Pub Date : 2025-01-16DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107469
Xin Cheng , Ziyi Yu , Jingyue Gao , Li Chen , Yaru Jiang , Yanting Liu , Yan Dai , Jia Chen , Chaofan Wang , Chenfeng Wang , Yongjie Zheng , Huimin Zhou , Guangjie Liu , Jiaxuan Deng , Zhiju Xie
Interactions among energy, economic, and environmental systems are acknowledged, yet research on the coupling of these systems in rural areas remains limited. This study reveals the coupling development of energy-economy-environment (3E) systems from the perspective of rural households based on 1251 household questionnaires in 52 villages in China, using the dual cut-off method and coupling coordination degree model. The results indicate that: (1) The coupling and coordination of 3E systems in rural areas have gradually improved over time. However, each region in rural China is in a different stage of economic development and has a distinct energy consumption structure. (2) The key influencing factors of the 3E systems are power supply stability, years of schooling, and environmental conditions. (3) The coordinated development of 3E systems could effectively mitigate the risk of returning to poverty. This study offers valuable insights for enhancing rural revitalization and facilitating the modernization process of agriculture and rural regions.
{"title":"The coupling development of energy-economy-environment from the perspective of rural households: Insights into preventing returning to poverty","authors":"Xin Cheng , Ziyi Yu , Jingyue Gao , Li Chen , Yaru Jiang , Yanting Liu , Yan Dai , Jia Chen , Chaofan Wang , Chenfeng Wang , Yongjie Zheng , Huimin Zhou , Guangjie Liu , Jiaxuan Deng , Zhiju Xie","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107469","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107469","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Interactions among energy, economic, and environmental systems are acknowledged, yet research on the coupling of these systems in rural areas remains limited. This study reveals the coupling development of energy-economy-environment (3E) systems from the perspective of rural households based on 1251 household questionnaires in 52 villages in China, using the dual cut-off method and coupling coordination degree model. The results indicate that: (1) The coupling and coordination of 3E systems in rural areas have gradually improved over time. However, each region in rural China is in a different stage of economic development and has a distinct energy consumption structure. (2) The key influencing factors of the 3E systems are power supply stability, years of schooling, and environmental conditions. (3) The coordinated development of 3E systems could effectively mitigate the risk of returning to poverty. This study offers valuable insights for enhancing rural revitalization and facilitating the modernization process of agriculture and rural regions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 107469"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143097215","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-01-16DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107439
Anna Giulia Castaldo , Margherita Gori Nocentini , Fabiano Lemes de Oliveira , Israa H. Mahmoud
Urban Nature-based Solutions (NBS) are increasingly employed in research and practice to address the pressing environmental, social and economic challenges affecting cities. Nonetheless, there is a noticeable lack of an overview of the scholarship on the use of NBS in the Global South (GS) focusing especially on urban contexts, even though GS cities face unique socio-ecological challenges that could be addressed with NBS, as cost-effective and sustainable alternatives to grey infrastructural interventions. Through a systematic literature review, this article aims to examine the extent to which NBS are discussed in academic literature regarding the GS. The results show that NBS in the GS are mobilised especially to address two cross-cutting issues: rapid urbanization and informal settlements, and the impacts of climate change. NBS actions are explored both to incorporate nature into the urban environment and to "re-naturalise" existing urban areas. Water-related NBS types are the most numerous, and some research gaps highlighted are the need to further explore NBS for food safety and the lack of sufficient emphasis on reducing the Urban Heat Island effect (UHI), emphasising the importance of considering the social and economic context for the inclusion of NBS in the urban policy agenda. In terms of challenges related to the implementation and the mainstreaming of NBS adoption in urban agendas, the research highlights the problems of awareness, information accessibility, and financial sustainability. Finally, the review also raises the question of the involvement of external actors, while stressing the need to balance this involvement to avoid undermining local institutional capacity and public sector participation in the planning and implementation of NBS.
{"title":"Nature-based solutions and urban planning in the Global South: Challenge orientations, typologies, and viability for cities","authors":"Anna Giulia Castaldo , Margherita Gori Nocentini , Fabiano Lemes de Oliveira , Israa H. Mahmoud","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107439","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107439","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Urban Nature-based Solutions (NBS) are increasingly employed in research and practice to address the pressing environmental, social and economic challenges affecting cities. Nonetheless, there is a noticeable lack of an overview of the scholarship on the use of NBS in the Global South (GS) focusing especially on urban contexts, even though GS cities face unique socio-ecological challenges that could be addressed with NBS, as cost-effective and sustainable alternatives to grey infrastructural interventions. Through a systematic literature review, this article aims to examine the extent to which NBS are discussed in academic literature regarding the GS. The results show that NBS in the GS are mobilised especially to address two cross-cutting issues: rapid urbanization and informal settlements, and the impacts of climate change. NBS actions are explored both to incorporate nature into the urban environment and to \"re-naturalise\" existing urban areas. Water-related NBS types are the most numerous, and some research gaps highlighted are the need to further explore NBS for food safety and the lack of sufficient emphasis on reducing the Urban Heat Island effect (UHI), emphasising the importance of considering the social and economic context for the inclusion of NBS in the urban policy agenda. In terms of challenges related to the implementation and the mainstreaming of NBS adoption in urban agendas, the research highlights the problems of awareness, information accessibility, and financial sustainability. Finally, the review also raises the question of the involvement of external actors, while stressing the need to balance this involvement to avoid undermining local institutional capacity and public sector participation in the planning and implementation of NBS.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 107439"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142990221","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-01-14DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107475
Yu Zhao , Yuheng Li , Yansui Liu , Xuefeng Yuan
Human-Earth relations, particularly in rural areas of China, have been significantly transformed due to the unprecedented rate of urbanization and industrialization. Rural Human-Earth System (RHES) offers a comprehensive framework to better understand this changing relationship in rural areas. Exploring the differentiation and evolution of RHES, especially via systematic methodology, is crucial for category-based and region-specific practice of China’s rural revitalization strategies. Taking Lingbao, a representative region in the midstream of the Yellow River Basin, this study employed multi-source geographical data to identify the differentiation of RHES at the finer scale. Additionally, this research developed a random forest model to simulate the evolution and transformation of Lingbao’s RHES from 2000 to 2020. The results showed that Lingbao’s RHES could be classified into four subsystems–ecological (ECS), agricultural (AGS), rural-town (RTS), and urban-town (UTS)–exhibiting significant spatial heterogeneity. During the study period, the proportions of the ECS, RTS, and UTS increased by 2.98 %, 2.92 %, and 0.46 % respectively, whereas that of the AGS decreased by 6.36 %. Moreover, the proportion of AGS transforming to RTS increased consistently and became the dominant trajectory in 2010, surpassing the traditional AGS-to-ECS conversion pattern. The AGS served as a critical spatial carrier for RHES transformation, owing to its malleability and vulnerability. The evolution of these subsystems follows an “imbalance-coordination” cycle, driven by spatial optimization and self-organization processes. These findings help to design more targeted land use planning and to provide crucial insights for implementing differentiated rural revitalization strategies.
{"title":"Evolution of rural human-earth system in midstream of China’s Yellow River and its implications for land use planning: A study of Lingbao County, Henan Province","authors":"Yu Zhao , Yuheng Li , Yansui Liu , Xuefeng Yuan","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107475","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107475","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Human-Earth relations, particularly in rural areas of China, have been significantly transformed due to the unprecedented rate of urbanization and industrialization. Rural Human-Earth System (RHES) offers a comprehensive framework to better understand this changing relationship in rural areas. Exploring the differentiation and evolution of RHES, especially via systematic methodology, is crucial for category-based and region-specific practice of China’s rural revitalization strategies. Taking Lingbao, a representative region in the midstream of the Yellow River Basin, this study employed multi-source geographical data to identify the differentiation of RHES at the finer scale. Additionally, this research developed a random forest model to simulate the evolution and transformation of Lingbao’s RHES from 2000 to 2020. The results showed that Lingbao’s RHES could be classified into four subsystems–ecological (ECS), agricultural (AGS), rural-town (RTS), and urban-town (UTS)–exhibiting significant spatial heterogeneity. During the study period, the proportions of the ECS, RTS, and UTS increased by 2.98 %, 2.92 %, and 0.46 % respectively, whereas that of the AGS decreased by 6.36 %. Moreover, the proportion of AGS transforming to RTS increased consistently and became the dominant trajectory in 2010, surpassing the traditional AGS-to-ECS conversion pattern. The AGS served as a critical spatial carrier for RHES transformation, owing to its malleability and vulnerability. The evolution of these subsystems follows an “imbalance-coordination” cycle, driven by spatial optimization and self-organization processes. These findings help to design more targeted land use planning and to provide crucial insights for implementing differentiated rural revitalization strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 107475"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143097214","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-01-13DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107470
Guipeng Zhou , Hualou Long
Deepening the theoretical discussion of land-use systems (LUSs) supports land system science and regional sustainable development. This research discusses the demand-driven mode and spatial development mode of the evolution of LUS; further, it explores the underlying trends of the evolution of LUS, analyzes the links and cross-scale interactions between the evolution and transformation of LUS, and presents an empirical study on Shuangda Village, Guangxi, China. The following conclusions have been obtained: (1) "Benefits demands – internal-external interaction – structural evolution – functional development" represents the demand-driven mode of the evolution and growth of LUS. While theoretically, this mode can run in an infinite loop, in reality, regional LUS and its corresponding social system will develop into a steady-state phase. (2) "Extensive expansion – internal densification – scale breakthrough" represents the mode of spatial development and expansion of LUS. The key clue to the formation of this mode lies in "benefits demands". If LUS can achieve a "scale breakthrough", a higher-level "extensive expansion" development will be initiated. (3) The evolutions of LUSs follow two underlying trends: integration and decoupling. Spatial and functional differentiation is the process of promoting the integration or decoupling of LUSs. The integration of multiple LUSs is a process of their synergy, differentiation, and division of labor. The decoupling of LUS represents the local redifferentiation and redivision of labor under the background of local independence and overall de-synergization of the LUS. (4) There is a "quantitative change – qualitative change" link between the evolution and transformation of LUS, which runs through the cross-scale or multi-scales. The "benefits demands" is the main line running through the evolution and transformation of LUS at all scales. The smaller the spatial scale and scope of the observation unit, the easier it is to accelerate the overall velocity of the evolution and transformation of LUS. Cross-scale interactions between the evolution and transformation of LUS can guide the regional division of labor, improve the regional supply-demand circulation, and unlock development opportunities and benefits. (5) The development process of Shuangda Village verifies the theory of this research. The trend of the LUS of Shuangda Village to integrate with the larger-scale LUS of the outside world is being strengthened. While Shuangda Village has achieved progress in land-use transformation and rural revitalization, it also faces difficulties.
{"title":"Explanation of land-use system evolution: Modes, trends, and mechanisms","authors":"Guipeng Zhou , Hualou Long","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107470","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107470","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Deepening the theoretical discussion of land-use systems (LUSs) supports land system science and regional sustainable development. This research discusses the demand-driven mode and spatial development mode of the evolution of LUS; further, it explores the underlying trends of the evolution of LUS, analyzes the links and cross-scale interactions between the evolution and transformation of LUS, and presents an empirical study on Shuangda Village, Guangxi, China. The following conclusions have been obtained: (1) \"Benefits demands – internal-external interaction – structural evolution – functional development\" represents the demand-driven mode of the evolution and growth of LUS. While theoretically, this mode can run in an infinite loop, in reality, regional LUS and its corresponding social system will develop into a steady-state phase. (2) \"Extensive expansion – internal densification – scale breakthrough\" represents the mode of spatial development and expansion of LUS. The key clue to the formation of this mode lies in \"benefits demands\". If LUS can achieve a \"scale breakthrough\", a higher-level \"extensive expansion\" development will be initiated. (3) The evolutions of LUSs follow two underlying trends: integration and decoupling. Spatial and functional differentiation is the process of promoting the integration or decoupling of LUSs. The integration of multiple LUSs is a process of their synergy, differentiation, and division of labor. The decoupling of LUS represents the local redifferentiation and redivision of labor under the background of local independence and overall de-synergization of the LUS. (4) There is a \"quantitative change – qualitative change\" link between the evolution and transformation of LUS, which runs through the cross-scale or multi-scales. The \"benefits demands\" is the main line running through the evolution and transformation of LUS at all scales. The smaller the spatial scale and scope of the observation unit, the easier it is to accelerate the overall velocity of the evolution and transformation of LUS. Cross-scale interactions between the evolution and transformation of LUS can guide the regional division of labor, improve the regional supply-demand circulation, and unlock development opportunities and benefits. (5) The development process of Shuangda Village verifies the theory of this research. The trend of the LUS of Shuangda Village to integrate with the larger-scale LUS of the outside world is being strengthened. While Shuangda Village has achieved progress in land-use transformation and rural revitalization, it also faces difficulties.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 107470"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143098303","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Upscaling reforestation efforts is essential to meet ambitious global reforestation targets, requiring a clear understanding of the drivers and facilitating factors of forest gain, which may vary across land-use sectors. We analyse drivers of forest area change across various land-use sectors in the Atlantic Forest of São Paulo state, Brazil, to identify the Forest Transition pathway that best explains reforestation patterns. Using multiple regression, we found that reforestation is preferentially more likely to occur on mixed farming land and less likely on land used for cash crop production. Between 1990 and 2020, gross forest area change was about 10 times greater than net forest area change. Considerable overlap exists between the drivers and facilitating factors of both reforestation and deforestation, suggesting a mix of more dynamic (with higher forest area gains and losses) and more stable landscapes in São Paulo’s Atlantic Forest. However, many drivers and facilitating factors are uniquely tied to reforestation in specific land-use types. Reforestation does not fit neatly into a single Forest Transition pathway, but we can identify different pathways by considering the land-use type that was replaced. Reforestation on mixed farming land, which accounts for 77 % of reforestation events, shows a strong connection to the Forest Policy pathway. If different land uses follow distinct Forest Transition pathways, a one-size-fits-all approach may be ineffective for scaling up reforestation. Our findings indicate that ( various pathways provide opportunities to target specific land-use sectors for reforestation scaling. Recognising the differences in reforestation drivers across sectors is a key step towards aligning policy incentives with these drivers effectively.
{"title":"Drivers of reforestation across land-use sectors in the state of São Paulo, Brazil","authors":"A.S. Duden , P.A. Verweij , A.C. Martensen , R.W. Verburg","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107477","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107477","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Upscaling reforestation efforts is essential to meet ambitious global reforestation targets, requiring a clear understanding of the drivers and facilitating factors of forest gain, which may vary across land-use sectors. We analyse drivers of forest area change across various land-use sectors in the Atlantic Forest of São Paulo state, Brazil, to identify the Forest Transition pathway that best explains reforestation patterns. Using multiple regression, we found that reforestation is preferentially more likely to occur on mixed farming land and less likely on land used for cash crop production. Between 1990 and 2020, gross forest area change was about 10 times greater than net forest area change. Considerable overlap exists between the drivers and facilitating factors of both reforestation and deforestation, suggesting a mix of more dynamic (with higher forest area gains and losses) and more stable landscapes in São Paulo’s Atlantic Forest. However, many drivers and facilitating factors are uniquely tied to reforestation in specific land-use types. Reforestation does not fit neatly into a single Forest Transition pathway, but we can identify different pathways by considering the land-use type that was replaced. Reforestation on mixed farming land, which accounts for 77 % of reforestation events, shows a strong connection to the Forest Policy pathway. If different land uses follow distinct Forest Transition pathways, a one-size-fits-all approach may be ineffective for scaling up reforestation. Our findings indicate that ( various pathways provide opportunities to target specific land-use sectors for reforestation scaling. Recognising the differences in reforestation drivers across sectors is a key step towards aligning policy incentives with these drivers effectively.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 107477"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142990222","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-01-11DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107461
Yang Zhou , Peixuan Li , Qi Zhang , Guoqiang Cheng
Amid increasingly complex challenges of unsustainable rural development, China introduced the whole-region comprehensive land consolidation (WCLC) policy in late 2019. The WCLC aims to address issues such as farmland fragmentation, inefficient construction land use, disorganized village layouts, and ecological degradation. Building on the WCLC socio-economic and ecological benefits analysis framework, this study takes Dudu village in central Anhui Province, China, as a case study to assess its socio-economic benefits through cost-benefit analysis. Results indicate that WCLC represents a progressive phase in land consolidation, integrating a bottom-up approach with extensive collaboration across departments and stakeholders. Despite its high cost, WCLC proves economically viable and yields substantial socio-economic benefits, including enhanced land utilization efficiency, reduced costs, increased gain yields, improved agricultural conditions, and strengthened community cohesion. WCLC has indeed played a significant role in optimizing rural production-living-ecological spaces. However, challenges persist, encompassing an inadequate and underdeveloped mechanism for diversified funding inputs, limited societal engagement, insufficient impetus from local governments for implementation, a lack of comprehensive systemic consideration, and the absence of well-defined performance evaluation criteria for the project. Addressing these issues through innovative policies and institutional reforms is essential to enhance WCLC's effectiveness, contributing to rural revitalization and sustainable development. These findings provide valuable insights for China and other nations seeking to refine land use policies for optimal resource allocation and regional sustainability.
{"title":"Socio-economic impacts, challenges, and strategies for whole-region comprehensive land consolidation in China","authors":"Yang Zhou , Peixuan Li , Qi Zhang , Guoqiang Cheng","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107461","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107461","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Amid increasingly complex challenges of unsustainable rural development, China introduced the whole-region comprehensive land consolidation (WCLC) policy in late 2019. The WCLC aims to address issues such as farmland fragmentation, inefficient construction land use, disorganized village layouts, and ecological degradation. Building on the WCLC socio-economic and ecological benefits analysis framework, this study takes Dudu village in central Anhui Province, China, as a case study to assess its socio-economic benefits through cost-benefit analysis. Results indicate that WCLC represents a progressive phase in land consolidation, integrating a bottom-up approach with extensive collaboration across departments and stakeholders. Despite its high cost, WCLC proves economically viable and yields substantial socio-economic benefits, including enhanced land utilization efficiency, reduced costs, increased gain yields, improved agricultural conditions, and strengthened community cohesion. WCLC has indeed played a significant role in optimizing rural production-living-ecological spaces. However, challenges persist, encompassing an inadequate and underdeveloped mechanism for diversified funding inputs, limited societal engagement, insufficient impetus from local governments for implementation, a lack of comprehensive systemic consideration, and the absence of well-defined performance evaluation criteria for the project. Addressing these issues through innovative policies and institutional reforms is essential to enhance WCLC's effectiveness, contributing to rural revitalization and sustainable development. These findings provide valuable insights for China and other nations seeking to refine land use policies for optimal resource allocation and regional sustainability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 107461"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143098302","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-01-09DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107473
Yuanyuan Yang , Mingying Yang , Boxuan Zhao , Ziwen Lu , Xiao Sun , Zhengfeng Zhang
Land use change is a critical enabler for climatic change and consequently becomes a key source of carbon emissions. It is pivotal to track changes in carbon emissions from diverse land uses and model their future patterns in a geographically explicit manner which could capture spatial configuration and temporal dynamics from fine-resolution analyses, particularly in urban agglomerations with intense human activities. Yet, spatially explicit land-use carbon emissions have been poorly investigated; especially, no existing research to our knowledge quantifies the carbon emissions from different construction land types and tracks their changes along the urban-rural gradients. To fill in this gap, we examined carbon emissions associated with land use change during 2000–2020 in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (abbreviated as BTH) region, China, and then simulated future carbon emissions by adopting the PLUS model to project land use patterns in 2035 under three scenarios, including business as usual (BAU), cropland protection and grain security (CPGS), and low-carbon ecological security (LCES) at a 1 km resolution. Results showed that regional carbon emissions rose first and then dropped with total increase of 11,047.29 × 104 t during 2000–2020, approximate 10 times as the increase in carbon absorption (1106.89 ×104 t), indicating a big challenge toward carbon neutrality. The expansion of industrial and mining land and urban construction land contributed the most to emissions. Besides, both intensities of carbon emission and absorption presented spatial differentiation across urban-rural gradients and as urbanization accelerated, both urban and urban-rural fringe areas are considered the priority regions for CO2 reduction efforts. By 2035, the largest carbon emissions will occur in the BAU scenario, followed by the CPGS and LCES scenarios which will witness the positive change exceeding the negative change. These findings offer insights for optimizing territorial spatial pattern locally and provide spatially explicit information for implementing regional low-carbon policies around urban agglomerations worldwide.
{"title":"Spatially explicit carbon emissions from land use change: Dynamics and scenario simulation in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration","authors":"Yuanyuan Yang , Mingying Yang , Boxuan Zhao , Ziwen Lu , Xiao Sun , Zhengfeng Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107473","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2025.107473","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Land use change is a critical enabler for climatic change and consequently becomes a key source of carbon emissions. It is pivotal to track changes in carbon emissions from diverse land uses and model their future patterns in a geographically explicit manner which could capture spatial configuration and temporal dynamics from fine-resolution analyses, particularly in urban agglomerations with intense human activities. Yet, spatially explicit land-use carbon emissions have been poorly investigated; especially, no existing research to our knowledge quantifies the carbon emissions from different construction land types and tracks their changes along the urban-rural gradients. To fill in this gap, we examined carbon emissions associated with land use change during 2000–2020 in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (abbreviated as BTH) region, China, and then simulated future carbon emissions by adopting the PLUS model to project land use patterns in 2035 under three scenarios, including business as usual (BAU), cropland protection and grain security (CPGS), and low-carbon ecological security (LCES) at a 1 km resolution. Results showed that regional carbon emissions rose first and then dropped with total increase of 11,047.29 × 10<sup>4</sup> t during 2000–2020, approximate 10 times as the increase in carbon absorption (1106.89 ×10<sup>4</sup> t), indicating a big challenge toward carbon neutrality. The expansion of industrial and mining land and urban construction land contributed the most to emissions. Besides, both intensities of carbon emission and absorption presented spatial differentiation across urban-rural gradients and as urbanization accelerated, both urban and urban-rural fringe areas are considered the priority regions for CO<sub>2</sub> reduction efforts. By 2035, the largest carbon emissions will occur in the BAU scenario, followed by the CPGS and LCES scenarios which will witness the positive change exceeding the negative change. These findings offer insights for optimizing territorial spatial pattern locally and provide spatially explicit information for implementing regional low-carbon policies around urban agglomerations worldwide.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 107473"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143149158","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-01-08DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107465
Yuxiang Dong , Song Liu , Xinsheng Pei , Ying Wang
The imperatives of sustainable urban development have propelled the prominence of green infrastructure (GI) as a viable solution. However, prevailing methodologies for GI planning often prioritize individual ecosystem services (ES) and lack spatially explicit guidance. This study presents a spatially explicit approach integrating the InVEST model and the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm-II (NSGA-II) algorithm as a multi-objective spatial optimization tool for assisting decision-making in multifunctional GI planning. The spatially explicit InVEST model was used as a model to assess GI multifunctionality. To demonstrate the applicability of our proposed model, GI of the central area of Wuhu City are optimized with the aim of maximizing the 3 objectives of maximizing habitat quality, crop production, and runoff reduction, evaluated respectively by InVEST habitat quality model, crop production model, and urban flood risk mitigation model. The comparison of typical optimized GI planning schemes—including the compromise, habitat quality preference, runoff reduction preference, and crop production preference scenarios—with the current scenario demonstrates significant improvements in corresponding ES objective. Our findings suggest that increasing forest land, certain types of arable land, and green spaces may have a higher probability of enhancing the multifunctionality of the site. Allocating GI elements in highly built-up areas may efficiently enhance multifunctionality. Spatial analysis of optimal GI schemes reveals a preference for dispersing forest land and grassland, while aggregating agricultural GIs to enhance multifunctionality. Non-linear relationships are found between the ES pair of crop production and habitat quality, as well as runoff reduction and habitat quality. Identifying inflection points where synergies and trade-offs shift is essential for maximizing multifunctionality. Trade-off relationships between crop production & runoff reduction are identified. Our study highlights the importance of recognizing non-linear relationships between certain ES pairs in GI planning, particularly identifying inflection points where synergies and trade-offs shift. This research underscores the viability of our proposed model in facilitating informed decision-making pertaining to GI planning on a citywide scale, with a specific emphasis on achieving multifunctionality. By addressing the shortcomings of current approaches and integrating advanced optimization techniques, our model offers valuable insights for policymakers and practitioners involved in sustainable urban development and GI planning.
可持续城市发展的必要性推动了绿色基础设施(GI)作为一种可行的解决方案的突出地位。然而,现行的地理标志规划方法往往优先考虑单个生态系统服务,缺乏明确的空间指导。本研究提出了一种空间显式方法,将InVEST模型与非支配排序遗传算法- ii (NSGA-II)算法相结合,作为辅助多功能地理标志规划决策的多目标空间优化工具。空间显式InVEST模型被用作评估GI多功能性的模型。为验证该模型的适用性,以芜湖市中心区域为研究对象,以最大化生境质量、最大化作物产量和最大化径流3个目标为目标,分别采用InVEST生境质量模型、作物产量模型和城市洪水风险缓解模型对其进行了优化。通过比较典型的地理标志优化规划方案(包括妥协方案、栖息地质量偏好方案、径流减少偏好方案和作物生产偏好方案)与当前方案的比较,可以发现相应的生态系统目标有显著改善。我们的研究结果表明,增加林地、某些类型的耕地和绿地可能更有可能增强场地的多功能。在高度建设的地区分配地理要素可以有效地增强多功能。最优地理标志方案的空间分析表明,地理标志方案倾向于分散林地和草地,而聚集农业地理标志以增强多功能性。作物产量ES对与生境质量、径流量ES对与生境质量存在非线性关系。确定协同作用和权衡转变的拐点对于最大限度地发挥多功能至关重要。作物产量与产量之间的权衡关系;确定了径流减少。我们的研究强调了在地理标志规划中认识到某些ES对之间的非线性关系的重要性,特别是识别协同效应和权衡转移的拐点。这项研究强调了我们提出的模型在促进与城市范围内地理标志规划相关的明智决策方面的可行性,特别强调了实现多功能。通过解决当前方法的不足并整合先进的优化技术,我们的模型为参与可持续城市发展和地理标志规划的决策者和实践者提供了宝贵的见解。
{"title":"Spatially explicit multi-objective optimization tool for green infrastructure planning based on InVEST and NSGA-II towards multifunctionality","authors":"Yuxiang Dong , Song Liu , Xinsheng Pei , Ying Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107465","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107465","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The imperatives of sustainable urban development have propelled the prominence of green infrastructure (GI) as a viable solution. However, prevailing methodologies for GI planning often prioritize individual ecosystem services (ES) and lack spatially explicit guidance. This study presents a spatially explicit approach integrating the InVEST model and the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm-II (NSGA-II) algorithm as a multi-objective spatial optimization tool for assisting decision-making in multifunctional GI planning. The spatially explicit InVEST model was used as a model to assess GI multifunctionality. To demonstrate the applicability of our proposed model, GI of the central area of Wuhu City are optimized with the aim of maximizing the 3 objectives of maximizing habitat quality, crop production, and runoff reduction, evaluated respectively by InVEST habitat quality model, crop production model, and urban flood risk mitigation model. The comparison of typical optimized GI planning schemes—including the compromise, habitat quality preference, runoff reduction preference, and crop production preference scenarios—with the current scenario demonstrates significant improvements in corresponding ES objective. Our findings suggest that increasing forest land, certain types of arable land, and green spaces may have a higher probability of enhancing the multifunctionality of the site. Allocating GI elements in highly built-up areas may efficiently enhance multifunctionality. Spatial analysis of optimal GI schemes reveals a preference for dispersing forest land and grassland, while aggregating agricultural GIs to enhance multifunctionality. Non-linear relationships are found between the ES pair of crop production and habitat quality, as well as runoff reduction and habitat quality. Identifying inflection points where synergies and trade-offs shift is essential for maximizing multifunctionality. Trade-off relationships between crop production & runoff reduction are identified. Our study highlights the importance of recognizing non-linear relationships between certain ES pairs in GI planning, particularly identifying inflection points where synergies and trade-offs shift. This research underscores the viability of our proposed model in facilitating informed decision-making pertaining to GI planning on a citywide scale, with a specific emphasis on achieving multifunctionality. By addressing the shortcomings of current approaches and integrating advanced optimization techniques, our model offers valuable insights for policymakers and practitioners involved in sustainable urban development and GI planning.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 107465"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142968074","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Second homes are increasingly influencing regional ecological balance and economic development through the integration of rural tourism and culture. This study assesses ecosystem service values (ESV) in Moudao Town, Hubei Province, analyzing land-use changes from 2000 to 2020 and forecasting future dynamics under multi-scenario simulations. Results indicate that urbanization led to construction land expansion, slight forest growth, and reductions in grassland and water bodies, causing fluctuating ESV trends and declining grassland and water service values. Ecosystem sensitivity to provisioning, regulation, and support services increased, signaling heightened vulnerability. Simulations revealed that natural development weakened ecological stability, while ecologically prioritized development enhanced forest and grassland values. The second-home scenario balanced ecological protection with human needs, improving overall ESV and promoting sustainability. These findings offer valuable insights for second-home planning and rural resource management strategies.
{"title":"Rural revitalisation: Spatio-temporal evolution and multi-scenario prediction of ecosystem service values of second homes in Moudao, China","authors":"Zhenyan Lou , Xu Zhao , Cong Chen , Shengping Peng","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107467","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107467","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Second homes are increasingly influencing regional ecological balance and economic development through the integration of rural tourism and culture. This study assesses ecosystem service values (ESV) in Moudao Town, Hubei Province, analyzing land-use changes from 2000 to 2020 and forecasting future dynamics under multi-scenario simulations. Results indicate that urbanization led to construction land expansion, slight forest growth, and reductions in grassland and water bodies, causing fluctuating ESV trends and declining grassland and water service values. Ecosystem sensitivity to provisioning, regulation, and support services increased, signaling heightened vulnerability. Simulations revealed that natural development weakened ecological stability, while ecologically prioritized development enhanced forest and grassland values. The second-home scenario balanced ecological protection with human needs, improving overall ESV and promoting sustainability. These findings offer valuable insights for second-home planning and rural resource management strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 107467"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142968136","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-01-03DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107466
Rong Tan , Rongyu Wang
Land resource use involves the interplay of natural, economic, political and social factors, posing challenges for understanding and governing the complexity of land-use social-ecological systems (SESs). Therefore, this study develops a systemism research paradigm for archetypes of land-related SES governance, including theoretical content, main features and specific approaches. The archetypes of land-related SES governance illustrate the structures, joint effects and underlying mechanisms through which natural, economic, political and social factors interact based on either classical theory or theoretical innovation. Thus, policy implications are proposed to leverage the leading factors and explore the context-specific conditions composed of multiple factors for institutional selection to govern the interconnections among land users, institutions and broad natural and socioeconomic environments of land use.
{"title":"Archetype analysis of land governance: A systemism research paradigm","authors":"Rong Tan , Rongyu Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107466","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107466","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Land resource use involves the interplay of natural, economic, political and social factors, posing challenges for understanding and governing the complexity of land-use social-ecological systems (SESs). Therefore, this study develops a systemism research paradigm for archetypes of land-related SES governance, including theoretical content, main features and specific approaches. The archetypes of land-related SES governance illustrate the structures, joint effects and underlying mechanisms through which natural, economic, political and social factors interact based on either classical theory or theoretical innovation. Thus, policy implications are proposed to leverage the leading factors and explore the context-specific conditions composed of multiple factors for institutional selection to govern the interconnections among land users, institutions and broad natural and socioeconomic environments of land use.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":17933,"journal":{"name":"Land Use Policy","volume":"150 ","pages":"Article 107466"},"PeriodicalIF":6.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142929297","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}