Pub Date : 2026-01-21DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107939
Hao Han , Liang Dong
Building resilience in human settlements has garnered increasing attention due to heightened climate-related risks and ongoing urbanization, particularly in regions of the Global South. Connecting academic research with practical resilience-building efforts necessitates approaches that are robust, transparent, and scalable. Based on the Stimulus-Recovery-Adaptation (SRA) model, this study introduces an alternative service-based framework for assessing and enhancing the resilience of Anthropogenic Socioeconomic-Ecological-Technological (ASET) systems exposed to climate-related risks, with a case study on flood scenarios in Hong Kong. In contrast to the traditional subsystem-focused approach, this framework underscores life-sustaining services—such as healthcare, mobility, food supply, shelter, and education—as the cornerstone of urban resilience. The results demonstrate how service-based indicators provide practical, evidence-based insights that facilitate resilience planning and policymaking. This framework helps to clarify theoretical ambiguities, align resilience-building initiatives with public needs, and offers scalable strategies that strike a balance between short-term demands and long-term resilience and sustainability objectives.
{"title":"Service-based resilience-building in Anthropogenic Socioeconomic-Ecological-Technological (ASET) systems: Hong Kong as the case","authors":"Hao Han , Liang Dong","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107939","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107939","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Building resilience in human settlements has garnered increasing attention due to heightened climate-related risks and ongoing urbanization, particularly in regions of the Global South. Connecting academic research with practical resilience-building efforts necessitates approaches that are robust, transparent, and scalable. Based on the Stimulus-Recovery-Adaptation (SRA) model, this study introduces an alternative service-based framework for assessing and enhancing the resilience of Anthropogenic Socioeconomic-Ecological-Technological (ASET) systems exposed to climate-related risks, with a case study on flood scenarios in Hong Kong. In contrast to the traditional subsystem-focused approach, this framework underscores life-sustaining services—such as healthcare, mobility, food supply, shelter, and education—as the cornerstone of urban resilience. The results demonstrate how service-based indicators provide practical, evidence-based insights that facilitate resilience planning and policymaking. This framework helps to clarify theoretical ambiguities, align resilience-building initiatives with public needs, and offers scalable strategies that strike a balance between short-term demands and long-term resilience and sustainability objectives.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"164 ","pages":"Article 107939"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146036144","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-21DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107916
Daniels Saakjans , David Kaufmann , Anna M. Hersperger
The rapid growth and increasing complexity of European cities highlight the need for urban planning and governance in creating sustainable urban environments. Specifically, regulations on building form and location are key to designing efficient and equitable cities. However, these regulations vary widely among municipalities across European countries and are not well understood. Notably, there is no comprehensive overview of the prevailing regulations and their objectives. This study fills this gap by analysing how European countries prioritise local building regulations and whether they pursue efficiency, i.e. making the best use of space, or equity, i.e. promoting fair and inclusive distribution of urban benefits. We examine regulations related to building height, volume, density, outlook, design coherence, value capacity, and hazard prevention. Through an online survey of planning experts in 30 countries, we found that regulations on height and density are prioritised the most and are primarily efficiency-oriented. While some regulations of lesser priority exhibited a more balanced pursuit of both goals, overall, building regulations in Europe pursue efficiency more than equity. The findings from this study are expected to enhance knowledge exchange in planning practice and foster better cooperation between countries. Furthermore, they provide an important empirical basis for much-needed theory development and future comparative research in spatial planning and land-use regulation.
{"title":"Scrutinising European land-use planning: Identifying the priorities and goals of building regulations","authors":"Daniels Saakjans , David Kaufmann , Anna M. Hersperger","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107916","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107916","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The rapid growth and increasing complexity of European cities highlight the need for urban planning and governance in creating sustainable urban environments. Specifically, regulations on building form and location are key to designing efficient and equitable cities. However, these regulations vary widely among municipalities across European countries and are not well understood. Notably, there is no comprehensive overview of the prevailing regulations and their objectives. This study fills this gap by analysing how European countries prioritise local building regulations and whether they pursue efficiency, i.e. making the best use of space, or equity, i.e. promoting fair and inclusive distribution of urban benefits. We examine regulations related to building height, volume, density, outlook, design coherence, value capacity, and hazard prevention. Through an online survey of planning experts in 30 countries, we found that regulations on height and density are prioritised the most and are primarily efficiency-oriented. While some regulations of lesser priority exhibited a more balanced pursuit of both goals, overall, building regulations in Europe pursue efficiency more than equity. The findings from this study are expected to enhance knowledge exchange in planning practice and foster better cooperation between countries. Furthermore, they provide an important empirical basis for much-needed theory development and future comparative research in spatial planning and land-use regulation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"164 ","pages":"Article 107916"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146014285","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-20DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107941
Neha Chauhan, Max Kretschmer, Jorge Gustavo Rodriguez Aboytes, Henrik von Wehrden
Despite growing innovations and work in the field of sustainable agriculture practices, the adoption of such practices remains low. The increasing global population demands the agricultural systems to produce more food, enough to feed almost 10 billion mouths by 2050. However, despite their recognized benefits, SAP adoption remains limited due to various socio-economic, institutional, and governance-related barriers. This makes it imperative that we understand the determinants of low adoption rate of sustainable agricultural practices and perform necessary changes in current adoption approaches based on the desired requirements. This study conducts a global systematic review to identify the key determinants influencing SAP adoption. A total of 121 studies published between 2000 and 2024, focusing on one of the three determinants: Behavioural, Governance & Institutional, were identified, investigated and reviewed. Using hierarchical cluster analysis and word co-abundance techniques, we categorize these determinants into five clusters: governance support and incentives, household-level demographics, institutional incentivization, farmer perceptions and behaviour, and technological advancements. These clusters help us tackle the determinants in depth by performing a full-text analysis to understand the above-mentioned determinants and identify effective policy and adoption strategies. The findings highlight that financial constraints, lack of institutional support, and limited farmer awareness hinder widespread adoption, while education, market access, and policy interventions serve as enablers. We propose targeted policy recommendations, including financial incentives, farmer education programs, and infrastructure improvements, to promote SAP adoption. This study contributes to a deeper understanding of the multi-faceted drivers and barriers to sustainable agriculture, offering insights for policymakers and stakeholders aiming to enhance global agricultural sustainability.
{"title":"Major determinants of sustainable agriculture practices adoption: A systematic review","authors":"Neha Chauhan, Max Kretschmer, Jorge Gustavo Rodriguez Aboytes, Henrik von Wehrden","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107941","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107941","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Despite growing innovations and work in the field of sustainable agriculture practices, the adoption of such practices remains low. The increasing global population demands the agricultural systems to produce more food, enough to feed almost 10 billion mouths by 2050. However, despite their recognized benefits, SAP adoption remains limited due to various socio-economic, institutional, and governance-related barriers. This makes it imperative that we understand the determinants of low adoption rate of sustainable agricultural practices and perform necessary changes in current adoption approaches based on the desired requirements. This study conducts a global systematic review to identify the key determinants influencing SAP adoption. A total of 121 studies published between 2000 and 2024, focusing on one of the three determinants: Behavioural, Governance & Institutional, were identified, investigated and reviewed. Using hierarchical cluster analysis and word co-abundance techniques, we categorize these determinants into five clusters: governance support and incentives, household-level demographics, institutional incentivization, farmer perceptions and behaviour, and technological advancements. These clusters help us tackle the determinants in depth by performing a full-text analysis to understand the above-mentioned determinants and identify effective policy and adoption strategies. The findings highlight that financial constraints, lack of institutional support, and limited farmer awareness hinder widespread adoption, while education, market access, and policy interventions serve as enablers. We propose targeted policy recommendations, including financial incentives, farmer education programs, and infrastructure improvements, to promote SAP adoption. This study contributes to a deeper understanding of the multi-faceted drivers and barriers to sustainable agriculture, offering insights for policymakers and stakeholders aiming to enhance global agricultural sustainability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"164 ","pages":"Article 107941"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146006377","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
This study proposes a spatial downscaling framework to generate fine-resolution (500 m) future land-use projections for Taiwan using LUH2-based datasets under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). The framework integrates historical transition probabilities, national land-use survey data, and scenario-specific spatial allocation rules to bridge the resolution gap between global models and local policy needs. To evaluate spatial and temporal consistency, short-term land-use transition probabilities were derived from national surveys and used to identify conflict zones where long-term projections diverge from recent trends. To facilitate local implementation, four indicators, including early onset, concentration, variability, and pace of change, were developed to assess scenario-driven land-use dynamics across 19 subnational divisions of Taiwan. Results revealed that SSP1–1.9, while aligned with sustainability goals, involves abrupt land-use shifts that may challenge local implementation, whereas SSP2–4.5 offers more gradual transitions but greater cumulative impacts. Furthermore, following the same spatial downscaling procedure with spaceborne images of 6-meters resolution, site-specific land-use map was projected. It was demonstrated that this framework provides a transferable method for embedding global scenarios into local planning contexts and offers practical insights for risk detection, land-use prioritization, and adaptive governance under long-term development pathways.
{"title":"From global models to local indicators: Assessing land-use transitions and conflicts","authors":"Yi-Ying Chen , Zi-Ling Zeng , Wei Huang , Shih-Yuan Lin","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107937","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107937","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study proposes a spatial downscaling framework to generate fine-resolution (500 m) future land-use projections for Taiwan using LUH2-based datasets under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). The framework integrates historical transition probabilities, national land-use survey data, and scenario-specific spatial allocation rules to bridge the resolution gap between global models and local policy needs. To evaluate spatial and temporal consistency, short-term land-use transition probabilities were derived from national surveys and used to identify conflict zones where long-term projections diverge from recent trends. To facilitate local implementation, four indicators, including early onset, concentration, variability, and pace of change, were developed to assess scenario-driven land-use dynamics across 19 subnational divisions of Taiwan. Results revealed that SSP1–1.9, while aligned with sustainability goals, involves abrupt land-use shifts that may challenge local implementation, whereas SSP2–4.5 offers more gradual transitions but greater cumulative impacts. Furthermore, following the same spatial downscaling procedure with spaceborne images of 6-meters resolution, site-specific land-use map was projected. It was demonstrated that this framework provides a transferable method for embedding global scenarios into local planning contexts and offers practical insights for risk detection, land-use prioritization, and adaptive governance under long-term development pathways.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"164 ","pages":"Article 107937"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146036295","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-20DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107948
Haowei Sun , Li Wang
Ensuring sufficient cropland is crucial for achieving national food security. Both climate and land use changes have profound impacts on the area available for crop production. Using the High-stable index (HSI) method, this study aimed to: (1) analyze the influence of climate change on the potential suitable planting area for winter wheat; (2) determine the influences of climate and land use changes on the future cultivable area for winter wheat; (3) evaluate the economic benefits resulting from changes in the cultivable area caused by these factors. Results indicated that climate change would reduce the potential suitable planting area by 6.2 % and 3.1 % under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively. Land use change led to increase in the cultivable area of 37.0 % (RCP4.5) and 23.4 % (RCP8.5), respectively. Climate change would lead to a greater dispersion of potential suitable and cultivable areas for winter wheat. Compared to the baseline period, land use change could result in maximum annual average economic benefits of 59.84 billion USD under RCP4.5 and 39.58 billion USD under RCP8.5. Conversely, climate change could result in maximum annual average economic losses of 9.3 billion USD and 6.7 billion USD under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively. Future land use change has the potential to mitigate or offset the adverse effects of climate change on winter wheat growing areas. Considering the impacts of land tenure on field practices, land restoration, land use transfer, and land fragmentation, the combination of clearer top-level design of land use pattern and more flexible land transfer strategies will enable agricultural land to better withstand the adverse effects of climate change on. This study provides valuable insights for policymakers aiming to achieve food security in the context of climate and land use changes.
{"title":"Impacts of climate and land use changes on the cultivable area for winter wheat and their economic benefits in China","authors":"Haowei Sun , Li Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107948","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107948","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Ensuring sufficient cropland is crucial for achieving national food security. Both climate and land use changes have profound impacts on the area available for crop production. Using the High-stable index (HSI) method, this study aimed to: (1) analyze the influence of climate change on the potential suitable planting area for winter wheat; (2) determine the influences of climate and land use changes on the future cultivable area for winter wheat; (3) evaluate the economic benefits resulting from changes in the cultivable area caused by these factors. Results indicated that climate change would reduce the potential suitable planting area by 6.2 % and 3.1 % under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively. Land use change led to increase in the cultivable area of 37.0 % (RCP4.5) and 23.4 % (RCP8.5), respectively. Climate change would lead to a greater dispersion of potential suitable and cultivable areas for winter wheat. Compared to the baseline period, land use change could result in maximum annual average economic benefits of 59.84 billion USD under RCP4.5 and 39.58 billion USD under RCP8.5. Conversely, climate change could result in maximum annual average economic losses of 9.3 billion USD and 6.7 billion USD under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively. Future land use change has the potential to mitigate or offset the adverse effects of climate change on winter wheat growing areas. Considering the impacts of land tenure on field practices, land restoration, land use transfer, and land fragmentation, the combination of clearer top-level design of land use pattern and more flexible land transfer strategies will enable agricultural land to better withstand the adverse effects of climate change on. This study provides valuable insights for policymakers aiming to achieve food security in the context of climate and land use changes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"164 ","pages":"Article 107948"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146006371","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-19DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107919
Zeng Shibo, Jin Gui
Protecting and restoring ecosystems is a key pathway for reducing biodiversity loss globally. These measures are perceived to conflict with the interests of land resource allocation. This study evaluated the economic consequences of the most extensive and stringent ecological space regulation and restoration tool in Chinese history—the Shan-shui project. This study compiled data from 2016 to 2022 on China's ecological protection and restoration efforts and micro-level land transactions, and used a spatial regression discontinuity design to estimate how land use restrictions affect land transfer values. This study found that the Shan-shui project had a significant negative impact on overall land transfer value. The "dual decline" in land demand from both enterprises and residents serves as a key mechanism through which market actors respond to the decline in land transfer prices triggered by government regulatory measures. The price-suppressing effect of the Shan-shui project shows significant variation. Although this effect is not observed in the commercial land sector, it is statistically significant in both residential and industrial land. Moreover, the price impact of water-related projects is substantially stronger than the average effect observed across all project types. In summary, these findings provide new insights into understanding the impact of ecological protection and restoration on resource allocation and alleviating the conflict between development and protection.
{"title":"The cost of ecological protection and restoration: Evidence from the impact of the Shan-shui project on land values","authors":"Zeng Shibo, Jin Gui","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107919","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107919","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Protecting and restoring ecosystems is a key pathway for reducing biodiversity loss globally. These measures are perceived to conflict with the interests of land resource allocation. This study evaluated the economic consequences of the most extensive and stringent ecological space regulation and restoration tool in Chinese history—the Shan-shui project. This study compiled data from 2016 to 2022 on China's ecological protection and restoration efforts and micro-level land transactions, and used a spatial regression discontinuity design to estimate how land use restrictions affect land transfer values. This study found that the Shan-shui project had a significant negative impact on overall land transfer value. The \"dual decline\" in land demand from both enterprises and residents serves as a key mechanism through which market actors respond to the decline in land transfer prices triggered by government regulatory measures. The price-suppressing effect of the Shan-shui project shows significant variation. Although this effect is not observed in the commercial land sector, it is statistically significant in both residential and industrial land. Moreover, the price impact of water-related projects is substantially stronger than the average effect observed across all project types. In summary, these findings provide new insights into understanding the impact of ecological protection and restoration on resource allocation and alleviating the conflict between development and protection.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"164 ","pages":"Article 107919"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146000532","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-19DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107949
Man Li , Xuan Wang , Huancai Liu , Chao Wang
Climatic variation and anthropogenic activities cause drastic land-use change and seriously threaten local ecosystems, making ecological security assessment in arid regions a global priority. We proposed an innovative quantitative research framework for ecological security patterns (ESPs) construction, prediction, and resilience measurement based on land-use simulations. Using the Hexi Inland River Basin (HIRB) as a case study, we examined ESPs' evolution under Ecological Protection (EP), Natural Development (ND), and Economic Development (ED) models for 2030–2050, and proposed targeted governance strategies. Results: 1) In 2000–2020, ecological sources in the HIRB exhibited greater distribution in the south, ecological corridor quality improved overall, ecological pinch points increased exponentially, while ecological barriers decreased annually. 2) In 2030–2050, future ESPs showed the EP model as optimal, with the largest sources and fewest barriers; under the ND model, regional ESPs at the middle level; under the ED model, key ecological elements were at low levels, representing a low-development model. 3) Vulnerability and connectivity robustness showed ‘EP model>ED model>ND model’, indicating the EP model being superior in ecological network resilience in 2050. 4) This region should establish a regional governance pattern of ‘One Screen, One Horizontal, Three Verticals, and Multiple Green Points’ based on the EP model, and more attention should be paid to the “Green Points” located in downstream desert areas. Moreover, it is essential to further prioritize and refine land tenure systems to ensure the pragmatic implementation of this governance pattern. These findings provide scientific support for local governments in formulating ecological policies and offer evidence-based solutions for ESPs optimization in other arid and semi-arid inland river basins worldwide.
{"title":"Predicting ecological security patterns and network resilience under land-use change: Hexi Inland River Basin, China","authors":"Man Li , Xuan Wang , Huancai Liu , Chao Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107949","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107949","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Climatic variation and anthropogenic activities cause drastic land-use change and seriously threaten local ecosystems, making ecological security assessment in arid regions a global priority. We proposed an innovative quantitative research framework for ecological security patterns (ESPs) construction, prediction, and resilience measurement based on land-use simulations. Using the Hexi Inland River Basin (HIRB) as a case study, we examined ESPs' evolution under Ecological Protection (EP), Natural Development (ND), and Economic Development (ED) models for 2030–2050, and proposed targeted governance strategies. Results: 1) In 2000–2020, ecological sources in the HIRB exhibited greater distribution in the south, ecological corridor quality improved overall, ecological pinch points increased exponentially, while ecological barriers decreased annually. 2) In 2030–2050, future ESPs showed the EP model as optimal, with the largest sources and fewest barriers; under the ND model, regional ESPs at the middle level; under the ED model, key ecological elements were at low levels, representing a low-development model. 3) Vulnerability and connectivity robustness showed ‘EP model>ED model>ND model’, indicating the EP model being superior in ecological network resilience in 2050. 4) This region should establish a regional governance pattern of ‘One Screen, One Horizontal, Three Verticals, and Multiple Green Points’ based on the EP model, and more attention should be paid to the “Green Points” located in downstream desert areas. Moreover, it is essential to further prioritize and refine land tenure systems to ensure the pragmatic implementation of this governance pattern. These findings provide scientific support for local governments in formulating ecological policies and offer evidence-based solutions for ESPs optimization in other arid and semi-arid inland river basins worldwide.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"164 ","pages":"Article 107949"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146036143","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Farmland use transition in developing countries, characterized by concurrent shifts in dominant and recessive morphologies, profoundly reshapes the food-water-energy-pollution (FWEP) nexus in grain production. Yet, integrated assessment remains limited by methodological gaps between spatial and behavioral simulations. This study bridges this divide by developing a PLUS-ABM framework that couples high-resolution land-use change modeling (PLUS) with agent-based decision simulation (ABM). We apply the framework to Taojiang County, China—a representative grain-producing region undergoing rapid farmland use transition. The results reveal significant farmland contraction and eastward spatial shifts driven by urbanization. Agent-based simulations indicate accelerating land concentration, with large-scale operators controlling 58% of farmland by 2023 and expected to expand further. FWEP assessments reveal scale-dependent trade-offs: medium-scale farms achieve the optimal FWEP balance (high yield, moderate energy and water use, low pollution), whereas large-scale operations experience 3.2–6.8% yield penalties, 9.4–11.3% higher energy costs, and significantly elevated pollution despite gains in water efficiency. Projections indicate a worsening of the FWEP paradox (declining yields and elevated environmental burdens) under current transition pathways, primarily due to the expansion of large-scale farming. We argue that current misaligned, area-based subsidies exacerbate these trade-offs by incentivizing suboptimal farm scales. Policy reforms should shift toward performance-based compensation, prioritizing FWEP-optimized medium-scale operations and eco-oriented interest-based farmers, while establishing strict ecological constraints for large holdings. This integrated approach offers actionable pathways for aligning farmland transitions with sustainable resource governance.
{"title":"Assessing the impacts of farmland use transition on the food–water–energy–pollution nexus in grain production: An integrated simulation framework","authors":"Xiaoxing Qi , Qiaoyuan Huang , Yinting Zheng , Wei Zheng , Wenhua Yuan","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107936","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107936","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Farmland use transition in developing countries, characterized by concurrent shifts in dominant and recessive morphologies, profoundly reshapes the food-water-energy-pollution (FWEP) nexus in grain production. Yet, integrated assessment remains limited by methodological gaps between spatial and behavioral simulations. This study bridges this divide by developing a PLUS-ABM framework that couples high-resolution land-use change modeling (PLUS) with agent-based decision simulation (ABM). We apply the framework to Taojiang County, China—a representative grain-producing region undergoing rapid farmland use transition. The results reveal significant farmland contraction and eastward spatial shifts driven by urbanization. Agent-based simulations indicate accelerating land concentration, with large-scale operators controlling 58% of farmland by 2023 and expected to expand further. FWEP assessments reveal scale-dependent trade-offs: medium-scale farms achieve the optimal FWEP balance (high yield, moderate energy and water use, low pollution), whereas large-scale operations experience 3.2–6.8% yield penalties, 9.4–11.3% higher energy costs, and significantly elevated pollution despite gains in water efficiency. Projections indicate a worsening of the FWEP paradox (declining yields and elevated environmental burdens) under current transition pathways, primarily due to the expansion of large-scale farming. We argue that current misaligned, area-based subsidies exacerbate these trade-offs by incentivizing suboptimal farm scales. Policy reforms should shift toward performance-based compensation, prioritizing FWEP-optimized medium-scale operations and eco-oriented interest-based farmers, while establishing strict ecological constraints for large holdings. This integrated approach offers actionable pathways for aligning farmland transitions with sustainable resource governance.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"164 ","pages":"Article 107936"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146000529","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2026-01-19DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107945
Yetimoni Kpeebi , Michael Osei Asibey
The effects of climate change are becoming increasingly evident in land systems across the Global South. In Ghana where customary tenure governs most of the land, climate-related interventions such as forest conservation and renewable energy projects are reshaping landscapes and power relations. This study evaluates the justice-related consequences of climate-driven land transitions in Ghana, drawing on case studies of a forest conservation program and a solar energy project in different customary settings. Employing a qualitative approach, the study applies a three-lens framework of procedural, distributive, and recognitional justice to assess how customary tenure mediates outcomes. Customary landowners (primarily chiefs/traditional leaders) remain central to land allocation. Still, decision-making was largely symbolic, and benefit-sharing lacked transparency, raising concerns about elite capture and unfair outcomes. The study’s contributions are twofold. First, it brings recognitional justice to the forefront and demonstrates how women, youth, herders, and migrants are not only excluded procedurally but also rendered invisible as legitimate actors and knowledge holders. Second, it demonstrates how climate interventions interact with Ghana’s plural land tenure system, with chiefs and custodians of land shaping all three justice dimensions in ways that affect equity and legitimacy. The study concludes that current land governance practices can potentially exacerbate existing inequalities. It is recommended that policy efforts promote inclusive engagement, transparent benefit-sharing mechanisms, and stronger accountability within both customary and formal institutions.
{"title":"Customary land tenure and climate land transitions: A justice lens on Ghana’s land governance","authors":"Yetimoni Kpeebi , Michael Osei Asibey","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107945","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107945","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The effects of climate change are becoming increasingly evident in land systems across the Global South. In Ghana where customary tenure governs most of the land, climate-related interventions such as forest conservation and renewable energy projects are reshaping landscapes and power relations. This study evaluates the justice-related consequences of climate-driven land transitions in Ghana, drawing on case studies of a forest conservation program and a solar energy project in different customary settings. Employing a qualitative approach, the study applies a three-lens framework of procedural, distributive, and recognitional justice to assess how customary tenure mediates outcomes. Customary landowners (primarily chiefs/traditional leaders) remain central to land allocation. Still, decision-making was largely symbolic, and benefit-sharing lacked transparency, raising concerns about elite capture and unfair outcomes. The study’s contributions are twofold. First, it brings recognitional justice to the forefront and demonstrates how women, youth, herders, and migrants are not only excluded procedurally but also rendered invisible as legitimate actors and knowledge holders. Second, it demonstrates how climate interventions interact with Ghana’s plural land tenure system, with chiefs and custodians of land shaping all three justice dimensions in ways that affect equity and legitimacy. The study concludes that current land governance practices can potentially exacerbate existing inequalities. It is recommended that policy efforts promote inclusive engagement, transparent benefit-sharing mechanisms, and stronger accountability within both customary and formal institutions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"164 ","pages":"Article 107945"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146000531","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Agroforestry is crucial in Africa for its ability to enhance food security, improve livelihoods, and promote sustainable land management by integrating trees into farmlands, thereby addressing climate change. Studies addressing the role of psychological factors in the adoption of agroforestry in Africa and island contexts are urgently needed. An extended Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB) was applied to assess its influence towards agroforestry adoption among farmers in Seychelles. A stratified random sampling was used to select 247 farmers across the five agricultural zones in Seychelles, and the Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) approach, together with descriptive statistics, was applied in the analysis. The results indicate that knowledge improves the explanation of adoption and has a positive impact on farmers’ adoption of agroforestry. At the same time, the core TPB variables were found to be statistically insignificant. Regarding the four intention questions administered among the farmers, 67.2 % are willing to learn about agroforestry practices, 65.6 % are willing to receive information about agroforestry, and 60 % are eager to adopt agroforestry with financial support. In contrast, another 47.4 % are willing to adopt agroforestry without financial support. Despite these high levels of agreement, most TPB factors were insignificant predictors of the outcome. The lack of a significant influence of the TPB factors in our study suggests that we cannot confirm that TPB variables affect actual adoption and may support the common criticism of the model concerning the well-known intention-behaviour “gap”. We therefore recommend repeating this study in the next five years with the same farmers to address the intention-action gap. Lastly, studies on agroforestry adoption and retention are crucial, as some adopters may discontinue using the technology for various reasons.
{"title":"Using the theory of planned behavior to assess Seychellois farmers’ intentions to adopt agroforestry","authors":"Daniel Etongo , Jean-Claude Labrosse , Larrisha Serret , Sandra Sinon","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107943","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107943","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Agroforestry is crucial in Africa for its ability to enhance food security, improve livelihoods, and promote sustainable land management by integrating trees into farmlands, thereby addressing climate change. Studies addressing the role of psychological factors in the adoption of agroforestry in Africa and island contexts are urgently needed. An extended Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB) was applied to assess its influence towards agroforestry adoption among farmers in Seychelles. A stratified random sampling was used to select 247 farmers across the five agricultural zones in Seychelles, and the Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) approach, together with descriptive statistics, was applied in the analysis. The results indicate that knowledge improves the explanation of adoption and has a positive impact on farmers’ adoption of agroforestry. At the same time, the core TPB variables were found to be statistically insignificant. Regarding the four intention questions administered among the farmers, 67.2 % are willing to learn about agroforestry practices, 65.6 % are willing to receive information about agroforestry, and 60 % are eager to adopt agroforestry with financial support. In contrast, another 47.4 % are willing to adopt agroforestry without financial support. Despite these high levels of agreement, most TPB factors were insignificant predictors of the outcome. The lack of a significant influence of the TPB factors in our study suggests that we cannot confirm that TPB variables affect actual adoption and may support the common criticism of the model concerning the well-known intention-behaviour “gap”. We therefore recommend repeating this study in the next five years with the same farmers to address the intention-action gap. Lastly, studies on agroforestry adoption and retention are crucial, as some adopters may discontinue using the technology for various reasons.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"164 ","pages":"Article 107943"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2026-01-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146000530","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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