Pub Date : 2024-11-12DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107406
Klaus Deininger , Daniel Ayalew Ali , Ming Fang
Data on 2251 small and medium-size Ukrainian farms in 2021 and 2022 is used to assess the short-term impact of the Russian invasion on productive performance of a sector that is often excluded from official statistics. Once weather is adjusted for, the area response remained limited. However, higher transport cost and input prices severely reduced farm profitability, implying that 46 % of farms had a negative cash flow and most were credit constrained. Total factor productivity varies significantly across size groups, but it is not significantly different between formal and informal farms in the same size group. Despite the war, agricultural producers remain optimistic about the sector’s fundamentals, implying that enabling them to invest, e.g., via digital access to markets and mortgage lending, could foster investment in higher value products and better coverage of small and medium producers by official statistics could capture such improvements and inform policy-making.
{"title":"Impact of the Russian invasion on Ukrainian small and medium farmers’ productivity","authors":"Klaus Deininger , Daniel Ayalew Ali , Ming Fang","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107406","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107406","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Data on 2251 small and medium-size Ukrainian farms in 2021 and 2022 is used to assess the short-term impact of the Russian invasion on productive performance of a sector that is often excluded from official statistics. Once weather is adjusted for, the area response remained limited. However, higher transport cost and input prices severely reduced farm profitability, implying that 46 % of farms had a negative cash flow and most were credit constrained. Total factor productivity varies significantly across size groups, but it is not significantly different between formal and informal farms in the same size group. Despite the war, agricultural producers remain optimistic about the sector’s fundamentals, implying that enabling them to invest, e.g., via digital access to markets and mortgage lending, could foster investment in higher value products and better coverage of small and medium producers by official statistics could capture such improvements and inform policy-making.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"148 ","pages":"Article 107406"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142651433","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-11-12DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107414
Yuxin Zhang , Bin Fu , Juying Sun , Ramon Felipe Bicudo da Silva
This study introduces a dynamic perspective to assess Cultural Ecosystem Services (CES) supply and demand, addressing the limitations of previous research. We take a park as a case study, paying special attention to key CES types such as aesthetics, recreation, social relations, and education. We employed various data acquisition methods, including behavioral observations, and public participatory Geographic Information System mapping to collect data. Our research revealed that the park primarily offers aesthetics and recreational services, while the provision of social relations and educational services is relatively limited. This emphasizes the need for urban park planning to address a wider range of diverse needs, including social relations and educational activities. Furthermore, the study uncovers how the supply-demand ratios of different CES types vary throughout the day, offering valuable insights for the effective allocation of resources and their rational arrangement. The broad applicability and dynamic perspective of this method open up new possibilities for CES assessment in various contexts. This innovative method provides fresh perspectives and tools for urban planning and environmental management, allowing decision-makers to better meet the diverse CES needs of human societies.
本研究引入了一种动态视角来评估文化生态系统服务（CES）的供给和需求，解决了以往研究的局限性。我们以一个公园为案例，特别关注美学、娱乐、社会关系和教育等主要 CES 类型。我们采用了多种数据采集方法，包括行为观察和公众参与式地理信息系统制图来收集数据。我们的研究显示，公园主要提供美学和娱乐服务，而提供的社会关系和教育服务相对有限。这强调了城市公园规划需要满足更广泛的不同需求，包括社会关系和教育活动。此外，该研究还揭示了不同类型的 CES 在一天中的供需比是如何变化的，为资源的有效分配和合理安排提供了宝贵的启示。这种方法具有广泛的适用性和动态视角，为各种情况下的 CES 评估提供了新的可能性。这种创新方法为城市规划和环境管理提供了全新的视角和工具，使决策者能够更好地满足人类社会对 CES 的不同需求。
{"title":"Quantifying supply and demand of cultural ecosystem services from a dynamic perspective","authors":"Yuxin Zhang , Bin Fu , Juying Sun , Ramon Felipe Bicudo da Silva","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107414","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107414","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study introduces a dynamic perspective to assess Cultural Ecosystem Services (CES) supply and demand, addressing the limitations of previous research. We take a park as a case study, paying special attention to key CES types such as aesthetics, recreation, social relations, and education. We employed various data acquisition methods, including behavioral observations, and public participatory Geographic Information System mapping to collect data. Our research revealed that the park primarily offers aesthetics and recreational services, while the provision of social relations and educational services is relatively limited. This emphasizes the need for urban park planning to address a wider range of diverse needs, including social relations and educational activities. Furthermore, the study uncovers how the supply-demand ratios of different CES types vary throughout the day, offering valuable insights for the effective allocation of resources and their rational arrangement. The broad applicability and dynamic perspective of this method open up new possibilities for CES assessment in various contexts. This innovative method provides fresh perspectives and tools for urban planning and environmental management, allowing decision-makers to better meet the diverse CES needs of human societies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"148 ","pages":"Article 107414"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142651423","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-11-12DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107416
Fatemeh Bashirian, Dariush Rahimi, Saeed Movahedi
Land use change is an effective factor in climate change and global warming, which contributes to the carbon cycle, radiant energy balance, and dust production. Urmia Lake basin water balance in the Northwestern part of Iran is in a critical condition due to land use change, drought, and climate change. This process has led to the lake water area reduction and pronounced dust production. The satellite images indicate that from 1984 to 2017, 1433 Km2 rangelands and water area of the Urmia Lake basin decreased by more than 2906 Km2. The area of human settlement increased by 550 Km2, irrigated farmland and orchards, 804 Km2, and salty marsh, 3428 Km2. The outputs of the WetSpass hydrological model reveal the highest coefficient of evapotranspiration and interception variation in the East of Urmia Lake basin. The effects of these changes are observed in reduced soil moisture, increased salty marsh, and soft sediments as potential dust resources. During the study period, the frequency of dust days in the North and East of the lake increased 2.5-fold, while in the Southern and Western parts increased 6-fold. The results of the Pettitt Test indicate that these changes began to appear in 2007. The regression and correlation test confirm that salt marshes and soft sediments account for up to 75 %, and the decrease in the area of Urmia Lake for more than 64 % of the dust changes. The results of the assessments indicate the contribution of footprint in the destruction of the natural environment and the water balance of the lake basin. Revision of water resources management and environmental water rights of the lake, changes in the development strategy from agriculture to non-agriculture development based on lower water demand, and reduction of storage dams are among the recommended strategies to address this problem.
{"title":"Effects of land use changes on local dust event in Urmia Lake basin","authors":"Fatemeh Bashirian, Dariush Rahimi, Saeed Movahedi","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107416","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107416","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Land use change is an effective factor in climate change and global warming, which contributes to the carbon cycle, radiant energy balance, and dust production. Urmia Lake basin water balance in the Northwestern part of Iran is in a critical condition due to land use change, drought, and climate change. This process has led to the lake water area reduction and pronounced dust production. The satellite images indicate that from 1984 to 2017, 1433 Km<sup>2</sup> rangelands and water area of the Urmia Lake basin decreased by more than 2906 Km<sup>2</sup>. The area of human settlement increased by 550 Km<sup>2</sup>, irrigated farmland and orchards, 804 Km<sup>2</sup>, and salty marsh, 3428 Km<sup>2</sup>. The outputs of the WetSpass hydrological model reveal the highest coefficient of evapotranspiration and interception variation in the East of Urmia Lake basin. The effects of these changes are observed in reduced soil moisture, increased salty marsh, and soft sediments as potential dust resources. During the study period, the frequency of dust days in the North and East of the lake increased 2.5-fold, while in the Southern and Western parts increased 6-fold. The results of the Pettitt Test indicate that these changes began to appear in 2007. The regression and correlation test confirm that salt marshes and soft sediments account for up to 75 %, and the decrease in the area of Urmia Lake for more than 64 % of the dust changes. The results of the assessments indicate the contribution of footprint in the destruction of the natural environment and the water balance of the lake basin. Revision of water resources management and environmental water rights of the lake, changes in the development strategy from agriculture to non-agriculture development based on lower water demand, and reduction of storage dams are among the recommended strategies to address this problem.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"148 ","pages":"Article 107416"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142651430","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-11-09DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107409
Taiwo Oladapo Babalola
Environmental sustainability in Global South cities has continued to be a matter of concern in development research and policy discourses. While there have been opinions that land governance would be instrumental in advancing this agenda, there is no empirical evidence to substantiate this claim. Thus, this study explores the potential for improved equitable and efficient land governance to foster environmental sustainability based on residents’ judgments in Ibadan urbanizing areas. The data, got from a survey of 452 household heads, were analyzed using Exploratory Factor Analysis to consolidate the variables and Multiple Linear Regression to investigate the relationships between the outcome and predictor variables. The results showed that the perception of equity (β=0.248, p-value=0.01, 95 % CI) and efficiency (β=0.326, p-value=0.02, 95 % CI) were significant predictors of environmental sustainability status, explaining 30.1 % of the variance (R²=0.301). This implies that strengthening governance structures is crucial to promoting environmental sustainability in Ibadan suburbs. Although achieving sustainability is not solely dependent on land governance, effective and equitable practices in land governance can play a valuable role in achieving it. Based on these findings, the study provides relevant recommendations for policy and practice.
{"title":"Understanding how equitable and efficient land governance can influence environmental sustainability status: Evidence from Ibadan, Nigeria","authors":"Taiwo Oladapo Babalola","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107409","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107409","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Environmental sustainability in Global South cities has continued to be a matter of concern in development research and policy discourses. While there have been opinions that land governance would be instrumental in advancing this agenda, there is no empirical evidence to substantiate this claim. Thus, this study explores the potential for improved equitable and efficient land governance to foster environmental sustainability based on residents’ judgments in Ibadan urbanizing areas. The data, got from a survey of 452 household heads, were analyzed using Exploratory Factor Analysis to consolidate the variables and Multiple Linear Regression to investigate the relationships between the outcome and predictor variables. The results showed that the perception of equity (β=0.248, p-value=0.01, 95 % CI) and efficiency (β=0.326, p-value=0.02, 95 % CI) were significant predictors of environmental sustainability status, explaining 30.1 % of the variance (R²=0.301). This implies that strengthening governance structures is crucial to promoting environmental sustainability in Ibadan suburbs. Although achieving sustainability is not solely dependent on land governance, effective and equitable practices in land governance can play a valuable role in achieving it. Based on these findings, the study provides relevant recommendations for policy and practice.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"148 ","pages":"Article 107409"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142651427","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-11-09DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107411
Youqing Fan , Mengtao Gao , Lanlan Bi , Chyi Lin Lee , Guangbo Yin
Using the cross-sectional data from the 2015 and 2021 Yunnan Migrant Workers Urban Integration Survey, this study assesses the different effects of the three types of land rights that migrant workers possess in their rural hometowns on their urban settlement choices in Yunnan, western China. Specifically, it examined the existence of migrant workers moving between urban and rural areas in response to the importance of land rights for rural migrant workers, in western China, a region with the lower level of economic development and fastest growing number of migrant workers in China. After controlling for the impact of other variables, the multinomial Probit model was used to estimate the impact of the migrant workers' land rights in their rural hometowns on their settlement choices in urban areas. We found that rural land rights significantly increased migrant workers' willingness to return to their hometowns. This indicates that land right security is a key factor affecting Yunnan migrant workers' urban settlement intentions, although it is conditional in terms of age groups and places of origin. Importantly, we found that migrant workers in western China are more inclined to keep their dual identities as both urban migrant workers and rural residents. They, hence, are more inclined to rationally allocate their resources between urban and rural areas to maximize their economic outputs. Particularly, they prefer to only working - rather than settling - in urban areas, while retaining their rural land as assets and income sources. Instead of settling in either urban or rural areas, the older migrant workers who migrate to smaller and economically underdeveloped cities are more inclined to drift between urban and rural areas without permanent settlement. This confirms the argument of livelihood resource maximization and migratory bird-type migration as important mechanisms via which land right ownership affects migrant workers’ urban settlement intentions. This study suggests that policymakers should consider the land rights of rural migrant workers when making urban settlement policies, especially for small and medium-sized cities, where migrant settlement intention is weaker. Policymakers should also promote the flexibility of rural land use rights transfer and explore reforms concerning the separation of the three types of land rights to achieve a balance between urbanization and land use efficiency, particularly in small and medium-sized cities.
{"title":"Land rights, resource allocation and urban settlement choices of migrant workers in Yunnan, Western China","authors":"Youqing Fan , Mengtao Gao , Lanlan Bi , Chyi Lin Lee , Guangbo Yin","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107411","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107411","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using the cross-sectional data from the 2015 and 2021 <em>Yunnan Migrant Workers Urban Integration Survey</em>, this study assesses the different effects of the three types of land rights that migrant workers possess in their rural hometowns on their urban settlement choices in Yunnan, western China. Specifically, it examined the existence of migrant workers moving between urban and rural areas in response to the importance of land rights for rural migrant workers, in western China, a region with the lower level of economic development and fastest growing number of migrant workers in China. After controlling for the impact of other variables, the multinomial Probit model was used to estimate the impact of the migrant workers' land rights in their rural hometowns on their settlement choices in urban areas. We found that rural land rights significantly increased migrant workers' willingness to return to their hometowns. This indicates that land right security is a key factor affecting Yunnan migrant workers' urban settlement intentions, although it is conditional in terms of age groups and places of origin. Importantly, we found that migrant workers in western China are more inclined to keep their dual identities as both urban migrant workers and rural residents. They, hence, are more inclined to rationally allocate their resources between urban and rural areas to maximize their economic outputs. Particularly, they prefer to only working - rather than settling - in urban areas, while retaining their rural land as assets and income sources. Instead of settling in either urban or rural areas, the older migrant workers who migrate to smaller and economically underdeveloped cities are more inclined to drift between urban and rural areas without permanent settlement. This confirms the argument of livelihood resource maximization and migratory bird-type migration as important mechanisms via which land right ownership affects migrant workers’ urban settlement intentions. This study suggests that policymakers should consider the land rights of rural migrant workers when making urban settlement policies, especially for small and medium-sized cities, where migrant settlement intention is weaker. Policymakers should also promote the flexibility of rural land use rights transfer and explore reforms concerning the separation of the three types of land rights to achieve a balance between urbanization and land use efficiency, particularly in small and medium-sized cities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"148 ","pages":"Article 107411"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142651429","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-11-08DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107389
Imaneh Goli , Masoud Bijani , Pourya Kabir Koohi , Rytis Skominas , Rando Värnik , Steven Van Passel , Thomas Dogot , Hossein Azadi
Respect for land rights for women, as a key strategy to promote their development and empowerment as well as improving their welfare, has been considered in today's societies. However, there have been few empirical studies to back up this statement. Therefore, the primary goal of this research was to find out whether or not women may increase their authority through economic tenure security, legal tenure security, household characteristic, or de facto tenure security. In this regard, the survey data collected in 2021 from 28 villages of Mazandaran province (Northern Iran) were analyzed. The study highlights the significance of de facto tenure security as the most crucial among the four qualities assessed. It's important to note, however, that possessing land titles doesn't necessarily guarantee de facto tenure security. Despite this distinction, the study reveals a meaningful correlation, suggesting that women with land titles are more likely to experience higher levels of empowerment. Official certification, resolution of tenure disputes, increased agricultural income, and the impact of regional urbanization all play an important role in empowering rural women, which usually results in better economic outcomes for them. According to the results, it is evident that the legal registration of women's land ownership correlates with enhanced women's empowerment within rural communities. Land ownership provides women with the means to generate income, make independent choices, and actively participate in various aspects of social and economic life. The findings of this study underscore potential shortcomings in gender neutrality within land interventions, emphasizing the necessity for incorporating gender considerations into research and land-use planning. The practitioners and policy-makers may utilize the study's findings to invest in programs that include components of land tenure security and increase women's economic empowerment.
{"title":"Toward tenure security: The relationship between women's land ownership, formal land title documents and their empowerment","authors":"Imaneh Goli , Masoud Bijani , Pourya Kabir Koohi , Rytis Skominas , Rando Värnik , Steven Van Passel , Thomas Dogot , Hossein Azadi","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107389","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107389","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Respect for land rights for women, as a key strategy to promote their development and empowerment as well as improving their welfare, has been considered in today's societies. However, there have been few empirical studies to back up this statement. Therefore, the primary goal of this research was to find out whether or not women may increase their authority through economic tenure security, legal tenure security, household characteristic, or de facto tenure security. In this regard, the survey data collected in 2021 from 28 villages of Mazandaran province (Northern Iran) were analyzed. The study highlights the significance of de facto tenure security as the most crucial among the four qualities assessed. It's important to note, however, that possessing land titles doesn't necessarily guarantee de facto tenure security. Despite this distinction, the study reveals a meaningful correlation, suggesting that women with land titles are more likely to experience higher levels of empowerment. Official certification, resolution of tenure disputes, increased agricultural income, and the impact of regional urbanization all play an important role in empowering rural women, which usually results in better economic outcomes for them. According to the results, it is evident that the legal registration of women's land ownership correlates with enhanced women's empowerment within rural communities. Land ownership provides women with the means to generate income, make independent choices, and actively participate in various aspects of social and economic life. The findings of this study underscore potential shortcomings in gender neutrality within land interventions, emphasizing the necessity for incorporating gender considerations into research and land-use planning. The practitioners and policy-makers may utilize the study's findings to invest in programs that include components of land tenure security and increase women's economic empowerment.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"148 ","pages":"Article 107389"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142651428","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-11-07DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107404
Yuqi Zhang , Frank Vanclay , Philippe Hanna
Protected areas are important for biodiversity conservation. However, they also create many social impacts on local communities, both negative and positive. The effectiveness of protected area management influences the environmental and social impacts that are created and the attitudes of local people towards conservation initiatives. Given the considerable awareness of the social impacts of protected areas around the world, in China there has now been growing interest in this topic, partly because China is a megadiverse country with over 11,800 protected areas. Based on a document analysis of official documents and a literature review of academic papers, we examine how Chinese policies and the Chinese academic literature consider social impacts and local communities in relation to protected areas. We found that the social impacts most discussed related to the income and livelihoods of local communities, while intangible social impacts, such as culture and the rights of local communities, were neglected or ignored. Negative social impacts were reported more frequently than benefits. The persistent lack of consideration of the potential role of local communities in the management of protected areas has resulted in communities generally being disengaged. We suggest that the role of local communities in protected areas should be further considered, and that community engagement and benefit-sharing arrangements should be improved.
{"title":"How communities and social impacts are considered in policies for protected areas in China","authors":"Yuqi Zhang , Frank Vanclay , Philippe Hanna","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107404","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107404","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Protected areas are important for biodiversity conservation. However, they also create many social impacts on local communities, both negative and positive. The effectiveness of protected area management influences the environmental and social impacts that are created and the attitudes of local people towards conservation initiatives. Given the considerable awareness of the social impacts of protected areas around the world, in China there has now been growing interest in this topic, partly because China is a megadiverse country with over 11,800 protected areas. Based on a document analysis of official documents and a literature review of academic papers, we examine how Chinese policies and the Chinese academic literature consider social impacts and local communities in relation to protected areas. We found that the social impacts most discussed related to the income and livelihoods of local communities, while intangible social impacts, such as culture and the rights of local communities, were neglected or ignored. Negative social impacts were reported more frequently than benefits. The persistent lack of consideration of the potential role of local communities in the management of protected areas has resulted in communities generally being disengaged. We suggest that the role of local communities in protected areas should be further considered, and that community engagement and benefit-sharing arrangements should be improved.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"148 ","pages":"Article 107404"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142651426","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
We estimate areas of potential flooding exposure within the San José Metropolitan Region with morphometric methods. Based on this potential hazard zoning, we use a spatial-statistical model to explore the difference introduced by land use regulations (municipal and regional) on urban growth, controlling for potential exposure to hazards and other sources of spatial heterogeneity. The potential flood zoning derived coincided with upstream rivers and flat areas between them (likely susceptible to urban drainage capacity problems). We estimated regional land use regulations significantly constrain urban development (with urban growth reductions of about 6 %), but the constraint does not increase in areas exposed to potential flooding; municipal environmental protection zoning was estimated to decrease urban development by 8 %, with an additional but very small 0.1–0.9 % reduction in potential flooding areas. Regional instruments fundamentally applied to the steeper (and hence less exposed to flooding) periphery whereas municipal land use instruments did constrain land from development (especially along rivers) within urban areas.
{"title":"The influence of land use planning and exposure to flooding on urban growth in San José, Costa Rica","authors":"Eduardo Pérez-Molina , Rosendo Pujol-Mesalles , Jonathan Aguero-Valverde , Félix Zumbado-Morales","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107407","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107407","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We estimate areas of potential flooding exposure within the San José Metropolitan Region with morphometric methods. Based on this potential hazard zoning, we use a spatial-statistical model to explore the difference introduced by land use regulations (municipal and regional) on urban growth, controlling for potential exposure to hazards and other sources of spatial heterogeneity. The potential flood zoning derived coincided with upstream rivers and flat areas between them (likely susceptible to urban drainage capacity problems). We estimated regional land use regulations significantly constrain urban development (with urban growth reductions of about 6 %), but the constraint does not increase in areas exposed to potential flooding; municipal environmental protection zoning was estimated to decrease urban development by 8 %, with an additional but very small 0.1–0.9 % reduction in potential flooding areas. Regional instruments fundamentally applied to the steeper (and hence less exposed to flooding) periphery whereas municipal land use instruments did constrain land from development (especially along rivers) within urban areas.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"148 ","pages":"Article 107407"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142586167","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-11-02DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107405
Aurora Ruggeri , Felicia Di Liddo , Laura Gabrielli , Francesco Tajani , Pierluigi Morano
The present research is dedicated to investigating the explanatory power of relative location variables in assessing and forecasting market values. Here, relative location refers to the spatial position (geographical context) of a building or property in relation to a given Point Of Interest (POI). Specifically, a methodological approach is proposed for identifying the most suitable quantification modality based on statistical performance and consistency with the market mechanisms of the specific reference context. For a case study in Northern Italy, we collected data on 615 residential properties and 2673 POIs, including cultural facilities, school and education institutions, commercial services, sports, entertainment, and leisure facilities, health and care services, public transport systems, urban parks, and green areas. The relative location between the collected properties and the POIs is assessed using an automated calculation procedure developed in the Python programming language, in conjunction with Geographic Information Software (GIS). This automatism allows the assessment of relative location in terms of different Units Of Measure (UOM), such as straight-line distance, travel time by car, travel time on foot, travel time by public transport, and the number of POIs in a 400 m/1 km ring buffer. Since 615 residential buildings and 2673 POIs were analysed, with their relative locations measured using six different UOMs, a database of 9'865'215 data was produced. Furthermore, for each category of POI, a feature importance analysis guides the selection of the best UOM, i.e., the most statistically significant one. Considering the chosen UOM, an optimised econometric technique is finally implemented to analyse the functional relationships between the market values of residential properties and the set of identified relative location variables.
本研究致力于调查相对位置变量在评估和预测市场价值方面的解释力。在这里，相对位置是指建筑物或物业相对于给定兴趣点（POI）的空间位置（地理环境）。具体而言，本文提出了一种方法论，可根据统计性能以及与特定参考环境的市场机制的一致性，确定最合适的量化模式。在意大利北部的一项案例研究中，我们收集了 615 处住宅物业和 2673 个 POI 的数据，包括文化设施、学校和教育机构、商业服务、体育、娱乐和休闲设施、医疗和护理服务、公共交通系统、城市公园和绿地。使用 Python 编程语言开发的自动计算程序，结合地理信息软件 (GIS) 对所收集的属性与 POI 之间的相对位置进行评估。该自动计算程序允许以不同的测量单位（UOM）来评估相对位置，如直线距离、驾车旅行时间、步行旅行时间、乘坐公共交通工具旅行时间以及 400 米/1 公里环形缓冲区内的 POI 数量。由于对 615 栋住宅楼和 2673 个 POI 进行了分析，并使用六种不同的 UOM 测量了它们的相对位置，因此产生了一个包含 9 865 215 个数据的数据库。此外，针对每一类 POI，通过特征重要性分析来选择最佳 UOM，即统计意义最大的 UOM。考虑到所选的 UOM，最后采用优化计量经济学技术来分析住宅物业的市场价值与一组已确定的相对位置变量之间的函数关系。
{"title":"What is the “best” way to measure the relative location variables in the market value assessment? An econometric method applied to an Italian case study","authors":"Aurora Ruggeri , Felicia Di Liddo , Laura Gabrielli , Francesco Tajani , Pierluigi Morano","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107405","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107405","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The present research is dedicated to investigating the explanatory power of relative location variables in assessing and forecasting market values. Here, relative location refers to the spatial position (geographical context) of a building or property in relation to a given Point Of Interest (POI). Specifically, a methodological approach is proposed for identifying the most suitable quantification modality based on statistical performance and consistency with the market mechanisms of the specific reference context. For a case study in Northern Italy, we collected data on 615 residential properties and 2673 POIs, including cultural facilities, school and education institutions, commercial services, sports, entertainment, and leisure facilities, health and care services, public transport systems, urban parks, and green areas. The relative location between the collected properties and the POIs is assessed using an automated calculation procedure developed in the Python programming language, in conjunction with Geographic Information Software (GIS). This automatism allows the assessment of relative location in terms of different Units Of Measure (UOM), such as straight-line distance, travel time by car, travel time on foot, travel time by public transport, and the number of POIs in a 400 m/1 km ring buffer. Since 615 residential buildings and 2673 POIs were analysed, with their relative locations measured using six different UOMs, a database of 9'865'215 data was produced. Furthermore, for each category of POI, a feature importance analysis guides the selection of the best UOM, i.e., the most statistically significant one. Considering the chosen UOM, an optimised econometric technique is finally implemented to analyse the functional relationships between the market values of residential properties and the set of identified relative location variables.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"148 ","pages":"Article 107405"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142573559","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-10-30DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107401
Xiaohua Zhu , Yan Zhang , Yuanyuan Zhu , Yurui Li , Jiaxing Cui , Bohua Yu
Ensuring China’s food security is crucial for global sustainable development. Here, we analyzed the evolution of grain structure and cultivated land required for Chinese dietary structure, assessed the level of food self-sufficiency in China based on the comparison of the existing cultivated land and the cultivated land required for food, and predicted China's future food self-sufficiency rate across various scenarios. The results showed that China has achieved "basic self-sufficiency in grain and absolute security in rations". The supply structure has evolved from relying solely on rations to a combination of rations and feed grains. The evolution of Chinese diet from 1987 to 2021 has led to the demand for feed grains reaching twice that of rations. The cultivated land needed to support Chinese diet expanded from 99.44Mha to 159.66Mha, surpassing the current cultivated land in China. If current trends continue, China’s cultivated land will not be sufficient to feed Chinese by 2035. Fortunately, we estimated that adjusting the Chinese dietary structure to sustainable diets that are culturally acceptable and affordable could enable China to achieve food self-sufficiency without imports by 2035. Therefore, we argue that China's food security issue primarily stems from an imbalance between supply and demand, driven by a misalignment between production strategies and consumption patterns. Moving forward, we advocate the efforts should be made to address food security issues through protection of cultivated land, proper imports and promotion of sustainable diets, holding the rice bowl of the Chinese people in their own hands firmly, which is a great contribution to the world.
{"title":"Multidimensional deconstruction and workable solutions for addressing China's food security issues: From the perspective of sustainable diets","authors":"Xiaohua Zhu , Yan Zhang , Yuanyuan Zhu , Yurui Li , Jiaxing Cui , Bohua Yu","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107401","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107401","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Ensuring China’s food security is crucial for global sustainable development. Here, we analyzed the evolution of grain structure and cultivated land required for Chinese dietary structure, assessed the level of food self-sufficiency in China based on the comparison of the existing cultivated land and the cultivated land required for food, and predicted China's future food self-sufficiency rate across various scenarios. The results showed that China has achieved \"basic self-sufficiency in grain and absolute security in rations\". The supply structure has evolved from relying solely on rations to a combination of rations and feed grains. The evolution of Chinese diet from 1987 to 2021 has led to the demand for feed grains reaching twice that of rations. The cultivated land needed to support Chinese diet expanded from 99.44Mha to 159.66Mha, surpassing the current cultivated land in China. If current trends continue, China’s cultivated land will not be sufficient to feed Chinese by 2035. Fortunately, we estimated that adjusting the Chinese dietary structure to sustainable diets that are culturally acceptable and affordable could enable China to achieve food self-sufficiency without imports by 2035. Therefore, we argue that China's food security issue primarily stems from an imbalance between supply and demand, driven by a misalignment between production strategies and consumption patterns. Moving forward, we advocate the efforts should be made to address food security issues through protection of cultivated land, proper imports and promotion of sustainable diets, holding the rice bowl of the Chinese people in their own hands firmly, which is a great contribution to the world.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"148 ","pages":"Article 107401"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2024-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142551958","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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