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Sea ice in 2024 2024年的海冰
Pub Date : 2025-04-11 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00662-1
Lettie A. Roach, Walter N. Meier
Sea ice extent remained anomalously low in 2024. Annual mean Antarctic and Arctic sea ice extent was 10.38 million km2 and 10.42 million km2, respectively, the 2nd and 7th lowest of the satellite record.
海冰范围在2024年仍然异常低。南极和北极的年平均海冰面积分别为1038万平方公里和1042万平方公里,是卫星记录以来的第2低和第7低。
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引用次数: 0
Global carbon emissions and decarbonization in 2024 2024年全球碳排放和脱碳
Pub Date : 2025-04-11 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00658-x
Zhu Deng, Biqing Zhu, Steven J. Davis, Philippe Ciais, Dabo Guan, Peng Gong, Zhu Liu
Global CO2 emissions in 2024 increased 0.9% on the previous year, totalling 36.3 Gt CO2. These ongoing emissions further deplete remaining carbon budgets, with some estimates suggesting the 1.5 °C budget will be surpassed within the next 5 years — and may have been already.
2024年全球二氧化碳排放量比上年增长0.9%,达到363亿吨二氧化碳。这些持续的排放进一步耗尽了剩余的碳预算,一些估计表明,1.5°C的预算将在未来5年内被超过,而且可能已经被超过。
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引用次数: 0
Wildfires in 2024 2024年的野火
Pub Date : 2025-04-11 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00663-0
Crystal A. Kolden, John T. Abatzoglou, Matthew W. Jones, Piyush Jain
Wildfire burned area was 367 Mha in 2024, ranked 17th since 2001. An estimated 1,965 Tg C was released from these fires, 41% of which came from the Americas, far exceeding their usual 25% contribution.
2024年的火灾面积为367万公顷,自2001年以来排名第17位。据估计,这些火灾释放了1965 Tg - C,其中41%来自美洲,远远超过了通常的25%。
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引用次数: 0
Precipitation extremes in 2024 2024年极端降水
Pub Date : 2025-04-11 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00666-x
Amy C. Green, Hayley J. Fowler, Stephen Blenkinsop, Paul A. Davies
2024 was one of the wettest years on record, witnessing record-breaking extreme precipitation events across the globe, several of which were compound events. Extreme rainfalls were unprecedented in arid regions and parts of the Global South, with severe monsoon rains and rapidly intensifying tropical cyclones causing severe casualties and economic losses.
2024年是有记录以来最潮湿的年份之一,见证了全球破纪录的极端降水事件,其中一些是复合事件。在干旱地区和全球南方部分地区,极端降雨是前所未有的,强烈的季风降雨和迅速加剧的热带气旋造成了严重的人员伤亡和经济损失。
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引用次数: 0
Compound weather and climate events in 2024 2024年的复合天气和气候事件
Pub Date : 2025-04-11 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00657-y
Jakob Zscheischler, Colin Raymond, Yang Chen, Natacha Le Grix, Renata Libonati, Cassandra D. W. Rogers, Christopher J. White, Piotr Wolski
2024 saw multiple high-impact compound events. Record-breaking global temperatures combined with regional weather variability to create compound floods, spatially compounding droughts and heatwaves, and hazard sequences with often devastating impacts.
2024年发生了多起高影响的复合事件。破纪录的全球气温与区域气候变化相结合,造成了复合洪水,在空间上加剧了干旱和热浪,以及往往具有破坏性影响的灾害序列。
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引用次数: 0
Ocean heat content in 2024 2024年海洋热含量
Pub Date : 2025-04-11 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00655-0
Yuying Pan, Audrey Minière, Karina von Schuckmann, Zhi Li, Yuanlong Li, Lijing Cheng, Jiang Zhu
Global full-depth ocean heat content (OHC) gain since 1960 reached a record 452 ± 77 ZJ in 2024. OHC was 15 ± 9 ZJ higher than in 2023, primarily associated with warming in the Atlantic and Indian Oceans.
自1960年以来,全球全深度海洋热含量(OHC)增益在2024年达到创纪录的452±77 ZJ。OHC比2023年高15±9 ZJ,主要与大西洋和印度洋变暖有关。
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引用次数: 0
Lake surface water temperature in 2024 2024年湖泊地表水温
Pub Date : 2025-04-11 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00654-1
Kun Shi, Xiwen Wang, Yue Qin, R. Iestyn Woolway, Ayan Santos Fleischmann, Shilong Piao
2024 global mean lake surface water temperature (LSWT) was 0.3 °C greater than the 2001–2023 average, the fourth highest on record. Particularly strong positive — and record-breaking — LSWT anomalies occurred throughout Canada and north-eastern Europe, in some cases exceeding 2 °C.
2024年全球平均湖泊表面水温(LSWT)比2001-2023年的平均值高0.3℃,是有记录以来的第四高水平。加拿大和欧洲东北部地区出现了特别强烈的正距平现象,有些地区甚至超过了2°C。
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引用次数: 0
Crop pest responses to global changes in climate and land management 作物病虫害对全球气候和土地管理变化的响应
Pub Date : 2025-04-08 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00652-3
Chun-Sen Ma, Bing-Xin Wang, Xue-Jing Wang, Qing-Cai Lin, Wei Zhang, Xue-Fang Yang, Joan van Baaren, Daniel P. Bebber, Sanford D. Eigenbrode, Myron P. Zalucki, Juan Zeng, Gang Ma
The prevalence of crop insect pests, which damage crops and reduce their yield, is increasing globally owing to changes in climate and land use, posing a threat to food security. In this Review, we synthesize evidence on how tropical, temperate, migratory and soil crop pests respond to changes in climate, land use and agricultural practices. In general, crop pests are responding to warming with expanded geographic ranges, advanced phenological events and increased number of reproductive generations per year. Increased pest damage under warming is projected to exacerbate yield losses of 46%, 19% and 31% under 2 °C warming for wheat, rice and maize, respectively. Pests at mid–high latitudes respond more positively to warming than those in the tropics. Moderate drought can increase pest damage to crops owing to enhanced feeding on plants as a water source and decreased resilience of plants and natural enemies of pests. Increased precipitation reduces small pests through washing them away, but favours pests in general through buffering thermal-hydro stresses. Land use change, such as deforestation and conversion to cropland, enhances warming and reduces biodiversity, leading to enhanced crop damage. Agricultural intensification, particularly fertilization and irrigation, increases the quality and quantity of host plants and buffers pests from environmental extremes, favouring proliferation. Globalization of trade networks increases pest invasions, with associated damage exceeding US $423 billion in 2019. Future research should examine the mechanisms underlying changes in pest status and develop monitoring and prediction systems to inform management approaches. Crop yield losses to insect pests pose a risk to food security. This Review assesses global trends of crop pest prevalence associated with global environmental change, identifies the underlying ecological mechanisms and proposes strategies for effective, sustainable management of pests to support future food security.
由于气候和土地利用的变化,破坏作物并降低产量的作物害虫在全球范围内日益流行,对粮食安全构成威胁。在这篇综述中,我们综合了热带、温带、迁徙和土壤作物害虫如何响应气候、土地利用和农业实践变化的证据。总的来说,农作物害虫对气候变暖的反应是扩大地理范围、提前物候事件和每年繁殖代数的增加。预计在升温2°C条件下,病虫害危害的增加将使小麦、水稻和玉米的产量损失分别加剧46%、19%和31%。中高纬度地区的害虫对气候变暖的反应比热带地区的更积极。中度干旱可增加病虫害对作物的危害,因为以植物为水源的取食能力增强,而植物和病虫害天敌的抵御能力下降。增加的降水通过冲走小害虫来减少它们,但通过缓冲热-水压力,总体上有利于害虫。土地利用的变化,如砍伐森林和转为耕地,加剧了气候变暖,减少了生物多样性,导致作物受损加剧。农业集约化,特别是施肥和灌溉,提高了寄主植物的质量和数量,并使有害生物免受极端环境的影响,有利于扩散。贸易网络全球化加剧了有害生物入侵,2019年相关损失超过4230亿美元。未来的研究应审查有害生物状况变化的潜在机制,并发展监测和预测系统,为管理方法提供信息。虫害造成的作物产量损失对粮食安全构成威胁。本综述评估了与全球环境变化相关的作物有害生物流行的全球趋势,确定了潜在的生态机制,并提出了有效、可持续的有害生物管理战略,以支持未来的粮食安全。
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引用次数: 0
Detecting nearshore bedforms with X-band radar 用x波段雷达探测近岸地貌
Pub Date : 2025-04-02 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00671-0
Dominique Townsend
Dominique Townsend explains how X-band radar can be used to detect and monitor nearshore bedforms.
多米尼克·汤森德解释了x波段雷达如何用于探测和监测近岸地层。
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引用次数: 0
Collision, mantle convection and Tethyan closure in the Eastern Mediterranean 东地中海碰撞、地幔对流与特提斯闭合
Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00653-2
Eivind O. Straume, Claudio Faccenna, Thorsten W. Becker, Bernhard Steinberger, Alexis Licht, Andrea Sembroni, Zohar Gvirtzman, Paolo Ballato
The Tethys Seaway once linked the Atlantic and Indo-Pacific oceans. Its gradual shallowing and closure impacted global ocean circulation, faunal diversification and climatic changes. In this Review, we evaluate the tectonic causes and the topographic changes across the Eastern Mediterranean over the past 66 Ma and explore the consequences of Tethys Seaway closure. Mantle convection led to collisional tectonic processes, mountain building and crustal thickening along the Tethyan realm. The Ethiopian flood basalts mark the arrival of the Afar plume at ~30 Ma, followed by northward-trending volcanic activity indicating that plume material had moved to northwest Arabia by ~20 Ma. Plume-induced mantle flow generated kilometre-scale uplift across East Africa, at ~8° N at ~35 Ma, and along Arabia and led to the formation of the Gomphotherium land bridge at 30° N, ~20 Ma. Afro-Arabian uplift contributed to the development of modern-like Asian monsoons, and the land bridge between Africa and Asia enabled one of the greatest faunal interchanges of the Cenozoic. The gradual shoaling and final closure of the Tethys Seaway likely facilitated the transition towards a stronger overturning circulation in the North Atlantic, contributing to the Cenozoic cooling trend. Future research should incorporate more detailed spatial and temporal uplift models into paleogeography and paleoclimate models to better simulate consequences for ocean circulation, climate and biogeographic dispersals. Closure of the Tethys Seaway marked the last connection between the Atlantic and Indo-Pacific oceans. This Review explores how mantle convection and associated volcanic activity caused Tethys Seaway closure and discusses the implications for ocean circulation, faunal diversification and climate.
特提斯海道曾经连接着大西洋和印度洋-太平洋。它的逐渐变浅和关闭影响了全球海洋环流、动物多样性和气候变化。在这篇综述中,我们评估了过去66 Ma东地中海的构造原因和地形变化,并探讨了特提斯海道关闭的后果。地幔对流导致了沿特提斯地区的碰撞构造过程、造山和地壳增厚。埃塞俄比亚洪水玄武岩标志着~30 Ma阿法尔地幔柱的到来,随后是向北的火山活动,表明地幔柱物质在~20 Ma移到了阿拉伯西北部。羽流引起的地幔流在~8°N ~35 Ma的东非和沿阿拉伯半岛产生千米尺度的隆升,并导致了30°N ~20 Ma的Gomphotherium陆桥的形成。非洲-阿拉伯地区的隆起促进了类似现代亚洲季风的发展,非洲和亚洲之间的陆桥使新生代最伟大的动物交换成为可能。特提斯海道的逐渐浅滩化和最终关闭可能促进了北大西洋向更强的翻转环流的转变,导致了新生代的冷却趋势。未来的研究应在古地理和古气候模型中加入更详细的时空隆升模型,以更好地模拟海洋环流、气候和生物地理扩散的后果。特提斯海道的关闭标志着大西洋和印度洋-太平洋之间的最后连接。本文探讨了地幔对流和相关火山活动如何导致特提斯海道关闭,并讨论了其对海洋环流、动物多样性和气候的影响。
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Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
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