated by vegetation and soil. In addition to the abiotic drivers, earthworm diversity had an important effect on three out of the four studied ecosystem functions (i.e., carbon stock, plant primary productivity and carbon and nitrogen limitation of microbes). In closed habitats, earthworm diversity was positively linked to proxies of carbon stock and carbon availability, while in grasslands, it was positively linked to proxies of nitrogen availability. Interestingly, aboveground productivity was found to be independent of earthworm diversity.

Main Conclusions

Our study underscores the central role of earthworm diversity in linking environmental drivers to ecosystem functioning. We emphasise the importance of incorporating earthworm diversity

土壤是所有陆地物种的四分之一的宿主,蚯蚓在土壤生态系统功能中起着至关重要的作用。在此,我们旨在量化变化的环境,特别是气候、土壤条件、植被类型和结构对蚯蚓多样性的因果影响及其对生态系统功能的影响。地理位置:法国阿尔卑斯山。2016-2021年。主要分类群研究蚯蚓和植物。方法在17个海拔梯度上,对土壤环境DNA进行气候、土壤条件、植物相关因素、生态系统功能和蚯蚓多样性的采样。通过因果推理框架和结构方程建模,我们量化了气候条件如何沿着梯度结构土壤条件和植被结构,这三个区室如何塑造蚯蚓多样性,以及蚯蚓多样性如何调节生态系统功能以及直接的环境影响。结果植被是蚯蚓多样性最重要的驱动因素,植物获取策略对蚯蚓多样性的增加有重要作用,其次是土壤有机质。虽然气候是重要的,但它对蚯蚓多样性的影响只是间接的,通过植被和土壤介导的级联效应。除非生物驱动因素外,蚯蚓多样性对研究的4个生态系统功能中的3个(即碳储量、植物初级生产力和微生物的碳氮限制)也有重要影响。在封闭生境中,蚯蚓多样性与碳储量和碳有效性指标正相关,而在草地中,蚯蚓多样性与氮有效性指标正相关。有趣的是,地上生产力被发现与蚯蚓多样性无关。我们的研究强调了蚯蚓多样性在连接环境驱动因素和生态系统功能方面的核心作用。我们强调将蚯蚓多样性纳入模型的重要性,旨在阐明气候变化在各个生态系统间的级联效应,最终塑造生态系统功能。
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引用次数: 0
Interplay of Genotypic and Thermal Effects on Sex Determination Shapes Climatic Distribution in Herpetofauna 基因型和热效应对性别决定的相互作用决定了爬行动物的气候分布
IF 6.3 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ECOLOGY Pub Date : 2025-07-25 DOI: 10.1111/geb.70096
Edina Nemesházi, Veronika Bókony

Aim

Sex is a fundamental trait of many organisms, and sex-determination systems are diverse across the tree of life. Environmental temperature can influence sexual development not only in temperature-dependent sex-determination systems, but also in species with genotypic sex determination (GSD). Temperature-induced sex reversal, resulting from combined effects of GSD and environmental temperatures, may greatly affect population dynamics and extinction risk. However, the scarcity of research on sex reversal has constrained the assessment of its evolutionary-ecological significance. We assessed if climatic distribution differs between female-heterogametic (ZW/ZZ) and male-heterogametic (XX/XY) species in herpetofauna when taking into account thermal reaction norms (TRN; i.e., how temperature affects progeny sex ratio), as suggested by the ‘asymmetrical sex reversal’ theory.

Location

Global.

Time Period

1970–2000.

Major Taxa Studied

Amphibia, Reptilia.

Methods

For all extant species where information was available, we collected data on their types of heterogamety and TRN from the HerpSexDet database, and on various aspects of temperature across their native distribution range from the WorldClim database. We used phylogenetic generalised least squares to compare environmental temperatures between XX/XY and ZZ/ZW systems within each type of TRN.

Results

Climatic distribution of extant species is explained by the combination of their sex-chromosome system and the shape of their TRN across amphibians and in infraorder Gekkota among reptiles. In these taxa, directions of the climatic differences conform to the ‘asymmetrical sex reversal’ theory.

Main Conclusions

Our results underscore the importance of temperature-induced sex reversal in phylogeography, evolution, and species conservation under climate change, and highlight the need for more empirical research on sex reversal in nature.

目的性别是许多生物的基本特征,性别决定系统在生命之树上是多种多样的。环境温度不仅影响温度依赖性性别决定系统的性发育,而且影响基因型性别决定(GSD)物种的性发育。温度诱导的性别反转是GSD和环境温度共同作用的结果,对种群动态和灭绝风险有重要影响。然而,性别反转研究的缺乏限制了对其进化生态学意义的评估。当考虑热反应规范(TRN)时,我们评估了雌性异型交配(ZW/ZZ)和雄性异型交配(XX/XY)种在爬行动物中的气候分布是否存在差异;例如,温度如何影响后代的性别比例),正如“不对称性别逆转”理论所建议的那样。位置 全球。时间:1970-2000。两栖类、爬行类的主要分类群。方法从HerpSexDet数据库中收集所有现有物种的异质性类型和TRN数据,并从WorldClim数据库中收集其本地分布范围内的温度各方面数据。我们使用系统发育广义最小二乘法比较了每种类型TRN中XX/XY和ZZ/ZW系统之间的环境温度。结果现存物种的气候分布可以用性染色体系统和TRN形态的组合来解释。在这些分类群中,气候差异的方向符合“不对称性别逆转”理论。本研究结果强调了温度诱导的性别逆转在气候变化下的系统地理学、进化和物种保护中的重要性,并强调了对自然界性别逆转进行更多实证研究的必要性。
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Global Ecology and Biogeography
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