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Supply Chain Coordination for E-Commerce: Risk Penalty vs. Flat Rate 电子商务的供应链协调:风险惩罚与统一费率
Pub Date : 2021-08-17 DOI: 10.1287/msom.2021.1008
J. Song, Yao Zhao
Problem definition: We study the coordination of an E-commerce supply chain between online sellers and third party shippers to meet random demand surges, induced by, for instance, online shopping holidays. Academic/practical relevance: Motivated by the challenge of meeting the unpredictable demand surges in E-commerce, we study shipping contracts and supply chain coordination between online sellers and third party shippers in a novel model taking into account the unique features of the shipping industry. Methodology: We compare two shipping contracts: the risk penalty (proposed by UPS) and the flat rate (used by FedEx), and analyze their impact on the seller, the shipper, and the supply chain. Results: Under information symmetry, the sophisticated risk penalty contract is no better than the simple flat rate contract for the shipper, against common belief. Although both the risk penalty and the flat rate can coordinate the supply chain, the risk penalty does so only if the shipper makes zero profit, but the flat rate can provide a positive profit for both. These results represent a new form of double marginalization and risk-sharing, in sharp contrast to the well-known literature on the classic supplier-retailer supply chain, where risk-sharing contracts (similar to the risk penalty) can bring benefits to all parties, but the single wholesale price contract (similar to the flat rate) can achieve supply chain coordination only when the supplier makes zero profit. We also find that only the online seller, but not the shipper, has the motivation to vertically integrate the seller-shipper supply chain. Under information asymmetry, however, the risk penalty brings more benefit to the shipper than the flat rate, but hurts the seller and the supply chain. Managerial implications: Our results imply that information plays an important role in the shipper’s choices of shipping contracts. Under information symmetry, the risk penalty is unnecessarily complex because the simple flat rate is as good as the risk penalty for the shipper; moreover, it is better for the seller-shipper coordination. However, under information asymmetry, the shipper faces additional shipping risk that can be offset by the extra flexibility of the risk penalty. Our study also explains and supports the recent practice of online sellers (e.g., Amazon.com and JD.com), but not shippers, to vertically integrate the supply chain by consistently expanding their shipping capabilities.
问题定义:我们研究在线卖家和第三方发货人之间的电子商务供应链的协调,以满足随机需求激增,例如,在线购物假期。学术/实践相关性:为满足电子商务中不可预测的需求激增的挑战,我们考虑到航运业的独特性,在一个新颖的模型中研究了在线卖家和第三方托运人之间的运输合同和供应链协调。方法:我们比较了两种运输合同:风险惩罚(由UPS提出)和统一费率(由联邦快递使用),并分析了它们对卖方、托运人和供应链的影响。结果:在信息对称的情况下,复杂的风险惩罚合同并不比简单的统一费率合同更有利于托运人,这与人们的普遍看法相反。虽然风险惩罚和统一费率都可以协调供应链,但风险惩罚只有在托运人利润为零的情况下才能协调供应链,但统一费率可以为两者提供正利润。这些结果代表了一种新的双重边缘化和风险共担形式,与众所周知的经典供应商-零售商供应链的文献形成鲜明对比,后者认为风险共担合同(类似于风险惩罚)可以为各方带来利益,而单一批发价格合同(类似于统一费率)只有在供应商利润为零的情况下才能实现供应链协调。我们还发现,只有在线卖家,而不是托运人,有动机垂直整合卖方-托运人供应链。然而,在信息不对称的情况下,风险惩罚给托运人带来了比统一费率更多的利益,但损害了卖方和供应链。管理启示:我们的结果表明,信息在托运人的运输合同的选择中起着重要的作用。在信息对称的情况下,由于简单的统一费率与托运人的风险惩罚一样好,因此风险惩罚不必要地复杂;此外,它更有利于卖方和托运人的协调。然而,在信息不对称的情况下,托运人面临额外的运输风险,这些风险可以通过风险惩罚的额外灵活性来抵消。我们的研究还解释并支持了最近在线卖家(例如亚马逊和京东)的做法,而不是托运人,通过不断扩大他们的运输能力来垂直整合供应链。
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引用次数: 4
The Effects of Patent Extension and Take-Back Regulation on Green Pharmacy 专利延长与回收监管对绿色制药的影响
Pub Date : 2021-08-16 DOI: 10.1287/msom.2021.1009
Tianqin Shi, N. Petruzzi, Dilip Chhajed
Problem definition: The eco-toxicity arising from unused pharmaceuticals has regulators advocating the benign design concept of “green pharmacy,” but high research and development expenses can be prohibitive. We therefore examine the impacts of two regulatory mechanisms, patent extension and take-back regulation, on inducing drug manufacturers to go green. Academic/practical relevance: One incentive suggested by the European Environmental Agency is a patent extension for a company that redesigns its already patented pharmaceutical to be more environmentally friendly. This incentive can encourage both the development of degradable drugs and the disclosure of technical information. Yet, it is unclear how effective the extension would be in inducing green pharmacy and in maximizing social welfare. Methodology: We develop a game-theoretic model in which an innovative company collects monopoly profits for a patented pharmaceutical but faces competition from a generic rival after the patent expires. A social-welfare-maximizing regulator is the Stackelberg leader. The regulator leads by offering a patent extension to the innovative company while also imposing take-back regulation on the pharmaceutical industry. Then the two-profit maximizing companies respond by setting drug prices and choosing whether to invest in green pharmacy. Results: The regulator’s optimal patent extension offer can induce green pharmacy but only if the offer exceeds a threshold length that depends on the degree of product differentiation present in the pharmaceutical industry. The regulator’s correspondingly optimal take-back regulation generally prescribes a required collection rate that decreases as its optimal patent extension offer increases, and vice versa. Managerial implications: By isolating green pharmacy as a potential target to address pharmaceutical eco-toxicity at its source, the regulatory policy that we consider, which combines the incentive inherent in earning a patent extension on the one hand with the penalty inherent in complying with take-back regulation on the other hand, serves as a useful starting point for policymakers to optimally balance economic welfare considerations with environmental stewardship considerations.
问题定义:未使用药品产生的生态毒性促使监管机构倡导“绿色药房”的良性设计理念,但高昂的研发费用可能令人望而却步。因此,我们研究了两种监管机制——专利延长和回收监管——对诱导制药企业走向绿色的影响。学术/实际意义:欧洲环境署提出的一项激励措施是,对重新设计其已获得专利的药品的公司延长专利期限,使其更加环保。这种奖励既可以鼓励可降解药物的开发,也可以鼓励技术信息的披露。但是,在诱导绿色制药和最大化社会福利方面,延长期限的效果如何,目前还不清楚。方法:我们开发了一个博弈论模型,其中一家创新公司为专利药物收集垄断利润,但在专利到期后面临来自非专利对手的竞争。社会福利最大化的管理者是斯塔克尔伯格式的领导者。监管机构率先向创新公司提供专利延期,同时对制药业实施回收监管。然后,两个利润最大化的公司通过设定药品价格和选择是否投资绿色制药来应对。结果:监管机构的最优专利延长报价可以诱导绿色制药,但前提是报价超过阈值长度,该阈值长度取决于制药行业存在的产品差异化程度。监管机构相应的最优回收监管通常规定了所需的收集率,随着其最优专利延长报价的增加而降低,反之亦然。管理意义:通过将绿色药房作为潜在目标,从源头上解决药物生态毒性问题,我们考虑的监管政策,一方面结合了获得专利延期的内在激励,另一方面结合了遵守回收法规的内在惩罚,作为政策制定者最佳平衡经济福利考虑与环境管理考虑的有用起点。
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引用次数: 0
Joint Product Framing (Display, Ranking, Pricing) and Order Fulfillment Under the Multinomial Logit Model for E-Commerce Retailers 电子商务零售商多项Logit模型下的联合产品框架(陈列、排序、定价)与订单履行
Pub Date : 2021-08-05 DOI: 10.1287/msom.2021.1012
Y. Lei, Stefanus Jasin, J. Uichanco, A. Vakhutinsky
Problem definition: We study a joint product framing and order fulfillment problem with both inventory and cardinality constraints faced by an e-commerce retailer. There is a finite selling horizon and no replenishment opportunity. In each period, the retailer needs to decide how to “frame” (i.e., display, rank, price) each product on his or her website as well as how to fulfill a new demand. Academic/practical relevance: E-commerce retail is known to suffer from thin profit margins. Using the data from a major U.S. retailer, we show that jointly planning product framing and order fulfillment can have a significant impact on online retailers’ profitability. This is a technically challenging problem as it involves both inventory and cardinality constraints. In this paper, we make progress toward resolving this challenge. Methodology: We use techniques such as randomized algorithms and graph-based algorithms to provide a tractable solution heuristic that we analyze through asymptotic analysis. Results: Our proposed randomized heuristic policy is based on the solution of a deterministic approximation to the stochastic control problem. The key challenge is in constructing a randomization scheme that is easy to implement and that guarantees the resulting policy is asymptotically optimal. We propose a novel two-step randomization scheme based on the idea of matrix decomposition and a rescaling argument. Managerial implications: Our numerical tests show that the proposed policy is very close to optimal, can be applied to large-scale problems in practice, and highlights the value of jointly optimizing product framing and order fulfillment decisions. When inventory across the network is imbalanced, the widespread practice of planning product framing without considering its impact on fulfillment can result in high shipping costs, regardless of the fulfillment policy used. Our proposed policy significantly reduces shipping costs by using product framing to manage demand so that it occurs close to the location of the inventory.
问题定义:我们研究了一个电子商务零售商所面临的具有库存和基数约束的联合产品框架和订单履行问题。销售周期有限,没有补货机会。在每个时期,零售商需要决定如何在他或她的网站上“框架”(即,展示,排名,价格)每种产品以及如何满足新的需求。学术/实践相关性:众所周知,电子商务零售的利润率很低。利用美国一家大型零售商的数据,我们表明,共同规划产品框架和订单履行可以对在线零售商的盈利能力产生重大影响。这是一个具有技术挑战性的问题,因为它涉及库存和基数约束。在本文中,我们在解决这一挑战方面取得了进展。方法:我们使用随机算法和基于图的算法等技术来提供一个易于处理的启发式解决方案,我们通过渐近分析进行分析。结果:我们提出的随机启发式策略是基于随机控制问题的确定性近似解。关键的挑战是构建一个易于实现的随机化方案,并保证结果策略是渐近最优的。基于矩阵分解的思想,提出了一种新的两步随机化方案。管理意义:我们的数值测试表明,所提出的策略非常接近最优,可以应用于实践中的大规模问题,并突出了共同优化产品框架和订单履行决策的价值。当整个网络的库存不平衡时,规划产品框架而不考虑其对履行的影响的普遍做法可能导致高运输成本,无论使用的履行政策如何。我们提出的策略通过使用产品框架来管理需求,从而使其发生在靠近库存位置的地方,从而大大降低了运输成本。
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引用次数: 10
On-Demand Delivery from Stores: Dynamic Dispatching and Routing with Random Demand 从商店按需配送:随机需求下的动态调度和路由
Pub Date : 2021-07-27 DOI: 10.1287/msom.2022.1171
Sheng Liu, Zhixing Luo
Problem definition: On-demand delivery has become increasingly popular around the world. Motivated by a large grocery chain store who offers fast on-demand delivery services, we model and solve a stochastic dynamic driver dispatching and routing problem for last-mile delivery systems where on-time performance is the main target. The system operator needs to dispatch a set of drivers and specify their delivery routes facing random demand that arrives over a fixed number of periods. The resulting stochastic dynamic program is challenging to solve because of the curse of dimensionality. Methodology/results: We propose a novel structured approximation framework to approximate the value function via a parametrized dispatching and routing policy. We analyze the structural properties of the approximation framework and establish its performance guarantee under large-demand scenarios. We then develop efficient exact algorithms for the approximation problem based on Benders decomposition and column generation, which deliver verifiably optimal solutions within minutes. Managerial implications: The evaluation results on a real-world data set show that our framework outperforms the current policy of the company by 36.53% on average in terms of delivery time. We also perform several policy experiments to understand the value of dynamic dispatching and routing with varying fleet sizes and dispatch frequencies. Funding: This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China [Grants 72222011 and 72171112], China Association for Science and Technology [Grant 2019QNRC001], and the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada [Grant RGPIN-2022-04950]. Supplemental Material: The online appendices are available at https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.1171 .
问题定义:按需配送在全球越来越流行。受一家大型食品杂货连锁店提供快速按需配送服务的激励,我们建模并解决了以准时性能为主要目标的最后一英里配送系统的随机动态驾驶员调度和路线问题。系统操作员需要派遣一组司机,并指定他们的送货路线,以应对在固定时间段内到达的随机需求。由于维数的限制,由此产生的随机动态规划的求解具有挑战性。方法/结果:我们提出了一种新的结构化近似框架,通过参数化调度和路由策略来近似值函数。分析了近似框架的结构特性,建立了大需求场景下近似框架的性能保证。然后,我们为基于Benders分解和列生成的近似问题开发了有效的精确算法,可在几分钟内提供可验证的最优解。管理意义:对真实世界数据集的评估结果表明,我们的框架在交付时间方面平均优于公司当前政策36.53%。我们还执行了几个策略实验,以了解具有不同车队规模和调度频率的动态调度和路由的价值。基金资助:中国国家自然科学基金[基金资助:72222011和72171112],中国科学技术协会[基金资助:2019QNRC001],加拿大自然科学与工程研究理事会[基金资助:RGPIN-2022-04950]。补充材料:在线附录可在https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.1171上获得。
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引用次数: 5
Managing Uncertain Capacities for Network Revenue Optimization 网络收益优化中的不确定容量管理
Pub Date : 2021-07-26 DOI: 10.1287/msom.2021.0993
Fabricio Previgliano, Gustavo J. Vulcano
Problem definition: We study the problem of managing uncertain capacities for revenue optimization over a network of resources. The uncertainty could be due to (i) the need to reallocate initial capacities among resources or (ii) the random availability of physical capacities by the time of service execution. Academic/practical relevance: The analyzed control policy is aligned with the current industry practice, with a virtual capacity and a bid price associated with each network resource. The seller collects revenues from an arriving stream of customers. Admitted requests that cannot be accommodated within the final, effective capacities incur a penalty cost. The objective is to maximize the total cumulative net revenue (sales revenue minus penalty cost). The problem arises in practice, for instance, when airlines are subject to last-minute change of aircrafts and in cargo revenue management where the capacity left by the passengers’ load is used for freight. Methodology: We present a stochastic dynamic programming formulation for this problem and propose a stochastic gradient algorithm to approximately solve it. All limit points of our algorithm are stationary points of the approximate expected net revenue function. Results: Through an exhaustive numerical study, we show that our controls are computed efficiently and deliver revenues that are almost consistently higher than the ones obtained from benchmarks based on the widely adopted deterministic linear programming model. Managerial implications: We obtain managerial insights about the impact of the timing of the capacity uncertainty clearance, the capacity heterogeneity, the network congestion, and the penalty for not being able to accommodate the previously accepted demand. Our approach tends to offer the best performance across different parameterizations of the problem.
问题定义:我们研究在资源网络上管理收益优化的不确定能力的问题。这种不确定性可能是由于(i)需要在资源之间重新分配初始容量或(ii)在服务执行时物理容量的随机可用性。学术/实践相关性:分析的控制政策与当前的行业实践保持一致,虚拟容量和投标价格与每个网络资源相关联。卖家从源源不断的顾客那里收取收入。被接纳的请求如果不能在最终的有效容量范围内处理,则会产生罚款成本。目标是使总累计净收入(销售收入减去处罚成本)最大化。这个问题在实践中出现了,例如,当航空公司在最后一刻更换飞机时,以及在货运收入管理中,乘客负荷留下的运力被用于货运时。方法:我们提出了一个随机动态规划公式,并提出了一个随机梯度算法来近似求解该问题。算法的所有极限点都是近似期望净收益函数的平稳点。结果:通过详尽的数值研究,我们表明我们的控制是有效计算的,并且提供的收入几乎始终高于基于广泛采用的确定性线性规划模型的基准所获得的收入。管理含义:我们获得了关于容量不确定性清除时间、容量异构性、网络拥塞以及无法适应先前接受的需求的惩罚的影响的管理见解。我们的方法倾向于在问题的不同参数化之间提供最佳性能。
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引用次数: 2
Clinical Ambiguity and Conflicts of Interest in Interventional Cardiology Decision Making 介入心脏病学决策中的临床歧义和利益冲突
Pub Date : 2021-07-16 DOI: 10.1287/MSOM.2021.0969
Tinglong Dai, Xiaofang Wang, C. Hwang
Problem definition: Among the most vexing issues in the U.S. healthcare ecosystem is inappropriate use of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) procedures, also known as overstenting. A key driver of overstenting is physician subjectivity in eyeballing a coronary angiogram. Advanced tests such as fractional flow reserve (FFR) provide more precise and objective measures of PCI appropriateness, yet the decision to perform these tests is endogenous and not immune to clinical ambiguity associated with eyeballing. Additionally, conflicts of interest, arising from revenue-generating incentives, play a role in overstenting. Academic/practical relevance: Conventional wisdom suggests more precise diagnostic testing will help reduce overtreatment. However, the literature rarely recognizes that the testing decision is itself endogenous. Our research highlights the role of endogeneity surrounding interventional cardiology decision making. Methodology: This study uses stochastic modeling and simulation. Results: Under a low conflict-of-interest level, the physician performs the advanced test for intermediate lesions. Under a high conflict-of-interest level, however, the physician would perform the advanced test only for high-grade lesions, because of a financial disincentive: Performing the advanced test may lower PCI revenue if the test results argue against the procedure. Surprisingly, despite this disincentive, a more revenue-driven physician can be more inclined to perform the advanced test. Managerial implications: Our model leads to implications for various efforts aimed at tackling overstenting: (1) Attention should be paid not only to the sheer quantity of FFR procedures but to which patients receive FFR procedures; (2) reducing the risk of the advanced test has a behavior-inducing effect, yet a modest risk reduction may lower patient welfare; and (3) offering a bonus to the physician for performing FFR procedures equal to a third of its reimbursement rate will cause only a 5% increase in average physician payment while inducing a 26% decline in overstenting. In addition, we show implementing a bundled payment scheme may discourage the use of FFR procedures and lead to more salient overstenting.
问题定义:美国医疗生态系统中最令人烦恼的问题之一是经皮冠状动脉介入治疗(PCI)手术的不当使用,也被称为过度支架置入。过度支架术的一个关键驱动因素是医生对冠状动脉造影的主观判断。先进的测试,如分数血流储备(FFR),提供了更精确和客观的PCI适宜性测量,然而进行这些测试的决定是内源性的,并不能避免与眼球相关的临床歧义。此外,由于产生收入的奖励而产生的利益冲突也在过度支出中发挥了作用。学术/实践意义:传统观点认为,更精确的诊断测试将有助于减少过度治疗。然而,文献很少认识到测试决策本身是内生的。我们的研究强调了介入心脏病学决策中的内生性的作用。方法:本研究采用随机建模和模拟。结果:在低利益冲突水平下,医生对中级病变进行高级检查。然而,在高度利益冲突的情况下,由于经济上的抑制,医生只会对高度病变进行高级检查:如果检查结果与手术结果不符,进行高级检查可能会降低PCI收入。令人惊讶的是,尽管存在这种不利因素,但更看重收入的医生可能更倾向于进行这种高级测试。管理意义:我们的模型对解决过度支架置入的各种努力具有启示意义:(1)不仅要注意FFR手术的绝对数量,还要注意接受FFR手术的患者;(2)降低高级检查风险具有行为诱导效应,但适度降低风险可能会降低患者福利;(3)为实施FFR手术的医生提供相当于其报销率三分之一的奖金,只会使医生的平均薪酬增加5%,而导致过度支架植入下降26%。此外,我们还表明,实施捆绑支付方案可能会阻碍FFR程序的使用,并导致更明显的过度支出。
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引用次数: 0
Symbolic Awards in Buyer-Supplier Relations 买方-供应商关系中的象征性奖项
Pub Date : 2021-07-16 DOI: 10.1287/MSOM.2021.0974
Ruth Beer, Hyun-Soo Ahn, Stephen Leider
Problem definition: Giving out a symbolic “supplier of the year” or “outstanding supplier” award can be beneficial for a buyer as it may incentivize a supplier to exert higher efforts. However, when a good supplier is scarce, the award announces which supplier is particularly good and may increase the cost of building and maintaining the relationship. This paper studies both positive and negative effects of a symbolic award and offers explanations on underlying behavioral mechanisms. Academic/practical relevance: We show that symbolic awards can effectively incentivize suppliers to provide high effort, improving a buyer’s bottom line. This is particularly relevant in cases in which certain aspects of a buyer–supplier relationship are not contractible and suppliers have discretion over the quality provided. The award format significantly influences the award’s effectiveness. Methodology: We develop a game-theoretical model that captures a supplier’s utility for the award in a competitive setting and test the predictions of the model with laboratory experiments. Results: Our experimental results confirm that private symbolic awards have motivating effects and lead to higher buyer profits. When the awards are public, this profit premium diminishes as buyers pay higher prices to get the good suppliers. When the buyer is given the option to make the award public or private, buyers prefer that awards are public over private, anticipating a negative supplier response to their choice of the private award format. Managerial implications: Expressing praise or gratitude for a supplier’s efforts can be highly beneficial for a buyer. However, when there is scarcity of good suppliers, buyers should expect increased competition and accompany the award with efforts to preserve the relationship. Finally, if buyers choose to offer a distinctive award format, private recognitions may be perceived as greedy or self-interested and backfire.
问题定义:给予一个象征性的“年度供应商”或“杰出供应商”奖项对买方是有益的,因为它可以激励供应商付出更高的努力。然而,当一个好的供应商是稀缺的,奖励表明哪个供应商特别好,可能会增加建立和维持这种关系的成本。本文研究了象征性奖励的正效应和负效应,并对其行为机制进行了解释。学术/实践相关性:我们表明,象征性奖励可以有效地激励供应商付出更高的努力,提高买家的底线。在买方-供应商关系的某些方面不具有可承包性,而供应商对所提供的质量有自由裁量权的情况下,这一点尤其重要。奖励形式对奖励的有效性有显著影响。方法:我们开发了一个博弈论模型,在竞争环境中捕捉供应商对奖项的效用,并通过实验室实验测试模型的预测。结果:我们的实验结果证实了私人象征性奖励具有激励效应,并导致更高的买方利润。当奖励公开时,这种利润溢价会减少,因为买家会支付更高的价格来获得好的供应商。当买家可以选择公开奖励还是私下奖励时,买家更喜欢公开奖励而不是私下奖励,因为他们预计供应商会对他们选择的私下奖励形式做出负面反应。管理启示:对供应商的努力表示赞扬或感谢对买方来说是非常有益的。然而,当优质供应商稀缺时,买家应该预料到竞争会加剧,并在获得奖励的同时努力保持这种关系。最后,如果买家选择提供一种独特的奖励形式,私人认可可能会被视为贪婪或自私,并适得其反。
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引用次数: 3
Incentives for Shared Services: Multiserver Queueing Systems with Priorities 共享服务的激励:具有优先级的多服务器排队系统
Pub Date : 2021-07-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3887297
Hanlin Liu, Yimin Yu
Problem definition: We study shared service whereby multiple independent service providers collaborate by pooling their resources into a shared service center (SSC). The SSC deploys an optimal priority scheduling policy for their customers collectively by accounting for their individual waiting costs and service-level requirements. We model the SSC as a multiclass [Formula: see text] queueing system subject to service-level constraints. Academic/practical relevance: Shared services are increasingly popular among firms for saving operational costs and improving service quality. One key issue in fostering collaboration is the allocation of costs among different firms. Methodology: To incentivize collaboration, we investigate cost allocation rules for the SSC by applying concepts from cooperative game theory. Results: To empower our analysis, we show that a cooperative game with polymatroid optimization can be analyzed via simple auxiliary games. By exploiting the polymatroidal structures of the multiclass queueing systems, we show when the games possess a core allocation. We explore the extent to which our results remain valid for some general cases. Managerial implications: We provide operational insights and guidelines on how to allocate costs for the SSC under the multiserver queueing context with priorities.
问题定义:我们研究共享服务,其中多个独立的服务提供者通过将其资源汇集到共享服务中心(SSC)中进行协作。SSC通过考虑客户的个人等待成本和服务水平要求,为客户集体部署最优优先级调度策略。我们将SSC建模为受服务级别约束的多类排队系统[公式:见文本]。学术/实践相关性:共享服务在公司中越来越受欢迎,以节省运营成本和提高服务质量。促进合作的一个关键问题是不同企业之间的成本分配。方法:为了激励合作,我们运用合作博弈论的概念研究了合作企业的成本分配规则。结果:为了增强我们的分析能力,我们证明了一个具有多边形优化的合作博弈可以通过简单的辅助博弈来分析。利用多类排队系统的多矩阵结构,给出了多类排队系统具有核心分配的情况。我们探索我们的结果在多大程度上对某些一般情况仍然有效。管理意义:我们提供了关于如何在具有优先级的多服务器队列上下文中分配SSC成本的操作见解和指导方针。
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引用次数: 0
OM Forum - Pandemics/Epidemics: Challenges and Opportunities for Operations Management Research OM论坛-流行病/流行病:运营管理研究的挑战和机遇
Pub Date : 2021-07-14 DOI: 10.1287/MSOM.2021.0965
Sushil K. Gupta, M. Starr, R. Farahani, N. Asgari
We reviewed research papers related to pandemics/epidemics (disease outbreaks of a global/regional scope) published in major operations management, operations research, and management science journals through the end of 2019. We evaluate and categorize these papers. We study research trends, explore research gaps, and provide directions for more efficient and effective research in the future. In addition, our recommendations include the lessons learned from the ongoing pandemic, COVID-19. We discuss papers in the following categories: (a) warning signals/surveillance, (b) disease propagation leading to pandemic conditions, (c) mitigation, (d) vaccines and therapeutics development, (e) resource management, (f) supply chain configuration, (g) decision support systems for managing pandemics/epidemics, and (h) risk assessment.
我们回顾了截至2019年底在运营管理、运筹学和管理科学等主要期刊上发表的与大流行/流行病(全球/区域范围内的疾病暴发)相关的研究论文。我们对这些论文进行评估和分类。我们研究研究趋势,探索研究差距,并为未来更高效和有效的研究提供方向。此外,我们的建议还包括从正在发生的COVID-19大流行中吸取的教训。我们讨论以下类别的论文:(a)预警信号/监测,(b)导致大流行条件的疾病传播,(c)缓解,(d)疫苗和治疗方法开发,(e)资源管理,(f)供应链配置,(g)管理大流行/流行病的决策支持系统,以及(h)风险评估。
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引用次数: 18
A Model for Prepositioning Emergency Relief Items Before a Typhoon with an Uncertain Trajectory 轨迹不确定台风来临前紧急救援物资的预定位模型
Pub Date : 2021-07-09 DOI: 10.1287/MSOM.2021.0980
J. Uichanco
Problem definition: We study the problem faced by the Philippine Department of Social Welfare (DSWD) in prepositioning relief items before landfall of an oncoming typhoon whose future outcome (trajectory and wind speed) is uncertain. Academic/practical relevance: The importance of prepositioning was a hard lesson learned from Super Typhoon Haiyan that devastated the Philippines in 2013, when many affected by the typhoon did not have immediate access to food and water. In a typhoon-prone country, it is important to build resilience through an effective prepositioning model. Methodology: By engaging with DSWD, we developed a practically relevant stochastic prepositioning model. The probability models of municipality-level demand and of supply damage are both dependent on the typhoon outcome. A linear mixed effects model is used to estimate the dependence of demand on the typhoon outcome using a large data set that includes the municipality-level impact of West Pacific typhoons during 2008–2019. The model has two objectives motivated from the practical realities of the Philippine network: prioritizing regions with high demand and prepositioning in all affected regions proportional to their total demand. Results: We find that the choice of the demand model significantly impacts the distributed relief items in the Philippine setting where it is challenging to adjust region-level supply after a typhoon. By using the historical data on past typhoons, we show that in this setting, our stochastic demand model provides the best distribution to date of any existing demand models. Managerial implications: There currently exists a gap between theory and practice in the management of relief inventories. We contribute toward bridging this gap by engaging with DSWD to develop a practically relevant relief distribution model. Our work is an effective example of collaboration with government and nongovernment agencies in developing a relief distribution model.
问题定义:我们研究菲律宾社会福利部(DSWD)在台风登陆前预先部署救援物资所面临的问题,因为台风的未来结果(轨迹和风速)是不确定的。学术/实践意义:预先部署的重要性是从2013年摧毁菲律宾的超强台风“海燕”中吸取的惨痛教训,当时许多受台风影响的人无法立即获得食物和水。在一个台风频发的国家,通过有效的预定位模式建立抗灾能力是很重要的。方法:通过与DSWD合作,我们开发了一个实际相关的随机预定位模型。市级需求和供应损失的概率模型都依赖于台风的结果。本文使用一个线性混合效应模型来估计需求对台风结果的依赖性,该模型使用了一个大型数据集,其中包括2008-2019年西太平洋台风在城市一级的影响。根据菲律宾电网的实际情况,该模型有两个目标:优先考虑高需求地区,并在所有受影响地区按总需求比例预先部署。结果:我们发现需求模型的选择显著影响菲律宾环境下的分配救济项目,在菲律宾环境下,台风后调整区域层面的供应具有挑战性。通过使用过去台风的历史数据,我们表明,在这种情况下,我们的随机需求模型提供了迄今为止任何现有需求模型的最佳分布。管理方面的影响:目前在救济清单的管理方面理论与实践之间存在着差距。我们通过与社会福利和发展部合作,制定切实相关的救济分配模式,为弥合这一差距作出贡献。我们的工作是与政府和非政府机构合作制定救济分配模式的有效范例。
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引用次数: 8
期刊
Manuf. Serv. Oper. Manag.
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