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Optimizing county-level land use for sustainable photovoltaic development in China: A multi-scenario analysis 中国县级土地利用优化与光伏可持续发展:多情景分析
IF 5.9 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107920
Xiaohuan Xie , Senhong Cai , Haifeng Deng , Shengyuan Li , Xin Liu , Zhonghua Gou
Land scarcity in China intensifies conflicts between photovoltaic (PV) infrastructure and agricultural, ecological, and urban land uses. This study addresses the gap in county-level research by proposing a novel framework integrating land-type clustering, multi-objective optimization, and geospatial simulation to evaluate sustainable land use under PV expansion scenarios. Analyzing 562 counties in central and eastern China, counties are categorized into woodland-dominant, farmland-dominant, urban-dominant, and balanced types. Three scenarios are assessed: PV development (PV), business-as-usual (BS), and low-carbon emission (CE). The PV scenario balances BS and CE, curbing carbon source expansion while protecting farmland—e.g., farmland in Cangnan (woodland-dominant), Sheyang (farmland-dominant), and Lingbao (balanced) counties increased by 1.09 %, 2.35 %, and 1.1 % versus CE. Farmland-dominant and balanced counties show high adaptability, with economic and environmental benefits rising 67 % and 37 %. Urban-dominant counties have limited PV potential, and woodland-dominant counties are unsuitable for large-scale PV, with total benefits dropping 1 % and ecological impacts rising. Medium-density PV (80 % coverage) maximizes returns, with a 20.25-year payback. Policies should prioritize PV on agricultural and construction lands in farmland-dominant and balanced counties, while protecting ecology in urban- and woodland-dominant ones to support carbon neutrality.
中国的土地稀缺加剧了光伏基础设施与农业、生态和城市土地利用之间的冲突。本研究提出了一种整合土地类型聚类、多目标优化和地理空间模拟的新型框架来评估光伏扩张情景下的土地可持续利用,以弥补县级研究的空白。通过对中国中东部地区562个县域的分析,将县域划分为林地主导型、农田主导型、城市主导型和均衡型。评估了三种情景:光伏开发(PV)、一切照旧(BS)和低碳排放(CE)。光伏方案平衡了BS和CE,在保护农田的同时抑制了碳源的扩张。苍南县(林地优势)、射阳县(农田优势)和灵宝县(平衡)的耕地面积比CE增加了1.09 %、2.35 %和1.1 %。耕地优势县和耕地均衡县表现出较高的适应性,经济效益和环境效益分别提高了67 %和37 %。城市优势县光伏潜力有限,林地优势县不适合大规模光伏发电,总效益下降1 %,生态影响上升。中密度PV(80% %覆盖率)回报最大化,投资回收期为20.25年。在以耕地为主、耕地平衡的县域,政策应优先考虑农业用地和建设用地的光伏发电;在以城市和林地为主的县域,政策应优先保护生态,以支持碳中和。
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引用次数: 0
Rethinking and reconciling the land–energy conflicts from centralized photovoltaics in China 中国集中式光伏对土地能源冲突的反思与调和
IF 5.9 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107925
Ning Zhang , Zeguo Yang , Hongzhou Wang , Huabo Duan , Jiakuan Yang
As the world accelerates its low-carbon transition, the rapid expansion of centralized solar photovoltaics (PV) has received extensive concerns on land-use competition and environmental trade-offs. Here we construct a spatially explicit assessment framework to quantify the ecological and economic implications of PV land occupation across 367 mainland Chinese cities in 31 provinces. We integrate high-resolution PV infrastructure mapping with baseline land-use classifications and region-specific indicators of land productivity, economic output, and terrestrial carbon sequestration. This combined dataset is used to estimate land occupation, food loss, and reductions in terrestrial carbon sinks, and to design city-level spatial optimization and wind–solar substitution scenarios. enabling a comprehensive. By 2020, centralized PV installations occupied 1910 ± 116 km2 of land, and the footprint is projected to exceed 30,000 km2 by 2060. While grasslands and barren lands comprise the largest shares by area, cropland, occupying only 22 % of the total land, accounts for most agricultural and carbon sink losses due to its high biomass productivity. Moreover, the study also identified widespread land–value mismatches, where many cities disproportionately convert their most economically valuable land. City-level spatial optimization scenarios show that relocating 30 % of PV to lower-value land could halve food and carbon sink losses, and that substituting terrestrial and offshore wind for PV in selected cities could probably reduce land use by more than 90 %. These findings highlight the need to integrate ecological and economic value into solar siting and national decarbonization planning.
随着全球向低碳转型的加速,集中式太阳能光伏发电的迅速发展引起了土地利用竞争和环境权衡的广泛关注。本文构建了一个空间明确的评估框架,以量化中国大陆31个省份367个城市光伏用地占用的生态和经济影响。我们将高分辨率光伏基础设施测绘与基线土地利用分类以及土地生产力、经济产出和陆地碳封存的区域特定指标相结合。该组合数据集用于估算土地占用、粮食损失和陆地碳汇减少,并设计城市级空间优化和风能-太阳能替代方案。启用全面。到2020年,集中式光伏装机占地面积为1910±116 平方公里,到2060年预计占地面积将超过30,000 平方公里。虽然按面积计算,草原和荒地所占比例最大,但农田仅占土地总面积的22% %,由于其高生物量生产力,造成了大部分农业和碳汇损失。此外,该研究还发现了普遍存在的土地价值错配,许多城市不成比例地转换了最具经济价值的土地。城市层面的空间优化情景表明,将30% %的光伏转移到价值较低的土地上可以使粮食和碳汇损失减半,而在选定的城市中,用陆地和海上风电取代光伏可能会减少90% %以上的土地利用。这些发现强调了将生态和经济价值纳入太阳能选址和国家脱碳规划的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Reinterpreting Japanese planning tools in the global south: A viewpoint from policy transfer to knowledge co-production 重新诠释日本在南半球的规划工具:从政策转移到知识合作生产的观点
IF 5.9 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107917
Norihisa Shima
Against the urban duality challenges of the Global South under high urbanization pressure, (1) rapid urbanization versus emerging population decline, (2) formal planning systems versus informal urban growth, and (3) global urban development versus local community management, planning tools of Japan, which experienced rapid urbanization would be effective, but not as a model but as a reference. This paper aims to set a viewpoint on how selected Japanese strategic planning tools, that is, agile master planning, urban growth boundaries, and basic building regulations, can serve the Global South cities by interpreting them from the concepts of policy mobility, lesson-drawing, and hybridity.
Through illustrative case studies from the selected cities of Asia, Africa, and Latin America, the analysis demonstrated that Japan’s tools offer heuristic value in addressing key dualities. And it highlighted that Japanese planning principles act as a catalyst, prompting reinterpretations and the co-production of hybrid knowledge in diverse contexts of the Global South. In turn, the insights gained from those processes would offer valuable lessons for Japan's own contemporary challenges. Recognizing this two-way learning loop is the key to moving beyond one-way policy transfer and fostering a truly global planning culture rooted in collaborative problem-solving.
面对高城市化压力下全球南方国家面临的城市二元性挑战,(1)快速城市化vs新兴人口下降,(2)正式规划体系vs非正式城市增长,(3)全球城市发展vs地方社区管理,经历快速城市化的日本的规划工具将是有效的,但不是一种模式,而是一种借鉴。本文旨在通过对日本战略规划工具——敏捷总体规划、城市增长边界和基本建筑法规——从政策流动性、经验借鉴和混合性的概念进行解读,阐述日本战略规划工具是如何服务于全球南方城市的。通过来自亚洲、非洲和拉丁美洲选定城市的说明性案例研究,分析表明日本的工具在解决关键的二元性方面提供了启发式价值。它还强调,日本的规划原则起到了催化剂的作用,促使全球南方国家在不同背景下重新解读和共同生产混合知识。反过来,从这些过程中获得的见解将为日本自己当前面临的挑战提供宝贵的经验教训。认识到这种双向学习循环,是超越单向政策转移、培养一种植根于协作解决问题的真正全球规划文化的关键。
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引用次数: 0
Systemic failure in industrial land governance: A geospatial audit of allocation, occupation and utilization in Shaggar City, Ethiopia 工业用地治理的系统性失灵:埃塞俄比亚沙加尔市分配、占用和利用的地理空间审计
IF 7.1 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-03-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.108038
Dejene Tesema Bulti, Temesgen Abraham Gebreselassie
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引用次数: 0
Before the ground breaks: Is inclusionary zoning a shield or a signal of gentrification? 在破土动工之前:包容性分区是一个盾牌还是一个中产阶级化的信号?
IF 7.1 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-03-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.108033
Lance Freeman, Yining Lei, Magda Maaoui
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引用次数: 0
A GeoAI-driven multi-criteria land-use suitability model of flood-prone Lagos, Nigeria 尼日利亚拉各斯易发洪水多准则土地利用适宜性模型
IF 7.1 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-03-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.108025
Opeyemi Aniramu, Olamide Iyanda, Chika David Egenus, Ezekiel Gangaya John, Oluwagbenga Orimoogunje
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引用次数: 0
Spatial modelling of land degradation and restoration dynamics in mining-affected landscapes in Ghana 加纳受采矿影响景观中土地退化和恢复动态的空间模拟
IF 7.1 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-03-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.108029
Ambrose Derzu, Jonas Ayaribilla Akudugu, Abdul-Wadood Moomen, Lily-Lisa Yevugah, Louvis Boakye
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引用次数: 0
Synergies between interventions: The Cadastro Ambiental Rural (CAR) and REDD+ in the Brazilian Amazon 干预措施之间的协同作用:巴西亚马逊地区的地籍环境农村(CAR)和REDD+
IF 7.1 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-03-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.108026
Adriana Molina-Garzón, Carolina Gueiros, Erin O. Sills
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引用次数: 0
Hybrid land governance and customary tenure: Coexistence of communitarian and contractarian practices in Naraiyawa Village, Fiji 混合土地治理和习惯权属:斐济Naraiyawa村社区主义和契约主义实践的共存
IF 7.1 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-03-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.107961
Doni Wainiqolo, Joeli Varo, Digby Race
This paper examines how communitarian and contractarian principles coexist in land governance within Naraiyawa village, Namosi Province, Fiji. Drawing on a mixed-methods approach, combining geospatial mapping of 1387 acres of Mataqali Nayalasa land with interviews from 37 farming households, the study explores how the customary practice of solesolevaki (collective labour) underpins a hybrid model that reconciles collective tenure with market-oriented farming. Results show that 92 % of households engage in both communal land management and private crop production. Despite deeper integration with market economies and digital tools, customary tenure remains secure, with no reported disputes or fears of dispossession. Land-use decisions are primarily driven by climate variability and market demand, but are mediated through culturally embedded systems that emphasise cooperation, equity, and resilience. The case challenges the assumption that customary and individualised governance are incompatible, showing how tradition can evolve to meet contemporary challenges without losing core values. Naraiyawa provides a compelling example of adaptive, community-led governance that integrates traditional ethics with national planning frameworks and the SDGs. The findings offer insights for policymakers seeking culturally grounded and climate-resilient land use strategies in the Pacific Islands and other customary tenure contexts.
本文研究了社区主义和契约主义原则如何在斐济纳莫西省Naraiyawa村的土地治理中共存。该研究采用混合方法,将1387 英亩Mataqali Nayalasa土地的地理空间测绘与37个农户的访谈相结合,探讨了集体劳动(solesolevaki)的习惯做法如何支撑一种混合模式,使集体所有制与以市场为导向的农业相协调。结果表明,92% %的家庭既从事公共土地管理又从事私人作物生产。尽管与市场经济和数字工具的融合更加深入,但传统的权属仍然是安全的,没有报告的纠纷或对剥夺的恐惧。土地利用决策主要由气候变化和市场需求驱动,但通过强调合作、公平和复原力的文化嵌入式系统进行调节。这个案例挑战了习惯治理和个性化治理不相容的假设,展示了传统如何在不失去核心价值的情况下发展以应对当代挑战。Naraiyawa提供了一个令人信服的适应性、社区主导的治理范例,将传统伦理与国家规划框架和可持续发展目标相结合。这些发现为决策者在太平洋岛屿和其他习惯权属环境中寻求基于文化和气候适应型的土地利用战略提供了见解。
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引用次数: 0
Land-use conversion from agricultural production areas to built-up areas in the Philippines for decades 2000–2020: Spatial analysis and policy implications 菲律宾2000-2020年从农业生产区到建成区的土地利用转换:空间分析和政策影响
IF 5.9 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107874
Arnan B. Araza , Wesley Gagarin , Ma. Christina Corales , Chad Patrick Osorio , Marlo D. Mendoza , Rico Ancog
Rapid urban expansion in the Philippines has intensified the pressure on agricultural lands, raising concerns about national food security and environmental sustainability. This study presents a national-scale spatial analysis of agricultural land conversion to built-up areas between 2003 and 2019, using high-resolution Earth Observation (EO) maps. The map validation based on expert-labeled reference data yielded 81% user accuracy, while correlation and bivariate mapping revealed a strong relationship (r = 0.89) between cropland loss (ha) and built-up expansion (ha), with hotspots identified in Central and Southern Mindanao, and Central Luzon. Conversions showed a moderate association with agricultural land area (r = 0.38), which may correspond to provinces with large areas for high-value crop production with intact economic value. Around 31% (3,228 out of 10,397 ha) of converted cropland to built-up fell within legally protected zones under the Network of Protected Areas for Agriculture and Agro-Industrial Development (NPAAAD), indicating possible governance and enforcement gaps. Almost 80% of the conversions within NPAAAD are mostly agro-industrial and alluvial lands characterized as high-value and road-accessible, thus being vulnerable also to urban and industrial projects. The findings underscore the urgency of enacting the National Land Use Act (NaLUA) to institutionalize spatial planning and safeguard agricultural lands from unregulated conversion. The findings of this study alongside mapping of specific land-uses following the conversions nationwide are deemed helpful inputs for mandated local land use planning.
菲律宾快速的城市扩张加剧了对农业用地的压力,引发了对国家粮食安全和环境可持续性的担忧。本研究利用高分辨率地球观测(EO)地图,对2003年至2019年期间全国范围内的农业用地转化为建成区进行了空间分析。基于专家标记参考数据的地图验证获得81%的用户精度,而相关和二元制图显示耕地损失(ha)与建筑扩张(ha)之间存在很强的关系(r = 0.89),热点地区位于棉兰老岛中南部和吕宋岛中部。转换率与农业用地面积呈中等相关性(r = 0.38),这可能对应于高价值作物生产面积大且经济价值完整的省份。大约31%(10,397公顷中有3,228公顷)的耕地转化为建筑用地属于农业和农业工业发展保护区网络(NPAAAD)下的法律保护区内,这表明可能存在治理和执法方面的差距。在NPAAAD内,几乎80%的转换主要是农工和冲积土地,其特点是高价值和道路可达,因此也容易受到城市和工业项目的影响。研究结果强调了制定《国家土地使用法》(NaLUA)的紧迫性,以使空间规划制度化,并保护农业用地免受无管制的转换。这项研究的结果以及在全国范围内进行土地转换后绘制的具体土地用途地图,被认为对强制性的地方土地使用规划有帮助。
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Land Use Policy
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