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Research Trends on Functional Data Analysis Using Scopus Database: A Bibliometric Analysis 基于Scopus数据库的功能数据分析研究趋势:文献计量学分析
IF 0.6 Q3 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-08-27 DOI: 10.11113/mjfas.v19n4.2863
J. Suhaila, Muhammad Fauzee Hamdan
Functional data analysis (FDA) has received significant attention from researchers due to its flexibility and diverse applications in various fields. FDA provides a comprehensive framework for analysing and extracting information from complex and high-dimensional datasets, enabling researchers to obtain insights into the underlying processes, improve modelling, and make accurate predictions. Therefore, understanding the FDA topic and its features and tools, as well as identifying the collaborative networks, are crucial for the development of its research areas. The objective of the present bibliometric study is to analyse the global research trend in FDA areas based on publication outputs, authorships, co-authorships, affiliated countries, and the co-occurrence of author keywords, which will enable researchers to assess the existing knowledge environment, future trends, potential research gaps, and collaboration opportunities. The publications from the year 1989 to 2021 were retrieved from the Scopus database, resulting in 1712 articles in journals after screening. Results have shown that articles published in the Journal of the American Statistical Association received the highest citations. Nearly 43% of the published articles were contributed by the leading authors from the USA, followed by China (11.5%) and Spain (9.4%). According to the QS World University Ranking 2021, eight of the top 20 productive institutions were ranked among the top 100 best universities. The findings indicated that researchers had intensively developed and applied FDA tools and features, such as smoothing, principal component analysis, regression, and clustering, in various domains. In addition, the expansion of FDA tools could be seen based on the recent progress in author keywords. New keywords, including function-on-function regression, function-on-scalar regression, scalar-on-function regression, outlier detection, structural health monitoring, and COVID-19, have arisen recently. Due to public concern about emerging diseases, future FDA work is expected to rise, particularly in the health sciences and biomedical fields.
功能数据分析(Functional data analysis, FDA)因其灵活性和在各个领域的广泛应用而受到研究人员的极大关注。FDA提供了一个全面的框架,用于从复杂和高维数据集中分析和提取信息,使研究人员能够深入了解潜在的过程,改进建模,并做出准确的预测。因此,了解FDA主题及其特征和工具,以及确定合作网络,对其研究领域的发展至关重要。本文献计量学研究的目的是基于发表量、作者、合著者、隶属国家和作者关键词共现情况分析FDA领域的全球研究趋势,从而使研究人员能够评估现有的知识环境、未来趋势、潜在的研究差距和合作机会。从Scopus数据库中检索1989 - 2021年的出版物,筛选后得到1712篇期刊文章。结果表明,发表在《美国统计协会杂志》上的文章被引用的次数最高。近43%的发表文章是由美国的主要作者贡献的,其次是中国(11.5%)和西班牙(9.4%)。根据2021年QS世界大学排名,排名前20位的大学中有8所进入了前100名。研究结果表明,研究人员已经在各个领域集中开发和应用了FDA的工具和特征,如平滑、主成分分析、回归和聚类。此外,从作者关键词的最新进展可以看出FDA工具的扩展。最近出现了函数对函数回归、函数对标量回归、标量对函数回归、离群值检测、结构健康监测、COVID-19等新关键词。由于公众对新出现的疾病的关注,未来FDA的工作预计会增加,特别是在健康科学和生物医学领域。
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引用次数: 0
Robust Regression Analysis of Full Overlapping Caffeine and Pyridoxine HCl UV-Vis Spectra in Pharmaceutical Tablet 片剂中咖啡因与盐酸吡哆醇紫外可见光谱全重叠的鲁棒回归分析
IF 0.6 Q3 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-08-27 DOI: 10.11113/mjfas.v19n4.2918
S. Suprapto, Y. Ni'mah, Rifda Alifah Hisana
The determination of caffeine and pyridoxine HCl in medicinal tablets has been successfully carried out. The mixture of caffeine and pyridoxine solution produces UV-Vis with full overlapping spectra. The full overlapping spectra can not be analyzed using conventional multicomponent analysis, as they do not have a distinct maximum wavelength. This research proposed a full overlapping spectra analysis using Robust regression. The regression models used in this research were based on Huber, RANSAC, and Theil-Sen Regression. Robust regression is a regression method that was not sensitive to the presence of outliers from the input or output data. Robust Regression models were trained using 25 standard solutions of caffeine and pyridoxine HCl at varied ratios. The models were validated using test solutions with known concentration ratios. The validated models were applied to determine the concentration of medicinal tablets. From this study, the recovery values of medicinal tablets obtained using Huber, RANSAC, and Theil-Sen Regression methods for caffeine were 96.94%, 97.19%, and 96.16% respectively, while the recoveries of pyridoxine HCl were 122.65%, 104.89%, and 107.48%.
本文成功地测定了片剂中咖啡因和盐酸吡哆醇的含量。咖啡因和吡哆醇溶液的混合物产生具有完全重叠光谱的UV-Vis。全重叠光谱由于没有明显的最大波长,不能用传统的多组分分析进行分析。本研究提出了一种基于鲁棒回归的全重叠谱分析方法。本研究使用的回归模型基于Huber、RANSAC和Theil-Sen回归。稳健回归是一种对输入或输出数据中异常值的存在不敏感的回归方法。使用25种不同比例的咖啡因和盐酸吡哆醇标准溶液训练稳健回归模型。模型使用已知浓度比的测试溶液进行验证。将验证的模型应用于片剂的浓度测定。采用Huber、RANSAC和Theil-Sen回归法对咖啡因的回收率分别为96.94%、97.19%和96.16%,盐酸吡啶醇的回收率分别为122.65%、104.89%和107.48%。
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引用次数: 0
The Effect of IAA Phytohormone (Indole-3-Acetic Acid) on the Growth, Lipid, Protein, Carbohydrate, and Pigment Content in Euglena sp. IAA植物激素(吲哚-3-乙酸)对绿藻生长、脂质、蛋白质、碳水化合物和色素含量的影响。
IF 0.6 Q3 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-08-27 DOI: 10.11113/mjfas.v19n4.2884
Wildan Hilmi Azharul Hakim, T. Erfi̇anti̇, A. N. Dhiaurahman, Khusnul Qonita Maghfiroh, Ria Amelia, Istini Nurafifah, D. Kurnianto, D. Siswanti, E. Suyono, Septhian Marno, Irika Devi
Nowadays, energy consumption is massively increasing in the world. The production of biofuels from microalgae has received considerable attention recently and has the potential to supplant fossil fuels. Recent research focuses on developing the potential of microalgae as an alternative fuel. This research will focus on evaluating the effect of indole-3-acetic acid (IAA) on the growth and metabolite production of Euglena sp. The methods used in this study started with a medium preparation and cultivation using IAA treatment, where the treatment used controlled IAA 5 g/L, IAA 10 g/L, and IAA 15 g/L with three biological repetitions. Optical density (OD) was measured using a spectrophotometer (OD680), biomass was measured using the gravimetry method, lipid was calculated using Bligh and Dyer (1995), the protein was measured using Bradford solution, carbohydrates were measured using phenol sulfuric acid, and pigments were extracted using methanol and measured using a spectrophotometer. According to the findings of this study, IAA 5 g/L can enhance the growth rate. For biomass, the best result was at 10 g/L of IAA (2.216 g/L ± 0.284). Meanwhile, carbohydrates, proteins, and lipids were higher in IAA 15 g/L. Chlorophyll a, b, and total carotenoid were higher in 5 g/L of IAA. The results obtained in this study showed that the IAA hormone increased the growth and metabolite content of Euglena sp.
当今世界,能源消耗正在大量增加。利用微藻生产生物燃料最近受到了相当大的关注,并有可能取代化石燃料。最近的研究重点是开发微藻作为替代燃料的潜力。本研究将重点研究吲哚-3-乙酸(IAA)对Euglena sp.生长和代谢物产生的影响。本研究的方法从IAA处理的培养基制备和培养开始,其中IAA控制5 g/L, IAA 10 g/L和IAA 15 g/L,生物重复3次。用分光光度计(OD680)测定光密度(OD),用重量法测定生物量,用Bligh and Dyer(1995)计算脂质,用Bradford溶液测定蛋白质,用苯酚硫酸测定碳水化合物,用甲醇提取色素并用分光光度计测定。根据本研究结果,IAA 5 g/L可以促进生长速度。生物量方面,IAA浓度为10 g/L时效果最佳(2.216 g/L±0.284)。同时,在IAA为15 g/L时,碳水化合物、蛋白质和脂质含量较高。5 g/L IAA处理下叶绿素a、b和总类胡萝卜素含量较高。本研究结果表明,IAA激素能促进绿草的生长和代谢物含量。
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引用次数: 0
Electrogenerative Process as an Alternate Technique for Nickel Recovery from Its Sulphate Solution at Low Concentration 电再生法从低浓度硫酸溶液中回收镍的替代技术
IF 0.6 Q3 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-08-27 DOI: 10.11113/mjfas.v19n4.2778
Syed Fariq Fathullah Syed Yaacob, Siti Hawa Hang Kadim, Megat Ahmad Kamal Megat Hanafiah, F. B. Mohd Suah
In this study, a static batch reactor equipped with three-dimensional (3-D) carbon felt (CF) as cathode material was fully optimized to recover a low nickel concentration from its sulphate solution. Nickel recovery was performed using several nickel concentrations ranging from 50, 100, 250, 400 and 500 mg/L. Moreover, within 30 min of electrogenerative operation, it was discovered that the recovery of nickel achieved > 90 % in acidic conditions. At last, the deposition of nickel into CF was further investigated by scanning electron microscopy (SEM) to visualize the surface morphology of nickel on CF.
在本研究中,采用三维碳毡(CF)作为正极材料,对静态间歇反应器进行了充分优化,以回收硫酸盐溶液中的低浓度镍。镍的回收使用了50、100、250、400和500 mg/L的镍浓度。此外,在酸性条件下,电生成操作30 min内,镍的回收率达到90%以上。最后,利用扫描电子显微镜(SEM)对镍在CF中的沉积进行了进一步的研究,观察了CF上镍的表面形貌。
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引用次数: 0
The Mixture of Limes in Acid Mine Drainage Treatment 混合石灰在酸性矿山水处理中的应用
IF 0.6 Q3 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-08-27 DOI: 10.11113/mjfas.v19n4.2759
A. Othman, C. R. Mamat, I. Ibrahim, Mohd Syahrir Mohd Rozi
In this study the mixture of limes was used to treat acid mine drainage (AMD) or acid rock drainage (ARD). The results showed that AMD can be treated by a mixture of limes (CHL). CHL was a mixture of carbide and hydrated limes. Arsenic (As) was decreased after reaction with CHL. 0.5 g of CHL with an interval time of 20 mins was chosen as the best parameter for treating AMD. pH value was increased from 3.29 to 6.69 and as concentration was decreased from 3.273 mg/L to 0.002 mg/L. Both of the results obtained after the reaction complied with Standards A and B of the Environmental Act 1974.
在本研究中,石灰的混合物用于处理酸性矿井水(AMD)或酸性岩石水(ARD)。结果表明,酸橙混合剂(CHL)可以治疗AMD。CHL是碳化物和水合石灰的混合物。砷(As)与CHL反应后降低。选择0.5 g CHL,间隔时间为20 min作为治疗AMD的最佳参数。pH值从3.29上升到6.69,浓度从3.273 mg/L下降到0.002 mg/L。反应后得到的两个结果都符合1974年环境法的A和B标准。
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引用次数: 0
Bacillus cereus Contamination in Selected Home-based Food Products Sold Throughout Malaysia 在马来西亚销售的家庭食品中发现蜡样芽孢杆菌污染
IF 0.6 Q3 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-08-27 DOI: 10.11113/mjfas.v19n4.2954
Muhammad Amirun Che Hassan, M.N.S. Jamzuri, Fisal Ahmad, A. Zamri, Tuan Zainazor Tuan Chilek
Home-based food was a new trend in food business industry where the sellers’ or the owners’ fully prepared and handled food for sale from their home. This online food business had start blooming since the beginning of the Covid-19 Pandemic due to various factors. Almost every Malaysian can produce and sell foods from their home, even without proper training and knowledge regarding food safety. These products were usually sold on online shopping platform or social media as marketing and ordering tools. The purpose of this research was to evaluate the status of Bacillus cereus that present in the selected home-based food products. Sambal belacan and sambal bilis, both packed in retort pouch and glass jar were chosen as representative samples. A total of 40 samples was purchased through online shopping platform, Shopee, with a pre-determined and appropriate screening. The method was set to simulate the real-life situation of how the home-based food purchasing were made by most peoples. The purchased samples were subjected to the enumeration of Bacillus cereus and total plate count (TPC). From the analysis, it was found that the B. cereus count of 8 out of 40 samples had exceeded the acceptable limit set by the Guidelines for Assessing the Microbiological Safety of Ready-to-Eat Foods, 2009, which is >1x104 CFU/g. This study indicated that the home-based food products still possess a threat regarding the presence of pathogenic anaerobic bacteria. More data and studies were still needed to validate the food safety status of home-based food products in the market.
家居食品是食品业的新趋势,由卖方或业主在家中准备和处理出售的食品。新型冠状病毒感染症(Covid-19)爆发后,由于各种因素,这一在线食品业务开始蓬勃发展。几乎每个马来西亚人都可以在家里生产和销售食品,即使没有适当的培训和食品安全知识。这些产品通常在网上购物平台或社交媒体上销售,作为营销和订购工具。本研究的目的是评估蜡样芽孢杆菌在选定的家庭食品中的状况。选用蒸煮袋和玻璃罐包装的参巴酱和参巴酱作为代表性样品。通过网购平台Shopee,通过预先确定和适当的筛选,共购买了40个样品。该方法是为了模拟大多数人在家购买食品的现实情况而设置的。采集的样品进行蜡样芽孢杆菌计数和总平板计数(TPC)。分析结果显示,在40个样本中,有8个样本的蜡样芽孢杆菌含量超过《2009年即食食品微生物安全评估指引》所订的可接受限度(每克100 × 104 CFU)。本研究表明,家庭食品仍然存在致病性厌氧菌的威胁。还需要更多的数据和研究来验证市场上居家食品的食品安全状况。
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引用次数: 0
Morphological and Biochemical Responses of Vigna unguiculata ssp. sesquipedalis in Different Zinc Concentrations 蜈蚣草的形态和生化反应。不同锌浓度下的倍蹄草
IF 0.6 Q3 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-08-27 DOI: 10.11113/mjfas.v19n4.2796
Fenny Ungadau, Raihana Ridzuan, Fazilah Abd Manan
Zinc is an essential trace element required by plants. However, high zinc concentrations can lead to environmental pollution and plant toxicity. This research aimed to investigate how plants respond to different concentrations of zinc (0, 100, 200 and 300 ppm) in soil, using Vigna unguiculata ssp. sesquipedalis (Yard long bean) as a model plant. A total of 12 parameters were collected including plant morphological characteristics such as plant height, leaf number, yield, root length, pod length and fresh weight. Furthermore, key biochemical properties including chlorophyll content, total protein content, total phenolic and flavonoid content in plants were analyzed, in addition to soil pH and electrical conductivity. These parameters were used to determine the morphological and biochemical responses of plants under zinc-stress conditions. The results indicated that different concentrations of zinc significantly decreased the leaf number and pod length V. unguiculata. Soil electrical conductivity was significantly high at 200 ppm zinc. Significant changes in total protein were observed in stems and pods. Moreover, the total phenolic content in leaves showed a significant increase with higher zinc concentrations, while the opposite trend was observed for total phenolic content in V. unguiculata pods. In summary, varying concentrations of zinc had a significant impact on various morphological and biochemical properties of V. unguiculata, exhibiting a distinct pattern specific to each organ. This suggests that V. unguiculata is responsive, adaptive and capable of tolerating abiotic stress induced by a broad range of zinc concentrations.
锌是植物必需的微量元素。然而,高浓度的锌会导致环境污染和植物毒性。本研究旨在研究植物对土壤中不同锌浓度(0,100,200和300ppm)的反应。半足豆科植物(一码长豆)作为模式植物。共采集植株形态特征12个参数,包括株高、叶数、产量、根长、荚果长、鲜重等。此外,还分析了植物叶绿素含量、总蛋白含量、总酚和类黄酮含量等关键生化特性,以及土壤pH和电导率。这些参数用于测定植物在锌胁迫条件下的形态和生化反应。结果表明,不同浓度的锌处理显著降低了蹄草叶片数和荚果长。锌含量为200ppm时土壤电导率显著增高。茎和豆荚中总蛋白含量发生了显著变化。叶片中总酚含量随锌浓度的增加而显著增加,而豆荚中总酚含量则相反。综上所述,不同浓度的锌对蹄草的各种形态和生化特性都有显著的影响,并表现出不同器官特有的模式。这表明马蹄铁具有响应性和适应性,能够耐受大范围锌浓度诱导的非生物胁迫。
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引用次数: 0
Psychospiritual Healing from al-Quran: Internal Aesthetic Factor of Quranic Sound and Its Effects in Activating Greater Brain Regions 《古兰经》的心理治疗:《古兰经》声音的内在美学因素及其在激活大脑区的作用
IF 0.6 Q3 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-08-27 DOI: 10.11113/mjfas.v19n4.2969
Samhani Ismail, M. F. Reza, Mohd Hanifah Bin Jusoh, Wan Suryani Wan Awang, H. Juahir
Spiritual healing and Quranic sound therapy has long accompanied human tradition since decades. Quranic sound is perceived as rhythmical cues that portrays psychospiritual effects although it was not recited with external melodic intonation (tarannum). Its internal rhythms were believed to activate and synchronize its listeners’ brain rhythms hence modulating their brainwaves to give the psychospiritual effect. However, there is lack of scientific investigation that elucidates source of Quranic linguistic rhythms which contributes to the greater neural activation in the Quran’s listeners. This study aimed to evaluate a Quranic linguistic feature that contributes to high rhythmicity, and high energy that activates its listeners neural ensembles. As a result, Electroencephalography ()’s electrode correlation will be presented as a predictive measure for neural connectivity compared with Arabic News listening. Fatihah Chapter recitation (tajweed without human speech. Spectrogram analysis was performed by using Praat: Doing Phonetics by Computer (PRAAT) software. The continuous brain electrical charges from twenty-eight normal subjects (14 male:14 female) with inclusion criteria of habitual daily Quran listeners were recorded by 128-channel EEG. These brain electrical data were pre-processed and analysed by Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) followed by multivariate analysis. Discriminant Analysis results which compare the mean values of the groups were followed by Multiple Linear Regression. From spectrogram analysis, we found that Fatihah Chapter sound is more rhythmic compared to Arabic news and brings higher energy. . Comparatively, larger-scale integration of neural ensembles from the fronto-temporo-parieto-occipital areas was observed while listening to Quranic Fatihah Chapter recitation than the fronto-temporo-parieto regions from Arabic News listening, indicated of higher synchronisation and integration in neuronal communication during Quranic listening. Dynamic brain network interaction is postulated in a desynchronised pattern, essential for normal brain functioning, reduced pathological tendencies, and emotion-health-cognition stability, offering psychospiritual effects.   
精神治疗和古兰经的声音疗法已经伴随人类传统几十年了。古兰经的声音被认为是描绘心理精神效果的节奏线索,尽管它不是用外部旋律语调(tarannum)背诵的。它的内部节奏被认为可以激活并同步听者的大脑节奏,从而调节他们的脑电波,从而产生心理上的效果。然而,对于《古兰经》语言节奏是如何导致《古兰经》听者神经更活跃的,目前还缺乏科学研究来阐明其来源。这项研究旨在评估古兰经的一个语言特征,它有助于高节奏,高能量,激活听者的神经系统。因此,脑电图()的电极相关性将作为神经连通性的预测指标,与阿拉伯语新闻听力进行比较。诵读法提哈章(tajweed),无需人类言语。使用Praat: Doing Phonetics by Computer (Praat)软件进行谱图分析。采用128通道脑电图记录了28例正常受试者(男14例,女14例)每日习惯性古兰经听者的连续脑电荷。这些脑电数据经过快速傅立叶变换(FFT)预处理和分析,然后进行多变量分析。判别分析结果比较各组的平均值,然后进行多元线性回归。通过谱图分析,我们发现,与阿拉伯新闻相比,Fatihah Chapter的声音更有节奏,带来更高的能量。相比之下,在听古兰经法提哈章节时,观察到来自额-颞-顶叶-枕区的神经系统集成比听阿拉伯新闻时的额-颞-顶叶区更大,这表明在听古兰经时神经元通信的同步和整合程度更高。动态脑网络相互作用被假设为一种非同步模式,对于正常的脑功能,减少病理倾向和情绪-健康-认知稳定性至关重要,提供心理-精神效应。
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引用次数: 1
Modeling the Impact of Pollution on Sea Turtles 模拟污染对海龟的影响
IF 0.6 Q3 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-08-27 DOI: 10.11113/mjfas.v19n4.2913
Ummu Atiqah MOHD ROSLAN, F. N. Harun
Human activities are currently threatening sea turtles at all life stages, both on nesting beaches and at sea. The debris and toxic waste dumped on the coast or at sea pollutes the sea and puts marine life in danger. In recent years, the number of global turtle population have noticeably decreased, and this is largely due to plastic pollution. However, how the sea pollution affects the sea turtles’ populations is not fully understood. Therefore, in this study, using the mathematical model, we will investigate the impact of pollution on sea turtle population. The model system is analyzed using standard mathematical techniques, including positivity of solutions and stability analysis. Our findings showed that there are two possible equilibrium points (i.e. steady-state solutions) for the model proposed, in which the stability analysis showed that only one of the solutions is asymptotically stable. Thus, the conditions of stability for both equilibrium points were also derived analytically based on their eigenvalues. As for the numerical simulations, the parameter of contamination rate is varied to investigate the effect of pollution on the population of sea turtles. The results suggested that if the contamination rate is high, then the population of sea turtles are expected to decrease and extinct approximately within 10 years. The comparison of survival and extinction of sea turtles are shown using the time series plots.
人类活动目前正威胁着海龟生命的各个阶段,无论是在筑巢的海滩上还是在海上。倾倒在海岸或海上的碎片和有毒废物污染了海洋,使海洋生物处于危险之中。近年来,全球海龟数量明显减少,这主要是由于塑料污染。然而,海洋污染是如何影响海龟数量的还不完全清楚。因此,在本研究中,我们将使用数学模型来研究污染对海龟种群的影响。采用标准数学方法对模型系统进行了分析,包括解的正性分析和稳定性分析。我们的研究结果表明,所提出的模型存在两个可能的平衡点(即稳态解),其中稳定性分析表明只有一个解是渐近稳定的。由此,根据两个平衡点的特征值,解析导出了两个平衡点的稳定条件。在数值模拟中,通过改变污染率参数来研究污染对海龟种群的影响。结果表明,如果污染率较高,那么海龟的数量预计将在10年内减少并灭绝。海龟的生存和灭绝的比较是用时间序列图显示的。
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引用次数: 0
Univariate and Multivariate Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) Model to Predict Covid-19 Cases in Malaysia Using Integrated Meteorological Data 利用综合气象数据预测马来西亚Covid-19病例的单变量和多变量长短期记忆(LSTM)模型
IF 0.6 Q3 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2023-08-27 DOI: 10.11113/mjfas.v19n4.2814
Ng Wei Shen, A. Abu Bakar, Hazura Mohamad
The rate of transmission of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has been very fast since the first reported case in December 2019 in Wuhan, China. The disease has infected more than 3 million people worldwide and resulted in more than 224 thousand deaths as of May 1, 2020, reported by The World Health Organization (WHO). In the past, meteorological parameters such as temperature and humidity were essential and effective factors against serious infectious diseases such as influenza and Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS). Therefore, exploring the relationship between meteorological factors and active COVID-19 cases is essential. This study employs the long-short term memory (LSTM) method to predict Covid-19 Cases in Malaysia. We propose a univariate and multivariate model using Covid-19 cases and meteorology data. The univariate LSTM model uses Covid-19 active cases data in a year as a control attribute for model development. The multivariate LSTM model uses the integrated Covid-19 cases, and meteorology data consists of attributes: minimum, maximum, and average values of Humidity, Temperature, Windspeed, and Pressure from 13 states of Malaysia. The model's performance is evaluated using errors such as MAE, RMSE, MAPE, and the R2 Score. The low errors and higher R2 score indicate the model's excellent performance. We observed that the univariate LSTM model gives the least error in five states, indicating that those states' daily active cases are the main contributing factors. In the multivariate LSTM model, the daily cases and humidity, temperature, and windspeed are the main factors in several different states. The result of the study is to help the government to prevent and manage the spread of the COVID-19 and other upcoming pandemic better.
自2019年12月在中国武汉报告首例病例以来,冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的传播速度非常快。据世界卫生组织(世卫组织)报道,截至2020年5月1日,全球已有300多万人感染了这种疾病,导致超过22.4万人死亡。在过去,温度和湿度等气象参数是预防流感和严重急性呼吸系统综合症(SARS)等严重传染病的必要和有效因素。因此,探讨气象因素与新冠肺炎病例活动性之间的关系至关重要。本研究采用长短期记忆(LSTM)方法预测马来西亚的Covid-19病例。我们利用Covid-19病例和气象数据提出了单变量和多变量模型。单变量LSTM模型使用一年内Covid-19活跃病例数据作为模型开发的控制属性。多元LSTM模型使用综合Covid-19病例,气象数据由属性组成:马来西亚13个州的湿度、温度、风速和压力的最小值、最大值和平均值。模型的性能使用误差如MAE、RMSE、MAPE和R2评分进行评估。较低的误差和较高的R2分数表明该模型具有优异的性能。我们观察到,单变量LSTM模型在5个州给出的误差最小,表明这些州的日活跃病例是主要的影响因素。在多变量LSTM模型中,日数和湿度、温度、风速是几个不同状态下的主要影响因素。这项研究的结果是为了帮助政府更好地预防和管理COVID-19和其他即将到来的大流行的传播。
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Malaysian Journal of Fundamental and Applied Sciences
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